The Bum's February's College Basketball PODS-Stats-News & Game of the Year !

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday, February 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Youngstown St. - 7:00 PM ET Youngstown St. +8 500 *****
Cleveland St. -

Fairfield - 7:00 PM ET Fairfield +5 500
St. Peter's -

Clemson - 7:00 PM ET Wake Forest +2.5 500
Wake Forest -

Iowa - 7:00 PM ET Minnesota +3.5 500 BIG 12 GOW
Minnesota -

Dayton - 7:00 PM ET St. Joseph's -3.5 500
St. Joseph's -

Florida - 7:00 PM ET Florida -8.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Vanderbilt -

Valparaiso - 7:00 PM ET Wright St. -3 500
Wright St. -

Virginia Tech - 7:00 PM ET Duke -20.5 500
Duke -

Xavier - 7:00 PM ET Xavier +6 500 TRIPLE PLAY
St. John's -

Kansas St. - 7:00 PM ET Texas Tech -1 500
Texas Tech -

Illinois-Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Illinois-Chicago +7.5 500
Wis.-Milwaukee -

Drake - 8:05 PM ET Evansville -2.5 500
Evansville -

Loyola-Chicago - 8:05 PM ET Missouri St. -7.5 500
Missouri St. -

Wichita St. - 9:00 PM ET Bradley +11.5 500 *****
Bradley -

Missouri - 9:00 PM ET Georgia -2 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Georgia -

Indiana - 9:00 PM ET Wisconsin -10.5 500 *****
Wisconsin -

Seton Hall - 9:00 PM ET Seton Hall -5.5 500
DePaul -

Air Force - 9:05 PM ET Wyoming -7.5 500 *****
Wyoming -

Utah St. - 9:05 PM ET Utah St. +11.5 500 *****
New Mexico -

San Jose St. - 11:05 PM ET San Diego St. -20.5 500 *****
San Diego St. -

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday, February 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Youngstown St. - 7:00 PM ET Youngstown St. +8 500 *****
Cleveland St. -

Fairfield - 7:00 PM ET Fairfield +5 500
St. Peter's -

Clemson - 7:00 PM ET Wake Forest +2.5 500
Wake Forest -

Iowa - 7:00 PM ET Minnesota +3.5 500 BIG 10 GOW
Minnesota -

Dayton - 7:00 PM ET St. Joseph's -3.5 500
St. Joseph's -

Florida - 7:00 PM ET Florida -8.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Vanderbilt -

Valparaiso - 7:00 PM ET Wright St. -3 500
Wright St. -

Virginia Tech - 7:00 PM ET Duke -20.5 500
Duke -

Xavier - 7:00 PM ET Xavier +6 500 TRIPLE PLAY
St. John's -

Kansas St. - 7:00 PM ET Texas Tech -1 500
Texas Tech -

Illinois-Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Illinois-Chicago +7.5 500
Wis.-Milwaukee -

Drake - 8:05 PM ET Evansville -2.5 500
Evansville -

Loyola-Chicago - 8:05 PM ET Missouri St. -7.5 500
Missouri St. -

Wichita St. - 9:00 PM ET Bradley +11.5 500 *****
Bradley -

Missouri - 9:00 PM ET Georgia -2 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Georgia -

Indiana - 9:00 PM ET Wisconsin -10.5 500 *****
Wisconsin -

Seton Hall - 9:00 PM ET Seton Hall -5.5 500
DePaul -

Air Force - 9:05 PM ET Wyoming -7.5 500 *****
Wyoming -

Utah St. - 9:05 PM ET Utah St. +11.5 500 *****
New Mexico -

San Jose St. - 11:05 PM ET San Diego St. -20.5 500 *****
San Diego St. -

[Kaptain]

I'm on some of those..........get um BUM.......as always, thanks

[StarDust Bum]

February's Record:

*****............107 - 93 - 4

DOUBLE PLAYS.. 49- 42 - 3

TRIPLE PLAYS.... 34 - 38 - 1

GOY..................1 - 0

GOM.................0 - 1

GOW.................0 - 1

PAC 12 GOY......0 - 1

CON USA GOY...0 - 1

BIG 10 GOW.....1 - 0

Record as of Tuesday Night Results

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Xavier 65, St John's 53-- Red Storm's resume takes a big hit.

-- Wake Forest 62, Clemson 57-- Same thing for the Tigers.

-- St Joe's 79, Dayton 53-- Hawks play six guys, but six good players.

-- Florida 57, Vanderbilt 54-- Gators win another close game.

-- Minnesota 95, Iowa 89-- Gophers made 11-19 behind the arc.

-- Memo to pro athletes: If you have a weapon and are in New York City, register the damn thing. How hard is that to figure out?

*****

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: 13 dead people I'd like to meet

13) John Candy—One of the funniest guys ever, he was actually part owner of the Toronto Argonauts of the CFL in the late 80’s with Wayne Gretzky and the guy who owned the LA Kings. For one year, Big John was head of the CFL’s expansion committee. Seriously.

12) Charles Oscar Finley—Along with Bill Veeck, should be in Baseball Hall of Fame for all his innovations, such as night World Series games, the DH and more colorful uniforms. Think about how much money MLB owners have banked from apparel sales over the last 40 years; those are Charlie O’s innovations, man. Plus, he was an excellent GM who built one of baseball’s great dynasties in Oakland in the early 70’s.

11) Richard Nixon—After he lost the 1960 Presidential election, Nixon was approached about being Commissioner of Baseball.

Imagine how different history would be had he said yes?!?!?!?

10) Jack Warden—There was a time in the late 80’s when I was convinced Jack Warden had a role in every movie made. All of them.

The Verdict is one of my favorite movies, as well as the original Brian’s Song, when he played George Halas.

9) George Allen—One of my boyhood idols when he coached the Rams, one of Allen’s sons is now GM of the Redskins and another son was governor of Virginia. His last coaching job was trying to resurrect the football program at Long Beach State- they had a winning record in his last year.

8) Wilt Chamberlain—If the reports of his off-court prowess are true, Wilt had some of the greatest time management skills of all-time. Think about it. Plus, he scored 100 points in an NBA game. 100!!!! He went to Kansas on a track scholarship, so you know he was a great athlete.

7) Pat Summerall—Think of all the great events he called on TV, in the NFL, golf and tennis; plus he was a kicker for the Giants in the late 50’s. One of the great voices of all-time.

6) Jerry Coleman—He flew airplanes in combat missions in two different wars, played second base in the big leagues, then became an icon as an announcer in San Diego. Seemed like a genuinely nice person.

5) Harold Ramis—He passed away this week at age 69; wrote/directed/acted in some of the greatest modern comedies. Its hard to be funny when people expect you to be funny. Ramis was very funny.

4) Ed McMahon-- Most famous sidekick of all-time. Large man with a small ego, he was all over TV for years. The stories he must have had.....

3) Jack Klugman-- TV's Oscar Madison/Quincy owned race horses in real life; saw him at Saratoga Harness track one night-- they had a huge crowd, mostly there to see him present a trophy.

2) Paul Newman—He was Butch Cassidy, he was the hockey coach in Slap Shot, the down-and-out lawyer in The Verdict, and he even played Kevin Costner’s father in Message in a Bottle late in his career. He drove race cars and even had a salad dressing named after him.

Would’ve been great fun to pick his brain for a while.

1) Catfish Hunter—My favorite baseball player growing up; they spelled his name wrong on his rookie baseball card in 1965, so he became my favorite player, when I was a 5-year old.

What are the odds he would become a Hall of Famer?

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 26

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GEORGIA TECH (13 - 14) at NOTRE DAME (14 - 14) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
NOTRE DAME is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all home games this season.
NOTRE DAME is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games this season.
NOTRE DAME is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
NOTRE DAME is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
NOTRE DAME is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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RHODE ISLAND (12 - 16) at MASSACHUSETTS (21 - 5) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 3-2 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 4-1 straight up against RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ST BONAVENTURE (16 - 11) at LASALLE (12 - 14) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LASALLE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
LASALLE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
LASALLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
LASALLE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LASALLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST BONAVENTURE is 2-1 against the spread versus LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
LASALLE is 2-1 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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RUTGERS (10 - 17) at UCF (10 - 15) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games this season.
UCF is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
UCF is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all home games this season.
UCF is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
UCF is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
UCF is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MICHIGAN (19 - 7) at PURDUE (15 - 12) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 74-104 ATS (-40.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 3-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CONNECTICUT (21 - 6) at S FLORIDA (12 - 15) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 3-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 3-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MIAMI (14 - 13) at VIRGINIA (23 - 5) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
MIAMI is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 118-80 ATS (+30.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MIAMI is 103-69 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
MIAMI is 103-69 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MIAMI is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
MIAMI is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MIAMI is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
MIAMI is 114-79 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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RICHMOND (18 - 9) at GEORGE MASON (9 - 17) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE MASON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGE MASON is 1-0 against the spread versus RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
GEORGE MASON is 1-0 straight up against RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DELAWARE (20 - 9) at UNC-WILMINGTON (9 - 21) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 82-52 ATS (+24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
DELAWARE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) on Wednesday games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-WILMINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
DELAWARE is 4-1 straight up against UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TOWSON ST (20 - 9) at JAMES MADISON (11 - 17) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOWSON ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
JAMES MADISON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TOWSON ST is 4-1 against the spread versus JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
JAMES MADISON is 3-2 straight up against TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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HOFSTRA (8 - 21) at WM & MARY (17 - 10) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WM & MARY is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
WM & MARY is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
WM & MARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOFSTRA is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
WM & MARY is 122-156 ATS (-49.6 Units) after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
WM & MARY is 2-2 against the spread versus HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
WM & MARY is 2-2 straight up against HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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KENT ST (15 - 12) at BOWLING GREEN (11 - 16) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
KENT ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
KENT ST is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 4-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 3-2 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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AKRON (17 - 10) at MIAMI OHIO (10 - 15) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
AKRON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
AKRON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in February games this season.
AKRON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 3-2 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 5-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BUFFALO (16 - 8) at OHIO U (19 - 8) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
OHIO U is 118-85 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 118-85 ATS (+24.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO U is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
BUFFALO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUFFALO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BUFFALO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OHIO U is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 4-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 6-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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C MICHIGAN (10 - 16) at E MICHIGAN (15 - 12) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 4-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W MICHIGAN (18 - 8) at BALL ST (4 - 21) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
BALL ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 4-2 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 3-3 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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COLL OF CHARLESTON (14 - 15) at DREXEL (15 - 12) - 2/26/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 77-48 ATS (+24.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 96-63 ATS (+26.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 96-63 ATS (+26.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
DREXEL is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DREXEL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
DREXEL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
DREXEL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DREXEL is 1-0 against the spread versus COLL OF CHARLESTON over the last 3 seasons
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 1-0 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W VIRGINIA (15 - 12) at IOWA ST (21 - 5) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in road games on Wednesday games since 1997.
IOWA ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more since 1997.
IOWA ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
IOWA ST is 190-152 ATS (+22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
IOWA ST is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
IOWA ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 2-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ALABAMA (11 - 16) at OLE MISS (16 - 11) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) on Wednesday games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 2-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 2-2 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TENNESSEE (16 - 11) at MISSISSIPPI ST (13 - 14) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 3-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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S ILLINOIS (12 - 17) at N IOWA (14 - 14) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ILLINOIS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
S ILLINOIS is 3-2 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
N IOWA is 3-2 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TOLEDO (23 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (12 - 14) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
N ILLINOIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 40-64 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 3-2 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 4-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


INDIANA ST (21 - 7) at ILLINOIS ST (15 - 13) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS ST is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) on Wednesday games this season.
ILLINOIS ST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS ST is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA ST is 4-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA ST is 3-2 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BUTLER (12 - 15) at VILLANOVA (24 - 3) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
VILLANOVA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
VILLANOVA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
VILLANOVA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 173-137 ATS (+22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUTLER is 1-0 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 1-0 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PITTSBURGH (20 - 7) at BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 20) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in February games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all home games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS A&M (16 - 11) at LSU (16 - 10) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 2-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N CAROLINA (20 - 7) at NC STATE (17 - 10) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in February games this season.
N CAROLINA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
N CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 4-2 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 5-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEBRASKA (16 - 10) at ILLINOIS (15 - 12) - 2/26/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 75-107 ATS (-42.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 75-107 ATS (-42.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 79-108 ATS (-39.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEBRASKA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEBRASKA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
ILLINOIS is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 4-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 3-2 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


S CAROLINA (10 - 17) at AUBURN (12 - 13) - 2/26/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 51-77 ATS (-33.7 Units) in February games since 1997.
AUBURN is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 3-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 3-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BAYLOR (18 - 9) at TEXAS (20 - 7) - 2/26/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 3-2 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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FLA ATLANTIC (10 - 18) at TULANE (15 - 13) - 2/26/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 48-81 ATS (-41.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
TULANE is 48-79 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOISE ST (18 - 9) at FRESNO ST (14 - 14) - 2/26/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
BOISE ST is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
FRESNO ST is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in February games this season.
FRESNO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
FRESNO ST is 55-82 ATS (-35.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 4-1 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 4-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CALIFORNIA (18 - 9) at ARIZONA (25 - 2) - 2/26/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 98-71 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
CALIFORNIA is 98-71 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
CALIFORNIA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 2-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 2-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


STANFORD (18 - 8) at ARIZONA ST (19 - 8) - 2/26/2014, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
STANFORD is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
STANFORD is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
STANFORD is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
ARIZONA ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 4-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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COLORADO ST (15 - 13) at UNLV (17 - 10) - 2/26/2014, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO ST is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
COLORADO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
COLORADO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 4-2 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 3-3 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BELMONT (21 - 8) at SIU EDWARDSVL (11 - 17) - 2/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIU EDWARDSVL is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SIU EDWARDSVL is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
SIU EDWARDSVL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BELMONT is 1-0 against the spread versus SIU EDWARDSVL over the last 3 seasons
BELMONT is 1-0 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 26

Michigan (-11) beat Purdue 75-66 Jan 30, making 7-13 from arc; they've won four of last five series games, winning by 2-5 in last two visits here. Wolverines split their last six games; underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in their road games. Michigan is 0-2 as a road favorite. Purdue lost seven of last nine games; they're 0-3 as a home underdog. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-9 against the spread.

Virginia won last 11 games (8-3 vs spread); they play Syracuse in next game Saturday, can't look past Miami squad that won three of last four games, covered five of last seven- they're 4-0 as road dogs. ACC double digit home favorites are 7-12 vs spread. Miami won five of last six games vs Virginia, with last three wins by 3 or less points or in OT, but they lost last two visits to Charlottesville, by 1-18 points.

Buffalo won five of last six games, but loss was 73-70 (-5.5) at home to Ohio 11 days ago, when Bulls blew 10-point lead with 7:35 left. MAC underdogs are 21-14 vs spread in games with spread of 4 or less points. Bobcats won last seven games with Buffalo, winning last two games here by 8-18 points. Bulls are 5-2 vs spread on road; all fouir of their MAC losses are by 6 or less points. Ohio is just 2-5 as a home favorite.

Charleston lost six of last nine games, but beat Drexel 47-46 (-3.5) Feb 13, in hideous brickfest where teams combined to go 2-22 from arc, 25-49 on foul line. Cougars lost six of last nine games, covered one of its last five- they lost last five road games, last two in OT. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-17 vs spread. Drexel won four of last six games but is 1-4-1 as a home favorite- they're 1-4 in games decided by 5 or less.

West Virginia (+2) made 13-22 from arc in 102-77 home rout of Iowa St. Feb 10, but is 0-2 since, allowing 88 points both games. WVU is 2-2-1 as road underdogs; they lost last two road games, by 14-17 points. Iowa State won six of last seven games, but is 2-5 as home favorite; they are 2-10 vs spread in last dozen games. Big X home favorites of 9+ points are 7-10 vs spread. 12 of last 14 West Virginia games went over total.

Indiana State (-8.5) made 11-21 from arc, beat Illinois State 76-62 Jan 25 at home, its 5th win in last seven series games, but Sycamores lost last two visits here, by 13-2 points. Indiana State split its last six road tilts, covered one of last six overall. Illinois State is 7-1 at home, with loss by 15 to Wichita State; they're 4-6 in last ten games overall. MVC home teams are 17-14 in games where spread was 5 or less points.

LSU won its last seven home games, but four of seven wins were by 7 or less points; Tigers (-3.5) lost 83-73 at Texas A&M Feb 12- Aggies made 10-23 from arc in game where LSU shot 59% inside arc. LSU lost four of last six games but had Kentucky beat in Rupp Saturday before tiring out late. SEC double digit favorites are 11-14 vs spread. A&M won four of last six games, covering last four- they're 2-4 as a road underdog.

North Carolina won/covered its last nine games; they beat NC State in first meeting 84-70 (-9.5), rebounding 22 of its 46 missed shots, totally dominating boards. Tar Heels is 21-2 in last 23 series games, but lost in Raleighby 8 LY. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-12 vs spread. Eight of last 11 UNC games went over the total. Wolfpack won six of last nine games, covered four of their last five.

Home team won four of five Nebraska-Illinois games; Huskers (-3) beat Illini 67-58 Feb 12, after trailing by 6 early in second half. Nebraska won seven of last eight games, covering last five; they're 5-1 as underdogs on road, winning last two away games SU. Big Dozen home favorites of 4 or less points are 9-7 vs spread. Illini lost last five home games, nine of last 11 games overall- they're 1-5-1 vs spread at home.

Texas (+5.5) won 74-60 at Baylor Jan 25; regular season series has been swept nine of last 10 years; teams split last four games played here. Big X home favorites of 5 or less points are 10-6 vs spread. Four of last five Texas games went over total. Baylor won last four games, with two of last three going OT; they're 2-2-1 as road dogs. Texas won last six home games- they're 2-3 as home favorites- they lost last two games, on road.

Boise State (-14) led by 24 late in first half, beat Fresno State 86-79 Jan 4, in game where Bulldogs scored 40 points in last 10:00 to cover spread. Boise won seven of last eight series games, last three by 7-9-7. Fresno covered last eight games, won last three home games. Mountain West home teams are 8-13 in games where spread was 3 or less points. Nine of last ten Fresno games went over the total.

Arizona (-6.5) didn't score in last 2:42, lost 60-58 at Cal Feb 1, Wildcats' first loss of year- they lost at home to Cal LY, are 4-5 in last nine series games, with Cal covering last four visits here. Arizona won four of last five home games but covered one of last four. Bears covered twice in last nine games but won three of last four; their road losses are at UCLA by 12, USC by 8. Pac-12 double digit favorites are 14-12 vs spread.

Colorado State (-2) beat UNLV 75-57 at home Feb 5; they've lost four of last five visits here, losing by 19-2 in last two. Mountain West home favorites of 6 or less points are 16-24 vs spread. Last three State games went over total. Rams lost three of last four games, are 2-3 as road dogs in MW, with three losses by 7, two by 9 points. Rebels lost their last two games, are 2-4 as home favorites- they're 4-1 in last five at home.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 26

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. OHIO
Buffalo is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ohio's last 10 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Ohio is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Buffalo

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
HOFSTRA vs. WILLIAM & MARY
Hofstra is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Hofstra is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
William & Mary is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing Hofstra
William & Mary is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hofstra

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
AKRON vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Akron's last 8 games on the road
Akron is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Akron
Miami (Ohio) is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Akron

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
ST. BONAVENTURE vs. LA SALLE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Bonaventure's last 8 games on the road
St. Bonaventure is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
La Salle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Bonaventure
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of La Salle's last 7 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. BOWLING GREEN
Kent State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kent State's last 7 games on the road
Bowling Green is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Bowling Green's last 9 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
TOWSON vs. JAMES MADISON
Towson is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Towson is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against James Madison
James Madison is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of James Madison's last 6 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. PURDUE
Michigan is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing Michigan
Purdue is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Michigan

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. BALL STATE
Western Michigan is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Western Michigan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Ball State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Ball State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
DELAWARE vs. UNC WILMINGTON
Delaware is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against UNC Wilmington
Delaware is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UNC Wilmington
UNC Wilmington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Delaware
UNC Wilmington is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing Delaware

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
RHODE ISLAND vs. MASSACHUSETTS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rhode Island's last 7 games when playing on the road against Massachusetts
Rhode Island is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Massachusetts's last 9 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games on the road
Central Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Central Michigan

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Connecticut is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against South Florida
South Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
South Florida is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. VIRGINIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Virginia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON vs. DREXEL
College of Charleston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
College of Charleston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Drexel's last 7 games at home
Drexel is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. NOTRE DAME
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 7 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Notre Dame is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Notre Dame is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games on the road
Rutgers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Central Florida is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
Central Florida is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 7:00 PM
RICHMOND vs. GEORGE MASON
Richmond is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Richmond's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of George Mason's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of George Mason's last 7 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 8:00 PM
BUTLER vs. VILLANOVA
Butler is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Butler is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Villanova is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Villanova's last 17 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 8:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. LSU
Texas A&M is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas A&M is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 5 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 8:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
North Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
The total has gone OVER in 7 of North Carolina's last 9 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
North Carolina State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina State is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing North Carolina

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FEBRUARY 26, 8:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois
Toledo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing at home against Toledo
Northern Illinois is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toledo

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 8:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. IOWA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of West Virginia's last 7 games on the road
West Virginia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Iowa State's last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Iowa State's last 10 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 8:00 PM
BELMONT vs. SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Belmont is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Belmont's last 5 games on the road
SIU Edwardsville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of SIU Edwardsville's last 5 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 8:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. MISSISSIPPI
Alabama is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Alabama is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games when playing at home against Alabama
Mississippi is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Alabama

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 8:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Mississippi State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games when playing Tennessee

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 8:00 PM
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS vs. NORTHERN IOWA
Southern Illinois is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Illinois's last 6 games on the road
Northern Iowa is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Southern Illinois
Northern Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Illinois

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 8:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston College is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Boston College is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 8:05 PM
INDIANA STATE vs. ILLINOIS STATE
Indiana State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Illinois State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana State's last 9 games on the road
Illinois State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Indiana State
Illinois State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana State

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 9:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
Nebraska is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nebraska
Illinois is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 9:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. TULANE
Florida Atlantic is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games on the road
Tulane is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tulane is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 9:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. AUBURN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Auburn
South Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Auburn
Auburn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
Auburn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against South Carolina

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 9:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. TEXAS
Baylor is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 5 games on the road
Texas is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Baylor
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baylor

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 9:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. ARIZONA
California is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of California's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Arizona is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 9:05 PM
BOISE STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boise State's last 11 games when playing on the road against Fresno State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games on the road
Fresno State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boise State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Fresno State's last 10 games when playing Boise State

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 11:00 PM
STANFORD vs. ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Stanford's last 7 games on the road
Stanford is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 26, 11:05 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. UNLV
Colorado State is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against UNLV
Colorado State is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against UNLV
UNLV is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Colorado State
UNLV is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 26

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Perennial college hoops powerhouses to fade down the stretch
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It’s hard for a program to make the NCAA tournament each year. With mid-major schools getting stronger and small-conference kings joining the big leagues, long tournament streaks are coming to an end each March as power schools settle for the NIT or worse.

However, some of these perennial powerhouses still command the respect of books and bettors – whether they deserve it or not. That opens up value to play against these teams in the home stretch of the season. Here are three NCAA tournament staples not playing up to their lofty standards.

Georgetown Hoyas (16-11, SU, 13-13 ATS)

Georgetown may have a small chance to make the NCAA tournament, but things aren’t looking good. The Hoyas are sitting in the bottom half of the Big East standings in a year where the conference lost the likes of Louisville, UConn, Syracuse, Notre Dame, and Pittsburgh.

Poor play in a conference that no longer has the same name value it once did means that Georgetown likely needs to win its final three games against tough opponents in Marquette, Creighton and Villanova as well as make a deep conference tournament run to make the NCAA cut. Bettors will have to decide if the Hoyas want to fight or give up heading into March. Back-to-back losses to Seton Hall and St. John's could give Georgetown backers their answer.

Indiana Hoosiers (15-11 SU, 12-12-1 ATS)

Like the Hoyas, Indiana needs to win out and make a deep conference tournament run to even put itself on the NCAA bubble. Losers of three of their last four it doesn't appear the Hooisers believe they can make some magic and sneak their way into the dance, as evidenced by their recent 2-4 ATS trend. A tough stretch where they play Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio State and Nebraska could get ugly if Indiana chooses to fold up its red-and-white striped tent early.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-14 SU, 8-16-2 ATS)

While not as big a basketball name as Georgetown or their in-state brethren Indiana, the Fighting Irish enjoyed four consecutive NCAA tournament appearances before leaving the Big East for the ACC alongside Syracuse and Pittsburgh.

Things started out strong with a big win over Duke at home but quickly crumbled. The Irish are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games and fading down the stretch more than anyone right now after enjoying nearly a half a decade of tournament quality teams in South Bend. Notre Dame wraps up against Georgia Tech, Pitt and North Carolina.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Miami (FL) at Virginia
The Hurricanes head to Charlottesville tonight to face a Virginia team that is coming off a 70-49 win over Notre Dame and is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games following a SU victory of more than 20 points. Virginia is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-10 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 26

Game 721-722: Georgia Tech at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 59.306; Notre Dame 62.941
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+6)

Game 723-724: Rhode Island at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 52.645; Massachusetts 66.710
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 14
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-10 1/2)

Game 725-726: St. Bonaventure at LaSalle (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 62.866; LaSalle 59.748
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure

Game 727-728: Rutgers at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 57.584; Central Florida 58.490
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 1
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+4 1/2)

Game 729-730: Michigan at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 68.843; Purdue 68.085
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 1
Vegas Line: Michigan by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+5 1/2)

Game 731-732: Connecticut at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 74.213; South Florida 56.307
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 18
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 11
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-11)

Game 733-734: Miami (FL) at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 59.754; Virginia 75.465
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-10 1/2)

Game 735-736: Richmond at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 62.436; George Mason 58.375
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 4
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Richmond

Game 737-738: Delaware at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 57.992; NC-Wilmington 50.411
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Delaware by 3
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (-3)

Game 739-740: Towson at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 57.325; James Madison 51.006
Dunkel Line: Towson by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Towson by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Towson (-1 1/2)

Game 741-742: Hofstra at William & Mary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 44.293; William & Mary 56.769
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (-10 1/2)

Game 743-744: Kent State at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 49.615; Bowling Green 56.156
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-2)

Game 745-746: Akron at Miami (OH) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 56.402; Miami (OH) 51.909
Dunkel Line: Akron by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-1 1/2)

Game 747-748: Buffalo at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 56.769; Ohio 62.317
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-2 1/2)

Game 749-750: Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 45.274; Eastern Michigan 61.009
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 11
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-11)

Game 751-752: Western Michigan at Ball State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 55.299; Ball State 50.358
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 5
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+6 1/2)

Game 753-754: College of Charleston at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 52.847; Drexel 55.742
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 3
Vegas Line: Drexel by 5
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (+5)

Game 755-756: West Virginia at Iowa State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 69.203; Iowa State 71.582
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 9
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+9)

Game 757-758: Alabama at Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 56.887; Mississippi 66.359
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 6
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-6)

Game 759-760: Tennessee at Mississippi State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 68.155; Mississippi State 56.489
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-9 1/2)

Game 761-762: Southern Illinois at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 58.289; Northern Iowa 59.976
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (+7 1/2)

Game 763-764: Toledo at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 59.082; Northern Illinois 51.407
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 8
Vegas Line: Toledo by 6
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-6)

Game 765-766: Indiana State at Illinois State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 58.576; Illinois State 57.357
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 1
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+2)

Game 767-768: Butler at Villanova (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 58.615; Villanova 76.955
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 15
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-15)

Game 769-770: Pittsburgh at Boston College (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 65.792; Boston College 64.609
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+7)

Game 771-772: Texas A&M at LSU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 57.042; LSU 68.531
Dunkel Line: LSU by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-9 1/2)

Game 773-774: North Carolina at NC State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 72.840; NC State 64.968
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 8
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-4 1/2)

Game 775-776: Nebraska at Illinois (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 62.751; Illinois 68.668
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 6
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-3)

Game 777-778: South Carolina at Auburn (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 58.028; Auburn 66.759
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Auburn by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-6 1/2)

Game 779-780: Baylor at Texas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 66.946; Texas 75.769
Dunkel Line: Texas by 9
Vegas Line: Texas by 4
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-4)

Game 781-782: Florida Atlantic at Tulane (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 50.977; Tulane 55.119
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 4
Vegas Line: Tulane by 1
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-1)

Game 783-784: Boise State at Fresno State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 62.601; Fresno State 59.217
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-1 1/2)

Game 785-786: California at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 64.418; Arizona 78.772
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 141/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-12 1/2)

Game 787-788: Stanford at Arizona State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 66.822; Arizona State 72.681
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 6
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-1)

Game 789-790: Colorado State at UNLV (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 57.221; UNLV 66.324
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 9
Vegas Line: UNLV by 6
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-6)

Game 791-792: Belmont at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 52.558; SIU-Edwardsville 52.109
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Belmont by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+7 1/2)

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 26

Wichita St. wins 30 straight, is college hoop's best bet

Wichita State not only made history Tuesday night by defeating Bradley 69-49 and becoming the first team in college basketball to start a regular season 30-0, they also are the best bet in college hoops.

The Shockers are now 20-6-1 against the spread in lined games this season, including a remarkable 11-1 ATS mark on the road.

Wichita State will have the chance to finish the regular season a perfect 31-0 when they host Missouri State Saturday.


Coach of the year candidates cashing for bettors

Bleacher Report’s Thad Novak ranked the top 20 candidates for college basketball’s coach of the year, placing Virginia’s Tony Bennett No. 1 for his work in putting the surprising Cavaliers atop the ACC at the moment. Virginia is 23-5 straight-up (SU) and respectable 14-9-1 against the spread (ATS).

But who among Novak’s favorites is doing the best job at the betting window?

That would be Wichita State’s Gregg Marshall, whose team is first in the nation with a 20-6-1 ATS mark. Marshall was Novak’s No. 2 choice for coach of the year. Among others in Novak’s top 20 who are providing particularly strong returns on bettors’ investments: Larry Brown at Southern Methodist (16-8 ATS, 15th), Jay Wright at Villanova (17-8 ATS, tied for seventh), Tim Miles at Nebraska (17-8 ATS, tied for seventh) and Steve Alford at UCLA (17-9 ATS, 16th).

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, February 26

ARIZONA ST: 2-18 ATS after one or more consecutive overs

AUBURN: 0-10 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival

NEBRASKA: 12-1 ATS after 2 consecutive conference games

OHIO U: 0-11 ATS off a road win against a conference rival

MIAMI: 11-0 ATSoff a home win by 10 points or more

DREXEL: 0-9 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

NOTRE DAME: 0-8 ATS after playing a road game

OLE MISS: 13-1 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs

[StarDust Bum]

Sleeper Schools

February 26, 2014


2014 NCAA Tournament Upset Threats

The 2013 NCAA Tournament featured some big surprises with teams seeded #9, #12, #13, and #15 all making it to the Sweet 16, with #9 seed Wichita State making the Final Four along with two #4 seeds.

This year’s tournament may not have a ‘Dunk City’ or a ‘shocking’ final four entrant but here are a few deep sleepers that could win a few games from double-digit seed positions.

That is, of course, if they get in.

Wisconsin-Green Bay: The Horizon League lost a couple of programs before this season (notably Butler) but Green Bay has dominated the league at 12-2 while going 22-5 overall. The Phoenix will be the heavy favorite to win the automatic tournament bid in the post-season tournament but they have a chance to get an at-large bid if they get upset. Green Bay has played two elite teams this season and they played commendably in those contests, beating Virginia and losing by just three against Wisconsin. 7’1” senior center Alec Brown is a NBA prospect while the backcourt is led by diminutive junior Keifer Sykes who has scored over 20 points per game. The Phoenix has solid depth with eight players averaging at least 11 minutes per game and there is good balance with strong efficiency numbers on both sides of the ball. Green Bay has shown versatility winning with great defense in holding 12 foes to fewer than 60 points this season while also scoring 80 or more points nine separate times. This is a complete team with veteran talent and a team that no foe will want to draw in a possibly the dreaded #5/12 matchup.

St. John’s: It has taken some time to develop but this young Red Storm squad had hit its stride late in the season. Half of the 10 losses for St. John’s have come against top 10 RPI teams and all of those games were close games with three of the five defeats decided by five points or less. St. John’s nearly won at Villanova last weekend and while this could be a team that ends up right on the bubble, wins in nine of the last 11 games could help to benefit the case for inclusion. St. John’s does not have a great deal of quality wins outside of a win over Creighton but this squad has next level talent and a proven veteran coach that has the team peaking at the right time after some early ups-and-downs. Having already played many of the top teams in the country should help to prepare the team for a potential first round matchup against a less talented team in a likely #8/9 or #7/10 draw should St. John’s finish up the season strong. St. John’s would also be a candidate for one of the first four play-in games depending on how the season finishes out and where the bubble ends up. In recent NCAA Tournaments teams like Virginia Commonwealth and LaSalle have used those games as springboards to great runs in March Madness and this is a team to keep an eye should they make the dance field.

Richmond: The Atlantic 10 has no shortage of quality teams with St. Louis, Virginia Commonwealth, George Washington, and St. Joseph’s getting the most attention. Richmond is a team that may be overlooked as the Spiders feature one of the best defenses in the conference and this squad is battle tested after playing several prominent non-conference games. The Spiders did not win many of those games which will have the program teetering on the NCAA Tournament bubble but playing close with teams with elite talent like Florida and North Carolina should give the team confidence in any matchup. The Spiders are led by their backcourt with Cedrick Lindsay and Kendall Anthony being the top performers on the team and there has been great improvement as the year has gone by from the talented young frontcourt. Richmond has been one of the better teams in the nation at defending the 3-point shot which means they could give trouble to a favorite that is reliant on outside shooting in a tournament setting. Richmond has work to do to even make the field but this team could be an overlooked upset threat in March.

Middle Tennessee State: The Blue Raiders currently lead the Conference USA standings but no team in the league is a guaranteed a spot in the big dance. Five teams are currently 10-3 or better in the standings as the monster league with 16 teams is watered down with some of the new entrants struggling at the bottom. Middle Tennessee State has made a smooth transition to the conference but they will need to win the conference tournament to get into the NCAA Tournament field. No team is playing better late in the season with the Blue Raiders winning nine in a row heading into this week’s big game at Louisiana Tech. Five wins on current streak have come on the road and the Blue Raiders played some credible games in the non-conference season with losses to Florida, Cincinnati, and Mississippi. Being fairly centrally located can also be a plus for the Blue Raiders in the tournament as they won’t face long travel unless they are sent out west to San Diego or Spokane. This is a very tough defensive team that forces a great deal of turnovers with a lot of pressure, something that has led teams like Louisville and VCU to tournament success in recent years. A veteran squad with four seniors that contribute significantly could be a threat if they can get into the picture as last season the Blue Raiders met disappointment with a loss in a first four game with St. Mary’s.

Nebraska: The Cornhuskers started the Big Ten season 0-4 and that was after suffering four non-conference losses. Nebraska is 8-2 in the last 10 games however with marquee wins over Ohio State and at Michigan State. This is a team that is on the wrong side of the NCAA Tournament bubble right now but with a favorable schedule down the stretch they could make a compelling case for inclusion barring a bad loss or a one-and-done showing in the Big Ten tournament. Nebraska might need to beat Wisconsin in the regular season finale to get into the tournament but should the Huskers take three of the final four games and finish 11-7 in a very strong Big Ten, it will be tough to leave them out. This is a team that no one will want to see lined up against them in the bracket as a young team with only one senior has improved dramatically as the season has gone on and is starting to win games away from home. Six of the last seven foes have been held below 60 points as the defensive efficiency ratings continue to support Nebraska as a high quality team and while the offense is not explosive, the Huskers do a great job of taking care of the ball and getting to the line. This is a team that is much better than the overall season picture represents and would be a dangerous double-digit seed in the big dance.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Action

February 26, 2014


**Michigan at Purdue**

-- As of early this morning, most books had Michigan (19-7 straight up, 13-10-1 against the spread) installed as a five-point road favorite.

-- With four games remaining, Michigan is all alone atop the Big Ten standings after beating Michigan State for the second time this season Sunday afternoon in Ann Arbor. Nik Stauskas and Caris LaVert scored 25 and 23 points, respectively, to lead the Wolverines to a 79-70 win as 1.5-point home favorites. They committed just two turnovers and forced the Spartans into 13 giveaways. Glenn Robinson III also chipped in 15 points.

-- John Beilein's team is No. 14 in the RPI Rankings behind a 4-4 record vs. the Top 25, a 9-5 ledger against the Top 50 and a 10-6 mark versus the Top 100.

-- Purdue (15-12 SU, 8-15 ATS) is hoping to get an NIT bid at this point. The Boilermakers are just 5-9 in Big Ten play and they are winless against five RPI Top-25 opponents and 2-8 versus the Top 50.

-- Matt Painter's team has won 12 of its 15 home games, only to limp to an atrocious 3-8 spread record. Purdue is 0-3 as a home underdog with defeats by margins of nine, 14 and 15 points.

-- Purdue has lost back-to-back games since trouncing arch-rival Indiana at home two Saturdays ago. The Boilermakers got blasted 94-79 at home by Michigan State last Thursday. Then on Sunday at Nebraska, they were smashed 76-57 as 5.5-point underdogs. Bryson Scott was the only Boiler to show up in Lincoln, producing a double-double with 13 points and 10 rebounds.

-- The 'under' is 13-10 overall for the Boilers, 6-5 in its home games.

-- The 'over' has cashed in three of Michigan's last four games to improve to 13-10-1 overall.

-- Michigan has won three in a row over Purdue in this Big Ten rivalry and it hasn't tasted defeat in West Lafayette since 2010. However, the Boilers own a 3-0-1 spread record in the last four encounters. The 'over' is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings. When these schools squared off in Ann Arbor on Jan. 30, Michigan captured a 75-66 home win but Purdue took the cash as an 11-point underdog. Stauskas scored a team-best 16 points, while A.J. Hammons also had 16 points and eight boards in the losing effort.

-- The Big Ten Network will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**North Carolina at North Carolina State**

-- As of early this morning, most books had North Carolina (20-7 straight up, 16-11 against the spread) as a 4.5-point road favorite.

-- North Carolina State (17-10 SU, 12-11-1 ATS) has won six of its last nine games both SU and ATS, including Saturday's 71-64 win at Va. Tech as a 2.5-point road 'chalk.' T.J. Warren exploded for a game-high 31 points to lead the Wolfpack into the win column.

-- Mark Gottfried's team is sitting at No. 55 in the RPI Rankings, leaving it starving for a win in this spot. The Wolfpack blew a golden opportunity to get a signature win at Syracuse two Saturdays ago, in part due to a shaky call but mostly due to a costly turnover. N.C. State is winless in seven games against the RPI Top 50 and has a 3-8 record versus the Top 100.

-- North Carolina has won nine in a row both SU and ATS to improve to 10-4 in ACC action. Roy Williams's team is coming off Saturday's 105-72 win over Wake Forest as a 14-point home favorite. Leslie McDonald led six double-figure scorers with 19 points thanks to 5-of-6 shooting from 3-point land.

-- UNC's surge has allowed it to climb to No. 22 in the RPI Rankings. The Tar Heels 3-3 against the RPI Top 25, 6-3 vs. the Top 50 and 10-4 against Top-100 foes.

-- UNC has dominated this Tobacco Road Rivalry recently, winning nine of the last 10 meetings while going 8-2 versus the number. When these teams met in Chapel Hill on Feb. 1, the Tar Heels collected an 84-70 win as 9.5-point home favorites. McDonald scored a team-high 20 points, while James Michael McAdoo had a double-double with 16 points and 13 rebounds. Marcus Paige finished with 15 points and five assists. In the losing effort, Warren had 21 points, eight boards, three steals and two blocked shots. Desmond Lee added 18 points.

-- The 'over' is on a 6-2 run in N.C. State's last eight games, cashing in three straight home contests. For the season, the Wolfpack has seen the 'under' go 12-11-1 overall, 6-6 in its home outings.

--- The 'over' is in the midst of an 8-3 spree in UNC's last 11 games to improve to 13-13 overall.

-- Gamblers can tune into this ACC showdown at 8:00 p.m. Eastern on DirecTV channel 724 as part of the ESPN Game Plan.

**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

-- After getting clubbed 71-56 last night in Athens, Missouri fell into ninth place in the SEC and one game below .500 in conference play. The Tigers got swept by Georgia this year and suffered another killer loss this past Saturday at Alabama. The Bulldogs are in third place in the SEC with a 10-5 record in league play, but they have no shot at an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. But UGA has saved Mark Fox's job and will have a good squad next year, assuming Charles Mann and Kenny Gaines return healthy.

-- Nebraska is on an 11-1 ATS run in its last 12 games as it rolls into Champaign-Urbana tonight to face Illinois as an underdog.

-- Florida survived a game effort from Vanderbilt last night thanks to solid defense and the offense of Dorian Finney-Smith, who broke out of a prolonged slump to score 19 points and grab nine rebounds. UF back-up freshman PG Kasey Hill missed his third consecutive game with a groin injury. I would think Hill will be ready for Saturday's home game vs. LSU.

-- Xavier and Kansas State picked up monster road wins last night at State John's and at Texas Tech, respectively. However, the biggest bubble winner on Tuesday had to be Minnesota. The Gophers knocked off Iowa 95-89 as 3.5-point home underdogs. Austin Hollins dropped 27 points on the Hawkeyes.

-- DePaul ended its 10-game losing streak by beating Seton Hall 65-60 last night as a 5.5-point home underdog.

-- The 'under' improved to 21-4 in Bradley games when its 69-49 home loss to Wichita State saw the 118 combined points stay 'under' the 130.5-point total.

-- With the win over Bradley, the Shockers became the first 30-0 team since the 1990-1991 UNLV team led by Larry Johnson, Stacy 'The Plastic Man' Augmon, Greg Anthony and Anderson Hunt.

[StarDust Bum]

Bracketology Update

February 26, 2014


We're getting closer to Selection Sunday, so it's time for another Bracketology update as we close February. Recent developments on a very fluid "bubble" have created some different seeding dynamics which have resulted in numerous adjustments from our last complete update two weeks ago.

Remember, for all of our "Bracketology" updates, the term "protected seed" refers to seeds 1 thru 4 in each region, and usual favorable geographic placement in the sub-regional round.

As usual, we break down the projected matchups by each region, beginning with the sub-regionals, which this season will begin on Thursday, March 20, with the Dayton "First Four" games played on March 18 and 19. Straight-up records and RPI as of Sunday, February 23 are included.

By the way, Selection Sunday is just three weeks away.

EAST REGIONAL (New York City)

At Buffalo...

1 Syracuse (SUR 25-2, RPI-8) vs. 16 Southern (16-11, 186)/Robert Morris (18-11, 128)...After back-to-back losses to BC and Duke following some hair-rasing escapes vs. Pitt and NC State, the 'Cuse is definitely wobbling on the top line and is very close to dropping to a No. 2 seed. Either way, we expect Jim Boeheim's bunch to make an appearance in nearby Buffalo for the sub-regionals. And, whaddya know, here again is Robert Morris, once again taking charge in the Northeast, and the home team of the Pittsburgh Airport could even bypass a 16 vs. 16 play-in game if it keeps winning, as it has done for six straight and 13 of its last 14 games. Southern U continues to set the pace over Alabama State in the SWAC, which will go upscale for this year's conference tourney in the Houston Rockets' Toyota Center.

8 New Mexico (21-5, 21) vs. 9 St. John's (18-10, 53)...Any doubts about New Mexico possibly missing the field have been all but been eliminated after last Saturday's thumping of San Diego State. The Lobos might warrant a better seed than an 8 by Selection Sunday, but we still think the Mountain West is only a 2-bid league unless an upset occurs in the conference tourney at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas. Even with Saturday's close loss at Villanova, the recent trajectory of St. John's has it safely into the field of 68, especially with so many bubble teams struggling in recent weeks.

At San Diego...

4 Louisville (23-4, 29) vs. 13 Delaware (20-9, 64)...After Saturday's last-second win at Cincinnati, Louisville is looking very good for a protected seed, although in this update we're not sending the Cards anywhere near their home base for the sub-regionals. Delaware's hold on the top seed in the fast-approaching Colonial Tourney is becoming a bit tenuous after recent losses to Towson and Drexel, which are going to believe (along with William & Mary) that they have a real shot in the CAA tourney, which in March moves north on I-95 from its traditional home at the Richmond Coliseum to the Baltimore Arena, former home of the NBA's Baltimore Bullets during the days of the original Gus Johnson as well as Earl Monroe. That venue, however, might be a plus for nearby Towson, located in the Baltimore 'burbs.

5 Ohio State (22-6, 17) vs. 12 Harvard (22-4, 52)...Thad Matta's bunch has steadied since a January slump and won six of its last seven, but we still have the Buckeyes outside of protected seed territory (which could mean the difference between closer-by Milwaukee or Buffalo, and a much longer trip to a place like San Diego, for the sub-regionals...which might be the first time anyone would prefer trips to Milwaukee or Buffalo over San Diego). Harvard was recently challenged by Yale in the Ivies, but the Eli took a tumble last weekend vs. Columbia, and are at risk of losing again this weekend to either Princeton or Penn and perhaps removing the showdown aspect of their March 7 matchup vs. Tommy Amaker's Crimson.

At Raleigh...

2 Villanova (24-3, 4) vs. 15 Vermont (19-9, 111)...Were it not for Creighton and those two puzzling blowout losses to the Bluejays, Jay Wright's Wildcats would probably be projected onto the top line. Which they still might reach if they win the Big East Tourney and a side such as Syracuse slips another time or two. Meanwhile, Vermont will likely be entering the fast-approaching America East Tourney as the likely top seed. The home team of Strat-o-Matic headquarters on Long Island, Stony Brook, looms as the top challenger for the event that now holds it preliminary rounds at the Albany Great Danes' SEFCU Arena before the highest remaining seed hosts the title game on March 15.

7 Texas (20-7, 24) vs. 10 Saint Joseph's (19-7, 39)...A couple of heavy losses over the past week at Iowa State and Kansas have dropped Texas a couple of lines and make it unlikely that the Longhorns can qualify as a protected seed and a chance at the desired San Antonio sub-regional. As for St. Joe's, we are now projecting the Hawks comfortably into the field and away from the cut line after ascending to second place in the rugged A-10 and winning 15 of their last 18. All a sweet redemption for HC Phil Martelli, who was feeling some heat on Hawk Hill not long ago.

At Milwaukee...

3 Michigan (19-7, 18) vs. 14 Iona (19-8, 78)...Last Sunday's impressive comeback win over Michigan State solidified John Beilein's Wolverines into protected seed territory, as we expect the Selection Committee to grant a pretty wide berth to Big Ten members. Surging in recent weeks has been Iona, which has moved clear form the pack in the Metro-Atlantic and will likely enter the conference tourney in Springfield, MA as the top seed and favorite. Jim Baron's Golden Griffs from Canisius, the "Pollsters" from Quinnipiac, and the Jaspers from Manhattan (which is actually in The Bronx!) are all going to think they have a real shot in that event, too.

6 UConn (21-6, 26) vs. 11 Cal (18-9, 49)...After moving within sight of protected seed territory, UConn took a step backward on Sunday when losing at home vs. SMU. Still, the Huskies look safely into the field after last year's academic-related ineligibility. Cal does not have a lot of room for error after several losses over the past five weeks, but the Feb. 1 win over Arizona is a nice chit to cash on Selection Sunday, and the Bears avoided a potentially-disastrous weekend at home by handling Southern Cal on Sunday after absorbing a beating at the hands of UCLA on Thursday night.

SOUTH REGIONAL (Memphis, TN)

At Orlando...

1 Florida (25-2, 3) vs. 16 Davidson (17-11, 150)...There is not much intrigue about the Gators' sub-regional destination, almost assuredly to be Orlando, and results elsewhere over the past couple of weeks suggest it is not too far-fetched to assume Billy Donovan's team could end up as the number one seed in the entire Big Dance. Stay tuned. The SoCon race has had more turns than Sunday's Dayton 500, but as the regular-season checkered flag gets ready to fall, familiar Davidson is back in front after a recent surge that has seen the Wildcats win 10 in a row.

8 Kansas State (18-9, 42) vs. 9 Xavier (18-9, 57)...Both of these sides have hit some bumps lately but still look to be clear of the cut line...at least for now. Bruce Weber's K-State has been alternating wins and losses for almost a month and can probably back into the field of 68 continuing the same pattern, although the Wildcats' seed could continue to fall. Much the same for the "X" men, but keep in mind that Chris Mack's Musketeers have a pretty tricky slate before we even get to the Big East Tourney, with surging St. John's and league leaders Villanova and Creighton still to come. Yes, there is still time for Xavier to play itself into some serious bubble trouble.

At Milwaukee...

4 Saint Louis (25-2, 11) vs. 13 Stephen F. Austin (25-2, 71)...At this point, we don't think there is any doubt that Saint Louis will advance into the Dance as a protected seed, as the Billikens have not lost in almost three months (and that was vs. still-unbeaten Wichita State) and lead the well-regarded A-10. Even more prohibitively favored in its conference tourney will be SFA, which is in the process of running away with the Southland's regular-season crown for new HC Brad Underwood. We were saying the same things about the Nacogdoches bunch last year at this time, however, before the 'Jacks got KO'd in the conference tourney, which was won by Northwestern State. In the same scenario this March, could SFA merit some at-large consideration?

5 Iowa (19-7, 34) vs. 12 Green Bay (22-5, 56)...We have had Iowa hovering in the 4-6 seed range since New Year's and simply split the difference with the Hawkeyes, who would probably be thrilled to have a sub-regional assignment in Milwaukee. So, of course, would nearby Green Bay, which has overcome a few bumpy efforts to assume command of the Horizon League. The Packers, er, Fighting Phoenix, will get to host the conference tourney in the quarterfinal and semifinal rounds if they hold on to the reg.-season crown, and then would get play again at home for the conference tourney title if they reach the final round.

At Raleigh...

2 Duke (22-6, 9) vs. 15 Boston U (20-9, 86)...Interestingly, it was not long ago that there was concern about selling tickets for the sub-regional at PNC Arena if no Carolina-based ACC teams would be participating, as was originally expected. Now, however, with nearby Duke appearing solid for a protected seed, and red-hot North Carolina knocking on the door as well, the local ticket scalpers are smiling. Homecourt edge in the Patriot League Tourney is probably going to be decided between loop newcomer Boston U and D.C.-based American U, which sits just across the street from where Norah O'Donnell used to work at the NBC News Washington bureau before she moved to CBS.

7 Stanford (18-8, 41) vs. 10 George Washington (20-7, 30)...The significance of Stanford's win over UCLA last Saturday goes beyond moving the Cardinal a good distance on the safe side of the Big Dance cut line. It also likely means that HC Johnny Dawkins, widely rumored to need an NCAA bid to save his job, can finally start breathing a bit easier. It would also intrigue greatly if Stanford drew the same sub-regional pod as Dawkins' alma mater Duke, and mentor Coach K, as those sorts of things often happen in the NCAA Tournament. As for George Washington, it could have been in a some bubble trouble had it a lost last week at Richmond, but the Colonials survived. Still, with losses in three of four, Mike Lonergan's crew is advised to stop the bleeding quickly before Selection Sunday.

At San Antonio...

3 Creighton (23-4, 7) vs. 14 Georgia State (20-7, 95)...It was a bit too close for comfort on Sunday vs. Seton Hall, but another escape by Creighton increases the likelihood Doug McDermott ends his college career with a protected seed in the Big Dance. One team the big boys might want to avoid is Georgia State, with an explosive backcourt featuring HC Ron Hunter's son R.J., plus a slew of higher-profile D-I transfers. The Panthers have run away with the Sun Belt's regular-season crown, but will need to survive the conference tourney in New Orleans to advance to the Dance, or settle for an NIT berth instead.

6 Oklahoma (20-7, 23) vs. 11 Colorado (20-8, 27)...Colorado did not help itself with that Saturday blowout loss vs. Arizona, but the Buffs still have enough cushion to stay on the right side of the cut line. Besides, it's not as if there is a surge of contenders moving off of the bubble to steal a bid in recent weeks. Lon Kruger's Oklahoma has no such worries, and would surely like a sub-regional assignment in San Antonio, probably the most convenient available site for OU. If this matchup were to occur, it would pit old Big 8/12 rivals.

MIDWEST REGIONAL (Indianapolis, IN)

At St. Louis...

1 Wichita State (29-0, 9) vs. 16 NC Central (21-5, 126)...We continue to hear some chatter about Wichita not being worthy of a regional number one seed. Not only do we think the Shockers will land on the top line, we think they could even lose in "Arch Madness" in St. Louis and probably stay a number one seed. Have the experts forgotten that Gregg Marshall's team made the Final Four last spring? The MEAC reps often get sent to one of the 16 vs. 16 play-in games at Dayton, but if league leader NC Central should win the conference tourney, we suspect the loop will miss the First Four entirely this season. The conference tourney begins March 10 at the venerable Norfolk Scope, long ago one of the home courts for Julius Erving and the ABA Virginia Squires.

8 SMU (22-6, 45) vs. 9 VCU (20-7, 25)...The last time SMU made the Big Dance, Bill Clinton had been living in the White House for only a couple of months (1993), and the Ponies were representing the long-forgotten Southwest Conference. But vet HC Larry Brown knows his way around the NCAA Tourney and can begin to make reservations after Sunday's win over UConn. VCU has taken a few road losses lately which have likely pushed its seed down into the dreaded 8-9 range, where a number-one seed almost surely awaits in the following round of the sub-regional.

At Spokane...

4 Michigan State (22-6, 16) vs. 13 Toledo (23-4, 28)...Frankly, we were considering moving Michigan State out of protected seed territory after Sunday's loss at Michigan, as the Spartans continue to alternate wins and losses for the fifth straight week. Tom Izzo's team hasn't been fully healthy that entire stretch, and if those nagging injuries continue to persist, MSU could drop another line or two. As for Toledo, it will be favored in the fast-approaching MAC Tourney at Cleveland, which seems to annually have a thrill-packed title game. A team to watch in that event might be Bobby Hurley's Buffalo Bulls, who have the look of a spoiler and own perhaps the loop's top weapon in PF Javon McCrea.

5 North Carolina (20-7, 22) vs. 12 BYU (20-10, 36)/Missouri (18-9, 44)...We are getting real close to putting the Tar Heels into a protected seed slot and perhaps ticket Roy Williams' bunch for the nearby Raleigh sub-regional. That is all in the cards if Carolina continues its sizzling recent form that sees it take nine straight wins into Wednesday's bloodbath vs. NC State. We're finally siding with ESPN's Joe Lunardi and relenting on BYU, whose November wins over Stanford and Texas have looked better as the season progresses. Of course, the Cougs can still make it easy on themselves and simply win the WCC's automatic bid in its conference tourney two weeks hence at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas. Missouri is one of several SEC teams that can't seem to win on the road and is in deep bubble trouble. A quick glimpse at the league table at the start of the week notes a stunning seven-way (!) tie for fourth place, all with 7-7 league SU records!

At St. Louis...

2 Kansas (21-6, 1) vs. 15 New Mexico State (21-8, 79)...Kansas continues to cut it close at times (such as last week's 1-point escape at Texas Tech) and lurks just off of the top line, but the St. Louis sub-regional still seems a safe bet. These games will be played in the Scottrade Center, home of the NHL's St. Louis Blues and the Missouri Valley "Arch Madness" Tourney, and not the Edward Jones Dome, so we wonder if there are going to be enough tickets for the crush of Jayhawks fans, who have numbered more than 20,000 alone for games played at the Rams' dome in March from past years. What is left of the WAC has turned into a more interesting race than many expected, with Dick Hunsaker's Utah Valley State challenging consensus favorite and recent familiar Big Dance face New Mexico State. Tickets are very available for a tourney to be held in front of a smattering of fans at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.

7 Memphis (21-6, 37) vs. 10 Providence (18-10, 62)...Memphis has missed some of its chances to move into protected seed territory, and efforts like last Saturday's against lowly Temple make us wonder if the Tigers are even good enough for a number seven. The American reps, however, will likely be given plenty of respect by the Selection Committee. Providence is by no means clear of bubble trouble, but considering recent efforts by many in that clump of teams, the Friars have a leg up on most of those, especially when straightening out just in time after blowing a big halftime lead, then recovering, against Butler last Sunday.

At Buffalo...

3 Virginia (23-5, 15) vs. 14 Belmont (21-8, 61)...There was a point this season, as recently as late December, when we weren't even projecting Virginia into the field of 68. But nearly two months of steady performance suggests Tony Bennett's Cavs have to be taken seriously in March. One of these years, maybe Belmont finally wins one of these sub-regional games, although Rick Byrd's Bruins have only come close once (vs. Duke in 2009) in six previous Big Dance tries since 2006. Belmont will be favored in the upcoming OVC Tourney in Nashville, played across town from campus and the Bruins' Mike Curb Center at the Municipal Auditorium, which looks as if it landed in Music City from an episode of the The Jetsons.

6 UCLA (21-6, 14) vs. 11 Arkansas (18-9, 65)...UCLA was positioning itself into protected seed territory (and a likely sub-regional assignment in San Diego) until last Saturday's loss at Stanford. The Bruins can still climb to a three or four seed, but they'll need to finish fast to do so. Speaking of finishing fast, Mike Anderson's Arkansas is one SEC side that is threatening to break from that logjam in the middle of the pack, as the Razorbacks have won five of their last six entering a crucial showdown on Thursday at Kentucky.

WEST REGIONAL (Anaheim)

at San Diego...

1 Arizona (25-2, 2) vs. 16 Weber State (13-7, 163)/VMI (17-10, 222)...Arizona, now minus injured key cog F Brandon Ashley, has looked a bit unsteady at times lately. But after sweeping last week's challenging road trip at Utah and Colorado (and thumping the Buffs in the process), we can still project the Cats on the top line. Regional observers believe the Big Sky is a bit down this season, and Weber State is only a provisional favorite for what should be a wide-open tourney that begins in a few weeks. The Sky champ is likely to be involved in one of the 16 vs. 16 play-in games at Dayton. So is the Big South champ, with VMI (which reached the Elite Eight back in 1976) and Scott Cherry's High Point looking like the teams to beat in the conference tourney.

8 Gonzaga (23-6, 31) vs. 9 Pitt (20-7, 33)...Both of these sides have lost a little bit of luster in recent weeks. Especially Pitt, which was on the wrong end for the fifth time in its last seven games on Sunday vs. Florida State. The Panthers have been dropped down the seeding ladder accordingly. Gonzaga is still likely to win the WCC regular-season crown, but serious contenders don't lose games to San Diego, as the Zags did last Saturday. These two look like candidates for the dreaded 8-9 seeds.

At Orlando...

4 Kentucky (21-6, 10) vs. 13 North Dakota State (21-6, 67)...There are only two sure Big Dance bids coming out of the SEC, and Kentucky is going to get one of them. A seed in the 3-4 range looks likely for Coach Cal's latest diaper dandies edition. Meanwhile, in the Summit, a topsy-turvy race has finally developed some definition with North Dakota State emerging as the team to beat. The Mastodons of IPFW, Joe Scott's Pioneers of Denver, and the local favorite South Dakota State Jackrabbits will be other teams to watch in the upcoming league tourney at Sioux Falls, SD.

5 Cincinnati (24-4, 19) vs. 12 Oregon (18-8, 39)/Baylor (18-9, 39)...Mick "The Ghost" Cronin and his Cincinnati Bearcats might warrant a seed better than a five, but we have simply moved them down a line after Saturday's American showdown vs. Louisville. Still time for Cincy to move into a number three or four slot. We had counted both Oregon and Baylor out of the mix as recently as our last update. But extreme fluidity on the bubble and recent surges by the Ducks (three straight wins) and Bears (four straight wins, including a romp last Saturday at West Virginia) have put them both back in the mix.

At Milwaukee...

2 Wisconsin (22-5, 5) vs. 15 UCSB (18-7, 103)...A couple of weeks ago we had moved Wisconsin out of a protected seed, which is extra-important for the Badgers this season considering the chance to play in nearby Milwaukee during the first weekend. But a recent surge, capped by Saturday's rousing win at Iowa, has Wiscy and the pride of Chester, PA, HC Bo Ryan, now up to a two line in our projections. Have a hoagie, Bo! UC Irvine's loss Saturday at Cal State Northridge has allowed Bob Williams' UCSB Gauchos to move back into pole position for the upcoming Big West Tourney at the Anaheim Ducks' Honda Center. The team with the best chance to reach the Dance this season currently with a sub-.500 mark, however, might be the Big West's recently-surging Long Beach State, sitting at 12-14 after wins in 8 of its last 11 games. Watch these guys.

7 UMass (21-5, 13) vs. 10 Arizona State (19-8, 32)...After hitting a few bumps in late January and then getting dumped at home by underdog George Mason, UMass needed to bounce back against George Washington and VCU last week and the Minutemen did so, solidifying their spot in the field and (for the moment) likely staying out of the dreaded 8-9 seed slot. ASU is off a difficult week with losses at Colorado and Utah (the Sun Devils thumped in the latter) and could fall into some bubble trouble if the same thing happens later this week at home vs. Stanford and Cal. ASU's win a few weeks back vs. Arizona, however, is going to come in handy if needed on Selection Sunday.

At Spokane....

3 San Diego State (23-5, 20) vs. 14 Mercer (22-7, 73)...Losing a bit of gloss in recent weeks has been San Diego State, as losses at Wyoming and New Mexico have cost it a line in our latest projections. The Aztecs also can't play in the sub-regional on their own Viejas Arena court in San Diego. At the moment, Mercer holds a tiebreaker edge over pesky Florida Gulf Coast for homecourt edge in the Atlantic Sun Tourney, but that didn't help the Bears last season, as Andy Enfield's "Dunk City" caught an updraft at just the right time in the conference tourney. By the way, who will be the "Dunk City" of this March?

6 Iowa State (21-5, 12) vs. 11 Southern Miss (23-5, 35)...Fred Hoiberg's Cyclones have recovered from a January slump to win six of their last seven, though three of those are vs. lower-division TCU and Texas Tech sides. ISU has a case to make for a protected seed, but let's see how the Cyclones do in a difficult final stretch of their season with K-State, plus rejuvenated Baylor and Ok State, still to come before the Big 12 Tourney. As for Conference USA, it could be a 2 or 3-bid league, especially with the bubble in flux, but USM recovered from a pair of road defeats with a couple of impressive home wins last weekend, including comeback job vs. pesky UTEP, to suggest it might emerge from that scrum that will decide itself in the conference tourney at the Don Haskins Center in El Paso (edge to Tim Floyd's Miners) in a couple of weeks.

Last four byes: Cal, Colorado, Arkansas, Providence.

Last four in: BYU, Missouri, Oregon, Baylor.

Last four out: Minnesota, Georgetown, La Tech, Tennessee.

Next four out: Saint Mary's, LSU, Clemson, Dayton.