The Bum's January's NBA POD'S - Trends - Stats - News !

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Friday

January 17, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS (3.46 ppg) since Mar 25, 2011 with at most one day of rest after a win on the road in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Clippers are 12-0 OU (12.38 ppg) since Feb 21, 2004 on the road off a win in which they trailed by 10+ points as a home favorite.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Lakers are 0-10 OU (-14.40 ppg) since Apr 09, 2010 on the road after Pau Gasol was the Lakers’ high scorer on the road.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Spurs are 0-11 ATS (-6.23 ppg) since Jan 11, 2013 with at least one day of rest after a win in which they made fewer baskets than their opponent.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Clippers are 9-0 ATS (10.22 ppg) since Mar 07, 2011 after Blake Griffin played more than 40 minutes in a home win.

-- The Trail Blazers are 10-0 OU (14.95 ppg) since Feb 04, 2013 on the road after Lamarcus Aldridge had a double double the last two games, after a win.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Top Action

January 17, 2014


LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (27-13) at NEW YORK KNICKS (15-24)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Clippers -4 & 202

The slumping Knicks look to get back on track when they host the red-hot Clippers, winners of four straight, on Friday night.

New York has allowed 112.5 PPG on 50.3% FG during its two-game losing skid, which is surprising considering it gives up only 98.7 PPG (10th in NBA) on 46.0% FG (22nd in league) this season. The recent poor defensive performances will be trouble for New York as the Clippers are averaging 105.9 PPG (3rd in NBA) on 46.5% FG (5th in league) with 24.1 APG (4th in NBA). These teams met earlier in the season on Nov. 27, when L.A. defeated the Knicks at home 93-80 while covering a nine-point spread. That makes the Clippers 12-5 SU (7-9-1 ATS) in this series since 2005. This season, L.A. has been a solid road wager at 12-7 ATS (9-10 SU), while New York is a dreadful 5-14 ATS (7-12 SU) at Madison Square Garden, including 0-7 ATS with a minus-11.8 PPG margin when hosting Western Conference teams. But since 1996, the Knicks are 24-8 ATS (75%) after two consecutive double-digit road losses, but Los Angeles is 22-11 ATS (67%) after allowing 105+ points over the past two seasons. SG Pablo Prigioni (toe) and PFs Kenyon Martin (ankle) and Amar’e Stoudemire (ankle) are all likely to miss Friday's game, while SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (wrist) is questionable. PF Hedo Turkoglu could make his Clippers debut after signing with the team earlier this week, but PG Chris Paul (shoulder) remains out indefinitely.

Los Angeles is great offensively, but the club is average in both defense (100.1 PPG allowed, 14th in NBA) and rebounding (43.2 RPG, 16th in league). The Clippers were delivered a blow when they found out Chris Paul was out with a shoulder injury, but they have gone 5-1 without him this season, including four straight victories where they have averaged a hefty 116.0 PPG on 47% FG (39% threes). PG Darren Collison (9.5 PPG, 2.7 APG) has been more than up to the task of being the starter as he has averaged 16.6 PPG and 7.2 APG in five starts since Paul was injured. The Knicks have trouble defending point guards, so Collison could be in for another huge night. SG J.J. Redick (16.8 PPG, 39% threes) recently returned from a fractured hand that kept him out of action for the entire month of December, and he has been outstanding with 26.0 PPG on 62% FG (8-of-13 threes) in the two games. He had 15 points in the first meeting between these teams, and averages 11.0 PPG on 47% FG (38% threes) in 21 career meetings with New York. With the Knicks lacking depth inside, PF Blake Griffin (22.3 PPG, 10.3 RPG) could be in for another monster performance in this series where he's averaged a double-double (23.0 PPG, 11.3 RPG) in six meetings. Over the past 10 games this season, Griffin has been scorching hot with 26.6 PPG (55% FG), 9.3 RPG, 4.0 APG and 1.3 SPG. His free throw shooting has improved significantly this season as he is now up to 71.2%, which is considerably higher than his career rate of 62.8% FT.

The Knicks have struggled offensively all season with 95.3 PPG (6th-fewest in NBA) on 43.7% FG (7th-worst in league), and are in the midst of a J.R. Smith circus. Smith (11.4 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 3.0 APG) has logged just 26.7 MPG in the three games he’s played over the past five contests, averaging 12.0 PPG on 52% FG, but he has been benched twice for conduct detrimental to the team. Smith has been miserable against L.A. in the past two seasons, tallying just 10.0 PPG on 8-of-38 FG (21%) and 3-of-14 threes in three meetings. SF Carmelo Anthony (26.1 PPG, 8.7 RPG) has been just the opposite, lighting up the Clippers for 42 points and eight rebounds in his lone meeting against them last season, and following that up with 27 points and 10 boards in the Nov. 27 meeting. Anthony has continued to play well for New York this season too, scoring 28 points and grabbing seven rebounds in Thursday's loss to the Pacers to give him 25.4 PPG (48% threes) and 8.6 RPG in January. He will need to dominate his matchup with Jared Dudley if the Knicks are going to be able to hang with the high-scoring Clippers offense. C Tyson Chandler (7.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 1.5 BPG) will need to do a good job defending the rim as Blake Griffin will be attacking the basket frequently. Chandler had 13 points and nine rebounds against the Pacers on Thursday, but was constantly struggling to stop Indiana at the rim. Chandler had six points and 11 boards in the Nov. 27 loss, and has averaged 10.1 PPG (61% FG) and 8.7 RPG in 22 career meetings with Los Angeles.

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (29-9) at SAN ANTONIO SPURS (31-8)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: San Antonio -5.5 & 212.5

Two red-hot teams meet up in San Antonio on Friday night when the Spurs host the Trail Blazers.

Portland has won three straight games (2-1 ATS) and it continues to score the ball at will this season with an NBA-best 109.1 PPG (1st in NBA) on 39.7% threes (2nd in league). The Blazers are averaging 46.7 RPG (2nd in NBA) as well as 24.7 APG (3rd in league). San Antonio, however, has won six in a row (3-3 ATS) and has similarly gaudy rankings with 104.7 PPG (5th in NBA) on a league-best 39.9% threes with 25.3 APG (2nd in NBA). The Spurs are much better defensively too, as they allow just 96.6 PPG (5th in NBA) compared to Portland’s 102.8 PPG (26th in NBA). When these teams met for the first time this season on Nov. 2, the Blazers were 2.5-point home underdogs and shot 56% FG, 40% threes and 90% FT in a 115-105 victory. That marks Portland's third straight win in this series, which includes a 136-106 drubbing when it last visited San Antonio last March. The Blazers are 13-5 SU and 12-6 ATS in the past 18 meetings in this series, and are 14-5 ATS after covering two of their past three games this season. However, the Spurs are 53-26 ATS (67%) versus good ball-handling teams (14 or less turnovers per game) in the past three seasons. Both SG Danny Green (hand) and C Tiago Splitter (shoulder) remain out indefinitely for San Antonio, while Portland enters this matchup injury-free.

Portland has won three straight games thanks in large part to the excellent play of PF LaMarcus Aldridge (23.8 PPG, 11.2 RPG). Aldridge has played at an MVP level this season and in the win over Cleveland on Wednesday night, Aldridge finished with 32 points, 18 rebounds and four assists, marking his fifth double-double in the past seven games where he's averaged 25.3 PPG and 13.0 RPG. His matchup with Tim Duncan will be crucial in this one, but Aldridge has gotten the better of the Spurs recently, averaging a robust 25.2 PPG on 59% FG in the past six meetings, including 24 points, seven boards and four assists in the Nov. 2 victory. PG Damian Lillard (21.6 PPG, 5.7 APG) scored 25 points with seven rebounds and seven assists in that win versus San Antonio and is now averaging 27.3 PPG (51% FG, 46% threes) with 7.0 APG and 5.0 RPG in his four career meetings with the Spurs. Lillard was lights out against the Cavaliers on Wednesday too, finishing with 28 points (10-of-20 FG, 5-of-10 threes), six rebounds and five assists in 36 minutes. The defense of C Robin Lopez (10.2 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 1.4 BPG) is ultimately going to be the only chance the Blazers have to win the game. For a team that plays such poor defense, Lopez is an excellent rim defender. He works as hard as anybody in the league and he has held this team together on that side of the ball. Lopez had a solid game (12 points, 6 rebounds, 2 blocks) in the win over the Spurs this season. SF Nicolas Batum (13.3 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 5.7 APG) had a triple-double in the first meeting between these teams with 11 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists, but has not enjoyed his six career visits to AT&T Center, averaging just 5.3 PPG on 35% FG with 4.7 RPG and 1.0 APG.

The Spurs have won six straight contests and are 9-1 SU (5-5 ATS) during their 10-game streak of scoring more than 100 points. During the run, they are averaging 109.4 PPG on 52% FG and 41% threes. PG Tony Parker (18.1 PPG, 6.4 APG) has been excellent over this 10-game stretch, averaging 19.3 PPG (54% FG) and 7.1 APG. In the first meeting between these teams, Parker had 17 points, nine assists and five rebounds, but needs to do a better job of keeping Damian Lillard out of the paint. SG Marco Bellinelli (10.9 PPG, 50% threes) had 19 points (8-of-12 FG, 3-of-3 threes) and four assists in 27 minutes in that Nov. 2 defeat in Portland, and he has been playing well over the past five games too, scoring at least a dozen points in all five contests and averaging 15.2 PPG on 53% FG (8-of-16 threes). PF Tim Duncan (14.7 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 1.9 BPG) has continued to play at an All-Star level this season despite being 37 years old. He had 24 points and seven boards in the first meeting between these two teams and is averaging 17.8 RPG, 11.0 RPG and 2.0 BPG over the past six games. The Spurs will need that type of aggressiveness on the glass with Aldridge coming to town. SG Manu Ginobili (12.6 PPG, 4.6 APG) has been playing well this season after appearing to be sluggish in the playoffs last season. In two games since returning from injury, he's averaging 13.5 PPG. His scoring punch off the bench will be crucial for the Spurs to hang with the fast-paced Blazers offense.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday Tips

January 16, 2014


Kings at Grizzlies - 8:05 PM EST

Sacramento: 14-23 SU, 16-20-1 ATS
Memphis: 19-19 SU, 17-20-1 ATS

The Grizzlies have woken up from the doldrums recently by winning four straight games to climb back to the .500 mark. Memphis returns to FedEx Forum for a pair of games starting Friday against Sacramento, as the Grizzlies go for their second victory over the Kings this season. Back in mid-November, Memphis completed a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS trek through California, which included a 97-86 triumph at Sacramento as 2 ½-point favorites, the fifth straight win in the series.

The Kings picked up a solid wire-to-wire victory at Minnesota as 9 ½-point underdogs on Wednesday, 111-108. Sacramento is in the midst of a six-game road trip, as Mike Malone's club has won four of their past five contests to get out of the Pacific Division cellar. The Kings are scoring in bunches on the highway recently, posting seven consecutive 'overs' on the road, while going 11-3 to the 'over' in the last 14 games overall.

Blazers at Spurs - 8:35 PM EST

Portland: 29-9 SU, 22-16 ATS
San Antonio: 31-8 SU, 20-19 ATS

The Blazers head back on the highway after sweeping a three-game homestand against the Magic, Celtics, and Cavaliers. Portland was in danger of losing to Cleveland on Wednesday, but broke a 96-96 tie late with a 12-0 run to cash as 10 ½-point favorites and pull off the season sweep of the Cavs. Terry Stotts' team will do the Texas Triangle over the next few days, as the Blazers won their home opener this season against the Spurs, 115-105 as 2 ½-point underdogs. Since the start of December, the Blazers have won six of nine road games, while putting together a 6-1 ATS record this season as an away 'dog.

San Antonio is rolling with a six-game winning streak, as Gregg Popovich's club has scored at least 100 points in 11 consecutive contests. The Spurs failed to cash in each of their last two wins over the Jazz and Pelicans, but the defending Western Conference champions are 4-1 ATS this season when coming off consecutive ATS losses. San Antonio is riding a nice 'over' run at home since mid-November, sailing 'over' the total in 13 of the previous 16 games at the AT&T Center.

Mavericks at Suns - 9:05 PM EST

Dallas: 23-17 SU, 22-18 ATS
Phoenix: 22-16 SU, 25-12-1 ATS

The Mavericks squandered a 17-point lead with less than five minutes left in Wednesday's shocking loss to the Clippers, as Dallas tries to get on track at Phoenix. Rick Carlisle's club did cover as 4 ½-point road underdogs, the sixth cover in the past seven away contests, while going 'under' the total in four of the last five on the highway. The last time the Mavs headed to the Valley back in December, Dallas fell to Phoenix, 123-108 as 2 ½-point underdogs, while allowing 38 points in the opening quarter. Phoenix shot lights out in that victory, nailing 15 three-pointers and converting 20-of-22 free throws.

The Suns snapped a three-game skid after holding off the struggling Lakers on Wednesday, 121-114, but Phoenix failed to cover as 10 ½-point favorites. Since the start of January, Jeff Hornacek's squad has won just three of eight games, which coincides with the loss of leading scorer Eric Bledsoe to a knee injury. However, Phoenix has scorched the books off an ATS loss, putting together an 8-2 ATS record when coming off a non-cover.

Warriors at Thunder - 9:35 PM EST

Golden State: 25-15 SU, 18-20-2 ATS
Oklahoma City: 29-10 SU, 21-18 ATS

One of these two teams (if not, both) will likely qualify for the Western Conference Finals this season, as the Thunder and Warriors have exchanged a pair of one-point home victories. Andre Iguodala's fall-away jumper on the buzzer lifted Golden State past Oklahoma City, 116-115 on November 14 in Oakland, but the Thunder cashed as five-point 'dogs. Two weeks later, the Thunder staved off the Warriors in overtime, 113-112, as Golden State took the money as 7 ½-point 'dogs.

The Warriors head back on the highway after finishing off a 6-1 post-Christmas road trip against Eastern Conference foes. Mark Jackson's team will look to get back on track after dropping a 123-116 contest to the Nuggets on Wednesday, as Golden State has won six of its past seven games off a defeat dating back to the start of December. The Thunder are playing with no rest following Thursday's comeback victory at Houston, as OKC is 1-1 SU/ATS this season at home on the second of a back-to-back, which includes a 104-98 setback to Toronto as 10 ½-point favorites in late December.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

LA Clippers at New York
The Knicks play host to the Clippers tonight with LA coming off a 129-127 win over Dallas and carrying a 1-4 ATS record in its last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. New York is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (+4). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JANUARY 17

Game 801-802: Chicago at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.941; Washington 124.193
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 9 1/2; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Miami at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 124.281; Philadelphia 111.648
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 12 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 10; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-10); Over

Game 805-806: Minnesota at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 125.309; Toronto 125.408
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+2); Over

Game 807-808: LA Clippers at New York (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 119.270; New York 122.713
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4); Under

Game 809-810: Charlotte at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.371; Orlando 110.009
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 3 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 1; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-1); Under

Game 811-812: LA Lakers at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 109.322; Boston 113.302
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+7); Over

Game 813-814: Utah at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.476; Detroit 116.071
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 815-816: Sacramento at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 118.825; Memphis 122.388
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+6); Under

Game 817-818: Portland at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.904; San Antonio 130.527
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 213
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6); Over

Game 819-820: Dallas at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.631; Phoenix 117.252
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 211
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1); Under

Game 821-822: Cleveland at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.124; Denver 123.719
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 10 1/2; 221
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6 1/2); Over

Game 823-824: Golden State at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 126.494; Oklahoma City 123.949
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 2 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1 1/2; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+1 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, January 17

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CHICAGO (18 - 19) at WASHINGTON (18 - 19) - 1/17/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 57-73 ATS (-23.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 66-51 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHICAGO is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 312-372 ATS (-97.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 119-158 ATS (-54.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (27 - 11) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 25) - 1/17/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
MIAMI is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-56 ATS (-23.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (18 - 20) at TORONTO (19 - 18) - 1/17/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (27 - 13) at NEW YORK (15 - 24) - 1/17/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games this season.
NEW YORK is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (16 - 24) at ORLANDO (10 - 29) - 1/17/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 51-69 ATS (-24.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 22-45 ATS (-27.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 52-68 ATS (-22.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (14 - 25) at BOSTON (14 - 26) - 1/17/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 54-68 ATS (-20.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 24-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 175-217 ATS (-63.7 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (13 - 27) at DETROIT (16 - 22) - 1/17/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (14 - 23) at MEMPHIS (19 - 19) - 1/17/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 75-56 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (29 - 9) at SAN ANTONIO (31 - 8) - 1/17/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 123-94 ATS (+19.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 100-76 ATS (+16.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 419-351 ATS (+32.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (23 - 17) at PHOENIX (22 - 16) - 1/17/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 69-52 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 156-119 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 433-366 ATS (+30.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 141-105 ATS (+25.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (14 - 25) at DENVER (20 - 18) - 1/17/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
DENVER is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Friday nights this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (25 - 15) at OKLAHOMA CITY (29 - 10) - 1/17/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 72-58 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 65-49 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 17

Hot teams
-- Clippers won six of last seven games (8-4 AF).
-- Toronto won three of its last four games (5-1 last six HF).
-- Washington won four of its last six games (1-3 last four HF). Bulls won six of their last seven games (6-5 AU).
-- Pistons won last two games, after losing previous seven.
-- Memphis won five of last six games (8-2 last 10 HF). Sacramento won four of its last five games (4-2 last six AU).
-- Portland won five of its last seven games (6-2 AU). San Antonio won last six games, covered three of last four at home.
-- Nuggets won six of their last seven games (4-8 HF).
-- Mavericks won three of their last four games (9-2 last 11 AU).
-- Warriors won 11 of last 13 games (0-3 vs spread last three).

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost last two games, by 10-28 points, after winning previous five games before that.
-- Orlando lost its last nine games (1-8 vs spread). Bobcats lost eight of last ten, covered one of last five games.
-- Miami lost its last three games, by 10-9-17 points (1-6 last seven AF) 76ers lost four of last five games.
-- Minnesota lost three of its last four games (2-4 last six AU).
-- Lakers lost 12 of their last 13 games (2-5 last seven AU). Celtics lost nine of last ten games (3-0 last three HF).
-- Jazz lost their last four road games.
-- Cavaliers lost seven of their last nine road games (7-10 AU).
-- Suns lost three of their last four games (6-2 last eight HF).
-- Thunder lost three of their last four games.

Series records
-- Clippers won last three games with Knicks, by 14-13-13 points.
-- Bobcats won three of last four games with Orlando.
-- 76ers lost 19 of last 20 games with Miami (9-7 vs spread last 16).
-- Raptors won eight of last nine games with Minnesota.
-- Bulls lost three of last four games with Washington.
-- Lakers won four of last five games with Boston.
-- Pistons lost eight of last nine games with Utah.
-- Kings lost nine of last ten games with Memphis.
-- Portland won 12 of last 16 games against the Spurs.
-- Nuggets won six of last eight games with Cleveland.
-- Suns won last two games with Dallas (2-14 in previous 16).
-- Thunder won eight of last ten games with Golden State.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Clipper games went over the total; six of last eight New York games stayed under.
-- Nine of last eleven Charlotte road games went over.
-- Five of last six Miami road games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Toronto home games went over total.
-- Last three Washington home games went over total.
-- Last four Boston home games stayed under the total.
-- Last eleven Detroit home games went over the total.
-- Last seven Sacramento road games wenr over total.
-- Six of last seven Portland road games went over total.
-- Last four Denver home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Dallas road games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Oklahoma City games stayed under.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, January 17

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of the LA Clippers last 13 games when playing on the road against New York
New York is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
Miami is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 2-19 SU in its last 21 games when playing Miami

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. ORLANDO
Charlotte is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Orlando is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Charlotte

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TORONTO
Minnesota is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-15 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 12 games
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Chicago
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

7:30 PM
UTAH vs. DETROIT
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing Utah
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

7:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. BOSTON
LA Lakers are 4-7-1 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. MEMPHIS
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
Portland is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 17 of San Antonio's last 24 games

9:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DENVER
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 14 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 14 games when playing at home against Dallas

9:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Golden State is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Golden State
Oklahoma City is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Golden State

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, January 17

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Trail Blazers at Spurs: What bettors need to know
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Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs (-6, 213.5)

The San Antonio Spurs own the best record in the Western Conference and are enjoying a six-game winning streak. The Portland Trail Blazers, who visit the Spurs on Friday, sit 1 1/2 games back in second place in the conference and have recovered from a rough patch with three straight victories. The Spurs are averaging 108.7 points during their winning streak and put up at least 100 in each of the last 10 games.

San Antonio’s recent scoring binge puts it right on the pace with the Trail Blazers, who lead the NBA in scoring at an average of 109.1 points. They put up 20 of their 108 in the last 5:24 on Wednesday to beat the Cleveland Cavaliers and used big fourth quarters to knock off Orlando and Boston as well on the 3-0 homestand. Portland gets a much more difficult test on the four-game road trip that begins with the Spurs and takes it through Dallas, Houston and Oklahoma City over five days.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, CSN Northwest (Portland), FSN Southwest (San Antonio)

LINE: The Spurs opened as 5.5-point faves and are now at -6. The total opened at 212.5 and has gone up to 213.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Portland (-11.5) - San Antonio (-14) + home court (-3) = San Antonio -5.5

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (29-9, 22-16 ATS): Portland hoists up more 3-pointers than all but one team in the league and even LaMarcus Aldridge got into the act on Wednesday, connecting from beyond the arc to spark the end-of-game surge. Aldridge got a little closer to the rim down the stretch and scored six straight points to give the Blazers the lead and cap off a 32-point, 18-rebound effort. “He knew it was winning time and I just felt like you could see him with the determination of making a play at the rim,” coach Terry Stotts told reporters. Aldridge is averaging 29.7 points and 13.3 boards over the last three games.

ABOUT THE SPURS (31-8, 20-19 ATS): San Antonio’s players are plenty familiar with “winning time” and coach Gregg Popovich gave Tony Parker the credit for holding the team together in a 109-105 victory over the Utah Jazz on Wednesday after Manu Ginobili and Tim Duncan had gone to the bench. Parker had 25 points and nine assists in the win and has put up at least 25 points in three of the last four contests. The win kicked off a four-game homestand, and the Spurs own a 16-5 record in their own building.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Trail Blazers are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
* Spurs are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 game versus the Northwest.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Blazers have taken the last three in the series, including a 136-106 rout in its last trip to San Antonio on Mar. 8.

2. Portland is 14-0 when holding its opponents under 100 points.

3. Ginobili is averaging 13.5 points in two games since returning from a hamstring injury.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, January 17

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Warriors at Thunder: What bettors need to know
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Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5, 207.5)

The Golden State Warriors nearly set an NBA record as the first team to sweep a seven-game road trip ending last week and are hoping to bring some of that magic back out when they travel to face the Oklahoma City Thunder in the opener of a two-game excursion on Friday. The Warriors fell at home on Wednesday after a long break but have won 11 of their last 13. The Thunder are coming off a strong performance in Houston.

Golden State and Oklahoma City have already played a pair of memorable games this season, with the Thunder earning a 113-112 overtime victory at home on Russell Westbrook’s buzzer-beater on Nov. 29 after Andre Iguodala’s buzzer-beater 15 days earlier had lifted the Warriors to a 116-115 win over the Thunder. Westbrook combined for 65 points in the two games but will not be around this time while recovering from knee surgery. Oklahoma City won’t need Westbrook if it can defend like it did in the second half in Houston on Thursday, when the Rockets totaled 19 points.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, CSN Bay Area (Golden State), FSN Oklahoma

LINE: The line opened with the Thunder as 1.5-point faves. The total opened at 207.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Golden State (-13) - Oklahoma City (-12.5) + home court (-3) = Oklahoma City -2.5

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (25-15, 18-20-2 ATS): Golden State built its 10-game winning streak on intensity on the defensive end and came away from Wednesday’s 123-116 loss to Denver upset with its effort. “Defensively we didn’t show up,” guard Stephen Curry told reporters. “We let (the Nuggets) get hot at the wrong times.” The Warriors don’t stand to gain much on the defensive end when guards MarShon Brooks and Jordan Crawford join the team but could get a big offensive boost off the bench. The two guards were acquired from the Boston Celtics in a three-team deal that sent away Toney Douglas and both players should join the team on Friday.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (29-10, 21-18 ATS): Oklahoma City had dropped three straight road games and looked well on its way to a fourth when it went into the half down 73-59 at Houston. The Thunder were a different team after the break, with Serge Ibaka blocking five shots in the contest and Reggie Jackson grabbing six steals en route to a 104-92 victory. Kevin Durant scored 36 points in the win - his fifth straight 30-plus outing - but was quick to credit the effort at the other end. “Our defense was the reason we won this game,” Durant told reporters. “We had to stay disciplined. Everyone played hard.”

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Warriors are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Thunder are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Curry has slumped to 25.5 percent from 3-point range over the last five games.

2. Durant is averaging 34.6 points in 11 games since Westbrook went down.

3. Golden State F David Lee has recorded four double-doubles in the last seven games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, January 17

Chicago at Washingto, 7:05 ET
Chicago: 15-5 ATS on Friday
Washington: 19-8 Under off 2 or more wins

Miami at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Miami: 8-0 ATS after losing 3 of last 4 games
Philadelphia: 6-21 ATS at home with total of 210 or more points

Minnesota at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Minnesota: 8-1 ATS off SU loss as a favorite
Toronto: 10-1 Over at home off an Under game

LA Clippers at New York, 7:05 ET
LA Clippers: 29-12 ATS as away favs of 3.5 to 6 points
New York: 0-7 ATS at home vs. WC opponent

Charlotte at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Charlotte: 13-28 ATS on Friday
Orlando: 19-8 Over when line is +3 to -3 points

LA Lakers at Boston, 7:35 ET
LA Lakers: 11-1 Under after a road loss
Boston: 14-4 Under after playing a home game

Utah at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Utah: 11-5 ATS at Detroit
Detroit: 15-4 Over at home

Sacramento at Mephis, 8:05 ET
Sacramento: 7-0 Over playing 3rd game in 4 nights
Memphis: 20-9 ATS as home favs of 6 or less points

Portland at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
Portland: 6-17 ATS away off a 10 or more point win
San Antonio: 13-5 Over after an ATS loss

Dallas at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Dallas: 23-11 Over revenging a road loss
Phoenix: 17-6 ATS as a dog this year

Cleveland at Denver, 9:05 ET
Cleveland: 1-10 ATS vs. WC opponents this year
Denver: 21-10 ATS at home after scoring 105 or more points

Golden State at Oklahoma City, 9:35 ET
Golden State: 16-4 Over in January road games last three years
OKC: 11-2 Over home vs. Pacific division opponents

[StarDust Bum]

January's Record

*****............. 19 - 15

DOUBLE PLAYS....11 - 9

TRIPLE PLAYS.....8 - 6 - 1


Friday, January 17

Game Score Status Pick Amount

L.A. Clippers - 7:00 PM ET New York +4 500 *****
New York - Under 202 500

Charlotte - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +1.5 500
Orlando - Over 188.5 500

Miami - 7:00 PM ET Philadelphia +10.5 500
Philadelphia - Over 210.5 500

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Toronto -1 500 *****
Toronto - Over 206.5 500

Chicago - 7:00 PM ET Chicago +5 500
Washington - Over 185.5 500

L.A. Lakers - 7:30 PM ET Boston -7 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Boston - Under 204.5 500

Utah - 7:30 PM ET Detroit -6.5 500
Detroit - Over 203.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Sacramento - 8:00 PM ET Sacramento +5.5 500
Memphis - Over 197 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Portland - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio -5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
San Antonio - Over 212.5 500

Cleveland - 9:00 PM ET Denver -7 500
Denver - Over 211 500

Dallas - 9:00 PM ET Phoenix +1.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Phoenix - Under 210 500

Golden State - 9:30 PM ET Golden State +1 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Oklahoma City - Over 205.5 500 *****

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Golden State at New Orleans
The Warrior bring their 13-11 road record to New Orleans tonight to face a Pelicans team that is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home games versus teams with a winning road mark. New Orleans is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+4). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, JANUARY 18

Game 501-502: Detroit at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.071; Washington 114.600
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 5 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+5 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: LA Clippers at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 120.113; Indiana 132.277
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 12; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-8 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Miami at Charlotte (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 118.412; Charlotte 116.954
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8; 195
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+8); Over

Game 507-508: Philadelphia at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 110.718; Chicago 114.941
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 8; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+8); Under

Game 509-510: Milwaukee at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 107.379; Houston 123.372
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 16; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 13 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-13 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Golden State at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 120.535; New Orleans 118.900
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 4; 202
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+4); Under

Game 513-514: Utah at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 119.311; Minnesota 124.908
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 11; 207
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+11); Under

Game 515-516: Portland at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 123.882; Dallas 120.445
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 1; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-1); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 18

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DETROIT (16 - 23) at WASHINGTON (19 - 19) - 1/18/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 66-52 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WASHINGTON is 312-373 ATS (-98.3 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (28 - 13) at INDIANA (31 - 7) - 1/18/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 76-111 ATS (-46.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
INDIANA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games this season.
INDIANA is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
INDIANA is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (28 - 11) at CHARLOTTE (17 - 24) - 1/18/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 52-69 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 43-57 ATS (-19.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 34-58 ATS (-29.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 36-54 ATS (-23.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (13 - 26) at CHICAGO (18 - 20) - 1/18/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 58-73 ATS (-22.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-6 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-6 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (7 - 31) at HOUSTON (26 - 15) - 1/18/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 268-206 ATS (+41.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 49-72 ATS (-30.2 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (25 - 16) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 23) - 1/18/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 146-194 ATS (-67.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (14 - 27) at MINNESOTA (18 - 21) - 1/18/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (30 - 9) at DALLAS (24 - 17) - 1/18/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 70-52 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 298-234 ATS (+40.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 434-366 ATS (+31.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, January 18

Detroit at Washingto, 7:05 ET
Detroit: 14-3 Over vs. teams that hit 36% or more 3-pointers
Washington: 10-4 ATS home without rest

LA Clippers at Indiana, 7:05 ET
LA Clippers: 20-9 ATS with revenge and allowed 100 or more points
Indiana: 14-2 Under as favs of 3.5 - 9.5 points

Miami at Charlotte, 7:35 ET
Miami: 11-5 ATS away without rest
Charlotte: 14-5 Under at home

Philadelphia at Chicaog, 8:05 ET
Philadelphia: 3-7 ATS without rest vs. opponent without rest
Chicago: 14-6 Under vs. teams that allow 99 or more points per game

Milwaukee at Houston, 8:05 ET
Milwaukee: 0-8 ATS as dogs of 10 or more points
Houston: 13-4 Under as favs of 10 or more points

Golden State at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Golden State: 11-5 Over away without rest
New Orleans: 3-8 ATS vs. Golden State

Utah at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Utah: 28-15 Under when total is 200 - 210 points
Minnesota: 1-7 ATS vs. Utah

Portland at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Portland: 10-1 Over when line is +3 to -3 points
Dallas: 11-4 ATS home vs. opponent without rest

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 18

Hot teams
-- Indiana won six of last seven games, covered nine of last ten at home. Clippers won last five games, are 13-7 vs spread on road.
-- Washington won last three games, by 14-17-3 points.
-- Bulls won six of last eight games (4-2 vs spread last six as F).
-- Rockets won five of their last seven games (4-6 last ten HF).
-- Utah is 5-3 in last eight games, covering four of last five.
-- Trailblazers won their last four games, are 12-7 vs spread on road. Dallas won/covered four of its last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Bobcats lost seven of last ten games (0-4 vs spread in last four when getting points). Miami snapped its three-game losing skid last night.
-- 76ers won/covered once in their last six games.
-- Bucks lost their last seven games (1-6 vs spread).
-- Minnesota won/covered once in its last five games.
-- Warriors lost three of their last four games. New Orleans lost its last seven games, but covered last three.

Series records
-- Clippers lost three of last four games with Indiana.
-- Washington won its last two games with Detroit, after losing previous seven; Pistons won three of last four visits here.
-- Bobcats lost their last 13 games with Miami (2-6 vs spread last 8).
-- 76ers lost three of last four games against Chicago.
-- Bucks are 3-2 in last five games vs Houston, winning last two here.
-- Jazz won 11 of its last 13 games with Minnesota.
-- Warriors won their last six games with New Orleans.
-- Mavericks won five of last six games with Portland.

Totals
-- Last six Clipper road games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-4 in Detroit's last thirteen road games.
-- Five of last seven Miami road games went over.
-- Four of last five Philly road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Six of last eight Minnesota home games went over.
-- Three of last four Golden State road games went over.
-- Eight of last eleven Portland road games went over.