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The Bum's January's College Basketball POD'S-Stats-Trends-News !

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  • #46
    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, January 6

    Pitt fell behind 19-4 in its ACC debut at NC State Saturday, won going away by 12; Panthers are are 13-1 with only three top 100 wins, by 21-9-12 points- they're forcing turnovers 19.8% of tine, holding opponents to 42.8% inside arc. Maryland is 10-5 with only one win by more than seven points- they have Allen back, so their depth at PG is improved.

    West Virginia beat Texas Tech twice LY, by 16-2 points; Mountaineers won Big X opener by 5 at TCU Saturday, game they never led by more than 8 points- it was their first win in three true road games. Tech was down 15 at half to unbeaten Iowa State Saturday, tied game in second half but lost by 11; they're 0-6 vs top 100 teams, 8-0 vs everyone else. West Virginia is currently #56.

    Appalachian State won eight of last ten games with Elon, but lost last two visits here, by 23-3 points; ASU is 4-9, but all four wins came vs non-D-I teams- they're 0-7 on road, with three of last five road losses by 8 or less points. Elon lost its last two games, is 5-7 vs D-I teams, but is 3-0 against teams outside the top 200, getting beat by 27-17-5 points.

    Canisius won nine of last 11 games with Marist, but lost two of its last three visits here (won by 12 LY); Griffins are 3-0 in MAAC but held on for dear life in 67-63 (-4) win at St Peter's Saturday, after leading by 24 late in first half. Red Foxes won last four games after 0-9 start; their last game was Thursday, so they've had two extra days to prepare for this.

    Chattanooga won 13 of last 15 games with Citadel, winning last two in this gym by total of six points; Moccasins won last three games by 5-6-9 points, winning 72-63 in SoCon opener at Furman. Citadel lost its last three games by 15-24-17 points; they're turning ball over 22.3% of time, shooting just 42% inside arc- they lost last six games with D-I teams.

    Furman won three of last four games with NC-Greensboro, winning last two visits here by 13-8 points; Paladins are 3-8 in last 11 games vs D-I teams- they're 2-5 in true road games, with wins vs teams #320/344 in country, out of 351. Spartans won at Va Tech, lost by four to NC State, but they're 3-8 in last eleven D-I games, turn ball ovber 22% of time.

    Quinnipiac survived 24 turnovers (-15) in 98-92 OT win over Iona LY in Virgin Islands, making 58.7% of shots inside arc before these teams were lweague rivals. Bobcats are 3-0 at home, winning by 10-3-4 points- this is their first home games in a month. Iona lost four of last five games but won 118-92 Saturday- they're #13 in countrey, making 41.3% on arc.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #47
      NCAAB

      Monday, January 6

      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      7:00 PM
      CANISIUS vs. MARIST
      Canisius is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      Canisius is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Marist
      Marist is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Canisius
      Marist is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Canisius

      7:00 PM
      IONA vs. QUINNIPIAC
      Iona is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
      Quinnipiac is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

      7:00 PM
      APPALACHIAN STATE vs. ELON
      Appalachian State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Elon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Elon is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

      7:00 PM
      MARYLAND vs. PITTSBURGH
      Maryland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
      Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Pittsburgh is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games

      7:00 PM
      WEST VIRGINIA vs. TEXAS TECH
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games on the road
      West Virginia is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
      Texas Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      Texas Tech is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

      7:00 PM
      FURMAN vs. UNC GREENSBORO
      Furman is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against UNC Greensboro
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Furman's last 6 games when playing on the road against UNC Greensboro
      UNC Greensboro is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      UNC Greensboro is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Furman

      7:05 PM
      CHATTANOOGA vs. THE CITADEL
      Chattanooga is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
      Chattanooga is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against The Citadel
      The Citadel is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Chattanooga
      The Citadel is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chattanooga

      10:00 PM
      WILLIAM JESSUP vs. ST. MARY'S
      No trends available
      St. Mary's is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      St. Mary's is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #48
        NCAAB
        Short Sheet

        Monday, January 6

        MARYLAND is 15-6 ATS after 2 games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds

        PITTSBURGH is 3-11 ATS in home games after playing a game as favorite

        W VIRGINIA is 26-46 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 or more games

        TEXAS TECH is 8-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders

        APPALACHIAN ST is 15-5 ATS off a road loss

        ELON is 8-17 ATS after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds

        CANISIUS is 14-5 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games

        THE CITADEL is 3-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games

        FURMAN is 9-19 ATS as an underdog

        IONA is 35-20 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival

        QUINNIPIAC is 0-7 ATS after playing a game as favorite
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #49
          December's Record:

          56 - 41 - 1*****

          27 - 27 DOUBLE PLAY

          12 - 13 - 1 TRIPLE PLAY

          -----------------

          JANUARY'S RECORD:

          13 -21 *****

          10 - 8 DOUBLE PLAYS

          11 - 6 TRIPLE PLAYS


          Monday, January 6

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Appalachian St. - 7:00 PM ET Elon University -13 500 DOUBLE PLAY
          Elon University -

          Canisius - 7:00 PM ET Canisius -2 500 *****
          Marist -

          Maryland - 7:00 PM ET Maryland +9 500
          Pittsburgh - Over 136 500

          West Virginia - 7:00 PM ET Texas Tech +1.5 500
          Texas Tech -

          Furman - 7:00 PM ET NC-Greensboro -6 500 TRIPLE PLAY
          NC-Greensboro -

          Iona - 7:00 PM ET Quinnipiac -3 500 *****
          Quinnipiac -

          Chattanooga - 7:05 PM ET Chattanooga -4.5 500
          Citadel -

          Southern - 9:00 PM ET Southern +3.5 500
          Texas Southern - Over 143 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #50
            BOL, Bum!

            Comment


            • #51
              Thanks Rod....Hope you on board with NCG.....
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #52
                Tuesday's Tip Sheet

                January 6, 2014


                It is a new year and that means that conference play in men’s college basketball is in full swing. Looking at the week ahead, two of the biggest matchups just so happen to fall on this Tuesday night’s schedule.

                The first is a showdown between Baylor and Iowa State in the Big 12 followed by a Big Ten tilt between Ohio State and Michigan State. The following is a betting tip sheet for these two games plus a brief look at a top matchup in both the ACC and the AAC.

                No. 7 Baylor Bears at No. 9 Iowa State Cyclones (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m. ET)

                The Bears rolled over Savannah State 80-50 this past Friday in one last tune-up before Tuesday’s conference opener. They bring a six-game winning streak and 12-1 straight-up record into this game, but there has not been a posted line in five of their last six games in what has been a less than challenging nonconference schedule. Baylor is 3-4 against the spread in games with a line and the total has stayed UNDER in four of those games.

                The overall numbers have been impressive with 78.8 points a game on offense against just 63.9 points allowed on the other end of the court and the Bears are shooting 50.4 percent from the floor. Cory Jefferson has led the way with a team-high 14.2 points and 8.3 rebounds and Baylor as a team has four different players scoring in double figures.

                Iowa State went a perfect 13-0 SU against its opponents outside the conference; however it was favored in 10 of 11 games with a posted line. The Cyclones have covered in four of their last five games to run their record ATS to 8-3. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games after going OVER in five of their first six games this year. It has gone OVER in all five of their home games with a total line.

                This is another team that has had little problem scoring with an average of 87 points a game, which is the eighth highest total in the nation. Iowa State is shooting 48.8 percent from the floor and pulling down an average of 41.4 rebounds a game. The big man in this lineup has been Melvin Ejim with 17.7 points and 7.6 rebounds, but both Georges Niang and DeAndre Kane are scoring over 15 points a game while combining for 11.1 rebounds and 9.6 assists.

                Iowa State has been listed as a 6 ½-point home favorite over the Bears in this Big 12 battle.

                The Cyclones have won four of the last five meetings both SU and ATS including a sweep both ways in last season’s two-game series. The total has gone OVER in the last four games between these two.

                No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes at No. 5 Michigan State Spartans (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

                The Buckeyes opened play in the Big Ten with back-to-back victories over Purdue and Nebraska both SU and ATS to run their overall record to a perfect 15-0 on the year. They are 8-6 ATS after covering in seven of their last 10 games. The total went OVER in both conference wins after staying UNDER in five of their last six nonconference outings. It has stayed UNDER in nine of 14 games overall this season.

                This is definitely not one of the highest scoring offenses in Division I with 75.7 points a game and Ohio State is ranked 133rd in the nation in rebounds with 36.8 a game. What makes this team so hard to beat is a total defensive effort that is holding opponents to just 54.9 points a game. LaQuinton Ross and Lenzelle Smith Jr. are each averaging over 12 points and Amir Williams is scoring 9.7 points while leading the team in rebounds with 6.5 a game.

                Michigan State has just one SU loss on the year; a 79-65 setback to North Carolina on Dec. 4 as a 10-point home favorite. It is 13-1 SU with a 7-5-1 record ATS. The Spartans opened play in the Big Ten with two double-digit romps over Penn State and Indiana on the road while covering as favorites. They are 3-3 ATS at home this season and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the six games.

                The Spartans will have the edge in scoring with 82.6 points a game while shooting a solid 48.6 percent from the floor. They will also have an advantage under the boards with an average of 41 rebounds a game. To get the win at home over their arch rivals, Michigan State will need another big night from both Gary Harris and Adreian Payne. So far, these two have combined for 34.3 points and 12.4 rebounds a game. Keith Appling has also been a key contributor with 15.6 points and a team-high 4.6 assists.

                Michigan State comes into this contest as a 4 ½-point home favorite over the Buckeyes.

                Looking back at some of the more interesting betting trends in this matchup, the underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in the last four. The Buckeyes won last season’s series 2-1 SU (2-0-1 ATS).

                Other Games to Watch

                The Notre Dame Fighting Irish stunned Duke this past Saturday 79-77 as a 5 ½-point home underdog in its first ever conference game as a member of the ACC. The Fighting Irish will try and avoid a letdown this Tuesday when they welcome North Carolina State to South Bend. The Wolfpack come in at 10-4 SU with a 4-6-1 record ATS. They are 1-2 ATS on the road and the total has stayed UNDER in all three games. Notre Dame is also 10-4 SU with a 5-6-1 record ATS.

                The American Athletic Conference features a matchup between two of its top teams when Cincinnati heads to Houston to face the Cougars this Tuesday night. The Bearcats are 13-2 SU overall and 2-0 in the AAC with victories over SMU and Memphis. They are 7-2 ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in eight of the nine games. Houston is also 2-0 in conference play with an overall mark of 10-5 SU. It has covered in six of 10 games and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of nine games with a posted line.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #53
                  NCAAB
                  Dunkel

                  Ohio State at Michigan State
                  The Buckeyes head to East Lansing tonight to face a Michigan State team that is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 games as a home favorite of 3 1/2 to 6 points. The Spartans are the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has Michigan State favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-5). Here are all of today's games.

                  TUESDAY, JANUARY 7

                  Game 525-526: St. Louis at Rhode Island (7:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 66.411; Rhode Island 60.833
                  Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 5 1/2
                  Vegas Line: St. Louis by 7 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+7 1/2)

                  [B]Game 527-528: James Madison at College of Charleston (7:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 46.633; College of Charleston 58.090
                  Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 11 1/2
                  Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 6 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-6 1/2)

                  [B]Game 529-530: Tennessee at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 63.779; LSU 68.707
                  Dunkel Line: LSU by 5
                  Vegas Line: LSU by 2
                  Dunkel Pick: LSU (-2)

                  [B]Game 531-532: Georgia Tech at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 57.020; Duke 79.909
                  Dunkel Line: Duke by 23
                  Vegas Line: Duke by 16 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Duke (-16 1/2)

                  [B]Game 533-534: Baylor at Iowa State (7:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 69.965; Iowa State 74.225
                  Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 4 1/2; 156
                  Vegas Line: Iowa State by 7 1/2; 148
                  Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+7 1/2); Over

                  Game 535-536: Kansas State at TCU (8:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 69.148; TCU 55.651
                  Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 13 1/2; 122
                  Vegas Line: Kansas State by 5; 128
                  Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-5); Under

                  Game 537-538: Youngstown State at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 50.154; Illinois-Chicago 54.575
                  Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 4 1/2
                  Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 1
                  Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-1)

                  Game 539-540: NC State at Notre Dame (9:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: NC State 66.348; Notre Dame 68.399
                  Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 2; 135
                  Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 5 1/2; 143
                  Dunkel Pick: NC State (+5 1/2); Under

                  Game 541-542: Ohio State at Michigan State (9:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 71.868; Michigan State 79.855
                  Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 8; 128
                  Vegas Line: Michigan State by 5; 133
                  Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-5); Under

                  Game 543-544: Cincinnati at Houston (9:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 71.259; Houston 57.176
                  Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 14
                  Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 9
                  Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-9)

                  Game 545-546: Vanderbilt at Alabama (9:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 58.209; Alabama 68.413
                  Dunkel Line: Alabama by 10; 120
                  Vegas Line: Alabama by 6 1/2; 128
                  Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-6 1/2); Under

                  Game 547-548: Creighton at DePaul (9:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 71.713; DePaul 57.886
                  Dunkel Line: Creighton by 14
                  Vegas Line: Creighton by 10 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-10 1/2)

                  Game 549-550: Syracuse at Virginia Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 71.823; Virginia Tech 62.960
                  Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 9; 121
                  Vegas Line: Syracuse by 12; 128
                  Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+12); Under

                  Game 551-552: Middle Tennessee State at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 59.437; Tennessee State 46.179
                  Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 13 1/2
                  Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 8
                  Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-8)
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    NCAAB
                    Long Sheet

                    Tuesday, January 7

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    SAINT LOUIS (13 - 2) at RHODE ISLAND (9 - 6) - 1/7/2014, 7:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    SAINT LOUIS is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
                    SAINT LOUIS is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    SAINT LOUIS is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                    SAINT LOUIS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAINT LOUIS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAINT LOUIS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
                    SAINT LOUIS is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                    SAINT LOUIS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
                    RHODE ISLAND is 74-118 ATS (-55.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
                    RHODE ISLAND is 74-118 ATS (-55.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
                    RHODE ISLAND is 41-83 ATS (-50.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
                    RHODE ISLAND is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
                    RHODE ISLAND is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
                    RHODE ISLAND is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
                    RHODE ISLAND is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    RHODE ISLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
                    RHODE ISLAND is 2-0 straight up against SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
                    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    JAMES MADISON (6 - 9) at COLL OF CHARLESTON (8 - 7) - 1/7/2014, 7:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    COLL OF CHARLESTON is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
                    JAMES MADISON is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    JAMES MADISON is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                    JAMES MADISON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    COLL OF CHARLESTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    TENNESSEE (9 - 4) at LSU (9 - 3) - 1/7/2014, 7:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    TENNESSEE is 99-65 ATS (+27.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
                    TENNESSEE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    LSU is 48-74 ATS (-33.4 Units) in January games since 1997.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
                    TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    GEORGIA TECH (9 - 5) at DUKE (11 - 3) - 1/7/2014, 7:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    DUKE is 108-73 ATS (+27.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
                    DUKE is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in January games since 1997.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
                    DUKE is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    BAYLOR (12 - 1) at IOWA ST (13 - 0) - 1/7/2014, 7:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    IOWA ST is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    IOWA ST is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                    IOWA ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                    IOWA ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
                    IOWA ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                    IOWA ST is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    IOWA ST is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                    IOWA ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
                    IOWA ST is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    IOWA ST is 3-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
                    IOWA ST is 3-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    KANSAS ST (11 - 3) at TCU (9 - 4) - 1/7/2014, 8:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    KANSAS ST is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
                    TCU is 187-229 ATS (-64.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
                    TCU is 187-229 ATS (-64.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
                    TCU is 76-114 ATS (-49.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
                    TCU is 76-114 ATS (-49.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
                    TCU is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    TCU is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
                    TCU is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
                    TCU is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
                    TCU is 127-171 ATS (-61.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
                    TCU is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
                    KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
                    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    YOUNGSTOWN ST (9 - 8) at IL-CHICAGO (5 - 10) - 1/7/2014, 8:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    YOUNGSTOWN ST is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
                    IL-CHICAGO is 105-77 ATS (+20.3 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
                    IL-CHICAGO is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all home games since 1997.
                    IL-CHICAGO is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in home lined games since 1997.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    IL-CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
                    IL-CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
                    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    NC STATE (10 - 4) at NOTRE DAME (10 - 4) - 1/7/2014, 9:00 PM
                    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    OHIO ST (15 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (13 - 1) - 1/7/2014, 9:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MICHIGAN ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
                    MICHIGAN ST is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    MICHIGAN ST is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                    OHIO ST is 271-223 ATS (+25.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
                    OHIO ST is 271-223 ATS (+25.7 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
                    OHIO ST is 170-131 ATS (+25.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
                    OHIO ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
                    OHIO ST is 210-161 ATS (+32.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    MICHIGAN ST is 3-3 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
                    MICHIGAN ST is 3-3 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
                    5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    CINCINNATI (13 - 2) at HOUSTON (10 - 5) - 1/7/2014, 9:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    CINCINNATI is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                    CINCINNATI is 92-125 ATS (-45.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
                    HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1997.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    VANDERBILT (8 - 4) at ALABAMA (6 - 7) - 1/7/2014, 9:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    VANDERBILT is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
                    ALABAMA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
                    ALABAMA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
                    ALABAMA is 1-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
                    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    CREIGHTON (12 - 2) at DEPAUL (8 - 7) - 1/7/2014, 9:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    CREIGHTON is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                    DEPAUL is 52-77 ATS (-32.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    SYRACUSE (14 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 5) - 1/7/2014, 9:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    VIRGINIA TECH is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    VIRGINIA TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
                    SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
                    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                    MIDDLE TENN ST (9 - 5) at TENNESSEE ST (2 - 14) - 1/7/2014, 8:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
                    TENNESSEE ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
                    MIDDLE TENN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
                    MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
                    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #55
                      NCAAB
                      Armadillo's Write-Up

                      Tuesday, January 7

                      Rhode Island won its last five games with Saint Louis, beating Billikens last two years, when Rams were combined 15-45. URI won at LSU on Saturday, big road win for 9-6 Rams, their first top 100 win. St Louis is 4-0 in true road games, winning at Valpo/Vandy- they force turnovers 23.4% of time, #11 in country. Rams turn ball over 21% of time, shoot just 29.7% from arc.

                      Charleston's CAA debut comes vs James Madison team that won four of last five games after a 2-8 start. Dukes turn ball over 21.4% of time, shoot just 27.4% from arc- they're 3-6 on road, but beat NC-Wilmington by 5 in CAA road opener Saturday. Cougars won six of last eight games with a win at Davidson; they turn ball over 20.7% of time, make 30.5% from the arc.

                      Tennessee won its last five games with LSU, winning last three visits to Baton Rouge by 2-5-5 points, but Vols are 0-2 on road this year, losing at Xavier by 4, Wichita by 9. LSU had won five in row before home loss to Rhode Island Saturday; Tigers are 2-2 vs top 100 teams, 2-3 in games decided by 7 or less points. Tennessee is 1-4 in games decided by single digit margin; they're 3-3 vs top 100 teams.

                      Duke is out of top 10 for first time since November 2007; Blue Devils' opponents are shooting 50.8% inside arc- they're 2-3 vs top 100 teams, but Georgia Tech is #110. Duke won 14 of last 16 games against Tech, winning last five by 19-4-22-7-16 points. Jackets never led in last game at Maryland, losing 77-61- they're 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with all five losses by 10 points, only win at home vs Illinois.

                      Home side won 11 of last 12 Baylor-Iowa State games; Bears lost last six visits to Ames, with all six wins by 8+ points. ISU won last three in series by 8-8-5 points. Cyclones blew 15-point halftime lead Saturday in Lubbock, beat Tech by 11; they're 5-0 vs top 100 teams, with all five wins by 7 or less points. This is first true road game for Baylor, who played at D-II Chaminade in Maui, but that doesn't count.

                      Kansas State swept TCU by 13-11 points in Frogs' first season in Big X LY; Wildcats won last nine games after 2-3 start, upsetting Oklahoma State at home Saturday, but this is their first true road game- they're 2-2 on neutral floors, losing two of three at Puerto Rico tourney. TCU lost its three top 100 games by 8-21-5 points, losing to West Virginia 74-69 in conference opener Saturday.

                      Ill-Chicago swept Youngstown LY with both wins by 5- second game went three OTs, with Penguins shooting 28.6% inside arc- they're 2-8 in last ten visits to UIC- home side won 10 of last 13 series games. UIC is 5-10, 2-3 at home, losing last four games, last three by 13+. Youngstown allowed 83.5 ppg in losing first two Horizon road tilts by 6-16 points.

                      Notre Dame upset Duke in its ACC debut Saturday; four of its last five games were decided by 4 or less points or in OT. Irish have to get back to business vs NC State team that lost by 11 at home to Pitt Saturday, after jumping out to 17-2 lead. It was -14 when Wolfpack's plane got to South Bend Monday; State is 2-1 on road, losing by 11 at Cincinnati, winning at Tennessee by 7.

                      Michigan State-Ohio State are 7-7 in last 14 meetings; Buckeyes are 2-1 in last three visits here- teams split pair of close games in last two Big Dozen tourneys. OSU is 13-0, winning road games by 17 at Marquette, 9 at Purdue; opponents are making 24.3% from arc. Spartans won last six games, opening conference play with 16-17 road wins at Penn State and Indiana- their only loss was North Carolina at home.

                      Houston won first two AAC games by 4-9 points after couple of weird non-league losses to San Jose/ULL; Cougars are 7-1 at home- they're 0-5 if they allow 72+ points, 10-0 if they allow 70 or less. Cincinnati gave up 55 ppg in winning first two AAC games by 8-16 points, with a big win at Memphis Saturday. Bearcats force turnovers 25.1% of time, #7 on country- they play great defense, can struggle with the ball.

                      Vanderbilt won last three games with Alabama by 1-4-10 points; they're 3-2 in last five visits here, but are 0-2 on road this year, losing by in OT at Butler by 8, at Texas by 6- they're 0-4 vs top 100 teams. Alabama is 0-6 vs top 100 teams, with all six losses by 10 or less points. Tide lost last two home games to Wichita/Xavier- they're 1-6 in games decided by 9 or less points.

                      Creighton won its first two Big East games by 18-13 points; they're #3 in country, making 42.7% from arc; Bluejays are 3-0 road, with wins by . 4-17-3 points. DePaul scored 55 ppg in losing first two league games by 7-10 points; Blue Demons are amazingly bad 9-95 in last 103 league games; they've turned ball over 20.7% of time. DePaul scored average of 57.8 ppg in their last four games, not good.

                      Syracuse is 14-0, winning by 5 at St John's in only road game- they won ACC debut 49-44 over Miami at home Saturday (trailed by by 5 at 6:11 mark)- they allowed 54.2 ppg in last five games. Virginia Tech is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Michigan State by 19, VCU by 30, winning by 5 over West Virginia. Orange are #2 in countery, forcing turnovers 25.9% of time. Hokies are #6 in country, making 42.5% from arc.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #56
                        NCAAB

                        Tuesday, January 7

                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Trend Report
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        JANUARY 7, 7:00 PM
                        NEW HAMPSHIRE vs. BROWN
                        No trends available
                        Brown is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
                        Brown is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 7:00 PM
                        GEORGIA TECH vs. DUKE
                        Georgia Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Duke
                        Georgia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Duke
                        Duke is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke's last 8 games

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 7:00 PM
                        BAYLOR vs. IOWA STATE
                        Baylor is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                        Baylor is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                        Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baylor
                        Iowa State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baylor

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 7:00 PM
                        HARTFORD vs. DARTMOUTH
                        No trends available
                        Dartmouth is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                        Dartmouth is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 7:00 PM
                        JAMES MADISON vs. COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
                        James Madison is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
                        College of Charleston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 7:00 PM
                        SAINT LOUIS vs. RHODE ISLAND
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Louis's last 5 games on the road
                        Saint Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                        Rhode Island is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saint Louis
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rhode Island's last 8 games when playing Saint Louis

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 7:00 PM
                        TENNESSEE vs. LSU
                        Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
                        LSU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
                        LSU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 8:00 PM
                        KANSAS STATE vs. TCU
                        Kansas State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                        TCU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                        TCU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 8:00 PM
                        MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. TENNESSEE STATE
                        Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee State
                        Middle Tennessee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
                        Tennessee State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
                        Tennessee State is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 8:00 PM
                        YOUNGSTOWN STATE vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
                        Youngstown State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                        Youngstown State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Illinois-Chicago
                        Illinois-Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Youngstown State
                        Illinois-Chicago is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Youngstown State

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 8:05 PM
                        WISC-GREEN BAY vs. CHICAGO STATE
                        Wisc-Green Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                        Wisc-Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                        Chicago State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                        Chicago State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wisc-Green Bay

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 9:00 PM
                        SYRACUSE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
                        Syracuse is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                        Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                        Virginia Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 9:00 PM
                        VANDERBILT vs. ALABAMA
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games on the road
                        Vanderbilt is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games when playing Vanderbilt
                        Alabama is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Vanderbilt

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 9:00 PM
                        CINCINNATI vs. HOUSTON
                        Cincinnati is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                        Cincinnati is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                        Houston is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
                        Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 9:00 PM
                        OHIO STATE vs. MICHIGAN STATE
                        Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games on the road
                        Michigan State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Ohio State
                        Michigan State is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Ohio State

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 9:00 PM
                        NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. NOTRE DAME
                        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Carolina State's last 9 games on the road
                        North Carolina State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 6 games at home
                        Notre Dame is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

                        See more trends!
                        JANUARY 7, 9:00 PM
                        CREIGHTON vs. DEPAUL
                        The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Creighton's last 15 games on the road
                        Creighton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of DePaul's last 6 games at home
                        DePaul is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #57
                          NCAAB

                          Tuesday, January 7

                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Baylor at Iowa State: What bettors need to know
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Baylor Bears at Iowa State Cyclones (-7.5, OFF)

                          Two of the premier power forwards in the nation face off when No. 7 Iowa State hosts No. 9 Baylor in a Big 12 showdown Tuesday night. Melvin Ejim is averaging 17.7 points and 7.6 rebounds for the Cyclones and the 6-6 senior has led the way with four double-doubles this season. Cory Jefferson is a 6-9 senior for the Bears who’s averaging 14.2 points and 8.3 rebounds with five double-doubles.

                          Baylor should benefit from its size advantage with 7-1 center Isaiah Austin occupying the middle and 6-8 forward Rico Gathers averaging 7.9 points and 7.8 rebounds off the bench. Iowa State does well with the size it has, as 6-6 forward Dustin Hogue is averaging 12.6 points and 9.6 rebounds and 6-4 guard DeAndre Kane does it all with 15 points, 7.1 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game. Kane won Big 12 Player of the Week honors the last two weeks and an Iowa State player has won the award in six of nine weeks overall.

                          TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2

                          LINE: The line opened with Iowa State as 7.5-point faves. The total is currently off the board.

                          ABOUT BAYLOR (12-1, 3-4 ATS): A key for the Bears could be the contributions from starting guards Brady Heslip and Kenny Chery. Heslip is shooting 47.9 percent from beyond the arc, which has helped open up things up on the interior, and Chery is second on the team at 11.5 points, though he’s coming off back-to-back games in single digits for the first time this season. A wild card for the Bears could be 6-7 sophomore forward Taurean Prince, who is coming off consecutive games in double figures for the first time in his career.

                          ABOUT IOWA STATE (13-0, 8-3 ATS): Prince could find himself matched up against another 6-7 sophomore forward in Georges Niang, who is second in scoring for the Cyclones at 15.9. Niang has scored at least 14 points in each of the last seven games and presents a challenge because of his ability to score from inside and outside. Monte Morris, a freshman guard, will be looking to reach double figures in scoring in three straight games for the first time this season.

                          TRENDS:

                          * Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
                          * Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
                          * Baylor is 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.
                          * Baylor is 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings at Iowa State.

                          TIP-INS:

                          1. The Cyclones can set a program record with their 14th consecutive victory.

                          2. Iowa State has had at least four players score in double figures in every game this season.

                          3. Prince scored 15 first-half points all of last season, but combined for 26 first-half points in the last two games.


                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                          NCAAB

                          Tuesday, January 7

                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Ohio State at Michigan State: What bettors need to know
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans (OFF)

                          Aaron Craft produced two of the best offensive games of his four-year career against Michigan State last season and the Ohio State point guard will try to continue that trend when the No. 3 Buckeyes travel to the No. 4 Spartans for a Big Ten clash Tuesday. Craft scored his career high of 21 points when these teams met in their second conference game last season, and came back with 20 three weeks later when they collided in the conference tournament semifinal. Craft, who has just one other 20-point game in collegiate career, enters this matchup on a roll after earning Big Ten Player of the Week honors for his efforts last week against Purdue and Nebraska.

                          Michigan State will counter with shooting guard Gary Harris, who has battled an ankle injury that kept him out three games this season, but appears to be on the mend after scoring 26 points in 37 minutes – both season highs – in a 73-56 victory Saturday at Indiana. Michigan State 6-10 forward Adreian Payne poses a possible matchup problem, but will need to get more shot attempts than he did the last two games if he expects to have an impact. Payne, an Ohio native, combined for 11 field-goal attempts and nine points in the last two games after taking double-digit shot attempts and scoring no fewer than 16 in the previous five games.

                          TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

                          LINE: The line and total are currently off the board.

                          ABOUT OHIO STATE (15-0, 8-6 ATS): The Buckeyes have been successful mostly because of their defense. Ohio State is surrendering an average of 54.9 points, tied for third-best in the nation, and has not allowed an opponent to hit the 70-point mark this season, their longest such streak since they went 22 games during the 2010-11 season. Perimeter defense has been a specialty as the Buckeyes are limiting the opposition to 24.3-percent shooting from 3-point distance, the lowest mark in Division I.

                          ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (13-1, 7-4-2 ATS): The Spartans are shooting 39.3 from 3-point distance, which puts 38th in the nation. Harris has seen his long-range efficiency drop off this season, but point guard Keith Appling has connected on 47.2 percent of his 3s, up from 32 percent last season and 25 percent the year before. Travis Trice has been nearly as effective from downtown, hitting on 44.4 percent of his tries from beyond the arc.

                          TRENDS:

                          * Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
                          * Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
                          * Ohio State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six meetings at Michigan State.
                          * Underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

                          TIP-INS:

                          1. Ohio State’s bench has outscored the opposition’s reserves 325-177 this season.

                          2. Craft, who averages 4.9 assists, needs 39 to pass Bruce Douglas of Illinois (1982-86) to become the Big Ten’s all-time leader.

                          3. Michigan State F Matt Costello could return to the starting lineup in his third game back after missing four in December with mononucleosis.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #58
                            December's Record:

                            56 - 41 - 1*****

                            27 - 27 DOUBLE PLAY

                            12 - 13 - 1 TRIPLE PLAY

                            -----------------

                            JANUARY'S RECORD:

                            14 -23 *****

                            10 - 8 DOUBLE PLAYS

                            12 - 6 TRIPLE PLAYS


                            Tuesday, January 7

                            Game Score Status Pick Amount

                            James Madison - 7:00 PM ET Charleston -6.5 500
                            Charleston -

                            Georgia Tech - 7:00 PM ET Duke -15.5 500 *****
                            Duke - Over 146 500

                            Tennessee - 7:00 PM ET Tennessee +3 500 *****
                            Louisiana State - Under 139 500

                            Baylor - 7:00 PM ET Baylor +7 500 Double Play
                            Iowa St. - Under 147.5 500

                            Saint Louis - 7:00 PM ET Rhode Island +8 500 Double Play
                            Rhode Island - Over 132 500

                            Youngstown St. - 8:00 PM ET Youngstown St. -2.5 500 *****
                            Illinois-Chicago -

                            Middle Tennessee St. - 8:00 PM ET Middle Tennessee St. -9 500
                            Tennessee St. -

                            Kansas St. - 8:00 PM ET Texas Christian +3.5 500 *****
                            Texas Christian -

                            N.C. State - 9:00 PM ET Notre Dame -8 500 Triple Play
                            Notre Dame -

                            Syracuse - 9:00 PM ET Virginia Tech +13 500
                            Virginia Tech -

                            Cincinnati - 9:00 PM ET Cincinnati -7 500 *****
                            Houston - Over 131.5 500

                            Ohio St. - 9:00 PM ET Michigan St -5.5 500 *****
                            Michigan St - Over 134 500 *****

                            Vanderbilt - 9:00 PM ET Vanderbilt +7.5 500 *****
                            Alabama - Under 125.5 500

                            Creighton - 9:00 PM ET Creighton -10.5 500 Triple Play
                            DePaul - Over 144.5 500
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • #59
                              Betting Notebook

                              January 7, 2014


                              Hopping around the college basketball map as we seek to identify some of the winners and losers from last weekend's action....

                              WINNER: San Diego State...The Mountain West needed to claim a big-name scalp to help the league's profile on Selection Sunday. Not only did the Aztecs help the Mountain, but they also helped themselves enormously in Sunday's 61-57 win at Kansas, breaking the Jayhawks' 68-game non-conference winning streak at Phog Allen Fieldhouse. Kudos to Steve Fisher, who quickly remolding a side that appeared likely to take a few steps backward after losses of key components Jamaal Franklin and Chase Tapley from last year's latest Big Dance qualifier on Montezuma Mesa. But Fisher quickly got his troops to buy in on the defensive end, and the steady influence of sr. PG Xavier Thames (16.3 ppg) has provided the glue necessary to mesh with some new contributors such as Tulane transfer F Josh Davis and RS frosh swingman Matt Shrigley. The Aztecs now look like the team to beat in the Mountain.

                              LOSER: Northwestern...Look around this season's Big Ten, and tell us where Northwestern's wins are going to come from? We don't see any that jump off the page at us, as the Cats are learning a very hard lesson with their new HC Chris Collins, the ex-Duke man (and Coach K assistant) pushed hard on NU administrators, who would mistakenly run out the very competent Bill Carmody after last season. After being blasted in early Big Ten action, it seems official that the Cats have taken a couple of steps backward for Collins, who has tried to lay the Duke offense over the modified Princeton offense that Carmody employed. Northwestern, however, lacks Duke's talent base, and after trying to push the pace to no avail over the first month, Collins has tried to put the brakes on the offense. Now the Cats don't know what to do, held to 14 points in the first half of a shellacking against Wisconsin last week before another heavy defeat on Sunday at Michigan. Collins' other problem is that the Cats lack athleticism and own no real defensive stoppers. This team was built to punch above its weight using the Carmody system, not to play like Duke with far less personnel.

                              WINNER: Colorado...Already owning a win over Kansas in early December, the Buffs claimed another big scalp in Boulder with a rousing 100-91 win over previously unbeaten Oregon on Sunday. Pac-12 observers have long insisted that CU can go a long way this season if the Buffs' guards can play with consistency. They certainly did so on Sunday, as Askia Booker and Spencer Dinwiddie made countless commando raids into the paint and scored a combined 50 points, making 20 of 23 free throws between them. Moreover, the overall athleticism on the roster impresses, with newcomers true frosh 6-5 swingman Jaron Hopkins and 6-8 RS frosh Wesley Gordon having worked their way into HC Tad Boyle's rotation, while 6-10 soph C Josh Scott has added about 20 pounds of bulk following his frosh season in order to better withstand the pounding in the paint. If Booker and Dinwiddie continue to excel, the Buffs (who have qualified for the Dance in each of HC Tad Boyle's first two seasons) are going to be a threat to make a deep run in March.

                              LOSER: Providence...After hinting at significant progress in the first few weeks of the season, the Friars have made an about-face and are sinking toward the bottom of the reconfigured Big East in what was supposed to be a breakthrough year for HC Ed Cooley. But since an early-season injury to PG Kris Dunn, on-court direction has been lacking for the Friars, with the ball spending too much times in the hands of prolific scoring off-G Bryce Cotton (19 ppg), who needs to be on the receiving end of service as opposed to looking for others to get involved in the offense. Cooley's bench has also be mostly ineffective, and PC might have hit rock bottom in Sunday's 91-61 blowout loss to Villanova. Regional sources long ago soured on the stodgy Cooley offense, which lacks movement which often results in Cotton forcing shots while hoping that frontliners like foul-prone 6-10 Kadeem Batts and 6-6 LaDontae Henton can crash the boards.

                              WINNER: SMU...Things are looking up for the Mustangs, who have invested quite a bit in their program, beginning with the hiring of Larry Brown as head coach in 2012 and now with the completed renovations on Moody Coliseum, which finally hosted the Mustangs for the first time this season when UConn paid a visit last Saturday. (The Ponies had played their first six home games in the much-smaller Curtis Culwell Center in Garland while the finishing touches were put on Moody). The return to Moody was a complete success, as the 11-3 Mustangs rolled to a 74-65 win. Brown's team is winning the old-fashioned way, earning success with defense, ranking second nationally in field-goal percentage defense. And they can make shots, too, ranking seventh in field-goal percentage. They've also mostly dominated their opponents in points in the paint and in the rebounding battle, and it was no different vs. UConn, whose star G Shabazz Napier was particularly frustrated, connecting on only 2 of 9 FG attempts. Meanwhile, Brown's jitterbug 5-9 PG Nic Moore (team-best 14 ppg), a transfer for Illinois State where he played for Brown assistant Tim Jankovich, scored 20 points and collected six assists. Depth is also a plus for the Mustangs, as Brown has ten players who have seen at least 12 minutes of action per game.

                              LOSER: Duke...We know that it was an emotional game for Notre Dame on Saturday as it made its ACC debut at home against the Blue Devils. But the 79-77 Irish win will knocked Coach K's team out of the Top Ten for the first time in 122 weeks. Moreover, it was the sort of game that exposed Duke's defensive weaknesses, which Mike Krzyzewski is running out of time to fix as the season reaches its halfway point. This year's Duke lacks some of the size of recent editions, relying more on small forward newcomers like frosh star Jabari Parker and Mississippi State transfer Rodney Hood. But Notre Dame attacked the paint on Saturday and found relative easy passage to the basket. Duke will continue to try to camouflage its deficiencies in the post with an uptempo style, though the defensive issues are likely to prove this team's undoing in March, causing us to wonder if this team really is a serious national title threat.

                              WINNER: Kansas State...Look out, as Kansas State just might be the hottest team in the Big XII after Saturday's rousing 74-71 upset win over sixth-ranked Oklahoma State in Manhattan. That was the Cats' ninth straight win (and seventh straight cover) for HC Bruce Weber, who has been able to instill a tough-minded approach to a somewhat rebuilt squad from last year's NCAA qualifier that lost longtime lynchpin guards Rodney McGruder & Angel Rodriguez to graduation. But Wichita Falls, Texas frosh product Marcus Foster (team-best 14 ppg) has stepped into the breach and then some, scoring 17 points in the win over the Cowboys. K-State still has some shooting issues, converting only 29.5% beyond the arc and barely 63% from the FT line, but has a battering-ram 6'7, 275-lb. PF Thomas Gipson, who is converting nearly 60% from the floor. Defense and physicality are trademarks of this Weber edition that improved to 11-3 with the win over the Cowboys.

                              LOSER: Missouri State...Of all of the results over the weekend, we don't know of any that were more perplexing than the Bears' 89-57 loss at a very modest Loyola-Chicago side that is making its debut in the Missouri Valley this season. The Bears entered Gentile Arena with an 11-2 record, but proceeded to shoot just 39% from the floor while allowing the Ramblers to can 61% of their field goal attempts. Loyola soph G Devon Turk, who had not scored more than 17 points in a game all of this season and never more than 21 in his career, broke his personal mark in Bob Beamon-like fashion with 30 points. We suppose we can cross off Missouri State as a possible challenger to high-flying Wichita State in the Valley.

                              WINNER: Washington...We know, the Huskies only managed a split of their road swing through Arizona over the weekend. But consider that U-Dub was a double-digit underdog in both games, yet covered each easily, cruising past Arizona State by a 76-65 score on Thursday night before pushing unbeaten and top-ranked Arizona into the final minutes of a 71-62 loss on Saturday. Along the way, true frosh PG Nigel Williams-Goss (12.6 ppg; 4.3 apg) began to more effectively distribute the ball and get others besides bombs-away G Chris Wilcox some touches on the attack end, while 6-8 USF transfer Perris Blackwell (11 ppg over the weekend) has started to provide more consistent scoring from the blocks. Wilcox was back to his high-volume shooting (8 for 19 from floor) in the loss to the Wildcats, but it was still the first indicator all season that Lorenzo Romar's team might be able to make some noise in the Pac.

                              LOSER: Washington State...While cross-state Washington might have turned its season around with solid efforts in the desert last weekend, Wazzu now looks headed in the wrong direction after scoring just 72 total points in two games against Arizona and Arizona State, held to 7 points in the first half against the former in a humiliating 60-25 setback. The preseason defection of juco PG Danny Lawhorn continues to haunt the Cougs, who have become almost solely reliant upon G DaVonte Lacy (only double-digit scorer at 17.1 ppg) for points. And when Lacy was sidelined after an emergency appendectomy, and another starter, Aussie import 6-6 G Dexter Kernich-Drew, was sidelined due to concussion symptoms, the game at Arizona quickly turned into a descent into the abyss, as Wazzu made only 9 of 45 field goal attempts for the night. Lacy returned to play limited minutes in Sunday's 66-47 loss at Arizona State and figures to get back to normal soon. But time might be running out on the regime of 5th-year HC Ken Bone, whose preferred uptempo style has been hard to detect this season.

                              WINNER: Wake Forest...It has been a slow climb for Wake Forest under HC Jeff Bzdelik, who has spent the past three-plus seasons trying to put the Demon Deacons back on the map. But evidence of a definitive breakthrough might have come on Sunday in a 73-67 win over North Carolina which improved Wake to 11-3 this season. The Deacs hadn't beaten the Tar Heels since 2010 and had not done so at home in the Lawrence-Joel Coliseum since 2009. Along the way Wake's defense held UNC hotshot G Marcus Paige to only eight points, his first single-digit scoring game this season. A couple of sophs, G Codi Miller-McIntyre (team-best 16.6 ppg) & PF deluxe Devin Thomas (11.4 ppg) have upped their contributions significantly this season, while more experience was added to the backcourt in the form of 6-2 sr. transfer Coron Williams (10.2 ppg) from Robert Morris. Along with longtime 6-7 F Travis McKie (whose career in Winston-Salem seems to date back to the Tim Duncan era; 11 ppg), Bzdelik might have the best-balanced squad of his Wake tenure.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                              • #60
                                Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong


                                Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

                                Most underrated Top 25 team: San Diego State Aztecs (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS)

                                The Aztecs have only one blemish on their record and that loss came against the top-ranked Arizona Wildcats. They have played four teams ranked in the Top 25 and, while they came up short against the Wildcats, they did beat Marquette, Creighton and most recently an upset of the Jayhawks in Kansas.

                                San Diego State has been a profitable team to back so far, covering the points in nine of 12 lined games. The rest of the schedule features strictly teams from the Mountain West Conference, meaning the Aztecs don't see another ranked opponent for the remainder of the regular season.

                                Most overrated Top 25 team: Michigan State Spartans (11-1 SU, 5-4-2 ATS)

                                The Spartans are the highest ranked team with a loss and the only team in the Top 10 with a home loss. That defeat came against unranked North Carolina, their first home loss to an unranked team in over a decade.

                                "Michigan State did not want it that much more than we did," North Carolina coach Roy Williams told reporters. “They have only faced one ranked team so far, and it was a win in a close game against Kentucky. The schedule is about to get a lot tougher for the Spartans, and we could see them begin to struggle.”

                                Unranked team that should be ranked: Pittsburgh Panthers (11-1 SU, 3-7 ATS)

                                Unranked Pittsburgh is off to an impressive 13-1 start to the season, with its lone loss coming against Cincinnati in a 44-43 game played at Madison Square Garden. After a blowout win over Maryland by a whopping 20-point margin Monday night, we should see Pitt get some votes to move up in the polls next week.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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