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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thursday, December 5 - Saturday, December 7)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thursday, December 5 - Saturday, December 7)


    Week 15


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 5 – Saturday, December 7

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    College football odds: Week 15 opening line report

    If your heart has recovered from a wild weekend of college football in Week 14, well, have your defibrillator ready, because there are still some big games to come in Week 15. Leading the way are two teams that, before the season, almost no one would have projected to reach the Southeastern Conference championship game: Auburn and Missouri, in a battle of Tigers at Atlanta’s Georgia Dome.

    Auburn provided a ridiculously riveting finish to Saturday’s Iron Bowl, returning a field goal for a touchdown in a 34-28 shocker over No. 1 Alabama. This is the same squad that went 3-9 SU and 4-8 ATS last year, including 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS in the SEC. This year, Auburn is 11-1 SU and is tied for the second-best ATS record in the country at 10-2.

    Missouri is also 11-1 SU and fields the No. 1 spread-covering unit in the nation at 10-1-1. The Tigers were 5-7 SU and ATS last year, but they’ve rocketed to the top of the SEC behind quarterback James Franklin and a defense that allows just 19.4 ppg (14th). Mizzou wrapped up the regular season by holding high-octane Texas A&M and QB Johnny Manziel to just 21 points in a 28-21 victory Saturday.

    Peter Korner, founder of Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, says the Crimson Tide being out of the picture makes this contest far more intriguing.

    “It turns out to be a great game which will be highly competitive and a real toss-up as to who will win. I think this game is much more interesting now that Alabama is out. With that, the majority of oddsmakers all made this a pick ‘em, and that's what we sent out. Auburn has really turned on the afterburners to be where it is, and Missouri has been strong all year. We'll let the bettors decide this one.”


    Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans (+6)

    The Buckeyes allowed a middling Michigan squad to put up 41 points and come a 2-point conversion away from an upset that would have rivaled Auburn’s shocker over Alabama. But even if the 42-41 win was far tighter than expected, with Ohio State laying 17 points, the Buckeyes (12-0 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) have still won 24 consecutive games SU heading into the Big Ten title game at Lucas Oil Field in Indianapolis.

    The Spartans, meanwhile, grinded out a 14-3 home win Saturday as a 17-point chalk against Minnesota. Michigan State (11-1 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) has won eight in a row (6-2 ATS), holding opponents to 14 points or less six times in that stretch, and five of those foes scored only in single digits. The Spartans have the nation’s No. 1 total defense (273.3 ypg), No. 1 rushing defense (64.4 ypg) and No. 4 scoring defense (11.8 ppg).

    “We're all wary that Ohio State has no defense and Michigan State has a top-notch defensive unit,” Korner said. “Our range went from Ohio State -4.5 to -7. We sent out Ohio State -6. Smart money will be on Michigan State, squares will be on the favorite. Hopefully it will balance out and we get good two-way action right where it's at.”


    Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-13)

    The host Cowboys are gunning for the Big 12 title and an automatic berth in a BCS bowl, but just playing the archrival Sooners in the Bedlam game is generally motivation enough. If not for a toe-stubbing loss at West Virginia back in September, Oklahoma State (10-1 SU, 8-3 ATS) would be firmly in the hunt for the national championship game. Since that setback, the Pokes have gone 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS, scoring 38 points or more five times and winning by two TDs or more six times.

    The Sooners (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS) won their first five games, then went 4-2 down the stretch to fall out of Big 12 title contention. While Korner and his crew have Oklahoma State a double-digit chalk, he said the Sooners could surely make things interesting.

    “We were all actually very close on this one, as the numbers ranged from Oklahoma State -12.5 to -14,” he said. “We sent out -13. We're sure dog players will wait and see how high this can go, but both teams are quality squads, and we don't see much movement – if any – until much later in the week.

    “The way this year has ended up, I'm pretty sure that Oklahoma could win outright as the double-digit underdog, so we won't be surprised if the Sooners make this a game.”


    Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles (-32)

    Duke is yet another surprise team to be hanging around at this point of the year, coming off a 10-2 SU regular season and standing tied for second nationally with a 10-2 ATS record, as well. The Blue Devils are on an 8-0 SU run and have cashed in their last seven games, nabbing four outright wins as an underdog, including Saturday’s 27-25 win at North Carolina as a 5-point pup.

    Florida State is steaming toward the BCS national championship game, despite sexual assault allegations swirling around star QB Jameis Winston, though no charges have been brought yet. The Seminoles (12-0 SU) have also been a spread-covering machine at 10-2 ATS, winning by at least 27 points in all but one game, so Korner isn’t expecting much out of the ACC championship tilt in Charlotte, N.C.

    “This is a real non-game. Our range went from Florida State -30 to -33, and we sent out -32,” he said. “There’s not much to see here. We expect late-week action to be on the favorite, as usual, so we're ignoring the offshore line moves on Sunday. Moving fast and to a lower number this quickly, this early in the week is a joke. Any sports book that follows this is going to be rooting for Duke come Saturday.”

    Comment


    • #3
      College football line watch: Buckeyes backers should be patient

      Spread to bet now

      Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils (-3)

      The current pointspread sits on the key number of 3, but early indications hint that the Sun Devils will be moving up to -3.5 shortly.

      This is a revenge game for Arizona State, as the Sun Devils got blown out 42-28 at Stanford in Week 3. The Cardinal laid 6.5 points in that game but Arizona State is a completely different team at home. The Sun Devils are a perfect 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS.

      Bettors like those angles so they will be eager to bet the Sun Devils in this game, especially since they are only laying a field goal. Stanford’s two losses have come on the road, which will also entice bettors to take Arizona State.

      Public bettors also like to take the high-scoring offensive teams, especially when they are matched up with the low-scoring, defensive teams. That’s the case here, so we expect the money to come in on Arizona State, ultimately moving this number higher than three.


      Spread to wait on

      Ohio State Buckeyes (-5.5) vs. Michigan State Spartans

      The media and bettors alike are quite skeptical of Ohio State and its undefeated 12-0 record. The Buckeyes’ close 42-41 win at Michigan last weekend only enhanced their negative perception. Ohio State is on a 0-3 ATS slide and is just 2-4 ATS its last six ballgames.

      Early money has already come in on Michigan State, with the game opening at MSU +6.5 and quickly getting bet down to the current 5.5-point spread. The public will also back the Spartans, especially since they are 4-1 ATS over their last five games and their only loss this season came by just four points.

      If you like Ohio State – wait. A better number will be available as the week goes on.


      Total to watch

      Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (58)

      The Bedlam Series has a history of alternating results in recent years. The Sooners and Cowboys played a high-scoring 99-point game last season after a 54-point game the year before. There were 88 points in 2010 and only 27 points in 2009.

      Oklahoma State has the reputation as a high-powered offense under head coach Mike Gundy. But the Cowboys’ strength this season has been their defense. They’ve held six opponents to 13 points or less and they’ve limited opponents to just 4.8 yards per play and 6.2 yards per pass attempt.

      Oklahoma’s defense only allows 4.9 yards per play and 6.3 yards per pass attempt. The Sooners’ offense has also had inconsistent quarterback play, resulting in some lower-scoring games.

      The total came out at a surprising low 58, so it seems that the oddsmakers have finally caught on to Oklahoma State’s profile.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAF
        Dunkel

        Week 15


        Louisville at Cincinnati
        The Bearcats host a Louisville team that is coming off a 24-17 win over Memphis and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in the previous game. Cincinnati is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bearcats favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.

        THURSDAY, DECEMBER 5

        Game 103-104: Louisville at Cincinnati (7:30 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 95.109; Cincinnati 97.040
        Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 55
        Vegas Line: Louisville by 3 1/2; 51
        Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Over


        FRIDAY, DECEMBER 6

        Game 105-106: Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 93.860; Northern Illinois 99.658
        Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 6; 54
        Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 3; 59
        Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-3); Under


        SATURDAY, DECEMBER 7

        Game 107-108: Memphis at Connecticut (1:00 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 81.145; Connecticut 69.272
        Dunkel Line: Memphis by 12; 38
        Vegas Line: Memphis by 1; 43
        Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-1); Under

        Game 109-110: South Florida at Rutgers (7:30 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 75.918; Rutgers 73.366
        Dunkel Line: South Florida by 2 1/2; 49
        Vegas Line: Rutgers by 6; 46 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+6); Over

        Game 111-112: Texas at Baylor (3:30 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Texas 95.922; Baylor 123.637
        Dunkel Line: Baylor by 27 1/2; 68
        Vegas Line: Baylor by 14; 73
        Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-14); Under

        Game 113-114: UL-Lafayette at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 83.102; South Alabama 74.003
        Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 9; 62
        Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3; 58
        Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+3); Over

        Game 115-116: Central Florida at SMU (12:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 96.574; SMU 80.496
        Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 16; 65
        Vegas Line: No Line
        Dunkel Pick: N/A

        Game 117-118: Oklahoma at Oklahoma State (12:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 102.232; Oklahoma State 108.154
        Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 6; 54
        Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 10; 58 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (+10); Under

        Game 119-120: Marshall at Rice (12:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 85.469; Rice 89.380
        Dunkel Line: Rice by 4; 66
        Vegas Line: Marshall by 6; 61
        Dunkel Pick: Rice (+6); Over

        Game 121-122: Missouri vs. Auburn (4:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 107.460; Auburn 112.329
        Dunkel Line: Auburn by 5; 52
        Vegas Line: Auburn by 2; 58
        Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-2); Under

        Game 123-124: Duke vs. Florida State (8:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Duke 93.459; Florida State 128.076
        Dunkel Line: Florida State by 34 1/2; 58
        Vegas Line: Florida State by 28 1/2; 62
        Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-28 1/2); Under

        Game 125-126: Stanford at Arizona State (7:45 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 112.863; Arizona State 111.963
        Dunkel Line: Stanford by 1; 61
        Vegas Line: Arizona State by 3; 56
        Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+3); Over

        Game 127-128: Ohio State vs. Michigan State (8:15 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 115.123; Michigan State 106.465
        Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 8 1/2; 47
        Vegas Line: Ohio State by 5 1/2; 51 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-5 1/2); Under

        Game 129-130: Utah State at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 95.302; Fresno State 91.778
        Dunkel Line: Utah State by 3 1/2; 66
        Vegas Line: Fresno State by 4; 61
        Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+4); Over

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF
          Long Sheet

          Week 15



          Thursday, December 5

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          LOUISVILLE (10 - 1) at CINCINNATI (9 - 2) - 12/5/2013, 7:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
          CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          Friday, December 6

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          BOWLING GREEN (9 - 3) vs. N ILLINOIS (12 - 0) - 12/6/2013, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BOWLING GREEN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          BOWLING GREEN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          BOWLING GREEN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
          N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          Saturday, December 7

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          MEMPHIS (3 - 8) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 9) - 12/7/2013, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CONNECTICUT is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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          S FLORIDA (2 - 9) at RUTGERS (5 - 6) - 12/7/2013, 7:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          RUTGERS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          RUTGERS is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
          RUTGERS is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TEXAS (8 - 3) at BAYLOR (10 - 1) - 12/7/2013, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BAYLOR is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          BAYLOR is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          BAYLOR is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games this season.
          BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
          BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          BAYLOR is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          BAYLOR is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          BAYLOR is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
          BAYLOR is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          LA LAFAYETTE (8 - 3) at S ALABAMA (5 - 6) - 12/7/2013, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA LAFAYETTE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LA LAFAYETTE is 1-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
          LA LAFAYETTE is 1-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          UCF (10 - 1) at SMU (5 - 6) - 12/7/2013, 12:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
          SMU is 1-1 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          OKLAHOMA (9 - 2) at OKLAHOMA ST (10 - 1) - 12/7/2013, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
          OKLAHOMA ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
          OKLAHOMA ST is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          RICE (9 - 3) at MARSHALL (9 - 3) - 12/7/2013, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MARSHALL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games this season.
          MARSHALL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
          MARSHALL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf this season.
          RICE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
          RICE is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
          RICE is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          RICE is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
          MARSHALL is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MISSOURI (11 - 1) vs. AUBURN (11 - 1) - 12/7/2013, 4:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          AUBURN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
          AUBURN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
          AUBURN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
          AUBURN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
          AUBURN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
          AUBURN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
          AUBURN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
          AUBURN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
          MISSOURI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
          MISSOURI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
          MISSOURI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
          MISSOURI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
          MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          MISSOURI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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          DUKE (10 - 2) vs. FLORIDA ST (12 - 0) - 12/7/2013, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          FLORIDA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
          FLORIDA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
          FLORIDA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
          FLORIDA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
          FLORIDA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
          FLORIDA ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
          DUKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
          DUKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
          DUKE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
          DUKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
          DUKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          FLORIDA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
          FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          STANFORD (10 - 2) at ARIZONA ST (10 - 2) - 12/7/2013, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ARIZONA ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          ARIZONA ST is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          STANFORD is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          STANFORD is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          STANFORD is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          STANFORD is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          STANFORD is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          STANFORD is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
          STANFORD is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OHIO ST (12 - 0) vs. MICHIGAN ST (11 - 1) - 12/7/2013, 8:15 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MICHIGAN ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          MICHIGAN ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
          MICHIGAN ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          OHIO ST is 155-112 ATS (+31.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
          OHIO ST is 155-112 ATS (+31.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
          OHIO ST is 129-93 ATS (+26.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
          OHIO ST is 102-71 ATS (+23.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          OHIO ST is 143-99 ATS (+34.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          OHIO ST is 120-88 ATS (+23.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          OHIO ST is 77-52 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
          MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          UTAH ST (8 - 4) at FRESNO ST (10 - 1) - 12/7/2013, 10:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          FRESNO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
          FRESNO ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
          FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF
            Short Sheet

            Week 15


            Thursday, December 5

            Louisville at Cincinnati, 7:30 ET
            Louisville: 4-13 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7
            Cincinnati: 19-7 ATS after scoring 20 pts or more in the first half in 2 straight games


            Friday, December 6

            Bowling Green at Northern Illinois, 8:00 ET

            Bowling Green: 12-4 ATS against conference opponents
            Northern Illinois: 11-3 UNDER in road games off a win against a conference rival
            College Football Betting Trends - Sat, Dec. 7



            Saturday, December 7

            South Florida at Rutgers, 7:30 ET

            S Florida: 10-2 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6
            Rutgers: 0-6 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

            Texas at Baylor, 7:30 ET
            Texas: 6-0 OVER in road games after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers
            Baylor: 9-1 ATS in home games after playing a conference game

            Central Florida at SMU, 12:00 ET
            Central Florida: 19-8 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders
            SMU: 6-20 off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more

            Oklahoma at Oklahoma State, 12:00 ET
            Oklahoma: 9-21 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game
            Oklahoma State: 10-2 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

            Marshall at Rice, 12:00 ET
            Marshall: 11-25 ATS as a road favorite
            Rice: 22-5 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game

            Missouri at Auburn, 12:00 ET
            Missouri: 13-4 OVER in road games after gaining 450 or more total yds in 2 games
            Auburn: 9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins

            Duke at Florida State, 8:00 ET
            Duke: 11-3 OVER after playing a conference game
            Florida St: 8-2 ATS after a win by 17 or more points

            Stanford at Arizona State, 8:00 ET
            Stanford: 13-4 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins
            Arizona St: 11-1 OVER as a home favorite of 3 points or less

            Ohio State at Michigan State, 8:00 ET
            Ohio St: 7-0 UNDER on a neutral field where the total is between 49.5 and 56
            Michigan St: 11-2 ATS in road games after playing a conference game

            Utah State at Fresno State, 8:00 ET
            Utah St: 10-2 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders
            Fresno St: 2-11 ATS off an upset loss as a double digit favorite

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAF

              Week 15


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Thursday, December 5

              7:30 PM
              LOUISVILLE vs. CINCINNATI
              Louisville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisville's last 7 games
              Cincinnati is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Louisville
              Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Louisville


              Friday, December 6

              8:00 PM
              BOWLING GREEN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
              Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Bowling Green's last 10 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
              Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


              Saturday, December 7

              12:00 PM
              CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
              Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Central Florida's last 12 games
              Southern Methodist is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
              Southern Methodist is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Central Florida

              12:00 PM
              OKLAHOMA vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
              Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma's last 9 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games at home
              Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

              12:00 PM
              MARSHALL vs. RICE
              Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 5 games
              Rice is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              Rice is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

              1:00 PM
              MEMPHIS vs. CONNECTICUT
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 11 games
              Memphis is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
              Connecticut is 6-13-3 ATS in its last 22 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home

              3:30 PM
              TEXAS vs. BAYLOR
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games
              Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baylor
              Baylor is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing Texas
              Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

              4:00 PM
              MISSOURI vs. AUBURN
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games
              Missouri is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Auburn's last 7 games
              Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

              7:30 PM
              SOUTH FLORIDA vs. RUTGERS
              South Florida is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
              South Florida is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
              Rutgers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
              Rutgers is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

              7:45 PM
              STANFORD vs. ARIZONA STATE
              Stanford is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona State
              Stanford is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 6 games when playing Stanford
              Arizona State is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Stanford

              8:00 PM
              DUKE vs. FLORIDA STATE
              Duke is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
              Duke is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
              The total has gone OVER in 10 of Florida State's last 12 games
              Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

              8:00 PM
              LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
              Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Alabama's last 7 games at home
              South Alabama is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home

              8:00 PM
              OHIO STATE vs. MICHIGAN STATE
              Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing Ohio State
              Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

              10:00 PM
              UTAH STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
              Utah State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              Utah State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games
              Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah State


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAF

                Thursday, December 5


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Louisville at Cincinnati: What bettors need to know
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Louisville Cardinals at Cincinnati Bearcats (+3.5, 51)

                Cincinnati looks to keep its faint BCS bowl hopes alive Thursday when the No. 23 Bearcats host 16th-ranked Louisville, which has recorded back-to-back 10-win seasons for the first time in school history. Cincinnati's hopes of receiving the American Athletic Conference’s automatic bowl berth hinges on a win over Louisville and having Southern Methodist defeat Central Florida on Saturday. If that happens, the league’s bid will go to whichever team between Cincinnati and Central Florida is ranked higher in the final BCS standings.

                Louisville appears headed for the Russell Athletic Bowl on Dec. 28 after having its BCS dreams dashed with a 38-35 loss to Central Florida on Oct. 18. The Cardinals have won four straight since the disappointing loss, and are eager to maintain control of the Keg of Nails rivalry trophy. “We’ll walk into a sellout and a hostile environment,” Louisville coach Charlie Strong said. “We need to control their crowd with our defense. We can't allow them to get out and have a fast start."

                TV:
                7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

                WEATHER:
                Temperatures in the low 40s with a 59 percent chance of rain and winds blowing NNW crossfield at 7 mph.

                LINE:
                Louisville opened -3.5 and has remained steady. The total opened as high as 51.5 and dropped to 51 points.

                ABOUT LOUISVILLE (10-1, 6-1 American Athletic Conference, 4-7 ATS):
                Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has been named one of 10 finalists for the Manning Award after throwing for 3,268 yards and 25 touchdowns, with only three interceptions. Louisville's defense, ranked second in the country while allowing 242.5 yards per game, forced its 24th turnover in a 24-17 victory over Memphis on Nov. 23. The unit is led by linebacker Preston Brown (team-high 83 tackles) and defensive end Marcus Smith, who leads the Cardinals with 12.5 sacks.

                ABOUT CINCINNATI (9-2, 6-1, 6-5 ATS):
                The Bearcats are bowl-eligible for the seventh time in eight years and carry a six-game winning streak into Thursday’s showdown. Quarterback Brendon Kay recorded his fourth 300-yard passing game of the season Nov. 23, when Cincinnati posted 573 yards of total offense in a 24-17 victory at Houston. Defensive end Silverberry Mouhon has 8.5 sacks and linebacker Nick Temple has 11.0 tackles for a loss to lead the Bearcats, who rank eighth nationally in total defense at 302.4 yards per game.

                TRENDS:

                * Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Cincinnati.
                * Favorite is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
                * Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
                * Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.

                EXTRA POINTS:

                1. Louisville starting safety Calvin Pryor is expected to return Thursday after missing one game due to suspension for violating a team rule.

                2. Cincinnati leads the series 30-22-1, but Louisville won last year’s contest 34-31 in overtime.

                3. Louisville has outscored its opponents 82-6 in the first quarter.


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  NCAAF
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Week 15


                  Thursday's game
                  Road team covered seven of last eight Louisville-Cincinnati games; Bearcats won four of last five games with rival Louisville, with all four wins by 8+ points. Cardinals lost 25-16/41-10 in last two visits here, where favorites covered six of last eight series games. Louisville is 10-1, with only loss 38-35 as a 14-point home favorite to UCF; they’re 4-0 SU on road, 1-2-1 as road favorites, but 27-13 win at Kentucky was closest of the four games. Cincy won last six games, covered four of last five; they won last two games SU as road dogs, only time they’ve been a dog this season. Bearcats are 5-0 at home, but were favored in every game (2-2 as HF); they struggled to beat SMU 28-25 in last home game.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Beyond the BCS: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences

                    Team to watch: Rice Owls (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS)

                    This week: +4.5 at Marshall

                    Marshall has won five in a row by an average of 34 points and it has scored at least 45 points in each of its last six contests, but not all has gone perfectly for the Thundering Herd heading into this week’s Conference USA Championship at Rice.

                    Because the two teams have the same 7-1 record in C-USA action, the expanded BCS rankings (neither team is in the Top 25) determined which school would host and Rice came out just ahead. The Thundering Herd will also be without sophomore running back Kevin Grooms, who was suspended indefinitely after being arrested on misdemeanor domestic battery charges following last Friday’s 59-28 win over East Carolina.

                    They still boast a stellar ground attack with Essray Taliaferro and Steward Butler, but Grooms had 503 rushing yards and six touchdowns this season and he scored four times in last year’s double-overtime win over Rice.

                    The Owls are 5-1 (3-3 ATS) at home in 2013. Marshall is a vastly different team home and away. It is 3-3 (1-5 ATS) on the road compared to 6-0 (6-0 ATS) at home.

                    Team to beware: Utah State Aggies (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS)

                    This week: (+3.5) at Fresno State

                    Utah State need not apologize for playing in the Mountain West Championship, but it didn’t have to face the top two teams from the West Division (Fresno State and San Diego State, which dealt Boise State its two conference losses).

                    The Aggies have lost five offensive starters over the course of the season -most recently receiver Travis Reynolds, who is questionable due to a knee injury. Despite missing last week’s win over Wyoming, Reynolds has 51 receptions for 832 yards and four touchdowns.

                    Fresno State saw its BCS hopes busted by San Jose State last Friday, but its 12-game home winning streak is still intact. The Bulldogs have not lost in Fresno since an Oct. 1, 2011 contest against Mississippi.

                    Total team: South Alabama Jaguars (5-6 SU, 4-7 O/U)

                    This week: (58) vs. UL Lafayette

                    Don’t expect the Ragin’ Cajuns to call off the dogs on their defense that ranks second in scoring and second against the run in the Sun Belt when they face South Alabama. Louisiana-Lafayette has already accepted a bid to the New Orleans Bowl, but an outright conference title is still on the line.

                    The Jaguars were all over the backfield in last weekend’s 38-17 rout of Georgia State, recording four sacks and eight tackles for loss. Saturday’s game is still a decent way off, but the current forecast calls for rain and wind throughout the entire weekend in Mobile.

                    The under is 4-0 in South Alabama’s last four overall and 4-1 in its last five at home. The under is 3-0 in ULL’s last three road trips.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Six burning betting questions for NCAAF Championship Saturday

                      It’s Championship Week in college football. Here are six burning questions heading into Saturday’s six big matchups, with conference titles and BCS bids on the line.

                      Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-9.5, 57)


                      Will the Sooners be able to continue their domination over the Cowboys?

                      The bedlam rivalry game has been completely dominated by Oklahoma throughout the decades, with the Sooners holding an 82-18-7 record all-time in the series.

                      While Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy is just 1-7 SU (2-6 ATS) versus the Sooners in his career, his lone victory came in 2011 - the last time OSU faced OU for a chance at a share of the Big 12 championship.

                      The Cowboys come in playing their best football of the season, fresh off convincing wins against nationally-ranked Baylor and Texas, two teams that have beaten the Sooners this season.


                      Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (-15, 71.5)

                      After back-to-back bad showings, can the Bears’ offense turn it around?

                      Baylor and its high-octane offense have limped to the finish line. After a humiliating 49-17 loss to Oklahoma State killed their national title hopes, the Bears barely hung on to defeat TCU 41-38 last week, as the nation’s No. 1 offense was held to under 400 total yards for the first time in 38 games.

                      But Baylor should get a major boost this Saturday when it returns to Waco, where a record crowd is expected for the last ever BU game at Floyd Casey Stadium. The ninth-ranked Bears are 9-0 SU/ATS in their last nine at home, including five straight wins against ranked opponents.


                      Missouri Tigers vs. Auburn Tigers (-2, 58)

                      Is this a possible letdown spot for Auburn or are the Tigers truly a “team of destiny?”

                      After the “Immaculate Deflection” in the last minute against Georgia and Chris Davis’s 109-yard missed field goal return for a touchdown to defeat the mighty Crimson Tide, it certainly looks like the third-ranked Tigers are destined to win the BCS title in 2013.

                      But wait just a minute. Those other Tigers from Mizzou may have a little something to say about that.

                      Missouri is 5-0 SU/ATS on the road in 2013 and QB James Franklin and the Missouri offense looked sharp in last week’s 28-21 win over Texas A&M - one of the big reasons why bettors have pushed the number down from its opening of Auburn as 3-point favorites down to as low as 1.5.


                      Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles (-29, 62)

                      Can upstart Duke actually keep it close vs. the top-ranked Seminoles?

                      David Cutcliffe and the No. 20 Blue Devils might be the feel-good story of the college football season, but they could be in for a rude awakening come Saturday.

                      Florida State has won 14 straight meetings vs. Duke dating back to 1994. But take a closer look inside the numbers and you’ll find FSU is a perfect 9-0 ATS in games where they were favored against Duke by 30 points or less, and just 1-4 ATS when favored by 31 or more. Saturday’s game opened with FSU as a 30-point favorite and has been bet down to 29 points.


                      Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans (+5.5, 51.5)

                      Can Ohio State run the ball successfully against MSU’s No. 1 rush defense?

                      The Buckeyes feature college football’s second best rushing offense (321.3 yards per game), led by RB Carlos Hyde and QB Braxton Miller, who’ve combined for nearly 2,200 yards on the ground this season.

                      On the other hand, the Spartans boast the nation’s top run defense, allowing a paltry 64.8 yards per game. So who has the edge?

                      Considering MSU has held 10 of 12 opponents to under 100 yards rushing and has allowed only 46 points over its past six games (7.7 ppg) – just five more points than the Buckeyes gave up to lowly Michigan last week - the Buckeyes and their rushing attack will certainly have their work cut out for them come Saturday.


                      Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils (-3, 56)

                      Will home field prove to be the difference for ASU in its rematch with Stanford?

                      On the heels of a 42-28 loss at Stanford on Sep. 21, revenge will certainly be on the minds of Arizona State when it hosts the Cardinal in the Pac-12 championship game.

                      The Sun Devils are hot, having won seven straight, but are 0-3 SU (0-2-1 ATS) in their last three versus Stanford, including a 17-13 loss in Tempe back in 2010.

                      Any doubts surrounding Stanford’s ability to beat a team twice in the same season were answered just last year when it knocked off UCLA 27-24 in the conference championship after defeating the Bruins 35-17 during the 2012 regular season.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NCAAF
                        Armadillo's Write-Up

                        Week 15


                        Friday's game
                        Northern Illinois is 12-0, 7-3 vs spread as a favorite, covering five of last six games (won by 19 in the non-cover); they’ve won 25 MAC games in row and could get a BCS bowl game if they win here. Huskies are playing in MAC title game for fourth year in row, winning but not covering last two. Underdogs covered this game the last five years and seven of last nine. Bowling Green went 4-0 in November, outscoring foes 176-17 in the four games since losing to Toledo in late October. Falcons lost 49-27 (+7) to Miami in their only MAC title game appearance ten years ago; Falcons covered 15 of last 23 games as a road underdog, are 1-1 as a dog this year, but lost last three games to NIU, covering once in last four series games. Game is in Lions’ dome, so weather isn’t an issue.




                        NCAAF

                        Friday, December 6


                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Bowling Green vs. NIU: What bettors need to know
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Bowling Green Falcons vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (-4, 58)

                        Game will be played at Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan.

                        After becoming the first Mid-American Conference team to qualify for the BCS last season, No. 18 Northern Illinois is poised to do it again if it can claim its third straight conference title game Friday against Bowling Green at Ford Field in Detroit. The Huskies tied a school record with their 12th straight win last Tuesday and have won 24 of their last 25 overall. Another victory would allow Northern Illinois to become the first school since Marshall to win three straight MAC championships.

                        While the Huskies possess a darkhorse Heisman Trophy candidate in Jordan Lynch and have 25 straight victories over MAC opponents, the Falcons can take solace in the fact Northern Illinois has won the last two title games by a combined 10 points. Bowling Green, which reached the nine-winmark for the first time since 2004 with Friday’s victory over Buffalo, has outscored its opponents 176-17 during its four-game winning streak. The Falcons are seeking their 11th MAC title and first since 1992.

                        TV:
                        8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

                        LINE:
                        The Huskies opened as 3-point faves and have been bet to -4. Te total opened at 57.5 and has moved up slightly to 58.

                        WEATHER:
                        N/A.

                        ABOUT BOWLING GREEN (9-3, 9-3 ATS):
                        Running back Travis Greene, a converted receiver, ranks second in the conference in rushing behind Lynch with 1,422 yards – 23 yards shy of breaking the school record set by Fred Durig in 1951. The Eagles complement the league’s third-best rushing offense with a defense that ranks fifth in the country in scoring defense (13.8 points) and seventh in total defense (296.6 yards). Perhaps even more impressively, Bowling Green has not allowed a second-half point during the last four games.

                        ABOUT NORTHERN ILLINOIS (12-0, 8-4 ATS):
                        Lynch broke his own NCAA record for rushing yards by a quarterback with 321 against Western Michigan and
                        became only the second player in school history to rush for at least 300 yards twice in the same season (LeShon Johnson). "I think Jordan Lynch is the best college player in football. He is Northern Illinois and he's what Northern Illinois is about,” Western Michigan coach P.J. Fleck said following his team’s loss to Northern Illinois. Lynch is the fifth player in FBS history with 4,000 rushing and 5,000 passing yards.

                        TRENDS:

                        * Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
                        * Bowling Green is 4-0 ATS in its last four conference games.
                        * Northern Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a SU win.
                        * Under is 10-2 in Northern Illinois' last 12 neutral site games.

                        EXTRA POINTS:

                        1. Lynch is 218 rushing yards shy of breaking the NCAA career mark for rushing yards by a quarterback, held by Denard Robinson (4,495).

                        2. Bowling Green held Buffalo to 15 yards rushing six days after limiting Eastern Michigan to four yards passing.

                        3. Lynch needs two more rushing touchdowns to tie Chad Spann (22) for the most single-season rushing touchdowns in school history.


                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          NCAAF betting: Championship game stats and trends

                          Little did the NCAA realize when they approved college football conference championship games in 1992 how much of an impact it would have on determining the bowl landscape.

                          With the BCS in its final season, and numerous major bowl slots pending, we turned to our trusted database for an overview of how teams and conferences have fared in these title tilts

                          Here are some of the findings. Enjoy the games.

                          Conference Trending

                          No less than seven FBS conferences will be featuring championship games this weekend.

                          The Mountain West kicks off its inaugural game, while the Big 10 and the Pac 12 enter into its 3rd year of play.

                          Looking inside the four conferences with 5 or more of championship play under the belts, trends of note include…

                          • ACC: favorites of 7 or more points are 0-3 ATS, including 1-2 straight up… .900 or greater teams are 02 SU and ATS… team off a win of 20 or more points are 1-3 ATS. Florida State fits the bill on all three counts.

                          • CUSA - the favorite in games with teams owning identical records is 2-0 ATS… favorites of 3 or more points are 5-2 ATS… teams who allowed 28 or more points in their last game are 1-4 SU and ATS. Marshall qualifies in all three categories.

                          • MAC - teams with a win percentage of more than .800 are 1-7-2 ATS… favorites are 3-9-2 ATS. Northern Illinois hopes to improve on both numbers.

                          • SEC – despite the longest conference history, no particular trend comes to the surface. It is worth noting, however, that teams who manage to score 30 or more points in this game are 15-1 SU and 12-4 ATS. Those who score 20 or fewer points in this title game are 0-14 SU and 1-12-1 ATS.


                          The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

                          Oklahoma owns the best record of all teams in conference championship games at 7-1. Arkansas and Ohio University are the worst at 0-3. Unfortunately, neither team will be participating this week.

                          Arizona State, Duke, Fresno State, Ohio State, Rice and Utah State are all championship game maidens this season.

                          Of the teams that will be playing, these are their past performance records in title game, in straight up and against the spread sequence:

                          Auburn (2-2, 2-2); Bowling Green (0-1, 0-1); Florida State (2-1, 1-2); Marshall (3-1, 1-2-1); Michigan State (0-1,1-0); Missouri (0-2, 0-2); Northern Illinois (2-2, 0-3-1) and Stanford (1-0, 0-1).


                          Top This

                          Arizona State has won its last eight home games by an average score of 49-19.

                          Auburn is 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 5 or fewer points.

                          Bowling Green is 7-0 SU and ATS in its last seven regular season weekday games. The Falcons are also 8-0 SU and ATS in their last eight MAC contests away from home.

                          Duke’s last outright ACC title was in 1954. The Blue Devils last appearance in an Orange Bowl was in 1958.

                          In four games against common opponents this season, Marshall won the overall stats by 615 yards. Rice lost the overall stats by 124 yards.

                          Fresno State is 0-10 ATS at home in games after losing straight up as a favorite.

                          Missouri has turned the ball over only 7 times in its last nine games.

                          Northern Illinois is 8-22 SU and 10-19-2 ATS in games versus greater than .700 opponents.

                          Ohio State head coach Urban Meyer is 31-10 SU and 27-10-4 ATS in his career versus .750 or greater opposition.

                          Rice is 11-0-1 ATS as a conference home dog when playing off a win.

                          Stanford is 5-0 ATS as a dog since the 2011 Fiesta Bowl.

                          Utah State is 14- ATS away from home versus winning opponents.


                          Still Perfect After All These Years

                          Florida State is 18-0 straight up all-time versus Duke by an average score of 50-15.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            NCAAF

                            Saturday, December 7


                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            Oklahoma at Oklahoma State: What bettors need to know
                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-10, 57)

                            Oklahoma State's players never need any extra motivation when they face Oklahoma, but the possibility of a conference title and a BCS berth is simply too attractive to ignore. The No. 6 Cowboys host the 15th-ranked Sooners on Saturday with just about everything on the line for Oklahoma State - not the least of which is bragging rights. "I want to go out with the 'W,'" Cowboys senior fullback Kye Staley said. "It's for a lot of big things. It's for a Big 12 championship and a berth in a BCS bowl. We're just going out with a lot of intensity, a lot of focus. We're getting ready to game plan and getting ready for OU."

                            The Cowboys have won seven straight games since their only loss of the season - a 30-21 defeat against a West Virginia team that wound up 4-8. The Sooners defeated the Mountaineers early in the season but went on to lose to Texas and Baylor - two teams that Oklahoma State defeated - by a combined margin of 77-32. "They played better football than us this year, there's no doubt," Oklahoma center Gabe Ikard said of the Cowboys, adding "but we don't see ourselves as an underdog in this game."

                            TV:
                            Noon, ET, ABC.

                            LINE:
                            The Cowboys opened as 10.5-point faves and are now -10. The total opened 58 and is down to 57.

                            WEATHER:
                            Temperatures will be in the high-teens with wind blowing across the field at 6 mph.

                            ABOUT OKLAHOMA (9-2, 6-2 Big 12):
                            The Sooners trailed their rival the entire way last season until Brennan Clay's decisive touchdown run in overtime that gave Oklahoma a 51-48 victory. This season, Oklahoma sports a resume that includes victories over Notre Dame and and Texas Tech, as well as last week's 41-31 win over Kansas State that made Bob Stoops the Sooners' all-time wins leader (158). Clay ran for a career-high 200 yards and two touchdowns against the Wildcats after totaling 193 rushing yards and one score over his previous five games.

                            ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (10-1, 7-1):
                            The Cowboys have had an extra week to rest since dismantling Baylor 49-17 behind Clint Chelf's 370 passing yards and three scores and Staley's two rushing TDs. Chelf, who lost his starting job earlier this season, has completed 74.5 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and one interception over his last two games. The Cowboys have scored at least 20 points in 50 consecutive contests, but their defense quietly is much improved, holding Kansas, Texas and Baylor to an average of 12 points over the last three games.

                            TRENDS:

                            * Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
                            * Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last six conference games.
                            * Under is 4-0 in Cowboys last four games in December.
                            * Over is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 games overall.

                            EXTRA POINTS:

                            1. Oklahoma State has won nine straight home games and is 18-1 in its last 19 games at Boone Pickens Stadium.

                            2. With one more win, the Cowboys seniors will become the winningest class in Oklahoma State history.

                            3. Oklahoma leads the series 82-18-7, including 38-7-5 in Stillwater.


                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              College football betting weather report: Saturday's forecasts

                              Marshall Thundering Herd at Rice Owls (+6.5, 60.5)
                              Forecasts are calling for a 50 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 9 mph.

                              Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-10, 57)
                              Temperatures will be in the high-teens with wind blowing across the field at 6 mph.

                              Central Florida Knights at SMU Mustangs
                              Temperatures will be in the low-20s with a 30 percent chance of ice pellets. Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 8 mph.

                              Memphis Tigers at Connecticut Huskies (Pick, 43)
                              There is a 30 percent chance of snow for gametime. Temperatures will be in the mid-30s and wind will blow toward the E endzone at 9 mph.

                              Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (-15.5, 71.5)
                              There is a 30 percent chance of ice pellets with temperatures in the high-20s. Wind will blow across the field at 9 mph.

                              South Florida Bulls at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-4, 46.5)
                              Temperatures will be in the mid-30s with a 19 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.

                              Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils (-3, 56)
                              There is a 55 percent chance of rain in the forecast toward the end of the game. Wind will blow across the field at 10 mph.

                              Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Sun Devils (-29, 62)
                              There is a 68 percent chance of rain in the forecast with wind blowing across the field at 9 mph.

                              UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. South Alabama Jaguars (-3, 58)
                              There is a 46 percent chance of rain in the forecast with temperatures in the high-40s. Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 8 mph.

                              Utah State Aggies vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (-3, 60)
                              Temperatures will be in the low-30s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 3 mph.

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