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NCAAF
Saturday, December 7
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Saturday's NCAAF betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action
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Marshall Thundering Herd at Rice Owls (+6.5, 61)
The Rice Owls are ranked 62nd on offense, averaging 420.5 yards per game. The Owls are averaging 239.5 yards rushing and 181.0 yards passing so far
this season.
The Marshall Thundering Herd are ranked ninth on offense, averaging 513.2 yards per game. The Thundering Herd are averaging 219.9 yards rushing and
293.3 yards passing so far this season.
LINE: Rice opened as 4.5-point home dogs and have move slightly to +6.5. The total is up to 61.
WEATHER: There is a 50 percent chance of rain with a 12 mph wind blowing towards teh South end zone.
TRENDS:
* Marshall is 4-0 ATS in its last four games versus a team with a winning record.
* Over is 6-0 in Marshall's last six games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Rice's last six games versus a team with a winning record.
Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-10, 57)
The Sooners defeated the Mountaineers early in the season but went on to lose to Texas and Baylor - two teams that Oklahoma State defeated - by a combined margin of 77-32. This season, Oklahoma sports a resume that includes victories over Notre Dame and and Texas Tech, as well as last week's 41-31 win over Kansas State.
The Cowboys have won seven straight games since their only loss of the season - a 30-21 defeat against a West Virginia team that wound up 4-8. The Cowboys have scored at least 20 points in 50 consecutive contests, but their defense quietly is much improved, holding Kansas, Texas and Baylor to an average of 12 points over the last three games.
LINE: The line opened at -10.5 and has moved to -10. The total opened at 58 and has been bet down to 57.
WEATHER: There is a 14 percent chance of precipitation with temperatures in the high teens.
TRENDS:
* Oklahoma is 6-2 ATS in its last eight meetings.
* Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Oklahoma State is 6-0 ATS in its last six games overall.
Central Florida Knights at Southern Methodist Mustangs (OFF)
Blake Bortles' 167.3 passer rating has him in elite company, ranked seventh in the nation and his 276.2 passing yards per game falls behind only Gilbert and Louisville's Teddy Bridgewater in the conference. Central Florida's offense ranks 30th in the nation, averaging 34.6 points.
SMU quarterback Garrett Gilbert, is listed as questionable with a knee sprain. While the Mustangs have proven they can score in bunches with Gilbert under center, last week's goose egg against Houston is a concern, as is SMU's conference-worst 34.8 points per game, especially against the Knights' offense.
LINE: The line is currently off the board.
WEATHER: There is a 40 percent chance of ice pellets with an eight mph cross field wind.
TRENDS:
* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Central Florida is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five meetings.
Memphis Tigers at Connecticut Huskies (+1, 43)
Memphis has been ranked in the top 20 in the nation in total defense for most of the season but slipped to 27th after giving up a season highs for total yards (534) and points (41) to Temple.
Redshirt freshman quarterback Casey Cochran took over the starting job three weeks ago and has rejuvenated the offense as the Huskies have put up 21 or more points in three straight games after doing so only twice in their first eight contests.
LINE: UConn opened at +1 dogs. The total is currently at 43.
WEATHER: There is a 12 percent chance of rain with a eight mph wind blowing towards the Southeast end zone.
TRENDS:
* Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games.
* Under is 5-0 in Memphis' last five road games.
* Under is 4-0 in Connecticut's last four home games.
Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (-16.5, 71.5)
The Longhorns have scored at least 30 points in seven of their last eight contests, thanks in large part to an improved rushing attack that rolled up 281 yards and three touchdowns against Texas Tech on Thanksgiving night.
The Bears, who are currently averaging 55.4 points and 635.1 yards, have received a stunningly efficient season from Perry, as the junior quarterback has 3,557 passing yards with 28 touchdowns and two interceptions, in addition to 11 rushing scores.
LINE: Baylor opened at -13.5 and have been bet up to -16.5. The total opened at 73.5 and have moved down to 71.5.
WEATHER: There is a 40 percent chance of ice pellets with a 10 mph cross field wind.
TRENDS:
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Texas is 1-5 ATS in its last six meetings.
Missouri Tigers vs Auburn Tigers +1.5, 59)
Game will be played at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, Georgia
Missouri averages 489.5 total yards and rank 18th in the nation in rushing (236.9) with Henry Josey leading the way (951 yards, 13 TDs). The defense is tied for fourth in the nation with 37 sacks, has forced 27 turnovers and has at least one takeaway in 42 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the FBS.
Tre Mason, the SEC's leading rusher with 1,317 yards and 18 TDs, and dual threat quarterback Nick Marshall (1,627 passing yards, 11 TDs, 5 INTs; 922 rushing yards, 10 TDs) lead an offense that ranks fifth in rushing (318.3) and 15th in total yards (491).
LINE: Auburn opened at -1.5 and has moved to +1.5. The total is up to 59.
WEATHER: N/A.
TRENDS:
* Missouri is 6-1 ATS versus teams with a winning record.
* Auburn is 7-0 ATS in its last seven conference games.
* Over is 6-1 in Missouri's last seven games overall.
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NCAAF
Saturday, December 7
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Saturday's NCAAF betting cheat sheet: Evening action
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South Florida Bulls at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-4, 46.5)
South Florida hasn't won at Rutgers since 2005 and will head north without two seniors on defense. Freshman quarterback Mike White (79-of-144 for 942 yards,
three touchdowns, eight interceptions) - the team's fourth starting quarterback of the season - will make his fifth straight start.
The Scarlet Knights will likely be without Leonte Carroo (upper body), who is a touchdown away from tying the school's single-single receiving TD record. The Scarlet Knights are ranked seventh in the country in rushing yards allowed (102.3) but are minus-10 in turnovers.
LINE: Rutgers opened at -7 but have moved down to -4. The total is currently at 46.5.
WEATHER: There is a 12 percent of rain.
TRENDS:
* Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* South Florida is 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Under is 9-1 in Rutgers' last 10 games following a SU loss.
Standford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils (-3, 56)
The Cardinal boast an impressive resume that includes victories over Washington, UCLA, Oregon State, Oregon and Notre Dame, in addition to their earlier win against Arizona State.Stanford ranks 13th in the country in points allowed (19 per game) and has yielded no more than 20 points in any of its last six contests.
The Sun Devils improved to 7-0 at home last week with a convincing 58-21 victory over Arizona, as they led 30-7 at the half and cruised despite the absence of leading rusher Marion Grice (leg). D.J. Foster led the way with 124 rushing yards and two touchdowns, helping Arizona State improve its scoring output for the fourth straight game (20, 30, 38 and 58).
LINE: The Sun Devils opened as 3.5-point home faves and have moved slightly to -3. The total opened at 56.
WEATHER: There is a 10 percent chance of rain with a 10 mph wind blowing across the field.
TRENDS:
* Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings at Arizona State.
Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles (-29.5, 62.5)
The game will be played at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina.
The No. 20 ranked Blue Devils, who have won eight in a row, were picked to finish last in the Coastal Division and are heavy underdogs Saturday, but have come from behind to win their past four contests.
The Seminoles, who ascended to the No. 1 ranking after Alabama lost at Auburn last weekend, average 53.7 points per game. Quarterback Jameis Winston is a frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy, averaging a touchdown pass every 9.1 pass attempts for a Florida State offense that has scored 50 or more points seven times in 12 games.
LINE: The line opened at Florida State -28.5 and moved up to -29.5. The total opened at 61.5 and has jumped up to 62.5.
WEATHER: There is a 76 percent chance of rain with a 9 mph wind blowing across the field.
TRENDS:
* Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings.
* Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.
Louisiana Lafayette at South Alabama (-3, 58.5)
The UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns are ranked 42 on offense, averaging 443.7 yards per game. The Ragin' Cajuns are averaging 220.2 yards rushing and 223.5 yards passing so far this season.
The South Alabama Jaguars are ranked 48 on offense, averaging 431.2 yards per game. The Jaguars are averaging 171.0 yards rushing and 260.2 yards passing so far this season.
LINE: The line has held steady at South Alabama -3. The total has moved up from 58 to 58.5.
WEATHER: There is a 39 percent chance of rain.
TRENDS:
* UL Lafayette is 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall.
* South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a SU win.
* Over is 8-0-1 in UL Lafayette's last nine games following a SU loss.
Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans (+5, 51.5)
Game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Ohio State has won a school-record 24 straight games but needed a failed two-point try in the final seconds last week to escape Michigan with a one-point victory. Braxton Miller and Carlos Hyde have combined to rush for 1,070 yards and 13 touchdowns over the past three games against Illinois, Indiana and Michigan.
The Spartans boast the nation’s top rushing, total and pass efficiency defense and complement it with the fifth-best turnover margin (plus-15) in FBS. They are also second nationally in third-down defense (28.7 percent) and fourth in scoring defense (11.8 points per game).
LINE: The line opened +5.5 and is now +5. The total hasn't moved from 51.5.
WEATHER: N/A.
TRENDS:
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings
* Ohio State is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine meetings.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
Utah State Aggies at Fresno State Bulldogs (-2.5, 60.5)
The Aggies were expected to struggle after losing starting quarterback Chuckie Keeton to a season-ending knee injury, but they rallied behind freshman backup Darell Garretson, senior running back Joey DeMartino (12 touchdowns) and a stellar defense.
Fresno State's offense ranks fourth nationally in scoring at 47.3 points per game, and senior quarterback Derek Carr has thrown 45 touchdowns with only five interceptions.
LINE: The Bulldogs opened as 3-point home faves and are now -2.5. The total is currently 60.5.
WEATHER: There is a 10 percent chance of rain.
TRENDS:
* Utah State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven meetings.
* Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Fresno State is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games.
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NCAAF
Saturday, December 7
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SEC Championship: What bettors need to know
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Missouri Tigers vs Auburn Tigers (+1.5, 59)
Game will be played at the Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia.
The two most surprising teams in the Southeastern Conference all season, No. 5 Missouri and No. 3 Auburn square off for the league title Saturday at the Georgia Dome. The teams combined for just two conference victories a year ago but now find themselves a win away from playing in a BCS bowl - and potentially the national championship game. The winner will find itself paying close attention to the ACC and Big Ten title games Saturday night in hopes Florida State or Ohio State will lose and clear the path for the SEC champion to leap into the top two in the BCS standings.
Auburn's unlikely path to the championship game has included eight consecutive victories, culminating with last week's 34-28 win over bitter rival Alabama in which Chris Davis caught a missed field goal in the back of the end zone and returned it for the winning touchdown on the final play of the game. "That is our biggest challenge as a team," first-year Auburn coach Gus Malzahn told reporters of his team's task of shifting its focus after such a dramatic win. "It was a very emotional win. It was a physical game, but we have to put it behind us and we have to put all of our attention on Missouri." Missouri also had to finish on a high note to play its way to Atlanta, beating Texas A&M 28-21 at home a week after a 24-10 victory at Mississippi to earn a spot in the title game in just its second year in the league.
TV: 4 p.m. ET, CBS.
LINE: Auburn opened as a 1.5-point fave but has been bet to +1.5. The total is up one point to 59.
WEATHER: N/A.
ABOUT MISSOURI (11-1, 10-1-1 ATS): The Tigers surged to the top of the SEC East on the strength of a balanced offense led by senior quarterback James Franklin, who has passed for 1,952 yards with 16 touchdowns and four interceptions and rushed for 412 yards and 3 TDs, and an opportunistic defense. They average 489.5 total yards and rank 18th in the nation in rushing (236.9) with Henry Josey leading the way (951 yards, 13 TDs). The defense is tied for fourth in the nation with 37 sacks, has forced 27 turnovers and has at least one takeaway in 42 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the FBS.
ABOUT AUBURN (11-1, 10-2 ATS): Malzahn has overseen the biggest turnaround in the nation after the Tigers went 3-9 a year ago but have returned to the national prominence they enjoyed when he was the offensive coordinator. Tre Mason, the SEC's leading rusher with 1,317 yards and 18 TDs, and dual threat quarterback Nick Marshall (1,627 passing yards, 11 TDs, 5 INTs; 922 rushing yards, 10 TDs) lead an offense that ranks fifth in rushing (318.3) and 15th in total yards (491). The Tigers have been less impressive defensively, but they held Alabama to seven points in the second half.
TRENDS:
* Missouri is 13-3-1 ATS in its last 17 games overall.
* Auburn is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games following a SU win.
* Under is 4-1 in Missouri's last five games overall.
* Over is 7-1 in Auburn's last eight games following a SU win.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. Malzahn and Missouri's Gary Pinkel are among the three finalists for the Maxwell Coach of the Year Award, along with Duke's David Cutcliffe.
2. With a win, Pinkel (101-62) would pass Don Faurot as Missouri's all-time winningest coach.
3. Auburn has scored 30 points or more in eight straight contests and has won 87 consecutive games when hitting the 30-point plateau, while Missouri is one of three teams in the nation to hold all of its opponents to 28 points or fewer.
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Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves
Championship Saturday is one of the biggest days for college football betting, despite having limited action on the board. We talk to Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag about the betting patterns and line adjustments for some of Saturday’s massive matchups:
Missouri Tigers vs. Auburn Tigers – Open: -2.5 Move: +1.5
This line has moved as many four points at some books, with sharp money hitting Missouri hard in the SEC Championship Game.
Auburn, coming off an unbelievable win over Alabama in the Iron Bowl, is primed for a letdown but this massive move may have money coming back on War Eagle before kickoff. According to Perry, Auburn has drawn most of the public money for this game.
“Fifty-seven percent of money on spread is backing Auburn and 60 percent of moneyline cash is on Auburn,” says Perry. “Ninety-five percent of the action on the total is backing the Over.”
Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles – Open: -30, Move: -28.5, Move: -29.5
With some uncertainty around FSU QB Jameis Winston status, early money took this spread down as low as Duke +28.5. But since Winston was cleared of assault charges Thursday, money has shown up on the Seminoles and has brought the line back up to FSU -29.5.
“After just a few hours, we got a small sharp play on Duke, so moved to +29.5. Early Thursday, we moved line in Blue Devils favor to -28.5, bracing for a possible suspension to Jameis Winston,” Perry says. “However, when it was announced that he will not be charged with any crime, the line went back up to -29.5. Sixty-eight percent of the money on the spread is on Duke.”
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans – Open: +6, Move: +5
Early action wasn’t convinced by Ohio State’s undefeated record and trimmed this spread as much as a point at some markets. The Buckeyes have dominated the Spartans at the window in recent games, going 6-2-1 ATS in their last three meetings.
“Sixty percent of the money on spread is backing MSU and 73 percent of the moneyline cash is on the Spartans,” says Perry.
Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils – Open: -4, Move: +3
Action on the underdog has slid this spread to the key number of a field goal. Stanford defeated the Sun Devils, 42-28, at home in Week 4, covering as a 6.5-point home favorite. However, ASU has won seven in a row, posting a 5-2 ATS mark in the stretch.
“Yet another game that has shifted in favor of the underdog,” says Perry. The Sun Devils opened -4 and on Monday morning we got a wiseguy play on the Cardinal for a rather large amount, so moved right to -3. Seventy percent of the money on the spread is on Stanford and 80 percent of moneyline cash is also on Stanford."Comment
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NCAAF
Saturday, December 7
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Big Ten Championship: What bettors need to know
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Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan State Spartans (+5, 51.5)
Game will be payed at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana.
Ohio State had one major obstacle toward its quest for a national title removed last week when Alabama lost to Auburn. The second-ranked Buckeyes can increase their odds of a berth in the BCS Championship Game dramatically Saturday when they meet No. 9 Michigan State in the Big Ten title game at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Ohio State has won a school-record 24 straight games but needed a failed two-point try in the final seconds last week to escape Michigan with a one-point victory.
Despite the Buckeyes’ long winning streak, perhaps no team in the conference is playing as well as the Spartans, who have won eight in a row. Michigan State became the first Big Ten team to win all of its league games by at least 10 points since the conference went to an eight-game schedule in 1971. Although the Spartans could end up in the Rose Bowl for the first time since 1988 regardless of Saturday’s outcome, they could assure themselves a school-record 12th win with a victory.
TV: 8:17 p.m. ET, Fox.
LINE: The line opened with the Buckeyes as 5.5-point faves and have been bet down to -5. The total hasn't moved fro 51.5.
WEATHER: N/A.
ABOUT OHIO STATE (12-0, 6-5-1 ATS): Carlos Hyde is the first running back under coach Urban Meyer to rush for more than 1,000 yards in a season and needs 33 more to become the seventh player in school history to run for 3,000 in a career. Quarterback Braxton Miller trails Hyde by 90 rushing yards and is also 166 total yards shy of joining Art Schlichter as the only Buckeyes to reach 8,000 in their career. Miller and Hyde have combined to rush for 1,070 yards and 13 touchdowns over the past three games against Illinois, Indiana and Michigan.
ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (11-1, 7-4-1 ATS): The Spartans boast the nation’s top rushing, total and pass efficiency defense and complement it with the fifth-best turnover margin (plus-15) in FBS. They are also second nationally in third-down defense (28.7 percent) and fourth in scoring defense (11.8 points per game)."It's by far the best defense I've ever been a part of. It's got to rival the best defenses ever at Michigan State – forget the last seven years," defensive coordinator Pat Narduzzi said.
TRENDS:
* Under is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Ohio State is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Michigan State is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. Both teams went 8-0 in conference play, marking just the second time since 1943 that two Big Ten teams finished with perfect league marks.
2. Michigan State has kept five out of last six opponents out of the end zone.
3. Meyer notched his first conference win as Ohio State coach when these teams last met in September 2012.
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NCAAF
Saturday, December 7
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Texas at Baylor: What bettors need to know
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Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (-16.5, 73)
Baylor's BCS dreams are hanging by a thread, but the No. 7 Bears - and their opponent Saturday, No. 24 Texas - can each still win the Big 12 title with a victory this weekend. If Oklahoma State loses to Oklahoma earlier Saturday, then either the Bears or the visiting Longhorns can win the conference championship outright. If Oklahoma State wins, Baylor will try to salvage a BCS at-large berth after scuffling to the finish line the last two weeks.
The Bears, who have not won an outright league title since 1980, were dominated 49-17 by Oklahoma State on Nov. 23 and barely squeaked by a 4-8 Texas Christian team last week. Still, coach Art Briles knows that an outright league title and a BCS berth would be extremely significant for his blossoming program, saying "it would be tremendous for Baylor University, for our football team and everybody that loves this university. It would be one of the defining moments, I think, for Baylor football." Texas also could sneak into the BCS party with a win and a loss by Oklahoma State, although the Longhorns need to start faster after falling behind at least 7-0 in each of their last three games.
TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, Fox.
LINE: Baylor opened -13.5 and is up to -16.5. The total is currently 73.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-20s. There is a 30 percent chance of ice pellets in the forecast..
ABOUT TEXAS (8-3, 7-1 Big 12): The Longhorns have scored at least 30 points in seven of their last eight contests, thanks in large part to an improved rushing attack that rolled up 281 yards and three touchdowns against Texas Tech on Thanksgiving night. Case McCoy threw a pair of touchdowns against the Red Raiders and perhaps more importantly did not throw an interception for the first time in six games. On the defensive side of the ball, Baylor quarterback Bryce Perry will be under constant duress from Texas' talented tandem of defensive ends, Jackson Jeffcoat and Cedric Reed, who have combined for 19 sacks this season.
ABOUT BAYLOR (10-1, 7-1): Despite a pair of disappointing performances the last two weeks, Baylor has a chance to break the all-time record for points per game (56, 1944 Army) and yards per game (624.9, 1989 Houston). The Bears, who are currently averaging 55.4 points and 635.1 yards, have received a stunningly efficient season from Perry, as the junior quarterback has 3,557 passing yards with 28 touchdowns and two interceptions, in addition to 11 rushing scores. A fast start for Texas is even more critical when you consider that the average halftime score for the Bears this season is Baylor leading its opponent 34.9 to 9.7.
TRENDS:
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 5-1 in Longhorns last six games overall.
* Bears are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. Texas has won 17 of the last 20 meetings, including a 56-50 victory last season.
2. Longhorns K Anthony Fera has made 15 straight field goals, tying the school record set by Phil Dawson in 1996-97.
3. The Bears have never won 11 games in a season, finishing with 10 victories in 1980 and 2011.
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