The Bum's December's NBA POD'S-Trends-Stats-News !

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Monday

December 9, 2013


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mavericks are 12-0 ATS (9.12 ppg) since Mar 08, 2010 on the road with at least one day of rest after a win on the road in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Magic are 11-0 OU (12.77 ppg) since Mar 16, 2005 on the road with no rest after a loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Clippers are 10-0 OU (12.10 ppg) since Mar 04, 2012 after Blake Griffin shot worse than 33% from the field.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Clippers are 0-10 ATS (-8.05 ppg) since Feb 27, 2008 as a favorite with at most one day of rest when their DPS was minus 15 points or less in their previous game.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Kings are 10-0 OU (16.55 ppg) since Feb 14, 2007 as a dog with at most one day of rest off an overtime game as an away dog.

-- The Mavericks are 0-8 ATS (-10.69 ppg) since May 25, 2011 after Dirk Nowitzki shot better than 50% from the arc in a road win.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday Tips

December 9, 2013


Warriors at Bobcats - 7:05 PM EST

Golden State: 12-9 SU, 10-9-2 ATS
Charlotte: 9-11 SU, 12-7-1 ATS

The Warriors wrap up a three-game road trip tonight after splitting the first two contests at Houston and Memphis. Golden State has played six of its last seven games away from the Bay Area, but put together its most complete performance of this span with a blowout of the Grizzlies on Saturday, 108-82 to snap an 11-game skid against Memphis. The Warriors have drilled the 'under' in six of the past eight road contests, while playing only their second Eastern Conference squad on the highway.

In spite of a below .500 record, the Bobcats have turned into one of the more competitive teams in the Eastern Conference. Charlotte is 10-5-1 ATS as an underdog this season, but owns a 1-4 SU/ATS the last five opportunities in the home 'dog role. The Bobcats' defense has stepped up all season, while posting a 6-0-1 mark to the 'under' the last seven games at Time Warner Cable Arena.

Clippers at 76ers - 7:05 PM EST

Los Angeles: 13-8 SU, 11-10 ATS
Philadelphia: 7-14 SU, 9-12 ATS

The Clippers continue a seven-game road swing as L.A. tries to rebound off an 88-82 defeat at Cleveland on Saturday as six-point favorites. Los Angeles was limited to 32% shooting from the floor at Cleveland, while scoring a season-low 82 points. The Clips have done a solid job of bouncing back off a loss this season by going 5-2 SU/ATS, including a 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS mark on the road.

The 76ers have lost eight of their past 10 games, with the only two wins in this span coming in overtime. Philadelphia was trounced by Denver on Saturday, 103-92, as star rookie Michael Carter-Williams missed his sixth game of the season due to injury (1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS). The Sixers have failed to cover in each of their last six games, while giving up at least 100 points in nine consecutive contests.

Nuggets at Wizards - 7:05 PM EST

Denver: 12-8 SU, 11-9 ATS
Washington: 9-10 SU, 10-9 ATS

The Nuggets finish off their six-game highway swing in the Nation's Capital tonight after snapping a two-game skid in Saturday's triumph at Philadelphia. Denver has posted a 3-2 SU/ATS record on this trip, while the previous five teams all own records below .500 on the season. Brian Shaw's team has won 11 of its past 15 games following a 1-4 start, while limiting five of their last six opponents to fewer than 100 points.

The Wizards have won seven of their past 10 contests, despite coming off an overtime loss to Milwaukee on Friday night. Washington has captured both games in the role of a home underdog this season, beating Brooklyn and Minnesota, while winning five of its previous six games at the Verizon Center. The Wizards surprisingly pulled off a season sweep of the Nuggets last season, while putting up 112 and 119 points in the two wins.

Magic at Grizzlies - 8:05 PM EST

Orlando: 6-14 SU, 10-10 ATS
Memphis: 9-10 SU, 6-12-1 ATS

Orlando has turned into a disappearing act on the road this season, losing nine of 10 games away from central Florida, including last night's 98-88 defeat at Houston. The Magic managed a cover as 13-point underdogs, but Orlando is riding a five-game losing streak, while scoring 91 points or less four times in this span.

The Grizzlies are coming off back-to-back home blowout losses to the Warriors and Clippers, while averaging 81.5 points in those defeats. Home has not been kind to Memphis recently, as the Grizzlies have lost six of their past seven games at FedEx Forum, while scoring 88 points or less in each setback. The good news for Memphis is this team has not lost three straight games this season, snapping a pair of two-game skids with the wins over the Lakers and Celtics last month.

Blazers at Jazz - 9:05 PM EST

Portland: 17-4 SU, 15-6 ATS
Utah: 4-18 SU, 9-12-1 ATS

The Blazers are coming off their fourth loss of the season after losing at the buzzer to Dallas on Saturday night. Portland hasn't dropped consecutive games this season, as the Blazers routed the Jazz on Friday, 130-98, while drilling 17 three-pointers in the blowout. The Blazers have finished 'over' the total in six of the last seven road contests, while going 8-0 on the highway against any team not named Phoenix (0-2 vs. Suns).

Utah blew a late lead in Saturday's overtime home defeat to Sacramento, but the Jazz has fared better as a home 'dog this season. Although Utah is 5-5 ATS when receiving points at home, the Jazz has beaten the Bulls, Rockets, and Pelicans in the home 'dog role. Tyrone Corbin's team is riding a 5-1 run to the 'over' the last six games, while allowing at least 103 points five times in this span.

Mavericks at Kings - 10:05 PM EST

Dallas: 13-8 SU, 11-10 ATS
Sacramento: 5-13 SU, 6-11-1 ATS

The Mavericks are starting to pick things up of late by winning three in a row, including road triumphs at New Orleans and Portland. Dallas has won and covered two of three games in the away favorite role, but the Mavs have failed to cash in their last five 'chalk' opportunities. Rick Carlisle's squad is just 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS on the road off a win, as the Mavs have been listed as a favorite once in this situation, a one-point loss at Atlanta.

The Kings made waves on Sunday by pulling off a major trade which sends Rudy Gay from Toronto to Sacramento in a seven-player deal. Gay will not suit up for the Kings tonight, as Sacramento has lost four consecutive games at Sleep Train Arena. Sacramento did snap its six-game skid on Saturday with an overtime triumph at Utah, but the Kings have won back-to-back contests only once this season.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Golden State at Charlotte
The Warriors travel to Charlotte tonight to face a Bobcats team that is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games against NBA Pacific Division opponents. Golden State is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 9

Game 701-702: LA Clippers at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 120.069; Philadelphia 113.308
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 208
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Golden State at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 120.417; Charlotte 111.222
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 9; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Denver at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 119.162; Washington 122.170
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 3; 212
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Orlando at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 110.314; Memphis 123.299
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 13; 185
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Portland at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.081; Utah 119.944
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 711-712: Dallas at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.629; Sacramento 114.261
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4); Under




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 9

Hot teams
-- Warriors won five of their last seven games.
-- Nuggets won eight of their last ten games. Washington won five of its last seven games.
-- Trailblazers won eight of their last ten games.
-- Dallas won its last three games, by 7-3-2 points.

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost four of its last six games.
-- Clippers lost three of their last four games. 76ers lost six of last seven.
-- Orlando lost its last five games (2-3 vs spread). Memphis lost five of its last seven games.
-- Jazz lost last three games, by 9-32-10 points.
-- Sacramento lost six of its last seven games.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Golden State road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Memphis games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Utah games, last six Blazer games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Sacramento games went over the total.

Series records
-- Warriors won last two games with Charlotte, are 4-5 in last nine.
-- Clippers won last three games with Philly by 1-17-29 points.
-- Washington beat Nuggets twice LY, by 4-6 points.
-- Grizzlies won last four games with Orlando (three by 12+ points).
-- Jazz lost by 32 at Portland Friday, just their second loss in last nine series games.
-- Dallas won five in row, 15 of last 16 games with Sacramento.




NBA

Monday, December 9

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DENVER vs. WASHINGTON
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Denver

7:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. PHILADELPHIA
LA Clippers are 4-12 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
LA Clippers are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Golden State's last 15 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 9 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Orlando is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Memphis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. UTAH
Portland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Portland

10:00 PM
DALLAS vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas


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NBA

Monday, December 9

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Bank shots: NBA's weekly betting news and notes
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Each week, we look back on the NBA betting scene and give you the best - and worst - basketball bets, as well as some spots to keep an eye on with the upcoming schedule.

For the week of Dec. 1 to 7.

Hottest ATS - Detroit Pistons (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)

The Pistons have really revved up their game of late, winning four games in a row, which included a three game road trip with stops in Miami and Chicago. Detroit has now covered in six of the past eight games and are in second place in the Central Division. Andre Drummond has been an absolute monster for the Pistons during the winning streak, averaging 18.3 points and 17.5 rebounds per game. This week the Pistons host a rematch with the Heat, then they face off against Minnesota at home, before heading on the road to take on New Orleans and then Brooklyn back at home.


Coldest ATS - Philadelphia 76ers (1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS)

After the 76ers impressive start to the season, they have really struggled of late, winning only once in their past seven games and they haven't covered the spread six games in a row. On defense the Sixers are giving up a league worst 110.2 points per game and are the second to last team in the league when it comes to defensive rebounding. At the offensive end the Sixers are really struggling to sink the 3-ball, only shooting 32 percent from downtown. This week the Sixers host the L.A. Clippers, then go on the road to face Minnesota and Toronto, before returning home to take on Portland.


Best Over play - Portland Trail Blazers (4-1 SU, 5-0 O/U)

The Blazers continue to play great basketball after notching wins against top contenders Oklahoma City and Indiana this week. Portland now sits atop the Northwest Division with a 17-4 record and are the second highest scoring team in the NBA, netting 106.2 points per game. In fact,they also rank in the top 10 in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage, free throw percentage and offensive rebounds per game. The Blazers will look to hit the Over for the seventh time in a row this week when they take on Utah, before matchups with Houston and Philadelphia.


Best Under play - Charlotte Bobcats (1-2 SU, 1-2 O/U)

Despite the fact the Bobcats hit the over once this week, they are still the best Under play in the NBA this season and are the best Under play in Bank Shots two weeks in a row. The Bobcats have done this by going 11-1-1 O/U in their last 13 games and that trend should still be a solid play going forward thanks to their combination of good defense and lousy offense. The Bobcats are second in the league in points against per game at 91.5, but are dead last in points per game, field goal percentage and 3-point percentage. This week the Bobcats face Golden State, Orlando, Indiana and the L.A. Lakers.


Surveying the Schedule:

Can we just fast forward to the Eastern Conference Final please? The Miami Heat at 15-5 and the Indiana Pacers at 18-2 are clearly the class of the conference and it would be nice if we could skip past all these needless regular season games and jump straight to the playoffs. The two teams meet on Tuesday in Miami for the first time since the Heat eliminated the Pacers in last year's conference finals. The Heat are 10-10 ATS and 11-9 O/U, while the Pacers are now a league best 15-5 ATS and 7-13 O/U.

[Udog]

Thanks, Bum! Good luck tonight! I was kinda liking the Griz til I saw your pick. I'm glad I didn't book it before I saw who you liked.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 9

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LA CLIPPERS (13 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (7 - 14) - 12/9/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (12 - 9) at CHARLOTTE (9 - 11) - 12/9/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 42-58 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 30-53 ATS (-28.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 6-26 ATS (-22.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (12 - 8) at WASHINGTON (9 - 10) - 12/9/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (6 - 14) at MEMPHIS (9 - 10) - 12/9/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (17 - 4) at UTAH (4 - 18) - 12/9/2013, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (13 - 8) at SACRAMENTO (5 - 13) - 12/9/2013, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 58-44 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, December 9

LA Clippers at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
LA Clippers: 11-9 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite
Philadelphia: 2-10 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games

Golden State at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Golden State: 54-34 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
Charlotte: 4-13 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days

Denver at Washington, 7:05 ET
Denver: 9-2 ATS after playing 4 consecutive road games
Washington: 2-5 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite

Orlando at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Orlando: 17-7 ATS after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists
Memphis: 2-9 ATS in home games

Portland at Utah, 9:05 ET
Portland: 6-1 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days
Utah: 12-20 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more

Dallas at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Dallas: 19-7 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5
Sacramento: 11-24 ATS against Southwest division opponents

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Update

Game 701-702: LA Clippers at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 120.069; Philadelphia 113.308
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 208
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+8 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Denver at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 119.162; Washington 122.170
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 3; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2); Over

Game 707-708: Orlando at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 110.314; Memphis 123.299
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 13; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 9; 188
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-9); Under

Game 709-710: Portland at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.081; Utah 119.944
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+7 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday

December 10, 2013

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Hawks are 9-0 ATS (5.94 ppg) since Apr 07, 2012 after a game at home in which they had at least thirty assists.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Knicks are 10-0 OU (16.45 ppg) since Nov 22, 2008 with at most one day of rest after a loss in which they shot less than 35% from the field.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bulls are 0-11 OU (-10.45 ppg) since Jan 05, 2008 at home after Joakim Noah shot worse than 33% from the field in a home loss.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Suns are 10-0 OU (16.05 ppg) since Mar 10, 2009 when less than 50% of their baskets were assisted for two straight games.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Knicks are 0-10-1 OU (-10.64 ppg) since Dec 17, 2012 after JR Smith shot worse than 33% from the field at home.

-- The Pistons are 8-0 ATS (10.31 ppg) since Nov 29, 2009 at home after a game at home in which they allowed at least 55% from the field.

[StarDust Bum]

Heat, Pacers clash

December 10, 2013


Miami Heat (16-5) at Indiana Pacers (18-3)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Indiana -3.5, Total: 190

Two of the Eastern Conference’s elite teams square off on Tuesday night when the Heat wrap up their four-game road trip versus the Pacers.

Miami defeated the Pistons 110-95 on Sunday to win its second straight road game both SU and ATS, but that same night Indiana got destroyed by the Thunder 118-94 in the second game of a road back-to-back.

The Pacers and Heat have not met since Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals last season where Miami rolled to a 99-76 home win despite shooting just 39.5% FG. Over the past three seasons, the Pacers are 10-10 ATS (8-12 SU) in this series, including 6-4 (SU and ATS) when hosting the Heat.

As the coach of Miami, Erik Spoelstra is 27-12 ATS (69%) in road games after two straight double-digit wins. Indiana, however, is 12-3 ATS (80%) as a favorite this season and 22-7 ATS (76%) off a road loss over the past two seasons.

On the injury front, shooting guard Dwyane Wade (knee) will likely play in this game for Miami, but small forward Michael Beasley (hamstring) is questionable.

Miami has bounced back from a two-game losing skid with two wins in a row over the Timberwolves and Pistons, outshooting these two clubs 55% FG to 36% FG. The Heat have played great team basketball to start the year despite being without Dwyane Wade at times this season.

Miami is averaging 23.9 APG (5th in NBA), which has helped lead to 103.5 PPG (6th in league). The defense has also been stellar, as the Heat are allowing just 95.9 PPG (6th in NBA). LeBron James has played at an MVP level once again this season, leading the team in points (25.4 PPG), rebounds (6.2 RPG) and assists (6.3 APG). He also dominated Indiana in the playoffs with 29.0 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 5.3 APG, 1.4 SPG and 1.4 BPG in the seven-game series.

Miami will need Chris Bosh (14.1 PPG, 6.0 RPG) to play better as the Pacers have one of the best frontcourts in the league. Bosh has struggled shooting the ball over the past three games, averaging just 11.3 PPG on 41% FG (0-of-6 threes), and was held to 11.0 PPG on 38% FG and 4.3 RPG in the playoffs versus Indiana.

Wade (18.5 PPG, 5.3 APG, 4.7 RPG) must also play well for the Heat against this relentless Pacers defense, but Wade may be a bit sluggish after missing three of the Heat’s past four games. Wade had an inconsistent series versus Indiana, but still averaged a solid 15.4 PPG, 5.1 RPG and 4.3 APG in the seven games.

Indiana is 18-3 SU (15-6 ATS), but lost its most recent game to the Thunder in pretty horrific fashion, getting outshot 61% FG to 40% FG. Still, the Pacers are one of the toughest teams in the league and will be a very difficult matchup for the Heat, who lack an interior presence. Indiana has the league’s best defense, allowing an NBA-low 89.5 PPG on 40.8% FG, while ranking sixth in the league in rebounding margin (+3.2 RPG).

Paul George (25.1 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 3.4 APG) has been outstanding this season, and over the past five games, he's averaging 29.8 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 3.6 APG and 2.0 SPG. His length makes life on LeBron James a little tougher than usual, and he had a huge East Finals last year with 19.4 PPG, 6.0 RPG and 5.1 APG, but also committed 32 turnovers in the seven games.

Center Roy Hibbert (12.4 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 3.1 BPG) will draw Chris Bosh on defense and he should be able to take advantage of that matchup, as his 7-foot-2, 290-pound frame will be overwhelming. Hibbert had little trouble scoring on the small Miami lineup in the playoffs with 22.1 PPG (56% FG), 10.4 RPG in the seven-game series.

Point guard George Hill (11.7 PPG, 3.9 APG) has a very winnable matchup against Mario Chalmers at the point guard position, but he has struggled recently with only 8.7 PPG and 2.0 APG over the past three games. Hill must find his stroke (40% FG this season) to make the Heat pay for double-teaming Hibbert or power forward David West (12.8 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 3.1 APG), who tallied 16.6 PPG and 8.9 RPG against Miami in the East Finals.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Miami at Indiana
The Pacers look to bounce back from their 118-94 loss to Oklahoma City on Sunday and build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a loss by 10 or more points. Indiana is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 10

Game 501-502: Miami at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 117.886; Indiana 131.094
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 13; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 190
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3); Over

Game 503-504: New York at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 119.161; Cleveland 112.904
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 3; 189
Dunkel Pick: New York (+3); Under

Game 505-506: San Antonio at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 128.723; Toronto 118.187
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 198
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7); Over

Game 507-508: Minnesota at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.013; Detroit 117.703
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Boston at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.405; Brooklyn 118.465
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-2); Over

Game 511-512: Oklahoma City at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.050; Atlanta 121.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 203
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5); Under

Game 513-514: Milwaukee at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 110.389; Chicago 120.470
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 10; 183
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 515-516: Phoenix at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.269; LA Lakers 121.573
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 206
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-3); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 10

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MIAMI (16 - 5) at INDIANA (18 - 3) - 12/10/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 10-10 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 12-8 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (5 - 14) at CLEVELAND (7 - 13) - 12/10/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (15 - 4) at TORONTO (7 - 12) - 12/10/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 112-85 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 90-67 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 126-86 ATS (+31.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 275-213 ATS (+40.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 117-80 ATS (+29.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 325-265 ATS (+33.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (9 - 11) at DETROIT (10 - 11) - 12/10/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (10 - 12) at BROOKLYN (6 - 14) - 12/10/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 30-53 ATS (-28.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 51-76 ATS (-32.6 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 4) at ATLANTA (11 - 10) - 12/10/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 253-206 ATS (+26.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 57-41 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (4 - 16) at CHICAGO (8 - 10) - 12/10/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (11 - 9) at LA LAKERS (10 - 10) - 12/10/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) first half of the season this season.
LA LAKERS are 77-103 ATS (-36.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 10

Hot teams
-- Cavaliers won three of their last four games.
-- Pacers are 18-3 SU, 6-3 vs spread at home. Miami covered seven of its ten road games.
-- Thunder won 10 of their last 11 games (6-3 vs spread in last nine). Atlanta won its last three home games, by 2-10-19 points.
-- Celtics won four of their last five games.
-- Pistons won four of their last five games.
-- Suns won six of last nine games, are 9-2 vs spread on road. Lakers won six of their last nine games, are 7-3-1 vs spread at home.

Cold Teams
-- New York lost ten of its last twelve games.
-- Raptors lost five of their last six games (1-5 vs spread). San Antonio lost three of its last five games.
-- Nets lost seven of last ten games, are 2-6 vs spread at home.
-- Timberwolves lost five of their last six games.
-- Bucks lost 14 of their last 16 games. Chicago lost seven of last nine.

Totals
-- Seven of Knicks' nine road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Miami games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine San Antonio games went over total.
-- Last four Atlanta games went over the total.
-- 10 of 12 Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee road games went over total.
-- Five of last six Phoenix games went over the total.

Series records
-- Knicks won five of their last six games with Cleveland.
-- Heat lost four of their last five visits to Indiana.
-- Spurs won their last five games with Toronto (2-2-1 vs spread).
-- Thunder won three of last four visits to Atlanta, winning by 3-7-8.
-- Nets won three of their last four games with Boston.
-- Pistons lost their last six games with Minnesota.
-- Bulls won eight of last ten games vs Milwaukee; dogs covered last five series games. Road teams won six of last seven.
-- Suns lost last five games at the Lakers (2-3 vs spread).

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, December 10

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. INDIANA
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 13 games when playing Miami

7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. TORONTO
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Minnesota

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 15 games on the road
Boston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Boston
Brooklyn is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

7:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. ATLANTA
Oklahoma City is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Atlanta is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHICAGO
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home
Chicago is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

10:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. LA LAKERS
Phoenix is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of the LA Lakers last 20 games when playing at home against Phoenix
LA Lakers are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, December 10

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Heat at Pacers: What bettors need to know
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Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers (-3, 189)

The Indiana Pacers just completed a five-game road trip that put them up against some of the top teams in the Western Conference. Their reward for posting a 3-2 record on that excursion is a return home to host the defending champion Miami Heat on Tuesday. Indiana took the Heat to seven games in the Eastern Conference finals last spring before falling just short and has been waiting for another crack at LeBron James and company.

While some of the Pacers players were upset with the way the road trip ended - a 118-94 loss at Oklahoma City - coach Frank Vogel saw the trip as a positive overall. “It was a good trip,” Vogel said. “You’re playing four of the top teams in the Western Conference in their building, two of them on the second night of a back-to-back, on a nine-day trip. That’s a brutal schedule.” The Heat are coming to the end of a four-game road trip and knocked off Minnesota and Detroit by a combined 36 points on Saturday and Sunday.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBATV, Sun Sports (Miami), FSN Indiana

NBA POWER RANKINGS: Heat (-14.5) - Pacers (-13.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Pacers -1.5

ABOUT THE HEAT (16-5, 11-10 ATS): Miami looked lifeless is back-to-back losses last week but got Dwyane Wade back from the flu on Saturday and watched as James flirted with triple-doubles against both the Timberwolves and the Pistons. James is more focused on fixing the small issues with his own team than getting too worked up about the matchup with the Pacers. “Obviously, everybody is going to make it as a marquee game on Tuesday but I don’t really get too much involved in regular-season matchups, especially early in December,” James said. “They’re a great team right now, the way they’re playing basketball. We’re trying to get healthy, trying to get to our full potential.”

ABOUT THE PACERS (18-3, 15-6 ATS): Indiana built up its top record in the Eastern Conference largely on the strength of its team defense and the brilliance of Paul George. While George continues to excel at the offensive end, the team defense surrendered at least 100 points in four of the five games on the trip after allowing an opponent to reach the century mark just once in the first 16 games. The Pacers allowed the Thunder to shoot a season-high 61 percent in Sunday’s setback and George (32 points) was the only player to score more than 12 for Indiana.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Indiana.
* Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
* Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Indiana.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Pacers took two of the three regular-season meeting in 2012-13 - both at home.

2. Miami F Michael Beasley (hamstring) sat out Sunday and is questionable for Tuesday.

3. George averaged 29.8 points on the five-game road trip and went 27-for-28 from the free-throw line.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, December 10

Miami at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Miami: 18-8 Over after scoring 110 or more points
Indiana: 14-4 ATS after road loss by 10 or more points

NY Knicks at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
NY Knicks: 7-0 Under as road dog this season
Cleveland: 0-7 ATS when favored this season

San Antonio at Toronto, 7:05 ET
San Antonio: 12-2 ATS after losing as a home favorite
Toronto: 21-10 Over after losing four of their last five games

Minnesota at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Minnesota: 12-2 ATS off SU home loss by 10 or more points
Detroit: 18-7 Over after beating the line in three of last four games

Boston at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Boston: 10-2 Under away this season
Brooklyn: 4-14 ATS home of SU road win

Oklahoma City at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Oklahoma City: 23-11 ATS after scoring 110 or more points
Atlanta: 3-12 ATS home off SU home win

Milwaukee at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Milwaukee:
Chicago:

Phoenix at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
Phoenix: 11-2 ATS as underdog this season
LA Lakers: 2-12 ATS off SU loss as home favorite