The Bum's December's NBA POD'S-Trends-Stats-News !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, December 10

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Heat's "Big Three" are rare NBA underdogs in Indiana
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The Miami Heat are underdogs for the first time this season, visiting the Eastern Conference-leading Indiana Pacers as 3-point road pups Tuesday.

The last time the Heat were getting the points, it was Game 3 of the NBA Finals in San Antonio and they were blown out 113-77 as 2-point underdogs. Miami closed as the betting favorite in all seven games against the Pacers in the Eastern Conference finals, going 4-3 ATS in that series.

Since the formation of the “Big Three” – LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh – the Heat have only been underdogs 33 times, going 16-15-2 ATS (against the spread) and 16-17 SU (straight up).

Here’s a look at how Miami has made out when getting the points in both the regular season and NBA Playoffs:

2010/2011 regular season: 6-4-1 ATS
2010/2011 postseason: 3-3-1 ATS

2011/2012 regular season: 0-4 ATS
2011/2012 postseason: 1-2 ATS

2012/2013 regular season: 6-1 ATS
2012/2013 postseason: 0-1 ATS

[StarDust Bum]

December Totals:

*****....................12 - 12

Double Pod..............4 - 1

Triple Pod................1 - 0


Tuesday, December 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

New York - 7:00 PM ET Cleveland -2.5 500
Cleveland - Over 190 500

Miami - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -3.5 500 *****
Indiana - Under 191.5 500

San Antonio - 7:00 PM ET San Antonio -8 500
Toronto - Over 199 500 *****

Oklahoma City - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta +3.5 500
Atlanta - Over 203.5 500

Boston - 7:30 PM ET Boston +2 500 *****
Brooklyn - Under 193.5 500

Minnesota - 7:30 PM ET Minnesota +1 500
Detroit - Over 205.5 500

Milwaukee - 8:00 PM ET Chicago -7.5 500
Chicago - Under 181 500

Phoenix - 10:30 PM ET Phoenix +3 500 *****
L.A. Lakers - Under 205.5 500 *****

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

December 11, 2013


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bucks are 0-10 ATS (-9.75 ppg) since Mar 11, 2006 at home off a win in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter on the road.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Warriors are 0-10 OU (-11.25 ppg) since Apr 02, 2011 when their opponent is playing in at least their fourth straight road game.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Spurs are 10-0 ATS (14.25 ppg) since Mar 21, 2012 after Daniel Green shot better than 66% from the field on the road.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Celtics are 0-10 ATS (-6.25 ppg) since Apr 21, 1996 as a home dog after a game on the road in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Warriors are 9-0 ATS (4.33 ppg) since Feb 12, 2012 at home after Stephen Curry scored at least 30 points on the road.

-- The Grizzlies are 7-0 OU (12.57 ppg) since Jan 28, 2013 after Mike Conley shot worse than 33% from the field at home.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday Tips

December 11, 2013


Magic at Bobcats - 7:05 PM EST

Orlando: 6-15 SU, 10-11 ATS
Charlotte: 10-11 SU, 13-7-1 ATS

The Magic continue to slide after dropping their sixth consecutive game on Monday at Memphis in a 94-85 defeat. Orlando rallied from a 23-point deficit to cut the lead down to four points in the final minutes, but eventually lost and pushed as nine-point underdogs. The defeat dropped the Magic to 1-10 on the highway, while going 0-5 SU and 2-2-1 ATS on their current six-game road swing. Orlando's offense has disappeared of late, scoring 91 points or less in five of the past six contests.

Charlotte picked up a nice wire-to-wire home victory over Golden State on Monday night as an underdog, 115-111. The Bobcats broke the 100-point mark for only the third time this season, while covering for the fifth consecutive game. The high-scoring output against the Warriors snapped a five-game 'under' streak at Time Warner Cable Arena, as the Bobcats seek their first three-game winning streak of the season on Wednesday.

Clippers at Celtics - 7:35 PM EST

Los Angeles: 14-8 SU, 12-10 ATS
Boston: 10-13 SU, 13-10 ATS

The Clippers have split the first four contests of a seven-game road trip, as Los Angeles travels to Boston on Wednesday for Doc Rivers' first visit to Beantown since leaving the Celtics. Following a disappointing defeat at Cleveland, the Clips rebounded by cruising past hapless Philadelphia, 94-83 as 9 ½-point road favorites, holding their third consecutive opponent to fewer than 88 points. The defense has helped cashed seven 'unders' in the last 10 games, including a 5-1 'under' mark away from Staples Center.

The Celtics play with no rest following Tuesday's loss at Brooklyn, as Boston owns a 2-4 SU and 4-2 ATS record on the second of a back-to-back (all four covers came as a 'dog of at least 9 ½ points). Boston has won three straight games at TD Garden, while putting together a 2-2 SU/ATS home record against Western Conference foes. Brad Stevens' club picked up a home 'dog win over the Nuggets last Friday, but Boston has lost three times when receiving points at home this season, all by at least seven points.

Pistons at Pelicans - 8:05 PM EST

Detroit: 10-12 SU, 11-11 ATS
New Orleans: 9-10 SU, 7-11-1 ATS

The Pistons fell behind early in last night's 121-94 home defeat to the Wolves, as Detroit heads to New Orleans tonight. Detroit has hit the 'over' in six of the last seven games, while going 4-1 to the 'over' this season with no rest. Maurice Cheeks' club has fared well away from the Palace of Auburn Hills recently by winning four straight road games, as the Pistons have eclipsed the 105-point mark three times in this span.

New Orleans is also coming off consecutive home losses, including a 14-point setback to Oklahoma City last Friday. The Pelicans shot just 37% from the floor, while playing in the Big Easy has been anything but recently with defeats to the Warriors, Thunder, and Mavericks in the last two weeks. As a favorite of less than six points, the Pelicans own a dreadful 1-6 ATS record this season.

Thunder at Grizzlies - 8:05 PM EST

Oklahoma City: 16-4 SU, 11-9 ATS
Memphis: 10-10 SU, 7-12-1 ATS

The Thunder heads to Memphis with no rest after holding off the Hawks on Tuesday, 101-92 as 3 ½-point road favorites. Oklahoma City has won 11 of its past 12 games, including four of its last five on the highway. The offense has picked things up during this hot streak, eclipsing the 100-point mark six times in the previous seven contests. OKC is playing just its third game with no rest this season, but the Thunder has lost each of the first two times in this situation at Golden State and Portland.

Memphis held off a late Orlando rally in Monday's 94-85 home victory to snap a two-game home skid, while winning just its second game at FedEx Forum in the previous eight attempts. The offense has struggled for Memphis at home, tallying just 94 points or less in seven of the past eight home contests. The Grizzlies are facing the Thunder for the first time since knocking out OKC in five games of last season's second round playoff matchup, while Memphis covered in all five contests.

Mavericks at Warriors - 10:35 PM EST

Dallas: 13-9 SU, 11-11 ATS
Golden State: 12-10 SU, 10-10-2 ATS

The Mavericks conclude a four-game road swing tonight, as Dallas looks to bounce back from Monday's disappointing effort at Sacramento. The Kings threw an early knockout punch by taking an 11-point lead and never looked back in a 112-97 home win, resulting in the sixth straight ATS loss for Dallas as a favorite. The good news for Dallas is the Mavericks have won two games on this trip as an underdog at New Orleans and Portland, while beating Golden State last month at home, 103-99.

The Warriors return to the Bay area after a 1-2 SU/ATS away trip, which was punctuated by a 115-111 loss at Charlotte on Monday as six-point favorites. Golden State has won six of eight games at Oracle Arena this season, but is playing for the second time at home since Thanksgiving. Mark Jackson's team has struggled to cover numbers this season as a favorite of six or less, cashing just once in seven opportunities.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Orlando at Charlotte
The Bobcats are coming off a 115-111 win over Golden State on Monday and look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games after scoring 100 or more points in the previous game as they host the Magic tonight. Charlotte is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Bobcats favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 11

Game 701-702: Orlando at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 110.009; Charlotte 120.406
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 10 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 6; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-6); Under

Game 703-704: LA Clippers at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 119.965; Boston 124.680
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6; 195
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+6); Over

Game 705-706: San Antonio at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 128.723; Milwaukee 111.792
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 17; 188
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 193
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-10); Under

Game 707-708: Detroit at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 120.260; New Orleans 119.824
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 206
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Philadelphia at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 107.818; Minnesota 123.149
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 15 1/2; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 12; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-12); Under

Game 711-712: Chicago at New York (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 119.772; New York 116.479
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 713-714: Oklahoma City at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.050; Memphis 122.392
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+6); Over

Game 715-716: Utah at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 112.486; Sacramento 122.660
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 10; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 7; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-7); Under

Game 717-718: Dallas at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 119.260; Golden State 120.641
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 209
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+6); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 11

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ORLANDO (6 - 15) at CHARLOTTE (10 - 11) - 12/11/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 43-58 ATS (-20.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (14 - 8) at BOSTON (10 - 13) - 12/11/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 66-102 ATS (-46.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
BOSTON is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (16 - 4) at MILWAUKEE (5 - 16) - 12/11/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 113-85 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 91-67 ATS (+17.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 276-213 ATS (+41.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 326-265 ATS (+34.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 196-251 ATS (-80.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (10 - 12) at NEW ORLEANS (9 - 10) - 12/11/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (7 - 15) at MINNESOTA (10 - 11) - 12/11/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-26 ATS (+22.4 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (8 - 11) at NEW YORK (5 - 15) - 12/11/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 4) at MEMPHIS (10 - 10) - 12/11/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 65-48 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 254-206 ATS (+27.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 9-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-5 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (4 - 19) at SACRAMENTO (6 - 13) - 12/11/2013, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 8-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (13 - 9) at GOLDEN STATE (12 - 10) - 12/11/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 293-230 ATS (+40.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 430-362 ATS (+31.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 135-103 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 11

Hot teams
-- Bobcats won last three home games, by 16-17-4 points.
-- Celtics won three of their last four games.
-- Thunder won 11 of last 12 games, covered last three.
-- Spurs won 14 of their last 17 games, but failed to cover their last three home games.
-- Pistons won their last four road games.
-- Kings won last two games, but are 4-9 vs spread at home.
-- Mavericks won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Magic lost their last six games (2-4 vs spread).
-- Clippers lost three of their last five games; this is Doc Rivers' return to Boston.
-- Grizzlies lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Milwaukee covered twice in its ten home games.
-- Minnesota lost five of its last seven games. 76ers lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Pelicans lost their last three home games.
-- Knicks covered once in their ten home games. Chicago lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Jazz are 0-4 SU/ATS in their last four games.
-- Warriors lost seven of their last eleven games.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Charlotte games stayed under.
-- Nine of 12 Clipper road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Memphis games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last ten San Antonio games went over total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five New York games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Utah games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Dallas-Golden State games stayed under.

Series records
-- Bobcats won their last three games with Orlando.
-- Clippers lost three of last four visits to Boston, losing by 13-6-2.
-- Grizzlies beat Oklahoma City in five games in LY's playoffs.
-- Spurs won six of last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Minnesota won last three games with Philly by 1-17-7 points.
-- Pistons lost four games at New Orleans by 3-8-19-5 points.
-- Knicks lost eight of last nine games with Chicago.
-- Jazz lost four of last five at Sacramento, losing by 9-7-11-11.
-- Warriors lost ten of last fourteen games with Dallas.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, December 11

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. CHARLOTTE
Orlando is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Orlando is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Charlotte's last 14 games
Charlotte is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Orlando

7:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the LA Clippers last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the LA Clippers last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when playing LA Clippers

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MEMPHIS
Oklahoma City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Oklahoma City is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Memphis is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Memphis is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing Minnesota
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. NEW YORK
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. NEW ORLEANS
Detroit is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
San Antonio is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
Milwaukee is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games

10:00 PM
UTAH vs. SACRAMENTO
Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Utah is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. GOLDEN STATE
Dallas is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Golden State
Dallas is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

[StarDust Bum]

December Totals:

*****....................15 - 13

Double Pod..............4 - 1

Triple Pod................1 - 0

Wednesday, December 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Orlando - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte -5 500 DOUBLE POD
Charlotte - Over 191.5 500

L.A. Clippers - 7:30 PM ET Boston +5 500
Boston - Over 196 500

Oklahoma City - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -6 500
Memphis - Over 190.5 500

San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET San Antonio -11 500 *****
Milwaukee - Under 191.5 500

Philadelphia - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota -13 500
Minnesota - Under 209 500

Detroit - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans -2.5 500 *****
New Orleans - Under 203.5 500

Chicago - 8:00 PM ET New York -3 500
New York - Under 183 500

Utah - 10:00 PM ET Sacramento -6.5 500 *****
Sacramento - Under 201.5 500

Dallas - 10:30 PM ET Golden State -5.5 500 DOUBLE POD
Golden State - Over 209.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Thursday

December 12, 2013


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nets are 0-11-1 ATS (-5.21 ppg) since Mar 17, 2011 as a home dog when they have a same-season revenge opportunity next game.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Rockets are 0-10 OU (-11.25 ppg) since Feb 26, 2002 with two or more days of rest after a game at home in which their opponent stole the ball at least twelve times.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Trailblazers are 12-0 OU (10.2 ppg) since Mar 01, 2009 at home after Nicolas Batum scored fewer than 10 points in a road win by at least three points.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Nets are 8-0 ATS (11.25) and OU (9.25 ppg) since Feb 13, 2013 when less than 50% of their baskets were assisted for two straight games.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Rockets are 6-0 OU (15.25 ppg) since Nov 02, 2012 after James Harden had at least 10 assists.

-- The Nets are 0-7 OU (-7.00 ppg) since Feb 22, 2013 at home after Brook Lopez was not the Nets’ high scorer in a win.

[StarDust Bum]

Inside the Paint - Thursday

December 12, 2013


The biggest surprise of the NBA season has been Portland, who has started the season with an 18-4 record, which is the best record in the Western Conference. Along with the top mark, the Trail Blazers have also helped cash tickets at the betting counter with a 16-6 ledger against the spread and that’s tied for the best mark in the league with Indiana.

At the beginning of the season, the LVH SuperBook in Las Vegas had Portland as the fourth choice (15/1) to win the Northwest Division and they had a season win total of 38 ½. As mentioned above, the Trail Blazers lead their division and they’re almost halfway to eclipsing their win total expectations.

Despite the hot start and best record in their conference, the club still isn’t garnering much respect from the oddsmakers. The Trail Blazers are listed as the sixth choice (8/1) to win the West behind Oklahoma City (13/5), San Antonio (3/1), Houston (6/1) and Golden State (6/1).

Portland certainly doesn’t have the experience of those teams but it does have talent and it added a lot of depth after last year’s squad was depleted to injuries. Offseason additions in center Robin Lopez (9.2 PPG, 8.6 RPG) and back-up point guard Mo Williams (8.9 PPG, 4.6) have been great fits and certainly taken some of the load off the team’s two-headed monster of LaMarcus Aldridge (23.2 PPG, 10 RPG) and Damian Lillard (20.7 PPG, 5.6 APG).

If you bet hoops on a regular basis then you’re well aware that everybody looks better when you make shots and that’s one thing Portland has done consistently this season. The team is ranked second in scoring with 106.2 points per game and 3-point field goal percentage (41.5), plus they lead the league in free-throw percentage (81.7), which is a huge when you’re averaging over 22 attempts per game.

So why is everybody hesitant to back Portland?

I don’t have an exact answer but the issue could be exposure. When you play on the West Coast, you don’t get noticed much unless you have the big-name players or a big-time coach. Small-market teams always get overlooked in all sports but that certainly doesn’t define success. Investing in future prices on Portland might be a good look, especially if it can ever get rookie C.J. McCollum healthy and in the rotation but that’s a big “If.”

On Thursday, the Trail Blazers can gain more credibility when they meet Houston (15-7 SU, 12-9-1 ATS) in a primetime battle on TNT.

Portland opened as a four-point favorite but number quickly dropped to 3 ½.

The Rockets have won three straight and seven of their last nine meetings against the Blazers, which includes a 116-101 road victory on Nov. 5. All-Star center Dwight Howard and the Rockets had a 54-28 edge in the paint and 47-30 advantage on the boards in the November affair. While the frontcourt was dominated in the first encounter, the Rockets also received a great performance from James Harden, who has scored a total of 101 points in his last three games against the Blazers.

Houston will be looking to win its third straight game on Thursday but the club has been inconsistent on the road this season, going 5-4 both SU and ATS.

Similar to past seasons, Portland has taken advantage of its homecourt this year. The Blazers have gone 9-2 both SU and ATS, one of the losses coming to the Rockets.

Total players could be looking at a high-scoring affair based on the scoring for each club and the recent trends. The Blazers have seen the ‘over’ go 8-3 at home and the Rockets have watched the ‘over’ go 7-2 on the road.
Tonight’s total opened at 212 ½ and has held steady. The last four meetings between the pair have gone ‘over’ the number.

Omer Asik (knee) will miss his fourth straight game for the Rockets but Jeremy Lin is expected to return after missing six straight games.

L.A. Clippers at Brooklyn (TNT, 8:05 p.m.)

Bettors have another game to follow tonight as the Clippers (15-8 SU, 13-10) visit the Nets (7-14 SU, 8-13 ATS) in Brooklyn. This matchup is receiving some extra attention due to Los Angeles coach Doc Rivers squaring off against his former players in Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett.

Rivers had a reunion last night as the Clippers defeated the Celtics 96-88 in his first return to Boston since leaving the franchise this past summer. Los Angeles has gone 3-2 in its last five games, all on the road but tonight’s game will be on zero days rest.

The Clippers have gone 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in back-to-back situations this season and the two losses came against quality opponents in the Thunder (105-91) and Heat (102-97) on the road.

The Nets have started slow due to chemistry and injuries but they have won two straight albeit against the Bucks (90-82) and Celtics (104-96). Considering the team hasn’t won back-to-back games all season, it might be a start of something good in Brooklyn.

These teams met in Los Angeles on Nov. 16 and the Clippers defeated the Nets 110-103 but failed to cover as 13 ½-point favorites. You might want to toss this game out since Brooklyn played without starters Brook Lopez, Deron Williams, Garnett and Pierce.

What’s a little strange about the Clippers is that they haven’t taken advantage against the weaker teams in the East this season. Doc’s team has gone 5-5 both SU and ATS in non-conference games, which includes their last two games.

Brooklyn is 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS versus the West this season and that includes a 1-3 mark at the Barclays Center.

The Nets have seen the ‘over’ go 6-3 at the Barclays Center this season but the Clippers have been a dead-under team (10-3) on the road. Also, the Clips have seen the ‘under’ go 6-3-1 against the East and their last four games have gone ‘under’ the number as well.

After this game, L.A. wraps up its seven-game road trip on Saturday at Washington.

The Clippers have been installed as 2 ½-point road favorites over the Nets tonight. Brooklyn has gone 1-3 both SU and ATS as a home underdog this season, the lone win coming on Nov. 1 against Miami (101-100).

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Houston at Portland
The Trail Blazers host a Houston team tonight that is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games in Portland. The Rockets are the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 12

Game 501-502: LA Clippers at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.225; Brooklyn 112.391
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-2 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Houston at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 126.739; Portland 125.490
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3 1/2); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 12

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LA CLIPPERS (15 - 8) at BROOKLYN (7 - 14) - 12/12/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 67-102 ATS (-45.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (15 - 7) at PORTLAND (18 - 4) - 12/12/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
PORTLAND is 55-90 ATS (-44.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 12

Hot teams
-- Clippers won three of their last four games. Brooklyn won its last two games, is 3-6 vs spread at home.
-- Portland won five of last six games; they're 7-4 vs spread at home. Rocketrs won seven of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- None

Totals
-- Last four Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Portland games went over the total.

Series records
-- Clippers lost last five games at Nets, by 17-16-4-1-10 points.
-- Rockets won last three games vs Portland, scoring 118-116-116.




NBA

Thursday, December 12

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. BROOKLYN
LA Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
LA Clippers are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games
Brooklyn is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Brooklyn is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games at home


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NBA

Thursday, December 12

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NBA TNT doubleheader: Clippers at Nets, Rockets at Blazers
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Los Angeles Clippers at Brooklyn Nets (+2.5, 195.5)

The Brooklyn Nets seek their first three-game winning streak of the season when they host the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday in what could be another emotional night for forwards Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett. The veteran stars will be opposite Clippers head coach Doc Rivers, who guided them to the 2008 NBA title during a solid run with the Boston Celtics that ended this offseason. Pierce and Garnett already got through one emotional affair Tuesday, when they topped the Celtics in the first meeting with their former team.

Rivers' current crew is coming off a 96-88 win in Boston on Wednesday in his return to TD Garden, where fans gave him a rousing ovation. The victory gave the Clippers a 3-2 mark on their season high-tying seven-game road trip, during which they have held four opponents to 88 points or fewer. Blake Griffin scored 30 points and grabbed 12 rebounds in Los Angeles' 110-103 victory over Brooklyn at home on Nov. 16.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (15-8): Wednesday's win featured another standout performance from Jamal Crawford, who scored 21 points in 27 minutes, including back-to-back 3-pointers in the closing minutes. Crawford has always been a quality scorer, but has stepped up his offensive game in the wake of the injury to fellow shooting guard J.J. Redick. Including the game at Sacramento on Nov. 29 in which Redick hurt his right hand, Crawford is averaging 18.1 points off the bench.

ABOUT THE NETS (7-14): Brooklyn has won three of five games after a 4-12 start. That may not mean much in the grand scheme of things, but if star guard Deron Williams can remain healthy there should be better days ahead. Williams returned from a nine-game layoff Tuesday against the Celtics and instantly provided a boost, scoring a game-high 25 points as the Nets topped the century mark for the first time in seven games.

TRENDS:

* Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Under is 4-0 in Clippers last four overall.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Clippers F Antawn Jamison scored his 20,000th point Wednesday.

2. Brooklyn played without Pierce, Garnett, Williams and leading scorer C Brook Lopez in the loss at Los Angeles last month.

3. The Clippers' seven-game trip ends in Washington on Saturday, after which the team will fly home to complete a 6,103-mile excursion.


Houston Rockets at Portland Trail Blazers (-3.5, 211.5)

The Portland Trail Blazers and the Houston Rockets are following a similar formula to the top of the Western Conference with strong inside-outside combinations and rapid ball movement leading to 3-pointers. The Trail Blazers will attempt to prove they run it better when they host the Rockets on Thursday. Portland holds the top record in the West and is second in the NBA in scoring, behind only Houston.

The Rockets are winners of two straight thanks to an improved effort on the defensive end and the continued acclimation of Dwight Howard to Houston’s high screen-and-roll offense. That high screen system between James Harden and Howard should look familiar to the Trail Blazers, who run plenty of the same with Damian Lillard and LaMarcus Aldridge. Portland did not respond well to that scheme in the first meeting, a 116-101 home loss on Nov. 5.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (15-7): Houston is in the bottom half of the league in scoring defense but is making its way up by holding its last two opponents to an average of 85.5 points. “I think we have a better mindset and we are more comfortable and executing to the scouting report very well,” forward Chandler Parsons said of the last two games. “I think out problem is we haven’t fully grasped that we can lose to any team on any given night.” That should not be a problem against the Blazers if the first meeting was any indication. Harden led the way with 33 points in that one as Rockets shot 54.7 percent from the field.

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (18-4): Portland had a four-game winning streak come to an end with a loss to the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday but bounced right back with a win at Utah and is making a brief stop at home before heading out on a four-game road trip. Aldridge was named the Western Conference Player of the Week for last week after posting four straight double-doubles and even began to hear “MVP” chants in Utah on Monday. “It was a blessing and definitely something I feel I’ve worked hard for,” Aldridge told the team’s official website. “I’ve never heard MVP chants on the road, that was definitely new for me.”

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Rockets are 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Portland.
* Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last five Thursday games.
* Underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Houston has taken three straight in the series and has won five of its last six in Portland.

2. Rockets G Jeremy Lin (knee) is expected to make his return from a six-game absence on Thursday.

3. Howard has pulled down 18 or more rebounds in each of the last three games to boost his average to 13.3 boards.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Thursday, December 12

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Parlay kings: Are the Blazers the best parlay lock in the NBA
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Boasting an impressive nucleus of young talent that is finally healthy for a change (don't tell Brandon Roy or Greg Oden), the Portland Trail Blazers are the best ATS team in the NBA through a quarter of the season at 22 games. With a 16-6 ATS record, the Blazers are also the best team in regards to the Over, hitting over the total 15 times this season.

This makes the Blazers the NBA's best team to add to your parlays this season, shocking considering the Blazers struggles in 2012-13.

Today we look at why the Blazers have been so good this season and if their value will stay true into the future.

Hot shooting

Naturally, if you are a team that is hitting the Over you are likely among the best in the Association in FG percentage, FT percentage, 3PT percentage and points per game. The Blazers are in the Top 10 of all of those categories, ranking second in PPG (106.2) ninth in FG percentage (45.8), second in 3PT percentage (41.5) and first in FT percentage (81.7).

The Blazers have efficient players in LaMarcus Aldridge, Damian Lillard, Wesley Matthews and Nicolas Batum who can all score when needed so it is no surprise that they are filling the baskets at will so far this season, but shooting that good will eventually cool down at some point if it is only a trend.


Not slowing down

Portland has still been going Over the past ten games, losing just three times against the spread and going under just twice. With the lines adjusting to the Blazers' hot start, it is promising that they have continued to keep winning wagers over their past ten games.

Portland has been equally as hot in terms of wins and losses, losing just twice SU over that ten game span.

If a cool down period is expected, it could be awhile based on their 10 game record.


Good hosts, better guests

Portland has done it both at home and on the road in terms of ATS wins, but they are even better when they are away from the venue Formerly Known as the Rose Garden.

Their 7-4 home record is topped by their 9-2 record on the road, they make up for it by playing the Over better at home with their friendly rims going 8-3 with the totals at home and 7-4 on the road. Once again that is quality value you won't find elsewhere in the NBA.


Will it last?

The next ten games will likely show how legit the Blazers are both in the Western Conference and at the sportsbook.

Their first quarter value has been outstanding, but at the same time the linesmakers will be taking this into consideration each time they handicap Portland. That goes the same for their Western Conference opponents, who will be doing their best to test the surprising 18-4 Blazers who now think they are contenders in the tough West pack.

Only time will tell, but for now you can't go wrong throwing the Blazers on your NBA parlays for the time being. ATS or with the Over, they have been money so far.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 12

LA Clippers at Brooklyn, 8:00 ET
LA Clippers: 7-0 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
Brooklyn: 8-20 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent

Houston at Portland, 10:35 ET
Houston: 41-23 ATS after a game committing 10+ more turnovers than opponents
Portland: 55-90 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday, December 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

L.A. Clippers - 8:00 PM ET Brooklyn +1.5 500 *****
Brooklyn - Under 197 500

Houston - 10:30 PM ET Portland -3 500 DOUBLE POD
Portland - Over 214 500