NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (Thursday, November 7 - Monday, November 11)

[Udog]

NFL Trends and Indexes

Thursday, November 7 - Monday, November 11

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

NFL Week 10 opening line report: Saints' bad blood with Cowboys

There’s a lot of bad blood heading into Sunday Night Football in Week 10 of the NFL schedule.

The New Orleans Saints play host to the Dallas Cowboys in the marquee matchup Sunday, with books opening the Saints as high as 7.5-point home favorites against a team with a dark history involving two of New Orleans' coaches.

Head coach Sean Payton was rumored to be snubbed when it came to the Cowboys’ head coaching job back in 2006 and defensive coordinator Rob Ryan was fired – unjustly according to many – after Dallas fell apart late last season, serving as a sacrificial lamb to Cowboys owner Jerry Jones. There’s plenty of extra motivation for the Saints to bury the Boys on Sunday night.

“Any factor involving coaches, we generally dismiss,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, tells Covers. “The coaches aren’t performing, the players are. (The coaches) can say all they want but it’s the players we’re looking at (when setting odds).”

Korner is suggesting his clients should keep the spread for this Sunday finale high, as the public loves to bet the favorite and the Over in these standalone primetime games. The total for Sunday night’s contest was sent out at 55 by Korner’s oddsmakers, but most shops are dealing 52.5 points.

“We didn’t want to be low,” says Korner. “And I think we’re going to be just about right on this. No one is betting this game Under.”


Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5, 41.5)

This Week 10 East vs. West contest could be the most entertaining game on the board, with dynamic quarterbacks under center for both sides. However, despite having Cam Newton and Colin Kaepernick making plays, books have opened this total at the low number of 41.5 points.

“Wow, I think that’s really low,” says Korner. “We sent out 47 and it’s down to 41 and 42. I realize they’re good defenses but we had one guy with this (total) as high as 50. We could be wrong. But I’d rather error on the high side.”

Some people may think this spread is too high, especially with some shops trimming the line from San Francisco -7 to -6 with early money on the Panthers. Korner notes that while Carolina is winning games it should, it hasn’t faced competition like the Niners during its four-game winning streak.


Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons (+6, 44)

Rarely do you see the Falcons as home dogs, especially as big as 6-point pups. That’s the line books are dealing on Atlanta, hosting the Seahawks Sunday.

The last time the Falcons were home underdogs this big, they lost 25-14 to Green Bay on Sunday Night Football in Week 5 of the 2011 season. Atlanta blew a 14-6 lead in that game, getting outscored 19-0 in the second half.

“It’s well deserved,” Korner says of the Falcons’ 6-point spread. “They haven’t played well. They just don’t deserve anything less. I recommend that books should keep it on the high side and expect Seattle money. Why would anyone bet Atlanta right now?”


Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers (-9, 55)

The Eagles offensive eruption has oddsmakers smiling heading into this Week 10 matchup. Nick Foles and the Eagles scored 49 points against Oakland Sunday and have bettors, who would have normally sided with the Packers, thinking twice about Philadelphia.

“It gives us a little bit of an advantage,” Korner says of the Eagles’ blowout win. “That sort of result will weigh in for a lot of people. It will temper the spread from going any higher than it should. Even if Green Bay has a big win Monday, it would probably rise to -10. It helps us out as oddsmakers.”

[Udog]

NFL line watch: Over bettors shouldn't sleep on Broncos-Bolts shootout

Spread to bet now

Oakland Raiders (+7.5) at New York Giants

If you think the Raiders can bounce back from a lackluster effort at home to the Eagles, then consider getting down on this line as quickly as possible.

It opened at 7.5, but for the most part 7's are the norm. It could drop even lower. So far Oakland has been a profitable wager for bettors at 4-3-1 ATS. Not so much in New York, where the Giants are just 1-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd and only 9-12 ATS in the same position over the last two.

Both teams are in the middle of the pack defensively (Giants 15th, Raiders 18th) and offensively (Oakland 14th, Giants 22nd). New York struggled the last time it faced a mobile pivot (38-0 loss at Carolina as a 1-pt favorite).

Bettors aren't forgetting Manning's penchant in turning the ball over and clearly think that the G-Men could once again have their hands full with Oakland's Terrelle Pryor this week.


Spread to wait on

Houston Texans (-2.5) at Arizona Cardinals

Texans' fans would be wise to wait a little closer to game time before jumping on their team this week. This line opened at 2.5, but a few 3's are starting to make an appearance.

In a game that it absolutely needed to win, Houston lost 27-24 to the Colts Sunday night. After that disheartening setback, bettors will be quick to jump on the home side which comes out of its bye week sitting at 4-4 (Arizona stopped a two-game slide with a convincing 27-13 victory over Atlanta just before its break).

With no reason to look past the Texans (Cardinals play in Jacksonville next Sunday), expect the Arizona line to continue to climb throughout the week.


Total to watch

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (56.5)

Over bettors should get down as soon as possible. This line opened at 56.5 and has already moved to 57. A sunny afternoon in San Diego would seem conducive to a high-scoring affair between these two offensively minded clubs.

Denver soared above the posted number in all eight of its games. The Chargers have gone just 4-4 O/U, but 2-1 O/U in front of the home town crowd. Four of these teams’ last five in the series have soared above the posted number, including both games between these divisional foes last season.

[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

Thursday, November 7

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WASHINGTON (3 - 5) at MINNESOTA (1 - 7) - 11/7/2013, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 53-82 ATS (-37.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, November 10

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JACKSONVILLE (0 - 8) at TENNESSEE (4 - 4) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (4 - 5) at GREEN BAY (5 - 2) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 153-118 ATS (+23.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (3 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 6) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 91-61 ATS (+23.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (3 - 5) at NY GIANTS (2 - 6) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 31-67 ATS (-42.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST LOUIS (3 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 2) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 65-93 ATS (-37.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 102-134 ATS (-45.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (8 - 1) at ATLANTA (2 - 6) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (6 - 3) at BALTIMORE (3 - 5) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 114-147 ATS (-47.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 59-87 ATS (-36.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (5 - 3) at CHICAGO (4 - 3) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
DETROIT is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (5 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 2) - 11/10/2013, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (2 - 6) at ARIZONA (4 - 4) - 11/10/2013, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in dome games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (7 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 4) - 11/10/2013, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
DENVER is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
DENVER is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (5 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 2) - 11/10/2013, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, November 11

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MIAMI (4 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 8) - 11/11/2013, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in November games since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[Udog]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 10

Thursday, November 7

Washington at Minnesota, 8:25 ET
Washington: 53-82 ATS (-37.2 Units) as a favorite
Minnesota: 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games off a cover where the team lost as an underdog


Sunday, November 10

Jacksonville at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog
Tennessee: 31-15 OVER (+14.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points

Philadelphia at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games
Green Bay: 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a home favorite

Buffalo at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after playing a game at home
Pittsburgh: 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

Oakland at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 60-94 ATS (-43.4 Units) in the second half of the season
NY Giants: 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) off an upset win as a road underdog

St Louis at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
St Louis: 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) off a non-conference game
Indianapolis: 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing their last game on the road

Seattle at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Atlanta: 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points

Cincinnati at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 59-87 ATS (-36.7 Units) versus division opponents
Baltimore: 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game

Detroit at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as a road favorite
Chicago: 37-20 UNDER (+15.0 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less

Carolina at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Carolina: 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
San Francisco: 21-8 OVER (+12.2 Units) after a bye week

Houston at Arizona, 4:25 ET
Houston: 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses
Arizona: 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better

Denver at San Diego, 4:25 ET
Denver: 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a bye week
San Diego: 46-27 UNDER (+16.3 Units) in home games versus division opponents

Dallas at New Orleans, 8:30 ET
Dallas: 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in the second half of the season
New Orleans: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games


Monday, November 11

Miami at Tampa Bay, 8:40 ET
Miami: 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better
Tampa Bay: 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in November games

[Udog]

NFL

Week 10

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Trend Report
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Thursday, November 7

8:25 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MINNESOTA
Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Washington


Sunday, November 10

1:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 6 games when playing Oakland

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. GREEN BAY
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of St. Louis's last 23 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. PITTSBURGH
Buffalo is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games at home

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing Jacksonville

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
Cincinnati is 6-15-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Cincinnati is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

4:05 PM
CAROLINA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Carolina
San Francisco is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Carolina

4:25 PM
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Denver

4:25 PM
HOUSTON vs. ARIZONA
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games

8:30 PM
DALLAS vs. NEW ORLEANS
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas


Monday, November 11

8:40 PM
MIAMI vs. TAMPA BAY
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home


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[WThotrod]

Thanks for the info, Udog! Good luck tonight! I am eyeing up a total in NHL and should reach a decision shortly.

[Udog]

Thanks for the info, Udog! Good luck tonight! I am eyeing up a total in NHL and should reach a decision shortly.

Great!! I'll be watching for it! Good luck tonight, rod!

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 10

Washington at Minnesota
The Redskins look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games in November. Washington is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Redskins favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-2). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 7

Game 107-108: Washington at Minnesota (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 129.196; Minnesota 122.754
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Washington by 2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-2); Over


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 10

Game 203-204: Jacksonville at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 113.507; Tennessee 134.964
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 21 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 12; 41
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-12); Under

Game 205-206: Philadelphia at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 131.146; Green Bay 136.887
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 5 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 1 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-1 1/2); Under

Game 207-208: Buffalo at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 130.117; Pittsburgh 129.408
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3); Over

Game 209-210: Oakland at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 128.191; NY Giants 124.970
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 3; 48
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 9 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+9 1/2); Over

Game 211-212: St. Louis at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 126.695; Indianapolis 140.488
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 14; 40
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-9 1/2); Under

Game 213-214: Seattle at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 135.527; Atlanta 133.747
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 48
Vegas Line: Seattle by 6 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+6 1/2); Over

Game 215-216: Cincinnati at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 139.022; Baltimore 133.646
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1 1/2); Under

Game 217-218: Detroit at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 136.426; Chicago 132.477
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4; 46
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2); Under

Game 219-220: Carolina at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 134.650; San Francisco 143.796
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 9; 46
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-6); Over

Game 221-222: Houston at Arizona (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 130.719; Arizona 129.841
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 36
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+1); Under

Game 223-224: Denver at San Diego (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 138.602; San Diego 136.227
Dunkel Line: Denver by 2 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Denver by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+7); Over

Game 225-226: Dallas at New Orleans (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 134.166; New Orleans 143.570
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Over


MONDAY, NOVEMBER 11

Game 227-228: Miami at Tampa Bay (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 131.625; Tampa Bay 125.479
Dunkel Line: Miami by 6; 37
Vegas Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-2 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's write-Up

Week 10

Thursday's game

Redskins (3-5) @ Vikings (1-7)—Minnesota hasn’t won since England trip, losing last four games in row by average score of 32-15; they seem to have settled on Ponder at QB and played better last week, losing 27-23 (+9) at Dallas, running ball for 169 yards, after averaging 72 ypg in previous three games. Vikings are 0-3 at home, losing by 4-25-13 points while allowing 36.7 ppg. Redskins allowed 35.3 ppg in splitting last four games; they beat Chargers in OT last week, but are 1-3 on road, with only win at Oakland- their road losses are by 18-15-24 points. Vikings have only two takeaways (-5) in last four games, after having 12 (+2) in first four. Teams split last six series meetings, with average total of 61.5 in last two; Redskins won five of last six visits here, but this is their first since ’07. Redskins lost 31-16 at Dallas in only previous game on carpet this season. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 6-6 vs spread, 2-2 on road; NFC North teams are 6-12-1 vs spread out of division, 2-6-1 at home. Last three Washington games and seven of eight Viking games went over the total.

[Udog]

NFL

Thursday, November 7

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Thursday Night Football betting: Redskins at Vikings
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Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings (+1, 51)

The Washington Redskins may have salvaged their season with a pulsating overtime victory on Sunday, but they cannot afford a misstep when they visit the sliding Minnesota Vikings on Thursday night. The Redskins won their final seven games to win the NFC East title in 2012 and hope Sunday's dramatic win fuels another playoff run. “The way we won the game, I think it can be a turning point for us," quarterback Robert Griffin III said. "It’s definitely a bonding experience."

Washington needed a last-second goal-line stand to hold off San Diego before winning overtime, but Minnesota was unable to do the same in Dallas and allowed the Cowboys to drive 90 yards for the winning touchdown in a 27-23 defeat. It marked the fourth consecutive loss for the Vikings, leading to some grousing from the players regarding the coaching staff. "There’s some things that are going on internally that are not allowing us to close out games," defensive end Brian Robison said.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: Washington opened as a 1-point road favorite and has moved as high as -2.5 at some books. The total has climbed from 48 to 50.5 points.

WEATHER: N/A

POWER RANKINGS: Redskins (+2.5) - Vikings (+7.0) + Home Field (-3.0) = Vikings +2.0

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (3-5, 3-5 ATS): Although Griffin received much of the credit for the team's success in his rookie campaign, much of last season's success hinged on a powerful ground game led by Alfred Morris, who rumbled for a season-high 121 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries against the Chargers. Griffin threw for 291 yards and completed a season-high 71.9 percent (23-of-32) of his passes in the most well-rounded offensive performance of the season. "Whenever we’ve been on throughout the season, we’ve done a better job of just mixing things up," Griffin said.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (1-7, 3-5 ATS): Minnesota has already had three different quarterbacks start this season, but Christian Ponder will be under center for a third consecutive game. Ponder was solid against the Cowboys, although he will be without one of his favorite targets in tight end Kyle Rudolph, who suffered a fractured foot against Dallas and is expected to be sidelined for about a month. Running back Adrian Peterson, who had been dealing with a hamstring issue for weeks, tied his season high with 140 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's defeat.

TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in Redskins last seven road games.
* Over is 5-0 in Vikings last five home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Minnesota has won two of the last three meetings - all in Washington - but the Redskins prevailed 38-26 last season.

2. Griffin ran for a career-high 138 yards in last season's matchup with the Vikings.

3. Minnesota and Washington rank 30th and 31st in points allowed at 31.5 and 31.6 points, respectively.


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[Udog]

NFL

Thursday, November 7

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Tale of the Tape: Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings
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The Washington Redskins and their potent offense visit Minnesota to tangle with Adrian Peterson and the Vikings in this week's Thursday night NFL showdown.

The Redskins are coming off a 30-24 overtime victory over the San Diego Chargers, improving to 3-2 since opening the season with three straight losses. The Vikings have dropped four consecutive games, including a 27-23 decision to Dallas last time out.

Here's the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:

Offense

Led by second-year quarterback Robert Griffin III, the Redskins have succeeded at racking up the passing yards. They rank 12th in the league in yards per game through the air (261.4), with Griffin posting 291 yards in the victory over the Chargers despite not throwing a touchdown pass. The rush attack has been even more impressive, ranked seventh in the NFL in total yards (1,170) while averaging five yards per carry and registering 12 touchdowns.

Despite employing the defending rushing champion in Peterson, the Vikings have actually had an average running game so far in 2013, ranked 16th in the league in yards per game (111.5). Peterson, who boasted prior to the start of the season that he would break Eric Dickerson's single-season record of 2,105 yards, in on pace for just 1,422. The passing game has been dreadful, ranked 23rd in yards per contest (205.3) thanks to a revolving door of QBs.

Edge: Washington


Defense

The Redskins' frequent defensive lapses are the main reason the team finds itself at 3-5 on the season. Washington has among the worst pass defenses in football, ranked 28th in yards per game against (282.1) while giving up 17 touchdowns against just nine interceptions. The run defense has been nearly as poor, ranked 22nd in yards per game against (116.6) and one of only six units to have surrendered double-digit scores on the ground (10).

As bad as the Washington pass defense has been this season, Minnesota's has been even worse so far. The Vikings have been gashed for 291.1 yards per game through the air and have been torched for 18 passing touchdowns - second only to the Buffalo Bills (20). Teams have had a much harder time running on the Vikings, who are limiting the opposition to 104 yards per game on the ground but have surrendered nine rushing touchdowns.

Edge: Minnesota


Special Teams

Washington has one of the worst return games in the league through the first nine weeks, sitting 31st in average kick-return yardage (19.4) and 25th in punt-return average (6.5). While they've defended kickoff returns well - limiting foes to a 22.1-yard average - the Redskins are one of only two teams to have allowed two punt-return touchdowns. Kicker Kai Forbath has had a dreadful season, going just 5-for-9 on field goals while also missing time due to injury.

The kick-return exploits of Cordarelle Patterson have Minnesota sitting atop the ledger in yards per attempt (30.6), with the electrifying rookie returning two kicks for touchdowns so far. The Vikings also have a punt-return score while averaging 16.2 yards per attempt, good for second in the league. Kicker Blair Walsh hasn't been as automatic as he was during his magical rookie season of 2012, but has still converted 11 of 13 kicks - including 2 of 3 from 50-plus yards.

Edge: Minnesota


Notable Quotable

"Of course you're not gonna get the same show that you're gonna get on a Sunday when you've got guys that had a lot of time to recover and rehabilitate from the little nicks and bruises from the previous game. But I mean, all in all, it's a game and you've got to go out and give it your all, and we plan on doing that." - Redskins LT Trent Williams

"I don't take that in a negative way at all. Our guys are competitive. They put a lot of work in. Good players ask why: 'Hey, coach, why did you make this decision? What were you thinking?' I have no problem whatsoever about a guy asking me why. We explain it, we talk about it and we move on." - Vikings defensive coordinator Alan Williams on being second-guessed following last week's loss to Dallas.


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[Udog]

Where the action is: Sharps, public split on Redskins-Vikings total

The Washington Redskins and Minnesota Vikings duke it out on Thursday Night Football in Week 10. We talk to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag, about the action coming in on this primetime matchup and where the odds could end up come kickoff Thursday night.

Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings – Open: +2.5, Move: +1

Some sportsbooks are dealing this spread as low as Minnesota +1, however, the majority of markets still have this line sitting just under a field goal as of Thursday afternoon. According to Stewart, the early money was on the road favorite but the books were hesitant to jump to Redskins -3, instead adjusting the juice from -110 to -120.

“That's where we've been most of the week,” Stewart tells Covers. “So far 75 percent of the action is on the Redskins. I believe sharps are waiting to see if this line gets to -3, but at this point I doubt we'll get there. “

The total has been the number to watch for this Thursday nighter. The over/under was posted as low as 48 points at some books and took a huge wave of early action on the Over, forcing a move as high as 51. The sharp money bought back the Under and dropped the total to 50.

“We’ve seen this a lot on these bigger primetime games, where the sharps are against the public, and that's what we have on this total. Sharps on the under, public betting it over,” says Stewart. “Our exposure on the Over is getting a bit heavy and I wouldn't be surprised if we get to 50.5, but I doubt we'll get back all the way to 51.”

[jt4545]

Good luck udog, and thanks as always my friend

[Kaptain]

Good luck udog, and thanks as always my friend

I ECHO that.............thanks for what you do here U Dog..........I might have a U DOG special for you Saturday.......still obtaining data for now.......