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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 8 (Tuesday, October 15 - Saturday, October 19)

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  • #16
    Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action

    Check out our NCAAF Top 25 cheat sheet for Saturday's evening action

    TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-7.5, 50.5)

    TCU is coming off a sloppy performance against Kansas in which the team committed five turnovers in a 27-17 victory. In that game, Trevone Boykin rushed for a touchdown and threw for another – a 75-yard strike to David Porter – while the Frogs added 207 yards on the ground.

    Well rested following its second bye in four weeks, Oklahoma State looks to push its home winning streak to seven games on Saturday against Texas Christian. The 17th-ranked Cowboys have not played since a 33-29 win over Kansas State on Oct. 5 – a game in which Oklahoma State rallied late in the fourth quarter.

    LINE: The Cowboys opened as 7-point faves and are now -7.5. The total is currently 50.5.
    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with clear skies. Wind will blow toward the E endzone at 8 mph.
    TRENDS:

    * Horned Frogs are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games following a bye week.
    * Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
    * Over is 14-3 in Horned Frogs last 17 games following a bye week.

    Georgia Bulldogs at Vanderbilt Commodores (+7, 62)

    No. 16 Georgia will look to bounce back from a tough loss and stay in the hunt to reach the SEC Championship Game when it travels to Vanderbilt on Saturday. The Bulldogs are coming off a 41-25 loss to Missouri that dropped them a game behind the Tigers in the SEC East, but know they still have a shot to reach their third consecutive conference title game if they win out.

    Vanderbilt is coming out of its bye week after being outscored 125-88 in its three SEC games. Things likely won't get any better with Georgia in town, as the Bulldogs have won 10 in a row at Vanderbilt Stadium and 17 of the last 18 meetings overall in the series.

    LINE: Georgia opened as a 9-point road fave and is now -7. The total opened 61 and is up to 62.
    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with partly cloudy skies.
    TRENDS:

    * Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home.
    * Commodores are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games.
    * Over is 8-0 in Bulldogs last eight games overall.

    Texas Tech Red Raiders at West Virginia Mountaineers (+5.5, 57)

    Tech QB Baker Mayfield, who has 1,488 passing yards and eight touchdowns in five starts, missed the Iowa State game after injuring his knee against Kansas. Davis Webb (965 yards, nine TDs) has appeared in five contests and sophomore Michael Brewer is healthy after missing a month with a back injury.

    WVU QB Paul Millard replaced Clint Trickett during a 73-42 loss to Baylor on Oct. 5, when the Mountaineers allowed eight rushing touchdowns and a conference-record 864 total yards. Head coach Dana Holgorsen hopes his familiarity with Kliff Kingsbury and the Texas Tech offense will help the Mountaineer defense - ranked ninth in the Big 12 in points and yards allowed - this week.

    LINE: WVU opened as an 8-point home dog and is now +5.5. The total is currently 57.
    WEATHER: There is a 40 percent chance of rain in the forecast for Morgantown.
    TRENDS:

    * Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss.
    * Under is 8-1 in Mountaineers last nine games overall.
    * Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.

    South Carolina Gamecocks at Tennessee Volunteers (+7, 54.5)

    The Gamecocks dominated the Arkansas Razorbacks in every facet of the game, including time of possession (43:25-16:35) and first downs (32-7) in a 52-7 rout last week. South Carolina’s offense is averaging 486.5 yards, good for 23rd in FBS and easily on pace to break the school record of 428.8 set in 1995.

    Rajion Neal has been the focal point of the Volunteers’ offense over the last two games, running for 169 yards and a score in a Sept. 28 win over South Alabama before adding 148 and two touchdowns against Georgia.

    LINE: The Gamecocks opened 7-point road faves. The total opened at 54.5.
    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing across the field at 8 mph.
    TRENDS:

    * Road team is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
    * Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
    * Over is 8-0 in Gamecocks last eight conference games.

    Florida Gators at Missouri Tigers (+3, 44)

    Gators Running back Matt Jones is the latest to go down after suffering a season-ending knee injury against LSU and will take his place on the sideline next to quarterback Jeff Driskel, who went down for the season on Sept. 21. Tyler Murphy took over for Driskel and was solid in his first two starts before struggling to 15-for-27 for 115 yards last week.

    Missouri shocked the Georgia Bulldogs last week defensively, forcing four turnovers, and needs one more interception to double its total from last season (seven). QB Maty Mauk - who will start after James Franklin picked up an injury last week - was an All-American in high school and also starred in track and field, which should allow the Tigers to keep the running packages that made Franklin dangerous in place.

    LINE: The Gators opened as 3-point road faves. The total opened at 44.
    WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 33 percent chance of rain.
    TRENDS:

    * Gators are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a S.U. loss.
    * Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    * Over is 7-2 in Tigers last nine games overall.

    Northern Illinois Huskies at Central Michigan Chippewas (+15, 59)

    Northern Illinois goes after its 20th consecutive Mid-American Conference victory against the last program to hand it a league defeat when the No. 23 Huskies visit Central Michigan on Saturday. Huskies star quarterback Jordan Lynch became the 10th player in FBS history to run for more than 3,000 yards and pass for more than 4,000 in his career in last Saturday’s victory over Akron.

    The Chippewas hope for the return of star receiver Titus Davis (shoulder), who missed the last game and has recorded 29 catches for 518 yards this season while ranking third in school history with 20 receiving touchdowns. Redshirt freshman quarterback Cooper Rush (nine touchdowns, nine interceptions) is becoming more comfortable with the offense and running back Saylor Lavallii is coming off a career-best 184-yard rushing performance in a win over Ohio University.

    LINE: The Chippewas opened as 17-point home dogs and are now +15. The total opened at 59.
    WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 77 percent possibility of showers.
    TRENDS:

    * Huskies are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
    * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Central Michigan.
    * Huskies are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Central Michigan.

    UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal (-6, 53.5)

    Unbeaten UCLA, ranked 10th nationally, has a chance to get itself into the national championship picture over the next two Saturdays but the visiting Bruins first must defeat No. 13 Stanford on Saturday. Sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley is thriving with 1,469 yards and 12 touchdowns and his 410-yard effort in last week’s victory over California was the third-highest output in school history behind Cade McNown (513 in 1998) and Drew Olson (510 in 2005).

    Stanford defeated UCLA twice last season in a seven-day span – winning 35-17 at the Rose Bowl in the regular season before posting a 27-24 home win in the Pac-12 Championship Game. The loss to Utah last week marked the initial defeat in 11 career starts for quarterback Kevin Hogan, who has passed for 1,178 yards and 12 touchdowns this season.

    LINE: Stanford opened -6.5 and is now -6. The total is 53.5, down from the opening number 54.
    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with clear skies.
    TRENDS:

    * Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
    * Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
    * Over is 9-2 in Stanford's last 11 games following a S.U. loss.

    Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines (-8.5, 69)

    The Hoosiers lost 42-28 to Michigan State last weekend, but the offense played well in defeat. The 28 points were the most scored against the Spartans in the last two seasons and Indiana’s 351 yards of total offense were much higher than the 203.8 yards Michigan State was allowing entering the game.

    In the loss to Penn State, Michigan welcomed back linebacker Jake Ryan, who had been out since March with a torn ACL, but the Wolverines lost All-American tackle Taylor Lewan to a hip injury. Lewan is expected to play against Indiana, and that should benefit Michigan’s running backs, who combined for 27 yards on 27 carries against Penn State.

    LINE: Michigan opened as a 10.5-point fave and is now -8.5. The total opened at 67 and is up to 69.
    WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 54 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 10 mph.
    TRENDS:

    * Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games.
    * Over is 6-1 in Wolverines last seven home games.
    * Over is 19-7 in Hoosiers last 26 road games.

    Iowa Hawkeyes at Ohio State Buckeyes (-17.5, 55.5)

    The Hawkeyes used their bye week to get healthy after a punishing 26-14 loss to the Spartans and expect to have both running back Mark Weisman and wide receiver Kevonte Martin-Manley ready to go after the two went down in the loss.

    The Buckeyes are winners of 18 straight games since Urban Meyer took over, four shy of the school record, and do not have another currently ranked team on their remaining schedule. Ohio State is winning with offense in 2013 and can change the pace by inserting Kenny Guiton at quarterback if necessary.

    LINE: The Buckeyes opened as 17-point faves are are now -17.5. The total opened at 55.5.
    WEATHER: There is a 63 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.
    TRENDS:

    * Favorite is 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
    * Hawkeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Ohio State.
    * Buckeyes are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games following a S.U. win.

    Oklahoma Sooners at Kansas Jayhawks (+23, 49)

    The Sooners defense was exposed in a 36-20 loss to rival Texas, struggling to stop the run and allowing 13-of-20 third-down conversions. Defensive tackle Jordan Phillips (back) is the second starter, along with linebacker Corey Nelson (pectoral), to have season-ending surgery this week.

    Jayhawks coach Charlie Weis announced Tuesday he will change how the offensive coaching staff operates, hoping to spark an offense that's averaging 15.8 points in its last 11 conference games. Weis will oversee the offense and help coach skill positions but will get more input from quarterbacks coach Ron Powlus (passing game) and tight ends coach Jeff Blasko (running game) as he develops a game plan.

    LINE: The Sooners opened as 24-point road faves and are now -23. The total opened at 49.
    WEATHER: Wind will blow across the field at 12 mph. Temperatures will be in the low-60s.
    TRENDS:

    * Sooners are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
    * Jayhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
    * Over is 8-3 in Jayhawks last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

    Auburn Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies (-13.5, 73)

    The Tigers' return to relevance in the SEC West has hinged on a powerful run game that ranks seventh in the nation at 287 yards per game and totaled 511 yards on the ground last week. That outburst came without dual-threat quarterback Nick Marshall, who is expected to return from a knee injury and start Saturday.

    QB Johnny Manziel and the Aggies continue to light up the scoreboard in Sumlin's up-tempo system, ranking third in the nation in total offense and fourth in scoring (47.8). The Aggies have scored 40 or more points in nine straight games - the longest active streak in the FBS - and they've topped 400 total yards in 18 straight contests.

    LINE: The Aggies opened -12.5 and are now -13.5. The total opened at 72 and is up to 73.
    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s. Wind will blow toward the SE endzone at 11 mph.
    TRENDS:

    * Tigers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
    * Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in October.
    * Over is 5-1 in Aggies last six games overall.

    Comment


    • #17
      Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

      Washington Huskies at Arizona State Sun Devils (-3, 67)

      Huskies RB Bishop Sankey (899 rushing yards, 10 total touchdowns) has rushed for 100 or more yards in nine of his last 11 games after scampering for 167 yards and two scores against Oregon. Senior quarterback Keith Price has passed for 1,576 yards and 12 touchdowns and needs 110 yards to pass Jake Locker (7,639 from 2007-10) for second place on the school’s all-time passing yardage list.

      The Sun Devils defense has experienced numerous struggles while allowing 27.2 points per game and senior defensive tackle Will Sutton has just 2.5 tackles for loss and one sack this season after having 23.5 tackles for loss and 13 sacks in his monstrous 2012 campaign.

      LINE: The Sun Devils opened as -3 faves. The total opened at 65.5 and has gone up to 67.
      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with clear skies.
      TRENDS:

      * Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
      * Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings in Arizona State.
      * Sun Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.

      LSU Tigers at Mississippi Rebels (+10, 60)

      The Tigers had eight defensive players selected in the 2013 NFL draft, but the young unit hasn't yielded a touchdown in six quarters. As the defense continues to gel, the Tigers - led by quarterback Zach Mettenberger (66.7 percent completion rate, 15 touchdowns, two interceptions) - are 15th in the nation in scoring at 41.4 points under offensive coordinator Cam Cameron.

      The Rebels will be without several key players including linebacker Serderius Bryant (concussion) and his team-leading 55 tackles, and freshman Robert Nkemdiche (hamstring), who has started every game either at defensive end or defensive tackle. Running back Jeff Scott, a 5-7, 167-pound senior who leads the team with 434 yards, is questionable after leaving the Texas A&M game with a thigh bruise.

      LINE: LSU opened -8 and is now -10. The total opened at 60.
      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s. Wind will blow across the field at 5 mph.
      TRENDS:

      * Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Mississippi.
      * Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
      * Road team is 14-2 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

      Iowa State Cyclones at Baylor Bears (-34, 76.5)

      The Cyclones might be one of the best 1-4 teams in the country, but face an uphill battle against the high-powered Bears, who have won their first four home games by a combined score of 282-65. Cyclones Junior wide receiver Jarvis West, who caught three touchdown passes in last year’s win over the Bears, had 177 all-purpose yards against Texas Tech last week, including a 95-yard kickoff return for a score.

      Baylor looks for its first 6-0 start since 1980. Quarterback Bryce Petty is the national leader in passing efficiency, while running back Lache Seastrunk leads the Big 12 in rushing with 648 yards and eight touchdowns. The Bears haven’t been held to less than 30 points since losing 35-21 to Iowa State last season in Ames.

      LINE: Baylor opened as a 31.5-point home fave and is now -34. The total opened at 75.5 and is now 76.5.
      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies.
      TRENDS:

      * Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
      * Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
      * Cyclones are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings in Baylor.

      Arkansas Razorbacks at Alabama Crimson Tide (-28, 48.5)

      Arkansas dropped its fourth straight, tying for the longest losing streak of new coach Bret Bielema’s career, with last week’s 52-7 home loss to South Carolina. The Razorbacks are 0-3 in the SEC for the first time since 2007 as they prepare for their fourth consecutive ranked opponent. Making matters worse, they just lost senior defensive tackle Robert Thomas (31 tackles, 3.5 sacks) for the season to a broken leg.

      Alabama last week won its 10th straight dating to last season, trampling Kentucky 48-7, and the defense is again playing at a championship level. The unit went 14 quarters without allowing a touchdown until the Wildcats scored and Alabama ranks second nationally in points allowed (11.3) and seventh in rushing defense (87.2 yards per game).

      LINE: The Tide opened as 27.5-point home faves and are now -28. The total opened at 48.5.
      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with clear skies.
      TRENDS:

      * Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
      * Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Alabama.
      * Over is 9-1-1 in Razorbacks last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

      Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers (+3, 64)

      Seminoles QB Jameis Winston has been immune to typical freshman mistakes as he ranks second in the nation in passing efficiency and has thrown only two interceptions, helping the Seminoles lead the nation with just three giveaways. Florida State ranks fourth in the country in total offense (549 yards per game) and has racked up 400 or more total yards in 14 of its last 19 contests.

      The Tigers' defense has been a surprising strength, though, holding five straight opponents to 14 points or fewer and limiting Boston College star Andre Williams to 70 yards on 24 carries in a 24-14 victory last week.

      LINE: The Seminoles opened as 2.5-point road faves and are now -3. The total opened at 64.
      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a 21 percent chance of rain.
      TRENDS:

      * Seminoles are 0-8 ATS in their last eight meetings in Clemson.
      * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
      * Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 conference games.

      UNLV Rebels at Fresno State Bulldogs (-24.5, 74)

      The Rebels deserve credit for turning their season around after opening with losses to Minnesota and Arizona, but their opponents during their win streak have a combined record of 8-18. In order to post their most impressive victory since beating Arizona State in 2008, the Rebels need a series of big plays from the trio of quarterback Caleb Herring, running back Tim Cornett and wide receiver Devante Davis, who is ranked second in the conference in receiving yards at 102.3 per game.

      After struggling to establish their running game early on, the Bulldogs have featured a more balanced attack over the past two games, with Marteze Waller rushing for 157 yards and two touchdowns in a 61-14 win over Idaho on Oct. 5.

      LINE: The Bulldogs opened as 21-point faves and are now -24.5. The total opened at 72 and is currently 74.
      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies.
      TRENDS:

      * Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last four conference games.
      * Rebels are 10-39-4 ATS in their last 53 road games.
      * Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.

      Washington State at Oregon Ducks (-38.5, 73)

      In the 52-24 loss to Oregon State last week, the Cougars led 24-17 in the third quarter before the Beavers responded with 35 unanswered points. The Cougars will need QB Connor Halliday and top receiver Gabe Marks (46 receptions, 512 yards, four touchdowns) to step up their games as Washington State has the nation's worst rushing attack at 66.4 yards per game.

      It would be natural for the Ducks to look ahead with games against No. 10 UCLA and No. 13 Stanford in the next two weeks, but their overpowering offense and opportunistic defense can trump any mental lapses that may occur. While much of the attention is devoted to Marcus Mariota and his unit (56.8 points per game, second in the nation), the defense is also second with a turnover margin of plus-11 and has allowed nine touchdowns - tied for fourth-fewest in the country.

      LINE: The Ducks opened as 38.5-point faves. The total opened at 73.
      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with clear skies.
      TRENDS:

      * Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
      * Underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
      * Ducks are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

      Comment


      • #18
        Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

        College football sprints past the halfway mark of the schedule in Week 8. Bettors have a good idea which programs are for real and which ones aren’t, keeping this Saturday’s odds on the move.

        We talk to sportsbooks about the biggest adjustments to the NCAAF lines and where they could end up come kickoff Saturday.

        UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal – Open: -5.5, Move: -7, Move: -4.5

        This line has been on a ride since post, climbing as high as Stanford at a touchdown before action bought back the Bruins as low as +4.5 at some markets.

        “Tuesday got sharp bet on the favorite, so moved to -6. Then we took a sharp bet on underdog, so moved to current number of 5.5,” Mike Perry of Sportsbook.com tells Covers. “So far, 60 percent of the money is on the Cardinal.”

        Texas Tech Red Raiders at West Virginia Mountaineers – Open: +8, Move: +5

        This Big 12 battle has jumped from one dead number to the next at some books, coming down as many as three points with action on the home side.

        According to Aron Black of Bet365.com, this line move has everything to do with the unsettled QB options for both TTU and WVU heading into Saturday. Red Raiders QB Baker Mayfield is questionable with a knee injury and Mountaineers QB Ford Childress is out with a torn pectoral muscle.

        “The line going to WVU looks more to do with them having more QB options, with TTU QB Baker Mayfield questionable,” Black tells Covers. “Action has been fairly split, but early action liked WVU +7, and they’re now coming back with some TTU -5.5.”

        Florida Gators at Missouri Tigers – Open: +3, Move: +3.5

        This spread was made with Tigers QB James Franklin out of action, but wasn’t discounting Missouri too much after last week’s upset over Georgia. This isn’t the biggest move on the board but sharp money has been loud and clear about its choice in this SEC showdown.

        “On Tuesday, we got a wiseguy bet on Gators, so moved to Florida -3.5,” says Perry. “Sixty-five percent of the cash is on the Gators.”

        Navy Midshipmen at Toledo Rockets – Open: -6.5, Move: -10

        The Middies limp into Week 8 with a long list of injuries, including QB Keenan Reynolds, who is dealing with an illness heading into Saturday. Money on the home team has moved this past a TD and to another key number of 10.

        “Not the biggest game obviously but a full field-goal move is rather large,” says Black. “All down to injuries with Navy, with numerous questionables and doubtfuls on both sides of the ball for them. Action has been all on Toledo with the moves.”

        Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers – Open: +3.5, Move: +2.5

        Some books have cut a full point off the line for this ACC war, with both the sharps and public pounding the Tigers at home. Perry says about 70 percent of the action is on Clemson heading into the weekend.

        “Wiseguys seem to like the dog here,” he says. “Tuesday night, we got sharp play on the Tigers +3.5.”

        LSU Tigers at Mississippi Rebels – Open: +7.5, Move: +10

        This spread reached Ole Miss +10.5 before money showed up on the home team. The Rebels will likely be without RB Jeff Scott and numerous members of the defense while LSU is expected to start QB Zach Mettenberger, who is nursing a shin injury.

        “LSU needs to run the table from here on out,” says Black. “Although they started as worthy favorites at Ole Miss, the injury news has been favorable for the Tigers and not so much for the Rebels, forcing the line to go much further to LSU than the opener. Action has been liking LSU since release at about a 3/1 clip.”

        USC Trojans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Open: -3, Move: -3.5

        It seems weird to have this yearly rivalry take place between two unranked programs. But even though USC and Notre Dame aren’t among the nation’s elite, action is still fast and furious on this game. According to Perry, both sharp and public money are siding with the Irish in South Bend.

        “We got a sharp play on the Irish Wednesday, so moved to -3.5,” he says. “About 75 percent of the cash is backing Notre Dame.”

        Georgia Bulldogs at Vanderbilt Commodores – Open: +9, Move: +7

        A laundry list of injuries for UGA has taken this spread down as many as two points at some markets. Running back Todd Gurley headlines the Bulldog’s walking wounded, as does fellow RB Keith Marshall and numerous defensive players.

        “Vandy is nothing special, but coming off a bye week will have given them good practice time and recovery for guys carrying slight injuries,” says Black. “A TD line may look like good value on the Dogs, but this is possibly a real banana skin for them. Action has been light, but most of what we have is sticking with Bulldogs to cover.”

        Comment


        • #19
          College football betting weather report: Saturday's forecasts

          Find out how weather will impact your college football bets for Saturday's matchups:

          Connecticut Huskies at Cincinnati Bearcats (-14.5, 46)
          Temperatures will be in the low-50s with a 74 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow across the field at 9 mph.

          Southern Miss Golden Eagles at East Carolina Pirates (-22.5, 53)
          Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 54 percent chance of rain.

          Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan State Spartans (-28, 42.5)
          Temperatures will be in the high-40s with an 81 percent chance of showers.

          Navy Midshipmen at Toledo Rockets (-10, 54.5)
          There is a 44 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 8 mph.

          Texas Tech Red Raiders at West Virginia Mountaineers (+5.5, 57)
          There is a 42 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

          Minnesota Golden Gophers at Northwestern Wildcats (-12, 53.5)
          There is a 47 percent chance of rain in the forecast with wind blowing across Ryan Field at 12 mph.

          Florida Gators at Missouri Tigers (+3, 44)
          There is a 33 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

          Ohio Bobcats at Eastern Michigan Eagles (+17, 57)
          There is a 40 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.

          Akron Zips at Miami (Ohio) Redhawks (+7, 44.5)
          There is a 74 percent chance of showers with wind blowing across the field at 11 mph.

          Ball State Cardinals at Western Michigan Broncos (+20, 50.5)
          There is an 84 percent chance of showers in the forecast.

          Colorado State Rams at Wyoming Cowboys (-7, 66.5)
          Wind will blow across the field at 15 mph.

          Northern Illinois Huskies at Central Michigan Chippewas (+15, 59)
          There is a 77 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

          Kent State Golden Flashes at South Alabama Jaguars (-6.5, 56)
          There is a 50 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

          Massachusetts Minutemen at Buffalo Bulls (-20, 45)
          There is a 70 percent chance of rain in the forecast and wind will blow across the field at 12 mph.

          Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines (-9.5, 68.5)
          There is a 42 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 10 mph.

          Iowa Hawkeyes at Ohio State Buckeyes (-17.5, 55)
          There is a 74 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across Ohio Stadium at 7 mph.

          Oklahoma Sooners at Kansas Jayhawks (+22, 49.5)
          Wind will blow across the field at 12 mph.

          USC Trojans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-3, 51)
          There is a 29 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 10 mph.

          Comment


          • #20
            Essential betting tidbits for Week 8 of college football

            We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Saturday's college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

            - The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings in Northwestern. The Wildcats are 12-point home faves Saturday.

            - Purdue ranks 119th out of 123 FBS teams in rushing offense, averaging only 77.8 yards.

            - The Georgia Bulldogs have won 10 in a row at Vanderbilt Stadium and 17 of the last 18 meetings overall in the series.

            - Southern Miss is riding a 17-game losing streak SU. The Golden Eagles are 4-13 ATS over that stretch of games. They are at East Carolina Saturday and are 22.5-point road dogs.

            - The Texas Tech Red Raiders lead the nation in forcing three-and-outs (7.33 per game) and lead the Big 12 in third-down conversion defense (28.2 percent). Tech is a 5-point road fave at West Virginia Saturday.

            - Cincinnati has scored a touchdown on 18-of-25 possessions in the red zone. The Bearcats host Connecticut Saturday. The Huskies are one of six schools to allow opponents to score on 100 percent of trips to the red zone.

            - The road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings between South Carolina and Tennessee. The Gamecocks are 7.5-point road faves at Tennessee Saturday.

            - The Under is 10-1 in Navy's last 11 games following a bye week. The Midshipmen are at Toledo with a total of 54.5.

            - Southern Methodist is averaging 361.2 yards passing per game, which is seventh-best nationally.

            - The Florida Gators lead the SEC in total defense, allowing an average of 235.3 yards. The Gators are 3-point road faves at Mizzou.

            - Georgia Tech won the last meeting with Syracuse by a score of 51-14 back in 2004. The Jackets are favored by a touchdown this time around.

            - The Akron Zips are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings at Miami (Ohio). The Zips are 7-point faves at the Redhawks Saturday.

            - The Over is 6-1 in Eastern Michigan's previous seven home games. The total is 55 for EMU's meeting with Ohio Saturday.

            - Temple is 5-0 both SU and ATS versus Army in the last five meetings. The Owls are 2.5-point home faves Saturday.

            - The road team has covered in six of the last eight meetings between Ball State and Western Michigan. The Cardinals are 20-point road faves.

            - The Colorado State Rams are just 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings at Wyoming. The Rams are 6.5-point road dogs Saturday.

            - The Northern Illinois Huskies have reeled off 12-straight victories on the road. Their last loss was to Central Michigan in 2011. The Huskies are 15-road faves at Central Michigan.

            - The Kent State Golden Flashes have been ATS road warriors of late, posting a record of 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Flashes are 7-point underdogs at South Alabama.

            - The UCLA Bruins have lost five straight games to Stanford and are 1-4 ATS in those meetings. The Bruines are 4.5-point road dogs at Stanford Saturday.

            - The Maryland Terrapins don't fare so well coming off of a bye week. The Terps are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a bye. They are 5-point road faves at Wake Forest.

            - The UMass Minutemen are one of three teams (Ohio, Memphis) to have not played a game over the total this season. The Minutemen are in Buffalo with a total of 47.

            - The Oklahoma Sooners are 14-0 under coach Bob Stoops - including a 6-0 mark against the Jayhawks - in the game after Texas with an average margin of 27 points. The Sooners are 22-point road faves at Kansas.

            - Auburn has had a 100-yard rusher in five of its six games, including the last three. Texas A&M ranks 91st nationally allowing 193.4 rushing yards per game.

            - Saturday marks the first meeting between BYU and Houston, but BYU is 6-1 versus AAC opposition.

            - The Duke Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings against Virginia. Duke are 2.5-point road dogs Saturday.

            - The Michigan Wolverines rank eight nationally allowing 89.5 rushing yards per game and has not allowed a 100-yard rusher this season.

            - Ohio State has dominated Iowa both SU and ATS recently. The Buckeyes have won three straight meetings and 11 of the last 12 while posting an ATS mark of 7-2-1 in the last 10.

            - The North Texas Mean Green are 0-3 SU and ATS away from home this season and are 3.5-point faves at Louisiana Tech.

            - Saturday's 67.5-point total in the Washington at Arizona State game marks the fourth time this season the Huskies will see a total of 60 points or higher. The Under is 3-0 in those three games - including last week's 75.5-point total versus Oregon.

            - LSU and Ole Miss have played over the total in their last four meetings overall and the last four at Ole Miss. Saturday's total is 60 in this SEC tilt.

            - Despite putting up a pedestrian (by their standards) 35 points one week ago at Kansas State, the Baylor Bears are currently seeing a total of 76.5 for their home game versus Iowa State Saturday. The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two programs.

            - Alabama leads the all-time series against Arkansas 13-8, winning 52-0 in Fayetteville, Ark., last year. The Tide are 29-point faves at home this time around.

            - At 4-1-1 ATS, Georgia State ranks 11th in ATS standings. The Panthers are 16-point road dogs at Texas State Saturday.

            - USC has won five straight matchups at Notre Dame but is 3-2 ATS in those five games. The Irish are favored by a field goal Saturday.

            - October is a scary month for Nevada backers. The Wolf Pack are 0-7 ATS in their last seven October games. They are 23-point road dogs at Boise State.

            - The Over is 9-1 in the New Mexico State Aggies last 10 games overall. Saturday's total is 57 with Rice in town.

            - Wisconsin is one of two teams (Florida State) to rank in the top 10 in total offense and total defense. The Badgers are ninth in total offense, fifth in total defense.

            - No visiting team starting a freshman quarterback has won at Clemson since Tyrod Taylor and Virginia Tech in 2007. Florida State and its QB Jameis Winston will try to break that drought as a 3-point road fave.

            - The Under is 7-0 in the Utah State Aggies last seven games vs. a team with a losing record. The Aggies face the 2-4 New Mexico Lobos with a total of 52.

            - The Fresno State Bulldogs are 13-0 under coach Tim DeRuyter when scoring 30 or more points in a game. They host the UNLV Rebels Saturday night, who rank 117th by allowing 41.8 points per game.

            - The Oregon Ducks own the best ATS mark at 6-0 and are favored by 39.5 as they host Washington State.

            - The Utah Utes have won 49 consecutive games when leading at halftime.

            - The Oregon State Beavers are the top Covers consensus road pick on Saturday at 71 percent. The Beavers are 10.5-point road faves at Cal Saturday night.

            Comment


            • #21
              NCAAF
              Dunkel

              Week 8


              Florida State at Clemson
              The Seminoles are coming off a 63-0 win over Maryland and look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in the previous game. Florida State is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Seminoles favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-3). Here are all of this week's games.

              SATURDAY, OCTOBER 19

              Game 309-310: Duke at Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Duke 85.849; Virginia 81.259
              Dunkel Line: Duke by 4 1/2; 48
              Vegas Line: Virginia by 2 1/2; 52
              Dunkel Pick: Duke (+2 1/2); Under

              Game 311-312: Army at Temple (1:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Army 74.014; Temple 69.851
              Dunkel Line: Army by 4; 63
              Vegas Line: Temple by 3; 59
              Dunkel Pick: Army (+3); Over

              Game 313-314: Ohio at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 77.515; Eastern Michigan 64.736
              Dunkel Line: Ohio by 13; 53
              Vegas Line: Ohio by 17; 57
              Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+17); Under

              Game 315-316: Ball State at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 80.242; Western Michigan 63.905
              Dunkel Line: Ball State by 16 1/2; 61
              Vegas Line: Ball State by 19 1/2; 57 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+19 1/2); Over

              Game 317-318: Northern Illinois at Central Michigan (3:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 91.129; Central Michigan 66.258
              Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 25; 54
              Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 16; 59
              Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-16); Under

              Game 319-320: Purdue at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 72.052; Michigan State 102.451
              Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 30 1/2; 39
              Vegas Line: Michigan State by 26 1/2; 42 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-26 1/2); Under

              Game 321-322: Southern Mississippi at East Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 67.155; East Carolina 86.463
              Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 19 1/2; 58
              Vegas Line: East Carolina by 22 1/2; 53 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+22 1/2); Over

              Game 323-324: Florida State at Clemson (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 117.508; Clemson 107.381
              Dunkel Line: Florida State by 10; 68
              Vegas Line: Florida State by 3; 64
              Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-3); Over

              Game 325-326: Maryland at Wake Forest (3:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 85.916; Wake Forest 82.477
              Dunkel Line: Maryland by 3 1/2; 47
              Vegas Line: Maryland by 6 1/2; 50 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+6 1/2); Under

              Game 327-328: Texas Tech at West Virginia (12:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 96.002; West Virginia 93.534
              Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 2 1/2; 62
              Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 6 1/2; 57
              Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+6 1/2); Over

              Game 329-330: Minnesota at Northwestern (12:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 82.154; Northwestern 98.037
              Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 16; 50
              Vegas Line: Northwestern by 12; 53 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-12); Under

              Game 331-332: Navy at Toledo (12:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Navy 80.682; Toledo 84.611
              Dunkel Line: Toledo by 4; 59
              Vegas Line: Toledo by 8; 54 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Navy (+8); Over

              Game 333-334: Connecticut at Cincinnati (12:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 78.118; Cincinnati 83.181
              Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5; 42
              Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 14; 46
              Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+14); Under

              Game 335-336: SMU at Memphis (12:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: SMU 81.204; Memphis 80.078
              Dunkel Line: SMU by 1; 43
              Vegas Line: Memphis by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: SMU (+3 1/2); Under

              Game 337-338: Colorado State at Wyoming (2:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 77.151; Wyoming 89.359
              Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 12; 70
              Vegas Line: Wyoming by 7; 66 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-7); Over

              Game 339-340: Auburn at Texas A&M (3:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 92.563; Texas A&M 114.387
              Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 22; 68
              Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 12 1/2; 72 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-12 1/2); Under

              Game 341-342: Washington State at Oregon (10:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 90.654; Oregon 122.990
              Dunkel Line: Oregon by 32 1/2; 77
              Vegas Line: Oregon by 40; 73
              Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+40); Over

              Game 343-344: Indiana at Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 88.455; Michigan 101.853
              Dunkel Line: Michigan by 13 1/2; 73
              Vegas Line: Michigan by 7 1/2; 67
              Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-7 1/2); Over

              Game 345-346: Syracuse at Georgia Tech (12:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 94.704; Georgia Tech 94.099
              Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 1; 48
              Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 7 1/2; 54 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+7 1/2); Under

              Game 347-348: Oregon State at California (10:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 97.824; California 83.267
              Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 14 1/2; 73
              Vegas Line: Oregon State by 10 1/2; 68 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-10 1/2); Over

              Game 349-350: Iowa at Ohio State (3:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 90.388; Ohio State 110.698
              Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 20 1/2; 51
              Vegas Line: Ohio State by 17; 55 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-17); Under

              Game 351-352: Arkansas at Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 88.205; Alabama 112.981
              Dunkel Line: Alabama by 25; 44
              Vegas Line: Alabama by 28 1/2; 48 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+28 1/2); Under

              Game 353-354: South Carolina at Tennessee (12:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 105.229; Tennessee 88.072
              Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 17; 58
              Vegas Line: South Carolina by 7; 54 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-7); Over

              Game 355-356: Washington at Arizona State (6:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Washington 104.300; Arizona State 103.777
              Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 69
              Vegas Line: Arizona State by 3; 65 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Over

              Game 357-358: North Texas at Louisiana Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 81.095; Louisiana Tech 68.893
              Dunkel Line: North Texas by 12; 51
              Vegas Line: North Texas by 6 1/2; 55
              Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-6 1/2); Under

              Game 359-360: Kent State at South Alabama (3:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 77.701; South Alabama 72.926
              Dunkel Line: Kent State by 5; 52
              Vegas Line: South Alabama by 6 1/2; 56 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+6 1/2); Under

              Game 361-362: Utah State at New Mexico (9:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 91.030; New Mexico 77.448
              Dunkel Line: Utah State by 13 1/2; 70
              Vegas Line: Utah State by 17 1/2; No Total
              Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+17 1/2); N/A

              Game 363-364: Florida at Missouri (12:21 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Florida 102.727; Missouri 96.732
              Dunkel Line: Florida by 6; 40
              Vegas Line: Florida by 3; 44
              Dunkel Pick: Florida (-3); Under

              Game 365-366: LSU at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: LSU 105.097; Mississippi 101.600
              Dunkel Line: LSU by 3 1/2; 66
              Vegas Line: LSU by 8 1/2; 60
              Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+8 1/2); Over

              Game 367-368: BYU at Houston (3:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: BYU 95.645; Houston 92.428
              Dunkel Line: BYU by 3; 67
              Vegas Line: BYU by 10; 62
              Dunkel Pick: Houston (+10); Over

              Game 369-370: Massachusetts at Buffalo (3:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 62.649; Buffalo 86.342
              Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 23 1/2; 42
              Vegas Line: Buffalo by 20 1/2; 47
              Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-20 1/2); Under

              Game 371-372: Georgia State at Texas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 59.183; Texas State 72.234
              Dunkel Line: Texas State by 13; 54
              Vegas Line: Texas State by 17; 49
              Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+17); Over

              Game 373-374: Akron at Miami (OH) (1:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Akron 73.113; Miami (OH) 61.575
              Dunkel Line: Akron by 11 1/2; 40
              Vegas Line: Akron by 7; 44 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Akron (-7); Under

              Game 375-376: Iowa State at Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 83.461; Baylor 119.941
              Dunkel Line: Baylor by 36 1/2; 80
              Vegas Line: Baylor by 32 1/2; 75 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-32 1/2); Over

              Game 377-378: Oklahoma at Kansas (3:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 97.409; Kansas 79.074
              Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 18 1/2; 45
              Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 23 1/2; 49
              Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+23 1/2); Under

              Game 379-380: TCU at Oklahoma State (12:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: TCU 97.260; Oklahoma State 99.414
              Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 2; 46
              Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 7 1/2; 50 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: TCU (+7 1/2); Under

              Game 381-382: UCLA at Stanford (3:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 104.830; Stanford 113.603
              Dunkel Line: Stanford by 9; 58
              Vegas Line: Stanford by 6; 54
              Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-6); Over

              Game 383-384: USC at Notre Dame (7:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: USC 95.055; Notre Dame 95.129
              Dunkel Line: Even; 46
              Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 3; 50 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: USC (+3); Under

              Game 385-386: Rice at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Rice 82.465; New Mexico State 55.039
              Dunkel Line: Rice by 27 1/2; 63
              Vegas Line: Rice by 17 1/2; 58
              Dunkel Pick: Rice (-17 1/2); Over

              Game 387-388: Nevada at Boise State (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 74.924; Boise State 101.271
              Dunkel Line: Boise State by 26 1/2; 72
              Vegas Line: Boise State by 22; 67
              Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-22); Over

              Game 389-390: Wisconsin at Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 106.404; Illinois 90.612
              Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 16; 51
              Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 13; 55 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-13); Under

              Game 391-392: Georgia at Vanderbilt (12:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 97.183; Vanderbilt 93.692
              Dunkel Line: Georgia by 3 1/2; 66
              Vegas Line: Georgia by 7 1/2; 61
              Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+7 1/2); Over

              Game 393-394: Utah at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Utah 96.799; Arizona 102.597
              Dunkel Line: Arizona by 7; 54
              Vegas Line: Arizona by 4; 58 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-4); Under

              Game 395-396: UNLV at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 74.422; Fresno State 91.148
              Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 16 1/2; 77
              Vegas Line: Fresno State by 24 1/2; 73
              Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+24 1/2); Over


              OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

              Game 431-432: Old Dominion at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 73.974; Pittsburgh 90.719
              Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 16 1/2
              Vegas Line: No Line
              Dunkel Pick: N/A

              Game 433-434: Charleston Southern at Colorado (2:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 53.587; Colorado 74.431
              Dunkel Line: Colorado by 21
              Vegas Line: No Line
              Dunkel Pick: N/A

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