The Bum's Look Ahead To NFL 2013 Preview-News& Other Information You Need To Know !

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NFL Games of the Year: Don't forget about Saints in New England

Odds are out for the biggest and best games of the upcoming NFL season. Covers Expert Steve Merril gives you his insight into some of these marquee matchups and predicts where the odds could move before kickoff.

NFL Week 6: New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots (-7)

Early look at the Saints: New Orleans was without head coach Sean Payton last season and his return in 2013 will rejuvenate this Saints team. New Orleans is a forgotten team but it will be extremely dangerous, especially if its defense reverts back to its previous form. The Saints were underdogs seven times last season, going 3-4 ATS.

Early look at the Patriots: New England is the same team year in and year out. The Patriots simply win double-digit games while their potent offense scores a ton of points. Expect more of the same this season from QB Tom Brady & Co. as their season win total is currently 11.5 at most shops.

Where this line will move: The Saints will be playing on a back-to-back road set in New England, so they are in a small scheduling disadvantage. However, the public likes to back high-scoring underdogs, so this line may dip below a touchdown.

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NFL Games of the Year: Broncos big faves with RG3 in town

Odds are out for the biggest and best games of the upcoming NFL season. Covers Expert Matt Fargo gives you his insight into some of these marquee matchups and predicts where the odds could move before kickoff.

NFL Week 8: Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos (-9)

Past History: Washington 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS, 2-1 O/U since 2001

Early look at the Redskins: All eyes will be on the return of Robert Griffin III and how his knee will hold up after injuring it in last year's playoffs. Washington was the surprise team out of the NFC, closing the regular season with seven straight wins before blowing a 14-0 lead against Seattle in the wildcard round. The NFC East will be tough again but a healthy defense could keep the Redskins in the postseason.

Early look at the Broncos: While not many expected the Broncos to contend last season, Peyton Manning made sure that wasn't the case. After a 2-3 start, Denver went on to win its last 11 regular season games but was upset in the divisional round of the playoffs against Baltimore as a 9.5-point home favorite. The Broncos are one of the favorites again in the AFC and overwhelming favorites to win the AFC West.

Where this line will move: This game does not take place until Week 8 so a lot of the line movement will be dictated by what each team does coming into this game. The Broncos will again be the public darling which could force an even higher line.

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NFL Games of the Year: Packers getting points in Week 11

Odds are out for the biggest and best games of the upcoming NFL season. Covers Expert Matt Fargo gives you his insight into some of these marquee matchups and predicts where the odds could move before kickoff.

NFL Week 11: Green Bay Packers at New York Giants (-1.5)

Past History: New York 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 O/U since 2008

Early look at the Packers: Green Bay started slow but finished strong to win its second straight NFC North title last year. The Packers are sizable favorites to repeat as division champions but even after winning 11 games, their preseason win total is set at 10 (-120). That may be considered a lack of respect for some but one look at the brutal schedule will tell the story why.

Early look at the Giants: After winning the Super Bowl two years ago, expectations were high for the Giants going into last season. And after a 6-2 start, things were looking good until a 3-5 finish left them home for the playoffs. They are slight favorites to win the NFC East but it will once again be a wide-open division. Still, we should see an improvement from their 9-7 record from lat year, albeit not a huge one.

Where this line will move: This game takes place late in the season, so the line could go either way based on the records of each team coming in. This is a Sunday night game, though, and the home team usually gets the betting love.

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Prop betting value behind Peterson to win NFL rushing title

Believe it or not, Adrian Peterson was a +1,200 long shot to win the NFL’s rushing title in 2012. The Minnesota Vikings RB was coming off surgery to repair a torn ACL and MCL in his knee and was a question mark heading into Week 1.

Peterson proved there was plenty of tread on the tires, rushing for 2,097 yards – coming nine yards short of breaking Eric Dickerson’s single-season rushing record – and earned MVP honors, which is why oddsmakers have “All Day” tabbed as a +350 favorite to lead the league in rushing again in 2013.

But with such one-sided odds in favor of Peterson, value opens up behind him on the NFL prop board. Here are three running backs providing solid betting value to lead the league in rushing this season.

C.J. Spiller, Buffalo Bills (+2,000)

Spiller had only 207 carries in 2012 –22nd in the NFL – but finished eighth in total rushing yards. He split the load with Fred Jackson and had to watch Ryan Fitzpatrick bring drives to a screeching halt with a passing attack ranked 29th in the league. With the Bills settling between Kevin Kolb and rookie E.J. Manuel at QB, Spiller should finally be utilized as Buffalo’s No. 1 – and perhaps only – option on offense.

Alfred Morris, Washington Redskins (+1,000)

Morris had one hell of a rookie season, exploding on to the scene to finish second behind Peterson in rushing yards (1,613). He had just four games in which he failed to crack the 80-yard plateau, with Washington going 2-3 SU and ATS in those outings. They were 6-1 ATS when he topped the century mark on the ground. With Robert Griffin III taking it easy on his wonky knee, Morris could see even more touches in the backfield.

Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans (+1,200)

The man known as “CJ2K” has been a far cry from his 2,000-yard ‘10 campaign. Last year, Johnson limped out to just 45 yards in his first three games but still managed to finish with 1,243 yards on the season. If you drop Week 1-3, he rushed for an average of over 92 yards per game, which would be good enough for fifth last season. Word out of Titans camp is that Johnson is looking good and the addition of some new run-blockers on the line will help pave the road for another big year.

Here is the full list of prop odds for the NFL rushing leader in 2013 (Courtesy of 5Dimes.eu):

Adrian Peterson +350
Marshawn Lynch +650
Arian Foster +800
Alfred Morris +1000
Doug Martin +1000
Trent Richardson +1000
Chris Johnson +1200
Jamaal Charles +1200
Steven Jackson +1200
DeMarco Murray +1500
Lamar Miller +1500
Maurice Jones-Drew +1500
Matt Forte +1500
LeSean McCoy +1800
Ray Rice +1800
C.J. Spiller +2000
Darren McFadden +2000
Eddie Lacy +2000
Frank Gore +2000
David Wilson +2200
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NFL Games of the Year: G-Men Week 6 dogs in Chitown

Odds are out for the biggest and best games of the upcoming NFL season. Covers Expert Bruce Marshall gives you his insight into some of these marquee matchups and predicts where the odds could move before kickoff.

NFL Week 6, Thursday, October 10: New York Giants (+2.5) at Chicago

Past history: NYG 2-1 SU and ATS, 1-2 O/U in three meetings since 2006.

Early look at the Giants: New York’s stop unit fell apart down the stretch last season (especially vulnerable vs. the run) and cost Tom Coughlin's team a chance to defend its Super Bowl crown in the playoffs. Defensive coordinator Perry Fewell is thus desperately seeking some upgrades, and a playmaker to emerge in the front seven after DE Osi Umenyiora departed for the Falcons in free agency. QB Eli Manning remains a force on the attack end, but Coughlin is anxiously seeking some offensive balance, compounded by the fact the roster lacks a proven, heavy-duty RB heading into training camp.

Early look at the Bears: By this point in the season we should have a pretty good idea if the Chicago “O” has been upgraded by the presence of new HC Marc Trestman. Remember, the Bears targeted Trestman specifically for his offensive expertise and history as a QB tutor, with hopes that will translate into more consistency for Jay Cutler. Protecting “Midway Jay” was also a problem in the last meeting vs. the G-Men in 2010. Note that Chicago was only 3-7 vs. the line its last ten games at Soldier Field during the Lovie Smith regime.

Where this line will move: At the moment, Chicago appears to be the greater variable among these two, depending upon the impact Trestman has with the offense. If the Bears are winning and Cutler is putting up big numbers in the early weeks, rest assured the public will force the oddsmakers’ hands.

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NFL Games of the Year: Books have different opinions on Ravens, Lions

Odds are out for the biggest and best games of the upcoming NFL season. Covers Expert Bruce Marshall gives you his insight into some of these marquee matchups and predicts where the odds could move before kickoff.

NFL Week 15: Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions (+1)

Past history: The teams split SU and ATS results in their last two meetings, played in 2005 and 2009. Both of those games went over the total as well. Both coaches (Baltimore’s John Harbaugh and Detroit’s Jim Schwartz) were on the job when the Ravens won the last meeting by a 48-3 score at M&T Bank Stadium in 2009.

Early look at the Ravens: We’ll see if the subtle adjustment made by offensive coordinator Jim Caldwell, allowing QB Joe Flacco more audible freedom after Cam Cameron’s December dismissal, keeps Flacco soaring as he was late last season when tossing 15 touchdowns and only one pick in the last seven games during the Ravens’ Super Bowl run. The gnarly defense has lost some familiar names (Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, Paul Kruger), but respected tactician Dean Pees should still be able to scheme effectively with a more versatile group of playmakers augmented by free-agent addition LB/DE Elvis Dumervil and a collection of well-regarded rookies featuring hard-hitting S Matt Elam (Florida) and LB Arthur Brown (Kansas State).

Early look at the Lions: By this point in the season, we should have a good idea if the under-fire Schwartz is going to be able to save his job. Or, if things have already gone pear-shaped at Ford Field, as they did a year ago when mental mistakes were rampant and morale was low, Schwartz could have walked the plank by this point. Detroit thinks it has enough offense to get back into the playoff mix, especially after the offseason addition of RB Reggie Bush. How defensive coordinator. Gunther Cunningham successfully juggles his stop unit personnel mix will be key. Top draft picks DE Ziggy Ansah and CB Darius Slay, plus free-agent addition FS Glover Quin, need to make immediate contributions.

Where this line will move: The oddsmakers have built in a slight downgrade for the Ravens, while anticipating a recovery from last year’s collapse by the Lions. Both notions could be flawed. Almost the entire regular season will have been played by this point and remember that each of Harbaugh’s first five Baltimore teams have not only made the playoffs but also won a game in the postseason. If the Ravens don’t dip as much as some believe, and the Lions continue on their self-destructive path, it’s easy to see this number moving considerably in Baltimore’s direction. At the moment, the tenuous situation involving Schwartz would seem to make Detroit a very risky future proposition as the season progresses.

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NFL Games of the Year: Seahawks big faves with Vikes in town

Odds are out for the biggest and best games of the upcoming NFL season. Covers Expert Will Rogers gives you his insight into some of these marquee matchups and predicts where the odds could move before kickoff.

NFL Week 11: Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-8.5)

Past history: Minnesota is 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, Under is 3-2 since 2003.

Early look at the Vikings: After a somewhat surprising 10-6 season in 2012, the Vikings are expected to regress in 2013. Cantor Gaming opened with the Vikes season wins total listed at 7 over -120. They bring back Christian Ponder as their starting quarterback, but Percy Harvin has moved on to Seattle. They will replace Harvin with veteran Greg Jennings, but things don't look too promising for an offense that ranked 31st in the NFL in passing yards in 2012.

An Early look at the Seahawks: Seattle has a young and talented team that should only be better this year, with Russell Wilson having a year's experience under his belt, and Percy Harvin giving him a dangerous target. The Seahawks opening wins total was listed at 10 over -120 at Cantor and since then, money has come in on the over.

Where this line will move: A lot can happen in 11 weeks during the NFL season, and injuries could play a big role in where the line shifts. If the Vikings exceed expectations as they did last year, we could well see this line drop closer to 7.
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