The Bum's National Basketball Association Best Bets !!

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday, March 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Boston - 7:00 PM ET Boston -11 500
Charlotte - Under 187.5 500

L.A. Lakers - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +8.5 500
Orlando - Under 208 500

Washington - 7:00 PM ET Washington -1 500 POD
Cleveland - Under 191.5 500

New Orleans - 7:30 PM ET New Orleans +6 500
Brooklyn - Over 184.5 500

Atlanta - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta +10 500
Miami - Under 197 500

Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Milwaukee -2 500 POD
Milwaukee - Under 208.5 500

San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota +8.5 500
Minnesota - Over 195.5 500

Memphis - 10:00 PM ET Memphis -1.5 500
Portland - Under 186 500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Phoenix at Houston
The Rockets look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 home games. Houston is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-11). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 13

Game 601-602: Milwaukee at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 118.282; Washington 117.351
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 603-604: Miami at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 127.027; Philadelphia 115.894
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8 1/2); Under

Game 605-606: Minnesota at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 112.421; Indiana 127.279
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 15; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 13 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-13 1/2); Over

Game 607-608: LA Lakers at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 118.020; Atlanta 121.617
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 203
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1); Under

Game 609-610: Toronto at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 114.659; Boston 123.943
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 9 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 611-612: Utah at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 115.654; Oklahoma City 129.216
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 13 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 613-614: Phoenix at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 110.916; Houston 125.596
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 14 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 11; 214
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-11); Under

Game 615-616: Chicago at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.185; Sacramento 118.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 1 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 617-618: Detroit at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 107.963; Golden State 121.117
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 13; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 12; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-12); Under

Game 619-620: New York at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 122.402; Denver 126.988
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 9; 208
Dunkel Pick: New York (+9); Over

Game 621-622: Memphis at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 122.484; LA Clippers 129.376
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 184
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 13

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MILWAUKEE (32 - 30) at WASHINGTON (20 - 42) - 3/13/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (48 - 14) at PHILADELPHIA (24 - 39) - 3/13/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 74-111 ATS (-48.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 8-6 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 13-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (22 - 39) at INDIANA (39 - 24) - 3/13/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
MINNESOTA is 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 39-57 ATS (-23.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 154-200 ATS (-66.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
INDIANA is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 131-90 ATS (+32.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (34 - 31) at ATLANTA (34 - 29) - 3/13/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 27-38 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
LA LAKERS are 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
LA LAKERS are 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (25 - 39) at BOSTON (34 - 29) - 3/13/2013, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (33 - 31) at OKLAHOMA CITY (47 - 17) - 3/13/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (22 - 42) at HOUSTON (34 - 30) - 3/13/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 81-111 ATS (-41.1 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (35 - 28) at SACRAMENTO (22 - 43) - 3/13/2013, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (23 - 43) at GOLDEN STATE (36 - 29) - 3/13/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DETROIT is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-81 ATS (-35.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (38 - 23) at DENVER (43 - 22) - 3/13/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
DENVER is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
DENVER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
DENVER is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (43 - 19) at LA CLIPPERS (45 - 20) - 3/13/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
MEMPHIS is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games this season.
MEMPHIS is 38-15 ATS (+21.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
MEMPHIS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 59-29 ATS (+27.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 143-195 ATS (-71.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 9-6 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 10-6 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 13

Hot Teams
-- Bucks won six of their last eight games (5-1 last six AU).
-- Miami won its last 19 games (7-0 last seven AF).
-- Pacers won seven of last ten games (7-5 last 12 HF).
-- Lakers won five of last six games (1-4 last five AU).
-- Celtics lost last two games, but won last nine at home (6-1 last seven HF).
-- Thunder won five of their last six games (12-1 last 13 HF).
-- Rockets won six of last seven home games (11-2 last 13 HF).
-- Warriors won five of last seven home games (4-7 last 11 HF).
-- Denver won its last nine games (8-1 last nine HF). Knicks won six of last nine games (4-5 AU)- this is Anthony's return to Denver.
-- Grizzlies won their last five games (5-5 HF). Clippers won six of last eight games (4-1 last five HF).

Cold Teams
-- Wizards lost five of their last seven games (4-6 HF).
-- 76ers lost five of their last six games (2-4 last six HU).
-- Minnesota lost eight of last ten games (3-10-1 last 14 AU).
-- Hawks lost six of their last seven games (2-5 last seven HF).
-- Toronto lost six of its last eight games (8-3-1 last 12 AU).
-- Jazz lost seven of their last nine games (4-8 last 12 AU).
-- Suns lost three of their last four games (4-6-1 last 11 AU).
-- Bulls lost their last four road games (6-4 last ten AF). Kings lost seven of their last ten games (7-9 HU).
-- Pistons lost their last six games (1-5 last six AU).

Totals
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games went over the total; five of last six Washington games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Miami games.
-- Last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Three of Toronto's last four road games went over total.
-- Four of last five Utah road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Houston home games went over total.
-- Seven of last ten Chicago games stayed under the total; eight of last ten Sacramento games went over.
-- Last four Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven New York games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Memphis road games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Bucks are 5-10 vs spread if they played night before, 4-4 on the road. Washington is 11-3 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Miami is 5-2 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 5-6 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Lakers are 5-3-1 vs spread when playing second consecutive night on road. Atlanta is 9-7 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Memphis is 9-4 vs spread if it played night before.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, March 13

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
Milwaukee is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Indiana is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 13 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

7:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games on the road
LA Lakers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing Boston
Boston is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. HOUSTON
Phoenix is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Utah is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Utah
Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Utah

10:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. SACRAMENTO
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. LA CLIPPERS
Memphis is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Memphis is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 20-4 SU in their last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing Memphis

10:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. DENVER
New York is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Denver's last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games

10:30 PM
DETROIT vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, March 13

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Knicks at Nuggets: What bettors need to know
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New York Knicks at Denver Nuggets (-9, 208)

Carmelo Anthony might not be picking the best time to return to the city where he played the first 7 1/2 seasons of his career. Anthony will make his first appearance in Denver in more than two years when the New York Knicks visit the red-hot Nuggets on Wednesday. Denver, which traded Anthony to New York in a blockbuster deal in February 2011 that reshaped both rosters, is seeking its 10th consecutive victory.

The Nuggets have won 13 straight games at home and are 27-3 at the Pepsi Center - tied with Miami for the fewest home losses. They will provide an imposing obstacle against a Knicks' squad that was pounded by the Golden State Warriors 92-63 on Monday in the opener of a five-game road trip. Anthony, back in the lineup after sitting out the previous three games with an ailing right knee, scored 14 points as New York was held to a season-low total.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, MSG (New York), Altitude (Denver)

ABOUT THE KNICKS (38-23, 30-29-2 ATS): Anthony is bothered by fluid in the back of his knee that is causing stiffness and soreness and he didn't look like the player who is second in the league in scoring in Monday's loss. Returning to the Mile High City will test him physically and mentally. "For me to go back my first time not wearing a Denver Nuggets jersey, it’s going to be some mixed emotions ... knowing the run that we had back there in Denver," Anthony said. "It was kind of a new beginning that started when I got there. So it’s a lot of emotions.”

ABOUT THE NUGGETS (43-22, 40-24-1 ATS): Points have not been an issue for high-scoring Denver, but it displayed another facet of its offense in Monday's 108-93 win in Phoenix. Center Kosta Koufos, who wound up with the Nuggets as part of the Anthony deal, scored a career-high 22 points on 10-of-11 shooting and also pulled down 10 rebounds. "He's ready to get a pass and he hustles and gets hustle rebounds," Nuggets coach George Karl said. "He's gaining confidence by doing the little things of playing basketball and I really enjoy it."

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Knicks are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Knicks are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Denver.
* Favorite is 17-7 ATS in the last 24 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Anthony has averaged 29.5 points as the Knicks split a pair of meetings with Denver in New York.

2. The Nuggets have scored at least 100 points in 23 of the last 24 games.

3. Denver has won the past four meetings at home against the Knicks.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, March 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 7:00 PM ET Miami -8.5 500
Philadelphia - Under 193 500

Milwaukee - 7:00 PM ET Milwaukee -1 500
Washington - Under 195.5 500

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -15 500 POD
Indiana - Over 185 500

Toronto - 7:30 PM ET Toronto +5 500
Boston - Under 191 500

L.A. Lakers - 7:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers -3 500 POD
Atlanta - Under 205 500

Phoenix - 8:00 PM ET Houston -11.5 500 POD
Houston - Over 213.5 500

Utah - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -13.5 500
Oklahoma City - Under 204 500

Chicago - 10:00 PM ET Sacramento +3.5 500
Sacramento - Over 197.5 500

New York - 10:30 PM ET Denver -8.5 500 POD
Denver - Under 206 500

Memphis - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers -6 500
L.A. Clippers - Under 185 500

Detroit - 10:30 PM ET Detroit +11.5 500
Golden State - Under 200 500

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Thursday

March 14, 2013

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mavericks are 10-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since March 08, 2010 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game on the road in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Knicks are 0-8 OU (-8.9 ppg) (also 0-8 SU and ATS) since November 26, 2008 as a dog with no rest after a loss in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Spurs are 10-0 OU (16.9 ppg) since March 23, 2007 at home after winning the previous matchup in which Tony Parker had at least 5 turnovers.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Spurs are 0-10 ATS (-9.9 ppg) since April 02, 2005 as a favorite after a game on the road in which they had at least 10 shots blocked.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Spurs are 10-0-1 ATS (7.8 ppg) since May 15, 2008 as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.

-- The Mavericks are 6-0 OU (17.2 ppg) since June 09, 2011 after a win in which Dirk Nowitzki had a double double.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday TNT Tips

March 14, 2013

College basketball is taking over at this point in March, but the NBA showcases a pair of games on Thursday night. Two Western Conference teams in desperate need of a win take the court as Dallas heads to San Antonio and Portland hosts road-weary New York. We'll start in Texas with the state rivals hooking up.

Mavericks at Spurs - 8:05 PM EST

San Antonio goes for the four-game season sweep of Dallas as these Southwest Division clubs meet for the final time in the regular season. The Spurs should be extra-focused after getting routed at Minnesota on Tuesday, 107-83 as nine-point road favorites. Tim Duncan rested for the Spurs, while point guard Tony Parker remains out with a sprained ankle.

Dallas wraps up a four-game road trip, looking for a fourth straight victory after outlasting Milwaukee, 115-108 as short underdogs. The Mavs reached the 115-point mark for the fourth time on the road this season, as Vince Carter scored 23 points off the bench. Rick Carlisle's team has cashed eight of the last 10 in the road 'dog role, while posting a 4-2 ATS record on the highway inside the division.

The Spurs have won eight straight games off a loss, as San Antonio owns a 6-2 ATS record in this stretch. Gregg Popovich's club has put together a 22-2 the last 24 games at the AT&T Center, but both losses came in the last three weeks to Phoenix and Portland as heavy favorites. San Antonio has eclipsed the 100-point mark in nine of the past 10 home contests, while cashing the 'under' in five of the last eight games at the AT&T Center.

The season series has gone San Antonio's way with two of the three victories over Dallas coming by at least 25 points. The last meeting in Dallas went to the Spurs in late January, 113-107, as San Antonio held a 20-point lead heading into the final quarter. Duncan was a late scratch as the Spurs cashed outright as two-point underdogs, the ninth cover in the last 10 meetings with the Mavs.

Knicks at Blazers - 10:35 PM EST

New York's recent woes on the highway at Golden State and Denver are definitely a concern as the Knicks try to get on track at Portland. Last night, the Knicks were run out in Carmelo Anthony's return to Denver as nine-point underdogs, 117-94, the second straight double-digit defeat on this six-game road trip. Anthony will not play tonight to rest due to a knee injury suffered earlier this month at Cleveland.

The last time the Knicks faced the Blazers back on New Year's Day, Portland went into Madison Square Garden and grabbed a 105-100 victory as 9 ½-point underdogs. Anthony put up 45 points in that loss, but the Blazers built an 11-point halftime advantage and led from start to finish. New York is making its first visit to the Rose Garden in over two years as the Knicks beat the Blazers, 100-86 as 4 ½-point underdogs in January 2011.

Portland looks to bounce back after Tuesday's home defeat to Memphis as a 1 ½-point underdog, 102-97. The Blazers have now hit the 'over' in five of the last six home contests, while cashing four straight home games prior to the Memphis loss. Terry Stotts' team has covered three consecutive times following a setback at the Rose Garden, including a 109-94 win over Minnesota on March 6.

The Knicks own a 7-5 SU and 6-5-1 ATS record with no rest this season, while winning and covering three straight times in this situation. New York has struggled against the Western Conference on the highway by posting a 4-7 SU and 5-5-1 ATS, including a 2-4 ATS record when receiving points when facing the West.

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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 14

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DALLAS (30 - 33) at SAN ANTONIO (49 - 16) - 3/14/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 71-43 ATS (+23.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 120-86 ATS (+25.4 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 45-21 ATS (+21.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 42-17 ATS (+23.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 112-76 ATS (+28.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 157-114 ATS (+31.6 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 90-63 ATS (+20.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 105-76 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 257-205 ATS (+31.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 150-115 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 78-50 ATS (+23.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (38 - 24) at PORTLAND (29 - 34) - 3/14/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 54-87 ATS (-41.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 14

Hot Teams
-- Dallas won last four games (21-7 vs spread in last 28).

Cold Teams
-- Spurs are 5-4 last nine games, 1-2 in last three (4-1 last five HF).
-- Knicks lost three of last four games; Chandler/Anthony both got hurt last night, Chandler could play here (1-4 last five AU). Portland also lost three of last four games (4-1 last five HF).

Totals
-- Four of last five San Antonio games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight New York games stayed under the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Knicks are 3-4 vs spread on road if they played night before.




NBA

Thursday, March 14

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. PORTLAND
New York is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 8 games
Portland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against New York
Portland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

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NBA
Dunkel

Dallas at San Antonio
The Spurs look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games in San Antonio. San Antonio is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MARCH 14

Game 701-702: Dallas at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 116.130; San Antonio 130.862
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 14 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: New York at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 117.506; Portland 122.002
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 4 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-3 1/2); Over

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NBA

Thursday, March 14

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NBA doubleheader: Mavericks at Spurs, Knicks at Trail Blazers
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Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs (-7.5, 205)

The San Antonio Spurs are among the best teams in the NBA. Lately, they may be the most inconsistent. San Antonio will try to find its form Thursday when it hosts the Dallas Mavericks. After winning three straight by an average of 28.3 points, the Spurs lost at home to Portland by 30, posted a solid win over high-powered Oklahoma City and then suffered a 24-point loss at lowly Minnesota on Tuesday while forwards Tim Duncan and Kawhi Leonard stayed home.

While San Antonio struggles to regain its footing without All-Star guard Tony Parker in the lineup, the Mavericks continue their climb toward playoff contention. Dallas has won four straight after a 115-108 victory at Milwaukee on Tuesday and trail the Los Angeles Lakers by 2 1/2 games in the race for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Vince Carter scored 13 of his 23 points in the fourth quarter of Tuesday's victory, which gave the Mavs a 3-0 mark on their four-game road trip.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (30-33, 37-26-0 ATS): While Carter was solid in the stretch run Tuesday and Dirk Nowitzki stood out at the start (17 of his 19 points came in the first half), Dallas also got a nice contribution from rookie swingman Jae Crowder. Starting in place of the injured Shawn Marion, Crowder had 14 points -- one shy of his season high -- and a person-best eight rebounds. Marion has missed three straight games due to a sore left calf. He remains day-to-day. The Mavericks are 7-3 without Marion in the lineup. They've won each of the last six without their top defender.

ABOUT THE SPURS (49-16, 36-27-2 ATS): Playing the second half of a back-to-back, coach Gregg Popovich elected to leave Duncan and Leonard behind when the team traveled from San Antonio to Minnesota late Monday night. The players were officially diagnosed with sore knees, but sitting players in situations such as this is nothing new to Popovich. Matt Bonner (two points in 19 minutes) made his second start, Stephen Jackson (14 points) made his fourth and Cory Joseph (15 points) his fifth. The Spurs shot 35.4 percent from the floor and were outrebounded 49-39 in falling to 5-4 since a 16-1 stretch.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in San Antonio.
* Mavericks are 3-12-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
* Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in San Antonio.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. San Antonio has won the first three games of the four-game series by an average of 23 points.

2. After this one, Dallas plays eight of its next nine games at home.

3. In keeping with the Spurs' inconsistency, C Tiago Splitter went 9-for-11 from the field in the win over Oklahoma City but was 1-for-10 against Minnesota.



New York Knicks at Portland Trail Blazers (-3.5, 193)

The New York Knicks will limp into Portland for a matchup with the Trail Blazers on Thursday in what is quickly turning into a disastrous five-game road trip. New York was pummeled by 29 points at Golden State on Monday and absorbed a 26-point beating in Denver on Wednesday. The battered Knicks will be without star Carmelo Anthony, who left Thursday's game with knee soreness and is being sent back to New York for tests.

Knicks center Tyson Chandler also left the Denver game with a left knee contusion but has been listed as probable for Thursday's matchup. The Trail Blazers are 3 1/2 games behind the Los Angeles Lakers for eighth place in the West and must take advantage of matchups against the depleted Knicks and Detroit on Saturday before heading out on a five-game road trip. Portland has dropped two straight since a stunning 30-point win at San Antonio.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, MSG (New York)

ABOUT THE KNICKS (38-24, 30-30-2 ATS): Anthony missed three games last week with an ailing right knee and said he would only have it drained as a "last resort," but that appears to be the course of action. Meanwhile, the subplot for Thursday's game is the return of Knicks point guard Raymond Felton. He had a miserable season in Portland a year ago amid questions about his conditioning and was linked to a player mutiny that eventually led to the firing of Nate McMillan. Felton called his stint with the Blazers the "worst moment I had in basketball for sure."

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (29-34, 28-32-3 ATS): Nicolas Batum scored a team-high 26 points in Portland's 105-100 win at New York on New Year's Day, but he continues to struggle while battling an injured right wrist. Batum missed all five shots while scoring four points in Tuesday's home loss to Memphis and had two points in the rout of the Spurs. He has managed only 17 points on 4-for-18 shooting over his past three games. His shooting percentage has dipped to 42.5, the lowest of his five-year career.

TRENDS:

* Knicks are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Portland.
* Knicks are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Underdog is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. New York fell a game behind Indiana for the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference.

2. Portland is nine games above .500 at home at 20-11.

3. The teams have split the last six meetings.

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NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, March 14

Dallas at San Antonio, 8:05 ET
Dallas: 11-3 Over after scoring 110+ points
San Antonio: 15-3 ATS at home off a road loss by 20+ points

New York at Portland, 10:35 ET
New York: 20-7 ATS off BB road losses by 10+ points
Portland: 12-21 ATS off an Over

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday, March 14

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Dallas +9.5 500
San Antonio - Under 206 500

New York - 10:30 PM ET Portland -6 500
Portland - Over 193 500

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Friday, March 15

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Charlotte - 7:00 PM ET Toronto -12 500
Toronto - Under 194 500

New Orleans - 7:00 PM ET Washington -3 500 POD # 1
Washington - Over 188 500

L.A. Lakers - 7:00 PM ET L.A. Lakers +9.5 500
Indiana - Under 190 500

Phoenix - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta -8.5 500
Atlanta - Under 192 500

Minnesota - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota +14.5 500
Houston - Over 210 500

Orlando - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -17 500 POD # 2
Oklahoma City - Over 207 500

Miami - 8:30 PM ET Milwaukee +6 500
Milwaukee - Under 203.5 500

Cleveland - 8:30 PM ET Cleveland +8 500
Dallas - Under 203 500

Memphis - 9:00 PM ET Denver -5 500 POD # 3
Denver - Under 195.5 500

Chicago - 10:30 PM ET Golden State -5 500 POD # 4
Golden State - Under 189 500