The Bum's National Basketball Association Best Bets !!

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Saturday

March 16, 2013

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS (-10.5 ppg) since December 23, 2000 as a dog with no rest after a game on the road in which they has more than 10 refereed turnovers.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cavaliers are 13-0 OU (16.8 ppg) since January 20, 2007 on the road with no rest after a game on the road in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Spurs are 0-10 OU (-14.6 ppg) since March 30, 2003 after a win at home in which Manu Ginobili had more assists than points.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The 76ers are 12-0-2 OU (12.8 ppg) since November 30, 2008 with at least one day of rest after a loss in which they shot less than 60% from the free-throw line.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS (9.3 ppg) since February 23, 2011 after a loss on the road in which Mike Conley had more turnovers than assists.
-- The Pacers are 0-10 OU (-9.8 ppg) since December 20, 2008 with no rest after a loss at home in which Roy Hibbert played fewer than 30 minutes.

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, March 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Phoenix - 7:00 PM ET Washington -7.5 500
Washington - Under 190.5 500 POD # 4

Charlotte - 7:30 PM ET Boston -15.5 500
Boston - Over 187.5 500

Indiana - 7:30 PM ET Indiana -4.5 500 POD # 1
Philadelphia - Under 183 500

Cleveland - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio -14.5 500
San Antonio - Under 199.5 500 POD # 5

Memphis - 10:00 PM ET Utah -2 500 POD # 2
Utah - Under 183.5 500 POD # 3

Detroit - 10:00 PM ET Detroit +10.5 500
Portland - Under 200.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday, March 17

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 1:00 PM ET Toronto +7 500
Toronto - Over 194.5 500

Orlando - 1:00 PM ET Orlando +9 500
Milwaukee - Over 208.5 500

New York - 3:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers -12 500
L.A. Clippers - Under 194.5 500

Golden State - 7:00 PM ET Houston -7.5 500 POD # 3
Houston - Over 216.5 500

New Orleans - 7:00 PM ET New Orleans -1.5 500 POD # 1
Minnesota - Under 189.5 500

Oklahoma City - 7:30 PM ET Dallas +4.5 500
Dallas - Under 209 500

Atlanta - 8:00 PM ET Brooklyn -4 500 POD # 2
Brooklyn - Under 188.5 500

Sacramento - 9:30 PM ET Sacramento +8.5 500
L.A. Lakers - Over 212.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday Night Tips

March 17, 2013

With all the tournament buzz surrounding the sports world tonight, there is a chance to cash in with a handful of NBA games on the board. Actually, these contests have major playoff implications as seeding can be changed with potential tiebreakers be broken. We'll take a look at three of these night contests, starting with a battle of two Western Conference foes that aren't very fond of each other in Texas.

Warriors at Rockets - 7:05 PM EST

Houston goes for the four-game sweep of Golden State tonight, as the Rockets enter action at the Toyota Center one half-game behind the Warriors for sixth in the West. Obviously, the Rockets hold the season tiebreaker, but a victory tonight would definitely hurt Golden State's already shaken momentum with only three weeks left in the season.

The Warriors hit the road after getting blown out by the Bulls on Friday night, 113-95, as Golden State once trailed by as many as 36 points. Mark Jackson's squad owns a dreadful 2-7 ATS record the last nine games, but eight times the Warriors were listed in the favorite role. The Warriors have dropped nine of their last 10 games away from Oracle Arena, including a 1-7 ATS record when receiving points.

The Rockets look for a better effort tonight after squeezing by the lowly Timberwolves on Friday, 108-100 as 14 ½-point favorites. Houston has won five of its past seven, while trying to avoid the dreaded seven or eight seed in the West. In three wins over the Warriors this season, the Rockets dropped 140 and 116 points, while putting together a solid defensive effort in the last meeting in Oakland by holding off Golden State, 94-88 as two-point underdogs.

Thunder at Mavericks - 7:35 PM EST

Dallas is staying alive in the Western Conference playoff race after running away from Cleveland in the second half of Friday's 10-point home victory. The Mavs have won five of their previous six, with the lone loss coming by one point at San Antonio on Thursday. However, Dallas has not figured out how to beat Oklahoma City, losing nine straight times in the series, including three times this season.

Granted, two of those setbacks this season have gone to overtime, but the Thunder has Dallas' number, while winning four consecutive visits to the American Airlines Center. Oklahoma City has a pair of huge battles on deck against Denver (Tuesday) and at Memphis (Wednesday), as the Thunder owns a 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS record the last 10 games on the highway. In the role of a road favorite, Scott Brooks' club is just 4-9 ATS the previous 13 times out, including a non-cover in an overtime triumph at Dallas in mid-January.

The Mavs are just three games behind the Lakers for the eighth spot in the West playoff race, but Dallas is 0-9 this season against the top three teams in the conference (Spurs, Thunder, and Clippers). Since January 9, Rick Carlisle's team has cashed in 11 of 13 opportunities in the underdog role, including covers against Oklahoma City and Memphis at home. Dallas has won seven of its past 10 games at home, while hitting the 'under' four straight times.

Hawks at Nets - 8:05 PM EST

A pair of second-place teams hooks up at the Barclays Center tonight, but Brooklyn has a more realistic shot of finishing atop its division than Atlanta. The Nets are just one game behind the Knicks in the Atlantic Division entering today's action, while the Hawks are battling it out with the Bulls and Celtics for the fifth seed in the East.

Brooklyn dominated Atlanta, 93-80 on March 9 at Philips Arena to cash outright as three-point 'dogs. Joe Johnson scored just eight points in his return to Atlanta, but Brook Lopez and Andray Blatche torched the Hawks with 18 points apiece. The Nets have taken two of three meetings from the Hawks this season, including a 94-89 home triumph in mid-January, but Atlanta cashed as 6 ½-point 'dogs.

The Hawks are fresh off consecutive home victories over the Suns and Lakers, as Atlanta seeks its first road win in six tries. Larry Drew's club owns a 1-4 ATS record in the last five games away from Philips Arena, while posting a 4-9 SU mark in the past 13 road contests against Eastern Conference foes. The Nets have won four of their last five games, while going 4-1 to the 'under' in the past five at the Barclays Center.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Sunday

March 17, 2013

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Timberwolves are 0-12 ATS (-11.0 ppg) since December 09, 1997 as a home dog off a loss in which they led at the end of each of the first three quarters.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Raptors are 0-13 OU (-12.6 ppg) since December 19, 1996 at home with at least one day of rest after a win in which their opponent stole the ball at least twelve times.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Kings are 11-0 OU (18.0 ppg) since February 09, 2010 on the road after winning the previous matchup in which Tyreke Evans was not the Kings’ high scorer.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Nets are 0-10-1 ATS (-9.2 ppg) since December 12, 2008 as a home favorite with at least one day of rest after a game in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Hawks are 0-7-1 ATS (-8.8 ppg) since April 25, 2009 as a dog after losing the previous matchup at home in which Al Horford had a double double.
-- The Heat are 0-8 OU (-16.7 ppg) since March 23, 2011 on the road after winning the previous matchup on the road in which Chris Bosh was not the Heat’s high scorer.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, March 17

Update

Golden State at Houston, 7:05 ET
Golden State: 0-8 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 210
Houston: 8-1 ATS in home games off a home win

Oklahoma City at Dallas, 7:35 ET
Oklahoma City: 17-8 ATS after scoring 110 points or more
Dallas: 9-1 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more

Atlanta at Brooklyn, 8:05 ET
Atlanta: 13-4 ATS after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots
Brooklyn: 4-16 ATS in a home game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points

Sacramento at LA Lakers, 9:35 ET
Sacramento: 13-4 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days
LA Lakers: 9-18 ATS after a non-conference game

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 17

Hot Teams
-- Miami won its last 21 games (9-0 last nine AF).
-- Clippers won six of their last nine games (4-2 last six HF).
-- Rockets won five of last seven games (6-2 last eight HF).
-- Thunder won seven of their last eight games (1-4 last five AF). Dallas won five of last six games (3-4 HU).
-- Nets won four of their last five games (4-5-1 last ten HF).
-- Lakers won seven of last nine games (7-5 last 12 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Magic lost seven of last nine games (3-0 last three AU). Milwaukee lost its last three games, by 7-13-13 points (1-7 last eight HF).
-- Toronto lost seven of last ten games (8-5 HU).
-- Knicks lost four of their last five games (1-4 last five U).
-- Hornets lost seven of their last nine games (0-1 AF). Minnesota lost eight of last ten games (3-6-1 last 10 HU).
-- Golden State lost its last four road games (1-9 last ten AU).
-- Hawks lost their last five road games (0-3 last three AU).
-- Kings lost 11 of last 12 road games (6-9 last 15 AU).

Totals
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Miami games.
-- Five of last seven Clipper home games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Brooklyn home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten Sacramento games went over the total.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Sunday, March 17

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Orlando's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando
Milwaukee is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Orlando

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. TORONTO
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

3:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. LA CLIPPERS
New York is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
New York is 2-10 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing New York
LA Clippers are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing New York

7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans's last 14 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing New Orleans

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
Golden State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
Houston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

7:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. BROOKLYN
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

9:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 7 games at home
LA Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing at home against Sacramento

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Sunday, March 17

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Fullcourt press: Sunday's NBA betting notes
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Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors (+7.5, 195.5)

The Heat will be trying to match the 2007-08 Houston Rockets for the second-longest winning streak in history at 22 straight games when they visit the Toronto Raptors. The Heat have won 10 straight in the series, including two meetings in 2012-13. Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games.

Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks (-8.5, 207)

Four straight opponents and seven of the last eight have scored at least 100 points on the Bucks. During their current three-game slide, Milwaukee has allowed an average of 109.3 points. The Magic are losers of 35 of their last 41 games, but are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.

New York Knicks at Los Angeles Clippers (-11.5, 195.5)

The Knicks are hoping to have Carmelo Anthony and Tyson Chandler in the lineup when they attempt to snap a three-game slide. New York was having some trouble generating points even with its stars on the floor over the past few weeks, averaging 93.7 points over its last 15 games. The Clippers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against East foes.

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets (-7.5, 216.5)

The Rockets put on a historic display the last time the Warriors visited, matching an NBA record with 23 3-pointers in a 140-109 drubbing on Feb. 5. Houston has taken five straight and eight of the last nine in the series. The Warriors are 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings in Houston.

New Orleans Hornets at Minnesota Timberwolves (-2.5, 188.5)

This is the last of four meetings this season, and the Hornets are trying to salvage a split after taking two of three from the Timberwolves last season. The Hornets have lost two straight and 10 of 13 after a 96-87 defeat at Washington on Friday. The Timberwolves have lost two straight and 10 of 12, but one of their five wins over the past six weeks was a 115-86 home victory over New Orleans on Feb. 2. The Hornets are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks (+4.5, 209.5)

Dallas is playing solidly with five wins in its last six outings. But Oklahoma City is looking to finish off a four-game season sweep of the Mavericks. Two of this season’s three meetings have been decided in overtime; Oklahoma City won the other by 21 points. The Mavericks are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games against Western Conference opponents.

Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets (-4.5, 188)

The Hawks have won two straight following three consecutive losses. After missing Wednesday’s loss to the Los Angeles Lakers with a sprained left knee, Josh Smith had 17 points and 11 rebounds in a 107-94 win over Phoenix on Friday. Brooklyn has won nine of its last 14 to move within one game of third-place New York. After playing Atlanta, the Nets head out for an eight-game, 17-day road trip beginning Monday in Detroit. The under is 5-1 in the Hawks’ last six road games.

Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers (-12.5, 212.5)

The Los Angeles Lakers figure to be without Kobe Bryant when they host the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. Bryant left after one quarter in Friday’s victory over the Indiana Pacers, two days after suffering an ankle injury against the Atlanta Hawks. Los Angeles has won eight of its last nine home games against the Kings, who have played over in seven of their last eight road games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 17

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ORLANDO (18 - 48) at MILWAUKEE (32 - 32) - 3/17/2013, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 111-76 ATS (+27.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
ORLANDO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 59-88 ATS (-37.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 7-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (50 - 14) at TORONTO (26 - 40) - 3/17/2013, 1:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (38 - 25) at LA CLIPPERS (45 - 21) - 3/17/2013, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (22 - 44) at MINNESOTA (22 - 41) - 3/17/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (37 - 30) at HOUSTON (36 - 30) - 3/17/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (49 - 17) at DALLAS (31 - 34) - 3/17/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 258-205 ATS (+32.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 79-50 ATS (+24.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 12-7 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-7 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (36 - 29) at BROOKLYN (38 - 27) - 3/17/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (23 - 43) at LA LAKERS (35 - 32) - 3/17/2013, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at Dallas
The Thunder look to build on their 11-3-1 ATS record in their last 15 games in Dallas. Oklahoma City is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 17

Game 871-872: Orlando at Milwaukee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 107.755; Milwaukee 122.016
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 14 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 8 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-8 1/2); Under

Game 873-874: Miami at Toronto (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 127.027; Toronto 117.503
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7 1/2); Over

Game 875-876: New York at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 116.056; LA Clippers 127.061
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11; 199
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 12 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: New York (+12 1/2); Over

Game 877-878: New Orleans at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.897; Minnesota 110.082
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 4; 181
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-1); Under

Game 879-880: Golden State at Houston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 113.458; Houston 125.042
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 11 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 7; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-7); Under

Game 881-882: Oklahoma City at Dallas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 127.450; Dallas 120.963
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2); Over

Game 883-884: Atlanta at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.320; Brooklyn 119.100
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4; 188
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4); Over

Game 885-886: Sacramento at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.855; LA Lakers 125.984
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12; 208
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-9); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Sunday, March 17

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Bank shots: NBA betting news and notes
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For the week of March 10-16.

Hottest ATS

Denver Nuggets (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)

The Nuggets were last week’s best bet (4-0 ATS) and they haven’t disappointed their bettors since. Denver has strung together eight consecutive covers and is riding an 11-game winning streak into Chicago on Monday. The Nuggets follow up with another tough road tilt in Oklahoma City on Tuesday.

Coldest ATS

Phoenix Suns (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS)

The Suns’ inability to play defense is making them a fade down the stretch. Phoenix has dropped four straight, failing to cover in all four contests as underdogs. The Suns have allowed opponents to score an average of 113 points during the skid. Opponents are scorching the Suns from long range, firing at a league-best 40 percent clip. Phoenix hosts Los Angeles (Lakers), Washington, Minnesota and Brooklyn this week.

Best over play

Indiana Pacers (1-3 SU, 4-0 over/under)

Bettors have been banking on the Pacers’ ability to go low all season, but the team dynamic has changed since Danny Granger returned from injury and oddsmakers have been setting the bar low for Indiana down the stretch. The Pacers have played over in five consecutive games, facing an average total of 187 during that span. Indiana hosts Cleveland Monday before hitting the road for Orlando and Milwaukee.

Best under play

Utah Jazz (2-1 SU, 0-3 over/under)

The surging Lakers have bucked Utah from the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference standings. Every game will be treated as a must-min for the Jazz down the stretch and that usually means closer, low-scoring contests. Utah has three tough games against Knicks, Rockets and Spurs this week.

Scouting the schedule:

-After a Sunday showdown with the Hawks, the Brooklyn Nets embark on a season-long eight-game road trip. The Nets have been a good under play (11-18-1 O/U) away from home.

-The Philadelphia 76ers are way out of contention for a playoff spot in the East and things could get ugly for them down the stretch. The Sixers play 12 of their final 17 games away from Wells Fargo Center and have a dismal 6-23 SU record on the road (12-17 ATS). Philadelphia also has a tendency to play under totals (8-18-3 O/U) away this season.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Monday

March 18, 2013


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 0-10 ATS (-8.8 ppg) since March 07, 2007 as a favorite after a win in which their DPA was positive.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nuggets are 0-15 OU (-11.6 ppg) since December 22, 2006 with at least one day of rest after a home win in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-13 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since March 05, 2012 at home after a loss on the road in which Tristan Thompson had more turnovers than assists.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Heat are 0-14 OU (-14.4 ppg) since November 20, 1996 on the road with at most one day of rest after a game on the road in which they controlled 40% or less of the available rebounds.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Celtics are 0-8 OU (-16.2 ppg) since May 26, 2008 as a dog after winning the previous matchup in which Paul Pierce had at least 5 turnovers.

-- The Celtics are 0-8 ATS (-13.2 ppg) since December 09, 2010 after Kevin Garnett took fewer than 10 shots the last two games.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday Tips

March 17, 2013

The Monday NBA card will get most of the focus among bettors with no college basketball to wager on until Tuesday. The Knicks close out their West Coast swing in Utah, while the Nuggets travel to Chicago. We'll start in Beantown as the Heat looks to extend its winning streak to 23.

Heat at Celtics - 8:05 PM EST

Miami picked up its 22nd consecutive victory by holding off Toronto on Sunday afternoon, 108-91 to cash as 7 ½-point favorites. The Heat outscored the Raptors, 32-18 in the final quarter to grab their third win on this five-game road trip. Now, the task doesn't ease up with a visit to Boston, as the Heat lost in their last meeting at TD Garden.

The Celtics played their first game without All-Star point guard Rajon Rondo on January 27, as Boston squeezed past Miami in two overtimes, 100-98 to cover outright as 3 ½-point home underdogs. The Heat split the following two games at Brooklyn and Indiana, but has now run off 22 wins in a row, including 10 straight on the highway (9-1 ATS). Amazingly, the Heat has allowed more than 94 points just once on the road during this hot streak, resulting in seven 'unders.'

Boston will likely be without forward Kevin Garnett, who is suffering from an abductor strain that kept him out of Saturday's home victory over Charlotte. The C's have won 11 straight games at TD Garden, a streak that began with the double-OT triumph over the Heat six weeks ago. In fact, Doc Rivers' team has turned into a money-machine at home in this stretch by posting a 10-1 ATS record, while the lone non-cover came by a half-point.

Nuggets at Bulls - 8:05 PM EST

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Chicago returns home following a 1-2 SU/ATS road trip, as the Bulls closed things out with a 113-95 rout of Golden State as four-point 'dogs. The Nuggets invade the Windy City fresh off their 11th straight victory after knocking off the Grizzlies at home on Friday. Denver seeks the season sweep of Chicago, while trying to build some consistency away from the Pepsi Center.

Since losing at Washington in late February, the Nuggets have run off four consecutive away victories to improve to 15-19 on the highway. The last time the Nuggets faced the Bulls, Denver routed Chicago, 128-96 on February 7 to cash as six-point favorites, while picking up their third straight win in the series. George Karl's team hopes not to be in a look-ahead spot with a trip to Oklahoma City on Tuesday, as the Nuggets are just 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS the last five road games against Eastern Conference foes.

The Bulls have had major issues covering numbers at home this season, putting together a 3-6 ATS the past nine at the United Center. Tom Thibodeau's club has won back-to-back games just once since the start of February, while posting a 1-7 SU and 3-5 ATS record in this stretch. After Chicago passes the 100-point mark, the Bulls are just 1-8 the last nine games the following contest dating back to December 22.

Knicks at Jazz - 10:35 PM EST

New York concludes a disastrous five-game road trip in which Carmelo Anthony re-injured his knee and the Knicks haven't found the victory column. The swing ends in Salt Lake City as New York tries not to lose its lead atop the Atlantic Division, as both Anthony and Tyson Chandler will not suit up.

The Jazz have won five straight home games against the Knicks, but New York has cashed in each of its last seven visits to Utah. Tyrone Corbin's club is playing with revenge after getting blown out at Madison Square Garden, 113-84 on March 9, the eighth defeat in the last nine visits to Manhattan. Utah is going for its second straight victory overall after beating Memphis on Saturday, 90-84, while seeking consecutive wins for the first time in a month.

The Knicks are coming off their fourth straight road loss after falling to the Clippers on Sunday, while each time New York failed to cover. Mike Woodson's team is just 4-9 this season against Western Conference opponents away from the Garden, while the last cover came at Phoenix in late December.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 18

Hot Teams
-- Washington won last three games, but lost four of last five road tilts (4-5 AF).
-- Portland won five of its last eight games (3-6 last nine A).
-- Nets won four of last six games (3-4 AF with PJ).
-- Dallas won five of last seven games (4-1 last five AU). Hawks won last three games, by 4-13-12 points (3-1 last four HF).
-- Miami won its last 22 games (10-0 last ten AF). Celtics won seven of their last nine games (3-3 HU).
-- Nuggets won their last eleven games (8-1-1 last ten AF). Bulls won last three home games, allowing 85 ppg (2-5 HU).
-- Memphis won its last seven home games (1-4 last five HF).
-- Lakers won eight of last ten games (3-1 last four AF).
-- Utah won its last three home games, allowing 80.7 ppg (3-0 last three HF).

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost three of their last four games (3-1 last four AF). Cavaliers lost six of their last eight (1-3 last four HU).
-- Bobcats lost 12 of last 13 games (1-5 last six HU).
-- 76ers lost six of their last eight games (5-2 last seven HF).
-- Detroit lost its last eight games (1-4 last five HU).
-- Minnesota lost eight of last eleven games (1-4 last five AU).
-- Hornets lost six of their last seven games (6-12-1 HU). Golden State lost four of its last five road games (4-4-1 AF).
-- Suns lost six of their last seven games (1-4 last five HU).
-- Knicks lost five of their last six games (1-5 last six U).

Totals
-- Last five Indiana games went over the total.
-- Washington's last 12 road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Portland games went over the total.
-- Last three New Jersey games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Miami games.
-- Six of last eight Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Golden State games went over total.
-- Four of last five Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Utah games stayed under the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Brooklyn covered five of last six when it played night before.
-- Dallas is 10-4 vs spread if it played night before. Hawks are 11-9.
-- Miami is 5-3 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 4-7 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Warriors are 3-5 vs spread last eight times they played night before. New Orleans is 7-9 if it played night before.
-- Lakers are 4-7-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Knicks covered last three times they played night before.