Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 2/17 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Sunday, February 17

Penn State at Michigan, 12:00 ET BTN
Penn State: 0-7 ATS away after playing 3+ games as an underdog
Michigan: 8-0 ATS off a road loss scoring 59 points or less

Ohio State at Wisconsin, 1:00 ET CBS
Ohio State: 9-1 Over away off an ATS loss
Wisconsin: 4-12 ATS with a total of 129.5 points or less

Louisville at South Florida, 1:00 ET ESPN
Louisville: 9-2 ATS away off a home win
South Florida: 18-6 Under off 3+ conference games

Arizona at Utah, 3:00 ET
Arizona: 5-1 Under in road games
Utah: 8-1 ATS playing with same-season revenge

Miami FL at Clemson, 6:00 ET ESPNU
Miami FL: 11-2 ATS as a favorite
Clemson: 2-9 ATS at home off an ATS win

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 17

-- Penn State is 0-12 in Big Dozen, with one of five road losses by more than 18 points. Michigan lost three of its four games, all vs teams ranked in top 13; they drop way down in class here, facing Penn State squad they've won six of last seven against, winning last two visits here, by 7-18 points. Five of Wolverines' eight league wins are by 15 or less points. Big Dozen home favorites of 13+ points are 8-5 vs spread.
-- Ohio State won three of last four games vs Wisconsin; their 58-52 win here LY ended losing skid here at 7+ games, with five of last six losses in Madison by 6 or less points. Buckeyes (-6) beat Wisconsin 58-49 Jan 29 at home, in game where Badgers didn't take any foul shots (Ohio St. was 9-12). OSU is 3-3 in conference road games, with losses by 19-3-2 points. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-6 vs spread.
-- Louisville (-18) hammered South Florida 64-38 Jan 12; it was 38-15 at half, as Cardinals beat USF for 11th time in last 12 meetings- they won last five visits here, with four wins by 14+. Big East home underdogs are 14-17 vs spread, 2-4 if getting 8+ points. Bulls lost last seven games in a row, losing last three at home, by 8-23-10 points. Louisville lost three of last four road games, with only win in that span by 20 at Rutgers.
-- Milwaukee (+1) beat Cleveland State 69-57 at home Jan 17, making 12 of 25 behind arc in only win for Panthers in 15-game span vs D-I teams; home side won last 12 series games. Milwaukee lost last five visits here, by 10-9-1-4-26 points- they are 0-6 on Horizon road, with five losses by 10+ points. Horizon home favorites of 7 or less points are 6-11 vs spread. Cleveland State lost last three games, allowing 79.3 ppg.
-- Green Bay (-7) beat Youngstown State 67-58 at home Jan 17, holding Penguins to 30.5% from floor, 27.8% inside arc; Phoenix won seven of last nine series games, but lost last two visits here, by 30-17. Green Bay is 8-3 in last 11 games, winning three of last four on road. Horizon home underdogs of 5 or less points are 9-7 vs spread. Youngstown won five of last six home games, with only loss in triple OT to Ill-Chicago.

-- Minnesota (-10) beat Iowa 62-59 at home two weeks ago; 7th win in last nine series game for Gophers, who hit 54.5% inside arc, but none of their subs even took a shot in 32 minutes of action. Iowa won last three home games, by 4-9-14 points; 7 of their 12 league games were decided by 4 or less points. Big Dozen home teams are 11-14 if spread was 6 or less points. Gophers lost their last four away games.
-- Arizona (-19) snuck by Utah 60-57 Jan 5, despite shooting 36% from floor; Wildcats are 3-0 vs Utes in Pac-12 games, winning 77-51 in LY's win here. Arizona lost last two games after a 20-2 start; they're 4-2 on Pac-12 road, losing at Oregon/Colorado. Utah is 3-9 in league but beat Buffs/ASU in last two home games. Pac-12 home underdogs are 11-4 vs spread. Three of last four Arizona games went over the total.
-- Miami has 3-game lead in ACC with 11-0 record, winning road games by 13-9-1-9-1-6 points; their 76-73 win over Clemson LY ended 5-game skid vs Tigers. Miami lost last four visits here, by 4-10-8-7 points. Four of last five Miami games went over total. ACC home underdogs are 15-5 vs spread. Clemson lost three of last four games, but won four of its last five at home- their home losses are by 5 (FSU), 1 (NC State).
-- Northwestern (+10) won 68-54 at Illinois Jan 17, making 8-15 on arc, 26-31 on foul line; Wildcats are 4-2 in last six series games, winning two of last three played here, which were decided by total of 7 points. Illini won its last three games, beating Indiana/Minnesota after 3-8 skid- they are 2-4 on road, beating Gophers/Nebraska. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-7. Wildcats lost four of their last five games.
-- James Madison (-1.5) beat Delaware 64-50 Jan 23, holding Blue Hens to 28.9% from floor in its third series win in last four games. Dukes split last four visits here, are 6-2 in last eight games overall, but they're 1-5 in last six road games. CAA home favorites of 6 or less points are 11-17 vs spread. Delaware won six of last seven games, winning last two by hoop each- they won last three home games, by 10-15-2 points.

-- Wichita State (-8) beat Illinois State 74-62 Jan 16, holding Redbirds to 33% from floor, Shockers' 7th win in last eight series game, but lone loss was 65-64 in LY's MVC tourney. Shockers are 10-4 in Valley, but lost last two road games. Seven of last nine Wichita games stayed under total. MVC home teams are 21-5 vs spread if number is 5 or less points. ISU won seven of its eight games since the loss at Wichita.
-- Cal (+1) won 72-64 at USC Jan 5; Trojans were 2-11 from arc, 8-18 at foul line in third straight series loss (by 4-26-8 points). Bears won four of last five games, won last four at home- they were up 47-22 at half vs UCLA Thursday. USC won last four games (three by 4 or less points); they've lost four of last five visits here. Four of last five Cal games went under total. Pac-12 home favorites of 6+ points are 8-21 vs spread.
-- Appalachian State (-5.5) beat NC-Greensboro 83-70 at home Jan 14, making 28-34 on foul line- they avenged 65-55 loss to Spartans in LY's SoCon tourney. ASU's last four visits here were all decided by 6 or less points, with two going to OT. SoCon home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-8 vs spread. UNCG lost four of its last five games, with only win over #338 Furman. ASU lost five of its last six on road.
-- Niagara (-8.5) outscored Manhattan 38-13 from foul line in 64-60 win at home Jan 19; Eagles were 38-49, Jaspers 13-20 on charity stripe in a game where Manhattan also turned ball over 20 times. Jaspers won last four games after starting season 6-15. Niagara lost three of its last four games; their last three wins are all by 3 or less points. MAAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-13 against the spread.
-- Marist is 7-19, but its last six games were all decided by 6 points or less; Red Foxes (+2.5) lost 64-58 at home to Rider Feb 3, making 11-20 on foul line. Broncs won 10 of last 11 games vs Marist, winning four in row in this gym, by 11-4-14-13 points. Foxes' last two road games both went to OT. Rider won three of its last four games. MAAC home favorites of 8+ points are 12-7 against the spread.

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 17

Hot teams
-- Penguins won seven of their last nine games.
-- Dallas Stars won five of their last six games.
-- Blackhawks won five of their last six games. Los Angeles won its last two games, allowing one goal in each game.
-- Washington won its last three games, scoring 15 goals. Rangers won three of last four games, with last two going to SO.
-- Canucks won six of their last seven games. St Louis won first two games of this road trip, scoring 4-5 goals.

Cold teams
-- Sabres are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Winnipeg lost six of its last eight games. Bruins lost last two games, allowing four goals each game.
-- Flames lost three of their last four games.
-- Red Wings lost their last two games, allowing nine goals. Minnesota lost five of its last seven games.

Totals
-- Three of last four games for both Penguins/Sabres stayed under total.
-- Last five Winnipeg games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Calgary games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Detroit's last eight games.
-- Last three Ranger games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-0-1 in last nine St Louis-Vancouver games.

Series records
-- Penguins won eight of last ten games against Buffalo.
-- Home team won last nine Boston-Winnipeg games.
-- Flames won six of last nine games against Dallas.
-- Kings lost eight of last eleven games against Chicago.
-- Red Wings won seven of last eight games against Minnesota.
-- Rangers beat Washington in seven games in LY's playoffs; last six games were all decided by a single goal.
-- Blues lost six of last nine visits to Vancouver.