The Bum's December NBA Best Bets !e Bum's

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Thursday

December 27, 2012

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Thunder are 11-0 ATS (10.9 ppg) since January 14, 2009 at home after a road loss in which their DPA was negative and they allowed more than 40% shooting.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Celtics are 0-9-1 OU (-12.9 ppg) since December 27, 2009 on the road with at most one day of rest off a win in which their leading scrorer for that game had fewer than 20 points.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Celtics are 0-8 OU (-10.0 ppg) since April 13, 2010 on the road after a win in which Kevin Garnett scored fewer than 10 points.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Mavericks are 8-0 ATS (7.4 ppg) since November 24, 2010 on the road versus the Thunder.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Mavericks are 7-0 OU (14.1 ppg) since February 08, 2012 with at least a day of rest after a loss on the road in which Shawn Marion scored fewer than 10 points.

-- The Thunder are 0-6 OU (-6.9 ppg) since May 25, 2011 with at least a day of rest after a loss in which Russell Westbrook had at least 5 turnovers.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday Tips

December 27, 2012

Things slow down a bit on the Thursday NBA card with a TNT doubleheader as four playoff clubs from last season hit the court. The late game showcases the hottest team in basketball as the Clippers go for 15 consecutive victories as the Celtics head out to the West Coast. We'll start in Oklahoma City with two of the league's most dynamic scorers meeting for the first time this season.

Mavericks at Thunder - 8:00 PM EST

Oklahoma City is going through its first losing streak of the season after falling at Minnesota and Miami over the last week. The Thunder returns home to battle the Mavs for the first time since sweeping Dallas in the opening round of last season's playoffs. Despite Dallas' below .500 start at 12-16, the Mavs will have Dirk Nowitzki at their disposal.

The former league MVP missed the first 27 games of the season following knee surgery, as he made his season debut in Sunday's blowout loss at San Antonio. Nowitzki came off the bench to score eight points in 20 minutes of action as the Mavs were trounced by the Spurs, 129-91 as 11-point road underdogs. Dallas has dropped six of its past seven games, including each of the last three by double-digits. Rick Carlisle's club is riding a five-game skid away from the American Airlines Center, as Dallas lost two of those games in overtime at Boston and Minnesota.

The Thunder ran off 12 straight victories before this recent two-game losing streak, as OKC couldn't avenge an NBA Finals loss to Miami on Christmas. Scott Brooks' team dropped a 103-97 decision to the Heat in a physical, back-and-forth affair as 2 ½-point underdogs. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook combined for 54 points, but the Thunder shot just 42% from the floor in their fifth straight loss to Miami dating back to June.

In the first round sweep last season, the Thunder edged the Mavs by a combined four points in the opening two contests, as Dallas covered as a road 'dog each time. When the series shifted to the Lone Star State, OKC cashed in two away victories, including as road 'chalk' in the series clincher, 103-97. The Thunder claimed seven of eight meetings last season, but Dallas put together a perfect 4-0 ATS record at Chesapeake Energy Arena.

Celtics at Clippers - 10:30 PM EST

The Lakers had their five-game winning streak snapped at Denver on Wednesday, as the Clippers hope to not suffer the same fate on Thursday. The Clips have won a franchise-best 14 straight contests, while owning the top record in the Western Conference at 22-6. Boston travels west for the second of a four-game road trip, as the C's play three of the next four contests in California.

Vinny Del Negro's squad dropped a 42-point spot in the second quarter of Tuesday's 112-100 home triumph over the Nuggets, as six Clippers scored in double-figures. L.A. improved to 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS at Staples Center, while posting a 5-2 SU/ATS record as a single-digit home favorite. The Christmas night 'over' snapped a four-game 'under' streak, as Denver ended L.A.'s streak of 10 straight contests of holding opponents to less than 100 points.

The Celtics picked up a solid Christmas Day victory at Brooklyn, 93-76 as 2 ½-point 'dogs, while beating the Nets for the first time in three tries this season. The win ended a five-game skid away from TD Garden, while the C's are just 1-4 ATS the last five attempts in the underdog situation. Doc Rivers' team owns a 1-6 ATS record the previous seven games off a cover, as three of those losses came on the highway.

In their lone meeting last season at Staples Center, the Celtics grabbed a 94-85 victory as 5 ½-point underdogs over the Clippers. Boston overcame a nine-point halftime deficit by outscoring Los Angeles, 55-37 in the second half. The 'dog has cashed in each of the last four matchups in L.A., but the Clips were listed in that role three times in this stretch.

[StarDust Bum]

Nowitzki tries to lead Dallas past OKC Thursday

DALLAS MAVERICKS (12-16)

at OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (21-6)


Tip-off: Thursday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Oklahoma City -10, Total: 208

Dallas heads into Oklahoma City on Thursday night with the help of its superstar, Dirk Nowitzki, who returned a game ago after offseason knee surgery.

Nowitzki played just 20 minutes in a 129-91 drubbing in San Antonio on Sunday, but with his team performing decently in his absence, the Mavericks could be looking at a turning point to their season. The Thunder enter this game on a two-game losing skid and have also compiled eight straight ATS losses when hosting Dallas.

Can the Thunder cover this hefty spread? For the answer, connect to NBA Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. The experts have sizzled since Saturday with a collective 17-6 ATS (74%) mark, including a perfect 7-0 ATS record from ******* Dave, while ******* Brian is on a 4-0 ATS run since Sunday. The experts are 64% ATS (27-15) since Dec. 19 and are 53% ATS (171-155-10) on Best Bets for the season. ******* Gary is 55% ATS (33-27-3) Best Bets for the year, while Brian is at 53% ATS (43-38-3) after going 11-5 ATS (69%) since Dec. 14, and ******* Scott is also at 53% ATS (37-33). For NBA Totals, Scott is 42-28 (60%) for the season.

With Nowitzki out, SG O.J. Mayo has emerged as a big time scorer for the Mavericks and he should be able to take a lot of pressure off of Nowitzki. Mayo is averaging 19.3 PPG this season on 47% FG, and may be the best wing player that Dirk Nowitzki has played with since Michael Finley. C Chris Kaman, Nowitzki's teammate on the German national team, has also been playing well, averaging 13.7 PPG and 6.2 RPG for the Mavericks so far on the season while shooting 52% FG. Kaman’s play should only improve with Dirk as the two have developed some nice chemistry playing together over the summer.

The Thunder are coming off of a 103-97 Christmas Day loss to the Heat, but won’t be down on themselves as they played far from their best basketball and were right there at the end. SF Kevin Durant was unstoppable for Oklahoma City, scoring 33 points while grabbing seven rebounds in the losing effort. PG Russell Westbrook has been doing a great job scoring the basketball over the past three games, averaging 26.0 PPG over that stretch. Westbrook, however, must do a better job finding his teammates than he did in the loss to the Heat. He recorded only three assists in the loss compared to his season average of 8.6 APG. C Kendrick Perkins recently called out his team, saying they needed to start playing selfless basketball again, and it’ll be interesting to see if they respond.

[StarDust Bum]

Clippers seek 15th straight victory on Thursday

BOSTON CELTICS (14-13)

at LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (22-6)


Tip-off: Thursday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Los Angeles -8.5, Total: 190

The Clippers are looking to extend their franchise’s record winning streak to 15 when they face the Celtics on Thursday evening.

Los Angeles is as hot as a team can be right now. Vinny Del Negro and his team have won 14 straight games while increasing their season point differential to a league-best +9.7 PPG. Both the Clippers and the Celtics have covered in two of their last three games. Boston SG Leandro Barbosa is questionable for this game as he is dealing with personal issues.

Can the red-hot Clippers cover this big number? For the answer, connect to NBA Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. The experts have sizzled since Saturday with a collective 17-6 ATS (74%) mark, including a perfect 7-0 ATS record from ******* Dave, while ******* Brian is on a 4-0 ATS run since Sunday. The experts are 64% ATS (27-15) since Dec. 19 and are 53% ATS (171-155-10) on Best Bets for the season. ******* Gary is 55% ATS (33-27-3) Best Bets for the year, while Brian is at 53% ATS (43-38-3) after going 11-5 ATS (69%) since Dec. 14, and ******* Scott is also at 53% ATS (37-33). For NBA Totals, Scott is 42-28 (60%) for the season.

The Celtics are coming off of a 93-76 blowout victory over the Nets on Christmas Day in which Boston controlled the game from the opening tip. PG Rajon Rondo failed to record double-digit assists in the game, but he did score 19 points and steal the ball three times while shutting down Nets PG Deron Williams. SF Paul Pierce was off his game, scoring only eight points, but he picked up the slack in the assists column for Rondo as he dished out 10 assists in the win. It’s also worth noting that Pierce scored a combined 75 points in the two games before Christmas. The Celtics will need to start rebounding the ball better if they want to start winning more consistently, as they are averaging only 38.6 RPG, which ranks last in the NBA in that category.

Not only have the Clippers won 14 games in a row, but they have been doing it in impressive fashion. Los Angeles has been blowing teams out and that is why they have the best point differential in the NBA. PG Chris Paul is playing unbelievably on both sides of the ball, averaging 16.0 PPG and 9.5 APG on 48% FG to go along with a league-leading 2.7 SPG. PF Blake Griffin has been shooting lights-out over the past five games, averaging 18.0 PPG during the stretch while shooting 57% FG and 77.3% FT. He is connecting on 54% FG and 63% FT on the season. The Clippers’ success is also due to some of the best bench play in the league. Jamal Crawford is the league’s best scorer off the bench, averaging 16.5 PPG in just 29.3 MPG. Los Angeles has incredible depth and that is without Grant Hill and Chauncey Billups, who are both out indefinitely.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Boston at LA Clippers
The Clippers look to take advantage of a Boston team that is coming off a 93-76 win over Brooklyn and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. LA is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 27

Game 501-502: Dallas at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 111.314; Oklahoma City 128.311
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 17; 216
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: Boston at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 118.206; LA Clippers 131.933
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-8 1/2); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 27

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DALLAS (12 - 16) at OKLAHOMA CITY (21 - 6) - 12/27/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 10-6 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-7 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (14 - 13) at LA CLIPPERS (22 - 6) - 12/27/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 27

Hot Teams
-- Thunder won its last ten home games (7-3 vs spread).
-- Clippers won their last 14 games (6-1 last 7 as HF).

Cold Teams
-- Mavericks lost six of their last seven games (1-3 last four as AU).
-- Celtics lost five of last six road games (1-4 last five as AU).

Totals
-- Four of last five Dallas games went over the total; Thunder's last four games stayed under.
-- This is ***************.com. Its snowing here; I don't like snow.
-- Seven of last nine Clipper games stayed under the total.

Back-to-backs
-- None.




NBA

Thursday, December 27

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas's last 19 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:30 PM
BOSTON vs. LA CLIPPERS
Boston is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games
LA Clippers are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Boston

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Thursday, December 27

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NBA TNT doubleheader: Mavs at Thunder, Celtics at Clippers
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Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder (-11, 208)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have lost back-to-back games for the first time this season and seek to get back on the winning track when they host the struggling Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. The Thunder fell to the Miami Heat on Christmas Day and no longer have the NBA’s best record after the Los Angeles Clippers won later Tuesday night. Dallas has lost three straight and six of seven after a season-worst 129-91 loss to San Antonio on Sunday.

Star forward Dirk Nowitzki played for the first time this season in the loss to the Spurs. Nowitzki missed the first 27 games of the campaign after October knee surgery and scored eight points off the bench. Oklahoma City won 12 consecutive contests before the two straight defeats. “I’m proud of how they compete and they never let up,” Thunder coach Scott Brooks said. “Never. I’ve never been disappointed in this team with how they compete.” The Thunder have won 10 straight home games since losing to the Memphis Grizzlies on Nov. 14.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (12-16, 13-15 ATS): Nowitzki played 20 minutes in his first game and the plan is to slowly increase his minutes. Dallas has adjusted to playing without him and Nowitzki is aware that an adjustment period is necessary. “It’s probably going to take me a week or two getting my legs and wind,” Nowitzki said. “And hopefully I can help a little more, but we need some work.” Guard O.J. Mayo is averaging a team-best 19.3 points but has slumped recently and also is dealing with the flu.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (21-6, 16-10-1 ATS): Forward Kevin Durant scored 33 points against Miami and Russell Westbrook tallied 21 to mark the 14th time the two standouts have scored 20 or more points in the same contest. Oklahoma City is 11-3 in those games. Reserve guard Kevin Martin returned from a one-game absence due to a quadriceps injury to score 15 points. He has a 17.9 career average in 18 games against Dallas. Durant is averaging 21.4 points in 17 regular-season contests against the Mavericks, well below his career mark of 26.4.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Mavericks are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Road team is 36-15-2 ATS in the last 53 meetings.
* Underdog is 20-5-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Oklahoma City has won four of the last five regular-season meetings in addition to last season’s playoff sweep of the Mavericks.

2. Thunder F Serge Ibaka had just one blocked shot against Miami. Oklahoma City is 12-3 when he rejects three or more shots.

3. Mayo is just 9-of-33 from the field over the last three games while averaging only 8.3 points.



Boston Celtics at Los Angeles Clippers (-8.5, 190)

The Los Angeles Clippers attempt to extend their franchise-record winning streak to 15 games on Thursday when they host the Boston Celtics. Los Angeles surged a half-game ahead of the Oklahoma City Thunder for the league's best record with its 14th straight victory, a 112-100 home triumph over the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. The Clippers have not lost since dropping a 105-98 decision to the New Orleans Hornets at home on Nov. 26.

Boston kicked off its four-game road trip Tuesday with a 93-76 win over the Brooklyn Nets. The victory halted the Celtics' five-game losing streak away from home. It also was the team's second in its last six contests overall. Boston concludes its trek with games at Golden State and Sacramento on Saturday and Sunday, respectively.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE CELTICS (14-13, 10-15-2 ATS): Forward Paul Pierce is poised to move past Elgin Baylor for 24th place on the all-time scoring list. With 23,144 career points, Pierce needs just five to surpass Baylor and is 34 away from overtaking Adrian Dantley for 23rd place. Forward Kevin Garnett is expected to play in his 1,283rd career game Thursday, which would give him sole possession of 15th place on the all-time list. He currently is tied with Charles Oakley. Garnett also will climb within three games of Sam Perkins for 14th place.

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (22-6, 18-10 ATS): Guard Jamal Crawford scored a team-high 22 points in Tuesday's victory. It marked the 12th time this season he has contributed 20 or more points off the bench. Forward Matt Barnes scored in double figures for the eighth straight game, pouring in 20 off the bench. Los Angeles is 16-0 when Barnes comes off the bench and reaches double digits. The Clippers scored a season-high 42 points in the second quarter against Denver. Their previous high for points in a quarter was 35.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Los Angeles.
* Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
* Celtics are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Boston has won three of the last four meetings between the teams.

2. Clippers G Chris Paul leads the league with 76 steals and an average of 2.7 per game.

3. Los Angeles has won 10 games during its streak by 12 points or more.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 27

Dallas at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET TNT
Dallas: 3-10 ATS after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
Oklahoma City: 23-11 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Boston at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET TNT
Boston: 8-22 ATS off a win by 15+ points
LA Clippers: 10-2 ATS off a home win

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday, December 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -10.5 500

Oklahoma City - Under 207.5 500

Boston - 10:30 PM ET Boston +8.5 500

L.A. Clippers - Over 190 500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Houston at San Antonio
The Spurs look to follow up their 100-80 win over Toronto and build on their 20-5-2 ATS record in their last 27 games following a SU victory of more than 10 points. San Antonio is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-8). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 28

Game 801-802: Phoenix at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 115.288; Indiana 123.862
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 803-804: Orlando at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.797; Washington 113.571
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Miami at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.114; Detroit 118.706
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+8); Over

Game 807-808: Atlanta at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.833; Cleveland 109.663
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 177
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 809-810: Charlotte at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 107.090; Brooklyn 120.615
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 13 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 811-812: Toronto at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.050; New Orleans 119.172
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 4; 188
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2 1/2); Over

Game 813-814: Houston at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 119.701; San Antonio 129.423
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 214
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-8); Under

Game 815-816: Denver at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.390; Dallas 116.137
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1 1/2; 211
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1 1/2); Over

Game 817-818: LA Clippers at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 129.860; Utah 118.973
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11; 197
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-2); Over

Game 819-820: New York at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 120.030; Sacramento 109.561
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 10 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 821-822: Philadelphia at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 116.181; Golden State 123.618
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 7 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5 1/2); Under

Game 823-824: Portland at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 114.685; LA Lakers 123.243
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, December 28

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PHOENIX (11 - 18) at INDIANA (16 - 12) - 12/28/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (12 - 16) at WASHINGTON (3 - 23) - 12/28/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 74-98 ATS (-33.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-67 ATS (-35.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 285-355 ATS (-105.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 109-146 ATS (-51.6 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 138-179 ATS (-58.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 8-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (20 - 6) at DETROIT (9 - 22) - 12/28/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (17 - 9) at CLEVELAND (7 - 23) - 12/28/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (7 - 21) at BROOKLYN (14 - 14) - 12/28/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (9 - 20) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 22) - 12/28/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (16 - 12) at SAN ANTONIO (22 - 8) - 12/28/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 68-38 ATS (+26.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 56-28 ATS (+25.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 118-84 ATS (+25.6 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-14 ATS (+20.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 260-196 ATS (+44.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (16 - 14) at DALLAS (12 - 16) - 12/28/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 271-218 ATS (+31.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 105-82 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 60-41 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (22 - 6) at UTAH (15 - 15) - 12/28/2012, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (21 - 8) at SACRAMENTO (9 - 19) - 12/28/2012, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (14 - 15) at GOLDEN STATE (19 - 10) - 12/28/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (14 - 13) at LA LAKERS (14 - 15) - 12/28/2012, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 28

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won/covered six of last seven games (7-3 as HF).
-- Miami won/covered last six games (4-5 as AF).
-- Hawks won five of last seven road games (3-1 as AF). Cavaliers won last two games, first time this year they won consecutive games (3-6 as a HU).
-- Raptors won five of last six games (6-11 as AU).
-- Nuggets won five of last seven games (4-5 as AF).
-- Clippers won their last 15 games (5-5 as AF, 2-4 if less than 5 pts).
-- Knicks won five of last seven road games, covered one of seven overall (3-4 as AF).
-- Golden State won 14 of last 19 games (5-3 as HF).
-- Portland won six of last seven games (3-7 as AU). Lakers won five of last six games (7-6 as HF).

Cold Teams
-- Suns lost last three games, but covered five of last six (3-6 as AU).
-- Magic lost last three games, all by 4 or less points (5-8 SU on road). Wizards lost last eight games (2-10 SU at home).
-- Pistons lost seven of last nine games (3-4 as HU).
-- Bobcats lost last 16 games (covered one of last seven). Brooklyn lost five of last six games, fired its coach Thursday (3-7-2 as HF).
-- Hornets lost 11 of last 12 games (1-1 as HF).
-- Dallas lost four in row, seven of last eight games (1-2 as HU).
-- Jazz lost five of last seven games (2-0 as HU).
-- Sacramento lost seven of last nine games (3-5 as HU).
-- 76ers lost six of last eight games (5-5 as AU).

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Orlando road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Atlanta road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight San Antonio games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 12 Denver road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six New York games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Golden State games went over the total.
-- Last four Portland road games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Dallas is 3-4 vs spread if it played night before (all on road).
-- Clippers are 2-3 vs spread if they played night before.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, December 28

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. WASHINGTON
Orlando is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
Orlando is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Orlando

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. INDIANA
Phoenix is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. BROOKLYN
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing Charlotte
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. CLEVELAND
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Cleveland is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Toronto
New Orleans is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games

8:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

See more trends!
DECEMBER 28, 8:30 PM
DENVER vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Denver
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Denver

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. UTAH
LA Clippers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Utah
LA Clippers are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Utah is 16-2 SU in their last 18 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

10:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York's last 18 games when playing Sacramento
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing at home against New York
Sacramento is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against New York

10:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. GOLDEN STATE
Philadelphia is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Golden State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

10:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Portland is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the LA Lakers last 9 games when playing at home against Portland
LA Lakers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Portland

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NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, December 28

Phoenix at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Phoenix: 15-5 Under off a SU loss as a home favorite
Indiana: 12-28 ATS off BB ATS wins

Orlando at Washington, 7:05 ET
Orlando: 14-31 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less
Washington: 17-3 Over off ATS losses in 3 of their last 4 games

Miami at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Miami: 18-7 Under off a division win
Detroit: 5-17 ATS at home after having 65+ rebounds

Atlanta at Cleveland, 7:35 ET
Atlanta: 8-2 Over after playing as a home favorite
Cleveland: 9-22 ATS in December

Charlotte at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Charlotte: 2-9 ATS off 5+ losses
Brooklyn: 5-1 Under after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

Toronto at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Toronto: 13-4 ATS off BB ATS losses
New Orleans: 0-7 ATS at home off a road game

Houston at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
Houston: 10-1 Under off BB road wins
San Antonio: 14-6 ATS off a SU win

Denver at Dallas, 8:35 ET NBATV
Denver: 2-12 ATS off a home win scoring 110+ points
Dallas: 18-7 Over off BB losses

LA Clippers at Utah, 9:05 ET
LA Clippers: 11-2 ATS off a home win
Utah: 18-6 Under at home vs. Pacific Division opponents

New York at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
New York: 40-22 ATS as a road underdog
Sacramento: 20-39 ATS in the first half of the season

Philadelphia at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Philadelphia: 20-7 ATS after playing 3+ games as an underdog
Golden State: 7-18 ATS off a win by 10+ points

Portland at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
Portland: 4-17 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
LA Lakers: 5-1 Over vs. Northwest Division opponents

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, December 28

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Orlando - 7:00 PM ET Orlando -1.5 500
Washington - Under 182.5 500

Phoenix - 7:00 PM ET Phoenix +8 500
Indiana - Under 188.5 500

Charlotte - 7:30 PM ET Charlotte +9.5 500
Brooklyn - Over 195 500

Miami - 7:30 PM ET Detroit +6.5 500
Detroit - Under 190.5 500

Atlanta - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta -5 500
Cleveland - Over 189.5 500

Toronto - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans -3 500
New Orleans - Over 183 500

Denver - 8:30 PM ET Denver -3 500 POD
Dallas - Under 210 500

Houston - 8:30 PM ET Houston +8 500 POD
San Antonio - Over 212.5 500

L.A. Clippers - 9:00 PM ET L.A. Clippers -2.5 500 POD
Utah - Under 193 500

New York - 10:00 PM ET Sacramento +3 500
Sacramento - Under 197.5 500

Portland - 10:30 PM ET Portland +9 500
L.A. Lakers - Over 207 500

Philadelphia - 10:30 PM ET Golden State -6 500
Golden State - Under 200 500

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, December 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

New Orleans 0 0th Charlotte +3.5 500
Charlotte 0 Under 190 500

Indiana 0 0th Indiana +2.5 500
Atlanta 0 Over 182 500

Toronto 0 0th Orlando -3.5 500
Orlando 0 Over 188.5 500

Cleveland - 7:30 PM ET Cleveland +8.5 500
Brooklyn - Over 190 500

Washington - 8:00 PM ET Chicago -10.5 500
Chicago - Under 181 500 POD

Denver - 8:00 PM ET Denver +6 500 POD
Memphis - Over 195 500

Oklahoma City - 8:00 PM ET Houston +4.5 500 POD
Houston - Over 213 500

Phoenix - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota -9 500
Minnesota - Under 195 500

Miami - 8:30 PM ET Milwaukee +4.5 500
Milwaukee - Under 200 500

Philadelphia - 10:00 PM ET Portland -3 500
Portland - Under 190 500

Boston - 10:30 PM ET Golden State -3 500 POD
Golden State - Under 195 500 POD