The Bum's December NCAAB Best Bets !

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 15

Saturday's top games
-- Butler is 3-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 15 at Xavier, 17 to Illinois on Maui; they beat Northwestern by 9, also beat Marquette/UNC- they played #55 schedule so far this year. Indiana is 2-0 on neutral floor; its two closest games were over Georgia by 13, Georgetown by 10 in OT. Hoosiers are making 39% outside the arc, 58% inside the arc.
-- Michigan coach Beilein had to pay West Virginia ton of money as a buyout to come to Ann Arbor; you don't think game in special to him? West Virginia was up 13 at the half at Duquesne in last game, but lost by 4, bad loss for WV team that is 1-3 vs top 100 teams, with only win by point at home vs Va Tech. Wolverines are 4-0 vs top 100 (5-14-7-13).
-- First game in 10 days for Florida team that won by 25 at Florida State in its only road game; Gators beat Arizona 78-72 in OT LY; they're 5-0 vs top 100 teams-- their closest game this year was 79-66 vs UCF. Best win for 7-0 Arizona was 12-point win at #64 Clemson; Wildcats also beat #93 Southern Miss by 8. SEC road favorites are 6-7 vs spread.
-- Memphis lost 95-87 at Louisville LY; Tigers allowed 78-84 points in their two losses, 66 or less in six wins- they're 2-2 vs top 100's, beating #'s 70-47, losing by 13 to #17 VCU, 9 to #9 Minnesota on neutral floor. Cardinals won last two games by 42-52 points, beating Charleston in its only road game. Louisville forces turnovers on 32% of possessions.

-- Gonzaga just lost at home to Illinois; now they're facing Illini's former coach Weber, whose K-State team is 7-1, but with no wins against team ranked higher than #135 (lost by 14 to #8 Michigan). Wildcats won by 3 at GW in last game; they rebound 46% of their own missed shots (#3 in country). Gonzaga has five top 100 wins; #64 Davidson was best one.
-- Creighton won last three games by 29-22-16 points since getting beat at home by Boise State- they could have trouble with Cal's explosive guards. Cal lost last two games, to Wisconsin/UNLV (playing without injured Moser), allowing 81-76 points; they allowed 70 or less points in their six wins. Creighton won only true road game, by 22 at Nebraska.
-- Home side won last four Northern Iowa-Iowa games, with none of the games close; Panthers lost last two visits here, by 12-19 points. UNI is 1-3 in neutral/road games; three losses are vs teams ranked #41 or better. Their best win was over #96 George Mason. First game in eight day for Iowa, who is 1-2 vs top 100 teams (only win vs #42 Iowa State).
-- Former VCU coach Grant brings his Crimson Tide to Richmond to face Ram squad that is 2-3 vs top 100 teams, with all three losses to top 31 teams. VCU forces turnovers on 27% of possessions- they scored 65 or less points in their losses, 75+ in wins. Alabama lost its last couple games by total of 7 points; their best win was over #74 Oregon State.
-- New Mexico won eight of last nine games vs New Mexico State; LY, Aggies won 62-53 in The Pit, ending 8-game skid in Albuquerque. NM is 4-0 vs top 100 teams; they're #2 team in country, scoring 29% of points from foul line. Aggies are turning ball over 26% of time, naking 31% of 3-pointers; they're 1-3 on road, with losses by 1-3-9 points.

-- Marshall won 73-69 in OT at Cincinnati LY; Herd won four of its last five games, is 5-0 at home, but is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 10 to West Virginia, 12 to Villanova, two struggling teams- their best win was over #159 Nevada. First road game for Cincinnati team that beat Iowa St by 8, Oregon by 11 in Vegas- their opponents shoot 37% inside arc.
-- Texas A&M won six of last seven games with Oklahoma, in what was conference rivalry until this year; Aggies lost 65-62 here LY-- they beat Sooners here the two years before. First game in 10 days for A&M; five of its seven wins are vs teams not in top 200. Sooners are playing for 1st time in 11 days; they're 1-2 vs top 100 teams, beating West Va by 7.
-- Akron beat Detroit last two years, 81-63/77-69; Zips are 0-2 on road this year, losing at Coastal Carolina/Creighton- they're hard team to read, taking Oklahoma State to OT, beating #42 MTSU, then losing to CCU, ranked #242. Detroit is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 3-15-13 points; they're playing #53 pace, but shooting just 42.5% inside arc. Not good. .
-- Oregon beat Nebraska 83-76 in Lincoln LY; Ducks have played seven of nine games at home, splitting pair in Vegas- six of their eight wins this year are vs teams ranked #213 or worse. Huskers won by 16 at Wake in only road game so far; they're 1-1 vs top 100 teams, losing at home by 22 to Creighton, beating Valparaiso by a basket.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Saturday, December 15

First Post

East Carolina at North Carolina, 12:00 ET ESPNU
East Carolina: 19-35 ATS off a home win by 10+ points
North Carolina: 28-12 Over at home in December

Cincinnati vs. Marshall, 2:00 ET
Cincinnati: 7-0 ATS away off a home win
Marshall: 0-6 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Indiana vs. Butler, 2:00 ET CBS
Indiana: 14-4 ATS off a non-conference game
Butler: 0-6 ATS off BB ATS wins

Louisville at Memphis, 2:30 ET FSN
Louisville: 12-4 ATS away off a win
Memphis: 5-15 ATS after scoring 80+ points

Notre Dame vs. Purdue, 4:30 ET ESPN2
Notre Dame: 2-10 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points
Purdue: 12-4 ATS off a SU loss

Added Games

Western Carolina at Georgetown, 12:00 ET
Western Carolina: 1-5 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points
Georgetown: 9-1 ATS off a home win by 20+ points

Belmont at Kansas, 7:00 ET ESPNU
Belmont: 0-8 ATS after playing as a favorite
Kansas: 9-1 ATS at home after playing as a home favorite

Canisius at Syracuse, 7:00 ET
Canisius: 19-8 ATS away off a road win
Syracuse: 1-6 ATS off BB games with 46+ rebounds

UNC Asheville at Ohio State, 12:00 ET BTN
UNC Asheville: 7-0 ATS off a home win
Ohio State: 8-1 Over at home off an ATS win

[StarDust Bum]

Monday, December 17

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Valparaiso - 7:00 PM ET ( Oakland +3.5 500 POD )
Oakland -

Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Detroit +19 500
Syracuse -

IUPU - Ft. Wayne - 7:00 PM ET Notre Dame -24 500
Notre Dame -

Louisiana-Monroe - 7:00 PM ET Louisiana-Monroe +25.5 500
Florida St. -

Texas State - 7:00 PM ET Texas State +13 500
Northwestern -

UNLV - 8:00 PM ET UNLV -7.5 500
Texas-El Paso -

Georgia Southern - 8:00 PM ET Georgia Southern +10.5 500
Bradley -

Louisiana Tech - 8:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech -2 500
Arkansas-Little Rock -

Montana St. - 8:35 PM ET ( Northern Arizona -7 500 POD # 2 )
Northern Arizona -

Cornell - 9:00 PM ET Cornell +9.5 500
Vanderbilt -

North Dakota - 9:30 PM ET Southern Utah -1.5 500
Southern Utah -

Eastern Washington - 10:00 PM ET ( UC Davis -5 500 POD # 3 )
UC Davis -

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Texas State at Northwestern
The Bobcats look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Texas State is the pick (+13) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 11. Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+13). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 17

Game 713-714: Detroit at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 58.275; Syracuse 81.958
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 23 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 19; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-19); Under

Game 715-716: Texas State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 49.020; Northwestern 60.106
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 11; 145
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 13; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+13); Over

Game 717-718: UL-Monroe at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 40.031; Florida State 67.451
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 25 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-25 1/2)

Game 719-720: Louisiana Tech at AR-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 60.195; AR-Little Rock 55.635
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-2)

Game 721-722: UNLV at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 65.413; UTEP 60.576
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 5; 137
Vegas Line: UNLV by 7 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+7 1/2); Over

Game 723-724: Cornell at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 47.147; Vanderbilt 63.126
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 16; 123
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 9 1/2; 126
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-9 1/2); Under

Game 725-726: Cal Poly at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 52.558; Santa Clara 61.143
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+11 1/2)

Game 727-728: Valparaiso at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 57.260; Oakland 50.400
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 7
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-3 1/2)

Game 729-730: IPFW at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 45.010; Notre Dame 72.140
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 27
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 23
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-23)

Game 731-732: Georgia Southern at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 50.336; Bradley 58.520
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 8
Vegas Line: Bradley by 10
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+10)

Game 733-734: Montana State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 43.375; Northern Arizona 52.808
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 7
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-7)

Game 735-736: North Dakota at Southern Utah (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.780; Southern Utah 43.120
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 1
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+1)

Game 737-738: Eastern Washington at UC Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 45.584; UC Davis 51.070
Dunkel Line: UC Davis by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UC Davis by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (-4 1/2)

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 17

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DETROIT (6 - 4) at SYRACUSE (9 - 0) - 12/17/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS ST (4 - 6) at NORTHWESTERN (7 - 3) - 12/17/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA-MONROE (1 - 5) at FLORIDA ST (5 - 4) - 12/17/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 3) at ARK-LITTLE ROCK (8 - 4) - 12/17/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 2-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-1 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (8 - 1) at UTEP (3 - 4) - 12/17/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
UNLV is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CORNELL (4 - 5) at VANDERBILT (4 - 4) - 12/17/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
CORNELL is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
CORNELL is 96-60 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
CORNELL is 96-60 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
CORNELL is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in December games since 1997.
CORNELL is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
CORNELL is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAL POLY-SLO (4 - 4) at SANTA CLARA (8 - 2) - 12/17/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SANTA CLARA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VALPARAISO (7 - 3) at OAKLAND (3 - 7) - 12/17/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VALPARAISO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-1 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IUPU-FT WAYNE (5 - 6) at NOTRE DAME (9 - 1) - 12/17/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GA SOUTHERN (4 - 5) at BRADLEY (6 - 2) - 12/17/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRADLEY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MONTANA ST (2 - 5) at N ARIZONA (3 - 5) - 12/17/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA ST is 4-1 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA ST is 3-2 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N DAKOTA (2 - 6) at SOUTHERN UTAH (2 - 6) - 12/17/2012, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E WASHINGTON (2 - 7) at CAL DAVIS (1 - 6) - 12/17/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E WASHINGTON is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
E WASHINGTON is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) in December games since 1997.
CAL DAVIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
CAL DAVIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
E WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 17

-- Coach Boeheim goes for win #900 against Detroit team that lost by 3 at St John's, by 13 at Pitt. 9-0 Syracuse hasn't won home game by less than 20 points; six of their nine opponents are ranked lower than #132 Titans. Horizon League road underdogs are 14-12 against the spread. Big East home favorites of 17+ points are 11-7 against spread.

-- Northwestern star Crawford just had shoulder surgery, is out for year; Wildcats lost last three home games, scoring 55.3 ppg; this is their first game in nine days. Texas State plays #2 pace in country, quite contrast to patient Northwestern; State lost six of last eight games, but just lost by only 12 at Texas. WAC double digit road underdogs are 7-5.

-- Florida State lost three of last four games, is just 5-4, with losses to #150/193 teams; they're 2-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 8-32 points. UL-Monroe is 1-5, with three losses by 25+ points; 15% of its shots get blocked. ACC double digit home favorites are 12-8 vs spread; Sun Belt double digit road underdogs are 4-12.

-- Home side won last five Louisiana Tech-Little Rock games; Bulldogs lost last three visits here, by 9-9-14 points.Tech allowed 68 or less in its eight wins, 71+ in its three losses. UALR turns ball over 23% of time but is 6-0 at home. Sun Belt home underdogs are 5-1; WAC teams are 16-11 in games where spread is 5 or less points-- road favorites are 5-0.

-- UNLV is 8-1, winning road games at Portland by 8, Cal by 1, but they aren't as good without injured star Moser; Rebels beat UTEP at home by 11 LY. UTEP is 3-4, but three of losses are to teams in top 80- Miners losing by 21-7-21 points. MWC single digit road favorites are 5-3-1 vs spread. C-USA underdogs are 11-22 vs spread, 0-3 at home.

-- Cornell lost both its road games, by 11 at Arizona State, Wisconsin by 33; Big Red is 0-4 vs teams in top 200, losing by 4-33-11-23; they have a huge loss ahead of them Wednesday at Duke. Vanderbilt is 4-4- three of their four losses are vs top 100 teams. Ivy League road underdogs are 8-16 vs spread. SEC single digit home favorites are 7-10 vs spread.

-- Santa Clara is 8-2 after losing its last 18 games LY; Broncos' senior G Foster is playing well after being suspended most of LY. Santa Clara is 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 8-15-21 points. Cal Poly won at UCLA but lost its other three road games, by 7-13-18 points- they're 2-4 vs D-I teams. Big West road underdogs are 22-18 against spread.

-- Valparaiso/Oakland split pair of high scoring games last two years, as road team won both, 82-80/103-102; Crusaders are 7-3 this year, 6-1 vs teams not in top 100, with wins at Kent State/Missouri State. Oakland lost seven of last eight games vs D-I teams, allowing 77 ppg in last three. Horizon League road favorites are 8-10 against the spread.

-- Fort Wayne is 3-6 vs D-I teams, 1-5 on road, losing by 5-11-10; they shoot 29.4% from arc, 59.5% from line. This is second of 4 games/7 nights stretch for Notre Dame, before they get two weeks off; Irish had good win over Purdue Saturday. Summit League double digit road faves are 8-15 vs spread; Big East home favorites of 20+ points are 8-2.

-- Georgia Southern won SU as 14-point dogs at Virginia Tech Saturday, just its second win in seven D-I games; Eagles were held to 54 points or less in all five losses- they scored 62+ in four wins. Bradley is 6-2 after ending LY on 2-21 skid; Braves have only one win vs team ranked higher than #285. MVC double digit home favorites are 9-7 against spread.

-- Montana State won 74-72 at Northern Arizona LY, after losing here in previous nine visits, by average of 16 points. Bobcats are 1-5 this season vs D-I teams, with only win by 19 over Portland- they're 0-3 away from home, losing by 15-14-13 points. Lumberjacks are 3-1 vs teams not in top 200; Montana State is lowest-rated team they've played this year.

-- North Dakota is 0-6 vs D-I teams, with three losses by 5 points or less; they've beaten couple of non-D-I teams- they're 0-5 on road, with three losses by 20+ points. Southern Utah is also 0-6 vs D-I teams, with oair of other wins-- this is their first game in 13 days. Thunderbirds are turning ball over 29% of time, shooting 25.8% behind arc. Not good.

-- Eastern Washington is 2-6; five of its last six games were decided by 5 or less points, or in OT; Eagles beat Cal-Davis by 20 LY at home. UCD is 1-6, losing only home game to Sacramento State; Davis turns ball over 23% of time. Big Sky single digit road underdogs are 7-9 vs spread. Big West home favorites are 8-6 against the spread.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Monday, December 17

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MD-EASTERN SHORE vs. CONNECTICUT
No trends available
Connecticut is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Connecticut is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

7:00 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. NORTHWESTERN
Texas State is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Northwestern is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Northwestern is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
VALPARAISO vs. OAKLAND
Valparaiso is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Valparaiso is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
ALABAMA STATE vs. GEORGIA TECH
No trends available
Georgia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Georgia Tech is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
LONGWOOD vs. CANISIUS
No trends available
Canisius is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
Canisius is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
ALCORN STATE vs. TEMPLE
No trends available
Temple is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Temple is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. SYRACUSE
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
IUPU FORT WAYNE vs. NOTRE DAME
No trends available
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. FLORIDA STATE
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Florida State is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Florida State is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

8:00 PM
UNLV vs. TEXAS EL PASO
UNLV is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
UNLV is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Texas El Paso is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE vs. MISSOURI
No trends available
Missouri is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Missouri is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
Louisiana Tech is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas-Little R
Louisiana Tech is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arkansas-Little R
Arkansas-Little Rock is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Arkansas-Little Rock is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
USC UPSTATE vs. BAYLOR
No trends available
Baylor is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Baylor is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

8:00 PM
GEORGIA SOUTHERN vs. BRADLEY
Georgia Southern is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Bradley is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Bradley is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
EUREKA vs. SIU EDWARDSVILLE
No trends available
SIU Edwardsville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
SIU Edwardsville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:05 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
No trends available
Southern Illinois is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
Southern Illinois is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

8:35 PM
MONTANA STATE vs. NORTHERN ARIZONA
Montana State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Montana State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Arizona is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Montana State

9:00 PM
CORNELL vs. VANDERBILT
Cornell is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Cornell is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

9:00 PM
NORTH FLORIDA vs. COLORADO STATE
No trends available
Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

9:05 PM
TABOR COLLEGE vs. NORTHERN COLORADO
No trends available
Northern Colorado is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Northern Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

9:30 PM
NORTH DAKOTA vs. SOUTHERN UTAH
North Dakota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Utah is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Southern Utah is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

10:00 PM
CAL POLY vs. SANTA CLARA
Cal Poly is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Cal Poly is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Santa Clara is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home
Santa Clara is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:00 PM
JACKSON STATE vs. SEATTLE
No trends available
Seattle is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
EASTERN WASHINGTON vs. UC DAVIS
Eastern Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UC Davis is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home
UC Davis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

10:00 PM
CS BAKERSFIELD vs. PORTLAND
No trends available
Portland is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Monday, December 17

Detroit at Syracuse, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Detroit: 3-11 ATS off BB non-conference games
Syracuse: 6-0 ATS off BB non-confereence games

UNLV at UTEP, 8:00 ET
UNLV: 1-8 ATS as a road favorite
UTEP: 12-4 Under off a home game

IPFW at Notre Dame, 7:00 ET ESPNU
IPFW: 1-8 ATS with a total of 130 to 139.5 points
Notre Dame: 8-1 ATS at home off an Over

[StarDust Bum]

Kansas Jayhawks Try To Run Winning Streak To Eight

Richmond Spiders at Kansas Jayhawks
College Basketball Betting Preview
Date: 12/18/2012 at 7:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: -15½, O/U 135½
Television: ESPN2

Richmond Spiders: The Spiders (9-2 straight-up, 2-6 against the spread) head to Lawrence in search of their sixth consecutive win and third straight on the road. Richmond's offense has been finding the net with regularity during the five-game winning streak, sinking at least 50 percent of field-goal attempts in four of the victories. The Spiders are led by Derrick Williams, who is scoring 14.8 points and hauling down 7.2 rebounds per game. Darien Brothers is also averaging 14.8 ppg and has converted 28-of-54 shots from 3-point range.

Kansas Jayhawks: Off consecutive double-digit covers, the Jayhawks (8-1 SU, 4-5 ATS) bring a seven-game winning streak into Tuesday's contest and are a perfect 5-0 at Allen Fieldhouse. Kansas smoked Belmont on Saturday, 89-60, to easily beat the 12-point line, and it was the third consecutive game the team shot 50 percent or better from the field. Ben McLemore leads KU with 16.1 ppg while also grabbing 5.6 rpg. Jeff Withey, the nation's leading shot blocker (5.6 per game), is also contributing 13.8 ppg while topping the Jayhawks with 7.6 rpg.

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Stanford Cardinal at North Carolina State Wolfpack
College Basketball Betting Preview
Date: 12/18/2012 at 9:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: NC State -7 O/U 141
Television: ESPN2

Stanford Cardinal: A long trip east marks the first true road test for the Cardinal (7-3 SU, 5-4 ATS), who shook off some rust last Saturday with a 75-52 win over UC-Davis. A 13-day layoff showed with the team sinking just 37.3 percent from the field, but Dwight Powell's team-high 20 points helped Stanford backers collect on a 19-point spread. Powell leads the Cardinal, averaging 14.8 ppg, and the team ranks 35th in the country, converting better than 75 percent of free-throw attempts.

NC State Wolfpack: Mark Gottfried and the Wolfpack (7-2 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) continue a six-game homestand with this tilt vs. Stanford. North Carolina State returned to the floor Saturday following a week off with an 84-62 decision vs. Norfolk State, and the 'Pack continued its Division-I-best field-goal percentage mark (52.7 percent) by sinking 31-of-54 attempts. Richard Howell had a huge game on the glass with 19 boards to go with his 12 points, and freshman TJ Warren tallied 21 points off the bench by connecting on nine of his 11 shots from the field.

[StarDust Bum]

No. 9 Kansas looks to extend win streak hosting Richmond

RICHMOND SPIDERS (9-2)

at KANSAS JAYHAWKS (8-1)


Allen Fieldhouse – Lawrence, KS
Tip-off: Tuesday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Line: Kansas -15.5, Total: 135

Richmond will get its first major test against a ranked opponent as No. 9 Kansas hosts them at Allen Fieldhouse on Tuesday night.

Bill Self’s Jayhawks have yet to be challenged since their early season loss in the Champions Classic to Michigan State, winning seven straight games, six by more than a dozen points. They feature one of the nation’s top freshmen in Ben McLemore (16.1 PPG), but the Spiders own a capable defense that has held six of their nine opponents to 60 points or less on the season. Containing the Jayhawks at home is always difficult however, as Kansas looks to extend the nation’s second longest home winning streak (27 games) in this contest.

Can Richmond keep the final margin relatively close on Tuesday? For the answer, connect to College Basketball Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. The ******* experts have been sizzling in the past four days, going a collective 21-7 ATS (75%) from Friday through Monday. ******* Dave is 8-1 ATS and ******* Scott is 6-1 ATS over this stretch. The experts now have a collective 53.4% ATS mark (135-118-6) in college basketball Best Bets for the season, led by ******* Gary, who is 57.4% ATS (27-20) for the season, while Dave is at 56% ATS (50-40-2) on the year. ******* Brian's 4-1 ATS run put him at 51% ATS (30-29-2) for the season.

The Spiders attack is led by two scorers who average 14.8 PPG in Darien Brothers and Derrick Williams. Brothers (1.2 SPG) has shot phenomenally to start the year at 50% FG and an even better 52% clip from long range, hitting 2.5 treys per game. Williams, a post player, leads the team with 7.2 RPG and has also been efficient from the field, making 60% of his shots. The tiny 5-foot-8 Kendall Anthony (13.9 PPG) is also an effective scorer, hitting 1.7 threes per game while Cedric Lindsay runs the offense with 10.7 PPG and 4.4 APG while only turning it over 1.6 times per contest. Senior forward Greg Robbins (7.0 PPG, 3.5 RPG) is the other guy to watch out for on this Spiders squad—even though his numbers don’t pop off the page. He can shoot when called upon and is perfectly capable of guarding the perimeter, averaging 1.2 SPG. Richmond averages 8.8 SPG on the season.

McLemore is the early favorite for national freshman of the year honors and is only getting better with 20.7 PPG in his past three contests. But the rock of this Kansas squad is its true center Jeff Withey (13.8 PPG, 7.6 RPG) who has developed into more of a scorer this season, even though he is typically known for his defensive prowess. And he is the premier post defender in the nation with a staggering 5.6 BPG. Travis Releford (13.2 PPG) has been a key presence as the team’s third and final double-digit scorer while Elijah Johnson (9.8 PPG, 43.8% FG) has struggled shooting the ball, but has succeeded passing the rock with 5.1 APG. Senior forward Kevin Young has also been a key veteran presence on the squad, putting up 6.5 PPG and 6.4 RPG in just 18.3 MPG.

[StarDust Bum]

No. 25 NC State hosts Stanford on Tuesday

STANFORD CARDINAL (7-3)

at NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK (7-2)


PNC Arena – Raleigh, NC
Tip-off: Tuesday, 9:00 p.m. ET
Line: NC State -6.5, Total: 143

Stanford will be tested flying across the country to take on a talented, but underperforming, No. 25 NC State squad in Raleigh on Tuesday night.

The Wolfpack’s problem has not been the offense, which is shooting 52.7% from the field, the best rate in the nation. Freshman TJ Warren has led that effort with an incredible 69.1% FG, including 64% from deep, the best rate of any freshman in the nation. The Cardinal, on the other hand, have been terrible from the field (39.8% FG) with key players such as Chasson Randle (35.8% FG, 21.6% 3-pt FG) struggling to make buckets.

Can the Wolfpack win convincingly on Tuesday night? For the answer, connect to College Basketball Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. The ******* experts have been sizzling in the past four days, going a collective 21-7 ATS (75%) from Friday through Monday. ******* Dave is 8-1 ATS and ******* Scott is 6-1 ATS over this stretch. The experts now have a collective 53.4% ATS mark (135-118-6) in college basketball Best Bets for the season, led by ******* Gary, who is 57.4% ATS (27-20) for the season, while Dave is at 56% ATS (50-40-2) on the year. ******* Brian's 4-1 ATS run put him at 51% ATS (30-29-2) for the season.

Six-foot-10 PF Dwight Powell (14.8 PPG, 6.9 RPG) is Stanford’s top scorer, though he is a better shooter than he is a rebounder, where he will have to step up against C.J. Leslie and Richard Howell who combined for 17.3 RPG for NC State. Powell has drastically improved in his junior season however, making 56.3% of his field goals, up more than 10% from last season. Josh Huestis (8.5 PPG, 8.2 RPG) joins him in the post and he is a strong rebounder despite being just 6-foot-7. Chasson Randle (14.4 PPG) is truly the X-factor of this team, putting points on the board despite his inefficiency from the field. He is coming off a 4-of-13 shooting performance against UC Davis, and things won’t get easier for him against this athletic NC State squad.

Warren has been the biggest surprise for the Wolfpack, but the team is also led by three seniors in Howell, Leslie and Lorenzo Brown. Howell (14.1 PPG, 9.6 RPG) is averaging nearly a double-double, while Leslie (12.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG) has also been good offensively, despite his 3.0 TOPG. He's averaging 15.2 PPG and 9.0 RPG over his past five games. Brown (11.7 PPG, 6.0 APG) is a strong, pass-first point guard but has also struggled with sloppy ball handling with 3.8 TOPG. Scott Wood (9.3 PPG) adds a sharp-shooting presence from the perimeter. Even though he’s shooting just 39.7% from the field this season, he’s hitting 40.4% of his shots from deep, averaging 2.1 threes per game. And as Rodney Purvis (9.8 PPG on 44% FG) continues to improve—he’s coming off back-to-back double-digit scoring performances—this team should only get better throughout the season.

[StarDust Bum]

Games to Watch

December 17, 2012

As the men's college basketball season closes-out the final two weeks of non-conference play there will be a major shake-up of the AP's and Coaches top five after No. 1 Indiana and No. 5 Florida lost for the first time this past Saturday. That leaves Duke, Michigan, Syracuse and Arizona as a few of the major unbeaten teams in the nation. All the top college basketball teams continue to jockey for position heading into the New Year in preparation for conference play which will really begin to heat things up.

The following is a brief look at the top matchups for each day this week along with a few facts and figures to help handicap the games.


Tuesday, Dec. 18 - Richmond vs. No. 9 Kansas

The Spiders are off to a strong 9-2 SU start but they are just 2-6 ATS. They ran their current winning streak to five games with a 76-57 rout of Stetson last Saturday in a game with no posted line. Richmond has had little problem putting the ball in the hoop this season with an average of 73.5 points a game but it has struggled under the boards with just 31.8 rebounds.

Kansas should continue to move up in the polls after pasting Belmont this past Saturday 89-60 as a 12-point home favorite. It was the Jayhawks seventh-straight win and they are now 8-1 SU and 4-5 ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of six games with a posted line. Ben McLemore, Jeff Withey and Travis Releford are all averaging better than 13 points while combining for 16.6 rebounds a game.

Wednesday, Dec. 19 - Cornell vs. No. 2 Duke

The Big Red out of the Ivy League kick-offs a busy week with a Monday matchup against Vanderbilt on the road before facing the Blue Devils on Wednesday in Durham. They are 4-5 SU on the year and 3-4 ATS. Cornell is averaging just 64.9 points a game while shooting just over 40 percent from the field.

Duke should move up to the top spot in the nation at 9-0 SU as a result of the Hoosiers loss on Saturday. The Blue Devils remained perfect on the year after beating Temple 90-67 on Dec. 8. They covered as 7 ½-point favorites to go 6-3 ATS. Mason Plumlee and Seth Curry have combined for 35.5 points a game to help pace Duke to an average of 80 points a game.

Thursday, Dec. 20 - Eastern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan

Eastern Michigan has lost two of its last three games to fall to 6-3 SU on the season. The latest setback was a 74-48 loss to Illinois-Chicago this past Saturday as a nine-point road underdog. The Eagles are now 3-3 ATS. They rank near the bottom of Division I in both scoring (57.2 points) and team shooting (38.7 percent).

Michigan is another team that should move up in the polls after running over West Virginia 81-66 on Saturday as a 10.5-point favorite. The Wolverines improved to 11-0 SU and 6-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in six of the nine games with a posted line. With basketball pedigree such as Tim Hardaway Jr. and Glen Robinson III on the roster, Michigan is averaging 78.2 points a game while shooting an impressive 51.1 percent from the field.

Friday, Dec. 21 - Florida Atlantic vs. No. 1 Indiana

The Owls will host Stetson on Wednesday before going on the road to Indiana this Friday. Playing out of the Sun Belt, they are an even 5-5 SU (1-4 ATS) this season overall and 1-1 SU in conference play. Florida Atlantic has really struggled shooting the ball this season with a 38.8 shooting percentage that is ranked 314th in the nation.

Indiana will look to bounce back after Saturday's shocking 88-86 overtime loss to Butler as a 10.5-point favorite. It will play Mount St. Mary's at home on Wednesday before hosting the Owls on Friday night. The loss dropped the Hoosiers to 9-1 SU and 6-2 ATS. The total has gone OVER in three of their last four games. Cody Zeller continues to lead the team in both scoring (15.7 points) and rebounds (8.5) a game.

Saturday, Dec. 22 - No. 10 Illinois vs. No. 12 Missouri

Illinois moved to a perfect 12-0 SU with a 66-53 victory over Eastern Kentucky this past Sunday but could not cover as a 14 ½ -point home favorite. It is now 4-4 ATS and the total has gone OVER in four of six games with posted lines. The Fighting Illini are averaging 76.9 points behind Brandon Paul's 18.8 points a game.

Missouri will host South Carolina State this Monday before welcoming Illinois to the Scottrade Center on Saturday night. The Tigers improved to 8-1 SU and 3-4 ATS with a 68-38 romp over Tennessee State on Dec. 8 as 14 ½-point home favorites. They are averaging 75.1 points and ranked second in the nation in rebounds with 45.9 a game.

[StarDust Bum]

Under the Radar

December 17, 2012

If you're been following along, you know my affinity for the little guys. And I am not even just talking the mid-majors, but even the lower depths of Division I college hoops. The teams no one pays much mind. It is sad, too, as they play just as good a brand of basketball as the big guys. This past weekend I took my two sons to check out last season's Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference champion Norfolk State, as they took on big fish N.C. State. While the Spartans never really had much of a chance heading into the second half, it was cool seeing a team in person which made so much history in the NCAA Tournament last season. Remember, they're one of just a handful of 15-seeds to upend a 2-seed in the big dance.

A few of the teams we've mentioned here have done pretty well lately. Appalachian State (2-7 SU, 6-0 ATS) won outright for just the second time this season Sunday at Missouri-Kansas City. More importantly, they covered a big number, and are now a whopping 6-0 ATS. Remember the Mountaineers when they head down to Columbia to battle South Carolina in their next game. Illinois-Chicago (9-1 SU, 8-1 ATS) also kept it rolling with a blowout win over visiting Eastern Michigan, keeping their impressive streak of making money alive. Lastly, the Summit League's IUPUI Jaguars (4-9 SU, 0-9 ATS) were drilled over the weekend by visiting Indiana State, and have now failed to cover in 10 straight games dating back to last season.

Creighton (10-1 SU, 8-1 ATS): The Blue Jays are certainly not a surprise, as far as their ranking and success in the Missouri Valley Conference. They have won 10 of their first 11 games outright. What might come as a surprise is their success against the spread, as they have covered eight of their nine games this season, including each of their past four overall. The only time Creighton failed to cover was a shocking 13-point loss in Omaha against visiting Boise State (7-2 SU, 5-3 ATS), which is no embarrassment considering how well the Broncos have been playing. The 13th-ranked Blue Jays have only one game in the upcoming scoring period, but they'll be heavily favored and are worth a look at home in a game they should win handily.

This week: Tulsa, Wednesday

Drexel (3-7 SU, 1-8 ATS): The Dragons have endeared themselves to bettors over the past couple of years by serving as that underrated, sleeper team. However, this season they have simply been asleep, failing to cover in eight of their nine games against the number. If you need good news, the over has come through in each of their two games which have had a total. The Dragons have been a bad team, not even coming close in three of their past four games. They did win outright Dec. 8 at Princeton, covering a six-point number. But that performance is an anomaly, and the Tigers do not play particularly well when playing from behind anyway. This week, Drexel will face a very difficult test at home, and one they are not likely to come close to passing.

This week: Davidson, Saturday

Marshall (6-5 SU, 0-7-1 ATS): While the Thundering Herd has been a fairly competitive bunch this season, when it comes to covering, they are a complete disaster. Straight up at home, the Herd is 5-0, making Huntington a difficult place to come in and play. However, visitors have kept it close, going 2-0-1 ATS. For whatever reason, the lines have been pumped up at home for the Herd, and Marshall hasn't even come close to cover in the past two home games. This week they have a home game against Savannah State, and the Herd should be heavily favored. Then, the Herd hits the road for a game at Rupp Arena in Lexington. That one could turn very ugly.

This week: Savannah State, Wednesday; at Kentucky, Saturday

Massachusetts (5-3 SU, 1-7 ATS): Like Marshall above, the Minutemen are not a horrible team, they just never cover. This past weekend we made some money picking against UMass, as visiting Elon (6-4 SU, 4-2 ATS) took their to overtime and nearly won outright. (The Elon team has been a good play, too, by the way. Remember them.) Anyway, UMass will take on an Ohio University (7-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) that had success in last season's NCAA Tournament, and has carried that momentum into the early portion of this season. However, playing on the road in Amherst, you might be able to get a very good number. Ohio is covering, UMass is not. Remember that. The Minutemen are 0-3 ATS at home so far.

This week: Ohio, Wednesday; East Carolina, Saturday

St. Peter's (4-5 SU, 4-0-1 ATS): Anyone who has followed me knows that I enjoy betting the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (MAAC) rather frequently. Canisius (6-2 SU, 4-1 ATS), Niagara (5-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) and Siena (2-9 SU, 1-6 ATS) are teams to play particularly close mind to. Add in the Peacocks of St. Peter's, too. A few years ago they were betting gold, going 15-6-1 ATS back during the 2008-09 season despite an 11-19 SU record. Sometimes, a team doesn't necessarily have to be 'good' overall to be a 'good' bet. For whatever reason, St. Peter's just doesn't get respect from Vegas. In 2010-11, St. Peter's was 20-14 SU, and a whopping 20-8 ATS. Last season, it went the other way, as they were 5-26 overall, and 9-17 ATS. Anyway, what I am saying is there has been money to be made off the Peacocks over the years. This season, and this week, is no different.

This week: LIU-Brooklyn, Wednesday; Loyola-Chicago, Saturday

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Stanford at NC State
The Wolfpack look to follow up their 84-62 win over Norfolk State and build on their 11-2 ATS record in their last 13 games following a SU victory. NC State is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wolfpack favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NC State (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 18

Game 521-522: Ball State at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 49.364; Purdue 62.478
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 13
Vegas Line: Purdue by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+15 1/2)

Game 523-524: Michigan State at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 68.092; Bowling Green 54.593
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 13 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 11; 122
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-11); Under

Game 525-526: Southern Mississippi at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 59.158; Georgia State 53.124
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 6
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-3 1/2)

Game 527-528: Youngstown State at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 53.962; South Florida 59.247
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 7
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+7)

Game 529-530: Richmond at Kansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 62.539; Kansas 75.731
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 13; 142
Vegas Line: Kansas by 15 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+15 1/2); Over

Game 531-532: Miami (FL) at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 67.412; Central Florida 59.727
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 7 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 4 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-4 1/2); Under

Game 533-534: Western Kentucky at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 57.939; VCU 72.469
Dunkel Line: VCU by 14 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: VCU by 16 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+16 1/2); Over

Game 535-536: Stanford at NC State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 63.190; NC State 71.662
Dunkel Line: NC State by 9 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: NC State by 6 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-6 1/2); Under

Game 537-538: SMU at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 54.218; Utah 61.998
Dunkel Line: Utah by 8
Vegas Line: Utah by 7
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-7)

Game 539-540: Denver at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 61.754; Wyoming 66.004
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 8
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+8)

Game 541-542: LSU at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 57.004; UC-Irvine 57.250
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: LSU by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+1 1/2)

Game 543-544: Long Beach State at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 53.766; UCLA 68.731
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 15
Vegas Line: UCLA by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-12 1/2);

Game 545-546: UC-Santa Barbara at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 53.325; California 64.678
Dunkel Line: California by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 14
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+14)

Game 547-548: Furman at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 42.540; Wake Forest 56.116
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-12 1/2)

Game 549-550: Old Dominion at College of Charleston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 49.874; College of Charleston 56.218
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+8 1/2)

Game 551-552: Illinois-Chicago at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 61.422; Western Illinois 56.484
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 5
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-1 1/2)

Game 553-554: Tennessee State at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 52.248; Middle Tennessee State 63.993
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+14)

Game 555-556: Tennessee Tech at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 47.275; Auburn 60.140
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 13
Vegas Line: Auburn by 9
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-9)

Game 557-558: Jacksonville State at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 48.868; Nebraska 59.326
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 6
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-6)

Game 561-562: Winthrop at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 47.154; Ohio State 75.357
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 28; 137
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 30; 130
Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (+30); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 18

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BALL ST (5 - 4) at PURDUE (4 - 6) - 12/18/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in December games since 1997.
PURDUE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN ST (9 - 2) at BOWLING GREEN (5 - 4) - 12/18/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN MISS (7 - 3) at GEORGIA ST (5 - 5) - 12/18/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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YOUNGSTOWN ST (6 - 4) at S FLORIDA (5 - 3) - 12/18/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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RICHMOND (9 - 2) at KANSAS (8 - 1) - 12/18/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-0 straight up against RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (6 - 1) at UCF (6 - 2) - 12/18/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
MIAMI is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
MIAMI is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MIAMI is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
MIAMI is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in December games since 1997.
MIAMI is 99-71 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W KENTUCKY (8 - 3) at VA COMMONWEALTH (7 - 3) - 12/18/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STANFORD (7 - 3) at NC STATE (7 - 2) - 12/18/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SMU (8 - 2) at UTAH (6 - 3) - 12/18/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
UTAH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 96-69 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
SMU is 96-69 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 0-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (3 - 5) at WYOMING (10 - 0) - 12/18/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (6 - 1) at UC-IRVINE (5 - 6) - 12/18/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-IRVINE is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in December games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-IRVINE is 1-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LONG BEACH ST (4 - 6) at UCLA (7 - 3) - 12/18/2012, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UC-SANTA BARBARA (4 - 5) at CALIFORNIA (6 - 3) - 12/18/2012, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 1-0 against the spread versus UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-0 straight up against UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FURMAN (3 - 6) at WAKE FOREST (4 - 5) - 12/18/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FURMAN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OLD DOMINION (1 - 9) at COLL OF CHARLESTON (5 - 4) - 12/18/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 100-139 ATS (-52.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 64-39 ATS (+21.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 62-35 ATS (+23.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IL-CHICAGO (9 - 1) at W ILLINOIS (7 - 3) - 12/18/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W ILLINOIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) in December games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W ILLINOIS is 0-0 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
IL-CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against W ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE ST (5 - 6) at MIDDLE TENN ST (7 - 3) - 12/18/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE TECH (6 - 4) at AUBURN (4 - 5) - 12/18/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against SEC opponents since 1997.
AUBURN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE TECH is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE TECH is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE TECH is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE TECH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE TECH is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE ST (8 - 2) at NEBRASKA (6 - 3) - 12/18/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WINTHROP (4 - 4) at OHIO ST (8 - 1) - 12/18/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 248-204 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1997.
OHIO ST is 248-204 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
OHIO ST is 169-132 ATS (+23.8 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.