1/2/2004 NCAA B-Ball

[MemphisMafia]

After looking back over the last few days and checking my pulse I feel we are in a groove at the moment going ( Sun.) 44/14/1 , (Mon.) 30/15/1 ( but not posted so no count ) , and 11/4/1 yesterday . At present we stand at 333 - 189 - 15 YTD/ ATS , and that has brought decent moola across the board this year .

Match-ups for tomorrow : ( GUESSING TOTALS ? )

M. Tenn. St. @ VCU - 8.5 (139) = - 8.5 / U
[70.76/ 71.90/ 69.67 ] X [ 82.35/ 79.20/ 78.65 ]


Appalachian St. @ S.C. - 15.5 (139) = - 15.5 / PASS
[ 73.88/ 75.20/ 70.38 ] X [ 88.74/ 87.80/ 88.10 ]


UNCC @ S. Ill. - 3.5 (146) = - 3.5 / O
[ 83.78/ 87.40/ 79.71 ] X [ 89.97/ 91.40/ 86.39 ]


New Orleans @ Auburn - 17 (137) = PASS
[ 74.54/ 76.20/ 65.89 ] X [ 86.38/ 84.50/ 86.14 ]


U. Conn. - 11 @ Rice (143) = + 11/ O
[ 86.79/ 97.70/ 89.11 ] X [ 85.05/ 83.70/ 77.61 ]


Villanova @ Kansas - 13.5 (142) = + 13.5 / O
[ 84.38/ 88.40/ 83.65 ] X [ 89.84/ 90.10/ 84.72 ]


Portland St. - 2.5 @ Tenn. Martin (142) = - 2.5 / U
[ 76.10/ 77.50/ 70.65 ] X [ 74.99/ 70.10/ 67.25 ]


St. Marys @ BYU - 12.5 (144) = + 12.5 / O
[ 77.43/ 77.60/ 71.01 ] X [ 90.88/ 90.50/ 86.24 ]


Oregon - 2 @ USC (144) = - 2 / O
[ 84.80/ 88.30/ 84.20 ] X [ 81.82/ 80.00/ 76.70 ]


Washington @ Cal. - 7 (140) = + 7 / PASS
78.17/ 80.50/ 74.04 ] X [ 82.39/ 79.70/ 79.55 ]


Washington St. @ Stanford - 20.5 (135) = - 20.5 / U
[ 73.70/ 74.30/ 66.45 ] X [ 94.96/ 103.00/ 93.17 ]


Oregon St. @ UCLA - 10.5 (139) = + 10.5 / U
[ 72.80/ 73.70/ 67.79 ] X [ 81.13/ 77.50/ 76.61 ]


Wis. / Milw. @ Air Force - 1.5 ( 118) = + 1.5 / U
[ 78.84/ 80.40/ 72.98 ] X [ 83.03/ 84.40/ 75.37 ]


Colgate @ Loyola Marymount ( guessing - 9 (139) ) = - 9 / O
[ 71.00/ 71.70/ 62.66 ] X [ 80.89/ 78.00/ 71.38 ]


Updates to follow !

G.L.

***MMM***

:cool: :cool: :cool:

[savage1]

Memphis-great to have you back.
Boy, I could have used some of those winners in the last few days;hows the college football be treating you the last couple of days?

[MemphisMafia]

savage 1

I have been doing so-so in foots , 5-3 , 3-2 [type days] so nothing to brag about . Thanks for the welcome and I had a wonderful time with the kids and got alot done while there.

We will start using my old system very soon now because of conference battles gearing up , and it has served me well thru the years , BYU & New Orleans just got back from Hawaii and I expect a bit of jet-lag to show up on them tomorrow so watch them closely .

G.L.

***MMM***

:cool: :cool: :cool:

[tpng]

I am new. Please explain how to read your matchup. Thanks.

[MemphisMafia]

tpng

Its a tough question you ask , I basically use a system that takes 5 factors into account and then compare them to my rankings for a final break-down . The 5 factors are :

1) Jeff Sagarin Ratings
2) Don Best Ratings & Value Index
3) Millennium Sports Database
4) Professional Handicappers Ratings
5) Mike Greenfields Power Rank

After compiling all thier individual stats I then run them against my own ratings for a final value search and I cap every game thats on the board to discover where the underlays are at .

To further break this down :

[ 00.00/ 00.00/ 00.00 ] X [ 00.00/ 00.00/ 00.00 ]
-- #1------ #2 ---- #3---- X -- #1 ---- #2 ---- #3 ---

As you can see the #1`s are grouped , the #2`s are grouped , and the #3`s are grouped and compared to eachother for team power ratings and this is basically how I cap them . I do have a tried and true system that I developed years ago with my late husband that does very well starting at this time of year ( conference games ) but it is also used with the other factors .

I hope this answers your questions and wish I could take the time to go in depth , but it would take quite awhile to explain in total detail.

G.L.

***MMM***

:cool: :cool: :cool:

[BettorsChat]

tpng,

Welcome to the forum

[yock]

just keep up on the system but please share your information with us.Your system sure looks like a lot of work but there is a lot of information thati agree will work a hell of a lot better now that the conference games are starting.

I quess what I"m asking is for you to do all the work and share it with us.

[roadkillaka]

mmm

I been doing somewhat,half as much as you on power ratings,but I been using ratings from a guy from Chiago,Dunkel,Massey,guy from the west and 1 or 2 more and taking the avj,making finial decison based on plays from 2 to 4 people{{a couple of other things}} at other mess boards{{this worked last year}}



I be glad to see you back,glad to see you had a good time

[MemphisMafia]

Re: 1/2/2004 NCAA B-Ball

Originally posted by MemphisMafia
Well it looks like final numbers are floating in and this will be my final cut for the day , a couple of totals are a little bit shocking as I was way off and that in itself is alarming cause it dont happen often . In this post the updates are off the greeks board and true lines and not my guesses as above .

M. Tenn. St. @ VCU - 8.5*** (136) = - 9.5 / U
[70.76/ 71.90/ 69.67 ] X [ 82.35/ 79.20/ 78.65 ]


Appalachian St. @ S.C. - 15.5 (133.5) = - 17 PASS / PASS
[ 73.88/ 75.20/ 70.38 ] X [ 88.74/ 87.80/ 88.10 ]


UNCC @ S. Ill. - 3.5 (147) = - 2 / O***
[ 83.78/ 87.40/ 79.71 ] X [ 89.97/ 91.40/ 86.39 ]


New Orleans @ Auburn - 17 (136) = - 16.5 PASS / PASS
[ 74.54/ 76.20/ 65.89 ] X [ 86.38/ 84.50/ 86.14 ]


U. Conn. - 11 @ Rice (139) = + 10.5/ O
[ 86.79/ 97.70/ 89.11 ] X [ 85.05/ 83.70/ 77.61 ]


Villanova @ Kansas - 13.5 (143.5) = + 14*** / O***
[ 84.38/ 88.40/ 83.65 ] X [ 89.84/ 90.10/ 84.72 ]


Portland St. - 2.5 @ Tenn. Martin (142) = - 1 * / U **
[ 76.10/ 77.50/ 70.65 ] X [ 74.99/ 70.10/ 67.25 ]


St. Marys @ BYU - 12.5 (144) = + 12.5***/ O
[ 77.43/ 77.60/ 71.01 ] X [ 90.88/ 90.50/ 86.24 ]


Oregon - 2 @ USC (162.5) = - 2*** / U ***
[ 84.80/ 88.30/ 84.20 ] X [ 81.82/ 80.00/ 76.70 ]


Washington @ Cal. - 7 (140) = + 7.5 / PASS
78.17/ 80.50/ 74.04 ] X [ 82.39/ 79.70/ 79.55 ]


Washington St. @ Stanford - 20.5 (122.5) = - 21.5 / U
[ 73.70/ 74.30/ 66.45 ] X [ 94.96/ 103.00/ 93.17 ]


Oregon St. @ UCLA - 10.5 (138) = + 10.5 / U
[ 72.80/ 73.70/ 67.79 ] X [ 81.13/ 77.50/ 76.61 ]


Wis. / Milw. @ Air Force - 1.5 ( 126) = + 1.5 / U***
[ 78.84/ 80.40/ 72.98 ] X [ 83.03/ 84.40/ 75.37 ]



G.L.

***MMM***

:cool: :cool: :cool:

ps - yock & roadkillaka , thanks for your imput and good luck everyday !

[Homer]

MMM

Good Luck today and nice to see you back :D

Hope you had a great Holiday week :D