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  • #91
    NFL poolies betting cheat sheet: Week 11

    Philadelphia at Washington (-3.5, 43.5)

    Philadelphia suffered its fifth straight defeat with Sunday's 38-23 loss to Dallas and now limps into Washington on Sunday without the services of QB Michael Vick (concussion), according to multiple reports. Nick Foles will get the nod after completing 22 of 32 pass attempts for 219 yards with a touchdown and an interception in relief of Vick last week. Redskins feature back Alfred Morris, who is seventh in the league with 793 rushing yards, will look to exploit an Eagles defense which is allowing 4.5 yards per carry during the team's losing skid. Philadelphia has played under the total in its last six road games.

    Green Bay at Detroit (3.5, 51.5)

    The Packers look for their fifth consecutive win when they visit Detroit on Sunday. Green Bay has owned Detroit, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings. Aaron Rodgers has caught fire, throwing for 15 touchdowns and just one interception over the last four games. But the Pack will be without team sack leader Clay Matthews, who has been ruled out with a hamstring injury. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last six games in Detroit.

    Arizona at Atlanta (-9.5, 44)

    Atlanta was the last NFL team clinging to perfection until a 31-27 loss at New Orleans last week while the Cardinals are coming off a much-needed bye week after losing five straight. Five of Arizona's nine games (three wins, two losses) have been decided by seven points or fewer, while the Falcons are 5-1 in such games. John Skelton is expected to make another start at QB for the Cards as Kevin Kolb will miss his fourth straight game with rib and shoulder injuries. The Arizona defense ranks second in the league against the pass, which should give the Cardinals a fighting chance against the Falcons' high-flying offense. These teams have played over the total in their last four meetings.

    Tampa Bay at Carolina (1, 49)

    The Buccaneers have won four of their past five games to surge back into the NFC playoff picture. Tampa Bay's unexpectedly explosive offense has put up 28 or more points in five straight games, thanks to the emergence of RB Doug Martin. The rookie is the only player in the NFL with over 800 rushing yards and 200 receiving yards. Tampa Bay's first four games were decided by a touchdown or less, but its past five have featured an average margin of 14.8 points. The Bucs have played over the total in their last six overall.

    Cleveland at Dallas (-9.5, 43.5)

    The Cowboys haven't registered back-to-back victories since a four-game winning streak in November 2011, but they have a golden chance against the Browns, who are trying to avoid a franchise-record 12th consecutive road loss. Cowboys RB DeMarco Murray (foot) is expected to miss his fifth straight game, putting Felix Jones in line for another start. Browns CB Joe Haden (oblique) missed practice Thursday and is a game-time decision for Sunday’s contest. Dallas is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games.

    New York Jets at St. Louis (-3.5, 38.5)

    New York is averaging fewer than 200 passing yards and has been held to 10 points or fewer in four of its six losses. Mark Sanchez has thrown nearly as many interceptions (nine) as touchdowns (10) and went just 9-of-22 for 124 yards and a pick in the 28-7 loss at Seattle last week. Steven Jackson, who rushed over 100 yards last week in San Francisco, could have a big day against a New York defense that ranks 30th against the run. These teams have played over the total in four of their last five meetings.

    Jacksonville at Houston (-15, 40.5)

    The Texans have rebounded from their only loss of the season with a vengeance, winning three straight while allowing just one touchdown and outscoring their opponents 77-28. Since defeating the Indianapolis Colts in Week 3, Jacksonville has given its fans little to cheer about, going 0-6 while scoring more than 15 points only once. Houston prevailed 27-7 in Week 2 against the Jags, who gained a franchise-low 117 yards in the loss. But surprisingly, Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games.

    Cincinnati at Kansas City (3.5, 43.5)

    The quarterback carrousel continues for the Chiefs, who are forced to play Matt Cassel for a third straight game while Brady Quinn recovers from a concussion. The Chiefs can’t score regardless of who is under center (16.2 ppg – 30th) and compound the issue by having the worst turnover differential in the league (-20). The only good news from Monday's loss to the Steelers was that Kansas City held a lead in regulation for the first time – ending the league’s longest streak of futility since 1929. The Bengals are coming off a big victory against the defending Super Bowl-champion New York Giants last week but have a few injury issues on defense. Standout rookie free agent LB Vontaze Burfict, who is second on the team with 62 tackles, is questionable due to an elbow injury. CB Nate Clements (knee) and S Reggie Nelson (hamstring) are also questionable.

    New Orleans at Oakland (4.5, 54.5)

    The Saints’ offense could be in for another big day Sunday when it visits Oakland. Drew Brees has owned the Raiders, passing for 1,248 yards, 13 TDs and no interceptions in his last six games against Oakland – all wins. The Raiders’ stop unit has surrendered 97 points over the last two weeks and is now allowing a league-worst 31.6 points per game. Running backs Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson are both dealing with high ankle sprains and are questionable. The Saints have won 13 straight November games and have covered in five of their last six overall.

    San Diego at Denver (-8.5, 48.5)

    The Broncos posted one of the greatest comebacks in NFL history when they rallied from a 24-point halftime deficit to defeat the Chargers 35-24 at San Diego earlier in the season. The Chargers turned the ball over six times in the game, five of those coming in the second half. With Peyton Manning back in Pro Bowl form, Denver has won four straight and could put a stranglehold on the division title if it makes it five in row on Sunday. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

    Indianapolis at New England (-9.5, 54.5)

    The Colts are 5-1 since head coach Chuck Pagano was diagnosed with leukemia as his situation has galvanized the team. However, Indianapolis does have a few key injuries to deal with this week. Linebacker Dwight Freeney has been less than 100 percent for most of the season and the Colts placed CB Jerraud Powers on IR earlier in this week. While the Patriots continue to score with ease, leading the NFL in scoring average at 33.2 points, the defense ranks 29th against the pass and 25th overall. The Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, while the Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

    Baltimore at Pittsburgh (3.5, 40)

    Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger was knocked out of Monday’s overtime win against Kansas City with a shoulder injury and has been ruled out against the Ravens. Veteran signal-caller Byron Leftwich, who hasn’t started a game since 2009, has been named Big Ben's replacement. While Roethlisberger’s absence will help the Ravens’ defense, Joe Flacco will still have to go up against the best secondary in the league. Baltimore dominated the Raiders last Sunday in a 55-20 victory, scoring three touchdowns in the passing game, two in the running game and two on special teams. The under is 7-0 in Pittsburgh’s last seven home games.

    Chicago at San Francisco (OFF)

    Off-field news has dominated the headlines leading up to this Monday night clash. Quarterbacks Alex Smith and Jay Cutler were each knocked out of their respective games last week with concussions and on Thursday news broke that 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh was undergoing a minor procedure for an irregular heartbeat. Sportsbooks have been keeping their lines off the board, waiting for an update on the extent of the injuries to both starting QBs before making a decision. Cutler was officially ruled out of action by the team Friday afternoon, which means Jason Campbell will be under center. San Francisco and Chicago rank 1-2 in the league in fewest points allowed with 14.1 and 14.8, respectively. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #92
      NFL weather watch: Chance of rain in Oakland

      Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (1, 48)

      Site: Bank of America Stadium

      Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the NNE at 11 mph.

      Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (3.5, 43.5)

      Site: Arrowhead Stadium

      Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the south at 13 mph.

      New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders (4.5, 54.5)

      Site: O.co Coliseum

      Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s with a 40 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the south at 6 mph.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #93
        NFL

        Week 11

        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Packers at Lions: What bettors need to know
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (3, 52)

        The Green Bay Packers entered their bye as one of the league's hottest teams and came out of it having inched closer to the NFC North-leading Chicago Bears. The Packers will look to ride the momentum as they seek their fifth consecutive win against the host Detroit Lions on Sunday. Aaron Rodgers set an absurdly high standard in piloting Green Bay to a 15-1 mark in 2011-12, but his stellar play during the winning streak has mirrored that of his MVP season. A loss could deliver a fatal blow to the postseason hopes of the Lions, who are in the cellar of the only division that features three teams at least two games over .500. The Packers have also owned Detroit, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings.

        TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

        LINE: Packers -3, O/U 52.

        ABOUT THE PACKERS (6-3): Rodgers has thrown for 15 touchdowns and one interception in the last four games despite missing his favorite two targets in the latter two. James Jones and second-year standout Randall Cobb have elevated their games in the absences of injured wideouts Jordy Nelson and Greg Jennings, who combined for 24 scores last season. Jones is tied for second in the league with eight TD receptions and Cobb has five scores in the last three games. Cobb also contributed to a rushing attack that produced a season-high 176 yards in a 31-17 win over Arizona prior to the bye. Linebacker Clay Matthews, who leads the team with nine sacks, has been ruled out with a hamstring injury.

        ABOUT THE LIONS (4-5): Detroit continued a troubling season-long trend of falling behind early and having to play catch-up in last week's 34-24 loss in Minnesota that halted a two-game winning streak. Matthew Stafford threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns, but each score came after the Lions fell into a 16-3 hole early in the third quarter. Calvin Johnson, who has been bothered by a sore knee, came to life with 11 receptions for 207 yards and a touchdown but has only found the end zone twice after finishing second in the NFL with 16 TD receptions last season. A string of early deficits has contributed to the dramatic inconsistency in the running game, which managed a meager 60 yards against the Vikings after amassing 149 yards and four TDs the previous week.

        TRENDS:

        * Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. NFC North.
        * Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
        * Over is 5-1 in Packers’ last six games overall.
        * Over is 8-2-1 in Lions’ last 11 games overall.

        EXTRA POINTS:

        1. Rodgers is the first quarterback in league history to throw 25 TD passes in the first nine games in back-to-back seasons.

        2. Johnson had a career-high 244 yards and a TD on 11 catches in a 45-41 loss at Green Bay on Jan. 1, a game Rodgers sat out.

        3. The Lions play five of their last seven at home but they have to face conference leaders Houston (8-1) and Atlanta (8-1) along with Chicago (7-2). They also play at Green Bay next month.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #94
          NFL

          Week 11

          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Colts at Patriots: What bettors need to know
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots (-9.5, 54.5)

          Winners of four straight, the Indianapolis Colts take a step up in competition when they visit Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in a marquee matchup on Sunday. Led by rookie Andrew Luck and inspired by their coach Chuck Pagano, who is battling leukemia, the Colts have surprisingly become a legitimate playoff contender.

          The Patriots continue to roll on offense. Tom Brady has thrown at least one touchdown pass in his last 41 games and New England has added a potent ground game ranked fourth in the NFL. But the Patriots continue to struggle on defense, leaving the door open for some anxious moments late in games.

          TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

          LINE: Patriots -9.5, O/U 54.5.

          WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-40s under sunny skies. Wind won’t be a factor.

          ABOUT THE COLTS (6-3): All four of Indianapolis’ victories in its current winning streak have come against teams who currently sport sub-.500 records. The Colts are 5-1 since Pagano was diagnosed with leukemia as his situation has galvanized the team. The players and even a cheerleader have shaved their heads in support of the coach. Luck has rushed for five scores and thrown 10 TD passes for the NFL’s fifth-ranked offense. The favorite for NFL Rookie of the Year admits to being a longtime fan of Brady and is eager for his chance in one of the league’s top rivalries. Indianapolis does have several injuries. Linebacker Dwight Freeney has been less than 100 percent for most of the season and the Colts placed CB Jerraud Powers on IR earlier in the week.

          ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (6-3): New England has won the past two games in the series but it is going to have to straighten out things on defense. While the Patriots continue to score with ease, leading the NFL in scoring by averaging 33.2 points., the defense ranks 29th against the pass and 25th overall. Last week, lowly Buffalo scored 31 points and had the ball in the final minute looking to pull off the upset before Devin McCourty picked off a pass by Ryan Fitzpatrick in the end zone. Still, New England has won three straight overall and is in firm control of first place in the AFC East Division.

          TRENDS:

          * Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
          * Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
          * Under is 4-0 in Colts’ last four games overall.
          * Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in New England.

          EXTRA POINTS:

          1. Brady needs two TD passes to reach 20 for the 10th time in his career.

          2. Pats tight end Aaron Hernandez was scratched from last week’s game and is questionable with a nagging ankle injury.

          3. DB Robert Mathis is expected to play after missing the past two games for the Colts.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #95
            NFL Consensus Picks.....( As of 9:15 Pacific Time )

            Sides (ATS)

            Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

            1:00 PM N.Y. Jets +3.5 1582 37.41% St. Louis -3.5 2647 62.59% View View

            1:00 PM Philadelphia +3.5 1495 38.95% Washington -3.5 2343 61.05% View View

            1:00 PM Jacksonville +15 1575 40.76% Houston -15 2289 59.24% View View

            1:00 PM Arizona +9.5 1664 40.90% Atlanta -9.5 2404 59.10% View View

            4:25 PM San Diego +9 2098 50.84% Denver -9 2029 49.16% View View

            1:00 PM Cleveland +7 2425 57.70% Dallas -7 1778 42.30% View View

            4:25 PM Indianapolis +10 2508 59.94% New England -10 1676 40.06% View View

            1:00 PM Tampa Bay +1 2918 66.38% Carolina -1 1478 33.62% View View

            1:00 PM Cincinnati -3 2879 67.65% Kansas City +3 1377 32.35% View View

            8:20 PM Baltimore -3 2970 68.75% Pittsburgh +3 1350 31.25% View View

            4:05 PM New Orleans -5 3223 73.97% Oakland +5 1134 26.03% View View

            1:00 PM Green Bay -3 3340 74.24% Detroit +3 1159 25.76% View View

            Totals (Over/Under)

            Time Away Total Home Over Pct Under Pct Detail Odds

            8:20 PM Baltimore 40.5 Pittsburgh 993 35.89% 1774 64.11% View View

            1:00 PM Cincinnati 43 Kansas City 1081 42.11% 1486 57.89% View View

            1:00 PM Cleveland 43.5 Dallas 1182 45.30% 1427 54.70% View View

            1:00 PM N.Y. Jets 39.5 St. Louis 1248 46.83% 1417 53.17% View View

            1:00 PM Arizona 44 Atlanta 1337 50.21% 1326 49.79% View View

            1:00 PM Tampa Bay 47.5 Carolina 1448 53.69% 1249 46.31% View View

            1:00 PM Philadelphia 44.5 Washington 1474 56.82% 1120 43.18% View View

            1:00 PM Jacksonville 40.5 Houston 1628 61.85% 1004 38.15% View View

            4:25 PM Indianapolis 53.5 New England 1870 66.81% 929 33.19% View View

            4:05 PM New Orleans 55 Oakland 1859 67.14% 910 32.86% View View

            4:25 PM San Diego 47.5 Denver 1913 69.34% 846 30.66% View View

            1:00 PM Green Bay 52.5 Detroit 2162 72.77% 809 27.23% View View


            Highlighted consensus picks over 59%. For more information, see our FAQ page.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #96
              Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

              11/15/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
              11/12/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
              11/11/12 14-*10-*0 58.33% +*1500 Detail
              11/08/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
              11/05/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
              11/04/12 10-*14-*0 41.67% -*2700 Detail
              11/01/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail

              Totals 33-*25-*0 56.90% +2750


              Sunday, November 18

              Game Score Status Pick Amount

              Philadelphia - 1:00 PM ET Washington -3.5 500
              Washington - Over 44.5 500

              Green Bay - 1:00 PM ET Green Bay -3 500
              Detroit - Over 52.5 500

              Arizona - 1:00 PM ET Arizona +9.5 500
              Atlanta - Over 43.5 500

              Tampa Bay - 1:00 PM ET Tampa Bay +1 500
              Carolina - Over 47.5 500

              Cleveland - 1:00 PM ET Cleveland +7 500
              Dallas - Over 43.5 500

              N.Y. Jets - 1:00 PM ET N.Y. Jets +3.5 500
              St. Louis - Under 39.5 500

              Jacksonville - 1:00 PM ET Houston -15 500
              Houston - Under 40.5 500

              Cincinnati - 1:00 PM ET Kansas City +3 500
              Kansas City - Over 43 500

              New Orleans - 4:05 PM ET New Orleans -5 500
              Oakland - Over 55 500

              Indianapolis - 4:25 PM ET Indianapolis +9.5 500
              New England - Under 53.5 500

              San Diego - 4:25 PM ET San Diego +8.5 500
              Denver - Over 47.5 500
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #97
                NFL

                Week 11

                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Monday Night Football: Bears at 49ers
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers (-7, 37)

                Monday's night's marquee matchup between the host San Francisco 49ers and Chicago Bears hardly lacked for storylines, pitting a pair of legitimate Super Bowl contenders featuring two of the top defenses in the league. However, it's the off-field news that has dominated the headlines leading into the encounter between the division leaders of the NFC West and North. Quarterbacks Alex Smith and Jay Cutler were each knocked out of last week's game with concussions, and on Thursday came the news that 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh was undergoing a minor procedure for an irregular heartbeat.

                Harbaugh, according to the team, was expected back at the team's facility Friday. ESPN reported that he made a brief appearance at practice Thursday and was sent home upon the recommendation of team doctors. Smith was given the green-light to practice on a limited basis Wednesday and Thursday wearing a no-contact jersey but still must be medically cleared to play. Cutler did not practice this week and will give way to backup Jason Campbell.

                TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

                LINE: 49ers -7, O/U 37.

                WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the south at 9 mph.

                ABOUT THE BEARS (7-2): Last season, Cutler had directed the Bears to five straight wins and a 7-3 record before suffering a broken thumb. The Bears went on to lose five straight with untested Caleb Hanie and retread Josh McCown under center. That's the main reason Chicago upgraded its backup plan by signing Campbell. The former Oakland Raiders QB was 11-for-19 for 94 yards in the second half of last week's 13-6 home loss to Houston. Running backs Matt Forte and Michael Bush may get a heavier workload against a defense that has suddenly been more vulnerable against the run, allowing a pair of 100-yard rushers. Brandon Marshall has 51 catches and six touchdowns in the last six games, and Chicago will again lean on a defense that has a league-high 19 interceptions, including seven for TDs.

                ABOUT THE 49ERS (6-2-1): San Francisco would be in a tie with Chicago for the second-best record in the NFC had David Akers converted a 41-yard field goal in overtime in last week's 24-24 tie with St. Louis. The 49ers also benefited from two penalties in OT that prevented the Rams from winning. One big positive for the Niners was the play of second-year QB Colin Kaepernick after Smith was forced to leave the game with blurred vision. Kaepernick guided San Francisco to 17 fourth-quarter points, completing 11 of 17 passes for 117 yards and running for 66 yards and a touchdown on eight carries. Frank Gore just missed his fourth 100-yard game, rushing for 97 yards and a TD, and Michael Crabtree had five catches for 70 yards and his third scoring reception in two games.

                TRENDS:

                * Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
                * 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. NFC foes.
                * Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
                * Under is 5-0-1 in 49ers’ last six vs. a team with a winning record.

                EXTRA POINTS:

                1. San Francisco and Chicago rank 1-2 in the league in fewest points allowed with 14.1 and 14.8, respectively.

                2. Campbell, a first-round pick of Washington in 2005, has made 70 career starts. He has thrown for 74 TDs and 50 interceptions.

                3. The teams last met in San Francisco in November 2009, with the 49ers intercepting Cutler five times in a 10-6 victory. The 49ers have also won all three postseason meetings.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #98
                  NFL

                  Week 11

                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Tale of the tape: Bears at 49ers
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Monday night’s showdown between the Chicago Bears and San Francisco 49ers

                  Offense

                  Bears QB Jay Cutler (concussion) did not practice this week and will give way to backup Jason Campbell. So, RBs Matt Forte and Michael Bush may get a heavier workload against a San Francisco defense that has suddenly been more vulnerable against the run. No. 1 WR Brandon Marshall has 51 catches and six touchdowns in the last six games

                  Niners’ QB Alex Smith (concussion) is questionable and has practiced in a limited fashion throughout the week. If he can’t suit up, backup Colin Kaepernick will be under center. Kaepernick guided San Francisco to 17 fourth-quarter points last week against the Rams in relief of Smith, completing 11 of 17 passes for 117 yards while rushing for 66 yards and a touchdown on eight carries. San Francisco boasts the top-rated rushing offense in the league at 170.2 yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per carry.

                  Edge: 49ers


                  Defense

                  San Francisco and Chicago rank 1-2 in the league in fewest points allowed with 14.1 and 14.8, respectively. Chicago will lean on a defense that has a league-high 19 interceptions, including seven for TDs. The Bears’ stop unit is also the fourth-best at stopping the run. The Niners are fifth defending the pass and through nine games, San Francisco has given up just 292.1 yards per game.

                  Edge: Bears


                  Special teams

                  Bears punter Adam Podlesh has been in a slump, prompting special teams coordinator Dave Toub to bring in three punters for tryouts this week. Podlesh ranks 30th in the league in punting average (41.7). Devin Hester hasn’t been leaving would-be tacklers in the dust, slowed by injury this season, but he's still the greatest returner in NFL history.

                  David Akers missed a field goal that would have won the game for the Niners in overtime last week. The Rams also succeeded in converting two fake punts against San Francisco. The second fake came on the Rams final drive of regulation, which resulted in a touchdown and a St. Louis lead. The 49ers are allowing foes to average 28.8 yards per kickoff return (second worst in the NFL) and 9.6 yards per punt return including a TD in Week 1.

                  Edge: Bears


                  Word on the street

                  "I don't think so. They're kind of similar quarterbacks, strong armed guys, athletic. He's been experienced. He's played in the league a long time as a starter, both in Washington and Oakland. So, I really don't think their offense will change that much." - San Francisco defensive coordinator Vic Fangio on if the Chicago offense changes much with Jason Campbell in instead of Jay Cutler.

                  "We didn’t handle last year well...Of course, it’s documented we didn’t. That’s why we went out and we felt like we’ve upgraded the position. I know the guys have a lot of confidence in Jason. He’s played a lot of football, started a lot of games, so yeah, we’re hopeful. That’s why we can’t wait to get to this game. Injuries do happen, and we’ll see exactly where we are, but we think we’re going to be OK." - Bears coach Lovie Smith on the team's struggles last season when Cutler fell to injury and his starter Monday, Jason Campbell.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #99
                    MNF - Bears at 49ers

                    November 18, 2012

                    The Week 11 card closes out with two NFC clubs looking to set themselves up for a first round bye in the playoffs. The 49ers took a hit in last Sunday's unexpected tie against the struggling Rams, while the Bears were tripped up by the Texans at home. Chicago has bigger issues than last week's defeat, as it attempts to win on the road without its starting quarterback.

                    Jay Cutler was knocked out in the second quarter of last Sunday's 13-6 defeat to Houston, as he is listed as 'out' on Monday night. Cutler threw for just 40 yards and two interceptions against the tough Texans' defense, while Chicago suffered just its second loss on the season. Jason Campbell replaced Cutler in the second half, but didn't fare much better for throwing for 94 yards, as the former Redskin will start on Monday. The weather didn't help matters as rain lingered all night long at Soldier Field, easily cashing the 'under' of 37.

                    The 49ers blew a golden opportunity last Sunday, pulling off the first tie in the NFL since 2008 in a 24-24 deadlock against St. Louis. Alex Smith suffered a concussion in the first half, while getting replaced by second-year quarterback Colin Kaepernick. The former Nevada standout led the Niners to a pair of touchdowns in the fourth quarter, but San Francisco couldn't pull out the win in overtime. The Niners failed to cover as 13 ½-point favorites, while falling to 1-3 ATS the last four games.

                    Smith has been ruled 'out' tonight, as Kaepernick will make his first NFL start. San Francisco has plenty to play for, as the Niners are fighting with Atlanta, Chicago, New York, and Green Bay for a potential first round bye in the postseason. The Niners own a tiebreaker over the Packers, but lose the tiebreaker to the Giants due to head-to-head matchups. Jim Harbaurgh's club hits the road for four of the next five games after Monday, while the next three games are against teams below .500.

                    Since losing at Green Bay in Week 2, Lovie Smith's team has won three consecutive games away from Soldier Field. In those three victories, the Bears put up at least 34 points, while scoring 51 points at Tennessee two weeks ago. The 'over' has cashed in each of Chicago's road wins, while going 4-2 to the 'over' in the last six games overall.

                    The home team has won each of the previous 10 meetings dating back to 1989, as the Niners edged the Bears in the last matchup in 2009 at Candlestick Park, 10-6. San Francisco cashed as 3 ½-point favorites in a December primetime contest, as Cutler tossed five interceptions in the defeat. Chicago topped San Francisco in three consecutive meetings from 2004 through 2006, but all three victories came in the Windy City.

                    The Niners have cashed six straight Monday night contests since 2008, while compiling a 2-0 SU/ATS in Harbaugh's tenure. Last December, San Francisco routed Pittsburgh at Candlestick, 20-3 as three-point favorites, as the Niners have won four of the last five home Monday nighters since 2003. In Week 8, the Niners whipped the Cardinals in Arizona, 24-3 to cash easily as 7 ½-point 'chalk.'

                    Under Smith, the Bears have won nine of 11 games on Monday, while covered seven times. This season, Chicago has picked up Monday night triumphs at Dallas and at home over Detroit, but the Bears failed to cash against the Lions as even-point favorites. On the highway, Chicago is 5-1 SU/ATS in six Monday night games since 2005.

                    The 'under' is cashing at a ridiculous rate on Monday, hitting in each of the last four weeks. Overall, the 'under' is 8-3 in Monday matchups, as one of the 'overs' came in Week 4 between the Bears and Cowboys as Chicago scored two defensive touchdowns to push the game 'over' the total.

                    The 49ers are listed as 6 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 37 across the board. Weather shouldn't be much of a factor with temperatures in the high 50's and no rain expected. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and will be televised nationally on ESPN.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

                      11/18/12 11-*11-*2 50.00% -*550 Detail
                      11/15/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
                      11/12/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
                      11/11/12 14-*10-*0 58.33% +*1500 Detail
                      11/08/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
                      11/05/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
                      11/04/12 10-*14-*0 41.67% -*2700 Detail
                      11/01/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail

                      Totals 44-*36-*2 55.00% +2200


                      Monday, November 19

                      Game Score Status Pick Amount

                      Chicago - 8:30 PM ET San Francisco -3.5 500

                      San Francisco - Over 35 500
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • Turkey Tips

                        November 21, 2012


                        **Texans at Lions**

                        --Before sitting down to Thanksgiving lunch, gamblers will need to place their bets for this 12:30 p.m. Eastern kickoff at Ford Field in the Motor City. As of late Wednesday afternoon, most books had Houston (9-1 straight up, 7-3 against the spread) favored by three with a minus-120 price. The total was 50 ½ points. Bettors can take the Lions on the money line for a plus-155 payout (risk $100 to win $155).

                        --After losing three of its first four games, Detroit (4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS) won three of its next four and appeared poised to stay in postseason contention. However, the Lions have dropped back-to-back game and are now in desperation mode. They lost a 24-20 nail-biter vs. Green Bay last Sunday as 3 ½-point home underdogs. The 44 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 53 ½-point total.

                        --In the loss to the Packers, Detroit took a 20-14 advantage with 4:25 remaining on a 27-yard field goal by Jason Hanson. However, Aaron Rodgers drove Green Bay down the field on a six-play touchdown drive to take the lead back. After committing a turnover, the Lions failed to cover when the Packers got a 39-yard field goal from Mason Crosby with 19 ticks left. Matthew Stafford threw two interceptions, including a 72-yard pick-six, and also coughed up a fumble. The Lions have given up seven touchdowns on returns this season, including punts, fumbles and interceptions.

                        --Houston was fortunate to win outright as a 15-point home favorite vs. Jacksonville last week. The Texans twice trailed by double-digit margins in the second half, but they nonetheless railed to capture a 43-37 overtime win over the Jaguars. With 2:01 left in OT, Matt Schaub found Andre Johnson for a 48-yard scoring strike to provide the winning points. The Jags took the cash and the 80 combined points easily went ‘over’ the 40 ½-point tally.

                        --Schaub completed 43-of-55 passes for 527 yards with five TD passes and two interceptions against Jacksonville. Johnson hauled in 14 receptions for 273 yards. For the season, Schaub has 18 TD passes compared to eight interceptions. Johnson has 60 catches for 870 yards and three TDs.

                        --Houston RB Arian Foster has rushed for 949 yards and 10 TDs, but he’s been limited to a 3.8 yards-per-carry average. He rushed for 77 yards on 28 carries against the Jags.

                        --Houston is third in the NFL in scoring, averaging 29.3 points per game. Also, the Texans are fourth in the NFL in scoring defense, giving up only 18.0 PPG.

                        --Houston has won all four of its road assignments, compiling a 3-1 spread record. The Texans own an 8-7 spread record as road favorites during Gary Kubiak’s seven-year tenure.

                        --To get an idea of how mistake-prone Detroit has been this season, consider these stats: The Lions are second in the NFL in total offense, averaging 401.7 yards per contest. However, they are just 15th in scoring with a 23.6 PPG average. In a similar vein, Jim Schwartz’s squad is 10th in total defense but 23rd in scoring defense (24.6 PPG).

                        --During Schwartz’s four-year tenure, Detroit has gone 7-6 ATS as a home underdog. The Lions are 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS at home this year.

                        --Totals have been an overall wash for Houston (5-5), but the ‘under’ is 3-1 in its four road games. Meanwhile, the Lions have watched the ‘over’ go 6-3-1 overall, 2-2 in their home games.

                        --CBS will provide television coverage.

                        **Redskins at Cowboys**

                        --Most spots are listing Dallas (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) as a three-point ‘chalk’ with a minus-120 price. The total is 48 and the Redskins are plus-155 to win outright (risk $100 to win $155).

                        --Dallas lost for the fourth time in five games at Atlanta on Nov. 4, but the Cowboys have responded with two straight victories to get back into the hunt. They are only one game back of the 6-4 Giants for the lead in the NFC East.

                        --Jason Garrett’s club won a 23-20 decision over Cleveland in overtime last week. Dan Bailey’s 32-yard field goal with two seconds left in regulation forced the extra session, and then Bailey buried a 38-yarder for the win with only 2:01 left in OT. The Cowboys failed to cover the number as seven-point home favorites, while the 43 combined points slipped ‘under’ the 43 ½-point total.

                        --Dallas veteran QB Tony Romo has completed 67.3 percent of his throws for 2,916 passing yards, but he has a mediocre 13/13 TD-INT ratio. Jason Witten is his favorite target, bringing in 73 catches for 636 yards and one TD.

                        --Dallas has won outright in two of its four home games, but it is an abysmal 0-4 ATS.

                        --Washington (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS) ended a three-game losing slide by pounding Philadelphia by a 31-6 count as a 3 ½-point home favorite. Robert Griffin III produced a spectacular performance, connecting on 14-of-15 passes for 200 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. RG3 also rushed for 84 yards on 12 carries.

                        --RG3 has been ‘as advertised,’ completing 67.1 percent of his passes for 2,193 yards with a 12/3 TD-INT ratio. The Baylor product has also rushed for 624 yards and six TDs.

                        --Washington has lost three of its five road games but has managed a 3-2 spread record. The Redskins are 3-1 ATS as road underdogs this year, 11-7 ATS in such spots during Mike Shanahan’s three-year tenure.

                        --Dallas has won three straight and six of the last seven head-to-head meetings with Washington. However, the Redskins have covered the number in the last four encounters. In addition, the ‘Skins are 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to Dallas.

                        --The ‘under’ is 6-4 overall for Dallas, 2-2 in its home games.

                        --Totals have been an overall wash (5-5) for the ‘Skins, but they have seen the ‘over’ cash at a 3-2 clip in their five road contests.

                        --The ‘under’ is on a 5-2 run in the last seven games of this storied rivalry.

                        --Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. Eastern on FOX.

                        **Patriots at Jets**

                        --Most books are listing New England (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) as a seven-point favorite with a total of 48. Bettors can take the Jets to win outright for a plus-260 payout (risk $100 to win $260).

                        --Bill Belichick’s squad has won four in a row and six of its last seven, including last week’s 59-24 shellacking of Indianapolis as a 10-point home ‘chalk.’ Tom Brady threw for 331 yards and three TDs without an interception. Rob Gronkowski made seven receptions for 137 yards and two TDs, but he broke his forearm in the fourth quarter and will miss the next several games.

                        --On the bright side for the Pats, they’ll get their other stud tight end, Aaron Hernandez, back this week after he missed the last three games with an ankle injury.

                        --Brady is enjoying another sensational season, throwing for 2,976 yards with a 21/3 TD-INT ratio.

                        --New York (4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS) stopped the bleeding of a three-game losing streak with last week’s 37-23 win at St. Louis as a 3 ½-point underdog. Bilal Powell rushed for a pair of touchdowns and Marc Sanchez had one TD pass without committing a turnover.

                        --For the season, Sanchez is completing only 53.5 percent of his passes with an 11/9 TD-INT ratio.

                        --Since its first two games went ‘under,’ New England has seen the ‘over’ cash in eight consecutive games. The ‘over’ is 4-1 in the Pats’ five road assignments. They are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS on the road.

                        --Totals have been an overall wash (5-5) for the Jets, but the ‘under’ is 3-2 in their home games. They are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS at home.

                        --During Rex Ryan’s tenure, the Jets own a 3-1 spread record as home underdogs.

                        --The ‘over’ has hit in six straight head-to-head meetings between the Jets and Patriots.

                        --NBC will have the telecast at 8:20 p.m. Eastern.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                        • Total Talk - Thanksgiving

                          November 21, 2012

                          Due to the Thanksgiving Day slate this Thursday, bettors will be able to lock and load early in Week 12. We’ll recap last week’s action and go over the rest of the slate in our weekly Total Talk installment on Saturday. For now, let’s break down the three games on tap.

                          Houston at Detroit: The first game on the board isn’t an easy one and you could make sound arguments for either the ‘over’ or the ‘under.’ The opening line was 48 ½ and it’s been steamed up to 50 ½ at most outfits. Most gamblers have short-term memory and Houston’s 43-37 overtime win last Sunday over Jacksonville is probably in their head. Quarterback Matt Schaub and wide receiver Andre Johnson both had career days for the Texans, yet they only put up 43 and nine of those points came in the extra session. What was very surprising was the play of Houston’s defense, which was diced up by Jaguars QB Chad Henne. Keep in mind that Henne did most of his damage on three plays, two of them going for long touchdowns (67, 81 yards).

                          Fortunately for the Texans, they won’t be playing a consistent attack this week. Detroit looks like it has firepower on paper with QB Matthew Stafford and WR Calvin Johnson, but this offense lacks a running game and any rhythm. At home, the Lions are averaging 24 points per game. If there is hope for Detroit’s offense to get going, you can look at its outputs against AFC South clubs. The Lions put up 41 against the Titans and 31 against the Jaguars this season, which was the two highest point totals for them this season. Despite the bad performance last week, the Texans’ defense is still ranked fourth in the league (299 YPG, 18 PPG) and they’ve stepped up on the road, allowing a total of 55 points in four games. After scoring 27 and 31 in its first two road games, Houston has only mustered up 23 and 13 the past two outings as visitors.

                          On Thanksgiving, Detroit has watched the ‘under’ produce a 7-3 mark the past 10 seasons. The Lions have also lost nine of those games during that span.

                          Washington at Dallas: After watching its first four games of the season go ‘over’ the number, the Redskins have seen the ‘under’ rebound with a 5-1 mark in the last six games. Washington saw some 50-point totals posted early, which was a little surprising when you have a rookie quarterback (Robert Griffin III) under center. RG3 has proven to be effective, but the main reason for the high numbers is the Redskins defense, which is playing with crutches. Washington was hurt by the injury bug again last week as the unit lost safety Brandon Meriweather (knee) for the season. Also, the leader of the defense, linebacker London Fletcher (ankle), is ‘questionable’ too.

                          Dallas was hoping to get running back DeMarco Murray (foot) back in the lineup but his status is ‘doubtful’ for Thursday. That’s probably a good thing if you’re leaning ‘over’ because the Cowboys will most likely let Tony Romo attack an already decimated secondary if he can stay on his feet. Similar to Detroit, the ‘Boys look explosive on paper but the results aren’t there because the offensive line isn’t great. The best outing was 38 points against Philadelphia a couple weeks ago, and 21 came from the defense and special teams.

                          Last year, the total spilt in the two regular season meetings between the pair as they combined for 34 and 51 points. The total opened at 47 for this game and was bet up to 48. Dallas watched last year’s holiday matchup go ‘under’ in its win over Miami (20-19). The one thing you can say about the ‘Boys on Thanksgiving is that they do score and put on a show. It’s been 11 years since Dallas has been held under 20 points on Turkey Day.

                          New England at N.Y. Jets: This number opened at 50 ½ and is now being offered anywhere between 48 and 49 points, depending where you shop. Considering the Patriots can get to this number themselves, it’s certainly hard to argue an ‘under’ play here. New England’s offense leads the league in points scored (35.8) and yards (431.9) and the defense is starting to turn be opportunistic as well. Last week, the Pats ripped the Colts 59-24 and 21 of the points came from a pair of pick-six touchdowns and a punt return. After seeing the first two games of the season go 'under' the Pats have watched the 'over' cash in eight straight weeks.

                          Offensively, the Pats high-powered attack will be missing a key part this week against the Jets. Tight end Rob Gronkowski injured his forearm in last week’s win over the Colts. He’s out this week and possibly a few more games as well. Fortunately for the Pats, TE Aaron Hernandez is expected to return from an ankle injury. The offensive line also has some key injuries, in particular Logan Mankins and Dan Connolly. You couldn’t tell they missed last week’s game against Indy, who has a much better pass rush than the Jets.

                          New York gave New England a scare in mid-October, but fell short in a 29-26 defeat. QB Mark Sanchez played well (328 yards, 68%) in the loss despite having limited receivers and no running game. Including the first meeting this season, the ‘over’ has now cashed in six straight in this series.

                          The last few weeks of Total Talk, we’ve been hitting on rematch games between divisional opponents. So far this season, the ‘over’ has gone 8-2 (80%) when teams meet in the second divisional battle. Before you run to the counter and bang the ‘over’ on this game, make a note that the ‘under’ has gone 24-10 (71%) in games played in primetime slots this season. Lastly, since the NFL added a third game on Thanksgiving Day during the 2006 season, the ‘under’ has gone 4-2 in the six installments, including three in a row.

                          Fearless Predictions

                          If you’re reading this piece, then you’re probably betting and for that, we say be thankful that you can. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end - Good Luck and Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours!

                          Best Over: Washington-Dallas 48

                          Best Under: Houston-Detroit 50 1/2

                          Best Team Total: Over Dallas 25 1/2

                          Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
                          Over Washington-Dallas 39
                          Under Houston-Detroit 59 ½
                          Under New England-N.Y. Jets 57
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                          • Thanksgiving Day Trends

                            November 20, 2012

                            Trends for Detroit-Houston
                            -- The Lions have dropped eight straight on Thanksgiving Day
                            -- Detroit has seen the 'under' go 7-3 in the last 10 on Thanksgiving Day
                            -- Houston has never played on Thanksgiving Day

                            Trends for Dallas-Washington
                            -- Dallas owns a 29-15-1 record on Thanksgiving Day
                            -- Five of the last six wins by Dallas on Thanksgiving Day have come by double digits
                            -- Washington has gone 1-6 on Thanksgiving Day, with all six losses against Dallas

                            Thanksgiving History - Detroit
                            Year Matchup
                            2012 Green Bay 15 Detroit 27
                            2010 New England 45 Detroit 24
                            2009 Green Bay 34 Detroit 12
                            2008 Tennessee 47 Detroit 10
                            2007 Green Bay 37 Detroit 26
                            2006 Miami 27 Detroit 10
                            2005 Atlanta 27 Detroit 7
                            2004 Indianapolis 41 Detroit 9
                            2003 Detroit 22 Green Bay 14
                            2002 New England 20 Detroit 12
                            2001 Green Bay 29 Detroit 27
                            2000 Detroit 34 New England 9
                            1999 Detroit 21 Chicago 17
                            1998 Detroit 19 Pittsburgh 16 (OT)
                            1997 Detroit 55 Chicago 20
                            1996 Kansas City 28 Detroit 24
                            1995 Detroit 44 Minnesota 38
                            1994 Detroit 35 Buffalo 21
                            1993 Chicago 10 Detroit 6
                            1992 Houston 24 Detroit 21
                            1991 Detroit 16 Chicago 6
                            1990 Detroit 40 Denver 27
                            1989 Detroit 13 Cleveland 10
                            1988 Minnesota 23 Detroit 0
                            1987 Kansas City 27 Detroit 20
                            1986 Green Bay 44 Detroit 40
                            1985 Detroit 31 N.Y. Jets 20
                            1984 Detroit 31 Green Bay 28
                            1983 Detroit 45 Pittsburgh 3
                            1982 N.Y. Giants 13 Detroit 6
                            1981 Detroit 27 Kansas City 10
                            1980 Chicago 23 Detroit 17 (OT)
                            1979 Detroit 20 Chicago 0
                            1978 Detroit 17 Denver 14
                            1977 Chicago 31 Detroit 14
                            1976 Detroit 27 Buffalo 14
                            1975 L.A. 20 Detroit 0
                            1974 Denver 31 Detroit 27
                            1973 Washington 20 Detroit 0
                            1972 Detroit 37 N.Y. Jets 20
                            1971 Detroit 32 Kansas City 21
                            1970 Detroit 28 Oakland 14
                            1969 Minnesota 27 Detroit 0
                            1968 Philadelphia 12 Detroit 0
                            1967 L.A. Rams 31 Detroit 7


                            Thanksgiving History - Dallas
                            Year Matchup
                            2012 Dallas 20 Miami 19
                            2010 New Orleans 30 Dallas 27
                            2009 Dallas 24 Oakland 7
                            2008 Dallas 34 Seattle 9
                            2007 Dallas 34 N.Y. Jets 3
                            2006 Dallas 38 Tampa Bay 10
                            2005 Denver 24 Dallas 21 (OT)
                            2004 Dallas 21 Chicago 7
                            2003 Miami 40 Dallas 21
                            2002 Dallas 27 Washington 20
                            2001 Denver 26 Dallas 24
                            2000 Minnesota 27 Dallas 15
                            1999 Dallas 20 Miami 0
                            1998 Minnesota 46 Dallas 36
                            1997 Tennessee 27 Dallas 14
                            1996 Dallas 21 Washington 10
                            1995 Dallas 24 Kansas City 12
                            1994 Dallas 42 Green Bay 31
                            1993 Miami 16 Dallas 14
                            1992 Dallas 30 N.Y. Giants 3
                            1991 Dallas 20 Pittsburgh 10
                            1990 Dallas 27 Washington 17
                            1989 Philadelphia 27 Dallas 0
                            1988 Houston 25 Dallas 17
                            1987 Minnesota 44 Dallas 38 (OT)
                            1986 Seattle 31 Dallas 14
                            1985 Dallas 35 St. Louis 17
                            1984 Dallas 20 New England 17
                            1983 Dallas 35 St. Louis 17
                            1982 Dallas 31 Cleveland 14
                            1981 Dallas 10 Chicago 9
                            1980 Dallas 51 Seattle 7
                            1979 Houston 30 Dallas 24
                            1978 Dallas 37 Washington 10
                            1976 Dallas 19 St. Louis 14
                            1974 Dallas 24 Washington 23
                            1973 Miami 14 Dallas 7
                            1972 San Francisco 31 Dallas 10
                            1971 Dallas 28 Los Angeles 21
                            1970 Dallas 16 Green Bay 3
                            1969 Dallas 24 San Francisco 24
                            1968 Dallas 29 Washington 20
                            1967 Dallas 46 St. Louis 21
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                            • Pats-Jets Matchup Highlights Thanksgiving Day NFL Games

                              Houston Texans at Detroit Lions

                              NFL Betting Preview
                              Date: 11/22/2012 at 12:30 p.m. (ET)
                              Opening Lines: Houston -3, O/U 48½
                              Television: CBS

                              Houston Texans: The Texans (9-1 straight-up, 7-3 against the spread) dodged a bullet last week at home and might be hard-pressed to get a tougher challenge on the road this Thanksgiving Day. Houston needed overtime to knock off Jacksonville 43-37 behind a game-winning 48-yard touchdown catch from wide receiver Andre Johnson (14 catches for a career-high 273 yards) but still failed to deliver as a 15-point favorite. Quarterback Matt Schaub also threw for a career-high 527 yards, which tied for the second-highest total in NFL history, and five touchdowns. Schaub and Johnson will now get to feast on Detroit’s secondary that was burned for a 22-yard TD pass from Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers in the final two minutes to win that game. Texans RB Arian Foster carried the ball 28 times for 77 yards in the win and should be more involved against the Lions as well.

                              Detroit Lions: Detroit (4-6 SU and ATS) blew a golden opportunity to beat a division opponent in losing 24-20 at home to the Packers last week and now must prepare for the AFC’s best team on short rest. The Lions saw QB Matthew Stafford complete less than half of his passes (17-of-39) for 266 yards with two interceptions but got WR Calvin Johnson involved (five catches for 143 yards) and hit him with the go-ahead touchdown with 3:01 left in the third quarter. However, they fell victim to Rodgers down the stretch and dropped to 0-4 in the NFC North, two games behind Minnesota for last place. Detroit is 3-3 SU in its last six games following a 1-3 start and has failed to cover two straight with the “over” going 3-1 in the team’s past four.

                              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys
                              NFL Betting Preview
                              Date: 11/22/2012 at 4:15 p.m. (ET)
                              Opening Lines: Dallas -4, O/U 47
                              Television: FOX

                              Washington Redskins: The Redskins (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS) ended a three-game skid off their bye week and will now try to win two in a row against division opponents when they visit another NFC East rival in Arlington. Washington drilled Philadelphia 31-6 last week behind four touchdown passes from rookie QB Robert Griffin III, who completed 14-of-15 overall for 200 yards. None of the team’s receivers caught more than three passes, including Pierre Garcon, who returned from a foot injury to play for the first time in five games and totaled three catches for just five yards. The “under” cashed for the fourth straight time overall for the Redskins, although the “over” is 3-2 in their five road games so far this season.

                              Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) needed OT to edge Cleveland 23-20 last week after playing four of their previous five games on the road. They began a stretch of five home games in six weeks against the Browns and will close out the regular season at Washington on December 30. Dallas once again relied on the arm of QB Tony Romo to carry the team, as he completed 35-of-50 passes for 313 yards, including a 28-yard touchdown pass to WR Dez Bryant (12 catches for 145 yards) with 6:46 left in regular for a 17-13 lead. The Cowboys struggled to run the ball again without RB DeMarco Murray, with Felix Jones totaling 43 yards on 14 carries. Murray (foot) is doubtful to return for the annual Thanksgiving Day affair (click to check updated NFL injury report), so Romo will likely look to burn one of the league’s worst pass defenses, surrendering 289.2 yards per game.

                              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              New England Patriots at New York Jets

                              NFL Betting Preview
                              Date: 11/22/2012 at 8:20 p.m. (ET)
                              Opening Lines: New England -7, O/U 50½
                              Television: NBC

                              New England Patriots: The Patriots (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) are coming off a 59-24 thrashing of Indianapolis last week, but the win did not come without a cost. All-Pro tight end Rob Gronkowski suffered a broken forearm while playing special teams on an extra-point attempt, and he is expected to miss a few games. Gronkowski hauled in seven catches for 137 yards, including two touchdowns, and he will be missed in the red zone as QB Tom Brady’s favorite target. The good news is that TE Aaron Hernandez is expected to return from an ankle injury and should be able to help Brady, who threw for 331 yards and three TDs against the Colts. Brady was actually outplayed by New York’s Mark Sanchez in the first meeting with the Jets (a 29-26 OT victory back on Oct. 21), and he will need to play better if the Pats are going to win their fifth straight game. The “over” has cashed in New England’s last eight games.

                              New York Jets: The Jets (4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS) ended their three-game losing streak with an impressive 27-13 road win at St. Louis last week. They had dropped five of six, including the loss to New England, but found a way to shut down the Rams and score just enough to help top the 38-point total. New York covered easily as 3½-point road underdogs and also beat the 11-point line in the first meeting with the Patriots. The Jets got good balance offensively against St. Louis with QB Mark Sanchez throwing for 178 yards and running backs Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell combining for 106 yards on 29 carries. One of the keys was not turning the ball over, something they did twice in the last game vs. New England. The Pats scored two defensive touchdowns off four Indy turnovers last week, including a 59-yard interception return from new cornerback Aqib Talib.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                              • NFL Week 12 Preview: Texans at Lions

                                HOUSTON TEXANS (9-1)

                                at DETROIT LIONS (4-6)


                                Kickoff: Thursday, 12:30 p.m. EDT
                                Line: Houston -3, Total: 50.5

                                The Texans try to remain perfect on the road when they visit slumping Detroit on Thanksgiving Day.

                                The Lions haven’t had a happy Thanksgiving in a while, as they’ve lost eight Thanksgiving Classics in a row, SU and ATS, and they haven’t come within 11 points in any of those games. This season, Detroit has been victimized by slow starts and its own conservative play-calling. They Lions are just 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS at home. Houston’s previously dominant defense was a dud last week, allowing 458 yards and 37 points to the lowly Jaguars at home. But they did prove they could win a shootout, racking up 640 yards of offense in the 43-37 win. QB Matt Schaub threw for 527 yards (T-2nd in NFL history) and 5 TD, and could feast on Detroit’s banged up secondary.

                                Can the Lions end their Thanksgiving Day futility on Thursday? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the ******* Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

                                The Texans have been outstanding on the road this season, going 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) with the defense allowing a mere 13.7 PPG and 257 total YPG to the host teams. But Houston's defense has a lot of work to do after surrendering a season-high 458 yards to Jacksonville last week, including 354 passing yards to second-string QB Chad Henne. Detroit's passing offense leads the NFL (302 YPG), so the Texans certainly have their work cut out for them. On the offensive side of the ball, Schaub will continue to rely on his top receiver, Andre Johnson, who is coming off a 14-catch, 273-yard performance in the wild 43-37 win over Jacksonville. The 273 yards is the most in the NFL since 2000. But the Texans remain a run-heavy offense, ranking eighth in the NFL with 137 rushing YPG. Arian Foster leads the league with 10 rushing touchdowns and has 37 more carries than anybody else in the NFL (24.9 per game). Houston's offense has been careless over the past two weeks, turning the football over five times.

                                Lions QB Matthew Stafford ranks fourth in the NFL in passing yards (2,988), but is just 21st in passer rating with a paltry 12 TD and 10 INT in his 10 games. He's also been sacked 22 times and the Texans are tied for eighth in the NFL with 27 sacks, led by DL J.J. Watt who has 11.5 sacks for the season. Stafford and top WR Calvin Johnson are starting to get on the same page, as Johnson has racked up three straight 100-yard receiving games and now leads the NFL with 1,117 receiving yards. He has been battling knee and thumb injuries, but he is expected to start on Thursday. Detroit's rushing offense has been nothing to write home about, ranking 23rd in the NFL with 99.9 yards per game. With Houston ranking second in the NFL in run defense (86 YPG), the game plan for Detroit will be a heavy passing attack. With the Lions committing four turnovers last week, they are now tied for third in the NFC in most giveaways (18).
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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