Announcement

**StarDust Bum** · 10-30-2012, 07:27 PM

Heat, Celtics Tip Off 2012-13 NBA Season on TNT

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat NBA Betting Preview
Date: 10/30/2012 at 8:05 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Miami -7, O/U 184

Television: TNT

Miami Heat: The defending NBA champs beat Boston in the Eastern Conference Finals last year after trailing the best-of-seven series 3-2. The "over" went 5-1 in the final six games of that series. The Heat remain mostly intact and are the NBA title favorite again along with the Lakers. There are starting lineup changes with Chris Bosh moving to center and Shane Battier as a "stretch four." They also acquired Boston’s Ray Allen via free agency, and he is expected to play big minutes off the bench.

Boston Celtics: The Celtics would love to spoil Miami’s banner-raising night, plus get payback for stealing Allen. Boston coach Doc Rivers still has two aging veterans in Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce, with Garnett now a full-time center. Courtney Lee has replaced Allen at shooting guard and will pair with Rajon Rondo in the backcourt. This is a 10-deep team that has tremendous scoring potential off the bench with Jeff Green and the newly-acquired Jason Terry expected to contribute solid minutes.

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers NBA Betting Preview
Date: 10/30/2012 at 10:35 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Lakers -8 ½, O/U 187 ½
(click for latest NBA odds)
Television: TNT

LA Lakers: Things are rarely quiet in Tinseltown and certainly not this offseason with the acquisition of point guard Steve Nash and center Dwight Howard. The Lakers went 0-8 straight-up in the preseason with Howard (back) playing just the last two games. He could be rusty to start the season, and there’s a good chance that Kobe Bryant (questionable, foot - click for updated NBA injuries) misses this contest. The Lakers won all four meetings against Dallas last year, going 3-1 against the spread.

Dallas Mavericks: Dallas looks almost nothing like the team that won the NBA title two years ago. There are major injury problems with Dirk Nowitzki (knee) out indefinitely. New big man Chris Kaman (calf) is listed as questionable, but that seems optimistic. Eddy Curry could be the starting center after just being signed, and the entirely new backcourt of Darren Collison and O.J. Mayo will be counted on for scoring immediately.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-30-2012, 07:30 PM

Inside the Paint - Tuesday

October 29, 2012

The 2012-13 NBA regular season tips off Tuesday and all eyes will be on the defending champion Miami Heat. In last year’s shortened season, LeBron James finally silenced the critics and captured his first title and the second for the Heat franchise. To no surprise, Miami is expected to repeat by most pundits and the oddsmakers. Sportsbook.ag has the Heat listed as the first choice (-200) to win the Eastern Conference and a close second choice (+225) to win the NBA Finals, behind the Los Angeles Lakers (+200).
The quest for the repeat starts in South Florida as Miami hosts Boston from American Airlines Arena. During their championship run last season, the Heat finished off the Celtics in seven games of the Eastern Conference Finals after trailing in the series, 3-2.

Including the postseason, Miami and Boston squared off 10 times in last year’s lockout-shortened season. The Celtics won all of three of the regular season affairs and wound up cashing tickets for gamblers in seven of the contests. In South Florida, Boston was 2-3 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

In those games, Miami was listed as a favorite anywhere from seven to eight points. For tonight’s matchup, the Heat are laying just six points at most betting shops.

So what’s changed from last season?

“Both these clubs added new pieces in the offseason, as the Heat signed Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis to economical deals to help boost bench scoring. The Celtics filled the Allen void by acquiring Jason Terry from the Mavericks, while Jeff Green returns to the lineup after missing last season due to heart surgery. Boston also acquired veterans Courtney Lee and Darko Milicic,” answered VegasInsider.com handicapper Kevin Rogers.

If you consider the offseason moves a wash for both teams, then most would believe the line to be higher or should we expect a letdown for Miami in its opener? If you look at the below history, you can see it’s very possible that a lackluster effort will occur.

Opening Game History for Defending Champions (2002-2011)
Year Defending Champion First Opponent Score SU Result ATS Result
2012 Miami Heat Boston - - -
2011 Dallas Mavericks (+4.5) Miami 94-105 LOSS LOSS
2010 L.A. Lakers (-6.5) Houston 112-110 WIN LOSS
2009 L.A. Lakers (-11.5) L.A. Clippers 99-92 WIN LOSS
2008 Boston Celtics (-6) Cleveland 90-85 WIN LOSS
2007 San Antonio Spurs (-13) Portland 106-97 WIN LOSS
2006 Miami Heat (-4.5) Chicago 66-108 LOSS LOSS
2005 San Antonio Spurs (-7.5) Denver 102-91 WIN WIN
2004 Detroit Pistons (-6) Houston 87-79 WIN WIN
2003 San Antonio Spurs (-6) Phoenix 83-82 WIN LOSS
2002 Los Angeles Lakers (-7.5) Portland 98-87 WIN LOSS

In the last 10 years, the defending champion has gone 8-2 in the first game of the next season. For our purposes, the champs have looked like chumps and they’ve produced a 2-8 record versus the number.

If there is a team that should be aware of this, it’s Miami. The Heat humbled the Mavericks 105-94 last season on Christmas. And if you go back six years, most folks in Miami are too embarrassed to talk about the 42-point loss that Chicago posted on the Heat as they raised the banners after their first

championship. The total for this matchup opened at 184 ½ and has risen to 185 at most outfits. The ‘over’ went 5-2 in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals and the highest ‘over/under’ in that series was 180.

Tip-off is slated for 8:05 p.m. ET and TNT will provide national coverage of this matchup.

Washington at Cleveland

The Cavaliers opened as 5 ½-point home favorites over the banged-up Wizards and the line seems fair considering the injuries to the visitors. Washington wasn’t a deep team to begin with and it won’t have starters John Wall (knee) or Nene Hilario (foot) available for the opener. Expect the club to lean on veterans Jordan Crawford and Trevor Ariza for scoring. Cleveland doesn’t have a lot of depth either, but it should be able to get what it wants on offense with point guard Kyrie Irving facing a secondary backcourt. Whether or not his teammates make shots is anybody’s guess. These teams met three times last season and Washington won two of three but Cleveland managed to produce a 2-1 ATS mark. The ‘under’ cashed in all three affairs and that was with totals between 195 and 201. The total for Tuesday opened at 191 and dropped immediately to 190, which appears to be the right move on paper.

Dallas at L.A. Lakers

The second game of the TNT double-header will feature a nice rivalry matchup between the Lakers and Mavericks from the Staples Center. Los Angeles opened as an 8 ½-point favorite even though All-Star guard Kobe Bryant (foot) is ‘questionable.’ While that injury is certainly important, the Mavericks definitely won’t have Dirk Nowitzki (knee) in the lineup and newcomer Chris Kaman (calf) is ‘questionable.’ The question for gamblers is how quickly will the new faces for each club develop? The Lakers added Dwight Howard and Steve Nash to their starting five, plus they picked up key reserves that can shoot from the outside in Antawn Jamison and Jodie Meeks. The chemistry issue could be tougher for Dallas, who lost Jason Kidd and Jason Terry in the offseason. Replacing those veterans will be Darren Collison and O.J. Mayo. The Mavs also added Elton Brand and Eddy Curry, which provides size to the frontcourt. The Lakers won all four meetings (3-1 ATS) against the Mavericks last season but three of the outcomes were decided by five points or less and two went into overtime. The ‘over’ went 3-1 during this span and tonight’s number is listed at 187 ½.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-30-2012, 07:31 PM

NBA - 10/30/12
[501] WASHINGTON +6 1.91
Game Date: 10-30-2012 16:15:00
NBA - 10/30/12
[501] TOTAL (WASHINGTON vrs CLEVELAND) o191 1.91
Game Date: 10-30-2012 16:15:00
NBA - 10/30/12
[503] BOSTON +6½ 1.91
Game Date: 10-30-2012 17:05:00
NBA - 10/30/12
[504] TOTAL (BOSTON vrs MIAMI) u187½ 1.91
Game Date: 10-30-2012 17:05:00
NBA - 10/30/12
[505] DALLAS +8½ 1.91
Game Date: 10-30-2012 19:35:00
NBA - 10/30/12
[505] TOTAL (DALLAS vrs LA LAKERS) o185½ 1.91
Game Date: 10-30-2012 19:35:00

**StarDust Bum** · 10-30-2012, 09:26 PM

Wednesday Tips

October 30, 2012

Following Tuesday's small three-game card, the NBA showcases nine matchups on Halloween night to wrap up October. We'll take a look at all nine games, which includes the Lakers and Mavericks playing on a back-to-back. The action starts north of the border with Indiana trying to overcome the loss of its top scorer heading into the season.

Pacers at Raptors - 7:00 PM EST

Indiana finished two wins away from advancing to the Eastern Conference Finals last season, but the Pacers fell short to the eventual champion Heat in six games. Now, the Pacers are the favorites to win the Central Division, but will begin the season without Danny Granger, who is suffering from a knee ailment. The Raptors start this campaign with a dynamic guard making his Toronto debut with Kyle Lowry coming over from the Rockets in the offseason. Toronto lost all three games to Indiana last season by five points apiece, while covering in two of those defeats. In spite of Granger's injury, the Pacers open with the easiest first week in the league, taking on the Bobcats and Kings following Wednesday's contest.

Nuggets at 76ers - 7:00 PM EST

Andre Iguodala makes his return to Philadelphia after getting dealt in the offseason to Denver in the four-team megadeal that centered around Dwight Howard. The big piece moved to the 76ers in that trade likely won't suit up as Andrew Bynum is out indefinitely with a knee injury. The Nuggets may be without swingman Danilo Gallinari, who is dealing with an ankle injury, as Denver tries to win at Philadelphia for the second straight season following an overtime triumph in January. Philadelphia began last season with a 10-2 ATS mark at Wells Fargo Center, but each cover came as a favorite of at least seven points.

Rockets at Pistons - 7:00 PM EST

Houston made headlines in the offseason with the signing of guard Jeremy Lin from New York, but the Rockets definitely stole the spotlight over the weekend with their acquisition of James Harden from Oklahoma City. Harden refused to sign an extension to stay with the defending Western Conference champions, as the reigning Sixth Man of the Year will likely start in Houston, as the Rockets are putting together a totally re-tooled lineup. The Pistons haven't changed much with their starting backcourt staying consistent with Brandon Knight and Rodney Stuckey, while Greg Monroe will have the scoring advantage at center over former Bulls' big man Omer Asik. The Rockets had their issues as a road underdog last season, posting a 7-20 SU and 10-17 ATS record.

Spurs at Hornets - 8:05 PM EST

San Antonio was set to run away with the Western Conference title, but a 20-game winning streak got derailed in the path of Oklahoma City, who took the final four games of the conference finals to stun the Spurs. Now, Manu Ginobili will miss the opener with a bad back, as the Spurs head to the Big Easy. It will be anything but San Antonio, facing a Hornets' club that cashed in their final eight opportunities as a home underdog last season. Also, New Orleans is expected to have leading Eric Gordon healthy as well putting top pick Anthony Davis on display to shut down the paint. The Hornets hung tough in two home meetings with the Spurs last season, losing by a combined five points in two defeats.

Kings at Bulls - 8:05 PM EST

The injury bug continues to haunt the game's superstars as life without Derrick Rose (knee) continues for the Bulls. The former MVP ripped up his ACL in the final minute of the opening playoff game against the Sixers in the spring, as Rose is expected to return late this season. Chicago swept the season series from Sacramento in 2012, but the Kings managed a cover as double-digit underdogs at the United Center. Sacramento began last season covering just two of their first 11 games when receiving points on the highway, but followed that skid with a 9-2 ATS run as road 'dogs. In the 32 games Rose missed last season, the Bulls put together a pedestrian 15-16-1 ATS mark, including nine ATS losses at the United Center.

Mavericks at Jazz - 9:05 PM EST

Utah showcases a new point guard in Mo Williams, in place of the departed Devin Harris, who was dealt to Atlanta for swingman Marvin Williams in the summer. The Jazz catch the Mavs with no rest following Dallas' opener at Los Angeles on Tuesday. Dirk Nowitzki is out for the Mavs following knee surgery earlier this month, as Dallas tries to capitalize on a 13-7 SU and 11-9 ATS record last season on the second of a back-to-back. Utah captured 20 of 24 games in the home favorite role in 2012, but failed to cover against Dallas twice in Salt Lake City, including a triple-overtime thriller in April.

Warriors at Suns - 10:05 PM EST

This game used to have run-and-gun written all over it, but many pieces are different this time around. Steve Nash is off to Los Angeles, as former teammate Goran Dragic now takes over the reins at point guard after a successful run in Houston last season. Dragic is joined by another former Rocket, as Luis Scola will bolster the frontcourt, along with score-first forward Michael Beasley. Golden State owned a 21-10 ATS record as a road underdog last season, but lost two of three meetings overall against Phoenix. The Warriors did compile a 9-1 ATS record in their final 10 games against division opponents, but the Suns weren't too far off inside the Pacific Division with a 6-1 ATS mark down the stretch.

Grizzlies at Clippers - 10:30 PM EST

Los Angeles knocked off Memphis in the opening round of the playoffs as the two teams meet again at Staples Center for the opener. The Clippers retooled their bench with the signing of veterans Jamal Crawford, Grant Hill, and Lamar Odom, but Los Angeles will attempt to improve on a 7-13 ATS record as a home favorite in the final 20 games of last season. Memphis cashed the 'under' in 16 of 23 contests as a road 'dog in 2012, including three of four times at Staples Center against the Clips. In fact, seven of the 10 meetings last season finished 'under' the total between these new rivals.

Lakers at Blazers - 10:30 PM EST

Los Angeles will be playing with no rest as the Lakers travel to the Pacific Northwest for a matchup with the Blazers. The Lakers take their act on the road for the first time since picking up Nash and Howard in the offseason, facing a Portland squad coming off a disappointing 28-38 campaign last season. The Blazers did win 20 of 33 games at the Rose Garden, but dropped five of six contests when receiving points at home. The Lakers compiled a 6-8 SU/ATS mark last season on the road with no rest, while the home team has won each of the previous five meetings.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-31-2012, 06:46 PM

NBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at New Orleans
The Hornets look to build on their 9-0 ATS record in their last 9 home games. New Orleans is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by just 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+7). Here are all of today's picks

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 31

Game 701-702: Indiana at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.241; Toronto 119.511
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 188
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+3); Over

Game 703-704: Denver at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 123.277; Philadelphia 120.216
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2); Under

Game 705-706: Houston at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 113.847; Detroit 118.563
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 4 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: San Antonio at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.115; New Orleans 121.602
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 188
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+7); Over

Game 709-710: Sacramento at Chicago (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.537; Chicago 124.183
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 8 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-6 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Dallas at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.411; Utah 123.463
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 6; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 8 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+8 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Golden State at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 116.657; Phoenix 116.776
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3; 200
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+3); Over

Game 715-716: Memphis at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 119.576; LA Clippers 125.133
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: LA Lakers at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 116.546; Portland 115.546
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 195
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

**StarDust Bum** · 10-31-2012, 06:54 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 31

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INDIANA (48 - 29) at TORONTO (23 - 43) - 10/31/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (41 - 32) at PHILADELPHIA (42 - 37) - 10/31/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-41 ATS (-27.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (34 - 32) at DETROIT (25 - 41) - 10/31/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 241-189 ATS (+33.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (60 - 20) at NEW ORLEANS (21 - 45) - 10/31/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 57-40 ATS (+13.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-19 ATS (+19.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (22 - 44) at CHICAGO (52 - 20) - 10/31/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 98-71 ATS (+19.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (36 - 34) at UTAH (36 - 34) - 10/31/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 264-209 ATS (+34.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (23 - 43) at PHOENIX (33 - 33) - 10/31/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (44 - 29) at LA CLIPPERS (44 - 33) - 10/31/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 59-88 ATS (-37.8 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 7-6 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-6 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (46 - 32) at PORTLAND (28 - 38) - 10/31/2012, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**StarDust Bum** · 10-31-2012, 06:56 PM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 31

Its too early to get crazy with investing here, but what else is there to do? No football til Thursday, damn kids ringing the bell, asking for free candy. Here is some NBA information.......best of luck to you.

Obviously, no one is hot/cold right now; these are LY's numbers......

Hot Teams
-- 76ers won 11 of last 18 games. Nuggets won 11 of their last 17.
-- Hornets won six of their last nine games.
-- Bulls covered six of their last eight home games.
-- Grizzlies are 9-4 in their last thirteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost their last three games LY, allowing 107 ppg. Raptors lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Pistons lost eight of their last 12 games. Houston lost seven of nine.
-- Spurs lost last four games in playoffs LY, after having won previous 20 games in a row before that.
-- Kings lost seven of last ten games, but covered last three.
-- Mavericks lost their last six games LY, but beat the Lakers easily last night. Jazz got swept in playoffs LY, 4-0 by the Spurs.
-- Warriors lost 10 of their last 11 games. Suns lost four of five.
-- Clippers lost six of their last seven games LY.
-- Lakers are vastly different team now, but they're 7-11 in last 18 games that counted. If you count exhibition games, Lakers are 0-9 this season. Portland lost its last seven games.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Philly's last ten home games.
-- 12 of last 15 Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of Spurs' last five games went over total.
-- Four of last five Sacramento games went over.
-- Last six Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Golden State games.
-- Five of last seven Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Portland home games went over total.

Last Year's Series Records
-- Pacers were 3-0 vs Toronto LY, with all three wins by five points.
-- Nuggets won here, 108-104 in OT, in only meeting LY.
-- Pistons lost 97-80 at Houston in LY's meeting.
-- Spurs were 4-0 vs New Orleans LY, winning by 2-3 points here.
-- Bulls beat Sacramento twice LY, by 10-6 points.
-- Dallas won three of four vs Jazz LY, with two games in Utah decided by total of five points.
-- Warriors won two of three against Phoenix LY.
-- Clippers beat Memphis in seven games in playoffs last spring.
-- Home side won all three Laker-Portland games LY; LA lost 107-96 in their only visit here.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-31-2012, 06:57 PM

NBA

Wednesday, October 31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. TORONTO
Indiana is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana

7:00 PM
DENVER vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. DETROIT
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Houston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. CHICAGO
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Sacramento

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. NEW ORLEANS
San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing San Antonio

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. UTAH
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Utah's last 19 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 9 games on the road
Golden State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Golden State
Phoenix is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Golden State

10:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Lakers last 9 games when playing on the road against Portland
LA Lakers are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Portland is 11-2 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. LA CLIPPERS
Memphis is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Memphis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing Memphis
LA Clippers are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing Memphis

**StarDust Bum** · 10-31-2012, 06:59 PM

NBA

Wednesday, October 31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Lakers at Trail Blazers: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trail Blazers (+4, 191.5)

The Los Angeles Lakers seek to bounce back from a highly disappointing season debut when they visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday. The Lakers brought in center Dwight Howard and point guard Steve Nash in the offseason after back-to-back second-round playoff exits but the star-studded Lakers lost 99-91 while being outplayed by all the role players on the Dallas Mavericks. Portland has a new coach in Terry Stotts and an impressive rookie in point guard Damian Lillard.

The Trail Blazers finished 10 games below .500 last season and have a new general manager in Neil Olshey in addition to a new coach in Stotts, who was an assistant with the Dallas Mavericks. Forward LaMarcus Aldridge remains Portland’s top cog. Los Angeles guard Kobe Bryant played in the opener despite a painful foot injury and it remains to be seen how spry he will be for an early-season back-to-back. Howard had 19 points and 10 rebounds but was a woeful 3-for-14 from the free-throw line.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, Time Warner Cable SportsNet (Los Angeles), Comcast SportsNet Northwest (Portland), NBATV

LINE: Los Angeles opened as a 4-point road favorite. The total is set at 191.5.

ABOUT THE LAKERS (0-1, 0-1 ATS): Nash had a poor outing in his Los Angeles debut with just seven points and four assists. He never seemed to fully get in the flow while being outplayed by Dallas counterpart Darren Collison. “Obviously, it was a disappointing night for us,” Nash said. “We have high expectations and we didn’t play well. It wasn’t good enough.” The 38-year-old Nash and Bryant are still searching for a comfort level due to the injury Bryant suffered in the preseason.

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (2011-12: 28-38): Lillard was the sixth overall pick in June’s draft and he stood out in the preseason by leading all rookies with a 16.2 average. There has been chatter about him being a top candidate for Rookie of the Year honors. “I don’t feel like I have anything else to prove to people as far as me belonging in the league,” Lillard said. “I just want to keep getting better. My only goal is to keep improving myself so I can help my team win games.”

TRENDS:

* Over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Portland.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Underdog is 23-10 ATS in the last 33 meetings.
* Lakers are 11-28 ATS in the last 39 meetings.
* Lakers are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Portland.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Portland has won 16 of its last 20 home games against the Lakers.

2. The Lakers shot just 38.7 percent (12-of-31) from the free-throw line in the loss to Dallas.

3. Aldridge averaged 25 points and nine rebounds in three games against Los Angeles last season.

**StarDust Bum** · 11-01-2012, 06:30 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/31/12 12-*6-*0 66.67% +*2700 Detail
10/30/12 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail

Totals 14-*8-*0 63.64% +2600

Thursday, November 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Oklahoma City - 9:30 PM ET San Antonio -2 500

San Antonio - Under 204 500

**StarDust Bum** · 11-01-2012, 06:32 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at San Antonio
The Thunder look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in the last 4 meetings between the two teams. Oklahoma City is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 1

Game 503-504: Oklahoma City at San Antonio (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 130.226; San Antonio 129.465
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 206
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2 1/2); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 1

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OKLAHOMA CITY (0 - 0) at SAN ANTONIO (1 - 0) - 11/1/2012, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 127-96 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-5 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 1

Its too early to get crazy with investing here, but what else is there to do? No football til Thursday, damn kids ringing the bell, asking for free candy. Here is some NBA information.......best of luck to you.

Obviously, no one is hot/cold right now; these are LY's numbers........ Knicks-Nets game has been postponed because of the damage done by the hurricane in NYC.

Hot Teams
-- Spurs won 21 of last 25 games; they won in New Orleans last night.

Cold Teams
-- Thunder lost last four games in NBA Finals to Miami, but still went 13-7 in playoffs last spring.

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Oklahoma City games.

Last Year's Series Records
-- Oklahoma City beat the Spurs in six games in playoffs LY, ending the Spurs' 20-game winning streak in the process.

NBA

Thursday, November 1

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Trend Report
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9:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

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NBA

Thursday, November 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA on TNT: Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs
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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-2.5, 201.5)

After having the summer to stew over losing to LeBron James and the Miami Heat in the NBA Finals, the Oklahoma City Thunder will tip off their 2012-13 season when they visit the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. While the Thunder still boast three-time scoring champion Kevin Durant and fellow Olympian Russell Westbrook, they traded James Harden to Houston for Kevin Martin and Jeremy Lamb. Harden, who was the Sixth Man of the Year, agreed to a five-year, $80 million extension on Wednesday.

Despite finishing with the best record in West, the Spurs watched helplessly as Oklahoma City won four straight against them in the conference finals. The veteran Spurs will look to exact a small measure of revenge and feed off Wednesday's 99-95 triumph over New Orleans. Tim Duncan had 24 points on 10-of-15 shooting from the field in the victory.

TV: 9:30 p.m., TNT

LINE: The Spurs opened as 2.5-point home favorites. The total has moved from 201 to 201.5 points.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (2011-12: 47-19): Harden's departure was the only ripple in an otherwise quiet offseason for Scott Brooks' club. Kendrick Perkins is expected to log plenty of minutes at center and improve upon a woeful 5.1 points per game - his lowest output since his sophomore season in the league. Guard Thabo Sefolosha and power forward Serge Ibaka will round out the starting lineup for Oklahoma City, which will have a tough road to repeat as Western Conference champions.

ABOUT THE SPURS (1-0, 0-1 ATS): Although Tony Parker started his season with a flourish on Wednesday by scoring 23 points, he was simply sensational in a 107-96 victory over Oklahoma City last Feb. 4. The Frenchman scored 42 points and added nine assists in the triumph. Swingman Kawhi Leonard put together strong spurts to finish with 19 points in the opener, which saw veteran guard Manu Ginobili sit out with back spasms.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio.
* Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Thunder also shipped Cole Aldrich, Lazar Hayward and Daequan Cook to the Rockets, who in turn sent two 2013 first-round picks to complete the Harden deal.

2. Parker's heroics aside, Oklahoma City won two of the three regular-season meetings between the clubs.

3. The Thunder led the league with an 80.6 free-throw percentage in 2011-12. The Spurs were 19th with a 74.8 percentage.

**StarDust Bum** · 11-02-2012, 06:41 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/01/12 1-*0-*1 100.00% +*500 Detail

Totals 1-*0-*1 100.00% +500

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/31/12 12-*6-*0 66.67% +*2700 Detail
10/30/12 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail

Totals 14-*8-*0 63.64% +2600

Friday, November 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Indiana - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte +7 500
Charlotte - Over 184 500

Denver - 7:00 PM ET Denver -6 500
Orlando - Over 197 500

Milwaukee - 7:30 PM ET Boston -7.5 500
Boston - Under 196 500

Houston - 7:30 PM ET Houston +5.5 500
Atlanta - Over 203 500

Chicago - 7:30 PM ET Cleveland +3 500
Cleveland - Under 183.5 500

Miami - 8:00 PM ET New York +6 500
New York - Over 198.5 500

Utah - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans +3.5 500
New Orleans - Under 190.5 500

Portland - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -8.5 500
Oklahoma City - Under 204.5 500

Sacramento - 8:00 PM ET Sacramento +3 500
Minnesota - Over 194.5 500

Detroit - 10:00 PM ET Detroit +4.5 500
Phoenix - Under 193.5 500

L.A. Clippers - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers -1.5 500
L.A. Lakers - Under 191 500

Memphis - 10:30 PM ET Golden State +1 500
Golden State - Under 192.5 500

**StarDust Bum** · 11-02-2012, 06:48 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Utah at New Orleans
The Hornets look to take advantage of a Utah team that is coming off a 113-94 win over Dallas and is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. New Orleans is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hornets favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 2

Game 701-702: Indiana at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 116.113; Charlotte 112.029
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 185
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7); Over

Game 703-704: Denver at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 123.277; Orlando 115.245
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 8; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6; 198
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6); Under

Game 705-706: Houston at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 119.927; Atlanta 124.001
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+6); Over

Game 707-708: Milwaukee at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.590; Boston 130.097
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 13 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Chicago at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 119.018; Cleveland 115.027
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-2 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Utah at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 118.645; New Orleans 121.602
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 3; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 3 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Sacramento at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.537; Minnesota 112.669
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 3;
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 192
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+3); Over

Game 715-716: Portland at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 113.546; Oklahoma City 130.178
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 16 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Under

Game 717-718: Miami at New York (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.889; New York 124.037
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3; Over
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+6); 201

Game 719-720: Detroit at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 114.563; Phoenix 121.423
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4); Under

Game 721-722: Memphis at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.832; Golden State 118.010
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 191
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+1); Over

Game 723-724: LA Clippers at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 120.033; LA Lakers 123.608
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

**StarDust Bum** · 11-02-2012, 06:49 PM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 2

Its too early to get crazy with investing here, but we're getting closer; after this weekend, teams will have 2-3 games under their belt and we can start learning who they are..........best of luck to you.

Obviously, no one is hot/cold right now; these are LY's numbers........

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won their season opener by a hoop at Toronto.
-- Rockets won three of their last four games.
-- New Orleans covered 13 of its last 18 games. Jazz got swept in playoffs LY, but won last six regular season games, and waxed Dallas by 19 in season opener.
-- Kings covered their last four games (3-11 in last 14 SU).
-- Heat won seven of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost their last 23 games LY (6-17 vs spread).
-- Nuggets are 3-5 in their last eight games. Orlando lost eight of ten.
-- Hawks lost four of their last five games.
-- Boston lost its last three games, by 13-19-13 points. Bucks covered twice in their last nine games.
-- Cleveland lost seven of its last nine games. Bulls lost four of their last five games.
-- Thunder lost their last five games. Portland snapped a 7-game skid in opener, when they beat Lakers by 10.
-- Knicks lost four of their last five games.
-- Pistons lost nine of their last thirteen games. Suns lost five of six.
-- Golden State's win in opener at Phoenix ended a 1-10 skid. Grizzlies are 3-5 in their last eight games, all vs the Clippers.
-- Clippers lost six of last eight games. Lakers lost first two games this season, by 8-10 points.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Charlotte games stayed under total.
-- Under is 9-5 in last 14 Denver road games.
-- 10 of last 14 Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Last four Milwaukee games stayed under total.
-- Last five Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Sacramento games went over total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Oklahoma City games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Miami games.
-- Nine of last eleven Detroit games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Memphis road games stayed under.
-- Last five Laker games went over the total.

Last Year's Series Records
-- Indiana hammered the Bobcats three times LY, by 22-35-14 points.
-- Nuggets beat Orlando twice LY, 104-101/101-74.
-- Hawks lost 95-84 at Houston in LY's only meeting.
-- Celtics were 3-0 vs Milwaukee LY, winning by 6-9-13 points.
-- Bulls went 3-0 vs Cleveland LY, winning by 39-21-32 points.
-- Home side won all three Utah-New Orleans games LY.
-- Home side won all four Sacramento-Minnesota games LY.
-- Hornets won last three games vs Portland, by 4-16-14 points.
-- Miami ousted the Knicks in five games in playoffs LY.
-- Pistons lost 109-101 at Phoenix in only meeting LY.
-- Warriors were 0-4 vs Memphis LY, losing by 1-1-18-4 points.
-- Lakers beat Clippers two of three, with both wins by 5 points.

Announcement

The Bum's Oct-Nov NBA Best Bets !

The Bum's Oct-Nov NBA Best Bets !

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