Announcement

**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 09:26 AM

Thursday's betting tips: Rays SP Hellickson cashing in on under

Weather watch

Rain is in the forecast for both Poznan and Gdansk, the host cities for Thursday’s Euro 2012 action. Italy and Croatia play at Stadion Miejski in Poznan, where there is a 90 percent chance of rain. Spain and Ireland meet at PGE Arena in Gdansk, where there is a 70 percent chance of rain.

Who’s hot

NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder – The Thunder have won five in a row SU and ATS, including a 105-94 victory over the Miami Heat as 5-point home favorites in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. Oklahoma City is set as a 5.5-point favorite for Game 2.

MLB: Washington Nationals: The Nats have won six in a row heading into Friday’s series opener with the New York Yankees, who have won five straight as of Wednesday’s clash with the Atlanta Braves. Washington swept both the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays in three-game road sets.

Who’s not

MLB: Colorado Rockies – The Rockies have lost six straight heading into Wednesday’s game with the Oakland A’s. Colorado has allowed 52 runs in that span, an average of 8.7 a night. Needless to say, the Rockies have played over in four of those six outings.

EURO: Ireland – The Irish haven’t had much luck versus Spain in international competition. They’re 4-13-7 all-time against the defending Euro and World Cup champs and are +1,200 long shots in Group C play Thursday.

Key stat

0-7-2 – The Tampa Bay Rays are 0-7-2 over/under in Jeremy Hellickson’s last nine starts. The Rays host the New York Mets in interleague action Thursday.

Injury that should not be overlooked

Kyle Drabek, Toronto Blue Jays – Drabek told reporters he felt popping in his right elbow before leaving Wednesday’s game against Washington after 4 1-3 innings. Drabek isn’t a big-name pitcher but he is the second Jays starter to leave a game with an injury in the past two days. Fellow starter Brandon Morrow hit the 15-day DL with a strained left oblique Wednesday, leaving Toronto to dig extra deep into their minor league reserves.

Game of the Day

Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5.5, 195.5)

Notable quotable

“We’re going to have to have more guys in there to give me and D-Wade a rest” – Heat forward LeBron James. The Heat had six played log all but 12:13 of floor time in Game 1 of the NBA Finals, getting worn down by the Thunder in the fourth quarter.

Notes and tips

-- Spain manager Vicente Del Bosque is expected to roll out his striker-less 4-6-0 setup against Ireland Thursday. The unorthodox formation has left star Fernando Torres to come off the bench for the defending champs.

-- Teams that win Game 1 of the NBA Finals go on to win the series – and the championship – 72.3 percent of the time (47-18). Oklahoma City is a -280 series favorite over Miami, which is priced at +240. Only three teams in NBA history have come back from a 2-0 hole in the finals.

-- The Phillies have struggled against the American League, going just 1-5 in their last six interleague games heading into Wednesday’s game with Minnesota. The Twins, on the other hand, welcome National League opposition. They’re a solid 9-3 in their last 11 interleague matchups and 43-15 in their last 58 interleague home games.

**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 09:26 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Happy Armadillo Day, everyone......

13) Its no big surprise that six of the top eight spenders in college football recruiting reside in the SEC, the most cutthroat of all college football conferences.

Recruiting is the lifeline of any program, so when you see that Tennessee spent $2.53M on recruiting over the last two years, it looks ridiculous, then you realize their stadium seats around 105,000 people and if they don’t win (and they haven’t been lately) they’re not going to fill that stadium, and the revenue lost is a hell of a lot more than $2.53M.

So money spent on recruiting is money well-spent, as long as you get really good players.

12) Tennessee has to spend more because their state isn’t stocked with a ton of football talent; schools in the football hotbeds of Texas/Florida/ Ohio/California don’t have to travel as much to recruit, so their expenses are going to be lower.

11) According to espn.com, Arizona’s football program made a $25M profit LY. Arizona!!!! They’re not even that good.

10) Guy named Randy Ohel won $145,247 and a bracelet at the World Series of Poker this week; what made it unusual is that once Ohel and his opponent got down to head-to-head play, they went at it for another six hours before Ohel emerged the winner. Imagine playing two-handed poker for six hours??? ESPN’s people should have fun editing that down to an hour program.

9) Winds are supposed to be 30-40 mph at Olympic Thursday, for the first round of the US Open; in other words, like a typical Giants game used to be at Candlestick Park.

8) Ratings for Game 1 of the NBA Finals were 10% higher Wednesday than they were for Game 1 LY; not sure why, it’s the same Miami team, and Dallas had Dirk Nowitzki, a big star. Why are the this year’s Thunder more popular than Dallas was? Good for them, just don’t understand why.

7) Of the 44 pitchers who’ve gone 9+ innings in a major league game this year, only 13 allowed a run in that game.

6) Clay Buchholz was 4-2, 8.21 in his first nine starts; Red Sox scored 67 runs (7.4 rpg) in those nine games. Since then, he is 3-0, 1.45 with Boston giving him 19 runs (4.75 rpg) in those four games.

5) 44 pitchers have gone 9+ innings in the majors this year; those 44 are 41-0, 0.41 in that start. In their next start, they’re 17-13, 3.31, with over 20-16 in those games.

4) In the next start after that, they’re just 7-16, 5.89; over is 23-8-2 in those games, which is a strong figure.

3) Third start out from their complete game, pitchers are 10-10, 5.00, with over 15-11.

All in all, that’s 34-39 in the three starts after tossing a complete games, with a 4.57 RA.

2) It sounds odd, but RA Dickey might be the best pitcher in baseball; he's set a Mets record with 32.1 consecutive scoreless IP. Thats a franchise that had Seaver-Gooden-Ryan-Santana-Fernandez-Matlack-Cone-Koosman. If you own a Mets' pitching record, thats a serious record.

1) Today is a lot of things; its Thursday, its June 14, its Flag Day, its our friend Big Dawg’s birthday, but in this space, June 14 is best known as Armadillo Day, in this case, the 11th birthday for this very website.

Thanks for reading; hope you enjoy reading it as much as I enjoy writing it. Can’t believe I’ve been doing this for 11 years already; time flies when you’re having fun.

**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 09:28 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Miami at Oklahoma City
The Thunder look to follow up their 105-94 win in Game 1 and build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Oklahoma City is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

THURSDAY, JUNE 14

Game 503-504: Miami at Oklahoma City (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.520; Oklahoma City 134.023
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-5 1/2); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 14

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MIAMI (58 - 27) at OKLAHOMA CITY (60 - 22) - 6/14/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-35 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-31 ATS (+4.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, June 14

Miami @ Oklahoma City (1-0)-- Thunder bench was +17 in 71:00 on floor in game 1; Collison had 10 boards in 21:00, five on offensive end, as Miami's bench was -19 in only 46:00 on floor. Collison was +13 in his 21:00. Home side won all three series meetings this year, with Heat losing by 16-11 in two visits here. Old hand Derek Fisher has won five rings; he had a steadying hand when Miami was up double digits in first half. Oklahoma City is 9-0 at home in playoffs (6-3 vs spread); to me, the key for them is Westbrook being a facilitator and making sure Durant has the ball in key spots. Miami will give a better effort here, its natural after losing Game 1, but Oklahoma City has more good players, it could be as simple as that. Six of last seven Miami games went over the total.

NBA

Thursday, June 14

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
MIAMI vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing at home against Miami

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NBA

Thursday, June 14

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Heat at Thunder Game 2: What bettors need to know
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Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5.5, 196)

THE STORY: The Miami Heat and Oklahoma City Thunder gave fans exactly what they were expecting in the opener of the NBA Finals: an action-packed, end-to-end game featuring sensational plays at both ends. Kevin Durant emerged as the hero in Game 1 and will look to lead the Thunder to victory in the second game of the best-of-seven Thursday night. Durant poured in 17 of his game-high 36 points in the fourth quarter as the Thunder rallied from 13 points down to secure the victory.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC, TSN

ABOUT THE HEAT: LeBron James didn't have the kind of game that lifted Miami to victories over Boston in Games 6 and 7 of the East finals, but he was still solid in defeat. James reached the 30-point plateau in a Finals contest for the first time in his career, but it wasn't enough as he fell to 2-9 all-time in championship games. The Heat were badly outscored in transition and had no answer for Durant, who knocked down one shot after another in the pivotal final frame. James credited Oklahoma City with playing near-perfect basketball over the final 12 minutes. "They didn't make many mistakes in the fourth quarter," he said.

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Oklahoma City looked nervous in the early going, but didn't take long to shake off the jitters. Durant became the fourth-youngest player in NBA history to surpass the 35-point plateau in a Finals game, knocking down four 3-pointers and adding eight rebounds. He had plenty of help - particularly from point guard Russell Westbrook, who scored 27 points and added 11 assists and eight rebounds. The two of them outscored the Heat 41-40 in the second half. Thabo Sefolosha excelled on the defensive end, limiting James to seven points on 29 percent shooting when he was guarding him.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Westbrook became the first player to record 25 points, 10 assists and eight rebounds in a Finals game since Charles Barkley accomplished the feat for the Phoenix Suns in 1993.

2. Going into this season, the team that wins the opening game of the Finals has gone on to claim the NBA championship 72 percent of the time.

3. Oklahoma City is 9-0 at home in the postseason.

TRENDS:

Heat are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Heat are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.

Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 overall.

Over is 11-2 in Thunder last 13 games as a favorite.

PREDICTION: Thunder 102, Heat 98.

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**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 09:31 AM

MLB
Dunkel
Chicago White Sox at St. Louis
The White Sox look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that is 1-6 in Jake Westbrook's last 7 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Chicago is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 14

Game 901-902: Houston at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 13.572; San Francisco (Zito) 14.942
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Over

Game 903-904: Cleveland at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 15.223; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.394
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Under

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Tampa Bay (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 15.846; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.203
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130); Under

Game 907-908: Detroit at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.299; Cubs (Wood) 14.028
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); N/A

Game 909-910: Oakland at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 15.285; Colorado (White) 13.633
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Under

Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Bedard) 14.774; Baltimore (Hunter) 15.637
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 913-914: Arizona at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hudson) 16.493; Texas (Feldman) 15.071
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-165); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+145); Over

Game 915-916: Milwaukee at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Marcum) 14.338; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.681
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Under

Game 917-918: Philadelphia at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 14.328; Minnesota (Diamond) 14.725
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-130); Over

Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.086; St. Louis (Westbrook) 14.036
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+110); Under

Game 921-922: San Diego at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Volquez) 15.260; Seattle (Ramirez) 14.462
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Under

**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 09:35 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, June 14

Series won-lost records are now below the daily writeup.......

AL teams were 8-6 again Wednesday, they're 64-52 against NL teams in interleague play this season.

Remember there are DHs in games in American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. It doesn't seem to affect totals either way.

Hot pitchers
-- Zito is 2-1, 2.53 in his last three starts.
-- Leake is 2-0, 3.15 in his last four starts.
-- JSantana is 2-1, 2.35 in his last three starts.
-- Parker is 1-1, 2.42 in his last four starts.
-- Bedard is 2-1, 3.78 in his last three starts.
-- Marcum is 3-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
-- Minnesota is 6-1 when Diamond starts (5-1, 2.82).

Cold pitchers
-- Rodriguez has an 11.15 RA in his last three starts.
-- Tomlin has a 5.50 RA in his last three starts.
-- Hellickson is 0-2, 3.82 in his last four starts.
-- Verlander is 0-3, 4.79 in his last four starts. Wood is 0-2, 4.71 in five starts this season.
-- White is 2-4, 5.88 in seven starts this season.
-- Hunter is 0-2, 6.75 in his last six starts.
-- Feldman is 0-5, 9.38 in six starts this season. DHudson has a 6.06 RA in six starts this season.
-- Hochevar is 0-4, 6.11 in his last five outings.
-- Blanton is 1-3, 10.25 in his last five starts.
-- Cardinals lost last six Westbrook starts (0-4, 8.13). Floyd is 1-3, 10.52 in his last five starts.
-- Volquez is 0-4, 5.86 in his last five starts. ERamirez is 3-2, 3.11 in seven AAA starts this season; he's allowed three runs in 11 IP in MLB, in relief.

Hot Teams
-- Giants won 12 of their last 16 home games.
-- Pittsburgh won 12 of its last 17 games, but lost last two. Orioles won six of their last eight.
-- Reds won 11 of their last 16 home games.
-- Mets won the last two nights, scoring 20 runs.
-- Detroit won four of its last five games.
-- Rangers won four of their last five games. Arizona won seven of its last ten games, but lost last two, scoring one run.
-- Kansas City won three of its last four home games.
-- Minnesota won 11 of its last 14 games.
-- Oakland won the last two nights, scoring 20 runs.
-- White Sox won ten of their last twelve road games.
-- Padres won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Astros lost 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Tampa Bay lost three of its last four home games.
-- Cleveland is 4-7 in its last 11 road games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Phillies lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- Cardinals lost 13 of their last 19 games.
-- Milwaukee lost three of its last four games.
-- Colorado lost its last seven games, outscored 62-29.
-- Seattle lost seven of its last eight home games.

Totals
-- Houston's last nine road games went over the total. Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve San Francisco home games.
-- Five of last seven Pirate road games went over the total.
-- Tampa Bay's last three home games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Cincinnati home games went over.
-- Six of Cubs' last eight games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Arizona road games.
-- Six of Royals' last seven games stayed under.
-- 16 of last 17 Philly road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven St Louis home games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 12 games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Over is 8-4-1 in San Diego's last thirteen road games.

Umpires
-- Hst-SF--- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Muchlinski games.
-- Pitt-Balt-- Under is 7-3-1 in Hoye games this season.
-- Cle-Cin-- Last three Demuth games stayed under the total.
-- NY-TB-- Last five Diaz games went over the total.
-- Az-Tex-- Four of last five Cooper games went over total.
-- Det-Chi-- Four of last six Randazzo games went over total.
-- Mil-KC-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Iassogna games.
-- Phil-Min-- Three of last four Gonzalez games went over.
-- Chi-StL-- Home side won 11 of 14 Tschida games.
-- A's-Col-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Wegner games.
-- SD-Sea-- 10 of 11 Emmel games went over the total.

2012 baseball series records

thru 6/11 Home Away Total
Arizona 4-6 4-4-2 8-10-2
Atlanta 4-2-3 7-3-1 11-5-4
Cubs 4-5 0-8-3 4-13-3
Cincinnati 5-4-1 5-3-2 10-7-3
Colorado 6-4-1 1-7-1 7-11-2
Houston 5-6 1-8 6-14
Dodgers 7-2-1 5-4-1 12-6-2
Miami 5-3-2 5-4-1 10-7-3
Milwaukee 5-6 2-6-1 7-12-1
Mets 5-4-1 4-6 9-10-1
Philadelphia 3-6-1 5-4-1 8-10-2
Pittsburgh 7-3 3-4-3 10-7-3
St Louis 5-3-1 5-5-1 10-8-2
San Diego 3-6-2 0-8-1 3-14-3
San Francisco 7-2-2 5-3-1 12-5-3
Washington 5-2-3 7-3 12-5-3
Baltimore 5-4-1 7-3 12-7-1
Boston 4-7 5-3-1 9-10-1
White Sox 4-6-1 4-3-2 8-9-3
Cleveland 4-6-1 7-2 11-8-1
Detroit 4-5-1 3-5-2 7-10-3
Kansas City 2-6-1 6-3-2 8-9-3
Angels 4-3-3 4-6 8-9-3
Minnesota 3-5-2 4-5-1 7-10-3
Bronx 7-2-1 4-4-2 11-6-3
A's 3-4-2 3-6-3 6-10-5
Seattle 4-4 5-7-1 9-11-1
Tampa Bay 5-3-2 5-5 10-8-2
Texas 5-3-1 6-5 11-8-1
Toronto 6-4 3-4-3 9-8-3

**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 09:38 AM

MLB

Thursday, June 14

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Trend Report
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12:35 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Cincinnati is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Cleveland

1:10 PM
NY METS vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Mets are 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets

2:20 PM
DETROIT vs. CHI CUBS
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 6-19 SU in their last 25 games
Chi Cubs are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing Detroit

3:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oakland's last 11 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:45 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games at home
San Francisco is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

8:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 8 games at home

8:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

8:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MINNESOTA
Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games

8:15 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chi White Sox's last 13 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

10:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. SEATTLE
San Diego is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle's last 13 games
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego

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**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 09:40 AM

MLB

Thursday, June 14

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Thursday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Scott Diamond (5-1, 1.61 ERA)

There isn’t a lot to like about this year’s Twins if you’re a Minnesota baseball fan. But the Twinkies might have stumbled into a gem in Scott Diamond. The former Rule 5 pick is a soft-tosser who keeps the ball low in the zone and induces a lot of ground balls.

Minnesota, which is 10 games under .500, is 6-1 in Diamond’s seven starts this season. And because the Twins are so bad, you’re going to get a good price with the young lefty on the mound.

Shaun Marcum (5-3, 3.50 ERA)

Marcum isn’t making any Brewers fans forget about that kid Brett Lawrie in Toronto. That said, the former Blue Jay pitcher is on a nice little streak right now. Marcum is 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA over his last three starts and 23 strikeouts in 19 1/3 innings.

Slumping

Joe Blanton (5-6, 5.40 ERA)

Remember when Blanton was no ordinary Joe for the Phillies at the beginning of the season? He carried a 2.81 ERA over his seven starts. That seems like a loooong time ago.

Blanton has given up five or more earned runs in each of his last five trips to the bump.

Gavin Floyd (4-6, 5.38 ERA)

You’ve got to think Floyd would have lost his spot in the rotation by now if the White Sox had an arm ready to step up. He hasn’t had a good outing since the second week of May and owes a 10.52 ERA over his last five starts.

So there’s that.

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**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 10:11 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 14

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HOUSTON (26 - 36) at SAN FRANCISCO (36 - 27) - 3:45 PM
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. BARRY ZITO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 83-143 (-35.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 33-79 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-47 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 81-142 (-37.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-47 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in road games after getting shut out since 1997.
HOUSTON is 23-56 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-6 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 57-54 (+18.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 2-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.42 and a WHIP of 1.605.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

BARRY ZITO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
ZITO is 3-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.54 and a WHIP of 1.205.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (32 - 29) at CINCINNATI (34 - 27) - 12:35 PM
JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 115-111 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 112-108 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-16 (+12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 60-53 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TOMLIN is 15-8 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 89-109 (-33.5 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 49-65 (-25.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
TOMLIN is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LEAKE is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (34 - 29) at TAMPA BAY (35 - 27) - 1:10 PM
JOHAN SANTANA (L) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SANTANA is 6-14 (-11.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 34-29 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 58-55 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 40-25 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 18-10 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 26-14 (+16.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-0 (+3.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JOHAN SANTANA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SANTANA is 3-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 0.966.
His team's record is 5-3 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

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DETROIT (29 - 33) at CHICAGO CUBS (21 - 41) - 2:20 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. TRAVIS WOOD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 29-33 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 29-33 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 9-19 (-16.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-41 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 88-104 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 658-670 (-129.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-41 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 60-75 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 10-25 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
VERLANDER is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 2.116.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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OAKLAND (28 - 35) at COLORADO (24 - 37) - 3:10 PM
JARROD PARKER (R) vs. ALEX WHITE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 10-28 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 33-46 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 130-114 (+32.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
COLORADO is 24-37 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 53-63 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 0-8 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
COLORADO is 6-15 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
COLORADO is 24-37 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 65-92 (-38.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 3-12 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 13-24 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 85-95 (-35.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JARROD PARKER vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

ALEX WHITE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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PITTSBURGH (32 - 29) at BALTIMORE (36 - 26) - 7:05 PM
ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. TOMMY HUNTER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

ERIK BEDARD vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BEDARD is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.456.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

TOMMY HUNTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HUNTER is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (30 - 32) at TEXAS (37 - 26) - 8:05 PM
DANIEL HUDSON (R) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 17-25 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 6-16 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 104-66 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 127-104 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 127-104 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 91-66 (+27.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FELDMAN is 11-19 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 16-26 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 16-26 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 11-21 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

DANIEL HUDSON vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
FELDMAN is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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MILWAUKEE (28 - 34) at KANSAS CITY (26 - 34) - 8:10 PM
SHAUN MARCUM (R) vs. LUKE HOCHEVAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 28-34 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-14 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 28-34 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-25 (-10.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MARCUM is 21-27 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 21-27 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 14-22 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 10-20 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 10-20 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-0 (+2.4 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MARCUM is 3-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.85 and a WHIP of 0.941.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

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PHILADELPHIA (30 - 34) at MINNESOTA (25 - 36) - 8:10 PM
JOE BLANTON (R) vs. SCOTT DIAMOND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-34 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-34 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 36-12 (+19.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-13 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 84-52 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 88-136 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 45-68 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 70-86 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 85-129 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-42 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 60-101 (-27.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 48-86 (-26.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JOE BLANTON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BLANTON is 4-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.5 units)

SCOTT DIAMOND vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHI WHITE SOX (34 - 28) at ST LOUIS (32 - 31) - 8:15 PM
GAVIN FLOYD (R) vs. JAKE WESTBROOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 97-70 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 18-10 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 103-84 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in road games in June games since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-13 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 57-43 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 14-7 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-16 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 6-15 (-12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WESTBROOK is 0-7 (-9.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

GAVIN FLOYD vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
FLOYD is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.429.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
WESTBROOK is 8-12 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.10 and a WHIP of 1.375.
His team's record is 10-15 (-7.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-14. (-4.8 units)

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SAN DIEGO (22 - 41) at SEATTLE (27 - 37) - 10:10 PM
EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R) vs. ERASMO RAMIREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 22-41 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 22-41 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 53-92 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 4-17 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-56 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
VOLQUEZ is 11-22 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 4-11 (-8.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 31-23 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in road games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SEATTLE is 156-233 (-62.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 82-107 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-29 (-21.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 152-215 (-51.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 50-80 (-24.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-37 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 58-85 (-32.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 (+2.9 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.653.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 12:31 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, June 14

National League

Houston at San Francisco, 3:45 ET
Rodriguez: Houston 19-47 SU in day games
Zito: San Francisco 14-6 SU against left-handed starters

Interleague

Cleveland at Cincinnati, 12:35 ET
Tomlin: Cleveland 10-2 SU after 2 straight games without a stolen base
Leake: Cincinnati 27-34 SU after 4 or more consecutive home games

NY Mets at Tampa Bay, 1:10 ET
Santana: NY Mets 18-10 SU in day games
Hellickson: Tampa Bay 5-11 SU in home games after 3 games vs an IL opponent

Detroit at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
Verlander: 18-2 TSR as a road favorite of -125 or more
Wood: Chicago Cubs 21-41 SU in games played on grass

Oakland at Colorado, 3:10 ET
Parker: Oakland 13-5 SU after 4 or more consecutive road games
White: Colorado 0-8 SU against AL West opponents

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, June 14

NBA Finals, Game 2 (MIA vs OKC, 0-1)
Miami at Oklahoma City, 9:05 ET ABC
Miami: 6-14 ATS on the road after a game where they failed to cover the spread
Oklahoma City: 20-8 ATS against Southeast division opponents

**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 01:22 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, June 14

Pittsburgh at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Bedard: Pittsburgh 39-91 SU in road games in night
Hunter: Baltimore 21-10 SU when the money line is +125 to -125

Arizona at Texas, 8:05 ET MLB
Hudson: Arizona 91-66 SU against right-handed starters
Feldman: Texas 6-13 SU after allowing 2 runs or less

Milwaukee at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Marcum: 14-1 TSR in road games after giving up 2 or more home runs
Hochevar: Kansas City 10-20 SU in home games

Philadelphia at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Blanton: Philadelphia 10-1 SU in road games when playing on Thursday
Diamond: Minnesota 19-41 SU at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

Chicago White Sox at St Louis, 8:15 ET
Floyd: Chicago White Sox 14-7 SU in road games against right-handed starters
Westbrook: 5-13 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150

San Diego at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Volquez: San Diego 16-5 SU after 2 straight games with 2 or more stolen bases
Ramirez: Seattle 4-14 SU after 3 or more consecutive home games

**Udog** · 06-14-2012, 01:24 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Lets be realistic; no-hitters aren't that big a deal anymore.

-- Ted Barrett is first umpire to work two perfect games behind the plate.

-- Matt Cain is now 64-9 when the Giants give him 3+ runs.

-- Nate Eovaldi has pitched pretty well for the Dodgers, but LA scored a total of four runs in his four starts.

-- Pretty cool that the LA Kings had the Stanley Cup on the field before the game at Dodger Stadium, posing for pictures with both teams.

-- Alvaro Quiros had a hole-in-one on the 288-yard, par-4 7th hole during a practice round Wednesday. Its an uphill, 288-yard hole.

Announcement

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 6/14(NBA, MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 6/14(NBA, MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

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