Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 4/14 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet

Saturday, April 14

National League

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis, 1:05 ET FOX
Volstad: CUBS 5-25 as road underdog of +150 or higher
Lynn: STL 9-14 as home favorite of -175 to -200

Cincinnati at Washington, 4:05 ET
Bailey: CIN 17-26 after allowing 2 runs or less
Jackson: WASH 24-7 off one run win

NY Mets at Philadelphia, 4:05 ET
Niese: 18-8 Over in all starts
Worley: 13-4 Over as favorite

Houston at Miami, 7:10 ET MLB
Norris: HOU 15-46 as underdog of +150 or higher
Zambrano: 23-10 Over at home if total is 7.5 or less

Milwaukee at Atlanta, 7:10 ET MLB
Marcum: 13-3 Under in road games
Minor: ATL 33-11 at home off BB Overs

Arizona at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Collmenter: ARI 49-30 vs. division
Chacin: 10-16 TSR as home favorite

Pittsburgh at San Francisco, 9:05 ET
Morton: PIT 31-79 in road night games
Zito: 41-10 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -200

San Diego at LA Dodgers, 9:10 ET
Wieland: SD 9-0 Over off game w/ 15+ combined runs
Lilly: LAD 21-10 Over in April


American League

LA Angels at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET FOX
Wilson: LAA 24-13 Over as road underdog
Hughes: NYY 45-15 in day games

Texas at Minnesota, 1:10 ET FOX
Darvish: TEX 14-1 as a road favorite of -150 to -175
Blackburn: 9-21 TSR vs. AL West

Baltimore at Toronto, 4:05 ET
Hammel: BAL 48-30 Over in road games
Alvarez: TOR 15-4 at home vs. Baltimore

Tampa Bay at Boston, 4:05 ET
Hellickson: TB 13-6 at Boston
Buchholz: 17-5 Under off team win

Detroit at Chicago White Sox, 4:10 ET
Wilk: Det 46-27 in day games
Floyd: 7-17 TSR vs. division

Cleveland at Kansas City, 4:35 ET
GOmez: 7-0 Over vs. division
Sanchez: KC 38-22 Over as favorite

Oakland at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Milone: Oak 37-20 after scoring & allowing 5 runs or less 4 straight games
Noesi: Sea 11-30 vs. lefties

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 14

Hot pitchers
-- Lynn is 2-1, 3.71 in his three big league starts. Volstad has a 2.98 RA in his last seven starts, but no wins.
-- Jackson is 2-0, 3.50 in his last seven starts.
-- Worley is 2-1, 2.88 in his last four home starts.
-- Zito threw a CG shutout at Coors Field in his '12 debut, after losing his last three starts LY, with a 10.91 RA.
-- Lilly comes off DL to start here; he is 3-0, 0.44 in his last three starts.

-- Wilson is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Hammel is 1-0, 2.05 in his last three starts. Alvarez is 0-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Hellickson is 2-1, 2.53 in his last seven starts.
-- Gomez is 5-1, 4.15 in his last six starts.
-- Milone is 2-0, 1.50 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Bailey is 1-1, 5.32 in his last four starts.
-- Niese is 1-3, 6.85 in his last four starts.
-- Norris is 0-1, 5.40 in his last four road starts. Zambrano is 3-2, 5.14 in his last six starts.
-- Minor is 0-2, 5.14 in his last four starts. Marcum is 2-2, 6.53 in his last five starts.
-- Chacin is 0-5, 5.79 in his last five starts. Collmenter is 2-2, 5.79 in his last five starts.
-- Morton is 1-4, 5.91 in his last six starts.
-- Wieland is making his MLB debut here for San Diego.

-- Hughes is 1-2, 6.12 in his last five starts.
-- Blackburn is 0-5, 9.00 in his last seven starts. Darvish allowed five runs in 5.2 IP in his first big league start.
-- Buchholz has a 6.53 RA in his last four starts.
-- Detroit lefty Wilk is making his MLB debut. Floyd is 0-4, 5.26 in his last four starts.
-- JSanchez is 1-2, 7.02 in his last four starts.
-- Noesi is 0-2, 14.09 in three major league starts.

Pitcher vs team
-- Volstad is 2-1, 5.11 in four starts vs St Louis.
-- Jackson allowed two runs in seven IP in his only start against the Reds. Bailey allowed five runs in two IP in his only start vs Washington.
-- Worley is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two home starts vs New York. Niese is 0-3, 10.05 in his last three starts at Philly.
-- Norris is 1-1, 7.48 in four starts vs Miami. Zambrano is 3-0, 3.81 in his last four starts against the Astros.
-- Marcum is 1-0, 2.08 in two starts vs Atlanta. Minor allowed five runs in 4.1 IP in his only start vs Milwaukee.
-- Collmenter is 2-0, 2.79 in his last three starts vs Colorado. Chacin is 2-1, 3.16 in his last four starts vs Arizona.
-- Morton is 2-2, 2.45 in five starts against the Giants. Zito is 1-2, 3.13 in his last four starts vs Pittsburgh.
-- Lilly is 4-1, 1.55 in his last five starts vs San Diego.

-- Wilson is 0-1, 5.24 in four starts vs Bronx. Hughes is 1-1, 7.16 in his three starts against the Angels.
-- Blackburn is 1-3, 7.50 in five starts against the Angels.
-- Alvarez is 1-0, 1.80 in two starts vs Baltimore. Hammel is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts vs Toronto.
-- Hellickson is 2-1, 3.38 in four starts vs Boston. Buchholz is 2-0, 1.96 in his last three starts vs Tampa Bay.
-- Floyd is 1-2, 6.00 in his last four starts vs Detroit.
-- Gomez is 2-2, 3.76 in five starts vs Kansas City. Sanchez is 1-0, 2.92 in two starts against Cleveland.
-- Neither starter in the A's-Seattle game has faced this opponent.

Hot teams
-- Nationals won last four games, allowing five runs.
-- Atlanta won its last three games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Mets won five of their first seven games.
-- Arizona won five of its first seven games.
-- Giants won three of their last four games.
-- Los Angeles won seven of its first eight games.

-- Bronx won its last four games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Detroit both won five of its first seven games. White Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Texas won six of its first eight games.
-- Oakland won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost six of their first eight games. St Louis lost last two games, allowing 13 runs.
-- Reds lost four of their last five games.
-- Pirates lost five of their last six games.
-- Philly lost four of its last six games.
-- Brewers lost their last two games, allowing 18 runs.
-- Houston lost its last three games, allowing 17 runs. Marlins are 3-5 in their first eight games.
-- Colorado lost four of its last six games.
-- Padres lost six of their first eight games.

-- Angels lost five of their last six games.
-- Red Sox lost five of their first seven games. Tampa Bay lost three of its last four.
-- Indians lost four of their first six games.
-- Orioles lost three of their last four games.
-- Minnesota lost five of its first seven games.
-- Royals lost three of their last four games.
-- Mariners lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Cub games went over the total.
-- Last five Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Philly home games went over total.
-- Last four Houston games went over the total.
-- Last five Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Six of seven Pirate games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Dodger games stayed under total.

-- Four of last five Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Toronto games went over the total.
-- Seven of eight Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Tampa Bay games.
-- Five of six White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Kansas City games went over.
-- Last four Mariner games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Chi-StL- 21 of last 32 Cuzzi games stayed under total.
-- Cin-Wsh- Under is 21-15 in TWelke's starts since LY.
-- NY-Phil-- Under is 20-15 in last 35 Marquez starts.
-- Hst-Mia-- Total of four runs scored in Demuth two '12 games; over was 26-8 in his games LY.
-- Mil-Atl-- Over is 23-11 in Guccione games since beginning of '11.
-- Az-Colo-- Favorites lower than -$160 were just 7-7 LY in Knight's games behind the plate.
-- Pitt-SF-- Home favorites are 9-14 in Hudson games since '11.
-- SD-LA-- Home favorites of less than -$140 are 10-5 with Bucknor behind plate since start of LY.

-- LA-NY-- Since start of '11, home favorites are 17-9 in Hoye games.
-- Tex-Min-- Both Rapuano games this year stayed under; LY, over was 21-10 when he was behind the plate.
-- Balt-Tor- Home favorites are just 10-15 in Cousins games.
-- TB-Bo-- Since start of LY, home teams are 22-14, under is 20-15 with Tichenor with behind the plate.
-- Det-Chi-- Road team is 22-16 in last 38 Cederstrom games.
-- Cle-KC-- Road team is 22-15 in last 27 Darling games.
-- A's-Sea-- Home favorites of less than -$160 were 14-6 when Kellogg was behind the plate LY.

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 14

Caps @ Bruins-- Bruins won Game 1 1-0 in OT, just their second win in five tries vs Washington this season; game-winner came on shot by Kelly from left wing after Thomas had stopped scoring bid by Caps. Capitals are now 17-41 in franchise history in Beantown; Boston outshot its guests 26-7 in first two periods, but from that point on, Washington outshot them 10-4. Caps won four of their last six games overall, Bruins won 10 of last 13. Washington was 0-2 on power play, Boston 0-4 in Game 1.

Senators @ Rangers-- Rangers have home ice advantage in playoff series for first time since ’96; need win here to keep that edge- Game 1 win was second in last six games vs Ottawa. Senators are 21-15 in this building, but lost last four games overall, scoring only six goals. New York is top seed in east, will have home ice in first three rounds, if they advance. Coach Tortorella won Cup with ’04 Lightning, but hasn’t won playoff series (0-4) since. Ottawa hasn’t won playoff series (0-2) since losing ’07 final to Ducks.

Sharks @ Blues-- St Louis swept Sharks 4-0 in regular season, outscoring them 12-3, but saw home ice edge disappear when Sharks scored 23:34 into OT in Game 1. San Jose won seven of last eight first round series; they’ve lost in Western finals last two years, are 32-43 vs St Louis. Blues still haven’t won a playoff game in seven years, getting swept 4-0 by Canucks in ’09 series that’s their only playoff appearance in last six seasons, until now. Blues lost nine of last 13 games, overall; Sharks won their last five games overall

Blackhawks @ Coyotes-- Phoenix Coyotes have never won playoff series (0-7) since moving to desert; their last such win was in ’93 as Winnipeg Jets- overall, they’re 2-18 in playoff series (0-10 vs Detroit/Edmonton), but they've won last six games while overall, allowing only four goals. Coyotes won their last four games with Chicago, allowing six goals. Blackhawks lost five of last seven trips to Arizona; they outshot Coyotes 45-34 in Game 1, tying game with 0:14 left before Phoenix won in OT. Chicago was 0-4, Coyotes 0-2 on power play.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 14

Hot Teams
-- Clippers won 10 of last 12 games, covered four of last five.
-- Celtics won four of their last five games. Nets won three of four.
-- Memphis won its last six home games, covering last three.
-- Thunder won/covered three of last four games.
-- Pacers won seven of their last eight games. Milwaukee won five of its last seven games, but covered just two of last nine at home.
-- San Antonio is 8-1-1 vs spread in last ten home games. Suns are 8-4 against spread in last dozen road games.

Cold Teams
-- Warriors lost last three games, by 39-8-9 points.
-- Washington lost by 38 in New York last night, its sixth loss in last 8 games. Cavaliers lost seven of last eight road games, but covered three of last four- they're 5-1 vs spread in last six games overall.
-- Jazz lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Minnesota lost its last eight games (1-7 vs spread).

Wear-and-Tear
-- Warriors: 3rd game/4 days. Clippers: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Cavaliers: 4th game/5 nites. Wizards: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Celtics: 8th game/11 nites. Nets: 2nd nite in row after two off.
-- Jazz: 5th game/7 nites. Grizzlies: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Thunder: 5th game/7 nites. T'wolves: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Pacers: 8th game/12 nites. Bucks: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Suns: 8th game/12 nites. Spurs: 5th game/7 nites.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Golden State road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Washington road games went over total.
-- New Jersey's last three homegames went over the total.
-- Four of last five Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Thunder games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Indiana games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Phoenix games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Cleveland is 4-5 vs spread on road if it played night before. Wizards are 2-4 vs spread at home if they lost the night before.
-- Boston is 2-8-1 vs spread on road if it played night before. Nets are 1-6-1 vs spread if they won the night before.
-- Utah is 5-7 vs spread if it lost the night before.
-- Thunder is 1-4 vs spread on road if they played at home nite before.
-- Pacers are 6-5 vs spread if they won night before. Milwaukee is 3-7-1 vs spread at home if it played the night before.
-- Phoenix is 5-2 vs spread playing 2nd straight night on road.