Announcement

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 07:42 AM

Thursday's betting tips: Odds flip in WVU-Gonzaga matchup

Who’s hot

NCAAB: The under is 8-2 in Harvard’s last 10 non-conference games.

NCAAB: Iowa State is 15-5-1 against the spread in its last 21 overall.

NCAAB: Colorado State is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven.

NBA: The over is 5-1-1 in Utah’s last seven.

NBA: The Thunder are 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight games in Denver.

NHL: The over is 35-16 in Tampa Bay’s last 51 overall.

NHL: Calgary has won four in a row.

Who’s not

NCAAB: UNLV is 2-8 against the spread in its last 10.

NCAAB: Louisville is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven Tournament games.

NCAAB: Southern Miss has dropped seven straight against the number.

NBA: The Clippers are 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games.

NBA: Charlotte is 2-9-1 against the spread in its last 12 meetings with Dallas.

NHL: Boston is 2-5 in its last seven.

NHL: San Jose is 1-6 in its last seven.

Key stat

196 minutes, 13 seconds - Ilya Bryzgalov recorded his third straight shutout and fourth in five games by turning aside 17 shots as the host Philadelphia Flyers regained sole possession of fifth place in the Eastern Conference with a 3-0 victory over the New Jersey Devils on Tuesday. The Flyers visit the New York Islanders Thursday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Greg Smith, Colorado State Rams – Smith is considered questionable for Thursday’s meeting with Murray State as he deals with an ankle injury. The 6-foot-6, 220-pound forward is averaging 9.4 points and 5.2 rebounds per game this season. The Rams are pegged as 4-point underdogs.

Games of the day

VCU Rams vs. Wichita St. Shockers (-6.5, 134)

Long Beach State 49ers vs. New Mexico Lobos (-4, 137.5)

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (-1, 133)

Colorado Buffaloes vs. UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (-5.5, 134)

Notable quotable

“I know what a great team Ohio State it. It's an honor to play them. We probably have little chance of winning the game. Four minutes at a time, we'll see what we can do. We'll still run and press against them. Ohio State wants to play their way. If you play their way, you're not going to beat them. I think they can win the national championship this year, especially with Fab Melo being out. I'm talking as a fan. This has nothing to do with coaching. I see Ohio State have a chance to get to the Final Four because of their size.” Loyola-Maryland head coach Jimmy Pastos about facing No. 2-seed Ohio State on Thursday. The Greyhounds are set as 17-point underdogs.

Notes and tips

No. 7-seed Gonzaga opened as a 1-point favorite in its opening round matchup with No. 10-seed West Virginia, bu the Zags are now set between -1 and -1.5 at most shops. Meanwhile, Marquette opened as 5-point favorite but is now listed at -6 ahead of its matchup with the No. 14 BYU Cougars, while more than 74 percent of *********** Consensus bettors were backing the Golden Eagles as of late Wednesday evening.

Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard wants to remain with the team the rest of the season, but he is unwilling to give the team a written assurance that he will stick around one more season. On the eve of the NBA trade deadline, there have been multiple reports of whether Howard would decide to exercise the opt-out clause in his contract after the season. An Orlando television station reported Wednesday that Howard met with team officials and players Wednesday in San Antonio and said he planned to stay with the team through the 2012-13 season. However, CBSSports.com, citing a source, said Howard and his agent told team officials that they will not sign an early termination waiver.

Colorado Avalanche center Matt Duchene will suit up Thursday against the New Jersey Devils. Duchene was projected to miss three to four weeks because of a right ankle injury, but will only end up having missed nine days. Avalanche coach Joe Sacco said Duchene didn't suffer a high ankle sprain, which has allowed him to recover quicker than expected. Duchene has 13 goals and 13 assists in 48 games for the Avalanche this season.

Major League Baseball says expanded replay is out for this year, but will be on the agenda for 2013. "We weren't able to come up with an acceptable set of agreements between the three parties," MLB executive vice president of labor relations Rob Manfred told the Associated Press on Tuesday. "We hope we'll be able to do it in time for the 2013 season." Baseball began using replay in 2008 to let umpires check potential home run balls and is looking to increase video reviews to include trapped balls, fair-or-foul rulings down the lines and fan interference.

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 07:48 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Lamar showed very little heart in a lackluster 71-59 loss to Vermont in the First Four. Catamounts will next get smoked by North Carolina.

-- South Florida smothered Cal from start to finish, winning big, 65-54, a game that wasn't nearly as close as that score makes it look. Two games Wednesday weren't the least bit of fun to watch.

-- Golden State is Kwame Brown's 7th NBA team; he has averaged 6.8 ppg in a very average 10-year NBA career, but guy has earned over $51M during that time. What a country.

-- Bucknell went to Tucson and upset Arizona 65-54. Combined with the Cal loss in Dayton, rough night for the Pac-12.

-- Illinois State made 17 of 23 3-pointers, but needed OT to win 96-93 at Ole Miss in a really fun game to watch, which is more than we could say about the games in Dayton.

-- Trailblazers are truly awful; they're 1-4 on this road trip, with losses by 12-18-17-42 points. They did beat the Wizards, who are even worse.

******************

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random stuff with best weekend of year here

13) What a year the Knicks are having; first the depressing start, then the Jeremy Lin-led resurgence, now the Carmelo Anthony-fueled funk that has resulted in coach Mike D’Antoni “resigning” (guys don’t really resign, because you don’t get paid if you quit, and no one walks away from that much money). What a disaster.

No wonder they haven’t won a title since 1973. D’Antoni should’ve hired Tonya Harding to take out Anthony with a tire iron, then he’d still have his job. Letting the inmates run the asylum has never been and never will be the right way to do things.

12) Two wild comebacks Tuesday in Dayton; Western Kentucky rallied to win after being down 16 with 4:57 left, then BYU coming back from down 25 to stun Iona. The first game was simply horrendous basketball, but the Hilltoppers gutted it out and get a win. The second game was fascinating; Iona looked awesome for 17:00, then just stopped doing good things—its almost like they punched themselves out and had nothing left for the end.

11) First Four has a definite JV/Varsity feel to it; how bad is the rest of the SWAC if Mississippi Valley went thru the league with only one loss?

10) Loyola Md. coach Jimmy Patsos was once a volunteer assistant coach, earning his money by being a bartender in the Georgetown section of Washington. Not many characters left in college coaching; its become very corporate, but Patsos is undoubtedly a character, and a very good coach. Loyola was 1-27 the year before he took them over.

9) Nebraska has won five national titles in football, but they’ve never one NCAA tournament basketball game. Very curious to see who they hire to replace Doc Sadler, who was making $900,000 as Huskers’ coach, which is low by Big Dozen standards.

8) Greg Schiano had trouble assembling a coaching staff, but he didn’t have any trouble landing free agents, getting three in the first day free agents could sign. Getting Carl Nicks gives Tampa Bay one of NFL’s best guards, and it hurts the division rival Saints at the same time.

7) Raider fans don’t want to be reminded Detroit drafted Calvin Johnson with the pick right after Oakland drafted QB bust JaMarcus Russell. Its not often a prize QB prospect is out of the league as quick as Russell was gone.

6) TCU coach Jim Christian is trying hard for Rhode Island job, knowing the Horned Frogs are going to get their butts kicked when they move up to the Big 12 next year. Christian worked hard to get TCU respectable in the Mountain West and as soon as he did, they switched leagues again, driven by football. Rhode Island is a basketball school.

5) In case you were wondering, the Division I average for making 3-pointers this season is 34.3%.

4) First round games I’m most interested in watching: Creighton-Alabama and Saint Louis-Memphis.

3) So when exactly did Fab Melo become ineligible? Did the school sit on his ineligibility until after the Big East tournament and after the brackets were announced, so the committee wouldn’t knock the Orange down a couple seed lines? It’s a fair question.

2) My Final Four picks: Vanderbilt-Kentucky-North Carolina-Louisville.

1) This is my favorite weekend of the year; just disappear, watch basketball for four days. Nothing else. Hope you enjoy all the games too. If you see me out watching games, say hello.

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 07:52 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Harvard vs. Vanderbilt
The Crimson look to build on their 3-1-1 ATS record in their last 5 neutral site games. Harvard is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Vanderbilt favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks and all the second round picks of the NCAA Tournament.

THURSDAY, MARCH 15

Game 711-712: NC-Asheville vs. Syracuse (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Asheville 55.517; Syracuse 75.317
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 20; 149
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 17; 145
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-17); Over

Game 713-714: Southern Mississippi vs. Kansas State (12:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 61.728; Kansas State 65.976
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 4; 131
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 6; 134
Dunkel Pick Southern Mississippi (+6); Under

Game 715-716: Loyola-MD vs. Ohio State (9:50 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 55.301; Ohio State 75.077
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 20; 133
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 17; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-17); Over

Game 717-718: West Virginia vs. Gonzaga (7:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 65.288; Gonzaga 67.359
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 2; 128
Vegas Line: Pick; 132
Dunkel Pick Gonzaga; Under

Game 721-722: Connecticut vs. Iowa State (6:50 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 69.775; Iowa State 66.363
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 3 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-2); Over

Game 725-726: Colorado State vs. Murray State (12:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 60.114; Murray State 65.800
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 5 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Murray State by 3 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick Murray State (-3 1/2); Under

Game 727-728: South Dakota State vs. Baylor (7:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 63.571; Baylor 73.219
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 9 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Baylor by 7 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-7 1/2); Under

Game 729-730: Colorado vs. UNLV (9:55 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 63.332; UNLV 65.414
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 2; 138
Vegas Line: UNLV by 4 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick Colorado (+4 1/2); Over

Game 731-732: Harvard vs. Vanderbilt (4:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 63.648; Vanderbilt 67.333
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 3 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 6 1/2; 123
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+6 1/2); Over

Game 733-734: Montana vs. Wisconsin (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 61.622; Wisconsin 72.074
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 10 1/2; 115
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 9; 117 1/2
Dunkel Pick Wisconsin (-9); Under

Game 735-736: VCU vs. Wichita State (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 62.838; Wichita State 71.905
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 9; 138
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 6; 134
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-6); Over

Game 737-738: New Mexico State vs. Indiana (9:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 65.386; Indiana 70.034
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 4 1/2; 148
Vegas Line: Indiana by 6; 152
Dunkel Pick New Mexico State (+6); Under

Game 739-740: Long Beach State vs. New Mexico (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 65.428; New Mexico 68.484
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 3; 139
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 4 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+4 1/2); Over

Game 741-742: Davidson vs. Louisville (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 60.947; Louisville 70.027
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 9; 135
Vegas Line: Louisville by 7; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick Louisville (-7); Under

FRIDAY, MARCH 16

Game 823-824: Lehigh vs. Duke (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lehigh 55.942; Duke 71.623
Dunkel Line: Duke by 15 1/2; 145
Vegas Line: Duke by 12; 148
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-12); Under

Game 825-826: Xavier vs. Notre Dame (9:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 63.440; Notre Dame 63.439
Dunkel Line: Even; 129
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 2 1/2; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick Xavier (+2 1/2); Over

Game 829-830: Alabama vs. Creighton (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 67.399; Creighton 64.702
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 2 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Alabama by 1; 132
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-1); Under

Game 831-832: Long Island vs. Michigan State (9:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Island 55.092; Michigan State 75.868
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 21; 159
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 19 1/2; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick Michigan State (-19 1/2); Over

Game 833-834: St. Louis vs. Memphis (6:50 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 66.477; Memphis 67.360
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 1; 125
Vegas Line: Memphis by 4; 129
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+4); Under

Game 835-836: Belmont vs. Georgetown (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 64.121; Georgetown 69.477
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 5 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 3 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick Georgetown (-3 1/2); Under

Game 837-838: NC State vs. San Diego State (12:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 65.261; San Diego State 65.278
Dunkel Line: Even; 141
Vegas Line: NC State by 2; 137
Dunkel Pick San Diego State (+2); Over

Game 839-840: St. Bonaventure vs. Florida State (2:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 62.360; Florida State 70.805
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 8 1/2; 134
Vegas Line: Florida State by 6 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick Florida State (-6 1/2); Over

Game 841-842: Texas vs. Cincinnati (12:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 67.204; Cincinnati 67.401
Dunkel Line: Even; 125
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick Texas (+2); Under

Game 845-846: Ohio vs. Michigan (7:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 61.436; Michigan 69.307
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 8; 122
Vegas Line: Michigan by 6; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick Michigan (-6); Under

Game 847-848: Norfolk State vs. Missouri (4:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 47.473; Missouri 74.766
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 27 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Missouri by 21 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick Missouri (-21 1/2); Under

Game 849-850: Virginia vs. Florida (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 64.467; Florida 66.131
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Florida by 3 1/2; 121
Dunkel Pick Virginia (+3 1/2); Over

Game 851-852: Detroit vs. Kansas (9:55 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 58.167; Kansas 74.247
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 16; 146
Vegas Line: Kansas by 14 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick Kansas (-14 1/2); Over

Game 853-854: Purdue vs. St. Mary's (7:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 64.389; St. Mary's 64.202
Dunkel Line: Even; 135
Vegas Line: Purdue by 1 1/2; 140
Dunkel Pick St. Mary's (+1 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 07:54 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN MISS (25 - 8) vs. KANSAS ST (21 - 10) - 3/15/2012, 12:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
KANSAS ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOYOLA-MD (24 - 8) vs. OHIO ST (27 - 7) - 3/15/2012, 9:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 186-146 ATS (+25.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 119-88 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
LOYOLA-MD is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
LOYOLA-MD is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (19 - 13) vs. GONZAGA (25 - 6) - 3/15/2012, 7:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against Big East conference opponents since 1997.
W VIRGINIA is 94-65 ATS (+22.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
W VIRGINIA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
GONZAGA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (20 - 13) vs. IOWA ST (22 - 10) - 3/15/2012, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
IOWA ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CONNECTICUT is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO ST (20 - 11) vs. MURRAY ST (30 - 1) - 3/15/2012, 12:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MURRAY ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MURRAY ST is 56-87 ATS (-39.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S DAKOTA ST (27 - 7) vs. BAYLOR (27 - 7) - 3/15/2012, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S DAKOTA ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
S DAKOTA ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
BAYLOR is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (23 - 11) vs. UNLV (26 - 8) - 3/15/2012, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 26-37 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 26-37 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HARVARD (26 - 4) vs. VANDERBILT (24 - 10) - 3/15/2012, 4:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
HARVARD is 79-109 ATS (-40.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
HARVARD is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
VANDERBILT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANDERBILT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
VANDERBILT is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
VANDERBILT is 48-76 ATS (-35.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTANA (25 - 6) vs. WISCONSIN (24 - 9) - 3/15/2012, 2:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MONTANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
MONTANA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VA COMMONWEALTH (28 - 6) vs. WICHITA ST (27 - 5) - 3/15/2012, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-0 against the spread versus WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-0 straight up against WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (26 - 9) vs. INDIANA (25 - 8) - 3/15/2012, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NEW MEXICO ST is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
NEW MEXICO ST is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LONG BEACH ST (25 - 8) vs. NEW MEXICO (27 - 6) - 3/15/2012, 4:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW MEXICO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEW MEXICO is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
NEW MEXICO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
NEW MEXICO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DAVIDSON (25 - 7) vs. LOUISVILLE (26 - 9) - 3/15/2012, 1:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 103-74 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 65-34 ATS (+27.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (21 - 11) at USC UPSTATE (20 - 12) - 3/15/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, March 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (21 - 11) at USC UPSTATE (20 - 12) - 3/15/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games this season.
KENT ST is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LEHIGH (26 - 7) vs. DUKE (27 - 6) - 3/16/2012, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LEHIGH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
LEHIGH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
LEHIGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LEHIGH is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
LEHIGH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LEHIGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LEHIGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
LEHIGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LEHIGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LEHIGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 42-66 ATS (-30.6 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

XAVIER (21 - 12) vs. NOTRE DAME (22 - 11) - 3/16/2012, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all games this season.
XAVIER is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
XAVIER is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NOTRE DAME is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (21 - 11) vs. CREIGHTON (28 - 5) - 3/16/2012, 1:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LONG ISLAND (25 - 8) vs. MICHIGAN ST (27 - 7) - 3/16/2012, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAINT LOUIS (25 - 7) vs. MEMPHIS (26 - 8) - 3/16/2012, 6:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 114-81 ATS (+24.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 187-140 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MEMPHIS is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BELMONT (27 - 7) vs. GEORGETOWN (23 - 8) - 3/16/2012, 3:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (22 - 12) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (26 - 7) - 3/16/2012, 12:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.
NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
NC STATE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST BONAVENTURE (20 - 11) vs. FLORIDA ST (24 - 9) - 3/16/2012, 2:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
FLORIDA ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
ST BONAVENTURE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (20 - 13) vs. CINCINNATI (24 - 10) - 3/16/2012, 12:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
TEXAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO U (27 - 7) vs. MICHIGAN (24 - 9) - 3/16/2012, 7:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
OHIO U is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
MICHIGAN is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
OHIO U is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORFOLK ST (25 - 9) vs. MISSOURI (30 - 4) - 3/16/2012, 4:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
MISSOURI is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
MISSOURI is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
MISSOURI is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
MISSOURI is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
MISSOURI is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
MISSOURI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MISSOURI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA (22 - 9) vs. FLORIDA (23 - 10) - 3/16/2012, 2:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (22 - 13) vs. KANSAS (27 - 6) - 3/16/2012, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PURDUE (21 - 12) vs. ST MARYS-CA (27 - 5) - 3/16/2012, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
PURDUE is 46-73 ATS (-34.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
PURDUE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 07:55 AM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

NCAA Tournament Trends

Thursday, 3/15/2012

UNC-ASHEVILLE vs. SYRACUSE, 3:10 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Consol Energy Ctr. - Pittsburgh, PA
UNC-ASHEVILLE: 8-1 ATS in tournament games
SYRACUSE: 7-4 ATS in 1st Rd of NCAA Tournament

SOUTHERN MISS vs. KANSAS ST, 12:40 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Consol Energy Ctr. - Pittsburgh, PA
SOUTHERN MISS: 0-3 ATS in post-season tournaments
KANSAS ST: 3-0 ATS in 1st Round of NCAA Tournament

LOYOLA-MD vs. OHIO ST, 9:50 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Consol Energy Ctr. - Pittsburgh, PA
LOYOLA-MD: 1-6 ATS in 1st rd Tournament games
OHIO ST: 10-3 ATS as double digit favorite

W VIRGINIA vs. GONZAGA, 7:20 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Consol Energy Ctr. - Pittsburgh, PA
W VIRGINIA: 17-4 ATS in NCAA Tournament
GONZAGA: 10-2 ATS vs. Big East

CONNECTICUT vs. IOWA ST, 9:20 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - KFC Center - Louisville, KY
CONNECTICUT: 17-3 ATS on neutral court
IOWA ST: 18-9 ATS this season

COLORADO ST vs. MURRAY ST, 12:15 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - KFC Center - Louisville, KY
COLORADO ST: 4-0 Over on neutral court
MURRAY ST: 5-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points

S DAKOTA ST vs. BAYLOR, 7:25 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - The Pit - Albuquerque, NM
S DAKOTA ST: 18-7 ATS this season
BAYLOR: 0-2 ATS in 1st Round NCAA Tournament games

COLORADO vs. UNLV, 9:55 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - The Pit - Albuquerque, NM
COLORADO: 2-8 ATS in postseason tournaments
UNLV: 1-5 ATS playing w/ 5 or 6 days rest

HARVARD vs. VANDERBILT, 4:40 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - The Pit - Albuquerque, NM
HARVARD: 9-22 ATS in March
VANDERBILT: 0-3 ATS off SU dog win

MONTANA vs. WISCONSIN, 2:10 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - The Pit - Albuquerque, NM
MONTANA: 4-0 ATS in 1st Rd NCAA Tournament games
WISCONSIN: 8-2 ATS vs. non-conference

VA COMMONWEALTH vs. WICHITA ST, 7:15 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Rose Garden - Portland, OR
VA COMMONWEALTH: 9-1 ATS in NCAA Tournament
WICHITA ST: 6-0 ATS as neutral court favorite of 6 pts or less

NEW MEXICO ST vs. INDIANA, 9:45 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Rose Garden - Portland, OR
NEW MEXICO ST: 25-9 Over off an Under
INDIANA: 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference

LONG BEACH ST vs.NEW MEXICO, 4:10 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Rose Garden - Portland, OR
LONG BEACH ST: 6-0 Over as underdog
NEW MEXICO: 22-6 ATS as a favorite

DAVIDSON vs. LOUISVILLE, 1:40 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Rose Garden - Portland, OR
DAVIDSON: 0-9 ATS Away after scoring 75+ BB games
LOUISVILLE: 7-0 ATS off 3 conference wins

Friday, 3/16/2012

LEHIGH vs. DUKE, 7:15 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Greensboro Col. - Greensboro, NC
LEHIGH: 7-1 ATS this season
DUKE: 42-66 ATS in March

XAVIER vs. NOTRE DAME, 9:45 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Greensboro Col. - Greensboro, NC
XAVIER: 0-7 ATS off SU loss as favorite
NOTRE DAME: 0-6 ATS vs. non-conference

ALABAMA vs. CREIGHTON, 1:40 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Greensboro Col. - Greensboro, NC
ALABAMA: 20-10 ATS Off ATS win
CREIGHTON: 0-6 ATS off BB Overs

LONG ISLAND vs. MICHIGAN ST, 9:20 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH
LONG ISLAND: 3-0 ATS as double digit dog
MICHIGAN ST: 4-9 ATS as neutral court favorite

SAINT LOUIS vs. MEMPHIS, 6:50 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH
SAINT LOUIS: 8-2 ATS vs. non-conference
MEMPHIS: 11-25 ATS vs. non-conference

BELMONT vs. GEORGETOWN, 3:10 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH
BELMONT: 1-6 ATS in March
GEORGETOWN: 6-0 ATS vs. non-conference

NC STATE vs. SAN DIEGO ST, 12:40 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH
NC STATE: 13-4 ATS on neutral court
SAN DIEGO ST: 1-5 ATS off ATS loss

ST BONAVENTURE vs. FLORIDA ST, 2:45 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN
ST BONAVENTURE: 4-13 ATS Away off 3+ ATS wins
FLORIDA ST: 10-1 ATS in March

TEXAS vs. CINCINNATI, 12:15 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN
TEXAS: 10-18 ATS this season
CINCINNATI: 6-12 ATS in NCAA Tournament

OHIO U vs. MICHIGAN, 7:20 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN
OHIO U: 3-10 ATS off conference win
MICHIGAN: 8-0 ATS off a loss

NORFOLK ST vs. MISSOURI, 4:40 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Centurylink Center - Omaha, NE
NORFOLK ST: n/a
MISSOURI: 16-8 ATS as favorite

VIRGINIA vs. FLORIDA, 2:10 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Centurylink Center - Omaha, NE
VIRGINIA: 6-0 ATS playing w/ 5 or 6 days rest
FLORIDA: 1-5 ATS playing w/ 5 or 6 days rest

DETROIT vs. KANSAS, 9:55 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Centurylink Center - Omaha, NE
DETROIT: 5-19 ATS off double digit road win
KANSAS: 6-0 ATS after allowing 80+ points

PURDUE vs. ST MARYS-CA, 7:25 PM - NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Centurylink Center - Omaha, NE
PURDUE: 8-1 ATS off loss by 10 or more
ST MARYS-CA: 6-1 Over off win by 6 pts or less

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 08:11 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 15

Thursday's games
Day games
Murray State is 30-1, winning its last seven games since its only loss, to Tennessee State; Racers are 4-0 vs top 100 teams, winning at Memphis for its best win of year. Colorado State is lowest-rated MWC team in NCAAs since last time they made tourney, in 2003. Colorado State has four guards starting, so Murray will have chance to exploit them inside. Over last three years, dogs are 10-2 vs spread in 6-11 games. Teams have a common opponent; Rams lost to Southern Miss by 21; Murray beat USM in double OT. Both teams make over 40% behind the arc. Having game in Louisville makes this a Murray State home game.

Since 2006, Conference USA teams other than Memphis are 0-4 in this tournament; Southern Miss faded down stretch, going 3-4 in last seven games; overall, three of their last eight games went OT. Kansas State is favored by 5.5 over USM, biggest spread in 8-9 game since '87; K-State won last three first round games, by 13-20-5 points. Big X favorites are just 5-9 vs spread in first round last three years; since '03, Big X single digit first round favorites are 11-7 vs spread. USM makes only 43.3% of its 2-point shots. Over last four years, underdogs are 12-4 vs spread in 8-9 games. K-State was just 6-6 in its last twelve games.

Since 2003, teams from Southern Conference are 10-2 vs spread in this event, despite '08 Davidson being only team to win during that stretch. Louisville forces turnovers on 23.4% of possessions; Davidson protects ball well, ranking #22 in country in ball security. Over last four years, underdogs are 10-6 vs spread in 4-13 games. Last five years, team that won Big East tournament is 4-1 vs spread in its first NCAA tournament game, but Louisville is 1-5 against spread in first round last six seasons, losing to Cal/Morehead State last two years. Cardinals won four games in NYC last week after going 2-4 in last six regular season games.

Montana won its last 14 games to get here, but Big Sky teams lost their last five tournament games, with four of five losses by 18+ points; Griz only played three top 100 teams this season, losing to Colorado State by 6, Oregon State by 25, beating Long Beach by 2. Wisconsin won its last five first round games, by 13-15-2-4-14 points; they're 7-2 vs spread in last nine first round games, 5-2 when favored. Neither teams subs much but Badgers play 2nd-slowest paced games in country, so that shouldn't be factor. Only NCAA games Big Sky teams covered in last nine years were against fellow western teams, Washington/Nevada.

BYU was down 25 in first half to Iona Tuesday, won by 6, third year in row they've won tournament game, and greatest comeback in tournament history. Marquette is 2-4 vs spread in last six first round games, winning by 8-1-11 points. WCC teams are now 10-5 SU in first round/play-in games, despite being underdog in 11 of the 15 games- they're 6-5 as first round underdog. Favorites are 13-7 vs spread in 3-14 games the last five years. Since 2007, Big East teams that are 1-4 seeds are 13-8 vs spread in first round games. Very tough spot for NYU here, playing afternoon game here, after winning emotional game that ended 38 hours earlier.
Syracuse's title hopes took big blow when Fab Melo was declared out on Tuesday; Orange scored 16 ppg less in three games he missed earlier in season. #1 seeds are 8-4 vs spread in first round games last three years. Since 2004, Big East double digit favorites are 12-7 vs spread in the first round. Orange are 5-2 vs spread in last seven first round games, covering last three. NC-Asheville lost to NC State by 9, North Carolina by 16, UConn by 10, Tennessee by 4- they played #18 non-conference slate in country. Big South teams lost last three games in this round by 31-43-23 points after Winthrop pulled an upset back in 2007.

Long Beach State has junior/four seniors in starting five, their #2 scorer Anderson is expected back here after missing Big West tournament with sprained knee; 49ers lost by 4 at San Diego State in only game against a MWC team. Big West teams are 0-6 in NCAAs last six years, with all six losses by 11+ points (2-4 vs spread). New Mexico won five in row, 12 of last 14 games; they're younger and deeper than Lobos, holding foes to 30.9% behind the arc. 49ers are 18-2 in last 20 games, with losses by combined total of 5 points- they're 0-5 vs top 50 teams, with best win over #59 Xavier. Dogs are 10-6 vs spread in 5-12 games last four years.

In last four seasons, Vanderbilt has been upset in first round three times, as a 4-4-5 seed, a record of ineptitude unequalled in this tournament, so ton of pressure on veteran Vandy squad that had emotional win Sunday over Kentucky (won first SEC title since 1951). Commodores have five seniors in top five players; they make 38.9% behind arc, do Harvard will not be able to just doubleteam Azili. Since 2008, SEC first round faves are 4-9 against spread. Harvard beat LMU/Florida State in pre-season, but they struggled to win Ivy title- they don't shoot or make ton of 3's. Ivy League teams are 1-8 in this round since '03, 3-6 vs spread.

Night games
Young Western Kentucky squad (five freshmen in rotation) has won its last eight games, after rallying back from down 16 with 4:57 in play-in game Tuesday, biggest comeback in last 5:00 of any tournament game in NCAA history. That said, Hilltoppers will get crushed if they play like that against Kentucky squad that blocks 21.3% of its opponents' shots, and allows foes to make only 38.8% of 2-point shots. Wildcats figure to be focused after losing SEC title game, their first loss since Dec 10. Sun Belt teams are 7-4 vs spread as an NCAA underdog the last nine years. Kentucky is 3-4 vs spread in its last seven first round games.

VCU went to Wichita and beat Shockers 68-67 in Bracket Buster game LY, game that propelled Rams to unlikely NCAA bid/spot in Final Four, while Wichita wound up winning NIT. Underdogs are 8-4 vs spread in 5-12 games last three years; CAA teams are 15-5-1 vs spread in last 21 games as an NCAA underdog. VCU lost four starters from LY but their new group leads country, forcing turnovers on 27.4% of possessions. Wichita has two juniors, five seniors in its rotation- they're 9-1 in last 10 games, losing by point in Valley semifinals. Shockers protect ball well. Since 2005, MVC favorites are 4-1 vs spread in this round.

West Virginia will have home crowd on its side in Pittsburgh, but they'll need much better offense to advance; they've really struggled to score at end of games late in season, but they have won first round game in five of last six tournaments. Gonzaga is a young team, with one senior in its top six players; they're 7-2 in first round games last nine years, 5-4 vs spread as tournament underdog. Since 2005, Big East teams seeded 8th or lower are just 2-6 SU. Gonzaga won eight of its last ten games, with two losses by total of five points- they play lot of tough non-conference games, so doubtful they'll be intimidated by Big East opponent.

South Dakota State has four guys who make 40%+ from arc, but its best player shoots only 24.4%-- he is terrific passer who gets inside defense and creates shots for teammates; Jackrabbits won by 19 at Washington in December, so if Baylor doesn't defend arc well, this could get dicey. Summit League isn't bad ball, but their teams are 0-9 in NCAAs the last nine years, covering spread two of last three years. Last three years, Big X double digit favorites are 3-5 vs spread in this round. Baylor is 10-7 in its last 17 games after starting season 17-0; they block lot of shots but are average defending the arc, which is where Jackrabbits can hurt them.

Iowa State has NBA player in White, who shoots 53% from floor, only 49% from line; Cyclones are in tourney for first time since 2005- they beat Providence of Big East by 10 in December, part of a poor schedule they played to build confidence with team of transfers for league play, and it worked, with ISU going surprisingly good 12-7. UConn is 8-12 in last 20 games, but won three of four with Calhoun back on bench- they defend basket well but don't defend the arc so well. Christopherson is a senior guard who could do damage here. Since '05, Big East teams seeded 8th or lower are just 2-6 SU.

Indiana lost PG Jones for season last week; Hoosiers are in tournament for first time since '08- they're 13-0 out of conference, winning by hoop at NC State, beating Kentucky at home. Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 vs spread in 4-13 games, but since 2007, single digit dogs are 5-10 vs spread in this round, double digit dogs 4-1. New Mexico State uses only seven guys, but five are juniors/seniors. Aggies get to foul line more than anyone in country and are #4 team on offensive boards- they hold foes to 32% behind arc, which is important against Indiana team that shoots 43.3% behind arc, second-best in country.

Loyola Md is carrying banner for MAAC after Iona's epic collapse on Tuesday; since 2005, MAAC underdogs are 3-7 vs spread in first round games. Greyhounds have only one senior in their rotation, lost by 24 at Kentucky in their only game vs top 50 opponent. Over last seven years, underdogs are 16-12 vs spread in 2-15 games. Ohio State is just 6-4 in its last ten games, but all four losses were against top 25 teams- they're 9-6 vs spread this season when laying double digits. Since 2003, Big Dozen double digit first round favorites are 4-6 against the spread. Ohio State lost to Siena of MAAC in '09, last first round win for MAAC.

Colorado won four games in four days to get here; UNLV flattened out late in year, losing last four road games, going 5-5 in last 10 games, with last win away from home on January 28. Underdogs are 10-2 vs spread in 6-11 games last three years. Rebels beat Cal by 17, USC by 11 in its two games vs Pac-12 foes. Buffaloes are 1-2 vs MWC opponents, with win over Air Force, losses to Colorado State/Wyoming. UNLV has four seniors in its top eight players; their expectations got raised little bit too high after they upset North Carolina in December. Pac-12 teams are 10-2 in first round/play-in games the last three tournaments.

Friday's games
Day games
Texas is 7-2 in first round games last nine years, with both losses coming as an 8-seed; lowest seed they won as was a 7. Longhorns are 3-4 in last seven games, 4-10 vs top 40 teams- they make only 32.7% behind arc. Cincinnati won seven of its last nine games, losing 50-44 to Louisville in ugly Big East title game. Cincinnati is 6-2 vs top 30 teams, with 56-55 win over Oklahoma in only game vs Big X foe. Four of top seven guys for Texas are freshmen. Big East teams are 12-15-1 against spread when number is less than 4 points; Big X teams are 16-6-1. Over last three years, underdogs are 10-2 vs spread in 6-11 games.

NC State won four of last five games to sneak into field for first time in seven years; they're 5-10 vs top 60 teams.Since '03, ACC teams seeded #6 or worse are still 10-8 SU. San Diego State is back in tourney despite losing four starters from LY's Sweet 16 team; Aztecs started year 18-2, but went 8-5 in last 13 games, with four wins by 3 or less points, or in OT. Over last three years, underdogs are 10-2 vs spread in 6-11 games. ACC favorites of less than 5 points are 7-9 vs spread in non-conference games; MWC underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-8. Since 2003, MWC teams are 8-15 SU in this round, but 4-3 the last two years.

Creighton is a great offensive team; Alabama excels on defense. Bluejays won their last seven games, with four of seven by 2 or less points or in OT. Alabama is 8-8 in its last 16 games after 13-3 start; Mitchell is out for the Tide, which hurts its defense. Tide is 2-6 vs top 40 teams, with both wins way back in November. MVC teams are 12-3 vs spread when number is 3 or less points; SEC teams are 13-9. Bluejays make 42.5% on the arc, 55.5% inside it; they've won 14 road/neutral court games. This game opened at Creighton -2, but now they're +2. Alabama won by 10 over Wichita State, best team in MVC, back in November.

Over last three years, ACC underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in first round; from '03-'08, all 30 ACC entrants were favored in first round. Underdogs are 7-1 SU in 7-10 games last two years, with only fave that won BYU in double OT over Florida two years ago; Gators won 11 games in a row when they allowed less than 70 points, lost last seven in row when they allowed more than 70. Virginia has good defense thats been hurt by Sene being injured; they're 3-5 in last eight games. Florida lost four of its last five games, with two losses to Kentucky. SEC favorites of less than 5 points are 10-4 vs spread; ACC dogs of less than 5 points are 8-12.

Over last six years, #3 seeds are 15-9 vs spread in first round games, as gap has widened between haves/have-nots (11-13 in prior six tourneys). Florida State is first team in 16 years to win four games in same season against UNC/Duke (4-1); they also went 0-2 vs Ivy League teams, as its guards can be erratic. St Bonaventure is in tourney for first time in over decade; they lost to Saint Louis by 24, Temple by 6 in its two games vs top 40 teams- they're 0-2 vs ACC teams, losing to Virginia Tech by 9, NC State by a hoop. ACC favorites of 7 or less points are 10-15 vs spread; Atlantic 14 underdogs of 7 or less points are 20-19-1.

Georgetown lost badly to Ohio U/VCU in first round last two years, so they have monkey to get off back; Hoyas are #5 team in eFG% defense, #1 against 3-pointers (26.6%). Belmont won its last 14 games, against inferior competition; they're 0-4 in NCAAs last six years, losing by 34-25-1-14 points. Atlantic Sun teams are 0-9 in NCAAs last nine seasons, 2-4 vs spread in last six, losing last three years by 10-29-14 points. This game opened at 6.5, was quickly bet down to 3.5. Big East favorites of 5 or less points are 13-14 vs spread. Belmont lost by point at Duke, by 16 at Memphis, their only two games vs top 60 opponents.

Health of Henson's left hand/wrist is primary concern for Tar Heel club that could beat Vermont if they showed up hung over; North Carolina is 2-3-1 vs spread in last six first round games, winning by 28-4-21-39-43-15 points. Vermont held Lamar to 33% in easy win Wednesday, league's first NCAA win since Catamounts upset Syracuse in '05. America East teams are 0-6 in this round last six years, 2-4 vs spread, with last five losses all by 19+ points. ACC favorites of 15+ points are 11-11 against spread this season. Vermont lost to Saint Louis by 19, to Harvard by 7; also lost to South Florida by a hoop and Iona by 1, so they compete.

Norfolk State played Marquette twice at beginning of season, losing by 31 in first meeting, by hoop in rematch; Missouri only plays seven guys and three of them were nursing bumps/bruises at Big 12 tourney last weekend. MEAC teams are 1-9 in NCAA games last nine years (4-6 vs spread), with only win a play-in game; they lost last three years by 38-27-42 points. Mizzou only plays seven guys, but five are seniors; they are #1 in offensive efficiency, making 39.5% behind arc, 56.9% inside it. Norfolk beat Drexel before Dragons got hot, their only win in five games against top 100 teams, with losses by 31-3-13-32 points.

Night games
Interesting contrast with Memphis being much more athletic than much more experienced Saint Louis team led by skilled tactician Majerus, who has stellar record in first round games but hasn't been in tourney in nine years. Since 2003, Atlantic 14 underdogs are 5-7 vs spread in first round of NCAAs; Memphis won five of last six first round games, but is 1-4-1 vs spread as first round favorite. Conference USA favorites of 5 or less points are 11-13 vs spread. Atlantic 14 underdogs of 5 or less points are 12-13-1. Billikens lost to New Mexico by 4 in only game vs top 50 foe; their wins in Anaheim tourney were against teams that had bad years.

Since 2008, double digit favorite from ACC are 5-1 vs spread in opening round; Duke lost two of last three games, getting beat by Florida State in ACC tourney- their last four wins are all by 8 or less points. Lehigh lost both its game vs top 50 teams this season by nine points each. Kelly is a question mark for Blue Devils, who won't need him here, but will in next game. Duke won/covered last three first round games, winning by 42-29-24 points. Patriot League teams are 0-5 in NCAAs since Bucknell won back-back first round games in 2005-06, losing last five years by 10-15-13-16-29 points, but since 2003, they're 6-2 vs spread in this round.

Young Ohio U (no seniors who play) won eight of last nine games, force turnovers on 26.7% of possessions (#2 in country); they lost 77-72 to Louisville back in November, so big stage shouldn't awe them. Michigan won seven of its last nine games- they get 36% of their points on 3's, but Bobcats defend arc well, allowing opponents to make just 30.3% behind arc. MAC teams ars surprisingly bad 1-7 in first round last eight years, but they covered four of last five, losing games by 3-13-13-13 points. Four of Michigan's top six guys are freshmen/sophs; they covered five of last seven games as a favorite.

WCC teams are 10-5 in this round since 2003, despite being underdog in 11 of 15 games; St Mary's was held to 60 or less points in five games it lost this season, scoring 67+ points in 24 of 27 wins. Gaels' defensive ace Holt is expected back here; St Mary's hasn't played in 10 days since OT win over Gonzaga in WCC title game. Boilermakers turn ball over less than any team in country, 13.5% of time. Big Dozen teams are 10-9 vs spread in games where spread is 3 or less points. WCC teams are 7-5-1. Since 2005, Big Dozen teams seeded #8 or lower are 6-10 SU in first round. Purdue is 3-9 vs top 50 teams (Gaels are #44).

NEC teams are 2-9 in NCAAs since 2003; both wins coming in play-in games, but they've covered six of last seven first round games, with five of last seven first round losses by 15 or less points. LIU is 20-2 in last 22 games since starting season 5-6; they're adept at getting to foul line, scoring 25.5% of points from there. Blackbirds make 36.8% behind arc, but Michigan State holds opponents to 29.2% on arc. Since 2004, Izzo is 2-6 vs spread in first round games; Big Dozen double digit favorites are 5-6 in first round. This season, Big Dozen favorites of 15+ points are 14-9-1 vs spread. LIU lost by 16-8 in two games vs top 100 foes.

Xavier was 7-0 when it had big brawl with crosstown rival Cincinnati and had several players suspended; they're 14-12 since then, but did win three of last four games, losing to Bonnies in A-14 semifinals. ESPN's Bob Valvano suggested Monday that Xavier is underachieving team that is finally hitting its stride, while Notre Dame overachieved this season and has finally hit a wall; since 2003, Irish are 3-2 in this round, but 1-4 vs spread, winning by 1-18-13 points. Atlantic 14 underdogs of 5 or less points are 13-14-1 vs spread; Big East favorites of 5 points or less are also 13-14. Irish are 2-3 in last five games, including loss to St John's.

South Florida is a dominant defensive team that crushed Cal Wednesday, leading 36-13 at half; Bulls won 14 of last 20 games after 7-7 start- they held last 11 opponents under 60 points. Temple is 13-2 last 15 games, but first round lost to UMass in A-14 tourney is red flag, especially as Dunphy's postseason history isn't pretty- his long NCAA drought was ended LY, with 66-64 win over Penn State, before double OT loss to a real good San Diego State team in 2nd round. Owls beat Villanova by 11 in only game vs Big East foe- they won all five OT games they played this season. Temple makes 40.2% of its shots behind arc.

Since 2003, Horizon League underdogs are 16-9 vs spread in NCAAs, as Butler covered seven of eight last two years in advancing to Final Fours both years. Detroit is better than average 15-seed; McCallum is an NBA player who is at Detroit because his dad is the coach; Titans are 15-3 in last 18 games after 7-10 start, with Indiana transfer Holman providing beef off bench. Kansas is 3-6 as opening round favorite last nine years, failing to cover last three years in wins by 19-16-10 points. Titans make only 29.5% behind arc; they lost to Notre Dame by 6, Alabama by 8 in only two games they played against top 50 teams.

Other tournament
Kent State lost five of its last seven games, losing three of last four away from home. SC-Upstate lost 75-70 to Toledo of MAC in November.

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 08:14 AM

NCAAB

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, March 15

12:15 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. MURRAY STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Murray State's last 6 games
Murray State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

12:40 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. KANSAS STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games
Kansas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

1:40 PM
DAVIDSON vs. LOUISVILLE
No trends available
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisville's last 8 games

2:10 PM
MONTANA vs. WISCONSIN
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 9 games
Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

3:10 PM
UNC ASHEVILLE vs. SYRACUSE
No trends available
Syracuse is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Syracuse is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games

4:10 PM
LONG BEACH STATE vs. NEW MEXICO
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games
New Mexico is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

4:40 PM
HARVARD vs. VANDERBILT
No trends available
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games

7:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. USC UPSTATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 6 games on the road
Kent State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

7:15 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. WICHITA STATE
No trends available
Wichita State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Wichita State's last 12 games

7:20 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. GONZAGA
No trends available
Gonzaga is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games

7:27 PM
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. BAYLOR
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games
Baylor is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games

9:20 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. IOWA STATE
No trends available
Iowa State is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

9:45 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. INDIANA
No trends available
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

9:50 PM
LOYOLA vs. OHIO STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ohio State's last 7 games
Ohio State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:57 PM
COLORADO vs. UNLV
No trends available
UNLV is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNLV's last 7 games

Friday, March 16

12:15 PM
TEXAS vs. CINCINNATI
No trends available
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

12:40 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
No trends available
San Diego State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

1:40 PM
ALABAMA vs. CREIGHTON
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Creighton's last 8 games
Creighton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

2:10 PM
VIRGINIA vs. FLORIDA
No trends available
Florida is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Florida is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

2:45 PM
ST. BONAVENTURE vs. FLORIDA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida State's last 8 games
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:10 PM
BELMONT vs. GEORGETOWN
No trends available
Georgetown is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

4:40 PM
NORFOLK STATE vs. MISSOURI
No trends available
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games

6:50 PM
SAINT LOUIS vs. MEMPHIS
No trends available
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games

7:15 PM
LEHIGH vs. DUKE
No trends available
Duke is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Duke is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

7:20 PM
OHIO vs. MICHIGAN
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games
Michigan is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

7:27 PM
PURDUE vs. ST. MARY'S
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary's last 6 games
St. Mary's is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

9:20 PM
LONG ISLAND vs. MICHIGAN STATE
No trends available
Michigan State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 7 games

9:45 PM
XAVIER vs. NOTRE DAME
No trends available
Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

9:57 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS
No trends available
Kansas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 08:17 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA previews & picks: Thursday's West Region action
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

No. 13 BYU Cougars at No. 3 Marquette Golden Eagles (-6, N/A)

THE STORY: Marquette, making its seventh straight NCAA tournament appearance, puts its No. 3 seed on the line Thursday against 14th-seeded BYU in a West Regional game in Louisville, Ky. The Golden Eagles finished second in the regular season in the rugged Big East, but were upset in the quarterfinals of the league tournament by Louisville. BYU, which pulled off a historic comeback Tuesday by coming from 25 down to stun Iona , is appearing in the Big Dance for the sixth straight year. Both Marquette and BYU advanced to the Sweet 16 last season.

PICK: Golden Eagles

No. 11 Colorado State Rams vs. No. 6 Murray State Racers (-4, 136)

THE STORY: Murray State begins its NCAA tournament journey in its home state on Thursday when the sixth-seeded Racers meet Colorado State in the South Regional round of 64 in Louisville, Ky. Murray State, the last Division-I team to lose this season after its school record 23-0 start, begins postseason play with the best record in the nation and is making its 15th NCAA tourney appearance. The Racers are back in the the Big Dance for the second time in three years. Colorado State, the No. 11 seed, finished fourth in the Mountain West Conference and is making its first NCAA appearance since 2003.

PICK: Racers

No. 13 Davidson Wildcats vs. No. 4 Louisville Cardinals (-7.5, 139)

THE STORY: Louisville has been one-and-done in each of the past two NCAA tournaments and the fourth-seeded Cardinals will try again to get out of the Round of 64 when they meet 13th-seeded Davidson in the West Regional. The Cardinals were upset by Morehead State last season and lost to California in 2010. Davidson is back in the tournament for the first time since nearly reaching the Final Four in 2008. The squad led by Stephen Curry lost by two points to Kansas in the regional final. The Wildcats qualified this time by notching a 93-91 double-overtime victory over Western Carolina in the Southern Conference tournament final. Louisville was in regardless, but won four straight games to win the Big East Conference tournament.

PICK: Cardinals

No. 12 Long Beach State 49ers vs. No. 5 New Mexico (-4, 137)

THE STORY: Two of the better teams in the West square off when fifth-seeded New Mexico and 12th-seed Long Beach State meet in the West Regional. The Lobos are a deep athletic squad that shared the Mountain West regular season title with San Diego State before winning the league’s conference tournament. Long Beach State played a tough non-conference schedule and still needed to win the Big West Conference tournament title to make the 68-team field. Both teams feature a premier player into the Round of 64 game – New Mexico senior forward Drew Gordon and the 49ers do-everything senior guard Casper Ware.

PICK: Over

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 08:21 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA previews & picks: Thursday's East Region action
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

No. 9 Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. No. 8 Kansas State Wildcats (-5, 134)

THE STORY: For the third straight season and for the fourth time in the last five years, Kansas State has advanced to the NCAA tournament. The Wildcats received an 8-seed in the East Region and will take on No. 9 seed Southern Mississippi in the Round of 64 in Pittsburgh. Kansas State, which defeated three top-10 teams, received an at-large bid after finishing fifth in the Big 12 Conference standings. The Golden Eagles, meanwhile, are making their first NCAA tournament appearance since 1991 after finishing two games back of first-place Memphis in Conference USA. Kansas State won the most recent meeting, a 74-55 victory in 2008 on a neutral court.

PICK: Wildcats

No. 13 Montana Grizzlies No. 4 Wisconsin Badgers (-9, 118)

THE STORY: For the third straight season, Wisconsin will begin its NCAA tournament run as a No. 4 seed. The Badgers, who took down Wofford in 2010 and Belmont in 2011, have made it past the Round of 64 in each of the past five seasons. Trying to end that streak will be No. 13 seed Montana, which dominated the Big Sky conference and enters the East Regional riding a 14-game winning streak. The Grizzlies are making their second tournament appearance in three years after missing out in 2011. Both schools do their best work at the defensive end, with the Badgers leading the nation in scoring defense.

PICK: Under

No. 16 UNC-Asheville Bulldogs vs. No. 1 Syracuse Orange (-15, 147)

THE STORY: Second-ranked Syracuse, the Big East regular season champions, received a No. 1 seed in the NCAA tournament for the second time in the last three years. The Orange, who were ranked in the top 5 every week throughout the season, will take on No. 16 UNC-Asheville in the Round of 64 in Pittsburgh as part of the East Region. The Bulldogs are making their third NCAA tournament appearance in the last seven years after winning the Big South Conference. Syracuse is 3-0 in the all-time series, which includes an 81-63 victory in the most recent meeting in 2003. A 16-seed has never defeated a top-seeded team in the tournament’s history.

PICK: Over

No. 12 Harvard Crimson vs. No. 5 Vanderbilt Commodores (-5.5, 123)

THE STORY: After struggling through most of the regular season as one of the more disappointing teams in the country, Vanderbilt enters the NCAA tournament as one of the most impressive. The Commodores knocked off No. 1 Kentucky in the SEC championship game to earn an automatic bid and a No. 5 seed in the East Regional. Looming in the Round of 64 is No. 12 seed Harvard, which was ranked in the Top 25 for much of the season and won the Ivy League for the first time to earn its first trip to the tournament since 1946.

PICK: Crimson

No. 15 Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds vs. No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-17, 130)

THE STORY: Rebuffed in its bid to claim a third consecutive conference tournament title, No. 2 seed Ohio State will instead begin its quest to advance past the regional semifinal round for the first time since 2007. The Buckeyes, coming off of Sunday’s 68-64 loss to Michigan State in the Big Ten tournament final, will start that journey when they meet No. 15 seed Loyola-Maryland for the first time ever after the Greyhounds qualified for the tournament for the first time since 1994 with a 48-44 win over Fairfield to claim the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference title.

PICK: Buckeyes

No. 10 West Virginia Mountaineers vs. No. 7 Gonzaga Bulldogs (-1, 133)

THE STORY: Typically, when No. 10 seed West Virginia heads to Pittsburgh, it's to do battle in the “Backyard Brawl”. When the Mountaineers make the 75-mile drive this week, however, it will be to meet No. 7 Gonzaga for the first time in school history. Despite going 4-8 over their final 12 games, the Mountaineers received an at-large bid following an opening-round loss to Connecticut in the Big East tournament. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs will be traveling across the country after qualifying for their 14th straight NCAA tournament after their overtime loss to Saint Mary’s in the WCC tournament title game.

PICK: Mountaineers

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 08:24 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA previews & picks: Thursday's South Region action
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

No. 16 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. No. 1 Kentucky Wildcats (-25, N/A)

THE STORY: The last time they took the floor following a loss, the Wildcats started a 24-game winning streak. Kentucky needs a streak just a quarter of that length to claim its seventh national championship, starting Thursday in Louisville. Despite losing the SEC title game to Vanderbilt on Sunday in New Orleans, the Wildcats remain a strong favorite to return to the Big Easy for the Final Four. Western Kentucky rallied from 16 points down in the final five minutes Tuesday to upend Mississippi Valley State in the opening round, 59-58. WKU saved its best work of the season for the past month. The Hilltoppers were 9-18 on Feb. 22, but have won seven in a row, including four wins in four days at the Sun Belt Conference tournament.

PICK: Kentucky

No. 12 VCU Rams vs. No. 5 Wichita State Shockers (-6.5, 135)

THE STORY: Fifth-seeded Wichita State, the Missouri Valley Conference regular season champion, meets 12th-seeded Virgina Commonwealth, the Colonial tournament champion, in the South Regional. While Wichita State took its NCAA snubbing from a year ago and turned it into an NIT championship, VCU was one of the last at-large teams selected and turned that into a surprise Final Four appearance. The teams, who meet in a Round of 64 game, are coming off different conference tournament results. Wichita State lost a heartbreaker in the semifinals to Illinois State, while VCU captured its second Colonial title in four years.

PICK: Rams

No. 14 South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. No. 3 Baylor Bears (-7.5, 140)

THE STORY: The last time Baylor made it to the NCAA tournament in 2010, the Bears advanced to the Elite Eight before suffering a 78-71 setback against eventual national champion Duke. If the third-seeded Bears hope to have similar success this year, they’ll have to get past No. 14 South Dakota State in the Round of 64 in the South Region. The Bears, who are making their third NCAA tournament appearance in the last five years, enter off a 90-75 loss to Missouri in the Big 12 championship game. The Jackrabbits, meanwhile, are making their first-ever NCAA tournament appearance after winning the Summit League’s automatic bid. They defeated Western Illinois 52-50 in the conference title game.

PICK: Bears

No. 9 Connecticut Huskies vs. No. 8 Iowa State Hawkeyes (1.5, 136)

THE STORY: The defending national champion Huskies did just enough in the Big East tournament to earn the chance to defend their crown. Connecticut reached the conference quarterfinals and pushed second ranked Syracuse to the limit before losing 58-55. Considered on the bubble for making the NCAA tournament, a late-season three-game winning streak after coach Jim Calhoun returned from spinal surgery pushed Connecticut to 20 victories. The Cyclones are back in the NCAA tournament for the first time since 2005. Iowa State has enjoyed a remarkable turnaround in which the Cyclones went from last in the Big 12 in 2010-11 to third this season. Iowa State’s resume features several signature wins, including an 80-72 victory over then No. 10 Baylor in its regular-season finale.

PICK: Under

No. 13 New Mexico State Aggies vs. No. 4 Indiana Hoosiers (-6, 154)

THE STORY: Expect a high-scoring Round of 64 affair when No. 4 seed Indiana and 13th-seeded and WAC champion New Mexico State get together in the South Regional. Both the Big Ten’s Hoosiers (77.3) and Aggies (78.5) led their respective conferences in scoring, with New Mexico State coming off a title run where it averaged 79.6 points in three tournament games. Indiana is in the tournament for the first time in coach Tom Crean’s four seasons and will try to reverse a decade-long trend: The Hoosiers haven’t reached the second weekend of the tournament since the 2001-2002 team finished as national runner-up. New Mexico State will try to pick up the school’s first NCAA tournament victory since the 1992-1993 squad knocked off Nebraska in the opening round.

PICK: Over

No. 11 Colorado Buffaloes vs. No. 6 UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (-5.5, 134)

THE STORY: Sixth-seeded UNLV will look for its first NCAA tournament victory since 2008 when it takes on No. 11 seed Colorado in the Round of 64 in the South Region. The Runnin’ Rebels, who were knocked out of the Mountain West Conference tournament in the semifinals, are making their third straight and 19th overall appearance in the NCAA tournament. The Buffaloes, meanwhile, earned their spot in the field after defeating Arizona in the Pac-12 championship game. Colorado last appeared in the NCAA tournament in 2003, when it lost 79-64 to Michigan State in the opening round.

PICK: UNLV

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 08:27 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
March Madness action report: Day 1 totals on the rise
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

It used to be a lot easier for oddsmakers setting lines for the NCAA tournament. Twenty points was the default spread for a No. 1 vs. No. 16 seed, but that’s not the case anymore.

“I’m really dating myself when I say these things,” Jimmy Vaccaro, Vegas veteran and Lucky’s sportsbook manager, told ***********, “but Duke is only giving 12 points to Lehigh? I mean, Lee-high? But it’s the right number and it just shows there isn’t as much separation in talent between these schools anymore.”

There are a number of Thursday tourney games with spreads and totals moving up and down. Here’s a look at some of the biggest moves:

(12) Harvard vs. (5) Vanderbilt: Open -8.5, now -5

Most shops opened this battle of brainy schools with a 7-point spread, but the Wynn, the first shop to open tourney lines in Vegas, threw out Vandy -8.5.

Wynn sportsbook director John Avello said he wasn’t sure why the sharps were pounding Harvard and he admitted he didn’t like the idea of being open to a 3-point middle.

"Harvard beat Florida State early in the season and they've got a coach who knows what he's doing," Avello told ***********, "but I thought there'd be more action on Vanderbilt the way they closed the season out."

(9) Southern Mississippi vs. (8) Kansas State: Open -6.5, now -5

KSU finished the Big 12 regular season off in style, winning at Mizzou and Baylor. Southern Mississippi, on the other hand, is on a 1-9 ATS streak, but went 14-3 in its non-conference schedule, with wins over New Mexico State, Colorado State and South Florida.

“I understand this line move,” Avello said. “Southern Miss had a good season.”

Avello also said he expects some buy-back on Kansas State once the tourists get in town, so if you like the Wildcats you might want to bet them now.

(13) Montana vs. (4) Wisconsin: Open 115.5, now 118.5

Wisconsin is the second lowest scoring team (63.9) in the tourney and allowed just 19.5 made field goals per game. We all know this about the Badgers. They’re a tough defensive team that plays an unbearably, slow-paced game.

Still, the total has already been bet up three points in the first three days leading up to Thursday’s tip-off.

(16) UNC-Asheville vs. (1) Syracuse: Open -18, now -15.5

Some offshore books opened lower but most shops installed the Orange as 17 to 17.5-point favorites with a 145.5 total for their first round matchup against the Bulldogs. But the spread and total both moved after word broke that Syracuse’s starting center Fab Melo was ruled ineligible to play in the tournament.

“Melo is not a stat guy,” said Avello, who opened the game at ‘Cuse -18. “His defense will be missed, sure. But it’s not like he was going to light up the scoreboard.”

That would probably explain why the total moved up to 147.5. The two-point swing on the spread seems to have more to do with a betting market that isn’t too high on the Big East’s best entering the Big Dance.

(12) Long Beach State vs. (5) New Mexico: Open 133.5, now 137.5

A four-point jump on this total caught our eyes right away. The outcome of this O/U will largely depend on Long Beach State leading scorer Casper Ware. If the undersized guard is feeling it from outside, over bettors should see a nice payday – even those who bought at 137.5.

“I think New Mexico is a live team,” Avello said. “They’re coming off a high from winning the Mountain West tournament, and they just seem to be firing on all pistons. We know this is going to be a running game, that’s for sure.”

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 08:53 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at Denver
The Thunder look to bounce back from a 104-103 loss to Houston and build on their 11-3 ATS record in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. Oklahoma City is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+1). Here are all of today's picks

THURSDAY, MARCH 15

Game 701-702: Washington at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.167; New Orleans 116.445
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 7 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 3; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3); Under

Game 703-704: Charlotte at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 104.573; Dallas 123.555
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 19; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: Oklahoma City at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 120.968; Denver 118.881
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+1); Under

Game 707-708: Minnesota at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.285; Utah 120.193
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 3 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Phoenix at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 120.207; LA Clippers 122.989
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+7 1/2); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (9 - 32) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 33) - 3/15/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (6 - 35) at DALLAS (24 - 20) - 3/15/2012, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (32 - 10) at DENVER (24 - 19) - 3/15/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 71-56 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 125-101 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-6 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-5 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (22 - 21) at UTAH (20 - 22) - 3/15/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (20 - 22) at LA CLIPPERS (24 - 17) - 3/15/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 258-309 ATS (-81.9 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 15

Hot Teams
-- Dallas won seven of last nine home games, but is 3-8-1 vs spread in its last dozen home games.
-- Denver won six of its last eight games, but is 2-6 vs spread in its last eight home tilts. Thunder are 7-2 against spread in game following a loss.
-- Minnesota is 9-5 in its last 14 games; they covered five of their last seven on the road. Utah won/covered four of its last five at home.
-- Suns won/covered six of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Wizards lost 10 of last 12 games (4-8 vs spread). New Orleans is 2-9 vs spread in its last eleven home games.
-- Charlotte covered once in its last six road games.
-- Clippers are 3-5 in last eight home games (2-6 vs spread).

Wear-and-Tear
-- Wizards: 3rd game/4 nites. Hornets: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Bobcats: 7th game/10 nites. Mavericks: 2nd game/5 nites.
-- Thunder: 2nd game/5 nites. Nuggets: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- T'wolves: Had last two nites off. Jazz: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Suns: 3rd game/4 nites. Clippers: 4th game/5 nites.

Totals
-- Last five Washington games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Charlotte road games went over total.
-- Four of last five Oklahoma City road games stayed under.
-- Over is 10-4 in Minnesota's last fourteen road games.
-- Four of last five Clipper home games stayed under total.

Back-to-Back
-- Hornets are 6-4 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Bobcats are 4-8 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Jazz is 2-6 vs spread if they lost the night before.
-- Suns are 7-4-1 vs spread if they played the night before. Clippers are 7-4 vs spread if they played the night before.

NBA

Thursday, March 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games at home

8:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Charlotte's last 15 games on the road
Charlotte is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
Dallas is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. UTAH
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Denver
Denver is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City

10:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Clippers are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA

Thursday, March 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pick 'n' roll: Thursday's best NBA bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets (1, 211)

The Denver Nuggets have dropped four of their last five against the spread, but at least the club’s supporters are seeing a bit of progress.

Danilo Gallinari finally looked more like himself after recovering from his foot injury in a 118-117 overtime win against Atlanta on Tuesday.

After failing to crack 10 points in his first three game back in the lineup, he scored 19 points and hit a key trey near the end of regulation.

"I think it's trying to get him into easy opportunities where you get more layups and easy shots, rather than trying to play one-on-one and get into the teeth of the defense," coach George Karl about Gallinari. "It's trying to get more actions by playing before the defense gets set, running the court, maybe getting some offensive boards and get confidence from easy opportunities."

With Oklahoma City sputtering, we like the Nuggets in this spot.

Pick: Nuggets

Washington Wizards at New Orleans Hornets (-3, 193)

If the Washington Wizards don’t make any moves ahead of Thursday’s trade deadline, it won’t be for lack of effort.

Rumors continue to fly around that Andray Blatche – among others – may have already played their last games with Washington when the Wizards dropped a 107-98 decision to the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday.

Still, coach Randy Whittman is happy with the progress his group is making.

“We came here and I thought we fought them tooth and nail,” Wittman told reporters. “Against good teams like this, your margin for error of us, being what we are as a young team, is small. We’ve just got to keep fighting like that, and keep improving. Making steps in the improvement defensively we need to make.”

Tough to make a call on this one before the deadline, but each of the last three meetings between these teams have played under.

Pick: Under

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 09:03 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Phoenix at Calgary
The Coyotes look to build on their 6-1 record in the last 7 meetings between the two teams. Phoenix is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Coyotes favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MARCH 15

Game 51-52: St. Louis at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.494; Carolina 10.496
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155); Under

Game 55-56: Pittsburgh at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.501; NY Rangers 12.262
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 57-58: Philadelphia at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.419; NY Islanders 11.755
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+125); Over

Game 59-60: Boston at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.940; Florida 10.247
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Under

Game 61-62: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.181; Tampa Bay 10.909
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Under

Game 63-64: Phoenix at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.981; Calgary 10.470
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+115); Over

Game 65-66: Nashville at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.912; San Jose 11.273
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-125); Under

**Udog** · 03-15-2012, 09:07 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (45-18-0-8, 98 pts.) at CAROLINA (26-29-0-15, 67 pts.) - 3/15/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 4-15 ATS (+22.6 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 45-26 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 24-9 ATS (+10.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 13-3 ATS (+9.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ST LOUIS is 22-4 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 12-1 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 26-44 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 85-96 ATS (-55.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 2-1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (38-30-0-4, 80 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (40-25-0-5, 85 pts.) - 3/15/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 6-26 ATS (+43.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 40-29 ATS (+83.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 47-31 ATS (+1.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 69-31 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 17-12 ATS (+34.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
COLORADO is 38-34 ATS (+76.0 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 11-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
COLORADO is 12-4 ATS (+16.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-0 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (42-21-0-5, 89 pts.) at NY RANGERS (44-18-0-7, 95 pts.) - 3/15/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 9-7-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (40-22-0-7, 87 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (28-31-0-11, 67 pts.) - 3/15/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-26 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-11 ATS (+6.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-25 ATS (+46.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 14-3 (+8.9 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 14-3-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (40-26-0-3, 83 pts.) at FLORIDA (33-23-0-13, 79 pts.) - 3/15/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 16-18 ATS (-15.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 16-16 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BOSTON is 3-9 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 77-116 ATS (+207.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
FLORIDA is 27-50 ATS (-28.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 105-152 ATS (+287.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-3 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (30-32-0-8, 68 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (32-30-0-7, 71 pts.) - 3/15/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 12-20 ATS (-9.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 89-79 ATS (+2.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 247-338 ATS (+594.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-4 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (35-25-0-11, 81 pts.) at CALGARY (33-25-0-12, 78 pts.) - 3/15/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 20-5 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 130-115 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-22 ATS (+55.1 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-25 ATS (+61.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 186-162 ATS (+22.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 8-3 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (41-21-0-7, 89 pts.) at SAN JOSE (34-25-0-10, 78 pts.) - 3/15/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 5-12 ATS (-8.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
SAN JOSE is 16-2 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 40-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 16-9 ATS (+25.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
NASHVILLE is 21-10 ATS (+8.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 22-16 ATS (+41.5 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 34-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
SAN JOSE is 15-20 ATS (-21.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN JOSE is 1-6 ATS (-8.0 Units) in March games this season.
SAN JOSE is 11-20 ATS (-19.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 6-5-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 3/15 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 3/15 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment