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Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/6 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    NHL

    Tuesday, March 6


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    Pucking the trends: This week's best NHL bets
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    Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

    HOT TEAM: Pittsburgh Penguins

    No one is about to say they don’t need him, or that it doesn’t matter when he returns, but Pittsburgh is doing fine these days without Sidney Crosby. The Penguins hammered Colorado 5-1 on Saturday and take a five-game win streak into Monday’s date with the Coyotes.

    Catching the Rangers for the Atlantic Division lead, and the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, might be a bit of a stretch, but Evgeni Malkin and Co. have a shot. Monday's tilt begins a four-game homestand that features three other winnable games: Toronto, Florida and Boston.

    Malkin, through Saturday, had 38 goals and 80 points. James Neal and Jordan Staal have also come up big in Crosby's absence, combining for 51 goals.

    They are good, they are hot, and Crosby or not, the Penguins will be one of those playoff teams that no one wants to face.

    COLD TEAM: Montreal Canadiens

    A bit of an easy target, for sure, but when you lose to Toronto, 3-1, on Hockey Night in Canada, with all that's hovering over the Maple Leafs these days, you're going to end up in this space more times than not.

    The Canadiens have lost six of their last seven, and the defeats weren't exactly to Murderers’ Row. Montreal has dropped decisions to New Jersey, Dallas, Washington, Florida and Tampa Bay during this skid, and the setback to the Maple Leafs was demoralizing, even for the Eastern Conference's worst team.

    OVER PLAY: Tampa Bay Lightning

    Don't tell Steven Stamkos the Lightning are out of the jumbled Eastern Conference playoff race. Several teams at the bottom of the totem pole have struggled through the late winter, but Tampa Bay is sizzling at the right time, and may even rally to win the division.

    Stamkos scored two goals on Saturday night, leading the Lightning to a 4-3 win over the Carolina Hurricanes. He now has 47 goals, which leads the league, and Tampa Bay was just four points out of the Southeast Division lead Sunday morning, and two points out of the eighth playoff berth in the East.

    The Lightning have won seven of their last 10 headed into Tuesday's date with Ottawa, and they are clearly back to playing up-and-down hockey along the way. That is music to totals players, of course, because Tampa Bay has gone over in five of the last six games, and is now 41-23-1 over for the season.

    UNDER PLAY: Anaheim Ducks

    Though the Capitals may not want to admit it, Bruce Boudreau can coach a little bit. And though Anaheim likely won’t mount a furious rally and snare the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference, the Ducks have stemmed the tide, thanks to their new coach.

    They lost to rival Los Angeles, 4-2, on Saturday night, but despite their awful start the Ducks are 28-28-10 headed into Monday’s game vs. Edmonton. Not bad, considering where they came from. Right wing Corey Perry has 31 goals and 52 points.

    But the biggest difference in the Boudreau Era is on the back line, as the Ducks have combined solid goaltending with smart defense. And that has translated to unders. Tons of them.

    Saturday’s over versus the Kings snapped a 10-game under streak, including four games where they allowed one goal or less. And for the season, Anaheim is a stunning 25-39-2 over, a delight to under bettors.

    SURVEYING THE SCHEDULE:

    ** March came in like a lion for the Bruins, who will seven games in the first 11 days. Not easy opponents, either, for the Stanley Cup champions. This run, when it's said and done, will have featured dates with the Rangers, Penguins and surging Sabres.

    ** Detroit can take a bit of a breath this week, so expect some fresh legs from the Red Wings moving forward. After Sunday’s meeting with the Blackhawks, Detroit plays just one game in the next four days -- a rare visit to Philadelphia on Tuesday.


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    • #17
      NHL

      Tuesday, March 6


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Ice picks: Tuesday's best NHL bets
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      Oddsmakers have yet to release a line for the Detroit-Philadelphia matchup. Pick should be considered an early lean.

      Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers (N/A)

      The Philadelphia Flyers have had injury issues on the blue line throughout this season.

      Chris Pronger’s concussion was a dramatic loss to the team and now the club will be without Kimmo Timonen and Andrej Meszaros indefinitely as they’re both dealing with lower-body ailments.

      That means the recent additions of Pavel Kubina and Nick Grossman are going to be even more important.

      "We hope (Meszaros and Timonen) can come back soon in the lineup, but guys who was playing tonight, Andreas (Lilja) and Gustafsson, they played unbelievable," goaltender Ilya Bryzgalov told reporters after a 1-0 shutout win against Washington on Sunday. "It's the whole team, like I said, unbelievable team effort. I love to get the two points because it was a very important game."

      Philadelphia’s defense will get a serious test Tuesday against a Red Wings club that has lost four of their last six overall. After this game, Detroit is off until Friday, so expect a good showing.

      Pick: Red Wings


      Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues (-145, 5)


      Even though the St. Louis Blues have won 20 of their last 28 games overall, coach Ken Hitchcock is never satisfied. The Blues picked up 10 points out of a possible 12 on their six-game road trip that they finished off with a 3-1 win at San Jose.

      T.J. Oshie picked up a goal and an assist and now leads the team with 46 points, but Hitchcock is still concerned with his team’s secondary scoring.

      "What's happening is our top-minute players are getting a lot of attention on the road, so it falls on other people to be factors in the game," Hitchcock said. "What we need is our second-wave players to get the other team's attention more if we want to get to the next level. I think moving forward, that's going to be the biggest difference for us, whether we can beat these good teams."

      They’ll get the benefit of last change now that they’re on home ice and this should be a tight battle.

      Pick: Under


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      Comment


      • #18
        NCAAB
        Short Sheet

        Tuesday's Top College Basketball Trends


        N TEXAS is 8-0 ATS vs. team w/ losing record (vs W Kentucky)

        VILLANOVA is 0-9 ATS if they made 78% of FT's or better last game (vs Rutgers)

        SOUTH DAKOTA ST is 10-1 ATS vs. poor pressure defensive teams (forcing less than 14 TO's/game) (vs W Illinois)

        W ILLINOIS is 4-19 ATS after scoring 65+ pts BB games (vs S Dakota St)

        CONNECTICUT is 14-3 ATS in neutral court games (vs. DePaul)

        MONTANA is 11-2 ATS off BB conference games (vs. E Washington)

        Comment


        • #19
          NBA
          Short Sheet

          Tuesday, March 6


          ATLANTA at INDIANA, 7:05 PM ET
          ATLANTA: 11-0 Under as road underdog
          INDIANA: 2-7 ATS vs. Atlanta

          ORLANDO at CHARLOTTE, 7:05 PM ET
          ORLANDO: 6-1 ATS at Charlotte
          CHARLOTTE: 0-8 ATS off loss by 3 pts or less

          HOUSTON at BOSTON, 7:35 PM ET
          HOUSTON: 14-2 Under off a loss
          BOSTON: 1-11 ATS at home vs. Southeast Division

          NEW JERSEY at MIAMI, 7:35 PM ET
          NEW JERSEY: 1-7 ATS off road win
          MIAMI: 12-4 Over as home favorite of 12.5 or more

          LA LAKERS at DETROIT, 7:35 PM ET
          LA LAKERS: 5-13 ATS in road games
          DETROIT: 18-4 Over at home vs. non-conference

          NEW YORK at DALLAS, 8:35 PM ET NBA TV
          NEW YORK: 30-13 ATS as a road dog
          DALLAS: 7-0 Under at home if the total is between 190 and 199.5

          ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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