Spears Cheers

[PhilJr]

GL Spear, nice to see you around

[Kaptain]

thanks Spearit.........as alway, much appreciated.......

au revoir
1.Goodbye till we meet again.


you missed the French Version.......

[Spearit]

Thanks Kapt and Phil Jr.

36-18 Please Note all:

I would wait for these to get back on a true win streak before playing. Hindsight shows they run in spurts.

I played em both but I can see that looking back at the beginning of this system was at its worse. This is construed to mean that tired legs were not yet in vogue.

I also sense that because of the down time at all-star break these teams have had a chance to rest up. I then make the conclusion. We rest any bets on this system until the winning get back on track. Preponderance of the evidence.

Therefore please do as I am doing, and wait till tired legs are once again the winning ways of the system. No Plays till then.

[Spearit]

NBA 1st Half System Stats

nj @ cle (1/1) win
tor @ ny (1/2) win
atl @ chi (1/3) loss
cha @ ny (1/4) loss
gs @ lal (1/6) loss
ind @ bos (1/6) loss
hou @ okc (1/6) win
mem @ lal (1/8) win
chi @ atl (1/7) win
mil @ pho (1/8) win
mia @ den (1/13) win
cle @ cha (1/16) win
sac @ mn (1/16) loss
nj @ lac (1/16) win
tor @ bos (1/18) win
gs @ nj (1/18) win
okc @ nj (1/21) loss
ind @ lal (1/22) Push
den @ ny (1/21) win
por @ det (1/21) win
pho @ dal (1/23) win
dal @ no (1/21) win
sac @ por (1/23) win
nj @ cle (1/27) loss
mem @ pho (1/28) win
ny @ hou (1/28) win
tor @ nj (1/29) loss
ind @ orl (1/29) win
atl @ tor (1/31) loss
sa @ mem (1/30) loss

Jan Record 19-10

okc @ dal (2/1) win
det @ nj (2/1) win
mem@ Boston (2/5) win
cha@ Boston (2/7) loss
okc@ Utah (2/10) loss
CHI@ BOS(2/12) win
LAL@ TOR(2/12) löss
LAC@ DAL(2/13) win
HOU@ MEM(2/14) win
PHO@ DEN(2/14) win
UT@ OKC(2/14) win
PHI@ ORL(2/15) win
CHA@ IND(2/19) win
DEN@ OKC(2/19) loss
WAS@ PHO(2/20) win

Filters added: * (Not true system plays)
*Add: Pho 1st Qtr win
*Add Sac@ Miami (2/21) loss
*Add Hou 1st Qtr win

PHI@ HOU(2/22) win
ATL@ NY(2/22) win
SAC@ WAS(2/22) win
BOS@ OKC(2/22) win
NO@ CLE(2/22) (small or no play) loss

ORL@ ATL(2/23) win
SA@ DEN(2/23) loss

Record Feb.16 -6 Overall 35-16
Filters 2-1 (Not included above)

*****************All Star Break**************************

Staying off system due to rested legs.
MN@ POR(3/3) loss
MIL@ ORL(3/3) loss
** (No Play) CHI@ PHI(3/4) win
** (No Play) MIA @ LAL(3/4) loss

March System Record is 1-3
Total:
---------------------------------------------------------------
Todays games
GS @ WAS(3/5)
SAC @ DEN(3/5)

Info:
GS has shifted its lineup as its offense is challenged by an injury to Stephen Curry (tendon in foot) who avg. 15.7 pts per, 6 assists, 3.5 rebounds, and 1.7 steals per game. For the two games that he has missed, GS has looked pretty bad, losing to Toronto by 8 as a 1 point dog and to Philly by 22.
What is telling about this is they beat Atlanta by 3 with Curry playing. But lossed the game before by 24 to Indy w/o Curry.

Seems logical to think that Curry propels the GS machine except on closer inspection, Curry played 3 seconds of the Atlanta game with 0 points.

Yet, each game in the past ten, GS has gone under with Curry out and each time they have lossed. They beat Phoenix and the Clippers as dogs before the injury.

The line is not out from Vegas as they are looking the situation over.

Concerning the Denver matchup. It looks fairly solid.






NJ @ MIA(3/6)
ORL @ CHI(3/8)
LAC @ SA(3/9)
NY @ MIL(3/9)
LAL @ MN(3/9)
UT @ CHI(3/10)
DAL @ GS(3/10
MEM @ DEN(3/11))
HOU @ OKC(3/13)
ATL @ LAC(3/14)
CHA @ DAL(3/15)
MIA @ PHI(3/16)
POR @ OKC(3/18)
TOR @ NY(3/20)
DET @ DEN(3/21)
WAS @ NJ(3/21)
LAC @ NO(3/22)
BOS @ PHI(3/23)
CLE @ ORL(3/23)
MN @ OKC(3/23)
PHO @ CLE(3/25)
MEM @ LAL(3/25)
MIA @ IND(3/26)
UT@ BOS(3/28)
DET @ CHI(3/30)
NO @ PHO(4/1)
MEM @ OKC(4/2)
DEN @ NO(4/4)
NJ @ POR(4/4)

[Spearit]

Denver is also not yet up. Vegas is checking on Gallinari.
Gallanari a forward has returned to drills from a bad ankle and is questionable to play tonight. He avg 17 points and 5.2 rebounds and would be a big boost for Denver who has their 7 foot center
Koufos now out with a knee issue.
He avg 5.5 pt and 5 rebounds.

[Spearit]

Been corrected from afar.

38-19

MN@ POR(3/3) loss
MIL@ ORL(3/3) loss
** CHI@ PHI(3/4) win
** MIA @ LAL(3/4) win

March System Record is 2-2

[Spearit]

playing

516 Denver Nuggets 1st Half -5½
-110* vs Sacramento Kings

506 Washington Wizards 1st Half +½
-115* vs Golden State Warriors

[moondog22]

thanks Spearit

[PhilJr]

I'm tailing again, better results today...

[myrjimmy3]

Second half wiz?

[Spearit]

NJ @ MIA (3/6) 10*
(My biggest bet this year)

No excuses. its a system. We got sucker punched and I am pissed, but systems work best when you double up from your losses as the percentages are what you want to play on, not the individual games.

The mindset of failure is derived from taking plays that have a better than even chance of winning and when you lose go try something else.

So 2 Losses last night. Record is 2-4, in March.
I am in total belief that tonight makes up for it.

On the status of Miami and NJ tonight.
The line is not up but I highly recommend the first half of our system play tonight on Miami.

With Miami's recent losses to Utah and LA and NJ winning a close contest with Charlotte, you would have to like the day off and home advantage of Miami.
Brooks Lopez (Center avg 19 points per game) rolled his ankle and will be out tonight for NJ.

Injured in the LA game was Wade with a concussion, so he is likely out. Bosh has been listed as probable and should be on the court. he had a personal problem.

The last time these teams met was after Miami lost 3 in a row. Wade did not play.

Kris Humphries poured in 25 for the Nets and I did not see Lopez playing in that one either. It was mostly guards and forwards carrying the team.

In that game Miami, was in a similar situation with Nj at NJ. Miami had come out hot to a 57 -35 half time lead and coasted to a 101-90 win, covering the 9 point chalk.

One would have to believe that NJ will have trouble in the paint tonight.
Petro, a frenchman is no match for Bosh and Haslem.

[Spearit]

Doubling up and adding 1 more unit from losses yesterday.
Should not be close. However, If loses take the second half or if they lose by a point or two in first half--take 3rd Qtr.

Good Luck tonight and always.

[kbsooner21]

Good luck Spear. Sound reasoning, I'm gonna tail

[Spearit]

Good Luck KB

Heat coach Erik Spoelstra has long called Chris Bosh the team’s “most important player.” That declaration gained traction over the weekend.

The 93-83 loss to the Lakers on Sunday marked the first time the Heat has lost back-to-back games since early January. The Heat survived a long stretch with Dwyane Wade out of the lineup but fell apart quickly without Bosh.

“No question about it, Chris Bosh is a major component to what we do on both ends of the court,” Spoelstra said. “That’s why we don’t listen to anybody when they talk about Chris’s importance or value. He’s one of the best players in this league, but more importantly, he has a great impact on how we play, and he settles us.”

Bosh has missed the Heat’s past three games following the death of his grandmother. He’s expected to rejoin the team Tuesday. Spoelstra said the team learned on Saturday that Bosh wouldn’t be traveling to Los Angeles.

“When you miss a guy like that you lose a lot,” said Udonis Haslem, who started in place of Bosh against the Lakers. “But it’s no excuse. We had a chance to win in Utah, and we were in the game [Sunday]. So, I can’t really say that’s why we lost.”

My Take------------------------------- NJ has done well to cover ATS in games with Miami and has been playing well as of late.
Their young players are starting to develop and they show they can score well from the guard and forward positions. If they start firing treys it will probably be in the 2nd half.
Haslem has not started in since last April, and he is has been cold since the All Star break. Wade has also been subpar lately and his foul probably cost them the Utah game.
Both will get adequate rest tonight (Bosh in and Wade out) and a juggling of the line up is just what the Heat needs with their talented deep bench to cover the spread against NJ in the opening half.

[myrjimmy3]

gl spearit