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Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 2/2 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    NHL

    Thursday, February 2


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Ice picks: Thursday’s best NHL bets
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Nashville Predators at Philadelphia Flyers (-130, 5.5)

    So far, the Nashville Predators are doing a good job of keeping Ryan Suter’s contract status from being a distraction.

    Suter told reporters over the All-Star break that he didn’t think he was going to sign a contract extension before the trade deadline, which sparked a lot of controversy.

    However, it’s not like the team isn’t trying to get a deal done. Nashville management met with Suter’s agent again early this week and seem determined to keep the rearguard around.

    And why wouldn’t they? Suter and Shea Weber could be the best defensive pairing in the league and are a huge factor in Nashville’s success this season.

    The Preds have lost just once in their last 11 games and that was when they gave starting goaltender Pekka Rinne a rest midway through last month.

    Despite Philadelphia’s potent offense, the Flyers are going to have a tough time generating quality scoring chances on Thursday.

    Pick: Predators


    Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils (-150, 5)


    The Montreal Canadiens seek their fifth straight victory in the Garden State on Thursday when they face the New Jersey Devils. This is the third of four meetings between the clubs this season. They split the first two games with the road team winning both contests.

    The Canadiens haven't missed the postseason since 2007, but are tied for the second-fewest points in the Eastern Conference. Earning victories on the road has been a tough task. The Canadiens' 2-6-1 road record since Dec. 15 is second-worst among East teams, even though they've been tied or leading after two periods in their last six away from home.

    Meanwhile, the Devils will be without Cs Travis Zajac and Adam Henrique, who are both out with injuries. Dainius Zubrus will center the top line with Ilya Kovalchuk and captain Zach Parise despite being a natural right wing.

    Kovalchuk is on a hot streak again and the Devils are dangerous, but this is too much chalk for our liking.

    Pick: Over


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comment


    • #17
      NCAAB
      Dunkel


      Oregon State at Colorado
      The Buffaloes look to bounce back from a 77-60 loss to UCLA and build on their 10-1 ATS record in their last 11 games following an ATS defeat. Colorado is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Buffaloes favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

      THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 7

      Game 513-514: Duke at Virginia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Duke 70.230; Virginia Tech 68.000
      Dunkel Line: Duke by 2; 137
      Vegas Line: Duke by 4 1/2; 140 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+4 1/2); Under

      Game 515-516: Nebraska at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 61.173; Northwestern 65.211
      Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 4; 129
      Vegas Line: Northwestern by 7; 125 1/2
      Dunkel Pick Nebraska (+7); Over

      Game 517-518: Wright State at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 51.282; Butler 61.786
      Dunkel Line: Butler by 10 1/2; 119
      Vegas Line: Butler by 9; 115
      Dunkel Pick: Butler (-9); Over

      Game 519-520: James Madison at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 50.395; Old Dominion 63.308
      Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 13; 121
      Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 10; 125
      Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-10); Under

      Game 521-522: Detroit at Valparaiso (7:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 57.867; Valparaiso 58.771
      Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 1; 140
      Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 3; 143 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Under

      Game 523-524: Youngstown State at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 52.713; Illinois-Chicago 52.446
      Dunkel Line: Even; 135
      Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 2; 130 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+2); Over

      Game 525-526: UL-Monroe at Arkansas State (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 40.954; Arkansas State 50.854
      Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 10; 127
      Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 11 1/2; 122
      Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+11 1/2); Over

      Game 527-528: Middle Tennessee State at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 63.671; North Texas 59.935
      Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3 1/2; 131
      Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 6; 133 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+6); Under

      Game 529-530: Denver at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Denver 57.212; UL-Lafayette 56.385
      Dunkel Line: Denver by 1; 132
      Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 1; 127
      Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1); Over

      Game 531-532: Florida Atlantic at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 53.838; South Alabama 51.405
      Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 2 1/2; 120
      Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 3; 124
      Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+3); Under

      Game 533-534: Florida International at Troy (8:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 49.985; Troy 50.857
      Dunkel Line: Troy by 1; 141
      Vegas Line: Troy by 3; 139 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+3); Over

      Game 535-536: South Carolina at Florida (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 58.216; Florida 74.458
      Dunkel Line: Florida by 16; 130
      Vegas Line: Florida by 14 1/2; 135
      Dunkel Pick: Florida (-14 1/2); Under

      Game 537-538: UCLA at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 66.436; Washington 67.510
      Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 146
      Vegas Line: Washington by 4; 141 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+4); Over

      Game 539-540: Oregon at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 60.617; Utah 53.105
      Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7 1/2; 122
      Vegas Line: Oregon by 10; 126 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Utah (+10); Under

      Game 541-542: Oregon State at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 60.478; Colorado 66.104
      Dunkel Line: Colorado by 5 1/2; 143
      Vegas Line: Colorado by 3; 146 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-3); Under

      Game 543-544: Arizona at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 65.805; California 71.433
      Dunkel Line: California by 5 1/2; 138
      Vegas Line: California by 7 1/2; 131 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+7 1/2); Over

      Game 545-546: USC at Washington State (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: USC 53.790; Washington State 61.230
      Dunkel Line: Washington State by 7 1/2; 116
      Vegas Line: Washington State by 7; 120
      Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-7); Under

      Game 547-548: San Diego at St. Mary's (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 51.870; St. Mary's 70.543
      Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 18 1/2; 144
      Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 20 1/2; 140 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+20 1/2); Over

      Game 549-550: Portland at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Portland 46.307; Santa Clara 54.735
      Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 8 1/2; 148
      Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 5; 145 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-5); Over

      Game 551-552: Utah State at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 56.403; Nevada 66.469
      Dunkel Line: Nevada by 10; 127
      Vegas Line: Nevada by 8; 131 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-8); Under

      Game 553-554: Idaho at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.654; Fresno State 57.650
      Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 3; 125
      Vegas Line: Fresno State by 4; 130
      Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+4); Under

      Game 555-556: UC-Santa Barbara at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 55.915; CS-Northridge 44.116
      Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 12; 145
      Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 8 1/2; 139 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-8 1/2); Over

      Game 557-558: Cal Poly at CS-Fullerton (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 55.191; CS-Fullerton 55.320
      Dunkel Line: Even; 133
      Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 2 1/2; 131 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+2 1/2); Over

      Game 559-560: Arizona State at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 50.761; Stanford 67.444
      Dunkel Line: Stanford by 16 1/2; 122
      Vegas Line: Stanford by 14; 126
      Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-14); Under

      Game 561-562: UC-Davis at UC-Irvine (10:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 38.961; UC-Irvine 54.966
      Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 16; 144
      Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 11; 138 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-11); Over

      Game 563-564: Pepperdine at Loyola Marymount (10:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 49.656; Loyola Marymount 57.647
      Dunkel Line: Loyola Marymount by 8; 120
      Vegas Line: Loyola Marymount by 10; 123
      Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+10); Under

      Game 565-566: Gonzaga at BYU (11:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 63.436; BYU 68.124
      Dunkel Line: BYU by 4 1/2; 151
      Vegas Line: BYU by 3; 147 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: BYU (-3); Over

      Game 567-568: Pacific at UC-Riverside (11:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 52.012; UC-Riverside 53.366
      Dunkel Line: UC-Riverside by 1 1/2; 115
      Vegas Line: UC-Riverside by 4; 120 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+4); Under

      Game 569-570: Canisius at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 39.754; Iona 60.869
      Dunkel Line: Iona by 21; 155
      Vegas Line: Iona by 24 1/2; 148 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+24 1/2); Over

      Game 571-572: College of Charleston at Elon (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 51.180; Elon 49.673
      Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 1 1/2; 133
      Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 4; 139
      Dunkel Pick: Elon (+4); Under

      Game 573-574: Chattanooga at Western Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 47.385; Western Carolina 48.233
      Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 1; 141
      Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 3; 138
      Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+3); Over

      Game 575-576: Samford at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Samford 46.820; Appalachian State 50.985
      Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 4; 130
      Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 7 1/2; 133
      Dunkel Pick: Samford (+7 1/2); Under

      Game 577-578: The Citadel at NC-Greensboro (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 40.669; NC-Greensboro 52.994
      Dunkel Line: NC-Greensboro by 12 1/2; 146
      Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 10; 140
      Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (-10); Over

      Game 579-580: Jacksonville State at Tennessee-Martin (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 46.231; Tennessee-Martin 43.009
      Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 3; 121
      Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 5; 125
      Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+5); Under

      Game 581-582: Tennessee Tech at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 50.549; Austin Peay 54.194
      Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 3 1/2; 152
      Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 2 1/2; 147 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-2 1/2); Over

      Game 583-584: SE Missouri State at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 48.685; Murray State 65.782
      Dunkel Line: Murray State by 17; 134
      Vegas Line: Murray State by 14 1/2; 140 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-14 1/2); Under

      Game 585-586: Morehead State at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 50.746; SIU-Edwardsville 45.639
      Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 5; 133
      Vegas Line: Morehead State by 6 1/2; 130
      Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+6 1/2); Over

      Game 587-588: Eastern Kentucky at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 46.084; Eastern Illinois 45.267
      Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 1; 122
      Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 2; 127
      Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+2); Under

      Game 589-590: Marist at Manhattan (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Marist 44.427; Manhattan 58.839
      Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 14 1/2; 135
      Vegas Line: Manhattan by 16; 139
      Dunkel Pick: Marist (+16); Under

      Game 591-592: Eastern Washington at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 50.517; Northern Arizona 41.302
      Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 9; 138
      Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 6 1/2; 135
      Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (-6 1/2); Over

      Game 593-594: Portland State at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 49.647; Weber State 59.467
      Dunkel Line: Weber State by 10; 148
      Vegas Line: Weber State by 11; 153 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+11); Under

      Game 595-596: Sacramento State at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 41.068; Northern Colorado 49.282
      Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 8; 141
      Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 6 1/2; 138
      Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (-6 1/2); Over

      Game 597-598: Idaho State at Montana State (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 47.253; Montana State 50.567
      Dunkel Line: Montana State by 3 1/2; 140
      Vegas Line: Montana State by 4 1/2; 135 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+4 1/2); Over

      Game 601-602: IPFW at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 45.579; Western Illinois 53.875
      Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 8 1/2; 118
      Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 7 1/2; 123 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-7 1/2); Under

      Game 603-604: Oral Roberts at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 64.775; South Dakota State 67.460
      Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 2 1/2; 156
      Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 3; 149
      Dunkel Pick: Oral Roberts (+3); Over

      Game 605-606: Southern Utah at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 50.361; North Dakota State 63.243
      Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 13; 127
      Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 11; 131
      Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-11); Under

      Comment


      • #18
        NHL
        Dunkel


        Detroit at Vancouver
        The Red Wings look to build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. Detroit is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

        THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 2

        Game 51-52: Carolina at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.068; Boston 12.433
        Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
        Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-270); 5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Boston (-270); Over

        Game 53-54: Montreal at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.433; New Jersey 10.426
        Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 4
        Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-150); 5
        Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+130); Under

        Game 55-56: Nashville at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.542; Philadelphia 11.839
        Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6
        Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-125); 5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Over

        Game 57-58: Winnipeg at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.635; Tampa Bay 10.724
        Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 5
        Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-150); 5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+130); Under

        Game 59-60: Minnesota at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.086; Colorado 11.615
        Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 4
        Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-140); 5
        Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-140); Under

        Game 61-62: Chicago at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.312; Edmonton 11.650
        Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
        Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-170); 5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+150); Over

        Game 63-64: Detroit at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.544; Vancouver 11.745
        Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6
        Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-125); 5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105); Over

        Game 65-66: Dallas at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.080; San Jose 12.725
        Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5
        Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-200); 5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-200); Under

        Comment


        • #19
          NBA
          Dunkel


          Memphis at Atlanta
          The Grizzlies are coming off a 100-97 win over Denver and look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Memphis is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+4). Here are all of today's picks

          THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 2

          Game 501-502: Memphis at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)

          Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.372; Atlanta 122.181
          Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 177
          Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 183 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+4); Under

          Game 503-504: Chicago at New York (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.744; New York 116.869
          Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 190
          Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 187
          Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2); Over

          Game 505-506: New Orleans at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.271; San Antonio 120.198
          Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 187
          Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 183 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+9 1/2); Over

          Game 507-508: Portland at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Portland 123.663; Sacramento 112.462
          Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 11;188
          Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3; 190
          Dunkel Pick: Portland (-3); Under

          Game 509-510: Denver at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Denver 122.884; LA Clippers 121.581
          Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1 1/2; 202
          Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 206 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2); Under

          Game 511-512: Utah at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.305; Golden State 122.446
          Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 198
          Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 4 1/2; 194
          Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-4 1/2); Over

          Comment


          • #20
            NCAAB
            Short Sheet

            Thursday's Top College Basketball Trends


            TENNESSEE TECH is 9-0 ATS in road games after playing a home game (vs Austin Peay)

            E ILLINOIS is 1-11 ATS in home games after a conference game (vs E Kentucky)

            DENVER is 3-17 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record (vs LA-Lafayette)

            N TEXAS is 8-0 ATS after a conference game (vs Middle Tenn St)

            ARIZONA ST is 0-8 ATS after one or more consecutive overs (vs Stanford)

            Comment


            • #21
              NBA
              Short Sheet

              Thursday, February 2


              MEMPHIS at ATLANTA, 7:35 PM ET
              MEMPHIS: 34-21 ATS as an underdog
              ATLANTA: 12-23 ATS in non-conference games

              CHICAGO at NEW YORK, 8:05 PM ET NBA
              CHICAGO: 13-3 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite
              NEW YORK: 2-8 ATS in home games

              NEW ORLEANS at SAN ANTONIO, 8:35 PM ET
              NEW ORLEANS: 26-10 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days
              SAN ANTONIO: 200-150 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

              PORTLAND at SACRAMENTO, 10:05 PM ET
              PORTLAND: 25-9 ATS in road games after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better
              SACRAMENTO: 8-18 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders

              DENVER at LA CLIPPERS, 10:35 PM ET NBA
              DENVER: 28-15 ATS as an underdog
              LA CLIPPERS: 3-12 ATS after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points

              UTAH at GOLDEN STATE, 10:35 PM ET
              UTAH: 104-72 OVER in road games after scoring 105 points or more
              GOLDEN STATE: 63-37 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points

              ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

              Comment


              • #22
                NHL
                Short Sheet

                Thursday, February 2


                CAROLINA at BOSTON, 7:05 PM ET
                CAROLINA: 0-7 SU off a home loss by 2 goals or more
                BOSTON: 19-3 SU when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

                MONTREAL at NEW JERSEY, 7:05 PM ET
                MONTREAL: 9-2 SU in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more
                NEW JERSEY: 27-45 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

                NASHVILLE at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
                NASHVILLE: 14-7 SU in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games
                PHILADELPHIA: 35-33 SU in home games

                WINNIPEG at TAMPA BAY, 7:35 PM ET
                WINNIPEG: 1-7 SU after playing 3 consecutive road games
                TAMPA BAY: 42-28 SU after playing a home game

                MINNESOTA at COLORADO, 9:05 PM ET
                MINNESOTA: 24-17 SU vs. division opponents
                COLORADO: 2-11 SU vs. division opponents

                CHICAGO at EDMONTON, 9:35 PM ET
                CHICAGO: 11-2 SU after 3 or more consecutive losses
                EDMONTON: 10-29 SU after a division game

                DETROIT at VANCOUVER, 10:05 PM ET
                DETROIT: 17-5 SU after a win by 2 goals or more
                VANCOUVER: 6-11 SU in home games off 2 or more consecutive home wins

                DALLAS at SAN JOSE, 10:35 PM ET
                DALLAS: 6-1 SU in road games after a division game
                SAN JOSE: 11-14 SU after playing a home game

                ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                Comment


                • #23
                  NFL
                  Dunkel


                  NY Giants vs. New England
                  The Giants look to build on their 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog. New York is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.

                  SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 5

                  Game 101-102: NY Giants vs. New England (6:30 p.m. EST)

                  Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 143.438; New England 141.965
                  Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1 1/2; 58
                  Vegas Line: New England by 3; 55
                  Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Over




                  NFL
                  Long Sheet

                  Sunday, February 5


                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  NY GIANTS (12 - 7) vs. NEW ENGLAND (15 - 3) - 2/5/2012, 6:30 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  NEW ENGLAND is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
                  NEW ENGLAND is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
                  NEW ENGLAND is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
                  NY GIANTS are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
                  NY GIANTS are 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
                  NY GIANTS are 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
                  NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
                  1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                  NFL
                  Short Sheet

                  Sunday, February 5


                  Super Bowl XLVI
                  NY GIANTS vs NEW ENGLAND, 6:30 PM ET
                  NBC
                  NY GIANTS: 10-2 ATS as a Wild Card team
                  NEW ENGLAND: 26-9 Over in all games

                  ** (TC) Denotes Time Change




                  NFL

                  Sunday, February 5


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Trend Report
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                  6:30 PM
                  NY GIANTS vs. NEW ENGLAND
                  NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games
                  New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 8 games


                  Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.

                  ATS Trends

                  N.Y. Giants
                  Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
                  Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
                  Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
                  Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
                  Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
                  Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog.
                  Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 playoff games.
                  Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                  Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                  Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
                  Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

                  Giants are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

                  New England
                  Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
                  Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Superbowl games.
                  Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.
                  Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 playoff games.



                  OU Trends

                  N.Y. Giants
                  Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games on fieldturf.
                  Over is 9-1-1 in Giants last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games overall.
                  Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games following a S.U. win.
                  Under is 8-2 in Giants last 10 playoff games.
                  Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games following a ATS win.
                  Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

                  Over is 11-4-1 in Giants last 16 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                  Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
                  Over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.

                  New England
                  Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                  Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games following a ATS loss.

                  Over is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                  Over is 22-7 in Patriots last 29 games overall.
                  Over is 22-7 in Patriots last 29 games following a S.U. win.
                  Over is 24-8 in Patriots last 32 games as a favorite.
                  Over is 14-5 in Patriots last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.
                  Over is 8-3-1 in Patriots last 12 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
                  Over is 26-10-1 in Patriots last 37 games on fieldturf.


                  Head to Head

                  Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New England.
                  Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
                  Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
                  Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.



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                  NFL

                  Sunday, February 5


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                  NFL Total Bias: Super Bowl XLVI's over/under pick
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                  I’ve never been much of a numbers guy.

                  Considering my chosen profession, that shouldn’t be a surprise to you. I needed a tutor to get through Grade 10 academic math, partly due to sheer laziness and partly due to sheer terror of an = sign.

                  The funny thing about it is that I never thought my issue carried over to sports.

                  I can still tell you more Wayne Gretzky numbers than you care to hear or what Bo Jackson’s career slugging percentage was (.474). I drooled all over myself when Randy Moss averaged 19 yards per catch and scored 17 touchdowns as a rookie back in ’98. I can convert odds and calculate units won/lost in my sleep.

                  For a stats junkie, these two weeks leading up to the Super Bowl should be gift from the football Gods, but for me it never plays out like that.

                  Maybe it’s all the Roman numerals.

                  More likely, though, is that it’s just a little overwhelming. Numbers do funny things to me when I’m mulling them about for too long.

                  I remember being hunched over one of those terrible classroom desks, completely stuck on one math problem during a quiz. I’d be sweating bullets, knowing that once this problem got in my head, I might as well sign my name and hand my paper in then because I was already cooked.

                  I guess I haven’t changed much since then.

                  In all honesty, this 54-point total listed for Sunday’s game has me bumbling around like John Nash in "A Beautiful Mind."

                  When the line was initially released, I wished I could have written this column that night to get in on the under when some shops had totals as high as 56.5 on the board. Wise advice from seasoned oddsmakers years ago had me immediately thinking that when a game’s this big, bettors aren’t hoping for field goals.

                  But you can’t base your pick strictly on an inflated Super Bowl total – which this most certainly is. I’ve gone back and forth on my pick a few times, thinking about Brady and Eli going shot-for-shot in an end zone orgy and whether New England’s defense can manage to pull its own weight for a mere 60 minutes.

                  Like you, I’m still worried about Ron Gronkowski’s ankle and I can’t help but wonder if the clock is going to strike 12 at some point for these surging Giants.

                  But whether you’re talking about the biggest football game in the world or a 10th grade math exam, in the end it always comes back to preparation, which is why coaching (or tutors) are so important.


                  Ron Borges has a great piece about the similarities between Bill Belichick and Tom Coughlin in Wednesday’s Boston Herald.

                  The column’s real strength is its quotes from players who have been coached by both Belichick and Coughlin over the years (of course, they coached together from 1988-90 in New York). It’s pretty evident that above everything else, the one thing that ties the two together is attention to detail.

                  “When I was the secondary coach and Tom was the receivers coach at the Giants,” Belichick said at Tuesday’s press conference, “we worked against each other daily and we also had great rapport off the field of helping each other out, talking about the different techniques and players of our upcoming opponents and suggestions on how to cover them or run routes — helping each other out on things like that as well as working with each other on the practice field.

                  “He’s shared things with me and I’ve shared things with him. That’s part of a friendship; that’s part of a mutual respect that we have.”

                  That’s why as everybody breaks drown Brady vs. Manning and New York’s defensive line against New England’s pass defense, I just keep coming back to Belichick vs. Coughlin.

                  With two weeks to prepare for this game and all the history between these two coaches, I just can’t see this being a blowout for either team. And as strong as both offenses are, Belichick and Coughlin always seem to find a way of taking away their opposition’s greatest weapons.

                  That’s what I think keeps this game under the total as the Patriots pull out a 27-21 victory.

                  Anything can happen on any given Sunday, but more often than not it’s all the hours you put in off the field that produce success on it. Belichick has been dreaming about this particular Sunday for a very long time.

                  Conference Championships record: 1-1

                  Season record to date: 33-28



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