Announcement

**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 08:58 AM

Monday’s betting tips: Saints bettors moving MNF line

Who’s hot

NFL: New Orleans has covered the spread in four straight at home.

NHL: Tampa Bay has won eight of its last 11 against Western Conference teams.

NHL: San Jose has won seven of its last eight road games.

NCAAB: Louisville has covered in 10 of its last 13.

Who’s not

NFL: The New York Giants are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games against NFC foes.

NHL: Nashville has won eight of its last 11 games in Edmonton.

NHL: Dallas has lost seven of its last nine overall.

NCAAB: Memphis is 6-21 against the spread in its last 27 non-conference games.

Key stat

89.8 - The Florida Gators are averaging 89.8 points per game this season – third best in the nation – ahead of Monday’s date with Stetson. With six players averaging at least 10 points per game, the Gators have now covered in nine of their last 13 games overall.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Ahmad Bradshaw, New York Giants – Bradshaw hoped to be able to suit up for Monday’s home game against the New Orleans Saints, but he has been ruled out with his foot injury. Bradshaw has missed four weeks with a cracked bone in his foot and Brandon Jacobs has struggled with the lead back role. Jacobs rushed for just 21 yards on 12 carries last week against Philadelphia.

Game of the day

New York Giants at New Orleans Saints (-7.5, 51.5)

Notable quotable

"I told the guys in the locker room it's a long season. This is November. This is why we played the four games we've played so far is to get challenged, to see what we've done well and things we need to make adjustments on. We're gonna keep positive." – Memphis Tigers coach Josh Pastner following a 91-88 overtime loss to Georgetown in the Maui Invitational final. The Tigers have dropped three straight against the spread ahead of Monday’s date with Jackson State.

Notes and tips

Most books opened with the New Orleans Saints set around -6.5 or -7 for their Monday night tilt with the New York Giants, but there has been significant movement on the line since then. As of Sunday evening, some online shops had the Saints set as high as -9 while others were still serving Saints -7.5. About 56 percent of *********** Consensus bettors were siding with New Orleans.

Dallas Stars goaltender Kari Lehtonen left Saturday's game against the Phoenix Coyotes with a groin injury. He was assisted off the ice and did not return. Lehtonen has had an outstanding season, compiling a 13-4-1 record and 2.35 goals-against average.

New York Giants linebacker Michael Boley will miss his second straight contest when he sits out Monday's game against the New Orleans Saints. Boley suffered a hamstring injury during a Nov. 13 contest against the San Francisco 49ers. He did not make the trip to New Orleans. The 29-year-old Boley has recorded 59 tackles and one sack in nine games this season.

**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 09:01 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Dayton Flyers won the Disney tournament in Orlando, 86-70 over the favored Minnesota Gophers. Good weekend for Archie Miller.

-- Saint Louis won the Disney tournament in Anaheim, 83-63 over the Oklahoma Sooners. Big weekend for the Atlantic 14.

-- Mariners got catcher John Jaso in a trade with the Rays; in 2010, Jaso had 169 at-bats out of the leadoff spot for Tampa Bay.

-- 18 different high schools had at least one player on both sides of the Florida-Florida State game Saturday night.

-- Patriots opened as a 21-point favorite over Indianapolis next week.

-- 99th Grey Cup in Vancouver was won by the host BC Lions, 34-23 over Winnipeg. Lions started the season 1-6, but lost only once more the rest of the way. 5th Grey Cup title for coach Wally Buono.

**********************

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday.........

13) Philly's season disintegrated into garbage time Sunday night, as New England averaged 10.1 yards/pass attempt in a 38-20 win at Philly that all but ended the Eagles' season. Philly led 10-0 early but that didn't last.

12) Eagles are 4-7, but have scored six more points than they've allowed. Giants are 6-4, but have scored exact same amount as they've allowed.

11) Three weeks ago, Patrick Peterson beat the Rams with a 99-yard punt return in OT; it happens. Once. You never let it happen again, especially with a talented kid like Peterson, who had three punt return TDs in his first 11 pro games. Punt the ball out of bounds. Please.

But no. Peterson had an 80-yard punt return for a TD Sunday, as Arizona won in St Louis for the 7th year in a row, 23-20. Punter Donnie Jones did take blame for Peterson's TD, but thats BS; its the coach's fault. Punt the goddamn ball out of bounds. Don't let Peterson beat you. Period.

10) Matt Leinart didn't last a half as Houston's starting QB; he broke his collarbone and is done for the year. No great loss; he throw the softest ball I've seen in the NFL since the hideous Pat Haden. Rookie TJ Yates came in, didn't screw things up, as Houston won 20-10 in Jacksonville.

As far as the Jaguars are concerned, someone has a lot of coaching to do if Blaine Gabbert is going to be a franchise QB in the NFL. Playing him now is either a disservice to the kid, a way to get the franchise to LA, or both.

9) Buffalo won four of its first five games, scoring 32.8 ppg; since then, Bills are 1-5, averaging 16.2 ppg. They were the better team Sunday, but got beat late at Swamp Stadium. Bills needed to win this game.

8) More jackass behavior by a WR: Buffalo's Stevie Johnson got 15-yard penalty for mocking Plaxico Burress after scoring a TD that put Buffalo ahead 14-7. Jets wound up with ball on Bills' 36-yard line, scored a tying TD and went on to win the game 28-24. At some point, can't you just be happy you scored and go back to the bench? I guess not......

7) Only 53 offensive TDs in 15 games so far this week, 14 of which came on drives of less than 50 yards. Both defensive TDs were scored by teams who lost, which is highly unusual.

Road teams are 10-4-1 vs spread so far this week.

6) Sebastian Janikowski kicked six FGs, Shane Lechler had an 80-yard punt with no return, as Oakland beat the Bears 25-20, thanks to a 20-yard edge in average starting field position. Hanie threw an INT on screen pass just before halftime, which swung the game in Oakland's favor.

5) Rex Grossman somehow passed for 306 yards, averaging 8.5 yards per attempt, as Washington snapped out of a 5-game skid with a 23-17 win at Seattle, which is a very hard team to figure.

4) Chris Johnson awoke from a year-long slump, ran ball for 190 yards in Tennessee's rainy 23-17 win over the Bucs. Nine turnovers, two offensive TD's tell you all you need to know about this game.

3) Colts pretty much clinched the first pick in next April's draft after its 27-19 home loss to Carolina. Next questions: who will they pick, or will they be the ones doing the picking?

2) Denver is now 5-1 with Tim Tebow as starting QB; Chargers have lost six games in a row after Broncos' 16-13 win in San Diego, before 65,000 very frustrated people at Qualcomm Sunday.

1) Eagles have now lost eight of their last nine home games. Go figure.

**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 09:36 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Dallas at Colorado
The Stars look to take advantage of a Colorado team that is coming off a 5-2 win over Edmonton and is 0-5 in its last 5 games following a victory. Dallas is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Stars favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 28

Game 1-2: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.387; Minnesota 11.381
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under

Game 3-4: Dallas at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.272; Colorado 10.126
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+120); Over

Game 5-6: Nashville at Edmonton (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.173; Edmonton 10.313
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-115); Over

Game 7-8: San Jose at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.189; Los Angeles 11.916
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-110); Under

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 28

Hot teams
-- Edmonton won five of its last six home games.
-- San Jose won four of its last five games.

Cold teams
-- Minnesota lost its last two games, both 5-2 at home. Lightning lost eight of last eleven road games.
-- Dallas Stars lost their last four road games, outscored 14-3. Colorado lost five of its last six games overall.
-- Nashville lost its last four games, outscored 17-8.
-- Los Angeles lost three of its last four games.

Totals
-- Three of last four Tampa Bay game went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Colorado home games this season.
-- Six of last seven Edmonton games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven San Jose games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Lightning lost four of last six games vs Minnesota; road team won five of last seven series games.
-- Dallas Stars won last three games vs Columbus, scoring 14 goals.
-- Oilers won four of last five games against Nashville.
-- Sharks won six of last eight games against Los Angeles

NHL

Monday, November 28

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing Dallas

9:30 PM
NASHVILLE vs. EDMONTON
Nashville is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Edmonton is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Nashville

10:30 PM
SAN JOSE vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
San Jose is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose

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NHL

Monday, November 28

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Ice picks: Monday's best NHL bets
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San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings (-115, 5)

When the Los Angeles Kings brought Mike Richards over from Philadelphia last offseason, they thought he would go a long way in helping generate some offensive consistency. A quarter of the way through the season, Richards is doing his job, but the Kings’ offense is still sputtering.

Richards sits tied for the team lead in scoring with 10 goals, but L.A. sits 23rd in the league scoring just 2.3 goals per game

"We need a better shot mentality, as a group,” Kings coach Terry Murray told reporters. We've always talked about that. That still is a need that we talk about in our meetings. If we just start with that and have people at the net, I think good things will start to happen with it."

That’s if they commit to getting to the net. The Kings often get stuck playing on the perimeter and until they start getting their noses dirty, they’ll have a tough time scoring.

Pick: Sharks

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche (-135, 5.5)

After a blazing start to the season, the Dallas Stars have come back down to earth a bit. They have dropped seven of their last nine overall and now could be without starting goaltender Kari Lehtonen for a while.

Lehtonen left Saturday’s 3-0 loss at Phoenix with an apparent groin injury and has been placed on injured reserve. And that’s just the tip of the iceberg.

Captain Brenden Morrow, Alex Goligoski and Adam Burish were already on the shelf before Lehtonen, Trevor Daley and Vernon Fiddler were injured Saturday.
"It's sticking with that full 60 that we talk about," Steve Ott said. "It's sticking with our structure. It's sticking with the program. Nine out of 10 times it usually pays off.

"If we continue to stick with that mentality, were going to be in games. We may not win every game, but we're going to be in every game and have a chance to win every game."

The Stars’ depth was questionable even before this rash of injuries, so they could be in trouble for a while.

Pick: Avalanche

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NHL

Monday, November 28

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Pucking the trends: This week's best NHL bets
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Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

HOT TEAM: Boston Bruins

Well, it took awhile but is looks as though the Boston Bruins have finally shook their Stanley Cup hangover.

Boston has strolled through November and with one game left in the month, the Bruins are still unbeaten in regulation, going 11-0-1. The goaltending duo of Tim Thomas and Tuukka Rask has been outstanding - the Bruins have three shutouts in that stretch - while the offense has found new life, scoring five or more goals six times on this run.

With 12 goals and 23 points, sophomore sensation Tyler Seguin is leading the way, and Seguin often didn’t make the lineup during the playoffs last season.

The Northeast race is tight right now, with Toronto, Buffalo, Montreal and even Ottawa in the mix. But Boston has more speed and skill than all of those teams, and it might just be a matter of time before the Bruins separate themselves from everyone.

COLD TEAM: Washington Capitals

The enigma that is the Washington Capitals in the Bruce Boudreau Era has returned. After a hot start, in which people were led to believe that maybe this team finally had it all figured out, along came November, and the mystery resurfaced.

The Rangers and Sabres are quality Eastern Conference teams and should make the postseason. But in a back-to-back stretch over 24 hours, those two clubs should not have their way with the Capitals.

Yet that’s exactly what happened, as New York dumped Washington, 6-3, on Friday, before Buffalo cruised past the Capitals, 5-1, on Saturday. In fact, Washington has now lost six of the last eight games and some of the scores have been alarming - 7-1 to the Maple Leafs in Toronto?

Center Nicklas Backstrom is having a tremendous season, with seven goals and 25 points, and perhaps an upcoming three-game home stand will help right the ship. For now though, Washington, with its hefty price tag at the window, has to be considered a consistent fade option.

OVER PLAY: Anaheim Ducks

There seems to be too much talent on this roster for Anaheim to be in last place, but for totals players, that is not your problem. The Ducks have been lax on defense and it’s cost them.

Anaheim, after a 6-5 loss to Chicago on Friday that was an over-player’s delight, had engineered four consecutive overs headed in a Sunday date against Toronto at home. Prior to the date versus the Maple Leafs, Anaheim had allowed four or more goals seven times in November.

Backup goaltender Dan Ellis has been adequate, but the Ducks need more out of incumbent Jonas Hiller, who through Saturday was 5-9-4 with a 3.17 goals-against average and an .899 save percentage. Not good enough for a netminder who has won at least 26 games each of the last two seasons.

Anaheim is in the midst of a six-game home stand, so maybe the Ducks can figure it out away from the road.

UNDER PLAY: San Jose Sharks

The Pacific Division race is shaping up to be a beauty, with four teams - San Jose, Phoenix, Dallas and Los Angeles - wrapped up in a neat little scrum right now. Everyone but Anaheim, for the time being, has a shot.

But the Sharks, with regards to talent, skill, depth, and even motivation, may be the best of that group. As the games get tighter, and points become more precious, it’s good to know the Sharks can slow it down and grind out games with the best of them.

That’s what they’ve clearly been doing. San Jose has won four of the last five games. Heading into Monday’s game with the Kings in Los Angeles, San Jose had orchestrated four consecutive unders, and six of the last seven have finished below the total.

Beginning Thursday, the Sharks have a four-game home stand, so perhaps with little travel to worry about, this run continues.

Surveying the schedule:

** It’s always important to highlight the Winnipeg Jets and their schedule, as there will always be clear opportunities to snag trends. They are currently on a nice break from their long road trips, so maybe this is a chance to fatten up at home. Tuesday’s game against Ottawa is the first of five consecutive games in Winnipeg, a stretch that doesn’t end until Dec. 9.

** The Penguins, and Sidney Crosby, will get to see what life is like on the road with their superstar back in the mix this week. Pittsburgh won in Montreal, 4-3, on Saturday, opening a stretch in which it will play six of seven games away from the Consol Energy Center. That is a stretch that continues Tuesday, at the Rangers and doesn’t end until Dec. 10.

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**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 09:41 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

I'll add the missing games ASAP.

Akron at West Virginia
The Zips look to take advantage of a West Virginia team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 Monday games. Akron is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Mountaineers favored by only 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Akron (+10). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 28

Game 741-742: Long Beach State at Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 63.810; Louisville 71.338
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 7 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Louisville by 9 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+9 1/2); Under

Game 743-744: UL-Lafayette at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 50.690; Kent State 66.626
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 16; 142
Vegas Line: Kent State by 14; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-14); Over

Game 745-746: Akron at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 60.021; West Virginia 67.644
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 7 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 10; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+10); Under

Game 747-748: Xavier at Vanderbilt (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 66.518; Vanderbilt 67.865
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 1 1/2; 145
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 4; 141
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (+4); Over

Game 749-750: Georgia at Colorado (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 61.993; Colorado 65.016
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 3; 138
Vegas Line: Colorado by 4; 134
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+4); Over

Game 751-752: Pacific at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 48.030; Stanford 66.052
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 18; 122
Vegas Line: Stanford by 20; 127
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+20); Under

Game 753-754: Pepperdine at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 47.182; UCLA 61.092
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 14; 133
Vegas Line: UCLA by 12; 136
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-12); Under

Game 755-756: San Francisco vs. Jacksonville State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 757-758: Weber State at St. Mary's (CA) (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 759-760: Montana State at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 47.238; San Jose State 53.830
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 6 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 4; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (-4); Under

Game 761-762: Tennessee at Oakland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 63.245; Oakland 57.865
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 5 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 156
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 09:45 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, November 28

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LONG BEACH ST (3 - 2) at LOUISVILLE (5 - 0) - 11/28/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA-LAFAYETTE (3 - 4) at KENT ST (2 - 1) - 11/28/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AKRON (3 - 2) at W VIRGINIA (3 - 1) - 11/28/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.
W VIRGINIA is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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XAVIER (4 - 0) at VANDERBILT (5 - 1) - 11/28/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 145-108 ATS (+26.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA (4 - 2) at COLORADO (3 - 2) - 11/28/2011, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

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PACIFIC (2 - 2) at STANFORD (5 - 1) - 11/28/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PACIFIC is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PEPPERDINE (3 - 2) at UCLA (1 - 4) - 11/28/2011, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PEPPERDINE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-1 against the spread versus PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 2-0 straight up against PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTANA ST (2 - 3) at SAN JOSE ST (2 - 3) - 11/28/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 2-0 straight up against MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (3 - 2) at OAKLAND (3 - 2) - 11/28/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 10:11 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 28

Louisville is 5-0, allowing just 46 ppg, but they haven't played a top 100 team yet; #64 Long Beach State is overscheduled with road games, but they've won at Pitt, lost in OT at San Diego State and at Montana by a hoop. Big East home favorites are 9-18 vs spread, 2-5 if spread is single digits; Big West road underdogs are 10-10, 5-3 if spread is single digits. Cardinals covered three of four games as a favorite this year.

3-4 UL-Lafayette lost both its true road games, by 1 at San Francisco, 19 at Duquesne (only top 100 team they've faced); Cajuns are 1-2 as an underdog. Kent State hasn't played in six days since loss to Cleveland State; they do have an upset win at West Virginia. ULL is shooting just 63.4% from foul line for season. MAC home favorites are 7-4 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs of 13+ points are 10-5.

Akron already has win as 9-point dog at Mississipi State; Zips have an experienced team (like Kent State) that can give young West Virginia a problem. Zips' two losses are by 3-5 points. Mountaineers are 3-1, all at home, with wins by 7-35-35, with 78-71 win vs Oral Roberts their only top 100 win. Big East home favorites are 9-18 vs spread, 7-13 if spread is double digits; MAC double digit road underdogs are 5-3.

Vanderbilt is 5-1, losing to Cleveland State; their best wins are 69-62 vs #62 NC State, 78-64 over #63 Oregon. Commodores are 2-2 as faves so far this year. #24 Xavier is 4-0 but playing first road game; best team they've played was 70-56 win over #78 Georgia in last game. SEC home favorites are 9-12-1 vs spread, 2-1 if spread is single digits; Atlantic 14 road underdogs are 16-9, 8-3 if spread is 5 or less.

Only two teams to beat 4-2 Georgia are ranked in top 25 (Cal/Xavier). Dawgs were Kansas City early last week; Xavier game was first true road tilt, so they've been on road a lot. Colorado is 3-2, losing by 9 to Wichita State in its only game vs top 100 team. Buffs beat Air Force in OT last game. Pac-12 home favorites of less than 8 points are 0-4 vs spread; SEC road underdogs of 9 or less points are 5-3.

5-1 Stanford is 4-0 as a favorite this year, 2-0 at home, winning by 16-12 points; Cardinal had Syracuse on ropes in NYC last game, but died down stretch of 69-63 loss. Extremely young Pacific squad is 0-2 vs D-I clubs, losing by 24 at Nevada, by 5 at Hawai'i. Pac-12 double digit home faves are 6-12 vs spread; Big West double digit road underdogs are 5-7. Both teams been travelling; this is likely to be sloppy game.

UCLA has shown little enthusiasm or sharpness in losing its first four games vs D-I foes, already losing as 11 and 14-point favorites, so until they show something, hard to back them. Pepperdine won at Arizona State, then lost at Bakersfield, but is coming off of OT win at UTSA in last game. WCC road underdogs are 6-7-2 vs spread, 2-3-1 if spread is double digits; Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 6-12.

Montana State is 1-3 vs D-I opponents, losing by 6 at Arizona State, 12 vs Seattle, 9 at Idaho (they beat winless Utah). San Jose State is 1-3 vs D-I foes, with only win by point over poor Cal-Irvine team. WAC single digit home favorites are 3-5 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 13-6, 5-4 if spread is single digits. Spartans are making just 38.2% of 2-point shots, 29.2% from arc. Not lot to choose from on either side.

3-2 Tennessee is 5-0 vs spread; this is their first true road game after spending last week on Maui; Vols lost 89-82 at home to Oakland LY, in an upset. Best team Tennessee has beaten this year is NC-Greensboro, #272. 3-2 Oakland lost to Alabama by 17, Arkansas by 23; Grizzlies protect ball well but are making just 25.8% of 3-point shots. SEC single digit road favorites are 6-3 vs spread.

**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 10:23 AM

NCAAB

Monday, November 28

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NIAGARA vs. ST. FRANCIS PA
Niagara is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Niagara's last 8 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
AKRON vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Akron is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games on the road
West Virginia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
SWARTHMORE vs. COLUMBIA
No trends available
Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
UNC GREENSBORO vs. NORTH CAROLINA A&T
UNC Greensboro is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
LONG BEACH STATE vs. LOUISVILLE
Long Beach State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Long Beach State's last 5 games on the road
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisville is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home

7:00 PM
LONG ISLAND vs. IONA
No trends available
Iona is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iona's last 6 games

7:00 PM
STETSON vs. FLORIDA
No trends available
Florida is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
Florida is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home

7:00 PM
IUPUI vs. GEORGETOWN
No trends available
Georgetown is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Georgetown is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home

7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. KENT STATE
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Kent State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Kent State is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games at home

7:00 PM
XAVIER vs. VANDERBILT
Xavier is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Xavier's last 5 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
UMBC vs. RUTGERS
No trends available
Rutgers is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games

7:30 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. NICHOLLS STATE
Louisiana-Monroe is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nicholls State
No trends available

7:30 PM
AUSTIN PEAY vs. LIPSCOMB
Austin Peay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF vs. AUBURN
No trends available
Auburn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Auburn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
JACKSON STATE vs. MEMPHIS
No trends available
Memphis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games

8:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. MARQUETTE
No trends available
Marquette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Marquette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO STATE vs. JACKSONVILLE STATE
No trends available
Jacksonville State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games

8:30 PM
GEORGIA vs. COLORADO
Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Colorado is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

9:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tennessee's last 14 games on the road
No trends available

9:05 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. UTAH VALLEY
Northern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games on the road
No trends available

10:00 PM
MONTANA STATE vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Montana State is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Montana State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
San Jose State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
San Jose State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:00 PM
PACIFIC vs. STANFORD
Pacific is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Pacific is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Stanford is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Stanford is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
WEBER STATE vs. ST. MARY'S
Weber State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Weber State is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
St. Mary's is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
St. Mary's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
MCNEESE STATE vs. CALIFORNIA
No trends available
California is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California's last 6 games

11:00 PM
PEPPERDINE vs. UCLA
Pepperdine is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Pepperdine is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UCLA
UCLA is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
UCLA is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 10:26 AM

NCAAB

Monday, November 28

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College funds: Monday's best NCAAB bets
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Long Beach State 49ers at Louisville Cardinals (-9.5, 133.5)

The Cardinals keep getting it done, even though coach Rick Pitino insists they’re just trying to make it through this month.

Louisville improved to 5-0 straight up with a 59-54 victory over Ohio as a big 16-point favorite.

"We are so banged up, we lack practice so much because our practices right now are so light and so easy, I'm just afraid to get somebody hurt,” coach Rick Pitino told reporters. “We're just trying to survive right now and hold off the enemy until the cavalry comes."

While the win didn’t get Cardinals bettors to the pay window, there were some positives to take from the game. Point guard Peyton Siva returned to the lineup after missing a couple of games with a sprained ankle. He had just four points and missed all seven of his shots from the floor, but did manage to play 33 minutes.

That’s a good sign.

Pick: Cardinals

Xavier Musketeers at Vanderbilt Commodores (-4, 141)

The Musketeers are coming off likely their best performance of the season and they’ll need to keep that momentum going in their biggest test of the season Monday.

Xavier moved to 4-0 straight up with a 70-56 win over Georgia as 10.5-point favorites, but it was never even as close as the score suggests.

"I thought the first 34 minutes or so we were as good as we've been all year," Xavier coach Chris Mack told reporters. "We played great for 33 minutes but we have to finish games a little bit better."

The Musketeers led by as many as 36 points and held Georgia to just 21.4 percent shooting from the floor.

Vanderbilt will come out gunning after covering just two of their last six overall.

Pick: Vandy

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**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 10:28 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, November 28

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TAMPA BAY (11-9-0-2, 24 pts.) at MINNESOTA (13-7-0-3, 29 pts.) - 11/28/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 86-169 ATS (+309.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 30-73 ATS (+120.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 16-10 ATS (+3.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 68-53 ATS (+122.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 40-27 ATS (+71.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 22-12 ATS (+35.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 24-13 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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DALLAS (13-9-0-1, 27 pts.) at COLORADO (10-12-0-1, 21 pts.) - 11/28/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 27-19 ATS (+51.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 161-104 ATS (+33.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 35-26 ATS (+7.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 6-4 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 6-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

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NASHVILLE (10-8-0-4, 24 pts.) at EDMONTON (12-9-0-2, 26 pts.) - 11/28/2011, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 74-49 ATS (+23.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 57-38 ATS (+97.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 11-5 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 70-69 ATS (+162.2 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 28-27 ATS (+67.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 6-18 ATS (+26.7 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 10-31 ATS (+56.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 1-17 ATS (+25.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 11-29 ATS (+55.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 6-18 ATS (+29.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-5 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-5-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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SAN JOSE (13-6-0-1, 27 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (11-8-0-4, 26 pts.) - 11/28/2011, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 157-125 ATS (+26.5 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 16-27 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 8-11 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 11-8-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.5 Units)

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**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 12:43 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, November 28

TAMPA BAY at MINNESOTA, 7:30 PM ET VER
TAMPA BAY: 30-21 SU as an underdog
MINNESOTA: 1-8 SU in home games in non-conference games

DALLAS at COLORADO, 9:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 11-4 SU off a road loss against a division rival
COLORADO: 16-24 SU as a home favorite

NASHVILLE at EDMONTON, 9:30 PM ET
NASHVILLE: 8-1 SU revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more
EDMONTON: 3-18 SU after allowing 5 goals or more

SAN JOSE at LOS ANGELES, 10:30 PM ET
SAN JOSE: 19-25 SU after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game
LOS ANGELES: 67-41 SU after 1 or more consecutive unders

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 12:44 PM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday, November 28

Today's Top Trends For College Basketball

LOUISVILLE is 13-2 ATS after allowing 60 pts or less

SAN JOSE STATE is 0-8 ATS after a combined score of 155+ points

STANFORD is 12-2 ATS vs. teams who attempt 21+ 3 pt shots per game

XAVIER is 18-4 ATS Away after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less

W VIRGINIA 18-3 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 pts

GEORGIA is 20-6 ATS off SU loss

COLORADO is 0-7 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 ATS

GEORGIA is 12-2 ATS off a road loss

OAKLAND is 13-3 ATS off 3+ SU wins

STANFORD is 0-7 ATS vs. foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game

W VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS at home after giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds

COLORADO is 44-72 ATS playing only 2nd time in 8 days
COLORADO is 48-75 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games

**Udog** · 11-28-2011, 12:46 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, November 28

Update

Game 755-756: San Francisco State vs. Jacksonville State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco State 28.907; Jacksonville State 47.310
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 757-758: Weber State at St. Mary's (CA) (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 57.772; St. Mary's (CA) 65.846
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 8; 134
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 10; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+10); Under

Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 11/28 (NCAAB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 11/28 (NCAAB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

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