NFL Report (Excel)

[Governor]

Looks like houston is the play today

[swghost]

Dave,

do you bet your projections ML or whatever the line is? IN other words, for Minny, would you bet minny +10 or Minny ML?
Also, who is TAM?

[kbsooner21]

Tampa Bay

[dave T]

Dave,

do you bet your projections ML or whatever the line is? IN other words, for Minny, would you bet minny +10 or Minny ML?
Also, who is TAM?

TAM is Tampa Bay. All the results are ATS. For the purposes of what I'm posting, I would stick with that...

Good Luck,
dave

[yabmane]

Dave,

Are you going to post picks each week regarding of the Angles in your spread sheet?

[dave T]

NFL Excel runs for 9 Weeks beginning Week 7 and culminating Week 15. These are 21 angles, some of them value-based and some technical.

The value-based angles are 1, 2, 3, 4, and 7. Angles 5 & 6 are technical in nature.

Angles 8-21 are all technical, and then sub-divided according to their strongest situational setting.

I'm not posting the angles themselves, just the plays, along with some other stuff here and there.

The record is parenthesis is the 2011 record this far. Then, the Week 8 Picks.

Angle 01: (0-1) DEN, IND, KC, MIN
Angle 02: (0-0) NE
Angle 03: (1-1) NOR
Angle 04: (0-0) DAL
Angle 05:
Angle 06: (0-1)
Angle 07: (0-0) DEN, ARI

Angle 08: (1-0) TEN
Angle 09:
Angle 10:
Angle 11: (0-0) NYG, ARI
Angle 12: (1-0) IND
Angle 13: (0-1) PHI
Angle 14:
Angle 15:
Angle 16:
Angle 17:
Angle 18: (1-0) IND, STL (22-0 L5Y, 1-0 2011 W/HOU WK 7)
Angle 19:
Angle 20:
Angle 21:


2011 RECORD:
Total Units: 4-4
Total Games: 3-3
Cancel outs: 0-0

Week 8 Plays Pending:
Units 10
Games 7
Cancel outs: 3-3

Consensus
2* DEN
2* IND
2* ARI
1* KC
1* MIN
1* NE
1* NYG

Good Luck,
dave

[dave T]

Last Week Tip of the Week went 3-0 with ATL, CHI, and NYJ. That is, .500 teams with a BYE on Deck were 7-1 ATS L5Y. Now they're 10-1.

Week 8 Tip of the Week:

Go with Team that allowed MORE THAN 31 Pts is Each of their Last two Games if their current season AVERAGE is LESS THAN 30.

5-Years: 23-7 ATS

Breakdown:
Home 12-3
Road 11-4
Div 9-2
Non 14-5
Fave 6-3
Dog 17-4
Off Win 1-0
Off Loss 22-7
Bye on Deck 2-0
8-0 if Bottom 5 in Net Pts
9-0 if AVG PA is <24

Week 8: MINNESOTA. Road, Non, Dog, Off Loss, Bye on Deck.

GL,
dt

[dave T]

NFL EXCEL after Week 7, going into Week 8.

PLAYOFF PROJECTIONS:

AFC

EAST NE
NORTH BAL
SOUTH HOU
WEST SDG
WC 1 PIT
WC 2 BUF

CHANGES: CIN OUT, PIT IN


NFC

EAST DAL
NORTH GRB
SOUTH NOR
WEST SFO
WC 1 DET
WC 2 CHI

CHANGES: WAS OUT, DAL IN


AFC CHAMP BAL OVER NE
NFC CHAMP GRB OVER NOR (SFO OUT, NOR IN)

SB BAL OVER GRB


NFL EXCEL WEEK 8 LINE

BAL -13
HOU -11
CAR -4'
NYG -8'
TEN -10
BUF -5'
PIT -1'
SFO -10'
CIN -2'
NOR -13'
DET -4
PHI -1
SDG -2

[dave T]

My Personal Favorite Pick (1-0)

Last Week: HOU
Week 8: IND

Good Luck,
dave

[dave T]

WEEK 8 EXCEL POWER RATINGS

01 BAL 95.7
02 GRB 95.2
03 NOR 94.9
04 SFO 94.8
05 NWE 93.2

06 HOU 93.1
07 DET 93.0
08 PIT 91.7
09 BUF 91.7 (PIT higher PR when carried to 1/100ths, and so throughout)
10 CIN 91.4

11 DAL 91.2
12 CHI 90.2
13 NYJ 90.1
14 SDG 89.8
15 PHI 89.4
16 NYG 89.3

17 WAS 89.2
18 ATL 88.4
19 CAR 87.9
20 OAK 87.5
21 CLE 87.3
22 TEN 86.9

23 MIN 86.6
24 SEA 86.1
25 TAM 86.0
26 DEN 85.9
27 ARI 85.6

28 KC 84.9
29 JAX 84.9
30 MIA 84.1
31 IND 80.1
32 STL 78.2

-dt

[Doctor Vegas]

Great info Dave! Thank you.

[yabmane]

Thank Dave!

[yabmane]

My Personal Favorite Pick (1-0)

Last Week: HOU
Week 8: IND

Good Luck,
dave

Dave,

Thought you would cancel INDY and TEN if it fall into the different angle?

[PhilJr]

Does it predict how many first downs Balt will have in the super bowl?

[zeib10]

Good stuff Mr. T.

Keep em coming, would love to know what that angle 18 is. Impressive!