NFL Report (Excel)

[dave T]

NFL Excel runs for 9 Weeks beginning Week 7 and culminating Week 15. These are 7 angles, some of them value-based and some technical, and their results from the last 5 seasons (Weeks 7-15). I'm not posting the angles themselves, just the plays, along with some other stuff here and there. Good Luck.

5-year records ATS:

Angle 1: 39-15
Angle 2: 32-8
Angle 3: 37-11
Angle 4: 30-14
Angle 5: 38-17
Angle 6: 32-14
Angle 7: 44-18

Total: 252-97 ATS +145.3 units (.7221)

Plays/units per Year 69.8/+29.1
Plays/units per Week 7.8/+3.2


Year by Year:

2010: 50-18 +30.2 (.7353)
2009: 48-13 +33.7 (.7869)
2008: 49-21 +25.9 (.7000)
2007: 43-24 +16.6 (.6418)
2006: 62-21 +38.9 (.7470)


Week 7 Picks:

Angle 1: COLTS
Angle 2: N/A
Angle 3: RAVENS, BRONCOS
Angle 4: N/A
Angle 5: N/A
Angle 6: BUCS
Angle 7: N/A


-dt

[LuckyLuch]

Those look like some good numbers there bud, Tell me more..

[dave T]

NFL EXCEL after Week 6, going into Week 7.

PLAYOFF PROJECTIONS:

AFC

EAST NE
NORTH BAL
SOUTH HOU
WEST SDG
WC 1 BUF
WC 2 CIN


NFC

EAST WAS
NORTH GRB
SOUTH NOR
WEST SFO
WC 1 DET
WC 2 CHI


AFC CHAMP BAL OVER NE
NFC CHAMP GRB OVER SFO

SB BAL OVER GRB


NFL EXCEL WEEK 7 LINE

PIT -2
DET -9'
BAL -11
WAS -1
CHI -3'
CLE -3'
DAL -13
MIA -1'
GRB -6'
TEN -2'
NOR -11
NYJ -2
OAK -11


TIP OF THE WEEK (LAST 5 SEASONS, WKS 7-15):

.500 TEAMS ARE 66-50 ATS (.5690)

ROAD 36-24
NON-DIV 41-24
FAVE 35-24 (19-6 BETWEEN -3.5 TO -9.5)
36-26 OFF LOSS
9-5 OFF BYE
7-1 W/BYE ON DECK
12-4 ROAD FAVE
5-1 DOUBLE DIGIT DOG
23-11 IF OFFENSE "OR" DEFENSE <300 YARDS PER GAME AVERAGE


-dt

[moondog22]

thanks Dave

[spartan312]

Just curious, I havent been around long so not sure if this quetion has been answered. If two teams playing against each other are both plays from different angles, what is the action? Do you pass on each, do you favor one angle over another, or what? Thanks

[robby_morini]

Hey Dave, thanks for posting this. Your spread sheets have been a great deal of help to me in the past. It is a good tool to use, especially if I am already on a team.

Good stuff

[tech fan]

thanks dave been wondering what has happened to you.GLAD TO SEE YOU AROUND

[ravenmaniac]

NFL EXCEL after Week 6, going into Week 7.

PLAYOFF PROJECTIONS:

AFC

EAST NE
NORTH BAL
SOUTH HOU
WEST SDG
WC 1 BUF
WC 2 CIN


NFC

EAST WAS
NORTH GRB
SOUTH NOR
WEST SFO
WC 1 DET
WC 2 CHI


AFC CHAMP BAL OVER NE
NFC CHAMP GRB OVER SFO

SB BAL OVER GRB


NFL EXCEL WEEK 7 LINE

PIT -2
DET -9'
BAL -11
WAS -1
CHI -3'
CLE -3'
DAL -13
MIA -1'
GRB -6'
TEN -2'
NOR -11
NYJ -2
OAK -11


TIP OF THE WEEK (LAST 5 SEASONS, WKS 7-15):

.500 TEAMS ARE 66-50 ATS (.5690)

ROAD 36-24
NON-DIV 41-24
FAVE 35-24 (19-6 BETWEEN -3.5 TO -9.5)
36-26 OFF LOSS
9-5 OFF BYE
7-1 W/BYE ON DECK
12-4 ROAD FAVE
5-1 DOUBLE DIGIT DOG
23-11 IF OFFENSE "OR" DEFENSE <300 YARDS PER GAME AVERAGE


-dt

Thanks for the info. I sure hope their Super Bowl pick holds true

[jcindaville]

Good stuff Dave

Thanks for sharing

[Doctor Vegas]

Great info! Might be a typo error, it should read green bay over ravens.

[tech fan]

Great info! Might be a typo error, it should read green bay over ravens.

Lol this spreadsheat that he uses is great.Hope that we can get the picks each week been having a rough year so far so I need these plays lol

[DenJamTuck]

Great info Dave...

[dave T]

Just curious, I havent been around long so not sure if this quetion has been answered. If two teams playing against each other are both plays from different angles, what is the action? Do you pass on each, do you favor one angle over another, or what? Thanks

For the purposes of what I'm posting, you would cancel out the play.

Good Luck,
dave

[dave T]

Angles #8 thru #21, all technical, last 5 Seasons ATS (Weeks 7-15)

Angle 08: 09-0
Angle 09: 17-5
Angle 10: 10-0
Angle 11: 15-2
Angle 12: 19-3
Angle 13: 20-3
Angle 14: 11-0
Angle 15: 21-5
Angle 16: 15-2
Angle 17: 10-1
Angle 18: 22-0
Angle 19: 09-0
Angle 20: 17-2
Angle 21: 10-0

Total: 205-23 (.8991)


Week 7 Picks:

Angle 08: HOU
Angle 12: MIN
Angle 13: TAM
Angle 18: HOU


Good Luck,
dave

[MarkLemke]

bump