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  • The Bum's ALDS & NLDS Championship Best Bets !

    Detroit Tigers, Texas Rangers ALCS Game 1

    Justin Verlander and CJ Wilson match up in Saturday’s ALCS opener.
    Perhaps it's a blessing in disguise. With neither the New York Yankees nor Boston Red Sox in the ALCS, Joe Buck and Tim McCarver will have little to talk about.

    Nah, who am I kidding? Having no knowledge of their subjects has never stopped the FOX duo before, and they can always point out their network's sitcom series stars in the stands or drone on and on and on about the teams that are not playing as opposed to the teams that are. It's worked for FOX baseball broadcasts before.

    My soapbox put away for now, let's discuss the teams that are in the 2011 ALCS and specifically Game 1 on Saturday (7:30 p.m. ET). The Texas Rangers and Detroit Tigers might not have the same Madison Avenue appeal as other clubs, but don't mistake either as being unworthy of battling for the American League pennant.

    Detroit knocked out the mighty Yankees in the Bronx Thursday night to win Game 5 of their ALDS. The Tigers finished fourth in the AL in scoring (4.86 RPG) during the regular season despite manager Jim Leyland's lineup not being overly powerful (169 HR, 7th) or fast (49 SB, 14th).

    Leyland's pitching staff also didn't knock the socks off stat geeks in 2011. Detroit hurlers were seventh in ERA (4.04), eighth in WHIP (1.31), eighth in strikeouts (1,115) and fifth in homers allowed (149).

    The Tigers did have one very, very good pitcher, however, and Justin Verlander will start against the Rangers on Saturday. MLB odds opened with the Detroit ace a small favorite in the 110-120 range.

    Verlander claimed the pitching Triple Crown in the AL with 24 wins, a 2.40 ERA and 250 strikeouts, and there's really no reason for him not be the unanimous selection for Cy Young honors. He added another win in Game 3 of the ALDS vs. New York, working eight innings and striking out 11 two days after starting the rain-interrupted Game 1.

    The fireballer has held the Rangers in check the past few seasons, Detroit winning three of his five assignments vs. Texas with Verlander sporting a 2.25 ERA over 36 innings. One of the five losses on his scorecard this season was to the Rangers in Detroit, but it was hardly Verlander's fault. The April 11 outing was one of his four complete games in 2011, Verlander allowing just a pair of runs in the Tigers' 2-0 loss on a -135 line.

    Texas coasted to a second-straight AL West crown and a second consecutive appearance in the ALCS behind a very balanced effort. Ron Washington's lineup ranked third in scoring (5.28 RPG) in the AL, second in homers (210), fourth in steals (143) and second in OPS (.800). And though you won't find a household name on the pitching staff, Rangers arms ranked in the AL's top 5 in ERA, WHIP and strikeouts, and posted those stats working their home games in a far less pitcher-friendly park than Detroit.

    CJ Wilson has become the No. 1 hurler in Texas' ace-less rotation, and will begin a Rangers playoff series for the third time in the past two Octobers. The southpaw has had plenty of rest, last pitching more than a week ago in Game 1 of the ALDS vs. Tampa Bay. That start no doubt left a sour taste in Wilson's mouth – 5 IP, 8 R, 3 HR – and he should be itching to get to the hill Saturday in front of the home fans.

    It will be just the third lifetime start against the Tigers for the converted reliever. Wilson's lone outing vs. their lineup this campaign came in Detroit on April 12 with the lefty not figuring into the decision of Texas' 5-4 loss. Wilson and the Rangers were laying -135 in the contest, and his linescore included 6 2/3-innings pitched with the Tigers scoring four times on seven hits.

    Saturday's total is 7½, well below the closing numbers of the three games between the two clubs played in Texas during the regular season that ranged from 9-10. Two of those three did finish 'over' the number, and all three finished above 7½. But then, Verlander and Wilson didn't pitch in that series.

    The weather forecast for Saturday in the Arlington area isn't all that great. There's a 30 percent chance of isolated storms during the day, and those chances increase after nightfall. Expect a muggy 83ºF at first pitch with SSE winds in the 12-15 mph range. Don't expect those winds in from right-center to necessarily knock down fly balls.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-08-2011, 10:31 AM.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    ALCS Preview: Tigers vs. Rangers

    DETROIT TIGERS (98-69)

    vs. TEXAS RANGERS (99-67)


    Game 1 First pitch: Saturday, TBD
    Series Line: Texas -130, Detroit +110

    The defending A.L. champion Rangers will have to go through Justin Verlander and Detroit if they’re going to return to the World Series.

    The Tigers beat Texas six of nine times this year, and that was with ace Verlander losing his only start against the Rangers, back on April 11 (Verlander is a traditionally slow starter). Detroit can nearly match the Rangers’ offense, and Verlander gives them an almost automatic two wins in the series. Texas will start three lefties in this series, and the Tigers hit .281 against southpaws (third-best in the majors) and scored six runs in 8.2 innings off elite lefty CC Sabathia in the ALDS. And considering the Tigers proved their mettle on the road with two wins at Yankee Stadium, the pick is underdog DETROIT to win the series.

    The FoxSheets also expect the Tigers to prevail:

    DETROIT is 35-18 (+17.5 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season. The average score was DETROIT 5.1, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*).

    After a Game 1 hiccup in the ALDS, the Rangers won three tight games over Tampa Bay. C Mike Napoli (.320 BA, 30 HR, 75 RBI in the regular season) continued his hot hitting in the postseason, going 5-for-14 with a home run in the Rays series. 2B Ian Kinsler (.255, 32, 77) was only 4-for-16 in the ALDS, but had two doubles, a homer and three walks. Adrian Beltre (.296, 32, 105) started just 1-for-11 in the Tampa series, but hit three homers in the series-clinching Game 4 win. LF Josh Hamilton (.298, 25, 94), RF Nelson Cruz (.263, 29, 87) and DH Michael Young (.338, 11, 106) are all capable of having a huge ALCS.

    A year ago, Cliff Lee helped pitched the Rangers into the World Series. But with Lee gone, their rotation is a bit shaky. Ace C.J. Wilson (16-7, 2.94 ERA in the regular season) allowed eight runs (six earned) in five innings in their Game 1 loss to Tampa. Young lefty Derek Holland (16-5, 3.95 ERA) won Game 2, but was far from dominant, allowing three runs (one earned) over 6.1 innings. Lefty Matt Harrison labored for the Game 4 win, allowing three runs and nine base runners over 5.2 innings (but also striking out nine). Colby Lewis continued to be a postseason stud though, throwing six innings of one-run ball against Tampa. He’s now 4-0 with a 1.67 ERA in five career playoff starts.

    The Rangers bullpen remains something of a question mark, allowing seven runs in 15 innings in the Tampa series, but closer Neftali Feliz saved each of their three wins against the Rays.

    Detroit’s biggest advantage will once again be Verlander (24-5, 2.40 ERA), who will start Game 1 on normal rest. He allowed four runs and 10 base runners while striking out 11 Yankees over eight innings in a Game 3 win, his only full start of the ALDS. Manager Jim Leyland has already said Verlander will only pitch Games 1 and 5, making Detroit favorites to win those two games. Max Scherzer (15-9, 4.43) looked sharp in a start and relief appearance against the Yankees, allowing just one run in 7.1 innings. Doug Fister (11-13, 2.83) bounced back from a shaky Game 1 appearance for the win in Game 5. Rick Porcello (14-9, 4.75), the presumed Game 4 starter, is the weakest pitcher in either rotation.

    Detroit’s offense got it done against the Yankees despite a quiet series from MVP-caliber 1B Miguel Cabrera (.344, 30 HR, 105 RBI), who was just 3-for-15 in the ALDS. They got big performances from a couple of unlikely sources though. RF Don Kelly (.245, 7 HR, 28 RBI) went 4-for-11 with three runs scored and LF Delmon Young (.268, 12, 64) was 6-for-19 with three home runs. Young suffered an oblique injury in Game 5 and his status for the ALCS is unknown.

    The Tigers bullpen also looks a little bit suspect right now. Jose Valverde closed out two ALDS games, but also gave up two runs and four walks in three innings. Set-up man Joaquin Benoit made things interesting in Game 5 by walking in a run in the seventh. Al Albuquerque, who was the bridge to Benoit during the regular season, has imploded, allowing three runs and getting one out between two appearances.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
      10/07/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% +*255 Detail
      10/06/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% +*215 Detail
      10/05/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*1005 Detail
      10/04/11 3-*3-*1 50.00% -*35 Detail
      10/03/11 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
      10/02/11 5-*1-*0 83.33% +*2505 Detail
      10/01/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*1000 Detail
      Totals 19-*9-*1 67.86% +5945

      Saturday, October 8

      Game Score Status Pick Amount

      Detroit - 8:05 PM ET Detroit -107 500

      Texas - Under 7.5 500
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Top 5 MLB Trends

        STL
        MIL MIL are 16-0 in Greinkes last 16 home starts.

        DET
        TEX DET are 7-0 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

        STL
        MIL STL are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

        STL
        MIL Over is 6-0 in Garcias last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.

        STL
        MIL Over is 6-0 in Garcias last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          National League Championship Series preview and pick

          St. Louis Cardinals (90-72) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (96-66)

          Season series: Tied 9-9
          Series odds: St. Louis (+130), Milwaukee (-140)

          PITCHING: Milwaukee will open the best-of-seven National League Championship Series with a decided edge on the mound. With Yovani Gallardo throwing in the NLDS-clinching Game 5 victory, the Brewers will likely go with Zack Greinke and Shawn Marcum in the opening two games against the Cardinals. Greinke was just about as good as a pitcher can be at Miller Park in the regular season, going 11-0 in 15 starts. The Brewers will be able to match Gallardo against St. Louis ace Chris Carpenter, who was sensational in outdueling Roy Halladay in the clinching game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

          Milwaukee's bullpen ERA during the season was four-tenths of a point lower than the Cardinals', and was even stingier in the NLDS, posting an ERA just over 2. The Cardinals will need virtuoso performances from starters Edwin Jackson, Kyle Lohse and Jaime Garcia to stand any chance of winning this series.

          Edge: Brewers

          HITTING: Even with Albert Pujols missing 15 games with an arm injury, the Cardinals scored the fifth-most runs in the majors over the course of the regular season. With Matt Holliday working his way back from a finger injury, the Cardinals can match whatever the Brewers put together on offense - at least where the middle of the order is concerned.

          It's unlikely that Ryan Theriot and Skip Schumacher (may be out with an oblique injury) will hit .600 again in the NLCS, but their contributions will go a long way in determining whether the Cardinals can do enough damage against a formidable Brewers pitching staff. The Brewers' best hitters during the season - Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder - were also their best performers against the Diamondbacks.

          They'll need more out of their support pieces, particularly Rickie Weeks. The veteran second baseman had just one hit in 18 at-bats against Arizona, and if he struggles like that again, Milwaukee could find itself in trouble.

          Edge: Cardinals

          INTANGIBLES: The wild-Cardinals have been here recently, winning the National League pennant in 2004 and 2006. That said, they still face far less pressure than the NL Central-champion Brewers, who rolled to a 96-win regular season and have to be considered the favorites after the Cardinals upset Philadelphia. St. Louis manager Tony La Russa is one of the best in the business, and could make the difference down the stretch in close games.

          Edge: Cardinals

          PREDICTION: Cardinals in seven games
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Thanks for the write up
            jt4545


            Fat Tuesday's - Home

            Comment


            • #7
              Texas Rangers, Detroit Tigers ALCS Game 2 Preview

              The Detroit Tigers could be paying the price of going the distance in the ALDS when they visit the Texas Rangers for Game 2 of the ALCS on Sunday night.

              First pitch from Rangers Ballpark in Arlington will be at 7:45 p.m. (ET), with the MLB odds to be released shortly at Don Best.

              The series opener on Saturday night is still pending with Justin Verlander facing C.J. Wilson in a battle of aces. Detroit was a small 110-115 favorite behind the eventual Cy Young award winner and the total was just 7½ runs.

              Manager Jim Leyland made the strategic decision not to use Verlander in relief in Thursday’s deciding Game 5 in Yankee Stadium (3-2 win). He did use fellow starter Max Scherzer in that capacity (1 1/3 IP, 1 ER) after Doug Fister went five strong.

              Leyland originally said that fourth-starter Rick Porcello would get the nod Sunday, but he switched it Scherzer and is hoping the 32 pitches and short rest from Thursday won’t affect him too much.

              Scherzer (15-9, 4.43 ERA regular season) is very talented with an 8.72 career strikeout rate (8.03 this year). Detroit is 5-1 in his last six starts, including a brilliant Game 2 outing in New York when he threw six scoreless innings (two hits). The team won 5-3 to tie the series.

              The 27-year-old had just a 5.23 ERA away during the regular season. His one visit to Texas was five earned runs over five innings in June (13-7 slugfest win). The Tigers won all three of his starts against Texas with a 3.00 ERA in the two at home.

              The Rangers won 96 games in the regular season, one more than Detroit. They’re looking for their second straight World Series appearance after falling short against San Fran last year. Having Philadelphia and the Yankees already out gives them a great chance.

              Manager Ron Washington had the luxury of setting his rotation any way he wanted after dispatching Tampa Bay 3-1 in games last Tuesday. He decided to stay the same as the ALDS with Wilson followed by Derek Holland, Colby Lewis and Matt Harrison. That leaves the effective Alexi Ogando in the pen.

              The 24-year-old lefty Holland got his first career postseason start last Saturday. He allowed three runs, but just one earned over five innings in an 8-6 home win, also tying that series. He then pitched 1 1/3 innings of relief last Tuesday (no runs) in the close-out.

              Holland was 16-5 with a 3.95 ERA in the regular season (4.69 ERA at home). However, he’s 4-0 with a 2.28 ERA in his last four home starts, including the playoffs. Texas is 6-1 in his last seven starts overall (2.03 ERA).

              The ‘over’ is 19-6-1 in Holland’s last 26 home starts. This is his first appearance against the Tigers this year and just second lifetime.

              Detroit went 6-3 against the Rangers in the regular season, including 2-1 in the Lone Star State. The ‘over’ went 2-1 in those games in Texas (Detroit averaging eight runs per game) and is 13-4-4 in the last 21 meetings there overall.

              The Rangers were 52-29 at home during the regular season (+7.2 units). They split their two playoff home games with Tampa Bay and are 8-1 in their last nine there overall.

              The Tigers were 45-36 away in the regular season (plus 11.0 units). They showed a lot of moxie closing out the Yanks in the Bronx and taking two of three there. They’re 19-7 in their last 26 away overall.

              Detroit outfielder Delmon Young was left off the ALCS roster due to an oblique injury. He hit a big home run in Game 5 against New York and had three overall for the series. That’s pretty good for a guy the struggling Twins gave up on in August in a waiver-wire trade.

              Arlington weather for Sunday night should have scattered thunderstorms with temperatures in the 70s.

              Game 3 will switch back to Motown on Tuesday with Lewis battling Fister.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
                10/08/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*35 Detail
                10/07/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% +*255 Detail
                10/06/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% +*215 Detail
                10/05/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*1005 Detail
                10/04/11 3-*3-*1 50.00% -*35 Detail
                10/03/11 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
                10/02/11 5-*1-*0 83.33% +*2505 Detail
                10/01/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*1000 Detail
                Totals 20-*10-*1 66.67% +5910

                Sunday, October 9

                Game Score Status Pick Amount

                St. Louis - 4:05 PM ET Milwaukee -140 500

                Milwaukee - Over 7.5 500

                Detroit - 7:45 PM ET Detroit +129 500

                Texas - Under 9 500
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  Detroit looks to tie up ALCS on Monday

                  DETROIT TIGERS

                  at TEXAS RANGERS


                  ALCS Game 2 - Texas leads series 1-0
                  First pitch: Monday, 4:15 p.m. EDT
                  Line: Texas -145, Detroit +135, Total: 9

                  The Tigers look to even things up in Texas on Monday afternoon when the rain-soaked ALCS resumes.

                  Game 2 was originally scheduled for Sunday but was washed out. The pitching matchup is a very even one with Detroit’s Max Scherzer, a 27-year-old who struggled on the road in 2011, facing Rangers lefty Derek Holland, a 25-year-old who didn’t pitch well at home this year. Because the pitching matchup is so even, and the fact that Scherzer’s past four starts against the Rangers were Tiger wins, DETROIT is the pick. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend backing the Tigers:

                  Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (DETROIT) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less. (177-140 over the last 5 seasons, 55.8%, +73.6 units. Rating = 3*).

                  Scherzer (15-9, 4.43 ERA in the regular season) has been inconsistent throughout his career, but he was excellent against the Yankees in the ALDS. He threw a gem in Game 2 at Yankee Stadium: six shutout innings, allowing two hits (and four walks) while striking out five. He also threw a solid 1.1 innings of relief in Game 5; he gave up a run only because Joaquin Benoit let an inherited runner score.

                  Prior to the ALDS, Scherzer had been shaky on the road at the end of the regular season. Over the last two months of the year, he made five road starts and made it past the fifth just once, going 1-2 with a 5.67 ERA, but fanning 32 in those 27 innings.

                  Scherzer has faced the Rangers six times in his career (once when he was still with Arizona), going 3-0 with a 3.41 ERA. He didn’t pitch well in a win in Arlington in June, allowing five runs in five innings, but held the Rangers to two runs over six innings in an August home start.

                  Holland (16-5, 3.95 ERA during the regular season) won his Game 2 start against the Rays in the ALDS, but it wasn’t a masterpiece. He allowed three runs (one earned) and eight base runners over five innings, striking out only two. He was good in a relief appearance in Game 4, getting four outs while giving up just a single.

                  Holland has been up-and-down all year in Arlington where, including the ALDS win, he’s 9-2 but has a 4.53 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. The lefty is currently on a hot streak at home though, winning five straight decisions while posting a 2.33 ERA during these eight outings. He’s made just one career start against the Tigers, in September 2010. He allowed four runs (one earned) over four innings in that outing.

                  Some good news for Holland: He won’t be facing Magglio Ordonez (ankle), who is out for remainder of the playoffs. The Tigers were already without ALDS hero Delmon Young, who has owned Holland over his career (6-for-12, two home runs).
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Milwaukee aims for 2-0 series lead over Cards

                    ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

                    at MILWAUKEE BREWERS


                    NLCS Game 2 - Milwaukee leads series 1-0
                    First pitch: Monday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
                    Line: Milwaukee -135, St. Louis +125, Total: 8.5

                    The Brewers look to continue their Miller Park dominance when they host St. Louis for Game 2 of the NLCS on Monday night.

                    With a 9-6 win in Game 1, the Brewers ran their MLB-best home record to 61-24 (+29.8 Units). They’ve won six straight and nine of 10 in Milwaukee. While Shaun Marcum surprisingly struggled at home, the Brewers still have a major edge against a Cardinals team that’s starting middle-of-the-rotation arm Edwin Jackson, who was hammered at Miller Park two months ago. The money line just doesn’t pay well enough for the Cards in a difficult road game. MILWAUKEE is the pick to go up 2-0 in the series, and the FoxSheets have a four-star trend working in the Brewers’ favor:

                    MILWAUKEE is 53-17 (+28.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.3, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 4*).

                    Marcum (13-7, 3.54 ERA in the regular season) had a nightmare start in Game 3 of their NLDS against the Diamondbacks, giving up seven runs over 4.2 innings at Arizona in a loss. More worrisome in regards to this game was his regular-season performance at Miller Park. The Brewers went just 6-11 in Marcum’s home starts and have lost eight of his past 10 starts at Miller Park, including four in a row. In his past three home starts, he allowed 18 runs (17 earned) and 27 hits in 16.1 innings.

                    Marcum split his four starts against St. Louis this year, going 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA and strong 1.19 WHIP. He should continue to get help from a Brewers offense that’s much better in Miller Park. The Brewers average 4.87 runs per game at home (as opposed to 4.08 on the road) and have scored 25 runs in four playoff games.

                    Jackson (12-9, 3.79 ERA with the White Sox and St. Louis during the regular season) only made four road starts after joining the Cardinals at the trade deadline, going 2-2. His 4.55 ERA in these four away outings is skewed by an ugly appearance in Milwaukee on August 3, when he allowed 10 runs (eight earned), 14 hits and four home runs over seven innings in a loss to the Brewers. Jackson did pitch well in his last outing in Milwaukee on August 30 (7 IP, 1 ER) and also shined in Game 4 of the NLDS in St. Louis, holding the Phillies to two runs over six innings.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Brewers Grab 1-0 NLCS Lead Over St. Louis Cardinals

                      The St. Louis Cardinals are in an early hole as they play Game 2 of the NLCS at the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday night.

                      First pitch from Miller Park is at 8:05 p.m. (ET). The MLB odds will be released shortly at Don Best and the pitching matchup is Shaun Marcum against Edwin Jackson.

                      The series opener on Sunday was a 9-6 Milwaukee win. Pitcher Zack Greinke and the Brewers were 145 favorites and he got the last word (despite six earned runs) after calling St. Louis’ ace Chris Carpenter a phony. Jaime Garcia was the losing pitcher.

                      The game went way ‘over’ the 7½ runs and is 7-2-1 in the meetings between teams in Milwaukee this year.

                      Greinke should be thanking Carpenter. After all, it was his brilliant performance in the NLDS Game 5 against Philly that allowed Milwaukee to have home field advantage this series.

                      The Brewers were the best and most profitable home team in baseball during the regular season (57-24, +25.5 units). They then followed that up by winning all three home games against Arizona, losing the two on the road.

                      Manager Ron Roenicke had the choice between Marcum and Randy Wolf for this start, with Yovani Gallardo not available until Wednesday after pitching the Game 5 clincher on Friday.

                      The 29-year-old Marcum (13-7, 3.54 ERA regular season) has much worse splits at Miller Park with a 5-4 record and 4.81 ERA. He most recently got bombed in Game 3 at Arizona (seven earned runs over 4 2/3 innings) in an 8-1 loss.

                      The right-hander was making his first career postseason appearance after languishing in Toronto for the past five seasons. He also got bombed in his last regular season outing versus Pittsburgh and had just a 5.17 ERA during September overall.

                      Marcum has a 4.15 ERA in four starts against St. Louis. Three of them were at home (4.05 ERA), with the Brewers losing two.

                      The Cardinals could have had a bit of a Game 1 hangover after their dramatic upset against Philadelphia. Manager Tony La Russa had been pushing all the right buttons, including a 23-9 record down the stretch that allowed them to catch Atlanta for the wild card.

                      Jackson (12-9, 3.79 ERA regular season) was an easy choice for La Russa with Carpenter still unavailable. He allowed just two earned runs over six innings against Philly in last Wednesday’s Game 4, good for a series-saving 5-3 win.

                      The 28-year-old has been solid since coming over from the White Sox at the trade deadline. He’s allowed two runs or less in nine of his last 11 starts, averaging over six innings per outing.

                      St. Louis is 5-0 in Jackson’s last five starts. He faced the Brewers three times in August after the trade (4.95 ERA). He had a great and terrible outing in the two in Milwaukee (5.79 ERA).

                      The Cardinals were 45-36 away in the regular season (plus 9.4 units). They showed huge heart in closing out the powerful Phillies on the road, winning two of three in the City of Brotherly Love for the series.

                      These NL Central rivals split the 18 regular season games. The Cardinals are 6-2 in the last eight meetings even after the opening playoff game.

                      St. Louis second baseman Skip Schumaker (oblique) is out for the NLCS. He hit .600 in the NLDS and is being replaced by the combo of Ryan Theriot and Nick Punto. Milwaukee doesn’t have any significant injuries.

                      Weather for Monday should start in the 60s and dip into the 50s. That’s certainly warmer than expected for Milwaukee in October. Closing the roof is also an option after having it open Game 1.

                      Game 3 will go to St. Louis on Wednesday with a great duel between Carpenter and Gallardo.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Texas Rangers, Detroit Tigers ALCS Game 2 Preview

                        NOTE: Sunday's ALCS Game 2 has been canceled and will be played Monday with a 4:19 p.m. (ET) first pitch. The same starting pitchers, Max Scherzer of Detroit and Texas southpaw Derek Holland, are expected to take the mound.

                        The Detroit Tigers could be paying the price of going the distance in the ALDS when they visit the Texas Rangers for Game 2 of the ALCS on Sunday night.

                        First pitch from Rangers Ballpark in Arlington will be at 7:45 p.m. (ET), with the MLB odds to be released shortly at Don Best.

                        The series opener on Saturday night is still pending with Justin Verlander facing C.J. Wilson in a battle of aces. Detroit was a small 110-115 favorite behind the eventual Cy Young award winner and the total was just 7½ runs.

                        Manager Jim Leyland made the strategic decision not to use Verlander in relief in Thursday’s deciding Game 5 in Yankee Stadium (3-2 win). He did use fellow starter Max Scherzer in that capacity (1 1/3 IP, 1 ER) after Doug Fister went five strong.

                        Leyland originally said that fourth-starter Rick Porcello would get the nod Sunday, but he switched it Scherzer and is hoping the 32 pitches and short rest from Thursday won’t affect him too much.

                        Scherzer (15-9, 4.43 ERA regular season) is very talented with an 8.72 career strikeout rate (8.03 this year). Detroit is 5-1 in his last six starts, including a brilliant Game 2 outing in New York when he threw six scoreless innings (two hits). The team won 5-3 to tie the series.

                        The 27-year-old had just a 5.23 ERA away during the regular season. His one visit to Texas was five earned runs over five innings in June (13-7 slugfest win). The Tigers won all three of his starts against Texas with a 3.00 ERA in the two at home.

                        The Rangers won 96 games in the regular season, one more than Detroit. They’re looking for their second straight World Series appearance after falling short against San Fran last year. Having Philadelphia and the Yankees already out gives them a great chance.

                        Manager Ron Washington had the luxury of setting his rotation any way he wanted after dispatching Tampa Bay 3-1 in games last Tuesday. He decided to stay the same as the ALDS with Wilson followed by Derek Holland, Colby Lewis and Matt Harrison. That leaves the effective Alexi Ogando in the pen.

                        The 24-year-old lefty Holland got his first career postseason start last Saturday. He allowed three runs, but just one earned over five innings in an 8-6 home win, also tying that series. He then pitched 1 1/3 innings of relief last Tuesday (no runs) in the close-out.

                        Holland was 16-5 with a 3.95 ERA in the regular season (4.69 ERA at home). However, he’s 4-0 with a 2.28 ERA in his last four home starts, including the playoffs. Texas is 6-1 in his last seven starts overall (2.03 ERA).

                        The ‘over’ is 19-6-1 in Holland’s last 26 home starts. This is his first appearance against the Tigers this year and just second lifetime.

                        Detroit went 6-3 against the Rangers in the regular season, including 2-1 in the Lone Star State. The ‘over’ went 2-1 in those games in Texas (Detroit averaging eight runs per game) and is 13-4-4 in the last 21 meetings there overall.

                        The Rangers were 52-29 at home during the regular season (+7.2 units). They split their two playoff home games with Tampa Bay and are 8-1 in their last nine there overall.

                        The Tigers were 45-36 away in the regular season (plus 11.0 units). They showed a lot of moxie closing out the Yanks in the Bronx and taking two of three there. They’re 19-7 in their last 26 away overall.

                        Detroit outfielder Delmon Young was left off the ALCS roster due to an oblique injury. He hit a big home run in Game 5 against New York and had three overall for the series. That’s pretty good for a guy the struggling Twins gave up on in August in a waiver-wire trade.

                        Arlington weather for Sunday night should have scattered thunderstorms with temperatures in the 70s.

                        Game 3 will switch back to Motown on Tuesday with Lewis battling Fister.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                        • #13
                          American League Championship Series


                          Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers

                          Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

                          1 Detroit at Texas (-170) 3-2 FAVORITE UNDER (7.5)
                          2 Detroit at Texas Oct. 10
                          3 Texas at Detroit Oct. 11
                          4 Texas at Detroit Oct. 12
                          *5 Texas at Detroit Oct. 13
                          *6 Detroit at Texas Oct. 15
                          *7 Detroit at Texas Oct. 16





                          National League Championship Series


                          Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

                          Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

                          1 St. Louis at Milwaukee (-142) 9-6 FAVORITE OVER (7.5)
                          2 St. Louis at Milwaukee Oct. 10
                          3 Milwaukee at St. Louis Oct. 12
                          4 Milwaukee at St. Louis Oct. 13
                          *5 Milwaukee at St. Louis Oct. 14
                          *6 St. Louis at Milwaukee Oct. 16
                          *7 St. Louis at Milwaukee Oct. 17
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                          • #14
                            Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

                            10/09/11 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
                            10/08/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*35 Detail
                            10/07/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% +*255 Detail
                            10/06/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% +*215 Detail
                            10/05/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*1005 Detail
                            10/04/11 3-*3-*1 50.00% -*35 Detail
                            10/03/11 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
                            10/02/11 5-*1-*0 83.33% +*2505 Detail
                            10/01/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*1000 Detail

                            Totals 22-*10-*1 68.75% +6910

                            Monday, October 10

                            Game Score Status Pick Amount

                            Detroit - 4:19 PM ET Detroit +136 500

                            Texas - Over 9 500

                            St. Louis - 8:05 PM ET Milwaukee -135 500

                            Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                            • #15
                              Rangers And Tigers Continue ALCS In Detroit

                              The Detroit Tigers are 103-63 at Comerica Park since the start of 2010.
                              Emotions should be running high on Wednesday afternoon for what will be a tense game in the American League Championship Series. The Detroit Tigers will play host to the Texas Rangers in Game 4 of the ALCS at 4:19 p.m. (ET). Live television coverage for this and all of the games in the ALCS can be found on FOX.

                              The Tigers know that this is going to be a pivotal game for them after their failures in the Lone Star State. They were on the wrong side of two very close games, a 3-2 game on Saturday that featured a pair of rain delays, and a 7-3 game that went 11 innings on Monday and ended on a Nelson Cruz grand slam.

                              The good news though, is that this series has shifted back to the Motor City, where the Rangers are just 23-34 since Comerica Park opened. That's the worst record among any team in the American League.

                              One would figure that Justin Verlander would be handed the baseball in Game 4 of this series, especially in such a dire spot for the Tigers. The soon-to-be Cy Young Award winner only pitched four innings in Game 1 of this series before those two rain delays.

                              However, manager Jim Leyland has already said that Verlander is going to pitch in Game 5, not in Game 4 as many suspected, which removes any chance of him starting three games in this series.

                              Instead, it'll be up to Rick Porcello to get the job done on Wednesday. The righty pitched two innings in relief of Verlander on Saturday, but he hasn't started a game since Game 4 of the ALDS against the New York Yankees back on October 4.

                              At just 22 years old, Porcello is beyond his years in terms of experience. He already has 34 career wins in his three seasons in the majors. However, he is still in search of his first postseason victory.

                              Porcello is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA in eight innings of work thus far in the playoffs.

                              Matt Harrison is going to be taking the hill opposite of Porcello in Game 4.

                              Harrison struck out nine batters in his start last Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, and he got the win in the game that closed out the series. The southpaw allowed just two runs in five innings, but he threw a whopping 97 pitches.

                              There has to be a concern about Harrison's ability to pitch deep into games. The Rangers used their bullpen immensely in the two games played at home, and with no off days coming in this series until Friday, it's crucial for starting pitchers to throw deep into games.

                              Harrison hasn't pitched deeper than 6 2/3 innings since September 4, and he hasn't completed more than seven innings since July 28.

                              Entering Game 3 of this series, the Tigers were 20-8 in their last 28 road games overall, including winning two games at Tropicana Field in the ALDS. However, as we mentioned before, they have struggled here at Comerica Park, going just 5-17 in their last 22 meetings.

                              Mother Nature appears to have a nice day in store for baseball on Wednesday. Temperatures should be in the low-60s in the late afternoon, dipping into the mid-50s as the night wears on. There is a minimal chance of rain.

                              Should there be a Game 5 in this series, Verlander is scheduled to pitch against CJ Wilson in a game that will start at 4:19 p.m. (ET) at Comerica Park.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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