The Bum's CFB Week # 2 Best Bets !

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Longhorns will be tested by visiting BYU

BYU COUGARS (1-0)
at TEXAS LONGHORNS (1-0)

Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. EDT

Line: Texas -7, Total: 48.5

After surviving a scare in its first road game as an Independent school, BYU now travels to Austin to face Texas.

The Cougars trailed Ole Miss 13-0 early in the fourth quarter before rallying for 2 TD to win by a point. BYU held the Rebels to just 208 total yards and 13 first downs. The Longhorns only had a 13-9 lead on Rice midway through the third quarter before they finished strong with a 21-0 run. Texas amassed 506 yards of balanced offense (277 passing, 229 rushing) and held the Owls to a paltry 224 total yards. WIth both defenses looking to be in mid-season form, the winner here will be the team that can rush the football. Texas gained 4.8 YPC last week despite having seven different ball carriers, while BYU was held to 2.9 YPC. Expect TEXAS to play well in front of its home fans and pull out a double-digit victory.

BYU could have some success through the air with talented QB Jake Heaps, who was 24-of-38 for 225 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT versus Ole Miss. Heaps completed passes to 10 different receivers, with nobody gaining 50 yards. JJ Di Luigi led the team with five receptions and also paced the ground game with 56 yards on 12 carries (4.7 YPC). The senior had 1,460 yards from scrimmage last year.

Texas QB Garrett Gilbert had problems taking care of the football last year, but he had no turnovers in his first game under co-offensive coordinators Bryan Harsin and Major Applewhite. Gilbert's top target of the eight players that had receptions was WR Mike Davis who racked up a career-high 115 yards. Freshman RB Malcolm Brown looked strong in his collegiate debut, rushing for 86 yards, including 68 in the fourth quarter.

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Notre Dame Road Favorites At Michigan Wolverines

Turnovers cost the Irish in a 23-20 Week 1 home loss to South Florida.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are in an early desperate situation as they visit the Michigan Wolverines on Saturday night. This has been one of the best non-conference rivalries over the years.

The Don Best odds screen has Notre Dame as 3-point road favorites with a betting total of 55 ½-points. ESPN will broadcast from the ‘Big House’ (Michigan Stadium) at 8:00 p.m. (ET), incredibly the first night game ever there.

Notre Dame had one of the strangest and disappointing opening weeks in college football. It lost 23-20 as 10 ½-point home favorites to Big East South Florida in a game that had two weather delays and lasted just under six hours.

The loss dropped the Fighting Irish out of the AP top-25 after ranking 16th in the preseason. The Don Best Linemakers Poll was a little more kind, dropping them from 13th to a tie for 19th.

Coach Brian Kelly was searching for answers after the loss, and he better find some soon after blowing a gasket on the sidelines. His first move is making sophomore Tommy Rees the starting quarterback over senior Dayne Crist.

Rees was the starter the last four games of last year after Crist got injured, with the team winning all four. Rees came in after halftime last week and went 24-of-34 for 296 yards and two touchdowns. However, it was not all good with two interceptions.

Kelly can’t expect the quarterback change to fix all the woes. Notre Dame had five total turnovers, including an opening drive fumble on the South Florida 1-yard line that was returned 96 yards for a touchdown. That completely changed the momentum of the game.

The Notre Dame defense acquitted itself nicely overall. South Florida had just 254 total yards and only rushed for 126 yards on 42 carries (3.0 yard average). The ‘D’ is promising after returning eight starters from a group that allowed 20.2 PPG last year (23rd nationally).

Big Ten Michigan is in transition with coach Brady Hoke coming over from San Diego State and installing a pro-style offense.

The opening results were good last week, a 34-10 win over in-state rival Western Michigan as 14 ½-point home favorites. Junior quarterback Denard Robinson threw for just 98 yards on an efficient 9-of-13 passing. Not much more was needed with both a fumble and interception return for a touchdown.

The game was also marred by extreme weather, actually getting cancelled with 1:27 left in the third quarter. The suspension had most full-game wagers graded as 'no action' for not going at least 55 minutes on the clock. The total closed at 57 ½ points.

Robinson is the big question in this offense. He was a Heisman candidate with the spread formation last year, throwing for 2,570 yards and rushing for 1,702 more. Last week though, it was sophomore Fitzgerald Toussaint who led the team in rushing (11 carries, 80 yards), while Robinson had just eight rushes and 46 yards.

Robinson rushed for 258 yards (502 total yards) against Notre Dame last year (28-24 upset win) and offensive coordinator Al Borges may loosen the reigns this week and see if Notre Dame can stop him.

The Michigan defense was one of the worst in college football last year in both points (35.2 PPG) and yards (450.8 YPG) allowed. New coordinator Greg Mattison came over from the Baltimore Ravens and the Wolverines did a nice job against Western Michigan, especially with the turnovers.

Michigan must play well on both sides of the ball because this is a good Notre Dame team if it cleans up the turnovers and penalties. That’s why the oddsmakers have the Irish favored on the road.

These teams have met every year since 2002. Michigan is 4-1 straight up and against the spread the last five, including wins and ‘covers’ the last two.

Michigan linebacker Cam Gordon (back injury) is probable to return this week. Cornerback Troy Woolfork (ankle) is expected to play after getting hurt last week.

Weather won’t play a major factor, although there could be isolated thunderstorms. Temps are expected to reach the high-60s.

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TCU In Final MWC Matchup Vs Air Force Falcons

TCU visits Air Force for the last time in Mountain West Conference play.
For the final time as Mountain West Conference foes, the Air Force Falcons will engage in NCAA football betting action against the TCU Horned Frogs. Saturday's Week 2 kickoff in Colorado Springs is set for 3:30 p.m. (ET), and live television coverage can be found on Versus.

TCU (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) was dealt a crippling blow last week to its BCS chances in a 50-48 defeat to the Baylor Bears in Waco. The loss knocked the Horned Frogs from No. 18 down to No. 23 in The Don Best Linemakers Poll, and down to No. 25 in both of the human rankings.

The mere fact that Baylor was able to score 50 points against the TCU defense was incredibly impressive. Head coach Gary Patterson always prides himself on building a team with a solid defensive foundation, and this was the unit that was supposed to carry the Frogs this year while the offense was rebuilt.

To put in perspective just how amazing Baylor's win was, we just have to look at last season. The Horned Frogs played five games last October and allowed a grand total of 16 points. There were also only three games last year in which the purple and black 'D' conceded even 20 points.

Baylor reached that plateau just 35 seconds into the second quarter.

The Bears also had 34 points on the board at halftime, just one point fewer than the San Diego State Aztecs scored for the entire game against TCU in its worst defensive showing of the 2010 season.

The last time TCU allowed 50 points in a game was back in 2005, an overtime contest against the BYU Cougars.

If there was good news from the defeat at Baylor, it was that Patterson's offense at least came to play. The unit racked up 466 total yards, and newly-installed signal caller Casey Pachall went 25-of-39 for 251 yards with four scores against just one pick. He also had a rushing touchdown.

Last week, it was the passing game that really messed up the TCU defense. This week, its rush defense will be tested against a veteran Air Force triple-option offense.

The Falcons (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) went off for 391 yards on 61 carries last Saturday in a 37-20 victory against the South Dakota Coyotes, but they squandered a chance to cover the NCAA football odds with a lackluster fourth quarter that included two South Dakota TDs.

Still, head coach Troy Calhoun can't be concerned about his offense knowing that it is in the safe hands of Tim Jefferson, Jr. Jefferson is now in his fourth year running this attack, and he knows every in-&-out the playbook has.

He had 69 rushing yards and two scores against the Coyotes last week, while Asher Clark led the team with 97 yards on 13 carries.

You can bet that the faithful a Falcon Stadium will be sensing blood on Saturday. Air Force has been beaten by the Horned Frogs on three straight occasions, and in five of the six clashes since the two started MWC play against each other. TCU is 4-2 ATS in those six duels.

The oddsmakers are having a tough time picking a favorite in this one, but the visitors have been installed laying a narrow one-point favorites on the Don Best odds screen. The 'total' has been set at 49 ½.

Saturday should be a beautiful day for football at Falcon Stadium. Temperatures should top out in the low-70s with virtually no chance for rain.

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Va Tech Big Favorite At East Carolina Pirates

East Carolina and Virginia Tech are meeting for the fifth consecutive season.
The East Carolina Pirates hope to finish stronger than they did last week when they host the Virginia Tech Hokies in their home opener on Saturday. Kickoff from Dowdy-Fincklen Stadium in Greenville, NC, is 3:30 p.m. (ET).

The Pirates got off to a great start at South Carolina last Saturday but needed a late touchdown to cover the point spread in a 56-37 loss. Meanwhile, the Hokies stayed at No. 13 in The Don Best Linemakers Poll after they had no such problems in a 66-13 rout of Appalachian State.

East Carolina (0-1) will be playing Virginia Tech (1-0) for the fifth year in a row and pulled off a 27-22 upset in 2008 as a 9-point underdog. The Pirates are 1-3 straight up and 2-2 against the spread in the previous four meetings, failing to cover the past two in losing them by a combined score of 65-30.

They opened as 19-point underdogs but that number has been chopped to 17 or 17½. The game total is now 64 points on the Don Best odds screen after beginning at 61½.

The Hokies took out their frustrations on East Carolina last year in a 49-27 victory after losing their first two games of the season to Boise State and James Madison. Former starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor led the charge with 199 passing yards and two touchdowns while Darren Evans rushed for 91 yards and scored once.

Still, they barely covered the 20-point line and won the previous meeting 16-3 two years ago as 12 ½-point favorites.

Virginia Tech plowed over Division I-AA Appalachian State on the ground last Saturday, as junior running back David Wilson carried the ball 16 times for 162 yards and scored three touchdowns. New starting quarterback Logan Thomas also contributed through the air, completing 9-of-19 passes for 149 yards and two touchdowns while backup Mark Leal added another pair of scores.

Thomas is taking over under center for Taylor, who is now backing up Joe Flacco with the NFL’s Baltimore Ravens. The Hokies covered the 27-point spread with the total going ‘over’ 60.

East Carolina had a much tougher opponent in No. 11 South Carolina. The Pirates jumped out to a 17-0 lead with 9:45 remaining in the second quarter and were up 24-14 at halftime before the Gamecocks battled back, forcing five turnovers and scoring touchdowns on defense and special teams to pull out the win.

The total sailed ‘over’ 59 ½ points.

Cornerback manuel Davis and wide receiver Michael Bowman should return to action this week for East Carolina aftre serving suspensions in the season opener.

The weather forecast for Saturday in Greenville, North Carolina calls for mostly sunny skies and a high temperature of 85 degrees after storms move through the area earlier in the week.

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SEC Showdowns

September 10, 2011

Let’s begin our SEC discussion with the league’s Week 2 lid-lifter that’ll take place on The Plains, where Auburn (1-0 straight up, 0-1 against the spread) will play host to Mississippi St. in the conference opener for both programs.

Most sports books are listing Mississippi State (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) as a six-point favorite with a total of 57. The Wynn opened the Bulldogs as one-point ‘chalk’ late Sunday afternoon but when other shops chimed in an hour or so later, they had the number at six. By Monday at lunch, most spots were at seven before the number gradually drifted down to 6 ½ or six. With AU money coming in Thursday night, a few books were at 5 ½ on Friday morning.

Dan Mullen’s team has had a couple of extra days of rest after destroying Memphis 59-14 as a 30-point road favorite. Vick Ballard rushed for 166 yards and three touchdowns on just 10 carries, while Chris Relf threw for 202 yards and a pair of TDs and also rushed for 51 yards.

Relf connected with Chad Bumphis on a 44-yard scoring strike to open the scoring. He found Arceto Clark for a 35-yard TD pass in the second quarter and MSU raced out to a 31-7 lead by intermission.

Gene Chizik’s squad won its 16th straight game in Week 1 but didn’t have it nearly as easy as Mississippi St. did. The Tigers had to rally from a 10-point deficit in the last three minutes to capture a 42-38 win over Utah St. as 23-point home favorites.

After the Aggies took a 38-28 lead, AU trimmed the deficit to three on a 15-yard TD pass from Barrett Trotter to Philip Lutzenkirchen at the 2:07 mark. Next, the Tigers recovered an onside kick to set up the game-winning drive.

With 30 ticks remaining, Michael Dyer scored on a one-yard plunge (or did he?!) on a second-and-goal play. The replay clearly showed that Dyer didn’t get in the end zone, reaching the ball over the plane after he’d been stuffed. Nevertheless, the call was confirmed after video review. (To be clear, I’m not saying AU wouldn’t have won anyway. If the call had been reversed, it still had a third-and-goal play from an inch away and if that play went bad, it still could’ve forced overtime with a field goal.)

AU has beaten MSU in the last three head-to-head meetings and owns a 7-2 spread record in the last nine encounters. The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these SEC West rivals.

Auburn won a 17-14 decision as a one-point favorite in Starkville last year. MSU was nearly in field-goal range before a last-gasp drive stalled at around midfield in the final minute.

The SEC Network will have the telecast at 12:20 p.m. Eastern.

Alabama (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) will go on the road to Happy Valley and face Penn St. in a non-conference battle between two of college football’s most storied programs. Most books are listing the Crimson Tide as a 10-point favorite with a total of 42. Gamblers can take PSU on the money line for a plus-320 return (risk $100 to win $320).

When these schools met in Tuscaloosa last season, Alabama captured a 24-3 win as a 13 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ But Nick Saban’s team had a veteran QB (Greg McElroy) in 2010 and this time around, it will have A.J. McCarron under center for his first career road start.

McCarron and Phillip Sims both threw two interceptions apiece in last week’s 48-7 win over Kent St. as a 39-point home favorite. ‘Bama out-yarded the Flashes 482-90, demonstrating to all that it most likely has the nation’s nastiest defense. Trent Richardson rushed for just 37 yards but he had three rushing touchdowns, while Marquiz Maze had eight receptions for 118 yards and one score.

Penn St. (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) failed to cover the number in a 41-7 home win over Indiana St. as a 38-point home favorite. Silas Redd was the catalyst with 104 rushing yards for a pair of TDs on just 12 totes.

Since 2004, Penn St. has been a home underdog eight times, compiling a 5-3 spread record. The Nittany Lions have been double-digit home ‘dogs just once during that stretch, taking the cash in a 20-13 loss to Purdue. Alabama has been a road favorite 15 times on Nick Saban’s watch, going 6-3 versus the number.

ABC will provide television coverage at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

South Carolina (1-0 SU, 0-1) got off to a rough start in Week 1, spotting East Carolina a 17-0 lead before Steve Spurrier decided to replace Conner Shaw with senior QB Stephen Garcia. From there, it was all Gamecocks who went on to prevail by a 56-37 count. However, that wasn’t enough for USC backers as ECU took the cash as a 20 ½-point underdog.

Garcia ran for a pair of touchdowns and threw for another when he connected with Ace Sanders from three yards out. Heisman candidate Marcus Lattimore ran for 112 yards and three TDs on 23 carries. Alshon Jeffery had five receptions for 92 yards.

Georgia (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) lost for the eighth time in its last 14 games to warm Mark Richt’s hot seat up even more. Boise St. came into Atlanta and beat the Dawgs 35-21 as a three-point favorite. The Broncos fell behind 7-0 early before ripping off 28 consecutive unanswered points on the way to a victory that was easier than the final score indicated.

UGA is in just its third home underdog spot of Richt’s 11-year tenure, but we should note that it failed to cover the spread in both previous situations – vs. South Carolina in ’01 and vs. Tennessee in ’06. Meanwhile, the Gamecocks are 6-3 ATS as road favorites under Spurrier.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Since 1985, the ‘under’ has cashed in six of seven head-to-head meetings between ‘Bama and PSU.

--The ‘under’ is on an incredible 13-1 run in the last 14 games between USC and UGA.

--Oregon St. star WR James Rodgers remains ‘out’ along with several other key players who weren’t in uniform for last week’s 29-28 home loss to Sacramento St. Things don’t get any easier for the Beavers, who are 21-point underdogs against Wisconsin at Camp Randall. The noon Eastern start time (9:00 a.m. on the West coast) won’t help Mike Riley’s cause, either.

--Mississippi St. is a road favorite for just the second time against an SEC foe in the last six years.

--Florida DE Sharirf Floyd will miss the UAB game, but he’ll be back in action next week against Tennessee after serving a NCAA-mandated two-game suspension.

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/09/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
09/08/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
09/05/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
09/04/11 1-*1-*2 50.00% -*50 Detail
09/03/11 34-*16-*2 68.00% +*8200 Detail
09/02/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
09/01/11 7-*12-*0 36.84% -*3100 Detail
Totals 50-*33-*4 60.24% +6850

Saturday, September 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Iowa - 12:00 PM ET Iowa -6 500
Iowa State - Under 44.5 500

Central Michigan - 12:00 PM ET Kentucky -10.5 500
Kentucky - Over 46.5 500

Florida Atlantic - 12:00 PM ET Florida Atlantic +32 500
Michigan State - Over 49 500

Toledo - 12:00 PM ET Ohio State -17.5 500
Ohio State - Over 52.5 500

Oregon State - 12:00 PM ET Wisconsin -20 500
- Under 57.5 500

San Diego State - 12:00 PM ET Army +9.5 500
Army - Under 53.5 500

Mississippi State - 12:21 PM ET Mississippi State -5.5 500
Auburn - Under 57 500

Rutgers - 12:30 PM ET North Carolina -10 500
North Carolina - Over 47.5 500

California - 3:30 PM ET California -6.5 500
Colorado - Under 47 500

New Mexico State - 3:30 PM ET Minnesota -20.5 500
Minnesota - Over 50.5 500

Virginia Tech - 3:30 PM ET East Carolina +17 500
East Carolina - Under 63.5 500

Alabama - 3:30 PM ET Alabama -10 500
Penn State - Under 42 500

Purdue - 3:30 PM ET Rice +2 500
Rice - Over 51.5 500

Hawaii - 3:30 PM ET Hawaii +5.5 500
Washington - Under 52 500

Southern Mississippi - 3:30 PM ET Southern Mississippi -7.5 500
Marshall - Over 51 500

Stanford - 3:30 PM ET Stanford -20.5 500
Duke - Under 59 500

North Carolina State - 3:30 PM ET Wake Forest +1.5 500
Wake Forest - Over 49 500

Texas Christian - 3:30 PM ET Texas Christian +1 500
Air Force - Over 49.5 500

Nevada - 3:30 PM ET Oregon -26.5 500
Oregon - Over 63 500

Cincinnati - 3:30 PM ET Cincinnati +4 500
Tennessee - Over 56 500

Tulsa - 3:30 PM ET Tulane +12 500
Tulane - Over 64 500

South Carolina - 4:30 PM ET South Carolina -2.5 500
Georgia - Under 51.5 500

UNLV - 5:00 PM ET Washington State -14 500
Washington State - Over 54.5 500

Temple - 6:00 PM ET Temple -15 500
Akron - Over 46 500


Evening CFB games posted later.....Good Luck All !

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Sat, September 10 Forecasted Game Time Conditions
307 Oregon State
308 Wisconsin 75° , Wind 5 MPH
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309 Iowa
310 Iowa State 78° , Wind 6 MPH
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311 Central Michigan
312 Kentucky 74° chance thunderstorms , Wind 6 MPH
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313 San Diego State
314 Army 77° isolated light rain showers , Wind 7 MPH
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315 Toledo
316 Ohio State 74° slight chance light rain showers , Wind 3 MPH
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317 Mississippi St
318 Auburn 84° , Wind 5 MPH
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319 Rutgers
320 North Carolina 85° , Wind 4 MPH
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321 No Illinois
322 Kansas 74° slight chance light rain showers , Wind 5 MPH
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323 UTEP
324 SMU 91° , Wind 6 MPH
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325 Cincinnati U
326 Tennessee U 78° , Wind 3 MPH
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327 Tulsa
328 Tulane Played in Dome

329 Virginia Tech
330 East Carolina 85° , Wind 6 MPH
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331 New Mexico State
332 Minnesota U 80° , Wind 2 MPH
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333 Hawaii
334 Washington U 84° , Wind 5 MPH
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335 Nevada
336 Oregon 88° , Wind 14 MPH
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337 California
338 Colorado 71° , Wind 7 MPH
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339 Stanford
340 Duke 84° , Wind 4 MPH
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341 Alabama
342 Penn State 74° chance thunderstorms , Wind 5 MPH
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343 TCU
344 Air Force 69° , Wind 6 MPH
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345 NC State
346 Wake Forest 81° , Wind 4 MPH
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347 Purdue
348 Rice 90° , Wind 4 MPH
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349 Southern Miss
350 Marshall 76° isolated light rain showers , Wind 4 MPH
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351 South Carolina
352 Georgia 85° , Wind 5 MPH
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353 Temple
354 Akron 74° chance light rain showers , Wind 3 MPH
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355 Fresno State
356 Nebraska 77° , Wind 5 MPH
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357 Virginia
358 Indiana 68° chance light rain showers , Wind 1 MPH
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359 BYU
360 Texas 91° , Wind 5 MPH
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361 UAB
362 Florida 76° , Wind 1 MPH
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363 Ball State
364 South Florida 80° isolated thunderstorms , Wind 5 MPH
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365 New Mexico
366 Arkansas

367 UNLV
368 Washington State 89° , Wind 3 MPH
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369 Connecticut
370 Vanderbilt 76° slight chance light rain showers , Wind 4 MPH
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371 Utah
372 USC 71° slight chance thunderstorms , Wind 8 MPH
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373 Boston College
374 Central Florida 81° isolated thunderstorms , Wind 3 MPH
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375 Notre Dame
376 Michigan 69° chance moderate rain showers , Wind 3 MPH
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377 San Jose State
378 UCLA 67° slight chance thunderstorms , Wind 4 MPH
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379 Florida Atlantic
380 Michigan State 72° chance thunderstorms , Wind 4 MPH
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381 Memphis
382 Arkansas State 77° slight chance light rain showers , Wind 5 MPH
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383 Houston U
384 North Texas 88° , Wind 5 MPH
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385 Navy
386 Western Kentucky 88° , Wind 5 MPH
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387 Georgia Tech
388 Middle Tenn St 76° slight chance light rain showers , Wind 4 MPH
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389 UL Lafayette
390 Kent State 68° definitely light rain showers , Wind 3 MPH
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391 South Dakota St
392 Illinois 71° scattered light rain showers , Wind 2 MPH
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393 Norfolk St
394 West Virginia 74° chance light rain showers , Wind 5 MPH
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395 Maine
396 Pittsburgh U 74° chance light rain showers , Wind 5 MPH
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397 Alabama St
398 Eastern Michigan 75° chance thunderstorms , Wind 5 MPH
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399 NO. Colorado
400 Colorado State 69° , Wind 7 MPH
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401 Eastern Illinois
402 Northwestern 72° , Wind 4 MPH
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403 Wofford
404 Clemson 84° , Wind 5 MPH
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405 Rhode Island
406 Syracuse Played in Dome

407 North Dakota
408 Idaho Played in Dome

409 Charleston Sou
410 Florida State 90° , Wind 5 MPH
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411 So Illinois
412 Mississippi 84° , Wind 8 MPH
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413 Stony Brook
414 Buffalo U 74° , Wind 8 MPH
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415 Texas State
416 Wyoming 69° , Wind 10 MPH
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417 Morgan St
418 Bowling Green 70° slight chance thunderstorms , Wind 2 MPH
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419 Gardner Webb
420 Ohio 69° , Wind 0 MPH
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421 Central Arkansas
422 Louisiana Tech 82° , Wind 3 MPH
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423 Grambling
424 UL Monroe 82° , Wind 3 MPH
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425 Nicholls St
426 Western Michigan 70° slight chance moderate rain showers , Wind 4 MPH
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427 Northwestern St
428 LSU 77° , Wind 4 MPH
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429 Weber St
430 Utah State 80° scattered thunderstorms , Wind 8 MPH
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