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Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 4/16 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

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  • #16
    NHL


    Saturday, April 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    What bettors need to know: Saturday's NHL playoff action
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Phoenix Coyotes at Detroit Red Wings (-160, 5.5)

    Detroit leads series 1-0.

    THE STORY: The Phoenix Coyotes can pin some of the blame for their loss in the opener of their Western Conference quarterfinal series on missed opportunities. They're hoping for a few more opportunities to redeem themselves Saturday afternoon when they take on the Central Division-champion Detroit Red Wings in Game 2 at Joe Louis Arena. Phoenix took an early lead in Wednesday's Game 1 and received four power plays later in the first period, including a lengthy two-man advantage, but was unable to cash in. The lack of success came back to haunt the Coyotes as Detroit struck for three goals in the second period en route to a 4-2 triumph.

    TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBC, NBC, RDS

    ABOUT THE RED WINGS: With regular-season scoring leader Henrik Zetterberg out with a knee injury, Johan Franzen picked up the slack. "The Mule" recorded a goal and an assist during Detroit's second-period assault, giving him 36 tallies and 71 points in 76 career playoff games. The Red Wings used a pair of long shots to beat Phoenix goaltender Ilya Bryzgalov and take control of the contest. Franzen gave Detroit a 2-1 lead midway through the second with a wrister from above the slot and defenseman Brian Rafalski put a one-timer from the blue line past the screened netminder and inside the left post during a power play. Jimmy Howard made 26 saves to raise his career postseason record to 6-7.

    ABOUT THE COYOTES: Things got off to a great start for Phoenix as Kyle Turris scored 2:16 into his first career playoff game and the team received a 5-on-3 power play for 91 seconds less than halfway through the first period. But the Coyotes were unable to cash in and failed on two more man advantages later in the session, wasting the chance to put Detroit down for the count. It came back to haunt them as the Red Wings scored three times in the second period and never looked back. Bryzgalov made 32 saves but should have stopped Franzen's long-range wrister that snapped a 1-1 tie. Defenseman Derek Morris missed the contest with an upper body injury and is doubtful for Game 2.

    WHO'S HOT/WHO'S NOT: Radim Vrbata registered a team-high six shots on goal and scored once for the Coyotes while Vernon Fiddler won 9-of-11 faceoffs. Detroit's Pavel Datsyuk led all players with eight shots, converting one. Valtteri Filppula lost eight of his nine draws taken.

    SPECIAL TEAMS: Phoenix was 0-for-6 overall on the power play while the Red Wings converted one of their three opportunities.

    TRENDS:

    * Over is 8-3-4 in the last 15 meetings.
    * Over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in Detroit.
    * Coyotes are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Detroit.
    * Coyotes are 12-31-6 in the last 49 meetings.

    LAST WORD: "I think that gave us the momentum swing we needed when we killed, especially, that 5-on-3 off. And that gave us some confidence and we took it from there." - Franzen on Detroit's success on the penalty kill in the first period.



    Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers (-158, 5)

    Buffalo leads series 1-0.

    THE STORY: Patrick Kaleta picked a fine time to find his scoring touch. Kaleta scored his first goal since Dec. 27 by cleaning up a rebound early in the third period on Thursday as the visiting Buffalo Sabres upended the Philadelphia Flyers, 1-0, in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference quarterfinal series. Reigning Vezina Trophy winner Ryan Miller did the rest by stopping all 35 shots he faced to secure his second career playoff shutout. Miller's previous blanking also came against Philadelphia in 2006. The seventh-seeded Sabres will look to put the Atlantic Division champions in a decided hole when they meet again on Saturday for Game 2 at the Wells Fargo Center.

    TV: 5 ET, TSN, MSG

    ABOUT THE SABRES: Mike Grier provided a physical presence for Buffalo on Thursday. The veteran logged over 11 1/2 minutes of ice time and had a team-high five hits. The Sabres may have lost defenseman Shaone Morrisonn, who suffered an upper-body injury after being hit by blue-liner Braydon Coburn on Thursday. The Sabres have won their last five contests and 10 of their last 13 (10-1-2). Playing on the road is also no deterrent for Lindy Ruff's club, which has won 14 of its last 20 away from HSBC Arena and is 22-13-6 on the season. With Thursday's win, Miller (35-22-8, 2.55 goals-against average) improved to 5-2 in the postseason against the Flyers. All told, Miller has posted a 13-8-1 career mark against Philadelphia.

    ABOUT THE FLYERS: Rookie Sergei Bobrovsky (28-14-8, 2.56 goals-against average) fared well in his first postseason start. The Russian turned away 24 of 25 shots he faced, but Kaleta made him pay for kicking out a rebound 5:56 into the third period. Veteran defenseman Chris Pronger is still nursing a hand injury and was ruled out hours before Thursday's contest, marking the 17th straight game he has missed. The Flyers are 16-9-7 without the blue-liner this season, and just 3-4-5 in their last 12 games that he has been a spectator. James van Riemsdyk collected a team-high six shots and drew two penalties during Thursday's loss.

    WHO'S HOT/WHO’S NOT: All-Star Claude Giroux hasn't fared well in his short career against the Sabres. The 22nd overall pick of the 2006 draft, Giroux only has one goal in 12 meetings. Buffalo's Thomas Vanek has collected nine goals and 12 assists in his last 18 games. Vanek finished the season as the team leader in goals (32), assists (41) and points (73).

    SPECIAL TEAMS: Philadelphia showed some positives on its power play, but failed on all five of its chances - including a 5-on-3 effort - on Thursday. The Flyers have scored on 16.6 percent of their opportunities with the man-advantage this season, while killing off 82.7 percent of its shorthanded situations. For its part, Buffalo has converted 19.4 percent of its power plays, while extinguishing 83.0 percent of its opponents' chances.

    TRENDS:

    * Over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Philadelphia.
    * Sabres are 4-1 in the last five meetings in Philadelphia.
    * Over is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings.
    * Sabres are 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
    * Road team is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

    LAST WORD: The following has held true for all eight of the completed Flyers-Sabres postseason meetings. The team which has won Game 1 went on to win the series.



    Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins (-195, 5)

    Montreal leads series 1-0.

    THE STORY: The Montreal Canadiens fired the first salvo in their best-of-seven Eastern Conference quarterfinal series with the Boston Bruins on Thursday by rendering the home club silent. Carey Price and captain Brian Gionta were primarily responsible for that. Price turned aside all 31 shots he faced to snap a personal eight-game losing skid in the playoffs and record his third postseason shutout - all against the Bruins. Gionta, who is a former Boston College star, tallied twice to continue his hot streak. The seventh-seeded Canadiens will look to put the Northeast Division champions in a decided hole when the Original Six rivals meet again in Game 2 on Saturday.

    TV: 7 ET, VERSUS, NESN, CBC

    ABOUT THE BRUINS: Tim Thomas (35-12-9, 2.00 goals-against average) permitted an early goal to Gionta but settled down to stop 18 of 20 shots on Thursday. Thomas wasn't the problem, however, as the Bruins saw their offense dry up once again. Boston has scored 22 goals in its last 10 games. Veteran defenseman Tomas Kaberle had a game he'd like to forget. The veteran blue-liner failed with a clearing attempt in the early going which directly led to Gionta's first goal of the contest. Rookie Brad Marchand could not convert on a semi-breakaway in the first period, which ultimately stood as Boston's best chance to score.

    ABOUT THE CANADIENS: After an admittedly difficult regular season, Scott Gomez finally made a positive statement for Montreal. Under much scrutiny by both the team and its rabid fan base, Gomez collected a pair of assists on Thursday to secure his first multi-point effort since Jan. 21. The offensive effort enabled Price (39-28-6, 2.32 goals-against average) to improve to 13-4-2 career mark against the Bruins. Despite all of the bad blood circulating following the Max Pacioretty incident, Thursday's contest was a relatively clean affair.

    WHO'S HOT/WHO’S NOT: Gionta has collected five goals in his last three games and now has seven tallies in as many contests against the Bruins this season. Boston centers David Krejci and Patrice Bergeron are having trouble lighting the lamp. Krejci has one goal in his last 13 games, while Bergeron has tallied once in his last 20 contests. Milan Lucic, who had a career-high 30 goals this season, has one tally in his last 11 games.

    SPECIAL TEAMS: The Bruins will need to ignite their lackluster power play, which has converted just five of its last 36 opportunities - including an 0-for-3 effort on Thursday. During the season, Boston converted 16.2 percent of its power plays during the season, while extinguishing 82.6 percent of its opponents' chances. For its part, Montreal has scored on 19.7 percent of its opportunities with the man-advantage, while killing off 84.4 percent of its shorthanded situations.

    TRENDS:

    * Home team is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
    * Canadiens are 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
    * Over is 3-1-2 in the last six meetings.
    * Canadiens are 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Boston.
    * Underdog is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

    LAST WORD: "It's no secret that the Bell Centre is not an easy building for us to win in, especially this year, and, yeah, it's definitely a must-win to try to get a split." - Lucic, on whether Game 2 at TD Garden is a must-win for the Bruins.



    Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks (-193, 5)

    San Jose leads series 1-0.

    THE STORY: The Los Angeles Kings proved they can play with the Pacific Division champion San Jose Sharks. Unfortunately for Terry Murray's club, the Sharks were able to seal the deal on Thursday when Joe Pavelski capped an odd-man break at 14:44 of overtime for a 3-2 triumph in Game 1 of the Western Conference quarterfinal series. The seventh-seeded Kings will level their series and take away home-ice advantage when they invade the Shark Tank for Game 2 on Saturday.

    TV: 10 ET, VERSUS, TSN

    ABOUT THE SHARKS: Dany Heatley scored 28 seconds into the contest and rookie Logan Couture atoned for an early miscue with a tally of his own. Ryane Clowe returned after a three-game absence with a lower-body injury to notch three assists in a game for the first time since February 2009. Last year's Stanley Cup-winning netminder, Antti Niemi (36-18-6, 2.37 goals-against average) turned aside 33 shots on Thursday to improve to 6-1-2 in his career versus Los Angeles. HP Pavilion certainly has truly been a safe haven for San Jose. The Sharks won their last eight at home and finished the regular season with a 25-11-5 mark.

    ABOUT THE KINGS: After being sidelined since March 21 with dislocated shoulder, Justin Williams collected a goal and an assist in his return. That's quite the effort considering Williams was clearly not at 100 percent. To boot, Williams was also wearing a harness to stabilize his injured shoulder. Jonathan Quick (35-22-4, 2.24 goals-against average) was solid by stopping 42 of 45 shots, but Los Angeles still fell for the fifth time in seven games. The Kings may be without center Jarret Stoll, who was awaiting a phone call from the NHL's league office following his brutal hit on Sharks defenseman Ian White on Thursday. Playing in his first career postseason game, White was facing the glass and was hit from behind by Stoll. Stoll has collected 20 goals, 23 assists and 42 penalty minutes this season.

    WHO'S HOT/WHO’S NOT: Sharks former captain Patrick Marleau has recorded 10 goals and 12 assists in his last 14 contests. Los Angeles center Jarret Stoll has netted just one goal in his last 10 games.

    SPECIAL TEAMS: The Kings scored on one of their three power-play opportunities and denied both shorthanded situations in Game 1. That's quite the statement considering San Jose has converted an NHL third-best 23.5 percent of its power plays this season. For its part, Los Angeles has killed off an NHL fourth-best 85.5 percent of its shorthanded situation

    TRENDS:

    * Favorite is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
    * Home team is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
    * Over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in San Jose.
    * Kings are 16-35-1 in the last 52 meetings.
    * Kings are 8-20 in the last 28 meetings in San Jose.

    LAST WORD: "(San Jose defenseman Ian White) was a little low there. I don't know what he was doing, if he was reaching for a puck or what. He was right against the boards, too, and he was a little low. I just finished my check on him, and it ended up pretty bad for him. I hope he's all right. You hate to see a guy get hurt, regular season or playoffs. I definitely wasn't trying to hurt him." - Stoll, on his hit on White on Thursday.


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    Comment


    • #17
      NHL


      Saturday, April 16


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Ice picks: Saturday's best NHL bets
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Phoenix Coyotes at Detroit Red Wings (-160, 5.5)

      The Red Wings earned a 4-2 victory in Game 1 on Wednesday despite not playing their best hockey. They killed six penalties, including four in the first period, and overcame a one-goal deficit after one period to take care of Phoenix.

      “It was Game 1 at home in the playoffs, and I thought we were a bit nervous early,” coach Mike Babcock told the Detroit Free Press. “We took some penalties and I thought that made our start look worse than it was.”

      Detroit should not have any of those jitters in Game 2 on Saturday, having finished the opener in fine fashion. The team also looks like it has a re-energized Johan Franzen at its disposal.

      Franzen had scored only two goals in his last 27 regular-season games, but he tallied a goal (to give Detroit a 2-1 lead in the second period) and an assist in Wednesday’s victory. The veteran forward has at least one point in 13 straight playoff games dating to last season.

      Pick: Red Wings


      Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers (-158, 5)


      The Flyers dropped Game 1 at home on Thursday, but they do not sound too concerned about trailing Buffalo in the series.

      “They didn't win the series [Thursday],” defenseman Matt Carle told the Philadelphia Inquirer. “It's going to be a long series; I think we knew that going into it. It wasn't going to be an easy task. We have every opportunity to win Game 2 and even this thing up.”

      It’s not like Philadelphia was without chances; Sabres goalie Ryan Miller was simply too good. The Flyers had six power-play opportunities (to Buffalo’s two) and put 35 shots on goal (to Buffalo’s 25).

      Philly has now dropped three in a row to the Sabres, but the team has solved Miller on more than one occasion. The Flyers scored five goals against him in a 6-3 win on October 26 and they lit the lamp at Miller’s expense four times in a 5-2 victory on Jan. 11.

      “We didn't expect to beat them in four anyway,” center Danny Briere said. “It's just one game.”

      Pick: Flyers


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      Comment


      • #18
        MLB
        Dunkel



        Seattle at Kansas City
        The Mariners look to build on their 8-3 record in Felix Hernandez' last 11 starts. Seattle is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Mariners favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

        SATURDAY, APRIL 16

        Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.544; Washington (Marquis) 15.163
        Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8 1/2
        Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8
        Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Over

        Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 14.831; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.400
        Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8 1/2
        Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 9
        Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+160); Under

        Game 905-906: NY Mets at Atlanta (4:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Carrasco) 15.270; Atlanta (Lowe) 14.390
        Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7 1/2
        Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 8 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+150); Under

        Game 907-908: Florida at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanchez) 14.956; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.910
        Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9 1/2
        Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 8 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-200); Over

        Game 909-910: San Diego at Houston (7:05 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 14.945; Houston (Figueroa) 14.191
        Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7 1/2
        Vegas Line: San Diego (-145); 8
        Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-145); Under

        Game 911-912: San Francisco at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.178; Arizona (Saunders) 14.202
        Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10 1/2
        Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 10
        Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120); Over

        Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Coleman) 16.296; Colorado (Hammel) 15.629
        Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9 1/2
        Vegas Line: Colorado (-175); 10
        Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+155); Under

        Game 915-916: St. Louis at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (McClellan) 15.499; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.638
        Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7
        Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 6 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-150); Over

        Game 917-918: Baltimore at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.630; Cleveland (Tomlin) 15.201
        Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 9
        Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 8 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+100); Over

        Game 919-920: Texas at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 16.676; NY Yankees (Garcia) 15.304
        Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
        Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 10
        Dunkel Pick: Texas (+105); Under

        Game 921-922: Seattle at Kansas City (1:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.171; Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 14.988
        Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7
        Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 7 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-140); Under

        Game 923-924: Detroit at Oakland (9:05 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.210; Oakland (Braden) 16.235
        Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7 1/2
        Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 7
        Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Over

        Game 925-926: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (4:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.326; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.094
        Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
        Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Over

        Game 927-928: LA Angels at Chicago White Sox (4:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Chatwood) 15.842; White Sox (Floyd) 15.380
        Dunkel Line: LA Angles by 1/2; 8 1/2
        Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-175); 9
        Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+155); Under

        Game 929-930: Toronto at Boston (1:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Reyes) 15.355; Boston (Beckett) 13.916
        Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
        Vegas Line: Boston (-230); 9
        Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+190); Under

        Game 931-932: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.407; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.233
        Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9 1/2
        Vegas Line: No Line
        Dunkel Pick: N/A

        Comment


        • #19
          MLB
          Long Sheet


          Saturday, April 16


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MILWAUKEE (7 - 6) at WASHINGTON (6 - 7) - 1:05 PM
          YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          MILWAUKEE is 33-44 (-25.1 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
          MILWAUKEE is 25-37 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
          GALLARDO is 11-17 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

          YOVANI GALLARDO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
          GALLARDO is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
          His team's record is 2-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

          JASON MARQUIS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
          MARQUIS is 4-9 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.522.
          His team's record is 6-11 (-9.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-8. (-2.4 units)

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          PITTSBURGH (6 - 7) at CINCINNATI (8 - 5) - 1:10 PM
          JAMES MCDONALD (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          PITTSBURGH is 7-28 (-16.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
          PITTSBURGH is 22-66 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          PITTSBURGH is 7-30 (-16.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
          PITTSBURGH is 22-66 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
          PITTSBURGH is 43-86 (-24.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
          PITTSBURGH is 12-38 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
          PITTSBURGH is 16-52 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
          CINCINNATI is 100-79 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          CINCINNATI is 54-32 (+18.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          CINCINNATI is 100-79 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
          CINCINNATI is 26-10 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
          CINCINNATI is 64-35 (+20.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

          JAMES MCDONALD vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
          No recent starts.

          MIKE LEAKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
          LEAKE is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.604.
          His team's record is 0-3 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NY METS (4 - 9) at ATLANTA (5 - 8) - 4:10 PM
          D.J. CARRASCO (R) vs. DEREK LOWE (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          ATLANTA is 88-88 (-31.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          D.J. CARRASCO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
          No recent starts.

          DEREK LOWE vs. NY METS since 1997
          LOWE is 4-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.81 and a WHIP of 1.565.
          His team's record is 6-6 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-4. (+3.9 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          FLORIDA (8 - 5) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 4) - 7:05 PM
          ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
          Top Trends for this game.
          FLORIDA is 4-12 (-10.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
          FLORIDA is 452-414 (+50.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
          FLORIDA is 9-4 (+12.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 3 seasons.
          FLORIDA is 88-81 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
          FLORIDA is 45-33 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          FLORIDA is 84-79 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
          FLORIDA is 35-31 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
          FLORIDA is 35-18 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
          FLORIDA is 53-40 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
          FLORIDA is 536-601 (+38.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
          HAMELS is 19-19 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
          HAMELS is 19-19 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
          HAMELS is 13-19 (-17.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
          HAMELS is 7-13 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

          Head-to-Head Series History
          FLORIDA is 1-0 (+1.7 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

          ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997 SANCHEZ is 3-7 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.93 and a WHIP of 1.613.
          His team's record is 3-8 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-1.9 units)

          COLE HAMELS vs. FLORIDA since 1997
          HAMELS is 4-7 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.160.
          His team's record is 5-10 (-12.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-6. (+1.6 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SAN DIEGO (6 - 7) at HOUSTON (4 - 10) - 7:05 PM
          MAT LATOS (R) vs. NELSON FIGUEROA (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN DIEGO is 96-80 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO is 48-39 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO is 94-79 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO is 33-26 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          HOUSTON is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

          MAT LATOS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
          LATOS is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.375.
          His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

          NELSON FIGUEROA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
          FIGUEROA is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 22.50 and a WHIP of 3.500.
          His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 6) at ARIZONA (5 - 7) - 8:10 PM
          BARRY ZITO (L) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
          Top Trends for this game.
          ARIZONA is 33-24 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          SAUNDERS is 79-54 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
          SAUNDERS is 11-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
          SAN FRANCISCO is 110-81 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          SAN FRANCISCO is 52-45 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          SAN FRANCISCO is 109-79 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
          SAN FRANCISCO is 75-53 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
          SAN FRANCISCO is 88-54 (+22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
          ARIZONA is 70-105 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          ARIZONA is 574-505 (-72.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
          ARIZONA is 68-104 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
          ARIZONA is 37-63 (-27.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

          BARRY ZITO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
          ZITO is 3-8 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.15 and a WHIP of 1.665.
          His team's record is 6-8 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.3 units)

          JOE SAUNDERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997 No recent starts.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CHICAGO CUBS (6 - 7) at COLORADO (11 - 2) - 8:10 PM
          CASEY COLEMAN (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHICAGO CUBS are 165-172 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          CHICAGO CUBS are 165-172 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
          CHICAGO CUBS are 118-127 (-28.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
          COLORADO is 11-2 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
          COLORADO is 11-2 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
          COLORADO is 9-1 (+7.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
          COLORADO is 55-60 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

          CASEY COLEMAN vs. COLORADO since 1997
          No recent starts.

          JHOULYS CHACIN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
          CHACIN is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.84 and a WHIP of 1.227.
          His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ST LOUIS (7 - 7) at LA DODGERS (6 - 8) - 10:10 PM
          KYLE MCCLELLAN (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
          Top Trends for this game.
          ST LOUIS is 92-83 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          ST LOUIS is 39-50 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          ST LOUIS is 90-82 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
          ST LOUIS is 25-34 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
          ST LOUIS is 27-30 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
          ST LOUIS is 45-45 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
          ST LOUIS is 58-76 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
          ST LOUIS is 46-51 (-32.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
          LA DODGERS are 49-21 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ST LOUIS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

          KYLE MCCLELLAN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
          No recent starts.

          CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
          KERSHAW is 2-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.289.
          His team's record is 4-3 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.9 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BALTIMORE (6 - 6) at CLEVELAND (9 - 4) - 1:05 PM
          JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          BALTIMORE is 151-275 (-107.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
          CLEVELAND is 7-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CLEVELAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

          JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
          GUTHRIE is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 0.533.
          His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

          JOSH TOMLIN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
          TOMLIN is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 2.200.
          His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TEXAS (10 - 3) at NY YANKEES (7 - 5) - 1:05 PM
          DEREK HOLLAND (L) vs. FREDDY GARCIA (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          GARCIA is 18-10 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
          GARCIA is 17-9 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
          TEXAS is 22-13 (+11.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
          NY YANKEES are 46-46 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

          DEREK HOLLAND vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
          HOLLAND is 0-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
          His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

          FREDDY GARCIA vs. TEXAS since 1997
          GARCIA is 7-5 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.472.
          His team's record is 10-11 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-15. (-11.0 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SEATTLE (4 - 10) at KANSAS CITY (9 - 4) - 1:10 PM
          FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. SEAN O'SULLIVAN (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          SEATTLE is 66-110 (-41.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          SEATTLE is 29-61 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          SEATTLE is 16-38 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
          SEATTLE is 63-104 (-40.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
          SEATTLE is 1-8 (-7.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
          SEATTLE is 59-111 (-43.6 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
          SEATTLE is 1-8 (-7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          HERNANDEZ is 27-12 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
          KANSAS CITY is 27-40 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          KANSAS CITY is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

          FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997 HERNANDEZ is 3-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.014.
          His team's record is 3-4 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.8 units)

          SEAN O'SULLIVAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
          No recent starts.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DETROIT (7 - 7) at OAKLAND (6 - 8) - 9:05 PM
          JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DALLAS BRADEN (L)
          Top Trends for this game.
          DETROIT is 27-50 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
          DETROIT is 10-23 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
          OAKLAND is 48-68 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DETROIT is 2-0 (+2.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

          JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
          VERLANDER is 5-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.194.
          His team's record is 5-5 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-7. (-4.7 units)

          DALLAS BRADEN vs. DETROIT since 1997
          BRADEN is 2-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.570.
          His team's record is 4-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MINNESOTA (4 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 8) - 4:10 PM
          SCOTT BAKER (R) vs. JEFF NIEMANN (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          MINNESOTA is 0-7 (-8.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TAMPA BAY is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

          SCOTT BAKER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
          BAKER is 2-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.010.
          His team's record is 3-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.4 units)

          JEFF NIEMANN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
          NIEMANN is 2-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.293.
          His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LA ANGELS (8 - 5) at CHI WHITE SOX (7 - 6) - 4:10 PM
          TYLER CHATWOOD (R) vs. GAVIN FLOYD (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHI WHITE SOX are 36-20 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
          CHI WHITE SOX are 42-35 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          LA ANGELS are 586-574 (+68.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
          LA ANGELS are 68-37 (+32.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
          LA ANGELS are 482-471 (+66.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
          LA ANGELS are 305-283 (+45.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
          LA ANGELS are 572-564 (+45.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LA ANGELS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

          TYLER CHATWOOD vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
          No recent starts.

          GAVIN FLOYD vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
          FLOYD is 2-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.068.
          His team's record is 3-3 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.1 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TORONTO (7 - 6) at BOSTON (2 - 10) - 1:10 PM
          JO-JO REYES (L) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          BOSTON is 59-23 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
          TORONTO is 92-84 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          TORONTO is 47-30 (+22.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
          TORONTO is 40-34 (+13.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          TORONTO is 76-61 (+19.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
          BOSTON is 2-10 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
          BOSTON is 41-47 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
          BOSTON is 2-10 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
          BOSTON is 349-324 (-63.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.7 Units) against BOSTON this season
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

          JO-JO REYES vs. BOSTON since 1997
          No recent starts.

          JOSH BECKETT vs. TORONTO since 1997
          BECKETT is 3-6 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 7.03 and a WHIP of 1.538.
          His team's record is 6-8 (-6.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-9. (-5.5 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NY METS (4 - 9) at ATLANTA (5 - 8) - 7:10 PM
          MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. JAIR JURRJENS (R)
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          MIKE PELFREY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
          PELFREY is 4-8 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.58 and a WHIP of 1.684.
          His team's record is 5-9 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-6. (+0.8 units)

          JAIR JURRJENS vs. NY METS since 1997
          JURRJENS is 7-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.234.
          His team's record is 7-3 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+2.0 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #20
            MLB


            Saturday, April 16


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            1:05 PM
            MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
            Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 15 games when playing Washington
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 15 games when playing Milwaukee

            1:05 PM
            BALTIMORE vs. CLEVELAND
            Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games on the road
            Cleveland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
            Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

            1:05 PM
            TEXAS vs. NY YANKEES
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
            NY Yankees are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home

            1:10 PM
            TORONTO vs. BOSTON
            Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 16 games
            Boston is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games

            1:10 PM
            PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
            Pittsburgh is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
            Cincinnati is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

            1:10 PM
            SEATTLE vs. KANSAS CITY
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
            Seattle is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
            Kansas City is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Seattle
            Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle

            4:10 PM
            NY METS vs. ATLANTA
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
            Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
            Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

            4:10 PM
            LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
            LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing LA Angels

            4:10 PM
            MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
            Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
            Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 21 of Tampa Bay's last 25 games

            7:05 PM
            SAN DIEGO vs. HOUSTON
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Diego's last 12 games on the road
            San Diego is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing San Diego
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

            7:05 PM
            FLORIDA vs. PHILADELPHIA
            Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
            Philadelphia is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Florida

            7:40 PM
            NY METS vs. ATLANTA
            NY Mets are 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,when playing on the road against Atlanta
            NY Mets are 1-7-1 SU in its last 9 games ,when playing Atlanta
            Atlanta is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,at home
            Atlanta is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,

            8:10 PM
            SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
            San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
            Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
            Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

            8:10 PM
            CHI CUBS vs. COLORADO
            Chi Cubs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs
            Colorado is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

            9:05 PM
            DETROIT vs. OAKLAND
            Detroit is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
            Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

            10:10 PM
            ST. LOUIS vs. LA DODGERS
            St. Louis is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
            St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            LA Dodgers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by Udog; 04-16-2011, 10:06 AM.

            Comment


            • #21
              MLB
              Short Sheet


              Saturday, April 16


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Hot lines: Saturday's best MLB bets
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              San Diego Padres at Houston Astros (134, 7.5)

              Padres ace Mat Latos lost his first start of the season Monday against the Reds, but the bigger news was that the shoulder soreness that delayed his debut didn’t crop up again. He threw 94 pitches over six innings, allowing four hits and three runs and fanning seven.

              “I can’t complain about anything,” he said. “I kept the ball down in the zone and worked ahead. Everything felt fine.”

              Now he gets to face an Astros team he absolutely dominated last season, going 2-0 with 16 strikeouts in 16 scoreless innings. Houston batted .113 against him.

              San Diego is 11-4 in Latos’ last 15 starts against teams with a losing record.

              The Astros will trot out Nelson Figueroa (0-2, 10.61 ERA), who might not keep his starting spot much longer.

              Pick: Padres


              St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers (-146, 6.5)


              The transition from reliever to starter has gone smoothly for Cardinals right-hander Kyle McLellan, who posted a 2.27 ERA in 68 appearances out of the bullpen last year.

              St. Louis has won both his starts this season, with McClellan (1-0, 2.25 ERA) going six innings each time.

              Dodgers lefty Clayton Kershaw has been spectacular so far. But he struggled mightily against the Cardinals last year, allowing 12 hits, five walks and seven earned runs in 11 1/3 innings.

              First baseman Albert Pujols is coming out of his season-opening slump. And he’s 6-for-12 lifetime against Kershaw with three doubles and five walks.

              Cleanup hitter Matt Holliday is 5-for-14 with six walks against Kershaw. Holliday’s return from an appendectomy has energized the Cardinals, making the dog an attractive play here.

              Pick: Cardinals


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #22
                How to bet the NBA Playoffs: Handicapper's hoops tips

                Be aware of the zig-zag theory

                The zig-zag theory is very simple and it's a must-understand component of NBA playoff handicapping. The theory is simple enough: Bet on the team that lost their last game.

                The thought process behind the theory is that the team that just lost is likely to dig deep and produce a strong effort, before they fall into a deeper hole. Meanwhile, the team that just won is likely to make fewer adjustments and be a tad bit complacent heading into the next game.

                The betting marketplace respects this theory tremendously. That's why you'll normally see a shorter pointspread in the first game following a blowout. In addition, you'll often see the weaker of the two teams favored if they return home facing a 0-2 series deficit after losing the first two games on their opponent's home court.

                Sharp bettors know that the zig-zag theory is going to influence pointspreads throughout the postseason. They'll understand why and how the books are making adjustments to the spread from game to game as a series progresses.

                Be aware of flaws in the zig-zag theory

                The zig-zag theory does very well in competitive series. For a prime example, look at the NBA Finals between the Lakers and Celtics last year, when the straight-up loser of the previous game covered the spread five times in six tries - the lone exception being Boston’s win in Game 5.

                But the zig-zag theory tends to fail in less competitive series, where one team has a clear advantage over their opponent. The Atlanta Hawks were a good example of this failure last playoff season. The Hawks went 4-3 ATS in Round 1, covering the spread in all four wins over Milwaukee.

                But once Atlanta stepped up in class against Orlando in Round 2, it was downright ugly. The Hawks went 0-4 SU and ATS, with all four defeats coming by double digits against the spread. When there is a confidence differential and/or a talent differential, the zig-zag theory tends to crash and burn.

                The theory also fails when a team is simply priced incorrectly by the betting marketplace. Bettors got hammered trying to zig-zag against the Boston Celtics last spring, as Doc Rivers’ squad went 11-3 ATS in their first 14 playoff games en route to series wins over Miami, Cleveland and Orlando.

                At the time, bettors just didn't respect the Celtics following their mediocre 27-27 SU run to close out the regular season. Boston finished the regular season ranked 29th out of 30 NBA teams against the spread, ahead of only lowly New Jersey.

                When the Celtics flipped the switch in the postseason, their residual ATS value carried them to profits in all four rounds of the playoffs.

                Blindly betting the zig-zag theory is a 50/50 proposition at best. The key for bettors is to determine which are the competitive series where the zig-zag will work and which matchups are the mismatch series, where the zig-zag is likely to fail.

                Don't overvalue home courts

                Every talking head on TV talks about the importance of the home court in the postseason. You'll repeatedly hear nonsense like, "Look for Team A to protect their home court in Game 5." But the home-court edge is already fully factored in to every pointspread in every game.

                Playoff teams are here because they can win on the road. The very best teams, that are most likely to win a playoff series or two, tend to have winning records on the road, consistently beating teams in hostile environments.

                As we enter the 2011 playoffs, Boston, Chicago, Orlando, Atlanta, Oklahoma City, Los Angeles, San Antonio and Dallas - eight of the 16 playoff teams - finished the regular season above .500 on the highway.

                And it’s surely worth noting that sub .500 road playoff teams like New York, Philadelphia, Memphis, Portland and Denver have been pointspread moneymakers on the highway, despite their relative lack of SU success.

                The teams that you're most likely to make money with during the postseason are the type of teams that tend to win games and cover spreads in hostile environments. And a home-court edge lessens later in a series when teams have played several previous games on each floor, as matchups and health become bigger issues than the where the game is taking place.

                Comment


                • #23
                  NBA Playoffs betting cheat sheet

                  The 2011 NBA playoffs get rolling this weekend, so it’s time to take a look at the report card heading into what will certainly be plenty of wild hoops action. Who’s hot? Who’s not? Who’s in danger of becoming a first-round upset victim? Let’s try to sort it out.

                  Hot: Chicago Bulls

                  The Bulls aren’t just the hottest team in the NBA right now. They’ve been the hottest team almost non-stop since December. Chicago has won nine in a row going into the playoffs (4-5 ATS) and 21 of its last 23 games (14-9 ATS).

                  And it’s not like the Bulls are beating up on puffcakes. In that 23-game stretch they won at Orlando (twice), at Miami, at New York, massacred Atlanta twice, and destroyed Boston. Derrick Rose and company not only ran away with the Eastern Conference’s top seed, but they also blew past San Antonio in improbable fashion for the NBA’s best record.

                  Cold: Atlanta Hawks

                  The Hawks were awful in last season’s playoffs, needing seven games to fight off an underdog and undermanned Milwaukee team in Round 1 before getting swept by Orlando in the most lopsided four-game postseason series in the history of the NBA.

                  This time around, the Hawks have been awful heading into the playoffs and haven’t provided any reason to think a series with the Magic will be much different in 2011. Atlanta rode a six-game losing streak to wrap up its regular season (1-5 ATS), a stretch that included a 115-83 loss at Washington last Saturday and a 96-85 setback at Charlotte Wednesday.

                  Surprise: Denver Nuggets

                  It would not be wise to discount the Nuggets, because discounted is exactly what they were when they dealt Carmelo Anthony just before February’s trade deadline. Instead, Denver laughed in the face of its doubters and actually got better without ‘Melo.

                  The Nuggets went 18-7 post-trade (20-4-1 ATS) after being a modest 32-25 when they pulled the trigger and shipped Melo to New York. Furthermore, by playing its way up to the No. 5 seed, George Karl’s crew has avoided both L.A. and San Antonio and has a manageable first-round series with Oklahoma City.

                  A word of caution on the Nuggets: Arron Afflalo (hamstring), Danilo Gallinari (ankle), Nene (groin), and Ty Lawson (ankle) are all dealing with injuries. The first three were held out of Wednesday’s loss to the Jazz as a precautionary measure and they are expected to play in Game 1 on Sunday. Lawson’s left ankle is more serious; he sprained it against Utah and is questionable for Game 1.

                  Home cooking: San Antonio Spurs

                  The Spurs were damn good pretty much wherever they played this season (although not quite good enough to beat out Chicago for the league’s best record). But they were especially dominant at the AT&T Center. San Antonio finished 36-5 at home (tied with the Bulls and at least three games clear of everyone else).

                  With home-court advantage throughout the Western Conference playoffs, it could be curtains for all other contenders if the Spurs get off-the-charts hot at home like they did during the regular season. They won 22 straight at the AT&T Center during one stretch, refusing to lose a game between December 3 and March 6.

                  On a side note, the Spurs might rely on home court even more with shooting guard Manu Ginobili nursing an injured elbow. Ginobili hyper-extended his elbow early into Wednesday’s game with the Phoenix Suns, leaving many to question why coach Gregg Popovich would play his starters. X-rays at the stadium were negative and his status is pending an MRI exam Thursday.

                  Road warriors: Miami Heat

                  LeBron James took his talents to South Beach, and the Heat promptly took their talents away from South Beach.

                  Despite having a bullseye on its back every single time it went into an opponent’s stadium, Miami delivered an impressive 28-13 road record, tied for best in the NBA with Dallas. Erik Spoelstra’s squad won seven of its last eight games away from AmericanAirlines Arena, including its final two of the regular season against Atlanta and Toronto.

                  Banged up: Los Angeles Lakers

                  The Lakers got a major scare when oft-injured center Andrew Bynum went down with a hyper-extended knee in Tuesday’s win over San Antonio. But it must have been a major relief when a Wednesday MRI showed nothing more than a bone bruise. Bynum sat out L.A.’s season finale and he is expected return for Game 1 against New Orleans Sunday.

                  Meanwhile, Steve Blake has missed two straight games due to a case of chicken pox and he is out indefinitely. Matt Barnes sat out Wednesday’s overtime win over Sacramento with a knee injury but is listed as probable for the postseason opener.

                  Kobe Bryant is in good shape physically at the moment, but he has been dealing with controversy surrounding the racial slur fired at referee Bennie Adams after being hit with a technical while playing the Spurs. Kobe was then hit with a $100,000 fine by David Stern but the All-Star guard made the necessary apologies and it should blow over well before the weekend.

                  Upset alert: Boston Celtics

                  The Celtics floundered down the stretch, losing three of their last five (3-5 ATS) and 11 of their last 21 (9-12 ATS). That could prove costly, because they threw away the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference and would not have home-court advantage against Miami if the two powerhouses meet in Round 2.

                  It also means Boston has to go up against sixth-seeded New York right away. The Knicks took almost too much time to gel following their deal for Carmelo, even losing nine of 10 games in mid-March, but they suddenly went on a seven-game winning streak (6-1 ATS) during the final two weeks of the regular season.

                  Don’t put any stock in the season finale between the Celtics and Knicks. Boston prevailed 112-102 at home Wednesday, but both clubs gave their stars some rest and it meant nothing for standings purposes.

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    MLB
                    Write-Up


                    Saturday, April 16


                    Hot pitchers
                    -- Gallardo is 1-0, 2.70 in three starts this season.
                    -- Lowe has a 1.45 RA in his first three starts this year.
                    -- Coleman is 3-0, 3.60 in his last four starts.
                    -- Kershaw is 2-1, 1.37 in three starts this season. McClellan is 1-0, 2.25 in two starts this year.

                    -- Guthrie has a 0.74 RA in his first couple starts. Tomlin is 2-0, 2.63 in his first two starts.
                    -- Holland is 2-0, 2.25 in two starts this season. Garcia was 2-1, 3.12 in his last five starts LY.
                    -- O'Sullivan was 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts LY.
                    -- Verlander is 1-1, 3.13 in three starts this season.
                    -- Floyd is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts this season.
                    -- Beckett is 1-1, 2.07 in two starts this season.

                    Cold pitchers
                    -- Marquis is 0-0, 3.65 in two starts this season.
                    -- Volquez has 5.72 RA in three starts, but Reds won all three games. McDonald is 0-0, 5.40 in two starts, both Pirate losses.
                    -- Mets are 0-3 in Pelfrey starts (0-1, 12.34). Carrasco started 20 games for the '05 Royals, but has started only one game in the majors since then; he's has 6.2 IP in six games this year. Jurrjens was 2-2, 7.09 in his last five starts LY.
                    -- Sanchez is 0-1, 6.97 in two starts this season. Hamels is 1-1, 5.59.
                    -- Figueroa is 0-2, 14.46 in two starts this season. Latos is 0-5, 8.04 in his last six starts.
                    -- Hammel has 6.55 RA in two starts, but Colorado won both games, scoring seven runs in both games. .
                    -- Saunders is 0-1, 7.00 in two starts this season. Zito is 0-1, 5.56.

                    -- Hernandez is 0-1, 7.62 in his last couple starts.
                    -- Braden is 0-1, 4.15 in two starts this season.
                    -- Baker is 0-2, 6.55 in two starts this season. Niemann is 0-2, 10.38.
                    -- 21-year old Chatwood allowed four runs in five IP in losing his first big league start, 4-0 to Cleveland.
                    -- Reyes is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts this season.

                    Totals
                    -- Four of last five Florida road games stayed under total.
                    -- Four of last five Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
                    -- Three of last four Cincinnati games stayed under.
                    -- Three of last four Atlanta games stayed under the total.
                    -- Four of last five San Diego games stayed under total.
                    -- Seven of last nine Cub games went over the total.
                    -- Seven of last nine Arizona games went over the total.
                    -- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers' last six games.

                    -- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Texas road games.
                    -- Six of last eight Oriole games went over the total.
                    -- Three of last four Toronto games went over the total.
                    -- Under is 10-1-1 in last twelve Minnesota games.
                    -- Royals' last five home games went over the total.
                    -- Seven of last eight Angel games stayed under the total.
                    -- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Detroit games.

                    Hot teams
                    -- Phillies won four of their last six games. Marlins won seven of their last ten games.
                    -- Milwaukee won four of its last five games.
                    -- Reds won five of their first seven home games.
                    -- Colorado won its last seven games, scoring 44 runs.
                    -- Giants won six of their last eight games.
                    -- Cardinals won five of last six games, scoring 57 runs.

                    -- Bronx won six of its nine home games. Texas won 10 of its first 13 games overall.
                    -- Indians won their last five home games.
                    -- Tampa Bay won its last four games, scoring 28 runs.
                    -- Royals won five of their last six games.
                    -- Angels won five of their last six games.
                    -- Detroit won its last four games, allowing ten runs.

                    Cold teams
                    -- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
                    -- Mets lost last five games, allowing 34 runs. Braves lost four of their last five games.
                    -- San Diego lost six of its last nine games. Astros are off to a 4-10 start.
                    -- Cubs lost four of their last six games.
                    -- Arizona is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
                    -- Dodgers lost their last four games, allowing 29 runs.

                    -- Orioles lost their last five games, outscored 37-12.
                    -- Red Sox lost ten of their first twelve games. Blue Jays lost four of their last six games.
                    -- Twins lost five of their last six games.
                    -- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
                    -- Mariners lost their last six road games.
                    -- Oakland lost four of its first five home games.

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      MLB
                      Short Sheet


                      Saturday, April 16


                      National League

                      MILWAUKEE at WASHINGTON, 1:05 PM ET

                      GALLARDO: MILWAUKEE 12-6 in road games after a one run loss
                      MARQUIS: WASHINGTON 18-52 after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games

                      PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI, 1:10 PM ET
                      MCDONALD: PITTSBURGH 11-43 as a road underdog of +125 to +175
                      LEAKE: CINCINNATI 13-1 in home games off a loss to a division rival as a favorite

                      NY METS at ATLANTA, 4:10 PM ET - ** Doubleheader Game #1
                      CARRASCO: NY METS 76-116 after 7 or more consecutive home games
                      LOWE: ATLANTA 39-16 as a home favorite of -125 to -175

                      FLORIDA at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
                      SANCHEZ: FLORIDA 27-18 in road games after a win by 2 runs or less
                      HAMELS: 13-19 TSR after a loss

                      SAN DIEGO at HOUSTON, 7:05 PM ET
                      LATOS: SAN DIEGO 13-3 OVER in road games after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games
                      FIGUEROA: HOUSTON 17-7 after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs

                      SAN FRANCISCO at ARIZONA, 8:10 PM ET
                      ZITO: 16-5 UNDER is -100 to -150
                      SAUNDERS: 11-2 TSR as a home underdog of +100 to +125

                      CHICAGO CUBS at COLORADO, 8:10 PM ET
                      COLEMAN: CHICAGO CUBS 9-19 after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs
                      CHACIN: COLORADO 35-13 OVER in home games after allowing 2 runs or less

                      ST LOUIS at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
                      MCCLELLAN: ST LOUIS 45-45 after a win
                      KERSHAW: LA DODGERS 49-21 in home games after a loss

                      American League

                      BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND, 1:05 PM ET

                      GUTHRIE: BALTIMORE 53-32 UNDER in road games
                      TOMLIN: CLEVELAND 23-11 UNDER after a win by 4 runs or more

                      TEXAS at NY YANKEES, 1:05 PM ET
                      HOLLAND: TEXAS 27-16 as a road underdog of +100 to +150
                      GARCIA: NY YANKEES 9-15 after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no run

                      SEATTLE at KANSAS CITY, 1:10 PM ET
                      HERNANDEZ: SEATTLE is 16-38 in day games
                      O'SULLIVAN: KANSAS CITY 70-44 OVER in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games

                      DETROIT at OAKLAND, 9:05 PM ET
                      VERLANDER: DETROIT 180-132 UNDER in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no error
                      BRADEN: 15-5 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125

                      MINNESOTA at TAMPA BAY, 4:10 PM ET
                      BAKER: MINNESOTA 17-30 against AL East opponents
                      NIEMANN: TAMPA BAY 21-8 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150

                      LA ANGELS at CHI WHITE SOX, 4:10 PM ET
                      CHATWOOD: LA ANGELS 23-30 against AL Central opponents
                      FLOYD: CHI WHITE SOX 36-20 in day games

                      TORONTO at BOSTON, 1:10 PM ET
                      REYES: TORONTO 76-50 when the total is 8.5 to 10
                      BECKETT: BOSTON 0-7 as a favorite of -150 or more

                      NY METS at ATLANTA, 7:10 PM ET - ** Doubleheader Game #2
                      PELFREY: NY METS 40-79 in road games in night games
                      JURRJENS: ATLANTA 39-16 as a home favorite of -125 to -175

                      ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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