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  • #16
    Wichita State-Alabama seek first-ever NIT title


    #4 seed WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS (28-8)

    vs. #1 seed ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (25-11)


    NIT – Championship
    Tip-off: Thursday, 7:00 p.m. EDT – New York, NY
    Line: Wichita State -1.5, Total: 129

    It’s good, and interesting, to be Anthony Grant, wherever he’s coaching. On Thursday, the Alabama coach will lead his squad into Madison Square Garden to do battle against Wichita State in the championship game of the National Invitation Tournament Championship. On Saturday, the Alabama coach will be paying close attention to the adventures of his former team, Virginia Commonwealth, who just so happen to be in the NCAA Final Four for the first time ever. Grant has expressed happiness for his former team, and some of the stars of the Rams tournament run, players like Joey Rodriguez and Bradford Burgess, who Grant recruited, and Jamie Skeen, who transferred into the program before Grant left. Still, knowing that Alabama was right on the edge of making the big dance, and seeing that VCU was on the edge when it got an at-large bid that was surprising to many, has left a bittersweet taste in Grant throughout this month of March. The timeliness of Alabama’s NIT march has been as convenient a distraction as Grant could have hoped for. Now he will focus on Thursday night not on where he was, or where he could be, but rather, where he is and his institution is. The Crimson Tide has been to the NIT semifinals six times, yet they have never won the NIT championship. All that can be put to an end Thursday with a victory over the Shockers of Wichita State.

    Like ‘Bama, Wichita State will be going for its first-ever NIT title. WSU enters the championship game off of an old-fashioned, country whooping they laid down on Washington State on Tuesday, de-fanging the Cougars 75-44. Garrett Stutz had a career-high 24 points with 11 rebounds, while Toure’ Murry added 13 points, as the Shockers won for the 28th time this season, setting a new school record, blazing a trail to the championship game. The victory also marked the first time Wichita State had won in Madison Square Garden in the NIT, having been winless in its previous four games. WSU held the Cougars to 29% shooting, while keeping all 13 Washington State players from scoring in double figures. Klay Thompson, who entered the game averaging 22.0 PPG, shot a forgettable 1-for-10 from the field and 0-for-5 from downtown, as his six points matched a season-worst scoring night. Wichita State did not allow a three-pointer all night, as the Shockers raced to a 17-point, halftime advantage and never looked back from there. Stutz, a 7-foot junior from Kansas City, only averages 7.1 PPG and just over 14 minutes per game, but broke out for his highest scoring and rebounding game of the year. It was Stutz’s first double-double of the season. Senior Gabe Blair also added 10. "That's about as well as we've played in a long time, and I'm just so happy these guys are continuing to play," Shockers head coach Gregg Marshall said. "They really showed a lot of resilience, and they're playing better, and that's what you want your team to do, play better at the end." Wichita State and Alabama have had common opponents. Both teams defeated Alabama A&M by more than 20 points, but against LSU, Wichita State had to squeeze out a one-point win on a Garrett Stutz (there’s that name again) three-point shot with 0:07 to play. The Tide, on the other hand, defeated the Tigers handily by double figures each time they met. Wichita State’s FG Pct. defense of 40.9% (34.3% from downtown) will likely need to be a little stingier than normal against Alabama, who at 38.3%, has the third-best FG Pct. defense in the country. The Shockers should expect to shoot poorer than normal when they face the Tide.

    Alabama is in the championship game after proving it could win an NIT game away from its home court. The Tide also proved they could win a tight NIT game as well. After cruising through three uneventful contests to get to New York City, Grant’s squad needed the late-game heroics of freshman Trevor Releford whose driving basket along the baseline with 0:12 left gave the Tide the one-point advantage that would be the difference. "I'm glad that we have a chance to play for a championship," Releford said. "We're excited," Grant said. "Obviously we're disappointed when we didn't reach one of our goals, to go to the NCAA Tournament, but our guys turned the page quickly." Alabama got a clutch game just in the nick of time from leading scorer JaMychal Green, who had been slumping, averaging 9.6 PPG in his three previous NIT games. With his squad facing elimination, Green scored 22 points on 11-of-16 shooting, adding five rebounds, and keeping the Tide rolling throughout the night, setting the stage for Releford’s game-winning shot. Alabama shot 50% for the game, well above its 44.5% average on the season, while at the same time holding the high-scoring Buffaloes (79.6 PPG, 13th-best in Division I) to just 61 points on 40% shooting. The tenacious defense overall helped to make up for a pronounced three-point shooting disparity, where Colorado outscored the Tide 24-6 from beyond the arc. Alabama has won 20 of its past 25 games, while Wichita State has 19 victories in its past 25 contests.

    The Shockers are 17-14 ATS (55%) this season, including a 16-11 ATS (59%) mark when favored and 3-2 ATS on a neutral court. Alabama is 18-13 ATS (58%), 4-8 ATS (33%) as an underdog and 1-5 ATS in neutral site games. But recently, the Tide have been the more favorable play at 13-5 ATS (72%) in their past 18 games, while WSU is just 9-9 in its past 18 contests. With two teams looking for its first NIT title, the winner of Thursday night’s game will view that championship as far from representing the old NIT acronym of a “Not Important Tournament.” While both teams enter the championship game on a roll, and have each survived tournament scares (the Shockers over Virginia Tech in OT on March 20, and ‘Bama over Colorado Tuesday night), I maintain that when in doubt, you have to go with the D-fence! Three-pointers will always fill the stands, but defense fills trophy cases. For these reasons, I am picking Alabama and its suffocating D to win its first NIT championship Thursday night. The following three FoxSheets trends support the Crimson Tide as the pick.

    ALABAMA is 11-2 ATS (84.6%, +8.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games this season. The average score was ALABAMA 68.5, OPPONENT 60.9 - (Rating = 3*).

    ALABAMA is 11-2 ATS (84.6%, +8.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this season. The average score was ALABAMA 71.5, OPPONENT 58.1 - (Rating = 3*).

    Anthony Grant is 20-7 ATS (74.1%, +12.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game as the coach of ALABAMA. The average score was ALABAMA 68.1, OPPONENT 59.9 - (Rating = 2*).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #17
      Alabama vs. Wichita St.

      March 31, 2011


      Alabama will be gunning for its first NIT championship tonight when it takes on Wichita State in the finals at Madison Square Garden in New York City. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

      As of early this afternoon, most betting shops had the Shockers listed as two-point favorites with a total of 129.

      Alabama (25-11 straight up, 17-14-1 against the spread) advanced to the finals by capturing a 62-61 win over Colorado. However, the Buffaloes took the cash as 2 ½-point underdogs. The 123 combined points easily fell ‘under’ the 143-point tally.

      ’Bama freshman point guard Trevor Releford scored the game-winning bucket with 13 seconds remaining and fittingly, the Crimson Tide held on for the win thanks to a crucial defensive stop. Anthony Grant’s team has been all about defense all year, and it limited Colorado to its third-lowest scoring output of the season.

      Despite battling foul trouble that limited him to just 26 minutes of playing time, ‘Bama junior power forward JaMychal Green scored a game-high 22 points. Releford added 13 points, six assists and four steals.

      Wichita St. (28-8 SU, 17-15 ATS) dealt out woodshed treatment from the jump in its semifinal win over Washington St. The Shockers cruised to an easy 75-44 win as three-point favorites, while the 119 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 146-point total.

      Garrett Stutz was the catalyst against the Cougars, posting a double-double with 24 points, 11 rebounds, three assists and a pair of blocked shots. Stutz made 10-of-13 shots from the field. Toure Murry and Gabe Blair were also in double figures with 13 and 10 points, respectively.

      Gregg Marshall’s team got to the Big Apple by thumping Nebraska by 27, winning at Va. Tech in overtime and holding off Charleston at home. As for Grant’s squad, it won three straight at home over Coastal Carolina, New Mexico and Miami.

      Wichita St. has been a single-digit favorite 16 times previously, compiling a 9-7 spread record. The Tide has been an underdog 12 times, going 4-7-1 versus the number.

      The ‘over’ is 17-14-1 overall for ‘Bama, 4-2 in its last six games. When the Tide has had totals in the 120s, the ‘over’ has gone 9-8.

      Wichita St. had seen three consecutive ‘overs’ until the ‘under’ connected in its win over Wazzu. For the season, the Shockers have watched the ‘over’ go 16-16 overall.

      Sportsbook.com has released a few proposition bets for this contest. For instance, Green has a total of seven flat (minus-120 either way) for his total rebounds. He pulled down just five boards in the win over CU.

      Two Wichita St. players have been assigned totals for points scored. Murry has a total of 10 ½ flat and J.T. Durley’s tally is 15 flat. For Alabama, Tony Mitchell’s total for points is 15 ½ flat.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #18
        Inside the Paint - Thursday

        March 31, 2011

        It’s often been said in sports betting that it’s never a good idea to bet against a team that has won three or more games in a row and you never ever bet on a team that has lost three or more consecutive games. If you use current form as one of your handicapping angles and believe in streaks and skids, then tonight’s two-game set in the Association might not appeal to you.

        The nationally televised double-header on TNT starts in the Lone Star State with San Antonio (57-17 straight up, 40-32 against the spread) hosting Boston (51-22 SU, 32-29 ATS) in a non-conference affair. Even though Sportsbook.com still lists both the Celtics and Spurs as contenders (4/1) to win the NBA Finals, neither of the two are playing at a high level lately.

        While that pair have struggled down the stretch, the late-night affair from Staples Center pits two hot teams against one another when the L.A. Lakers (53-20 SU, 35-57 ATS) and Dallas Mavericks (53-21 SU, 40-32 ATS) tangle. Phil Jackson’s club has gone 15-1 (10-6 ATS) since the All-Star break and finally starting to play like the two-time defending champions. The Mavs haven’t been as hot, but a 13-4 (8-9 ATS) ledger in the second-half is nothing to ignore either.

        Let’s take a closer look at both matchups.

        Boston at San Antonio

        Oddsmakers opened the Spurs as two-point home favorites over the Celtics but don’t be surprised to see this number do a complete 180 by tip off. San Antonio’s Tim Duncan (ankle) and Manu Ginobili (quad) are both listed as ‘questionable’, while Tony Parker (patella) is ‘probable.’ If the trio plays then the line will likely hover around the opener, but if one or more than one sits, then Boston should close as the ‘chalk.’


        Boston has played much better on the front end of back-to-back situations this season. (Getty Images)

        On Monday, the entire trio sat out against Portland, which resulted in a loss (92-100). The setback was the fourth straight for the Spurs and just the fourth loss (33-4 SU, 16-20 ATS) at the AT&T Center this season.

        San Antonio has a magic number of six to claim not only the top spot in the Western Conference but for homecourt throughout the entire playoffs. With eight games left, six victories will do it or a combination of losses from other opponents. During this stretch, only three of the games will be against playoff clubs, including tonight’s battle versus Boston.

        The Spurs came up short to the Celtics (103-105) on Jan. 5 but did manage to cover as 2 ½-point road underdogs. Including that loss, San Antonio is now 1-3 its last four encounters against Boston.

        Will Doc Rivers and his troops make it four out of five? Similar to last year, the Celtics are fading down the stretch and you wonder if it’s intentional or not. Boston went 3-7 in its final 10 games of the 2010 regular season before making a deep playoff run and losing to the Lakers in Game 7 of the NBA Finals.

        With nine games left in the season, Boston is already on the same downward trend, going 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in its last four. A lot of the finger pointing has started, and it’s directed at general manager Danny Ainge. He took some heat for trading center Kendrick Perkins to Oklahoma City and right now, the criticism seems deserving.

        Boston is 9-7 SU and 6-10 ATS since they acquired Jeff Green from the Thunder for Perkins and the ‘under’ has gone 10-6 behind an offense that has been held under 100 points in 11 of the 16 contests. The loss of Perkins in the frontcourt could be helped a bit tonight, with center Jermaine O’Neal (knee) back on the court.

        Despite the late collapse and inconsistent play lately, bettors following the Celtics this season are aware how shaky the team has been in back-to-back spots (7-9 SU, 4-12 ATS) this season. What you might not know is that Doc Rivers’ team has dominated in the front end, going 14-2 SU and 12-4 ATS (75%). With the club heading to Atlanta on Friday, do you back Boston tonight then fade tomorrow? That’s certainly been a profitable angle.

        Dallas at L.A. Lakers

        If you’re looking for a playoff atmosphere, then this is a must-see battle. The Lakers and Mavericks both trail the Spurs for the top spot in the West, but some pundits including this writer believes that the pair could beat San Antonio in a best-of-seven battle. If neither club takes the top spot then that means these two could square off in the conference semis if they advance past the first round.

        Oddsmakers opened L.A. as a 6 ½-point home favorite for tonight’s battle and gamblers expecting an outright win by the Mavericks can take a look at a nice money-line price of plus-250 (Bet $100 to win $250).

        It’s fair to say that this game is bigger for the Purple and Gold since the two teams have split their first two encounters, which both occurred in Dallas. The Mavs captured a 109-100 decision in mid-January before the Lakers avenged that loss with a 96-91 victory a couple weeks ago on Mar. 12. The total went 1-1 in those games.

        As mentioned above, it’s a tough game to handicap here. The Lakers only have one loss in the second-half, a six-point setback (88-94) at Miami, and they enter this game with a seven-game winning streak. However, we should note that the Lakers are just 3-4 ATS during the recent run and they’ve survived a couple scares.

        Dallas brings a five-game winning streak (4-1 ATS) into this contest after beating the Clippers (106-100) last night in the same arena. Despite playing with no rest, the Mavericks have been a nice look in back-to-back spots this season, going 13-4 SU and 12-5 ATS. Total players have also watched Dallas’ offense (102.2 PPG) help the ‘over’ go 12-5.

        The Mavericks are definitely a quality club but you could define them as bullies. The 13 wins since the All-Star break is impressive, but only three of those came against playoff-caliber teams. And those victories were against the 76ers, Pacers and Knicks.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #19
          MLB

          Thursday, March 31

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          San Francisco - 8:05 PM ET San Francisco +104 500
          LA Dodgers - Over 6.5 500 (MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY )


          -----------------------------------------------------------

          NBA

          Thursday, March 31

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Boston - 8:00 PM ET San Antonio +1 500
          San Antonio - Under 186 500

          Dallas - 10:30 PM ET Dallas +6.5 500
          L.A. Lakers - Over 191 500


          -----------------------------------------------------------

          NHL

          Thursday, March 31

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Toronto - 7:00 PM ET Boston -201 500
          Boston - Under 5.5 500

          NY Rangers - 7:00 PM ET NY Islanders +125 500
          NY Islanders - Under 5.5 500

          Atlanta - 7:00 PM ET Philadelphia -219 500
          Philadelphia - Over 5.5 500

          Columbus - 7:00 PM ET Columbus +192 500
          Washington - Under 5.5 500

          Pittsburgh - 7:30 PM ET Pittsburgh +111 500
          Tampa Bay - Over 5.5 500

          Ottawa - 7:30 PM ET Florida -127 500
          Florida - Under 5 500

          Edmonton - 8:00 PM ET Edmonton +183 500
          Minnesota - Under 5 500

          Nashville - 9:00 PM ET Nashville -159 500
          Colorado - Under 5.5 500

          Los Angeles - 10:00 PM ET Vancouver -158 500
          Vancouver - Over 5 500

          Dallas - 10:30 PM ET San Jose -175 500
          San Jose - Over 5 500


          ----------------------------------------------------------

          NCAAB

          Thursday, March 31

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Wichita St. - 7:00 PM ET Wichita St. -2 500
          Alabama - Over 128.5 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment

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