Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/30 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Wednesday, March 30

Hot Teams
-- Rangers won six of their last seven games. Buffalo won three of four.
-- Hurricanes won four of their last five games.
-- Ducks won six of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Islanders lost five of their last seven games. Devils lost five of last six games, getting shut out in last two.
-- Montreal lost three of last four games, scoring three goals.
-- Red Wings lost four of their last five games. St Louis lost six of its last nine road games.
-- Calgary lost six of its last eight games.

Totals
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six New Jersey games.
-- Over is 7-3 in Buffalo's last ten games. Last three Ranger games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Carolina games went over the total. Three of last four Montreal games stayed under.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Detroit games.
-- Four of last five Anaheim games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Sabres are 5-3 if they lost the night before.
-- Montreal is 5-9 if it played night before, 2-7 if it won. Carolina is 1-7 at home if it played the night before.
-- St Louis is 5-1 on road if it played the night before.

Series records
-- New Jersey won its last three games against the Islanders.
-- Rangers are 5-6 in their last eleven visits to Buffalo.
-- Canadiens won five of last seven games against Carolina.
-- Red Wings won five of last six games against Detroit.
-- Ducks are 3-0 vs Calgary this season, with all three wins in OT/SO.

[Udog]

NHL


Wednesday, March 30

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games on the road
Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Carolina's last 23 games when playing Montreal

7:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. NEW JERSEY
NY Islanders are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
NY Islanders are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games
New Jersey is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Islanders

7:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. BUFFALO
NY Rangers are 6-11-2 SU in their last 19 games ,when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Rangers last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games

7:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games

9:30 PM
ANAHEIM vs. CALGARY
Anaheim is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Anaheim is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home


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[Udog]

NHL


Wednesday, March 30

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Ice picks: Wednesday's best NHL bets
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St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings (-200, 5.5)

The Blues and Red Wings have faced each five times this season, and they have gone over the total all five times.

Detroit won 7-3 and 5-2 in November and December, respectively, before St. Louis won a 4-3 decision on December 23. The Wings then prevailed 4-3 in January and followed that up with a 5-3 victory just recently on March 12.

The Red Wings have won only three of their past seven games, but they are continuing to score goals. Detroit hammered Edmonton 4-0 last Saturday and rolled over Minnesota 6-3 on Monday.

A few developments could point to another score-fest on Wednesday. Detroit right wing Todd Bertuzzi (15 goals, 25 assists) will not be suspended for a hit on Chicago's Ryan Johnson on Monday. In goal, Jimmy Howard has a sore left shoulder dating back to a collision on Saturday. Howard could return because an MRI showed nothing, but he still might not be 100 percent.

Pick: Over


New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres (-120, 5)

The resurgent Sabres are 24-10-5 in their last 39 games and have moved into the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, two points behind the Rangers heading into Wednesday's showdown and three points clear of Carolina

"I don't think you can pinpoint one thing that turned it around," head coach Lindy Ruff explained. "It was a collective effort from everyone. We didn't want to throw it away after the poor start we had. Now looking back, none of that matters because we're in a playoff spot and we control our own destiny."

A big reason is the play of goalie Ryan Miller, who suffered with hip and groin problems during the 2010 portion of the season. Miller has been much better of late despite allowing four goals in Tuesday's loss to Toronto. He had given up a mere two goals in his previous three outings combined.

New York's last three games have seen them score 1-0 wins over Florida and Boston in addition to a 2-1 shootout loss to Ottowa.

"Throughout the year, we've won games defending well and blocking shots," noted Marc Staal. "We know that's the way we have to win games and it's been that much more important the past couple of weeks."

Pick: Under


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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Wednesday, March 30

HOUSTON at PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 9-1 ATS Away revenging home loss
PHILADELPHIA: 4-16 ATS at home if total is 210+

CLEVELAND at CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 34-18 ATS off a home win by 10 or more points
CHARLOTTE: 6-0 ATS after playing BB games as a home dog

MILWAUKEE at TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET
MILWAUKEE: 13-2 ATS vs. Atlantic Division
TORONTO: 0-4 ATS playing with 3+ days rest

MIAMI at WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 2-9 ATS off road loss
WASHINGTON: 1-16 ATS off a SU win

DETROIT at INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 5-1 ATS playing with 3+ days rest
INDIANA: 0-3 ATS off SU dog win

ORLANDO at ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET
ORLANDO: 1-6 ATS revenging SU loss as road favorite
ATLANTA: 6-1 Under at home vs. Orlando

NEW JERSEY at NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 1-5 ATS off loss by 20+ points
NEW YORK: 4-1 Under at home vs. New Jersey

CHICAGO at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
CHICAGO: 26-9 ATS off home game
MINNESOTA: 1-6 ATS playing with 2 days rest

GOLDEN STATE at MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET
GOLDEN STATE: 16-3 Under playing their 2nd road game in 2 days
MEMPHIS: 23-12 ATS in home games

PORTLAND at NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET
PORTLAND: 28-15 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less
NEW ORLEANS: 20-5 Under after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

SACRAMENTO at DENVER, 9:00 PM ET
SACRAMENTO: 32-14 ATS Away off home division win
DENVER: 13-5 Under revenging a road loss

OKLAHOMA CITY at PHOENIX, 10:00 PM ET
OKLAHOMA CITY: 6-17 ATS off win by 3 pts or less
PHOENIX: 9-0 Under after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15+

DALLAS at LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET
DALLAS: 23-13 ATS in road games
LA CLIPPERS: 48-72 ATS with double revenge

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Wednesday, March 30

NY ISLANDERS at NEW JERSEY, 7:00 PM ET
NY ISLANDERS: 5-27 SU Away revenging 1 goal loss
NEW JERSEY: 7-1 SU at home vs. Islanders

NY RANGERS at BUFFALO, 7:00 PM ET VERSUS
NY RANGERS: 0-5 SU after a low scoring game where both teams scored 1 goal or less
BUFFALO: 13-4 SU off road loss

MONTREAL at CAROLINA, 7:00 PM ET
MONTREAL: 17-4 Under Away if total is 5.5
CAROLINA: 1-8 SU at home playing on back to back days

ST LOUIS at DETROIT, 7:00 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 1-15 SU off home loss
DETROIT: 33-14 SU at home vs. St. Louis

ANAHEIM at CALGARY, 9:30 PM ET
ANAHEIM: 16-7 SU off home win
CALGARY: 7-16 SU with same season revenge

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

Final Four
Long Sheet


Saturday, April 2

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VA COMMONWEALTH (28 - 11) vs. BUTLER (27 - 9) - 4/2/2011, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
BUTLER is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
BUTLER is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
BUTLER is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BUTLER is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
BUTLER is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BUTLER is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENTUCKY (29 - 8) vs. CONNECTICUT (30 - 9) - 4/2/2011, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
KENTUCKY is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

Final Four
Short Sheet


Saturday, April 2

NCAA Tournament - Final Four - Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX

VA COMMONWEALTH vs. BUTLER, 6:05 PM ET CBS
VA COMMONWEALTH: 9-0 ATS in NCAA Tournament
BUTLER: 13-1 ATS when seeded 5 to 8 in the NCAA Tournament

KENTUCKY vs. CONNECTICUT, 8:45 PM ET CBS
KENTUCKY: 6-0 ATS Away revenging SU loss as a favorite
CONNECTICUT: 11-1 ATS on neutral court

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

Final Four


Saturday, April 2

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Trend Report
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6:09 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. BUTLER
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Butler's last 10 games
Butler is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:49 PM
KENTUCKY vs. CONNECTICUT
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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[Udog]

Final Four


Saturday, April 2

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Final Four betting notes and top trends
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It’s onward to Houston for the Final Four games. To put the wraps on the 2011 NCAA Tournament, listed below are some interesting trends and angles to consider before our Fab Four tips off this weekend.

All results listed below are ATS (against the spread) and most recent since 1991 unless noted otherwise.

FINAL FOUR NOTES

• No. 3 seeds are 7-3 (4-0 SU and ATS as favorites or underdogs of four points or fewer)
• No. 8 or lower seeds are 0-3
• Teams off back-to-back straight up underdog wins are 1-8
• Teams who are 3-0 ATS last three games are 9-24
• Teams with revenge are 2-7
• Big East teams are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS
• SEC teams are 6-2 as underdogs or favorites of fewer than seven points
• Teams with the greater win percentage are 10-2 SU and ATS since 2005
• Returnees from last year in this round are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS as favorites

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME NOTES

• No. 3 seed dogs are 1-3
• No. 5 or worse seeds are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS
• Favorites of five or fewer points are 10-1
• Favorites who scored more than 80 points in the Final Four round are 4-1
• Teams with a win percentage of less than .810 are 0-4 SU and ATS
• Teams off an ATS win of 16 or more points are 1-5 SU and ATS
• Underdogs of more than two points who allowed 60 or more points in Final Four are 1-5
• Underdogs of three or more points off a straight up underdog win are 1-5
• Big East teams are 3-0 SU and ATS
• SEC teams are 3-0 ATS as favorites

COACH ME UP

• Butler’s Brad Stevens is:
48-56-4 ATS as a favorite and 16-6-1 ATS as an underdog
33-16-2 ATS vs. non-conference
10-3 SU and ATS in NCAA tournament
2-2 SU and ATS vs. Big East
1-0 SU and ATS vs. CAA
1-2 SU and ATS vs. SEC

• Connecticut’s Jim Calhoun is:
228-236-12 ATS as a favorite and 63-57-1 ATS as an underdog
98-98-5 ATS vs non-conference
43-13 SU and 28-27-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
7-1 SU and 2-6 ATS vs. CAA
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Horizon League
13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS vs. SEC

• Kentucky’s John Calipari is:
237-204-14 ATS as a favorite and 53-27-1 ATS as an underdog
129-98-5 ATS vs non-conference
32-13 SU and 23-21-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
23-8 SU and 17-13-1 ATS vs. Big East
6-0 SU and ATS vs. CAA
2-0 SU and ATS vs. Horizon League

• VCU’s Shaka Smart is:
24-26-1 ATS as a favorite and 9-6 ATS as an underdog
14-12 ATS vs. non-conference
5-0 SU and ATS in NCAA tournament
1-1 SU and ATS vs. Big East
0-0 SU and ATS vs. Horizon League
0-1 SU and ATS vs. SEC


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[Udog]

Final Four


Saturday, April 2

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NCAA Final Four betting previews and picks
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(11) VCU Rams vs. (8) Butler Bulldogs (-2.5, 133.5)

THE STORY: In a matchup that no one saw coming, No. 8 seed Butler and No. 11 seed Virginia Commonwealth will face off on Saturday at the Final Four in Houston. The Bulldogs have been here before, reaching the national championship game last season. But after star Gordon Hayward left for the NBA and Butler endured a less-than-dominating regular season, another trip to the Final Four seemed like a long shot. The Rams are an even larger underdog, taking Cinderella’s slipper all the way past top-seeded Kansas in the Southwest regional final. Butler and VCU will combine to be the two highest seeds ever to play each other in a Final Four game when they meet on Saturday.

TV: 6:09 p.m. ET, CBS.

ODDS: Butler -2.5. Oddsmakers opened Butler as high as -3 but the spread has since been bet down as low as -2. The total has climbed from 130 points to 133.5.

ABOUT BUTLER (27-9, 19-13-2 ATS): The Bulldogs dropped to 14-9 after losing their third straight game, 62-60 at lightly-regarded Youngstown State on Feb. 3. Since then they have won 13 straight to become the first team in history to reach back-to-back Final Fours without being a No. 1 or 2 seed in either season. It hasn’t been easy, with their four tournament wins coming by an average of 3.3 points. It took a buzzer-beater to top Old Dominion and a controversial late foul call to take down top-seeded Pittsburgh in the first weekend. After holding off Wisconsin in the Sweet 16, the Bulldogs leaned on Shelvin Mack against No. 2 seed Florida on Saturday in the Southeast regional final and were rewarded with 27 points - five in overtime - in a 74-71 triumph. Mack and fellow senior Matt Howard have taken turns leading the offense for coach Brad Stevens’ team, combining to average 37.5 points.

ABOUT VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH (28-11, 18-20-0 ATS): The third No. 11 seed to reach the Final Four, the Rams join Colonial Athletic Conference mates George Mason, who turned the trick in 2006, and an LSU squad from 1986. VCU was one of the final at-large teams selected to the field of 68 and needed to beat USC in an opening round game in order to reach the main bracket of 64 teams. En route to the Final Four, the Rams have taken down power –conference teams from the Pac-10, Big East, Big Ten, ACC and Big 12. Kansas was by far its strongest opponent, and VCU controlled the game by controlling the perimeter, knocking down 12 of 25 of its own 3-point attempts while holding the Jayhawks to 2 of 21 from beyond the arc in a 71-61 triumph. Jamie Skeen led the way with 26 points and 10 rebounds on Sunday and is averaging 15.6 points in the tournament, while Branford Burgess has chipped in 15.8.

UP NEXT: The winner will battle either Kentucky or Connecticut for the National Championship on Monday.

PREDICTION: Butler 64, VCU 62. Two of the youngest coaches in Division I will match each other possession for possession, but the Bulldogs will pull it out thanks to their experience both in the Final Four and in close games during the tournament.



(3) Connecticut Huskies vs. (4) Kentucky Wildcats (-2, 140)

THE STORY: Kentucky's long and athletic defense, which holds opponents to 39 percent shooting, faces its stiffest test yet when the Wildcats meet UConn and prolific scorer Kemba Walker in the second national semifinal Saturday in Houston. No one has been able to contain the Huskies' 6-1 junior, who is averaging 26.8 points and 6.8 assists in the tournament. But if any team can, it's Kentucky. The Wildcats harassed North Carolina into 3-of-16 shooting from beyond the arc in the regional final after frustrating Ohio State into 33 percent shooting overall in the previous round.

The Wildcats are back in the Final Four for the first time since their 1998 national title, while the Huskies are making their fourth trip since 1999. Jim Calhoun's third-seeded Huskies are the highest remaining seed in the tournament. No team, however, has been more impressive than Kentucky, whose stars finally began to jell a month ago. Oddsmakers installed the fourth-seeded Wildcats as a slight favorite despite UConn's 84-67 win over Kentucky back on Nov. 24 in the Maui Invitational. But the Wildcats have grown up since then.

Calhoun and Kentucky coach John Calipari probably will make nice, but they have a history. When Calipari was a young head coach at UMass, he irritated Calhoun -- a lot. Calhoun canceled the longstanding UConn-UMass series because he supposedly did not like Calipari's sideline behavior. Later Calipari outmaneuvered Calhoun for the services of Marcus Camby, the pride of Hartford, Conn. "Cats and dogs get along better than Cal and Calhoun," Memphis Commercial Appeal columnist Geoff Calkins once wrote.

TV: 8:45 p.m. ET, CBS.

ODDS: Kentucky -2. Oddsmakers have gone as high as -2.5 on UK. The total has dropped from 141.5 points to 140.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (29-8, 16-15-1 ATS): Unlike UConn, Kentucky does not possess a transcendent superstar. Instead it rolls out a team of all-stars. Freshman point guard Brandon Knight (17.2 points, 4.2 assists, two game-winners in NCAA tournament), freshman forward Terrence Jones (15.9 points, 8.7 rebounds), freshman sharpshooter Doron Lamb (48.1 percent on 3-pointers) and 6-6 defensive stopper DeAndre Liggins are just some of the headliners. Throw in junior guard Darius Miller (11.1 points, 44.9 percent on 3-pointers), and we still haven't mentioned the Wildcats' best player in the tournament: Josh Harrellson. The 6-10 senior, playing with a newfound assertiveness, is averaging 14.8 points and 9.0 rebounds in the Big Dance. The Wildcats' perimeter players range from 6-foot-3 to 6-foot-7; their length will bother the 6-1 Walker, 6-5 Lamb and 6-foot Napier. Just recall how Kentucky smothered Florida's smallish backcourt in the SEC title game.

ABOUT UCONN (30-9, 21-12-0 ATS): The Huskies have won nine straight dating to the start of the Big East tournament after somehow finishing just 9-9 in conference play. Walker is breaking down defenses and draining shots over them, while 6-5 freshman Jeremy Lamb has been unconscious (27 of 46 overall, 11 of 15 on 3-pointers) in the tournament. This is a team with well-defined roles that makes very few mistakes. In their 65-63 regional final win over Arizona, the Huskies committed just five turnovers and prevailed despite getting hammered on the boards. Freshman guard Shabazz Napier is an ultra-quick defensive pest (1.6 steals per game), and 6-9 sophomore Alex Oriakhi is content to do the dirty work inside (8.6 rebounds, 1.6 blocks). Walker is 33 of 36 from the foul line in the tournament. UConn is almost as stingy defensively as Kentucky; the Huskies hold opponents to 40 percent shooting.

UP NEXT: Winner advances to Monday's national championship game against Butler-VCU winner.

PREDICTION: Kentucky 77, Connecticut 70 -- Kentucky boasts a slew of players who can hit the big shot, whereas UConn relies almost exclusively on Walker and Lamb. With Harrellson establishing himself on the block, the Wildcats are sure to get open looks from the perimeter. Four of Kentucky's top five scorers hit at least 38 percent on 3-pointers. The Wildcats just took out a No. 1 seed (Ohio State) and No. 2 seed (North Carolina), and here they'll dispatch a No. 3 seed.


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


New Jersey at New York
The Nets look to take advantage of a New York team that is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games against a team with a losing SU record. New Jersey is the pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+8 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 30

Game 501-502: Houston at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.570; Philadelphia 124.950
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3); Over

Game 503-504: Cleveland at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 107.607; Charlotte 117.175
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 9 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 10; 187
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+10); Under

Game 505-506: Milwaukee at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.802; Toronto 111.885
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 5; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 4 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-4 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Miami at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 122.799; Washington 111.653
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 12 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+12 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Detroit at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.074; Indiana 120.105
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Orlando at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 122.003; Atlanta 118.076
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-2 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: New Jersey at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 111.614; New York 116.354
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 8 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+8 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 128.460; Minnesota 111.825
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 16 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-9); Over

Game 517-518: Golden State at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 114.278; Memphis 122.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 8 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 11; 210
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+11); Over

Game 519-520: Portland at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 123.212; New Orleans 121.322
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 1; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-1); Over

Game 521-522: Sacramento at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 111.644; Denver 131.110
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 19 1/2; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 12; 218
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-12); Under

Game 523-524: Oklahoma City at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.549; Phoenix 120.328
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 212
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+3 1/2); Under

Game 525-526: Dallas at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 122.909; LA Clippers 116.816
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 5; 199
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-5); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Write-Up


Thursday, March 31

For first week or two of any season, not lot of stats make sense, but I'll be giving you pitching stats that refer back to LY. We'll start the umpire stats in late April-- will give you pitcher vs team stats until some of the other stats start to become relevant. We're here every day-- enjoy!!!

Pitchers
Hot pitchers
-- Lowe is 5-2, 1.73 in his last seven starts.
-- Gallardo is 3-0, 3.77 in his last five starts. Volquez has a 3.07 RA in his last five starts, but only one win.
-- Stauffer is 2-1, 1.37 in his last three starts.
-- Lincecum is 9-2, 2.30 in his last eleven starts. Kershaw was 4-3, 2.50 in his last eight starts.

-- Verlander is 4-1, 1.80 in his last five starts.
-- Weaver is 3-1, 2.55 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- LHernandez is 2-4, 6.51 in his last eight starts.
-- Carpenter is 1-4, 6.83 in his last five starts.

-- Sabathia has a 5.70 RA in his last five starts, but Bronx is still 11-3 in his last 14 outings.
-- Hochevar is 1-3, 5.19 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Lowe's last four starts stayed under the total.
-- Last Volquez starts stayed under total; over is 8-3-1 in Gallardo's last dozen outings.
-- All seven Stauffer starts LY stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Kershaw starts stayed under the total. 5:00 local time start means lot of shadows if its a sunny day.

-- Six of last nine Verlander starts went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1 in Hochever's last six home starts. Under is 16-2-1 in last 19 Weaver starts.

Pitchers vs teams last year
-- Lowe was 2-3, 3.52 vs Washington LY. LHernandez was 2-1, 2.64 in five starts against the Braves.
-- Gallardo was 0-2, 9.58 in three starts vs Reds LY. Volquez was 1-0, 3.86 in two starts against Milwaukee.
-- Stauffer lost 4-0 in St Louis Sept 16, allowing four runs in five IP.
-- Lincecum was 2-0, 3.57 in three starts vs LA last season. Kershaw was 1-1, 2.17 in four starts against the Giants LY.

-- Verlander was 1-1, 2.31 against Bronx LY. Sabathia was 1-1, 5.54 in two starts against Detroit LY.
-- Weaver was 1-0, 0.60 in two '10 starts against the Royals (15 IP). Hochever lost 7-1 to Angels May 31 (five runs/seven IP).

[Udog]

MLB


Thursday, March 31

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
DETROIT vs. NY YANKEES
Detroit is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games at home
NY Yankees are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing Detroit

1:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

2:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

4:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. KANSAS CITY
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Kansas City is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against LA Angels

4:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing at home against San Diego
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 12 games


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