Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 3/20 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL


Sunday, March 20

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Trend Report
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12:30 PM
NY RANGERS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
NY Rangers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games at home
Pittsburgh is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

5:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nashville's last 11 games on the road
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Buffalo is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,when playing at home against Nashville

5:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. COLUMBUS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Jersey's last 12 games
New Jersey is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Columbus is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. MINNESOTA
Montreal is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Montreal

8:00 PM
CALGARY vs. ANAHEIM
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Anaheim's last 9 games at home
Anaheim is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago


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[Udog]

NHL


Sunday, March 20

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Ice picks: Sunday's best NHL bets
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New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins (NA)

Even if Henrik Lundqvist plays for the Rangers, he will most certainly be at less than 100 percent.

The team’s elite goalie has guided the squad to three straight wins, but suffered a neck injury late in a 6-3 victory over the Canadiens. With only three minutes remaining, Montreal’s Benoit Pouliot collided with the keeper of the crease, snapping his neck backwards.

Trainers attended to Lundqvist on the ice, who was able to finish the game. But afterward he sounded less than optimistic about his status for the game in Pittsburgh on Sunday.

“My head was leaning forward and I took a pretty hard hit there,” he said. “But we checked everything, X-rays were good, it’s just that my neck is very stiff and sore. We’ll see how it is when I wake up (Saturday) but I’m sure it will be sore for several days. My goal is to be ready for Sunday.”

On the other side, the Penguins have found ways to win despite scores of injuries to their most talented forwards. Pittsburgh is on a 4-1 run and is averaging 3.2 goals over that span. The Pens have notched five goals in each of their last two contests.

Lundqvist could aggravate his injury the way pucks may be flying past him Sunday afternoon.

Pick: Pittsburgh


Nashville Predators at Buffalo Sabres (-140, 5)

It’s taken nearly half the season, but the Predators are finally scoring goals. Nashville is still averaging a mere 2.5 goals – fifth-fewest in the league – but that hasn’t been the case the past two weeks.

Nashville has scored at least four goals in three of its last four games. Not surprisingly, the team went 3-1. For the season, the Preds are a staggering 33-4-1 when topping the three-goal plateau.

The catalyst for the outburst has been the line of David Legwand-Martin Erat-Joel Ward. That unit has combined for five goals and eight assists during the four-game stretch.

“I just think me, Marty and Wardo are keeping things simple,” Legwand said. “That’s just the easiest way to play and go about it. Just keep things simple and work that way and go from there.”

Meanwhile, Buffalo has struggled to keep its net clear the past five games. The Sabres have coughed up 15 goals in their past five games. And even when they manage to lock down the opposition, like they did Tuesday against Carolina, they still come up short. The result: a 1-0 home loss.

Pick: Nashville


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[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Sunday, March 20

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MICHIGAN (21 - 13) vs. DUKE (31 - 4) - 3/20/2011, 2:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 151-108 ATS (+32.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
DUKE is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (24 - 10) vs. N CAROLINA (27 - 7) - 3/20/2011, 12:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against Pac 10 conference opponents since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 115-85 ATS (+21.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 114-85 ATS (+20.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGE MASON (27 - 6) vs. OHIO ST (33 - 2) - 3/20/2011, 5:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 173-135 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games this season.
GEORGE MASON is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
GEORGE MASON is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
GEORGE MASON is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GEORGE MASON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MARQUETTE (21 - 14) vs. SYRACUSE (27 - 7) - 3/20/2011, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 2-1 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 2-1 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (22 - 10) vs. NOTRE DAME (27 - 6) - 3/20/2011, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VA COMMONWEALTH (25 - 11) vs. PURDUE (26 - 7) - 3/20/2011, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
PURDUE is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
PURDUE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
PURDUE is 42-68 ATS (-32.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (28 - 7) vs. TEXAS (28 - 7) - 3/20/2011, 6:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ILLINOIS (20 - 13) vs. KANSAS (33 - 2) - 3/20/2011, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Sunday, March 20

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Time Warner Cable Arena - Charlotte, NC

MICHIGAN vs. at DUKE, 2:45 PM ET
MICHIGAN: 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points
DUKE: 0-6 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games

WASHINGTON vs. at N CAROLINA, 12:15 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 5-1 UNDER in all tournament games
N CAROLINA: 13-3 ATS against Pac 10 conference opponents

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Quicken Loans Arena - Cleveland, OH

GEORGE MASON vs. at OHIO ST, 5:15 PM ET
GEORGE MASON: 14-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less
OHIO ST: 10-1 ATS when playing with one or less days rest

MARQUETTE vs. at SYRACUSE, 7:45 PM ET
MARQUETTE: 16-5 ATS as an underdog
SYRACUSE: 3-10 ATS after a win by 10 points or more

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - United Center - Chicago, IL

FLORIDA ST vs. at NOTRE DAME, 9:40 PM ET
FLORIDA ST: 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games
NOTRE DAME: 15-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins

VA COMMONWEALTH vs. at PURDUE, 7:10 PM ET
VA COMMONWEALTH: 10-2 OVER in road games after allowing 60 points or less
PURDUE: 15-7 ATS as a favorite

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - BOK Center - Tulsa, OK

ARIZONA vs. at TEXAS, 6:10 PM ET
ARIZONA: 3-11 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread
TEXAS: 16-7 ATS after a non-conference game

ILLINOIS vs. at KANSAS, 8:40 PM ET
ILLINOIS: 2-10 ATS when playing on a neutral court
KANSAS: 7-0 OVER when playing with one or less days rest

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Sunday, March 20

NEW JERSEY at WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 7-16 ATS in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog
WASHINGTON: 36-19 ATS after 6 or more consecutive losses

DETROIT at ATLANTA, 2:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 21-10 ATS against Southeast division opponents
ATLANTA: 0-8 ATS in home games off a home loss

NEW YORK at MILWAUKEE, 3:00 PM ET
NEW YORK: 23-11 ATS in road games
MILWAUKEE: 11-2 ATS against Atlantic division opponents

PHOENIX at LA CLIPPERS, 3:30 PM ET
PHOENIX: 2-11 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent
LA CLIPPERS: 6-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5

SACRAMENTO at MINNESOTA, 3:30 PM ET
SACRAMENTO: 19-10 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent
MINNESOTA: 7-18 ATS in home games against Pacific division opponents

UTAH at HOUSTON, 7:00 PM ET
UTAH: 10-0 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games
HOUSTON: 48-71 ATS after a game where they covered the spread

TORONTO at OKLAHOMA CITY, 7:00 PM ET
TORONTO: 10-21 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more
OKLAHOMA CITY: 12-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders

GOLDEN STATE at DALLAS, 7:30 PM ET
GOLDEN STATE: 36-21 ATS off a road loss
DALLAS: 27-48 ATS in home game

PORTLAND at LA LAKERS, 9:30 PM ET
PORTLAND: 12-3 ATS after scoring 110 points or mor
LA LAKERS: 6-14 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Sunday, March 20

NY RANGERS at PITTSBURGH, 12:30 PM ET
NY RANGERS: N/A
PITTSBURGH: N/A

NEW JERSEY at COLUMBUS, 5:00 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 64-40 SU in road games off a home loss
COLUMBUS: 6-19 SU after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game

NASHVILLE at BUFFALO, 5:00 PM ET
NASHVILLE: 8-3 SU in road games after a win by 2 goals or more
BUFFALO: 2-7 SU in home games after a win by 2 goals or more

MONTREAL at MINNESOTA, 7:00 PM ET
MONTREAL: 10-4 SU after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game
MINNESOTA: 22-31 SU in home games when playing their 4th game in 7 days

CHICAGO at PHOENIX, 8:00 PM ET
CHICAGO: 3-11 SU in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
PHOENIX: 29-16 SU revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals

CALGARY at ANAHEIM, 8:00 PM ET
CALGARY: 11-22 SU revenging 2 consecutive losses to opponent as a favorite
ANAHEIM: 22-16 SU after a game where they covered the spread

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Sunday, March 20

Early Game

Hot Teams
-- Rangers won five of their last six games. Pittsburgh won four of its last five games.

Cold Teams
--

Totals
-- Four of last five Ranger games went over the total.
--
--
--
--
--

Back-to-Back
--
--
--
--

Series records
-- Rangers won three of last four visits to Pittsburgh.
--
--
--
--
--

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Sunday, March 20

Hot Teams
-- Milwaukee covered its last five home games.
-- Clippers are 5-3 in their last eight games.
-- Rockets won three in row, 11 of last 13 games.
-- Thunder won/covered their last six games.
-- Lakers won 11 of their last 12 games. Portland won seven of nine.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost its last six games (0-6 vs spread). Nets lost their last two games, by 11-15 points.
-- Detroit lost its last six road games (3-3 vs spread). Hawks lost six of their last eight games.
-- New York lost four of its last five games.
-- Suns lost four of their last five games.
-- Sacramento lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Utah is 2-6 on road since Jerry Sloan retired as coach.
-- Minnesota lost its last three games, by 23-15-8 points.
-- Raptors lost five of their last seven games.
-- Golden State lost last three games, by 9-6-11 points. Mavericks lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Over is 7-3 in New Jersey's last ten games.
-- Three of last four Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Last five Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Six of Minnesota's last nine games went over the total.
-- Last three Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Oklahoma City games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-3 in Mavericks' last nine games.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Laker games.

Back-to-Back
-- Clippers are 9-6 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Portland is 8-5-1 vs spread on road if it played night before.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Sunday, March 20

Update

Since 1998, Duke has been a #1 seed eight times; they're 8-0 in second round games, 3-5 vs spread, covering last two. Young Michigan team won by 30 Friday despite shooting just 9-26 from arc; Wolverines (+9) won 69-61 at Clemson, in their only game against ACC foe this season. Duke playing in Charlotte is a home game; they beat Michigan State by 5 in its only game vs Big 11 opponent. Since 2005, #1 seeds are 14-10-1 vs spread in this round. Michigan is underdog for ninth game in a row- they're 8-4 in last 12 games, losing by 9-7 (both Ohio St) 1-2 points.

Ohio State playing in Cleveland makes this road game for George Mason team that is 17-1 in last 18 games, losing CAA semis to VCU by 16 two weeks ago; Patriots lost to NC State by 13 in its only game vs ACC foe. Ohio State won last eight games (6-2 vs spread) with three of last four staying under total; they shot 57% from floor, made 12-24 from arc in easy first round win vs UTSA. Buckeyes crushed NC-Wilmington by 40 in its only game vs CAA opponent this year. Since 2005, #1 seeds are 14-10-1 vs spread in this round. CAA double digit road dogs are 7-6.

Texas had 21-8 advantage from foul line but still gave up 81 points in its first round win over Oakland, despite Grizzlies making just 7-29 from arc. Longhorns won four of last five games; five of their last seven games went over total. Arizona lost to Kansas by 9, beat Oklahoma by 23 in its games vs Big 12 teams this season. Big 12 road favorites of 6 or less points are 5-11 vs spread. Pac-10 road underdogs of 6 or less points are 5-10 against the spread. Underdogs are 10-7 vs spread in last 17 second-rounds that with #4-5 seed matchup.

VCU is playing third game in five days, having already shut down USC and Georgetown, allowing just 46-56 points (foes were 6-35 from arc in those games). Was looking at VCU as a selection, until I saw that in this round, since 2003, 11-seeds who posted first-round upsets are 1-7 vs spread as an underdog (VCU was only cover, losing to Pitt by 5 in OT four years ago). Purdue smothered St Peter's by 22 Friday, holding an inept Peacock offense to 29% from floor. CAA single digit road dogs are 25-16 vs spread this year. Big 11 single digit favorites are 19-18.

Syracuse (+2) lost 76-70 at Marquette Jan 29, which was their 4th loss in row at the time; Orange lost despite shooting 57% from floor- Eagles had a 24-8 advantage from foul line. Marquette is 3-1 in last four games as an underdog. Syracuse won/covered five of last six games, with last four games going over total. Since 2003, 11-seeds who posted first-round upsets are 1-7 vs spread as an underdog in this round. 13 of the last 15 Marquette games stayed under the total. Big East favorites of 5 or less points are 29-27-1 this year.

Illinois was ranked in top 10 in preseason, but underachieved until great win vs UNLV Friday, shooting 59.6% from floor in game they led by 24 at half. Illini is 0-2 vs Big 12 teams this season, losing by 6 at Texas, by 11 to Missouri on a neutral floor. Kansas won by 7 at Michigan in only game vs Big 11 team. Big 12 single digit road favorites are 7-13 vs spread this season. Big 11 single digit road underdogs are 13-7 vs spread. Since 2005, #1 seeds are 14-10-1 vs spread in this round. Illini is 4-1-1 against the spread in its last six games as an underdog.

Notre Dame is a great offensive team; Florida State is a great defensive team, so interesting game here. Irish had 20-3 edge from foul line in win over Akron Friday. Seminoles held Texas A&M to 31.4% from floor in its 57-50 win, getting star Singleton back in lineup. FSU covered three in a row as an underdog; five of its last six games stayed under. Irish are 8-4 vs spread in last dozen games as a favorite. #2 seeds have covered eight of last ten second round games. Florida State beat Duke this year, a team that is similar to Notre Dame, but that game was also at home.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Sunday, March 20

Update

Hot Teams
-- Rangers won five of their last six games. Pittsburgh won four of its last five games.
-- Sabres won four of their last six home games, but they're 2-7 in game following their last nine wins. Predators won four of last five games.
-- Montreal won seven of its last ten games.
-- Phoenix won its last five games, allowing seven goals.
-- Ducks won seven of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Blue Jackets lost nine of their last eleven games. New Jersey lost its last two games, 3-1/3-0.
-- Minnesota lost its last five games, outscored 20-8.
-- Blackhawks lost four of their last five games.
-- Flames lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Ranger games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-3 in New Jersey's last twelve games.
-- Four of last five Buffalo games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2 in Montreal's last nine road games.
-- Over is 8-2 in Chicago's last ten games.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in Calgary's last nine games.

Back-to-Back
-- Columbus is 7-6 if it played night before, 2-2 if it won.
-- Buffalo is 2-5 at home if it played day before. Nashville is 4-6 when it played day before, 3-3 on road.
-- Minnesota is 6-9 if it played the day before.
-- Anaheim is 3-0 at home if it played night before.

Series records
-- Rangers won three of last four visits to Pittsburgh.
-- Blue Jackets lost 6-3 at New Jersey in LY's meeting.
-- Sabres won 1-0 at Nashville in LY's meeting.
-- Minnesota won 3-1 at Montreal in LY's meeting.
-- Coyotes won five of last seven games against Chicago.
-- Ducks are 9-3 in last dozen games against Calgary.