NCAAB
Write-Up
Wednesday, March 2
Florida State (+7) lost 89-69 at North Carolina Feb 6; Tar Heels shot 56% from floor, Marshall had 16 assists. State was just 4-19 from arc. FSU won four of last five games, but will miss injured star Singleton in this game- they're 7-0 at home in ACC. North Carolina won 10 of last 11 games (9-2 vs spread). ACC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 4-7.
Southern Mississippi (+4) won 75-71 at UAB Feb 2, with +14 edge on boards, offsetting Blazers going 12-22 from arc. Eagles covered last four home games, winning by 13-7-13-17 points. C-USA home favorites of less than 5 points are 14-8-1 vs spread. UAB won five of last six games; their C-USA losses are by 16-3-4-4 points (2-2 as C-USA underdog).
Maryland lost its last three road games, losing by 4-8-11 points- they allowed 76+ points in four of last five games. Miami lost three of its last four games overall, four of last six at home- dogs are 5-2-1 vs spread in their last eight games. 10 of last 12 Miami games were decided by six or less points. ACC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 4-7 vs spread.
UConn is 4-5 in last nine games, West Virginia 3-4 in last seven. Huskies are 4-4 on Big East road, 3-2 as road dog, losing away games by 15-3-17-13 points. Mountaineers covered four of last six games as favorite- they are 3-3 as home favorite, winning home games by 30-10-12-11-14, with two losses. Big East home favorites of less than 5 points are 21-17.
Cincinnati won three of last four games; Marquette won its last three, as both teams appear to have won their way off bubble, but you just never know. Bearcats won four of last five on road, are 2-4 as underdog in Big East play, losing road games by 11-15-8-12 points. Marquette is 6-2 as home favorite. Single digit home faves are 37-28 vs spread in Big East.
Northwestern (+5) lost 81-70 at Minnesota Jan 26, outscored 31-10 on foul line; Wildcats were 12-39 from arc, 12-24 inside it, but Gophers are 1-7 since that game, losing road games by 12-3-3 points. Northwestern is 3-7 in last 10 games; they're 2-2-1 as Big 11 favorite. Big 11 home favorites of less than 4 points are 10-4-1 against the spread.
Kansas won/covered its last five home games since losing to Texas; they are 7-2 vs spread in last nine games overall. Double digit home favorites are 11-9 vs spread in Big 12 play. Texas A&M won five of last six; they are 2-3 as Big 12 road underdog, losing its away games by 21-9-7 points. Kansas beat Aggies twice LY, by 5 on road, by 13 in Big 12 tourney.
Duke is 7-3 vs spread in last 10 ACC games, but just 2-5 as ACC home favorite, winning home games by 11-7-16-16-24-6-22 points- they have game in Chapel Hill Saturday, better not overlook Clemson squad that is 8-5 in ACC, 2-1-1 as a dog. ACC home favorites of more than 8 points are 8-13 vs spread. Tigers' biggest ACC loss was 75-65 at UNC.
UC-Riverside (+14) lost 68-55 at Long Beach two weeks ago, shooting 37% in game they trailed by 19 at half; UCR is 7-4 as underdog, 2-1 at home. 49ers won last eight games (6-2 vs spread); they're 3-2 as a road favorite in conference. Big West home underdogs are 9-9-1 vs spread; this is the most points a Big West team has gotten at home this season.
BYU's leading rebounder Fields is done for year (honor code violation); Cougars aren't a deep team- they lost 86-77 (-2) at New Mexico Jan 29, as Lobos shot 51%, but New Mexico lost four of last five games, is 3-2 as MWC road dog, losing its away games by 1-10-1-6-6 points. MWC home favorites of more than 8 points are 5-14 against spread.
New Mexico State (+14) lost 59-49 at Utah State Jan 22, getting beat on boards 44-28, but Aggies are 6-0 at home in WAC, with all wins by 8+ points. Utah State is 4-2 as WAC road favorite, winning on road by 14-9-13-19-5 points, but they lost last road game, at Idaho Feb 9. WAC home underdogs are 6-7 against the spread this season.
Ohio Valley tournament
UT-Martin is 13-4 vs spread in its last 17 games, covering five of last six on road; Tennessee State beat Skyhawks twice this season, 56-47 (-10) st home, 67-64 on road (-5); State was 14-35 from arc in those games, Martin 8-36. Tigers covered just one of last five games as home favorite, winning their home games by 7-13-2-5-6-9-4 points.
Eastern Kentucky beat SE Missouri twice this year, 64-52 on road (-8). 77-64 at home (-12); Colonels led both games by 3 at half. EKU lost last four games, allowing 74.3 ppg- they covered last three games as a home favorite. SEMo lost 10 of last 12 games, but covered four of their last six games. OVC favorites of 7 or less points are 25-27 against the spread.
Write-Up
Wednesday, March 2
Florida State (+7) lost 89-69 at North Carolina Feb 6; Tar Heels shot 56% from floor, Marshall had 16 assists. State was just 4-19 from arc. FSU won four of last five games, but will miss injured star Singleton in this game- they're 7-0 at home in ACC. North Carolina won 10 of last 11 games (9-2 vs spread). ACC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 4-7.
Southern Mississippi (+4) won 75-71 at UAB Feb 2, with +14 edge on boards, offsetting Blazers going 12-22 from arc. Eagles covered last four home games, winning by 13-7-13-17 points. C-USA home favorites of less than 5 points are 14-8-1 vs spread. UAB won five of last six games; their C-USA losses are by 16-3-4-4 points (2-2 as C-USA underdog).
Maryland lost its last three road games, losing by 4-8-11 points- they allowed 76+ points in four of last five games. Miami lost three of its last four games overall, four of last six at home- dogs are 5-2-1 vs spread in their last eight games. 10 of last 12 Miami games were decided by six or less points. ACC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 4-7 vs spread.
UConn is 4-5 in last nine games, West Virginia 3-4 in last seven. Huskies are 4-4 on Big East road, 3-2 as road dog, losing away games by 15-3-17-13 points. Mountaineers covered four of last six games as favorite- they are 3-3 as home favorite, winning home games by 30-10-12-11-14, with two losses. Big East home favorites of less than 5 points are 21-17.
Cincinnati won three of last four games; Marquette won its last three, as both teams appear to have won their way off bubble, but you just never know. Bearcats won four of last five on road, are 2-4 as underdog in Big East play, losing road games by 11-15-8-12 points. Marquette is 6-2 as home favorite. Single digit home faves are 37-28 vs spread in Big East.
Northwestern (+5) lost 81-70 at Minnesota Jan 26, outscored 31-10 on foul line; Wildcats were 12-39 from arc, 12-24 inside it, but Gophers are 1-7 since that game, losing road games by 12-3-3 points. Northwestern is 3-7 in last 10 games; they're 2-2-1 as Big 11 favorite. Big 11 home favorites of less than 4 points are 10-4-1 against the spread.
Kansas won/covered its last five home games since losing to Texas; they are 7-2 vs spread in last nine games overall. Double digit home favorites are 11-9 vs spread in Big 12 play. Texas A&M won five of last six; they are 2-3 as Big 12 road underdog, losing its away games by 21-9-7 points. Kansas beat Aggies twice LY, by 5 on road, by 13 in Big 12 tourney.
Duke is 7-3 vs spread in last 10 ACC games, but just 2-5 as ACC home favorite, winning home games by 11-7-16-16-24-6-22 points- they have game in Chapel Hill Saturday, better not overlook Clemson squad that is 8-5 in ACC, 2-1-1 as a dog. ACC home favorites of more than 8 points are 8-13 vs spread. Tigers' biggest ACC loss was 75-65 at UNC.
UC-Riverside (+14) lost 68-55 at Long Beach two weeks ago, shooting 37% in game they trailed by 19 at half; UCR is 7-4 as underdog, 2-1 at home. 49ers won last eight games (6-2 vs spread); they're 3-2 as a road favorite in conference. Big West home underdogs are 9-9-1 vs spread; this is the most points a Big West team has gotten at home this season.
BYU's leading rebounder Fields is done for year (honor code violation); Cougars aren't a deep team- they lost 86-77 (-2) at New Mexico Jan 29, as Lobos shot 51%, but New Mexico lost four of last five games, is 3-2 as MWC road dog, losing its away games by 1-10-1-6-6 points. MWC home favorites of more than 8 points are 5-14 against spread.
New Mexico State (+14) lost 59-49 at Utah State Jan 22, getting beat on boards 44-28, but Aggies are 6-0 at home in WAC, with all wins by 8+ points. Utah State is 4-2 as WAC road favorite, winning on road by 14-9-13-19-5 points, but they lost last road game, at Idaho Feb 9. WAC home underdogs are 6-7 against the spread this season.
Ohio Valley tournament
UT-Martin is 13-4 vs spread in its last 17 games, covering five of last six on road; Tennessee State beat Skyhawks twice this season, 56-47 (-10) st home, 67-64 on road (-5); State was 14-35 from arc in those games, Martin 8-36. Tigers covered just one of last five games as home favorite, winning their home games by 7-13-2-5-6-9-4 points.
Eastern Kentucky beat SE Missouri twice this year, 64-52 on road (-8). 77-64 at home (-12); Colonels led both games by 3 at half. EKU lost last four games, allowing 74.3 ppg- they covered last three games as a home favorite. SEMo lost 10 of last 12 games, but covered four of their last six games. OVC favorites of 7 or less points are 25-27 against the spread.
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