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NFL YTD 28-24 -1.4 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 uinits
3* 1-0 +3.0 units
2* 4-5 -3.0 units
1* 23-18 +3.0 units
NFL/CFB Combined 65-53 +6.0 units
4* 1-2 -4.8 units
3* 1-0 +3.0 units
2* 11-9 +2.2 units
1* 52-42 +5.6 units
I posted both plays earlier in the week. The -9 1/2 is still available at some books for only -115. I would urge buying the hook if you can get it for less than -120. The Ravens are available for low juice at +3 1/2 at books that let you buy off the three (as mine does).
Saturday:
1* Ravens + 3 1/2 (-115)
I went against Baltimore last week and was awed by how their defense shut down an excellent KC attack. The Ravens D is as good as Pittsburgh's. On offense, in a game like this I like the team whose running game I most trust and I really like Ray Rice. Close game----points are a huge plus.
Sunday:
3* Bears -9 1/2
Only my second NFL play 3* or higher this year. Here are my reasons:
1) Playoff games are usually won on defense (three of last week's were) and the Bears defense towers over Seattle's lousy D;
2) I won't bore you with the technical stats here but they all favor the Bears and there's a beautiful one about going against a team after they knocked off last year's Super Bowl winner (now 10-1 ATS going back two decades);
3) It was a gamble but I like Lovie Smith's decision to play his starters in the season finale at GB. The Bears remain very sharp;
4) It's the Bears first home playoff game in several years and Soldier Field will be rocking. In contrast, Seattle's last two crucial wins were at home in front of a loud crowd. Totally different scenario here;
5) Devon Hester and Daneal Manning are a spectacular return threat. One of them will break something here;
6) If Seattle and GB win, a 7-9 regular season team would be hosting the NFC championship game. Things like that don't happen;
7) Throughout the season, when the Seahawks have lost, they've been annihilated. This is typical of teams with rah-rah coaches like Carrolll---the teams are prone to big letdowns after sky high performances;
8) I know it's a big number but there's a reason for it.
Other games:
New England should win but I don't like the number.
GB-Atlanta is a tossup. Green Bay's defense is the best in the league right now but in game managment situations, Mike Smith's get the big edge over the perpetually scrambling Mike McCarthy.
4* 0-1 -4.4 uinits
3* 1-0 +3.0 units
2* 4-5 -3.0 units
1* 23-18 +3.0 units
NFL/CFB Combined 65-53 +6.0 units
4* 1-2 -4.8 units
3* 1-0 +3.0 units
2* 11-9 +2.2 units
1* 52-42 +5.6 units
I posted both plays earlier in the week. The -9 1/2 is still available at some books for only -115. I would urge buying the hook if you can get it for less than -120. The Ravens are available for low juice at +3 1/2 at books that let you buy off the three (as mine does).
Saturday:
1* Ravens + 3 1/2 (-115)
I went against Baltimore last week and was awed by how their defense shut down an excellent KC attack. The Ravens D is as good as Pittsburgh's. On offense, in a game like this I like the team whose running game I most trust and I really like Ray Rice. Close game----points are a huge plus.
Sunday:
3* Bears -9 1/2
Only my second NFL play 3* or higher this year. Here are my reasons:
1) Playoff games are usually won on defense (three of last week's were) and the Bears defense towers over Seattle's lousy D;
2) I won't bore you with the technical stats here but they all favor the Bears and there's a beautiful one about going against a team after they knocked off last year's Super Bowl winner (now 10-1 ATS going back two decades);
3) It was a gamble but I like Lovie Smith's decision to play his starters in the season finale at GB. The Bears remain very sharp;
4) It's the Bears first home playoff game in several years and Soldier Field will be rocking. In contrast, Seattle's last two crucial wins were at home in front of a loud crowd. Totally different scenario here;
5) Devon Hester and Daneal Manning are a spectacular return threat. One of them will break something here;
6) If Seattle and GB win, a 7-9 regular season team would be hosting the NFC championship game. Things like that don't happen;
7) Throughout the season, when the Seahawks have lost, they've been annihilated. This is typical of teams with rah-rah coaches like Carrolll---the teams are prone to big letdowns after sky high performances;
8) I know it's a big number but there's a reason for it.
Other games:
New England should win but I don't like the number.
GB-Atlanta is a tossup. Green Bay's defense is the best in the league right now but in game managment situations, Mike Smith's get the big edge over the perpetually scrambling Mike McCarthy.
Bet with your head...Not over it 
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