Announcement

**Udog** · 12-13-2010, 10:48 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Bowl Season 2010 - 2011

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Saturday, December 18

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UTEP (6 - 6) vs. BYU (6 - 6) - 12/18/2010, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N ILLINOIS (10 - 3) vs. FRESNO ST (8 - 4) - 12/18/2010, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
N ILLINOIS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OHIO U (8 - 4) vs. TROY (7 - 5) - 12/18/2010, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, December 21

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LOUISVILLE (6 - 6) vs. SOUTHERN MISS (8 - 4) - 12/21/2010, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Wednesday, December 22

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UTAH (10 - 2) vs. BOISE ST (11 - 1) - 12/22/2010, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
UTAH is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
UTAH is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTAH is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, December 23

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NAVY (8 - 3) at SAN DIEGO ST (8 - 4) - 12/23/2010, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, December 24

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TULSA (9 - 3) at HAWAII (10 - 3) - 12/24/2010, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
HAWAII is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAWAII is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
HAWAII is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games this season.
HAWAII is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
HAWAII is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 26

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (6 - 6) vs. TOLEDO (8 - 4) - 12/26/2010, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
TOLEDO is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 27

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GEORGIA TECH (6 - 6) vs. AIR FORCE (8 - 4) - 12/27/2010, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, December 28

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NC STATE (8 - 4) vs. W VIRGINIA (9 - 3) - 12/28/2010, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MISSOURI (10 - 2) vs. IOWA (7 - 5) - 12/28/2010, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, December 29

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E CAROLINA (6 - 6) vs. MARYLAND (8 - 4) - 12/29/2010, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ILLINOIS (6 - 6) vs. BAYLOR (7 - 5) - 12/29/2010, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 57-84 ATS (-35.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (7 - 5) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (10 - 2) - 12/29/2010, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, December 30

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ARMY (6 - 5) vs. SMU (7 - 6) - 12/30/2010, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS ST (7 - 5) vs. SYRACUSE (7 - 5) - 12/30/2010, 3:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N CAROLINA (7 - 5) vs. TENNESSEE (6 - 6) - 12/30/2010, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (6 - 6) vs. NEBRASKA (10 - 3) - 12/30/2010, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 57-88 ATS (-39.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, December 31

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S FLORIDA (7 - 5) vs. CLEMSON (6 - 6) - 12/31/2010, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NOTRE DAME (7 - 5) vs. MIAMI (7 - 5) - 12/31/2010, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCF (10 - 3) vs. GEORGIA (6 - 6) - 12/31/2010, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
GEORGIA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
UCF is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA ST (9 - 4) vs. S CAROLINA (9 - 4) - 12/31/2010, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, January 1

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NORTHWESTERN (7 - 5) vs. TEXAS TECH (7 - 5) - 1/1/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PENN ST (7 - 5) vs. FLORIDA (7 - 5) - 1/1/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN ST (11 - 1) vs. ALABAMA (9 - 3) - 1/1/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
ALABAMA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN (7 - 5) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 4) - 1/1/2011, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TCU (12 - 0) vs. WISCONSIN (11 - 1) - 1/1/2011, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
TCU is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
TCU is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
TCU is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CONNECTICUT (8 - 4) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 2) - 1/1/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, January 3

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VIRGINIA TECH (11 - 2) vs. STANFORD (11 - 1) - 1/3/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, January 4

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ARKANSAS (10 - 2) vs. OHIO ST (11 - 1) - 1/4/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
ARKANSAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
ARKANSAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARKANSAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
OHIO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against SEC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, January 6

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MIDDLE TENN ST (6 - 6) vs. MIAMI OHIO (9 - 4) - 1/6/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, January 7

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TEXAS A&M (9 - 3) vs. LSU (10 - 2) - 1/7/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, January 8

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KENTUCKY (6 - 6) vs. PITTSBURGH (7 - 5) - 1/8/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, January 9

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BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 5) vs. NEVADA (12 - 1) - 1/9/2011, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, January 10

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OREGON (12 - 0) vs. AUBURN (13 - 0) - 1/10/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 12-13-2010, 10:49 AM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Bowl Season 2010 - 2011

Saturday, 12/18/2010

New Mexico Bowl - University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM
UTEP vs. BYU, 2:00 PM ET
UTEP: 6-16 ATS playing with rest
BYU: 13-3 Under on neutral field

Humanitarian Bowl - Bronco Stadium - Boise ID
N ILLINOIS vs. FRESNO ST, 5:30 PM ET
N ILLINOIS: 7-1 ATS after the first month of the season
FRESNO ST: 3-13 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games

New Orleans Bowl - Superdome - New Orleans, LA
OHIO U vs. TROY, 9:00 PM ET
OHIO U: 13-5 ATS after the first month of the season
TROY: 10-2 UNDER after a bye week

Tuesday, 12/21/2010

St. Petersburg Bowl - Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL
LOUISVILLE vs. SOUTHERN MISS, 8:00 PM ET
LOUISVILLE: 4-1 ATS after a bye week
SOUTHERN MISS: 18-7 Under off road loss

Wednesday, 12/22/2010

Las Vegas Bowl - Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas, NV
UTAH vs. BOISE ST, 8:00 PM ET
UTAH: 28-13 Under Away off home win
BOISE ST: 61-22 ATS 2nd half of the season

Thursday, 12/23/2010

Poinsettia Bowl - Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
NAVY at SAN DIEGO ST, 8:00 PM ET
NAVY: N/A
SAN DIEGO ST: N/A

Friday, 12/24/2010

Hawaii Bowl - Aloha Stadium - Honolulu, HI
TULSA at HAWAII, 8:00 PM ET
TULSA: 0-8 ATS Away after gaining 475+ yds BB games
HAWAII: 7-0 ATS in home games

Sunday, 12/26/2010

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl - Ford Field - Detroit, MI
FLA INTERNATIONAL vs. TOLEDO, 8:30 PM ET
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 2-11 ATS after a bye week
TOLEDO: 50-31 ATS as a favorite

Monday, 12/27/2010

Independence Bowl - Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA
GEORGIA TECH vs. AIR FORCE, 5:00 PM ET
GEORGIA TECH: 43-24 Under as an underdog
AIR FORCE: 16-33 ATS off BB ATS losses

Tuesday, 12/28/2010

Champs Sports Bowl - Citrus Bowl Stadium - Orlando, FL
NC STATE vs. W VIRGINIA, 6:30 PM ET
NC STATE: 17-7 ATS as an underdog
W VIRGINIA: 8-19 ATS against ACC opponents

Insight Bowl - Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ
MISSOURI vs. IOWA, 10:00 PM ET
MISSOURI: 7-18 ATS after a win by 28+ points
IOWA: 9-1 ATS Away vs. team with winning record

Wednesday, 12/29/2010

Eagle Bank Bowl - RFK Stadium - Washington, DC
E CAROLINA vs. MARYLAND, 2:30 PM ET
E CAROLINA: 22-10 ATS after allowing 31+ pts BB games
MARYLAND: 21-5 Under after scoring 37+ points

Texas Bowl - Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
ILLINOIS vs. BAYLOR, 6:00 PM ET
ILLINOIS: 0-10 ATS fter allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games
BAYLOR: 7-1 Over after 1st month of season

Alamo Bowl - Alamodome - San Antonio, TX
ARIZONA vs. OKLAHOMA ST, 9:15 PM ET
ARIZONA: 28-47 ATS off an Over
OKLAHOMA ST: 9-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

Thursday, 12/30/2010

Armed Forces Bowl - Gerald J Ford Stadium - Dallas, TX
ARMY vs. SMU, 12:00 PM ET
ARMY: n/a
SMU: n/a

Pinstripe Bowl - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY
KANSAS ST vs. SYRACUSE, 3:20 PM ET
KANSAS ST: 35-19 ATS after scoring 42+ points
SYRACUSE: 2-11 ATS Away off SU loss as favorite

Music City Bowl - LP Field - Nashville, TN
N CAROLINA vs. TENNESSEE, 6:30 PM ET
N CAROLINA: 5-1 ATS vs. SEC
TENNESSEE: 9-1 Under off BB Unders

Holiday Bowl - Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
WASHINGTON vs. NEBRASKA, 10:00 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 13-4 Over Away playing with rest
NEBRASKA: 15-4 ATS after allowing 325+ passing yds

Friday, 12/31/2010

Meineke Car Care Bowl - Bank Of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC
S FLORIDA vs. at CLEMSON, 12:00 PM ET
S FLORIDA: 7-0 Under Away off conf loss by 7 pts or less
CLEMSON: 10-1 Under in all games this season

Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX
NOTRE DAME vs. MIAMI, 2:00 PM ET
NOTRE DAME: 2-8 ATS as neutral field underdog
MIAMI: 9-2 Under vs. non-conference

Liberty Bowl - Liberty Bowl - Memphis, TN
UCF vs. GEORGIA, 3:30 PM ET
UCF: 11-1 ATS off an Under
GEORGIA: 6-1 Over as a favorite

Chick-Fil A Bowl - Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
FLORIDA ST vs. S CAROLINA, 7:30 PM ET
FLORIDA ST: 10-2 Over as an underdog
S CAROLINA: 0-3 ATS on neutral field

Saturday, 1/1/2011

Dallas Football Classic - Cotton Bowl - Dallas, TX
NORTHWESTERN vs. TEXAS TECH, 12:00 PM ET
NORTHWESTERN: 34-17 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
TEXAS TECH: 9-1 Under off ATS win

Outback Bowl - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL
PENN ST vs. FLORIDA, 1:00 PM ET
PENN ST: 7-0 Under vs. non-conference
FLORIDA: 6-0 ATS playing with rest

Capital One Bowl - Citrus Bowl Stadium - Orlando, FL
MICHIGAN ST vs. ALABAMA, 1:00 PM ET
MICHIGAN ST: 54-32 Over as an underdog
ALABAMA: 23-39 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

Gator Bowl - Municipal Stadium - Jacksonville, FL
MICHIGAN vs. MISSISSIPPI ST, 1:30 PM ET
MICHIGAN: 0-10 ATS 2nd half of the season
MISSISSIPPI ST: 16-6 Under playing with rest

BCS - Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
TCU vs. WISCONSIN, 5:00 PM ET
TCU: 19-8 Over off 3 straight conf wins
WISCONSIN: 6-0 ATS off conference win

BCS - Fiesta Bowl - University of Phoenix Stadium - Phoenix, AZ
CONNECTICUT vs. OKLAHOMA, 8:30 PM ET
CONNECTICUT: 6-0 ATS off win by 3pts or less
OKLAHOMA: 2-6 ATS in January bowl games

Monday, 1/3/2011

BCS - Orange Bowl - Sun Life Stadium - Miami, FL
VIRGINIA TECH vs. STANFORD, 8:20 PM ET
VIRGINIA TECH: 8-1 ATS L9 games
STANFORD: 36-16 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better

Tuesday, 1/4/2011

BCS - Sugar Bowl - Superdome - New Orleans, LA
ARKANSAS vs. OHIO ST, 8:20 PM ET
ARKANSAS: 6-0 ATS L6 games
OHIO ST: 0-7 ATS vs. SEC

Thursday, 1/6/2011

GMAC Bowl - Ladd-Peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL
MIDDLE TENN ST vs. at MIAMI OHIO, 8:00 PM ET
MIDDLE TENN ST: 10-1 ATS off SU dog win
MIAMI OHIO: 8-0 Under off conference game

Friday, 1/7/2011

Cotton Bowl - Cowboys Stadium - Arlington, TX
TEXAS A&M vs. LSU, 8:00 PM ET
TEXAS A&M: 6-0 ATS 2nd half of season
LSU: 6-0 Over Away off an Under

Saturday, 1/8/2011

Birmingham Bowl - Legion Field - Birmingham, AL
KENTUCKY vs. PITTSBURGH, 12:00 PM ET
KENTUCKY: 5-1 Over after scoring 14 pts or less
PITTSBURGH: 35-20 ATS off conference win

Sunday, 1/9/2011

Fight Hunger Bowl - AT&T Park - San Francisco, CA
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. at NEVADA, 9:00 PM ET
BOSTON COLLEGE: 9-2 Under this season
NEVADA: 6-0 ATS after 3 straight games w/ 1 or less turnovers

Monday, 1/10/2011

BCS National Championship Game - University of Phoenix Stadium -Phoenix, AZ
OREGON vs. at AUBURN, 8:20 PM ET
OREGON: 37-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
AUBURN: 13-5 Over as favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 12-13-2010, 10:51 AM

NCAAF

Bowl Season 2010 - 2011

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Trend Report
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Saturday, December 18

2:00 PM
TEXAS EL PASO vs. BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games
Texas El Paso is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
BYU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of BYU's last 12 games

5:30 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. FRESNO STATE
Northern Illinois is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Northern Illinois is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Fresno State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
OHIO vs. TROY
Ohio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Troy is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Troy is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games

Tuesday, December 21

8:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. SOUTHERN MISS
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 6 games
Southern Miss is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisville
Southern Miss is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

Wednesday, December 22

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. BOISE STATE
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games
Boise State is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games

8:00 PM
NAVY vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
Navy6-1-1 SU in its last 8 games
San Diego State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
San Diego State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Friday, December 24

8:00 PM
TULSA vs. HAWAII
Tulsa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hawaii
Tulsa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Hawaii is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 7 games

Sunday, December 26

8:30 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. TOLEDO
Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 7 games
Toledo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Monday, December 27

5:00 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. AIR FORCE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games
Georgia Tech is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Air Force's last 11 games
Air Force is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games

Tuesday, December 28

6:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. WEST VIRGINIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 6 games
North Carolina State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
West Virginia is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games

10:00 PM
MISSOURI vs. IOWA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games
Missouri is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Iowa is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games

Wednesday, December 29

2:30 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. MARYLAND
East Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
East Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games
Maryland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

6:00 PM
ILLINOIS vs. BAYLOR
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baylor's last 8 games
Baylor is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

9:15 PM
ARIZONA vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
Oklahoma State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oklahoma State's last 12 games

Thursday, December 30

12:00 PM
ARMY vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
Army is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

3:20 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. SYRACUSE
Kansas State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas State's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games

6:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. TENNESSEE
North Carolina is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee's last 11 games

10:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NEBRASKA
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 6 games
Nebraska is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games

Friday, December 31

12:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. CLEMSON
South Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Clemson's last 5 games

2:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. MIAMI
Notre Dame is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games

3:30 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. GEORGIA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Central Florida's last 9 games
Central Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Georgia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:30 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida State's last 11 games
Florida State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of South Carolina's last 10 games
South Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Saturday, January 1

12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. TEXAS TECH
Northwestern is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Northwestern is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Texas Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
PENN STATE vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Penn State's last 7 games
Penn State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Florida is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games

1:00 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. ALABAMA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 7 games
Michigan State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Alabama is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Alabama is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

1:30 PM
MICHIGAN vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Michigan is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Michigan is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games
Mississippi State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

5:00 PM
TCU vs. WISCONSIN
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 8 games

8:30 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. OKLAHOMA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 6 games

Monday, January 3

8:20 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. STANFORD
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games
Stanford is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Tuesday, January 4

8:20 PM
ARKANSAS vs. OHIO STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arkansas's last 7 games
Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Thursday, January 6

8:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Middle Tennessee is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Miami (Ohio) is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 5 games

Friday, January 7

8:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. LSU
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LSU is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

Saturday, January 8

12:00 PM
KENTUCKY vs. PITTSBURGH
Kentucky is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Sunday, January 9

9:00 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. NEVADA
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Monday, January 10

8:20 PM
OREGON vs. AUBURN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 12-13-2010, 10:59 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season 2010 - 2011

Ohio vs. Troy
The Bobcats look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games as an underdog. Ohio is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bobcats favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+1 1/2). Here are all of this year's bowl picks.

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 18

Game 201-202: UTEP vs. BYU (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 74.748; BYU 88.917
Dunkel Line: BYU by 14; 46
Vegas Line: BYU by 11 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-11 1/2); Under

Game 203-204: Northern Illinois vs. Fresno State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 89.642; Fresno State 90.650
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 1; 62
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 1 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+1 1/2); Over

Game 205-206: Ohio vs. Troy (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 79.142; Troy 77.734
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 1 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Troy by 1 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+1 1/2); Under

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 21

Game 207-208: Louisville vs. Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 92.423; Southern Mississippi 87.227
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 5; 60
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3; 57
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3); Over

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 22

Game 209-210: Utah vs. Boise State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 93.033; Boise State 112.938
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 20; 66
Vegas Line: Boise State by 17; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-17); Over

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 23

Game 211-212: Navy at San Diego State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 94.174; San Diego State 90.373
Dunkel Line: Navy by 4; 55
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 6; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+6); Under

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 24

Game 213-214: Tulsa at Hawaii (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 92.267; Hawaii 100.832
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 8 1/2; 81
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 11; 73
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+11); Over

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 26

Game 215-216: Florida International vs. Toledo (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 75.601; Toledo 78.962
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 3 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Toledo by 1; 56
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-1); Under

MONDAY, DECEMBER 27

Game 217-218: Georgia Tech vs. Air Force (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 87.764; Air Force 92.898
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 5; 58
Vegas Line: Air Force by 3; 56
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-3); Over

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 28

Game 219-220: NC State vs. West Virginia (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 94.568; West Virginia 95.170
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 1; 44
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+3); Under

Game 221-222: Missouri vs. Iowa (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 98.960; Iowa 101.253
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 2 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Missouri by 1; 47
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+1); Over

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 29

Game 223-224: East Carolina vs. Maryland (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 79.803; Maryland 89.995
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 10; 65
Vegas Line: Maryland by 7; 68
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-7); Under

Game 225-226: Illinois vs. Baylor (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 92.573; Baylor 90.363
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 2; 66
Vegas Line: Baylor by 2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+2); Over

Game 227-228: Arizona vs. Oklahoma State (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 95.319; Oklahoma State 104.347
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 9; 59
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 5 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-5 1/2); Under

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 30

Game 229-230: Army at SMU (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 80.438; SMU 80.417
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: SMU by 8; 52
Dunkel Pick: Army (+8); Over

Game 231-232: Kansas State vs. Syracuse (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 90.647; Syracuse 85.421
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 5; 42
Vegas Line: Pick; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State; Under

Game 233-234: North Carolina vs. Tennessee (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 94.185; Tennessee 90.274
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 4; 53
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 2; 50
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-2); Over

Game 235-236: Washington vs. Nebraska (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 91.303; Nebraska 102.224
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 11; 47
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 14; 53
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+14); Under

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 31

Game 237-238: South Florida vs. Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 89.274; Clemson 95.261
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 6; 38
Vegas Line: Clemson by 4 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-4 1/2); Under

Game 239-240: Notre Dame vs. Miami (FL) (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 95.573; Miami (FL) 94.569
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 1; 50
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+3); Over

Game 241-242: Central Florida vs. Georgia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 90.615; Georgia 99.592
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 9; 52
Vegas Line: Georgia by 6 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-6 1/2); Under

Game 243-244: Florida State vs. South Carolina (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 100.976; South Carolina 99.270
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+3 1/2); Under

SATURDAY, JANUARY 1

Game 245-246: Northwestern vs. Texas Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 86.158; Texas Tech 96.095
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 10; 68
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 9; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-9); Over

Game 247-248: Penn State vs. Florida (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 92.214; Florida 96.607
Dunkel Line: Florida by 4 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Florida by 7 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 249-250: Michigan State vs. Alabama (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 99.645; Alabama 106.484
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 7; 47
Vegas Line: Alabama by 10; 52
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+10); Under

Game 251-252: Michigan vs. Mississippi State (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 90.423; Mississippi State 96.909
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 6 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 4 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-4 1/2); Over

Game 253-254: TCU vs. Wisconsin (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 113.062; Wisconsin 106.516
Dunkel Line: TCU by 6 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: TCU by 2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-2); Under

Game 255-256: Connecticut vs. Oklahoma (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 91.667; Oklahoma 105.565
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 14; 50
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 17; 55
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+17); Under

MONDAY, JANUARY 3

Game 257-258: Virginia Tech vs. Stanford (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 105.590; Stanford 105.836
Dunkel Line: Even; 63
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+3); Over

TUESDAY, JANUARY 4

Game 259-260: Arkansas vs. Ohio State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 100.793; Ohio State 108.255
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 3; 58
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-3); Under

THURSDAY, JANUARY 6

Game 261-262: Middle Tennessee State vs. Miami (OH) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 72.742; Miami (OH) 76.815
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 4; 53
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 1 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-1 1/2); Over

FRIDAY, JANUARY 7

Game 263-264: Texas A&M vs. LSU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 99.773; LSU 98.740
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 1; 43
Vegas Line: LSU by 1; 49
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+1); Under

SATURDAY, JANUARY 8

Game 265-266: Kentucky vs. Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 89.633; Pittsburgh 94.533
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 59
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 53
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3); Over

SUNDAY, JANUARY 9

Game 267-268: Boston College vs. Nevada (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 89.920; Nevada 97.502
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 7 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Nevada by 10; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+10); Under

MONDAY, JANUARY 10

Game 269-270: Oregon vs. Auburn (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 112.101; Auburn 177.576
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 5 1/2; 77
Vegas Line: Auburn by 3; 74
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-3); Over

**Udog** · 12-21-2010, 09:22 AM

NCAAF
Write-Up

Bowl Season 2010 - 2011

Tuesday, December 21

Beef O'Brady's Bowl- St Petersburg
8-4 Southern Mississippi lost three games this year when they scored 43+ points; thats how bad their defense is. Eagles lost one game by more than six points (41-13 at South Carolina). LY, USM (-2.5) lost 25-23 at Louisville, game they led 18-7 at the half. Eagles won three of last five bowls, with average total in last three, 61.0. Seven of last eight USM games went over the total, as Eagles scored 41+ points seven times in those eight games. They should be excited to be here.

Favorites were 8-3 vs spread in Louisville games this year; Cardinals are 4-1 vs spread when favored. Louisville is 0-4 in games decided by less than 8 points. Favorite (4-1 vs spread) won SU in Louisville's last five bowls; this is their first bowl since 2006. These teams were conference rivals before Louisville bolted for Big East; these two head coaches were together for two years as assistants with Florida Gators. Cardinals got a pair of shutouts this year which squashes the temptation to play over, just because of Southern Miss's track record. This is a good game, and since its in a dome, weather isn't a factor.

**Udog** · 12-21-2010, 09:26 AM

NCAAF

Bowl Season 2010 - 2011

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What Bettors Need to Know
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Tuesday, December 21

Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl: Louisville Cardinals vs. Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (+2.5, 57)

The Skinny: Southern Miss (8-4, 6-6 ATS) doesn’t always make its way into the national spotlight, but it certainly knows how to win. The 2010 campaign marked the 17th straight winning season for the Golden Eagles. They will be familiar with their opponent in the Beef O’Brady’s Bowl, with Louisville (6-6, 6-6 ATS) and Southern Miss splitting seven C-USA titles between 1996-2004 before the Cardinals left for the Big East.

Louisville has been in a free fall basically since Bobby Petrino did his dance with the NFL and left the program. Enter Charlie Strong this season and some low expectations. But Strong has proven to be the right man to resurrect the program, leading the Cardinals back to a .500 record that includes a 26-0 victory over BCS-bound Connecticut and a 40-13 pasting of Rutgers in the regular season finale that made them bowl eligible.

Strong, who was named co-Coach of the Year in the Big East, decided to lean on an under-appreciated group of seniors instead of starting a complete rebuild and was rewarded with a defense that played hard and kept the team in games and an experienced offense that pounds the ball behind the best offensive line in the Big East.

Point Spread: Southern Miss +2.5. Over/Under 57. The spread opened at 3.5 in favor of Louisville but has since moved before the key number of 3 to 2.5 as of Monday afternoon. The total has dropped half a point from its opening of 57.5.

Southern Miss’ Edge: A defense that carried the team early in the season slacked off over the back half, putting more pressure on the offense. Thankfully, quarterback Austin Davis was up to the task, thanks in part to a strong rushing attack that ranked 21st in the country while averaging 203.4 yards per game.

Southern Miss also ranked in the Top-20 nationally in turnover margin and rushing defense, which should make for a nice matchup with the Cardinals’ strength.

Louisville’s Edge: Bilal Powell. A first-team all-Big East performer this season, Powell used his blend of size and speed to rush for 1,330 yards and 10 touchdowns. The offensive line certainly works to his advantage, with Powell possessing the speed and vision to hit the holes his line opens and the patience to wait for those holes to develop.

The Quarterbacks: Southern Miss relies heavily on Austin Davis both in the passing game and on the ground. Davis finished the season strong, passing for eight scores and rushing for four more while throwing only one interception over the last four games. On the season, the junior passed for 2,898 yards and 18 scores while chipping in 10 rushing touchdowns.

Louisville has some questions going into the bowl at the most important position, as senior Adam Froman is getting over a thigh bruise and his backup, senior Justin Burke dealing with back spasms. No matter who starts, the goal is to get the ball to Powell or tight end Cameron Graham. Froman took the bulk of the snaps and averaged 204 yards per game through eight games while throwing 11 touchdowns.

NFL Prospects: Southern Miss - DT Anthony Gray, DT John Henderson, S Justin Wilson. Louisville - TE Cameron Graham, RB Bilal Powell, CB Johnny Patrick

Bowl History: Southern Miss - The Golden Eagles are 9-11 all-time in bowl games and will be making their ninth straight bowl appearance. They most recently lost the 2009 New Orleans Bowl, 42-32, to Middle Tennessee. Louisville - The Cardinals are 6-7-1 all-time in bowl games but have not been invited to one since beating Wake Forest, 24-13, in the 2006 Orange Bowl - the school’s only trip to a BCS Bowl.

Etc.: Louisville cornerback Darius Ashley was arrested and charged with DUI on December 2 and his status for the bowl game has yet to be determined.

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**Udog** · 12-21-2010, 09:32 AM

NCAAF

Bowl Season 2010 - 2011

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Tips and Trends
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Tuesday, December 21

Louisville Cardinals at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles [ESPN | 8:00 PM ET]

CARDINALS: (-2.5, O/U 57) Head Coach Charlie Strong is already putting a stamp on this Louisville program, as they are going bowling for the 1st time since 2006. Not bad for Strong, considering this is his 1st season as Head Coach. The Cardinals finished the regular season with a 6-6 SU and ATS record. Louisville was 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS away from home this year. The Cardinals were 3-1 ATS as a single digit favorite this season. RB Bilal Powell is the heart of this offense, as he has rushed for 1,330 YDS this season. Powell ranks 10th in the nation in rushing YPG this year, averaging more than 110 YPG this year. Outside of their running game, this Louisville offense is pretty anemic. The Cardinals average 26 PPG this year, only 71st best in the nation. Louisville is strong defensively, as they are only allowing opponents to average 18.7 PPG, 15th in the country. The Cardinals are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games against Conference USA. Louisville is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as the listed favorite. The Cardinals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Louisville is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played in December. The Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games.

Cardinals are 30-11 ATS last 41 non-conference games.
Over is 5-2 last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Key Injuries - QB Adam Froman (leg) is probable.

Projected Score: 27 (UNDER-Total of the Day)

GOLDEN EAGLES: Southern Mississippi has won 3 of their past 4 games, ultimately finishing the season 8-4 SU and 6-6 ATS. The Golden Eagles played well away from home, going 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS this year. Southern Mississippi has revenge on their minds, as they lost 23-25 SU to Louisville last season. The Golden Eagles are 1-2 both SU and ATS as the listed underdog this year. Southern Mississippi overcame adversity during this regular season, including a shooting involving the team. The Golden Eagles averaged 37.6 PPG this year, 15th best in the nation. QB Austin Davis has thrown for nearly 2,900 YDS this year, including 28 TD's. Davis is one of the most unheralded QB's in the nation, as he can beat you with his arms or with his legs. Southern Miss. averages more than 200 YPG rushing, 21st best in the nation this year. The Golden Eagles have allowed their opponents to score more than 40 PTS in each of their past 2 games. The Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Southern Mississippi is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog up to a field goal. The Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games overall. Southern Mississippi is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games.

Golden Eagles are 4-0 ATS last 4 games following an ATS loss.
Over is 7-1 last 8 games overall.

Key Injuries - LB Tim Green (undisclosed) is out.

Projected Score: 24

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**Spark** · 12-21-2010, 03:02 PM

Southern Miss (8-4, 6-6 ATS) doesn’t always make its way into the national spotlight, but it certainly knows how to win. The 2010 campaign marked the 17th straight winning season for the Golden Eagles. They will be familiar with their opponent in the Beef O’Brady’s Bowl, with Louisville (6-6, 6-6 ATS) and Southern Miss splitting seven C-USA titles between 1996-2004 before the Cardinals left for the Big East.

Louisville has been in a free fall basically since Bobby Petrino did his dance with the NFL and left the program. Enter Charlie Strong this season and some low expectations. But Strong has proven to be the right man to resurrect the program, leading the Cardinals back to a .500 record that includes a 26-0 victory over BCS-bound Connecticut and a 40-13 pasting of Rutgers in the regular season finale that made them bowl eligible.

Strong, who was named co-Coach of the Year in the Big East, decided to lean on an under-appreciated group of seniors instead of starting a complete rebuild and was rewarded with a defense that played hard and kept the team in games and an experienced offense that pounds the ball behind the best offensive line in the Big East.

Point Spread: Southern Miss +2.5. Over/Under 57. The spread opened at 3.5 in favor of Louisville but has since moved before the key number of 3 to 2.5 as of Monday afternoon. The total has dropped half a point from its opening of 57.5.

Southern Miss’ Edge: A defense that carried the team early in the season slacked off over the back half, putting more pressure on the offense. Thankfully, quarterback Austin Davis was up to the task, thanks in part to a strong rushing attack that ranked 21st in the country while averaging 203.4 yards per game.

Southern Miss also ranked in the Top-20 nationally in turnover margin and rushing defense, which should make for a nice matchup with the Cardinals’ strength.

Louisville’s Edge: Bilal Powell. A first-team all-Big East performer this season, Powell used his blend of size and speed to rush for 1,330 yards and 10 touchdowns. The offensive line certainly works to his advantage, with Powell possessing the speed and vision to hit the holes his line opens and the patience to wait for those holes to develop.

The Quarterbacks: Southern Miss relies heavily on Austin Davis both in the passing game and on the ground. Davis finished the season strong, passing for eight scores and rushing for four more while throwing only one interception over the last four games. On the season, the junior passed for 2,898 yards and 18 scores while chipping in 10 rushing touchdowns.

Louisville has some questions going into the bowl at the most important position, as senior Adam Froman is getting over a thigh bruise and his backup, senior Justin Burke dealing with back spasms. No matter who starts, the goal is to get the ball to Powell or tight end Cameron Graham. Froman took the bulk of the snaps and averaged 204 yards per game through eight games while throwing 11 touchdowns.

NFL Prospects: Southern Miss - DT Anthony Gray, DT John Henderson, S Justin Wilson. Louisville - TE Cameron Graham, RB Bilal Powell, CB Johnny Patrick

Bowl History: Southern Miss - The Golden Eagles are 9-11 all-time in bowl games and will be making their ninth straight bowl appearance. They most recently lost the 2009 New Orleans Bowl, 42-32, to Middle Tennessee. Louisville - The Cardinals are 6-7-1 all-time in bowl games but have not been invited to one since beating Wake Forest, 24-13, in the 2006 Orange Bowl - the school’s only trip to a BCS Bowl.

Etc.: Louisville cornerback Darius Ashley was arrested and charged with DUI on December 2 and his status for the bowl game has yet to be determined.

**Spark** · 12-21-2010, 03:12 PM

*** BEEF 'O' BRADY'S BOWL ***

LOUISVILLE (6-6) VS. SOUTHERN MISS (8-4)
Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. EDT Line: Louisville -3 O/U 57
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For the ninth straight season Southern Miss is making a postseason appearance, as the Golden Eagles will collide with the Louisville Cardinals on December 21st in the Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. The Golden Eagles might have racked up eight wins this season, which is clearly good enough for a bowl game, but their year began and ended the same way, with a loss. After falling to South Carolina in their opener, the Golden Eagles responded with four straight wins. The following three-game stretch saw the team drop two contests to East Carolina and UAB, and both setbacks came by a one-point margin. With the loss to the Blazers in the rearview mirror, the Golden Eagles exited the loss column, and racked up three consecutive wins. However, the regular season closed out with a 56-50 loss to Tulsa.

The Golden Eagles are no strangers to playing in bowls, having made a postseason showing in twelve of the last 13 years, including eight straight seasons. Last year Southern Mississippi fell to Middle Tennessee, 42-32, in the New Orleans Bowl. The Golden Eagles are 7-5 in bowl action during their recent stretch, but overall in the program's history, Southern Miss is just 9-11. Despite the recent run, coach Larry Fedora remains humble. "We are extremely excited about the opportunity to play in St. Petersburg in Florida," said coach Fedora. "It is a great area with great weather and we have the opportunity to play a quality opponent from the Big East. We are thrilled about being able to play another game."

The last time the Cardinals went "bowling" they defeated Wake Forest in the 2007 FedEx Orange Bowl. Louisville, which is 6-7-1 all-time in bowl games, will be making its 15 appearance in postseason play, but it will be the first for Charlie Strong as a head coach. "For us to go get a bid to play in the bowl game was really big for the program because we needed that for the confidence of this program. Anytime you change a staff, you want something good to happen. We talked about getting this program to a bowl game and then make this program better each year from there."

Strong, who came from the coaching staff of Urban Meyer at Florida, did not have an overly impressive inaugural season, but still claimed Co-Coach of the Year honors in the Big East along with Connecticut's Randy Edsall. Louisville claimed wins in four of its first seven matchups and the three losses all came by eight or less points. Sitting at 4-3 the Cardinals proceeded to suffer losses in three of their next four games, and the lone win was a slim, 28-20 decision on the road against Syracuse. Fortunately, coach Strong's squad was able to go on the road in the season-finale and properly handle Rutgers to the tune of 40-13, giving the team the six wins needed to become bowl eligible.

Ask any coach at any level of football and they will be the first to explain how having a balanced attack is the key to any successful offense. Having the ability to run and pass, keeps defenses guessing, and gives defensive coordinators fits. Coach Fedora can rest easy at night knowing his offense is very potent on the ground and through the air. Taking care of the passing attack is Austin Davis, who was selected to the All Conference-USA Second Team. Davis completed over 60 percent of his throws this season, and racked up the yardage, averaging 241.5 ypg. He has thrown for 18 touchdowns, but more importantly, the veteran gunslinger does not make many mistakes, tossing just six interceptions.

Kelvin Bolden has hauled in a team- high six touchdowns, but the main target has been Johdrick Morris. Morris, who was the First Team selection at tight end in the league, has collected a team- best 46 receptions for 663 yards. Clearly Davis is a very effective quarterback, and makes life easy for coach Fedora, but what has kept opposing teams guessing is the ground game, which has dominated the competition for 203.4 ypg. There is not one main option that Southern Miss relies on, which is another advantage for this offense, as it showcases a few different talented backs. Kendrick Hardy has been the most successful, churning out 855 yards and seven scores, while Desmond Johnson, who also has seven touchdowns, has rumbled for 509 yards.

The offense received most of the attention on the season, and rightfully so, but the Southern Miss defense has also played a vital role in the team's success. Sure, on paper this unit is surrendering 29.4 ppg, which is a terrible number, but when peering deeper into the stats, there are plenty of things that make this a dangerous entity. Opponents might be churning out 113.3 ypg on the ground against the Golden Eagles, but that is not an overwhelming amount, and when combined with the 3.6 yards per carry this front line has held opponents to, it is rather an impressive showing. A big reason for the team's success is the play of defensive linemen Anthony Gray and Cordarro Law. Both were selected to the league's Second Team, and will have their hands full against a tough Louisville ground attack.

Clearly if a team is allowing close to 30 points per matchup there are issues, and in the case of Southern Miss that comes in the defensive backfield. The Golden Eagles has been torched on the year for 248.1 ypg and 26 touchdowns, and the lone reason why both numbers are not higher is because this unit has been fortunate enough to grab 17 interceptions. Four of those interceptions were hauled in by Justin Wilson, who joins Law and Gray on the C-USA'a Second Team roster.

Louisville has the potential on the roster to possess a balanced attack, but that was not the case for the Cardinals, who fell way short of expectations in 2010. A major reason for the team's short-comings was due to injuries to a couple of key players in Bilal Powell and Adam Froman. Powell only missed one game on the year, but spent most of the season dealing with nagging injures. However, that did not stop the running back from rumbling for 1,330 yards and 10 touchdowns on 6.3 yards per attempt. As a whole, the ground game for Louisville produced a robust 180.5 ypg, and because of that impressive display the Cardinals were able to either grind out wins, or keep matchups close down the stretch. Powell's success on the season did not go unnoticed, as the powerful back (6-0, 215) earned a spot on the Big East Conference's First Team.

Unfortunately, Froman's injury was much more severe, and kept the quarterback from competing in four games, while limiting him in other key matchups. Obviously, losing a quarterback is never easy to deal with, especially one as talented and experienced as Froman. In eight games, the signal caller completed just over 60 percent of his throws and tossed 11 touchdowns against four interceptions. However, in Froman's stead was Justin Burke, who performed admirably. Burke threw eight touchdowns and completed 56.7 percent of his passes, and as of right now he will be getting the nod on Tuesday over Froman.

"(Adam) Froman is practicing, but (Justin) Burke is still the starter. You still have all three guys with Froman, Burke and (Will) Stein. You watched Froman go down early in the season and then Burke came in to lead the football team. Burke went down in the Rutgers game and Stein came in. This is good because all three guys understand the system and you are comfortable with all three guys." With the Louisville offense not reaching its full potential this year, the defense had to enhance its play to get to six wins and remain competitive in league play.

The biggest factor in the defense's success was Hakeem Smith. The redshirt freshman stepped into the safety position and led this defense with his physical and emotional style of play. The hard-hitting playmaker paced Louisville with 80 tackles, and his play on the field earned him a spot on the conference's Second Team, but more importantly led to the honor of being named Big East Rookie of the Year. Smith was not alone in the secondary however, as Johnny Patrick also played a huge role, collecting a team-high five interceptions. With those picks and his ability to be a shut down corner, Patrick was named to the league's First Team and helped Louisville limit the opposition to just 162.5 ypg via the pass.

If there was an issue with coach Strong's defense it has come against the run. Louisville is not being abused from game to game, but the team is surrendering 142.2 ypg, which clearly suggests there are holes to exploit in the frontline. Louisville is holding opponents under 20.0 ppg on the season, and if the team wishes to keep the Golden Eagles from crossing that plateau, than the Cardinals will definitely need to fill the gaps up front.

• PREGAME NOTES
-------------------------
Louisville is making its first trip to the bowling-alley after missing out three straight years under the disastrous Steve Kragthorpe regime, making them a ‘bowl virgin’. Our database says that’s a wagering no-no: first-year coaches are just 29-46-1 ATS in bowl games – including 7-16 ATS versus a foe off a SU and ATS loss, while ‘bowl virgin’ favorites are just 22-31 ATS. Louisville don’t exactly stand at the head of the class either when it comes to grabbing the post-season green, going 2-7 ATS in its last nine tries as bowlers (1-5 ATS if the Cards are playing off a win).

Even worse, bowlers off a loss in which they scored 45 or more points are a paltry 2-8 ATS, and Big East bowlers in general have bungled their way to a combined 3-10 ATS mark versus a foe off a SU loss. The Golden Eagles from Hattiesburg counter with a 4-1 ATS record as bowl dogs versus an opponent off a SU and ATS win and a 3-1 ATS mark against Big East foes. Much has been made of Louisville head coach Steve Kragthorpe 12th-ranked defensive unit but they’d better show up with their lunch pails as USM’s double-deuce offense rushes and passes for more than 200 YPG.

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Louisville by 2.5; O/U 57
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Louisville -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Louisville -3.96
______________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SOUTHERN MISS is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers since 1992.
The average score was SOUTHERN MISS 27.3, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--LOUISVILLE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game since 1992.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 26.3, OPPONENT 35.1 - (Rating = 2*)

--LOUISVILLE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 26.4, OPPONENT 34.6 - (Rating = 2*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SOUTHERN MISS is 20-8 UNDER (+11.2 Units) in road games after playing their last game on the road since 1992.
The average score was SOUTHERN MISS 21.1, OPPONENT 20.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--SOUTHERN MISS is 18-7 UNDER (+10.3 Units) off a road loss since 1992.
The average score was SOUTHERN MISS 26.7, OPPONENT 19.0 - (Rating = 2*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SOUTHERN MISS is 3-12 against the 1rst half line (-10.2 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SOUTHERN MISS 14.1, OPPONENT 16.9 - (Rating = 2*)

--SOUTHERN MISS is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) in road games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SOUTHERN MISS 13.4, OPPONENT 18.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--LOUISVILLE is 10-2 against the 1rst half line (+7.8 Units) versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 17.9, OPPONENT 10.3 - (Rating = 2*)

--LOUISVILLE is 8-1 against the 1rst half line (+6.9 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 18.0, OPPONENT 11.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--LOUISVILLE is 6-0 against the 1rst half line (+6.0 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line this season.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 24.0, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--SOUTHERN MISS is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SOUTHERN MISS 15.2, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 2*)

--SOUTHERN MISS is 7-1 OVER (+5.9 Units) the 1rst half total after the first month of the season this season.
The average score was SOUTHERN MISS 20.4, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 2*)

--LOUISVILLE is 19-4 OVER (+14.6 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is between 28.5 and 31.5 since 1992.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 21.6, OPPONENT 15.3 - (Rating = 3*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (SOUTHERN MISS) - after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game against opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game.
(49-19 over the last 10 seasons.) (72.1%, +28.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 59.6
The average score in these games was: Team 25.7, Opponent 30 (Total points scored = 55.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 35 (51.5% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-11).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-14).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-22).
__________________________________

**Udog** · 12-22-2010, 08:19 AM

NCAAF

Wednesday, December 22

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Las Vegas Bowl: What bettors need to know
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Las Vegas Bowl: Utah Utes vs. Boise State Broncos (-17, 60.5)

The Skinny: Boise State (11-1, 8-4 ATS) was eyeing a BCS bowl berth that didn’t materialize and rates as 17-point favorites over Utah. The Broncos saw their Rose Bowl dreams evaporate by losing a late-November contest to Nevada. Boise State worked out a deal to play in the Las Vegas Bowl when the Pac-10 didn’t have enough bowl-eligible squads to fill out its allotment.

Utah (10-2, 7-4-1 ATS) won its first eight games before getting routed by Texas Christian and Notre Dame. The Utes squeaked by San Diego State and Brigham Young to notch their third consecutive 10-win season. The ugly losses by a combined 65 points and the fact quarterback Jordan Wynn will miss the game due to a shoulder injury have many people viewing this contest as a mismatch.

Point Spread: Boise State -17. Over/under – 60.5. This spread opened as low -15 in favor of the Broncos and has since been bet up to its current stand. The total opened at 61.5 and has since been bet down a full point as of Monday afternoon.

Boise State’s Edge: The Broncos have a stingy defense that ranks fourth in the nation in both scoring defense (13.6 points per game) and total defense (259.3). Boise State was sixth against the run (103.5 yards per game) so Utah will be in for a challenge if it decides to depend on running backs Eddie Wide (683 yards, 11 touchdowns) and Matt Asiata (673 yards, eight TDs) to take pressure off quarterback Terrance Cain.

Utah’s Edge: Getting the ball into the hands of gamebreaker Shaky Smithson is crucial for a Utah upset. Smithson led the nation with a 19.7 punt return average (he returned two for touchdowns) and averaged 24.1 yards on kickoff returns. Smithson also averaged 14.9 yards per reception. Nevada’s explosive offense exposed some deficiencies in Boise State’s defense and the Utes have three weeks to prepare some gadget plays involving Smithson.

The Quarterbacks: Boise State’s Kellen Moore finished fourth in the Heisman Trophy balloting and makes up for a lack of arm strength with incredible precision and superb decision-making. Moore always seems to throw the football to the right receiver and has two big-time targets in Titus Young (65 receptions for 1,151 yards) and Austin Pettis (59 for 804). Moore has thrown for 3,506 yards and ranks fourth in the nation with 33 touchdown passes. Moore has been intercepted just five times.

Utah’s Cain has a 9-1 career record as a starter so it’s not like he’s a novice being thrown into an impossible situation. He’s not as polished as Wynn, but did complete 70.8 percent of his passes as a backup this season. He had six touchdown passes and was intercepted twice in 72 attempts.

NFL Prospects: Boise State – WR Titus Young, G Nate Potter, DE Ryan Winterswyk, WR Austin Pettis, S Jeron Johnson. Utah – CB Brandon Burton, C Zane Taylor, G Caleb Schlauderaff.

Bowl history: Despite all its regular season success, Boise State has lost four of its last six bowl games. That fact gets overlooked because the Broncos’ two wins during that span came in Fiesta Bowls — the incredible overtime upset of Oklahoma four years ago and last season’s victory over TCU. Overall, Boise State is 6-4 in bowl games.

Utah has won nine consecutive bowl games, the second longest streak in NCAA history behind Florida State’s 11 straight bowl victories from 1985-95. Utah’s bowl winning streak includes a rout of Alabama in the Sugar Bowl two seasons ago and a Fiesta Bowl victory over Pittsburgh following the 2004 regular season. The Utes have two Las Vegas Bowl victories during the streak, including a win over USC in 2001. Overall, Utah is 12-3 in bowl games.

Etc.: In addition to quarterback Jordan Wynn, Utah will also be without starting left tackle John Cullen with a forearm injury. Boise State will be without middle linebacker Byron Hout (foot). … If it comes down to a clutch field goal, Utah’s Joe Phillips (32 of 36 over two seasons) rates as a better bet than Boise State’s Kyle Brotzman, who missed two chip-shot field goals in Boise State’s overtime loss to Nevada. Brotzman has made 14 of 20 field goals this season.

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**Udog** · 12-22-2010, 12:42 PM

NCAAF

Wednesday, December 22

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Tips and Trends
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Utah Utes vs Boise St. Broncos [ESPN | 8:00 PM ET]

UTES: Utah had an outstanding season at 10-2 SU and 7-4-1 ATS this year. The Utes were ranked in the top 7 for some time this year, but a 2 game slide late in the year really hurt them. Despite those losses, this is still a non BCS power. Utah was 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the road this year. Utah has only played 1 game as the listed underdog, a 4.5 line that they lost both SU and ATS. The Utes simply don't have much experience as a double digit underdog. QB Jordan Wynn is out for tonight's game, so Senior QB Terrance Cain will have to fill in. RB's Eddie Wide and Matt Asiata have combined for more than 1,350 rushing YDS with 19 TD's this year. Utah has allowed at least 28 PTS in 3 of their past 4 games, a trend that must reverse itself if the Utes want any chance of beating Boise St. tonight. The Utes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 bowl games. Utah is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in December. The Utes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of more than 10.5 points. The Utes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Utah is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games played on fieldturf. The Utes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. Utah is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Utes are 4-0 ATS last 4 bowl games as an underdog.
Over is 13-3-1 last 17 non-conference games.

Key Injuries - QB Jordan Wynn (shoulder) is doubtful.

Projected Score: 14

BRONCOS: (-17, O/U 60.5) The biggest question coming into tonight is whether or not Boise St. will be motivated for this game. Less than a month ago, the Broncos were on the verge of playing for the national championship. Boise St. is 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS overall this year. Boise St. is 5-1 both SU and ATS this season on the road. The Broncos are 7-4 ATS as a double digit favorite this year. Boise St. has the 2nd most prolific scoring offense in the nation, averaging 46.7 PPG this year. Heisman finalist QB Kellen Moore has thrown for more than 3,500 YDS this season, including 33 TD's against just 5 INT's. RB's Doug Martin and Jeremy Avery have combined for 22 TD's this season. This Broncos defense is very underrated, as they allow just 13.6 PPG this year, 4th best in the nation. The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Boise St. is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the MWC. The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win. Boise St. is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. The Broncos are 39-15-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. Boise St. is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in December.

Broncos are 7-2 ATS last 9 bowl games.
Over is 4-0 last 4 non-conference games.

Key Injuries - TE Tommy Gallarda (foot) is doubtful.

Projected Score: 38 (UNDER-Total of the Day)

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**Udog** · 12-22-2010, 11:03 PM

NCAAF

Thursday, December 23

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What bettors need to know: Poinsettia Bowl
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Navy vs. San Diego State (-3.5, 60.5)

The Skinny: Navy is bowling once again and coming off a victory over Army in its annual armed forces grudge match.

The Midshipmen (9-3 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) are in a bowl for the eighth straight season thanks to a strong finish to the season. Navy went 7-1 in its last eight games including a win over Notre Dame that was followed up by a surprising loss to Duke.

San Diego State (8-4 SU and ATS) is one of the better turnaround stories of the season under coach Brady Hoke and is making its first trip to the postseason since the Mountain West Conference formed in 1999. The Aztecs haven’t been bowling since 1998, when they were members of the Western Athletic Conference.

Navy’s Edge: The option. San Diego State will have some extra time to prepare, but is unlikely to be able to simulate the triple-option attack that Navy will unleash come game time.

Navy is ranked fifth in the country in rushing at 288.9 yards per game and if it can get that run game going, the Midshipmen will be able to control the tempo and keep the Aztec offense off the field.

San Diego State’s Edge: The offensive line for the Aztecs should be able to assert itself and keep QB Ryan Lindley on his feet.

San Diego State has allowed Lindley to be sacked just nine times this season while the Navy defense has recorded just nine sacks all season.

The Quarterbacks: Navy quarterback Ricky Dobbs doesn’t throw often but has been effective when he does air it out. Dobbs has thrown for 1,380 yards and 12 touchdowns with five interceptions. Dobbs’ main job is not to throw the ball, but to run Navy’s option. He has rushed for a team-leading 860 yards and 13 touchdowns this season.

San Diego State’s Ryan Lindley has thrown for 3,554 yards with 26 touchdowns and 14 interceptions.

NFL Prospects: Navy — OT Jeff Battipaglia, CB Kevin Edwards, WR Greg Jones. San Diego State — K Bryan Shields, CB Jose Perez, WR DeMarco Sampson, WR Vincent Brown.

Bowl History: The Aztecs are 4-4 all-time in bowl games, but have not won a bowl game since the 1969 Pasadena Bowl. Their last appearance came in 1998, a 20-13 loss to North Carolina in the Las Vegas Bowl. San Diego State has played at home once before, in the 1986 Holiday Bowl against Iowa. The Aztecs lost on a touchdown pass on the last play a wild 39-38 shootout.

The Poinsettia Bowl marks Navy’s 17th bowl appearance, including a school-record eighth straight. Prior to Navy’s current eight-game run of bowl appearances, the Midshipmen played in back-to-back bowl games just once in school history (1980-81). Navy is 7-8-1 in bowl games, dropping the its last three bowls by a combined 14 points.

Etc.: A victory over San Diego State would give Navy 10 wins for the second-consecutive year. It would be the first time in school history that Navy has won 10 games in back-to-back years.

Betting Trends: Navy is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against teams with winning records and 6-0 ATS in its last six games as an underdog. The Midshipmen are also 5-1 ATS in their last six bowl games.
San Diego State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games but 0-4 ATS in its last four games following an ATS win.

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**Udog** · 12-23-2010, 09:58 AM

NCAAF

Thursday, December 23

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Tips and Trends
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Navy Midshipmen vs. San Diego St Aztecs [ESPN | 8:00 PM ET]

MIDSHIPMEN: Navy finished the season with 4 straight wins, placing them 9-3 SU and 7-5 ATS overall. The Midshipmen are a fringe top 25 team, and a win over San Diego St. could place them in the final top 25 standings. Navy was 3-1 both SU and ATS in true road games this year. The Midshipmen were 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS as the listed underdog this season. QB Ricky Dobbs had over 2,200 YDS of total offense this season, including 25 TD's. Dobbs leads a rushing attack that averaged 288 YPG this year, 5th best in the nation. Defensively, Navy allows 22.3 PPG this season. The Midshipmen are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games overall. Navy is 7-0 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Midshipmen are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games against the Mountain West Conference. The Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. The Midshipmen are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on grass. Navy is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win. The Midshipmen are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played in December. Navy is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games.

Midshipmen are 6-0 ATS last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-1 last 6 Bowl games.

Key Injuries - LB Max Blue (back) is questionable.

Projected Score: 24

AZTECS: (-3, o/u 60) San Diego St. has had a breakthrough season, as they've been one of the most improved teams in the nation. Coach Hoke has done an outstanding job for the Aztecs, and he was just locked in to a new contract. The Aztecs finished the regular season with an 8-4 SU and ATS record. Their season could have been even stronger, with close losses to Missouri, TCU, and BYU. This is a home game for San Diego St, where they were 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS this season. San Diego St. averages nearly 300 YPG through the air, 11th best in the country. QB Ryan Lindley has thrown for more than 3,500 YDS and 26 TD's this year. RB Ronnie Hillman has been brilliant for the Aztecs this year, rushing for more than 1,300 YDS and 14 TD's this season. Defensively, San Diego St. will have to be adept at stopping the Navy rushing attack. For the year, the Aztecs allowed 22.8 PPG. The Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. San Diego St. is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Aztecs are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. San Diego St. is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.

Aztecs are 9-4 ATS last 13 games overall.
Under is 10-3 last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Key Injuries - DB Romeo Horn (foot) is questionable.

Projected Score: 27 (UNDER-Total of the Day)

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**Spark** · 12-23-2010, 03:07 PM

••• HOTTEST TICKET IN TOWN! •••
--------------------------------------------
No one really thinks of the Poinsettia Bowl as a standout bowl but this game has delivered some excellent match-ups in recent years with Utah and California last year, TCU and Boise State in 2008 and Navy against Utah in 2007. This year the match-up may not get much of a pulse on the national radar but it will be a hot ticket in town with the hometown Aztecs coming off a resurgent season and the great Navy presence in the city. There will not be much of a break for the Midshipmen with just eleven days after its rivalry match-up with Army and it is hard to say if that will be an advantage or a hindrance.

San Diego State reached 8-4 this season and while they beat just one winning team, close losses to TCU, Utah, and Missouri helped to build some credibility. Brady Hoke was a hot candidate for other coaching jobs particularly at Minnesota but he has re-signed with San Diego State, something that should be a boost and comfort to his players working through bowl practices. Playing at home is an advantage in bowl games and those teams are 7-3 S/U and ATS since 2003.

______________________________

*** THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ***

CAROLINA (2-12) @ PITTSBURGH (10-4)
Kickoff, 8:20 p.m. EDT Line: Steelers -14/ O/U 37
-----------------------------------------------------------
The Pittsburgh Steelers are going to the playoffs despite having lost their last game, while the Carolina Panthers own the league's worst record yet are coming off a rare win in their most recent outing. That's just the way it's been during this unpredictable NFL season. The Steelers will be out to restore a sense of normalcy when the AFC North co- leaders welcome the lowly Panthers to Heinz Field this Thursday for a Week 16 battle between teams currently residing on opposite ends of the football spectrum.

Pittsburgh had vaulted to the top of the AFC North pack on the strength of a four-game win streak highlighted by a hard-fought road victory over its chief competition for the division crown, the Baltimore Ravens, in early December. The Steelers no longer stand alone in first place, however, after coming out on the short end of a 22-17 decision to a desperate and determined New York Jets squad last Sunday at Heinz Field and the Ravens coming through with a critical triumph in their matchup with the reigning Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints.

Though Pittsburgh and Baltimore sport identical 10-4 marks heading into the regular season's final two weeks, the Steelers do own a superior record in division play, meaning the Black and Gold would claim both the AFC North title and a much-desired opening-round bye in the upcoming conference playoffs if they can defeat the Panthers and follow up with a win at Cleveland in the finale. A Steelers' win on Thursday coupled with a Baltimore loss in its Week 16 venture at Cleveland would also clinch the division and a postseason bye.

Achieving the first part of that equation doesn't appear to be too much of a problem, judging on past results. Carolina is a woeful 2-12 on the season and hasn't won any of its six road games thus far, with four of those setbacks coming by double digit margins. The Panthers also rank at the bottom of the NFL in scoring and both total and passing offense and will be going up against a fearsome Pittsburgh defense that's tied for the league lead in fewest points allowed and rates third overall in least yards surrendered.

Carolina will be entering the Steel City on a high note, however, after snapping a rough stretch of seven straight losses with last weekend's 19-12 besting of the declining Arizona Cardinals. The Panthers were able to get off the schneid by unleashing a potent ground attack spearheaded by running back Jonathan Stewart and mixing in a strong defensive effort that limited the punchless Cardinals to 218 total yards. Stewart is averaging 115 rushing yards and a healthy 5.9 yards per carry in four games since returning from a concussion, but the powerful back figures to be challenged by a smothering Steelers stop unit that's holding the opposition to a league-low 63.4 yards per game on the ground.

• SERIES HISTORY
----------------------
Pittsburgh holds a 3-1 edge in its all-time series with Carolina, and has won each of its last three head-to-head meetings with the Panthers. The Steelers took a 37-3 road decision in the most recent matchup, in 2006, and were 30-14 winners when the clubs last met in the Steel City, in 2002. The Panthers' only win in the series was an 18-14 victory in 1996. Carolina head coach John Fox is 0-1 against the Steelers as a head coach, while Pittsburgh's Mike Tomlin will be meeting both Fox and the Panthers for the first time as a head man.

• WHEN THE PANTHERS HAVE THE BALL
-------------------------------------------------
Don't expect Carolina to stop trying to do what it does best on Thursday in spite of the daunting task that lies ahead. The Panthers have run the football with authority over the past month, with Stewart (668 rushing yards, 7 receptions, 3 total TD) and shifty sidekick Mike Goodson (435 rushing yards, 3 TD, 36 receptions) the main cogs of an offense that's averaged an impressive 167.8 rushing yards per game over the past four weeks and backed up a punishing 212-yard effort on the ground against Atlanta in Week 14 with last Sunday's 177-yard output versus the Cardinals.

Carolina's still going to have to show at least a semblance of a passing game in order to be effective, though, and that's an area in which the team has often struggled with rookie quarterback Jimmy Clausen (1304 passing yards, 2 TD, 7 INT) at the controls. The former Notre Dame star did have his best day as a pro last week, though, completing an efficient 13-of-19 throws for 141 yards and a touchdown while not committing a turnover. Much like the quarterback position, the Panthers have been plagued by inexperienced at wide receiver, where rookies David Gettis (32 receptions, 3 TD) and Brandon LaFell (34 receptions, 1 TD) have each been pressed into key roles opposite still-capable veteran Steve Smith (43 receptions, 2 TD).

Carolina's recent rushing success will be put to the test by the swarming Steelers, who hadn't permitted more than 103 yards on the ground in a game until the Jets ran for 106 last Sunday. Not having Polamalu (62 tackles, 1 sack, 6 INT) available may help explain that drop-off from the defense's usual high standards, but Pittsburgh still has a wealth of stout stoppers in place even if the difference-making safety is again held out.

The inside linebacker duo of Lawrence Timmons (121 tackles, 3 sacks, 2 INT) and James Farrior (100 tackles, 5 sacks) may be the best in football, while nose tackle Casey Hampton (18 tackles, 1 sack) and end Brett Keisel (26 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) are outstanding space eaters who enable the playmakers behind them to roam free. Look for crafty coordinator Dick LeBeau to dial up plenty of blitz packages designed to both rattle and confuse the still developing Clausen, with outside linebackers James Harrison (89 tackles, 6 sacks, 2 INT) and LaMarr Woodley (46 tackles, 8.5 sacks, 2 INT) heavily a part of those plans. The exceptional pairing has accounted for nearly half of the Steelers' total of 40 sacks, tied for third-most in the league.

• WHEN THE STEELERS HAVE THE BALL
-----------------------------------------------
The Pittsburgh offense benefits from its balance, blending the passing talents and field presence of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (2600 passing yards, 14 TD, 5 INT) with the NFL's eighth-ranked running game (122.1 ypg) to form what can be a difficult combination to defend. Add in the field-stretching skills of speedy wide receiver Mike Wallace (53 receptions, 1048 yards, 8 TD), who's averaging nearly 20 yards per catch and burned a well-regarded New York secondary for 102 yards on seven grabs a week ago, and it's safe to say the Panthers may not have an easy time on their hands on Thursday.

Protecting Roethlisberger has usually been the Steelers' biggest issue, as the valued field general has been sacked 15 times over the last four weeks, and he'll need adequate time to survey the field and connect with Wallace and four-time Pro Bowler Hines Ward (51 receptions, 4 TD), the preferred targets among a solid receiving corps that's expected to get tight end Heath Miller (33 receptions, 1 TD) back from a concussion that sidelined him the past two games. Rookie wideout Emmanuel Sanders (23 receptions, 2 TD) helped offset Miller's absence by posting career bests of seven catches and 78 receiving yards against the Jets, while workhorse running back Rashard Mendenhall (1173 rushing yards, 10 TD, 20 receptions) contributed his fourth 100-yard day of the season in the loss.

Carolina's defense is fresh off its best showing of the season, with linebackers James Anderson (115 tackles, 3.5 sacks, 1 INT) and Jon Beason (104 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) organizing a charge that held the Cardinals to 43 rushing yards last week and the team sacking rookie quarterback John Skelton three times. One of those takedowns came from end Charles Johnson (57 tackles, 9.5 sacks), giving the standout pass rusher a total of six over his last five games.

His ability to create pressure, along with the steady play of young secondary members such as cornerback Captain Munnerlyn (39 tackles, 3 INT, 11 PD) and strong safety Charles Godfrey (75 tackles, 5 INT) is a big reason why the Panthers rank fifth in the NFL in pass efficiency defense and have come up with 17 interceptions for the year. Containing the run has been more of a problem, with the unit having yielded an average of 126.2 yards per game on the ground at the moment (23rd overall).

• **** NOTES
------------------------
The Steelers loss on Sunday to the Jets cost them an outside shot at home field throughout the AFC playoffs but the North crown and a first-round bye is well within their grasp. A win tonight and next week at Cleveland would give Pitt that coveted No. 2 slot. With most fans off on Friday, we certainly don’t think that the outmanned Panthers will spoil this Thursday night party but we should point out Pittsburgh’s 6-8 SU and 5-9 ATS mark on this day of the week.

As it is, the Panthers are a perfect 9-0 ATS as double digit dogs with revenge and a nail-driving 12-2-1 ATS off a SU and ATS win versus a foe off a SU favorite loss. With the Steelers 14-0 SU at home in non-division games off a SU and ATS home loss, we don’t foresee any nails hitting Heinz Field this evening. "However, we do feel HC John Fox and his 10-6 SU, 12-4 ATS mark as a road dog from Game Twelve out, including 4-0 SU and ATS off a SU victory, may keep this one very interesting longer than expected!"

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Pittsburgh by 13; O/U 37
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Pittsburgh -14.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Pittsburgh -15.31
______________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PITTSBURGH is 7-20 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 22.6, OPPONENT 14.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--PITTSBURGH is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) vs. very bad offensive teams - scoring 14 or less points/game since 1992.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 19.4, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--CAROLINA is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 21.9, OPPONENT 21.0 - (Rating = 3*)

--CAROLINA is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) after allowing 14 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 21.4, OPPONENT 19.4 - (Rating = 3*)

--CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 23.7, OPPONENT 20.0 - (Rating = 2*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--PITTSBURGH is 43-24 OVER (+16.6 Units) vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game since 1992.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 23.5, OPPONENT 16.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--PITTSBURGH is 33-17 OVER (+14.3 Units) in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 22.4, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 3*)

--CAROLINA is 28-10 OVER (+16.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 20.7, OPPONENT 24.8 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CAROLINA is 79-51 against the 1rst half line (+22.8 Units) versus the 1rst half line in road games since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 10.3, OPPONENT 10.1 - (Rating = 4*)

--CAROLINA is 62-36 against the 1rst half line (+22.4 Units) as a road underdog vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 9.6, OPPONENT 10.6 - (Rating = 4*)

--CAROLINA is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 13.5, OPPONENT 7.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--CAROLINA is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 13.1, OPPONENT 6.9 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--PITTSBURGH is 56-35 OVER (+17.5 Units) the 1rst half total after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 11.9, OPPONENT 9.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--CAROLINA is 29-11 OVER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 11.5, OPPONENT 12.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--CAROLINA is 22-6 OVER (+15.2 Units) the 1rst half total versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 10.9, OPPONENT 11.5 - (Rating = 3*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 10.5 or more points (CAROLINA) - outgained by opponent by 40 or more passing yards/game on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game.
(30-8 since 1983.) (78.9%, +21.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (9-29)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.9
The average score in these games was: Team 16.8, Opponent 25.5 (Average point differential = -8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (50% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).

--PLAY OVER - Road teams vs. the 1rst half total (CAROLINA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season.
(45-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +25.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.3, Opponent 11.3 (Total first half points scored = 23.6)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-11).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (85-60).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (151-133).

--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive unders, pathetic team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game.
(49-20 since 1983.) (71.0%, +27 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 38.7
The average score in these games was: Team 18.2, Opponent 27.8 (Total points scored = 46)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 34 (50% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4).

--PLAY AGAINST - Any team vs the 1rst half line (PITTSBURGH) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season.
(48-20 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.6%, +26 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.7, Opponent 8 (Average first half point differential = +5.7)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-10).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (84-46).
__________________________________

STAN "THE MAN'S 2010 COLLEGE BOWL BONANZA! Last year’s selections went 12-2-1, (85.7%) for a net profit of $5150. Get every College Football Release from 'The Man thru the BCS Championship game on January 10th – including his highest rated *6-Star COLLEGE BOWL GAME, along with his FAMOUS *5-Star COLLEGE GAME OF THE MONTH. The cost is only $299.00 complete – plus you’ll receive a FREE bonus copy of the Stat/Systems Sports 2010 College Bowl Stat Report. The College Bowl Bonanza package has gone 58-16-5 (78.4%) the last 5 years for a net profit of $20,570! "Call me Toll-Free today at 1-800-351-4640 to order, you'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
____________________

*** POINSETTIA BOWL ***

NAVY (9-3) @ SAN DIEGO ST (8-4)
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
Kickoff, 8:00 p.m. EDT Line: S.D. St -5 / O/U 60
--------------------------------------------------------
The Navy Midshipmen take on the San Diego State Aztecs in the 2010 Poinsettia Bowl at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego. Courtesy of a 9-3 record, which includes a current four-game win streak, Navy is making its school-record eighth consecutive bowl appearance. The run is rather remarkable when considering the Mids had played in back-to-back bowl games just once in school history (1980-81) prior to the current streak. Overall, this is Navy's 17th bowl appearance and it owns a 7-8-1 mark in its prior showings.

As for the Aztecs, they are one of the most improved teams in the nation and they were rewarded with their first bowl invite since 1998. "We are excited to be playing a bowl game here in San Diego in front of our great students, fans and community," Head Coach Brady Hoke said. SDSU's eight wins are twice as many as the previous year, and the program has already guaranteed itself a winning season for the first time in 12 years. The Aztecs, who are 4-4 all-time in the postseason, are now out to cap their terrific campaign with their first bowl victory since 1969.

SDSU and Navy have met twice previously, with the Aztecs claiming victories in both 1994 and 1997. The Navy offense revolves around an option attack that has the team ranked fifth in the nation in rushing with an average of 288.9 ypg. The Mids have scored 36 TDs via the run compared to just 12 through the air. QB Ricky Dobbs is the driving force behind the Navy offense and he can get the job done both with his arm and legs. "He's done so many things for this football team," said offensive coordinator Ivin Jasper.

"I've coached a lot of quarterbacks here. They've all been great. Ricky's in a class by himself." The leader of this football team, Dobbs tops the roster with 860 yards and 13 TDs on the ground. He is also effective when given the opportunity to use his arm, passing for 1,380 yards and 12 scores. Greg Jones serves as Dobbs' main target down the field, and he has amassed 577 receiving yards and four TDs, while Alexander Teich is second on the team in rushing with 825 yards and five scores. The Mids have lacked some consistency on defense, but the unit has still done a decent job in keeping opponents to 22.3 ppg.

The group, though is susceptible to both the run (156.4 ypg) and pass (220.4 ypg), and the unit has permitted 20 TDs through the air compared to 13 on the ground. Creating turnovers has been an area of strength for this defense, which has recorded 23 takeaways, including 16 fumble recoveries. The unit even has 18 sacks to its credit, so don't be surprised to see the group come up with a big play in this game. Safety Wyatt Middleton is a talented player on the Navy defense, and he is tied for the national lead with five fumble recoveries, while ranking second on the team with 81 stops. He trails Tyler Simmons, who has produced an impressive 124 stops, to go with three forced and recovered fumbles.

For the Aztecs, they possess a high-powered offensive attack that is producing 35.0 ppg and 448.8 total ypg. The strength of the unit comes from the passing game, which is generating 297.0 ypg. QB Ryan Lindley has turned in quite a campaign for SDSU, as he has thrown for 3,554 yards and 26 scores. He, however, can be a little erratic at times, completing just 56.5 percent of his attempts with 14 INTs. Lindley has two outstanding receivers at his disposal in Vincent Brown and DeMarco Sampson. Brown, who was voted team MVP, leads the squad with 1,187 yards and nine TDs, while Sampson follows with 1,175 yards and eight scores.

"I wasn't expecting it," said Brown when asked about being named team MVP. "There are a whole lot of guys on this team who could have won that award. I can't say enough about my teammates that I go to battle with. I'm not too big on individual awards, but it was an honor to get that from my teammates." The Aztecs also have a serious threat in the backfield, as Ronnie Hillman is the Mountain West Conference's Freshman of the Year. Hillman, who had five games of 150 yards or more, set a league record with 1,304 yards on the ground and 14 TDs.

On defense, SDSU is giving nearly the same amount of points as Navy on the season, allowing 22.8 total ypg. The Aztecs, though, are doing a little better versus the run (141.9 ypg) as well as the pass (209.8 ypg). Getting to the opposing QB is a real area of strength for the Aztecs, as they have recorded 28 sacks this year. SDSU also ranks fifth in the country in tackles for a loss per game at 7.58. That has helped offset the mere 15 turnovers forced by the defense. Miles Burris has been a real force for the SDSU defensive unit and he leads the way with 74 stops, 19 TFLs and 9.5 sacks. Leon McFadden is another player worth noting, as he has 54 stops and a team-best 12 PBU.

• **** NOTES
------------------------
Home may be where the heart is but it’s probably not where the minds of San Diego State’s players or many of their fans are at this time. Their reward for their first winning season in 12 years is a five-mile trip down Interstate 8 to Qualcomm Stadium, a place where they have already suited up six times this season. Talk about NOT being part of the bowl experience! The Aztecs won’t even get a chance to steal a couple of towels from say a Detroit Holiday Inn if they were playing in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl later in the week. "Home field advantage is nice, you say - Think again!" Ken Niumatalolo’s Middies will be welcomed by plenty of Midshipmen on leave from nearby San Diego Naval Military Base.

Thus, the value certainly appears to be with the ‘visitors’. If this game were played on a neutral field, the line would be close to pick so there’s really only way to look in this home versus home-away-from-home matchup. The Annapolis Academy has the full support of our 'Rock-Steady' database as well as it notes: military bowlers are a commanding 17-3 ATS versus .600 or greater opposition. We should also point out that the Middies are a determined 41-13 ATS as road dogs, including 20-4 ATS off a SU win while Aztecs HC Brady Hoke is just 7-21 SU versus .666 or greater opposition.

*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Diego St by 2; O/U 67
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Diego St -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Diego St -0.73
_________________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SAN DIEGO ST is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 27.1, OPPONENT 34.4 - (Rating = 3*)

--NAVY is 61-29 ATS (+29.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
The average score was NAVY 27.5, OPPONENT 27.4 - (Rating = 5*)

--NAVY is 44-16 ATS (+26.4 Units) as a road underdog since 1992.
The average score was NAVY 22.5, OPPONENT 30.5 - (Rating = 4*)

--NAVY is 32-14 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
The average score was NAVY 23.4, OPPONENT 29.8 - (Rating = 3*)

--NAVY is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was NAVY 23.9, OPPONENT 24.2 - (Rating = 5*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SAN DIEGO ST is 29-12 OVER (+16.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 32.7, OPPONENT 36.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--NAVY is 28-7 OVER (+20.3 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was NAVY 29.9, OPPONENT 31.7 - (Rating = 4*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SAN DIEGO ST is 18-33 against the 1rst half line (-18.3 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 13.4, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--SAN DIEGO ST is 16-30 against the 1rst half line (-17.0 Units) off a home win since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 10.2, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--NAVY is 42-23 against the 1rst half line (+16.7 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was NAVY 14.8, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--NAVY is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) as a road underdog of 1.5 points or less vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was NAVY 16.6, OPPONENT 7.7 - (Rating = 4*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--SAN DIEGO ST is 23-6 UNDER (+16.4 Units) the 1rst half total after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 9.3, OPPONENT 13.0 - (Rating = 3*)

--SAN DIEGO ST is 26-9 UNDER (+16.1 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 15.8, OPPONENT 11.1 - (Rating = 3*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Any team against the total (SAN DIEGO ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
(25-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (89.3%, +21.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 64.5
The average score in these games was: Team 43.6, Opponent 29.7 (Total points scored = 73.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (58.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-3).

--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (SAN DIEGO ST) - good team (outgain opp. by 50-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 50 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game.
(44-15 since 1992.) (74.6%, +27.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12, Opponent 15.7 (Average first half point differential = -3.7)

The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (35-10).
_____________________________________________

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Bowl Season (12/18 - 1/10)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Bowl Season (12/18 - 1/10)

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