Monday's Trends and Indexes - 11/29 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Monday, November 29

College Basketball Knowledge
George Washington won 76-71 at NC-Wilmington LY; Colonials are 2-2 this season, n eating Marist by 20, Nevada by 2. GW has four starters back from LY's 16-15 team. UNCW is 0-3 on road, losing at Florida by 17, Ohio State by 40, NC A&T by 5. A-14 double digit home favorites are 4-4. CAA double digit road underdogs are 4-3.

First road game for 3-2 Florida Int'l team that lost to Florida State by 23, beat Chattanooga by 21; Isiah Thomas' Panthers have four starters back from LY's 7-25 team. Marshall is 1-2 vs D-I foes, beating Jackson State by six points. Sun Belt road underdogs of 13 or less points are 5-15 vs spread. C-USA home favorites are 5-8-1 vs spread.

Minnesota is 6-0 (5-1 vs spread) already, winning Puerto Rico tourney, but they'll be without Nolen/Williams here; Gophers are 3-1 as favorite this year. 3-3 Virginia lost three of last four games, losing at Stanford by 21, to Washington by 43, Wichita by 12 (both in Maui). Virginia lost by 10 here two years ago. Big 11 home faves of 12+ points are 11-5.

Bosie State won/covered all of its four games vs D-I foes, winning by 20 at Cal-Davis, 5 at San Diego; Broncos have 7 seniors (four of LY's top five scorers back). Northern Illinois is 1-2 vs D-I teams, losing by 9 to Northwestern, by 3 at Bradley. WAC favorites are 11-5 vs spread, 2-1 on road. MAC home underdogs are 0-4-1 against the spread.

USC led by 20 in first half, 13 at half, but lost by hoop at Nebraska two days ago; Trojans are 4-3, scoring 57-63-58 points in losses- they're 3-0 if they score more than 63 points. TCU is 4-2, beating Houston by 16, SMU by 20. Both teams lost badly to Rider. MWC home faves are 9-3 vs spread. Pac-10 road underdogs are 2-6 against the spread.

UAB won its last three games vs Troy State by 18-5-12 points, taking 78-66 win in last visit here; Blazers are 4-1 this year (5-0 vs spread, 3-0 as favorite)- they upset Arkansas 70-65 Friday. Three of their last four games were decided by 9 or less points. Trojans are 0-4 vs D-I teams, but all four were on road (losses by 19-10-11-9 points).

Rider lost 92-89 in OT at Hofstra in Bracket Buster game LY; Broncs are 4-2, beating USC-TCU-LMU, but they lost MAAC opener at home to Siena by 13 Friday night. Hofstra is 1-3 vs D-I teams, beating Wagner by 3 Friday. MAAC home favorites are 4-4 against soread. CAA road dogs of less than 10 points are 6-7 against the spread.

Seton Hall is without leading scorer Hazell (wrist); they're 2-3 but have played 11th-hardest schedule in country (out of 346) so far this season. Pirates beat St Peter's last eight years, with only two of last six wins by more than 13 points. Peacocks are 2-3, scoring 50.6 ppg, but they did upset Alabama as 12-point dogs earlier this month on neutral floor.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Monday, November 29

Hot Teams
-- Pittsburgh won last six games, allowing nine goals. Rangers won four of their last five games.
-- Dallas won its last three games, allowing four goals.

Cold Teams
-- Carolina lost four of its last five games.
-- Edmonton lost eight of its last ten games. Ottawa lost five of seven.
-- Calgary lost 11 of its last 14 games. Wild lost three of its last four.
-- Kings, Ducks both lost six of their last seven games.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Carolina games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Ottawa games stayed under the total. Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Edmonton games.
-- Last four Calgary games stayed under the total. Last five Minnesota games went over.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Los Angeles games. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Anaheim home games.

Back-to-Back
-- Carolina is 2-3 if it played the day before, 0-1 after a loss.

Series Records
-- Rangers lost eight of last ten games against the Rangers.
-- Home side won both Dallas-Carolina games last season.
-- Ottawa beat the Oilers twice LY, 4-3SO and 4-1.
-- Minnesota lost its last nine visits to Calgary.
-- Kings won six of last eight games against Anaheim.

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Monday, 11/29/2010

WASHINGTON at MIAMI, 7:30 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 13-1 Under off home division loss
MIAMI: 1-6 ATS off ATS loss

NEW ORLEANS at OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 1-6 ATS off double digit division loss
OKLAHOMA CITY: 8-0 Over off ATS loss

HOUSTON at DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET NBA
HOUSTON: 90-48 ATS Away after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
DALLAS: 13-34 ATS as home favorite

MILWAUKEE at UTAH, 9:00 PM ET
MILWAUKEE: 0-7 ATS vs. Western Conference
UTAH: 6-0 ATS vs. Eastern Conference

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Monday, 11/29/2010

UNC-WILMINGTON at GEORGE WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET
UNC-WILMINGTON: 7-3 UNDER as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points
GEORGE WASHINGTON: 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points

FLA INTERNATIONAL at MARSHALL, 7:00 PM ET
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 6-19 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games
MARSHALL: 16-6 UNDER after playing a game as an underdog

VIRGINIA at MINNESOTA, 7:00 PM ET - ACC/Big 10 Challenge
VIRGINIA: 14-30 ATS in road games after a loss by 10 points or more
MINNESOTA: 10-1 ATS in home games after a cover as a double digit favorite

BOISE ST at N ILLINOIS, 8:00 PM ET
BOISE ST: 25-12 ATS as a road favorite
N ILLINOIS: 0-6 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games

USC at TCU, 8:00 PM ET
USC: 11-2 ATS as an underdog
TCU: 4-12 ATS in all home games

UAB at TROY, 8:00 PM ET
UAB: 5-1 UNDER after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game
TROY: 5-1 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as a road underdog

HOFSTRA at RIDER, 7:00 PM ET
HOFSTRA: 15-5 ATS off a home win
RIDER: 4-13 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games

ST PETERS at SETON HALL, 7:00 PM ET
ST PETERS: 6-0 ATS after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games
SETON HALL: 1-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders

MISSOURI-KC at WICHITA ST, 8:05 PM ET
MISSOURI-KC: N/A
WICHITA ST: 1-6 ATS after allowing 60 points or less in BB games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Monday, 11/29/2010

PITTSBURGH at NY RANGERS, 7:00 PM ET
PITTSBURGH: N/A
NY RANGERS: N/A

DALLAS at CAROLINA, 7:30 PM ET
DALLAS: 1-11 after covering 3 of their last 4 ATS
CAROLINA: 8-2 off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival

EDMONTON at OTTAWA, 7:30 PM ET
EDMONTON: 12-41 as a road underdog
OTTAWA: 21-7 off a win against a division rival

MINNESOTA at CALGARY, 9:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 41-29 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
CALGARY: 0-5 in home games when playing their 8th game in 14 days

LOS ANGELES at ANAHEIM, 10:00 PM ET
LOS ANGELES: 24-8 after 2 or more consecutive unders
ANAHEIM: 17-29 in home games off a road win scoring 4 or more goals

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA


Monday, November 29

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
Washington is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Washington is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games

8:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
New Orleans is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing New Orleans

8:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
Dallas is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

9:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. UTAH
Milwaukee is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Utah
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
Utah is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Milwaukee


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[Udog]

NCAAB


Monday, November 29

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Trend Report
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6:00 PM
ROBERT MORRIS vs. CLEVELAND STATE
No trends available
Cleveland State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
CENT CONN STATE vs. PROVIDENCE
No trends available
Providence is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Providence is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
UNC WILMINGTON vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
UNC Wilmington is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
George Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
George Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
DELAWARE STATE vs. LA SALLE
No trends available
La Salle is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
La Salle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
HOFSTRA vs. RIDER
Hofstra is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hofstra's last 7 games on the road
Rider is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
VIRGINIA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Virginia's last 21 games on the road
Virginia is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
SAINT PETER'S vs. SETON HALL
Saint Peter's is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seton Hall
Seton Hall is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saint Peter's
Seton Hall is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
MONMOUTH vs. DAVIDSON
No trends available
Davidson is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Davidson's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. MARSHALL
Florida International is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games on the road
Marshall is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Marshall is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA A&T vs. UNC GREENSBORO
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UNC Greensboro's last 5 games at home
UNC Greensboro is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games at home

8:00 PM
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M vs. BAYLOR
No trends available
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Prairie View A&M
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
EMPORIA ST vs. KANSAS STATE
No trends available
Kansas State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
UAB vs. TROY
UAB is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
UAB is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Troy is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Troy is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
USC vs. TCU
USC is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
TCU is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
TCU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
BELMONT vs. TENNESSEE STATE
No trends available
Tennessee State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Tennessee State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boise State's last 9 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games

8:05 PM
UMKC vs. WICHITA STATE
No trends available
Wichita State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing UMKC
Wichita State is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games at home

9:05 PM
MONTANA TECH vs. IDAHO STATE
No trends available
Idaho State is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
Idaho State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montana Tech

10:10 PM
MONTANA STATE vs. SEATTLE
Montana State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available


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[Udog]

NHL


Monday, November 29

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. CAROLINA
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games

7:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. NY RANGERS
Pittsburgh is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing NY Rangers
Pittsburgh is 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Rangers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. OTTAWA
Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Minnesota is 4-15-1 SU in its last 20 games ,when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Calgary is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota

10:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. ANAHEIM
Los Angeles is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Anaheim is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games


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[Udog]

NBA


Monday, November 29

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What Bettors Need to Know
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New Orleans Hornets at Oklahoma City Thunder (-3.5, 200)

The New Orleans Hornets (12-4, 9-6-1 ATS) squandered an opportunity to put a dent in one of their division rivals on Sunday. Now it’s time to get back up off the mat.

The Hornets will be looking to prove they can hang with another elite Western Conference team when they visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-6, 8-9 ATS) on Monday.

Feeling the sting

It was all roses for New Orleans when they started off the season 8-0 and surged to 11-1 by the middle of November. But the last week has not been quite as kind to the Hornets, who have found out lately that no team in the Western Conference is a pushover, and the great teams come to play every night.

New Orleans was nice enough to give the Los Angeles Clippers their second win of the season last Monday, squandering a halftime lead and getting outplayed down the stretch. That loss could be chalked up to the fact that the Hornets were playing the second night of a back-to-back, but two days later they got hammered, 107-85, at Utah as Deron Williams got the better of Chris Paul in a matchup of premier point guards.

They bounced back with a win at Portland on Friday and it looked as though all of their problems were solved on Sunday – until the second half rolled around. New Orleans, hosting division foe San Antonio, was in the process of making a statement against the Spurs, holding a 17-point lead early in the third quarter.

But San Antonio brought the Hornets back down to size by outscoring them 65-34 in the second half en route to a 109-95 victory. The Spurs forced nine turnovers in the second half and held New Orleans to 35.5 percent shooting. When San Antonio made its adjustments, the Hornets could not match with their own.

Thunder rolls

The Thunder, with one of the youngest rosters in the league, aren’t anything like the veteran-laden Spurs, but they present some very difficult matchups for any team, including New Orleans. Kevin Durant will force Trevor Ariza to guard the outside and will have a size advantage on the inside, while Jeff Green can move David West away from the interior on defense as well.

The marquee matchup, however, will be between Paul and Russell Westbrook, who is rapidly moving up the ladder into Paul’s company on the list of explosive young point guards.

Westbrook finished with 23 points and 10 assists against the Houston Rockets on Sunday but it was not quite enough, as the Thunder fell, 99-98. Durant had one of his worst games of the season with 18 points, two rebounds and three assists and missed a shot in the final second that would have given Oklahoma City the win.

Oklahoma had won six of seven before Sunday’s setback, taking down playoff contenders like Utah and Boston on the road in the pro.

Trends

- Favorite is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
- Thunder are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 Monday games.
- Hornets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.


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[Udog]

NCAAB


Monday, November 29

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Game of the day: Virginia at Minnesota
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Virginia Cavaliers at Minnesota Golden Gophers (-15)

The team on the biggest roll in college basketball could very well reside in Minneapolis.

The Minnesota Gophers, thought to be a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament, have won their first six games. Minnesota shoots for its seventh Monday night at home against Virginia in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge.

Gopher gold

Home wins over Wofford and Siena were no surprise, but the Gophers caught the attention of everyone in the Puerto Rico Tip-Off. After beating Western Kentucky in the first round, Minnesota pulled off two major surprises with wins over North Carolina in the second round and West Virginia in the title game.

The championship moved the Gophers to the 17th spot in this week's USA Today/ESPN coaches poll and improved Minnesota to 5-1 ATS. The early success led to a possible letdown against North Dakota State last Wednesday, but it didn't happen as the Gophers rolled to an 84-65 win.

Blake Hoffarber scored 24 points and hit four 3-pointers. Trevor Mbakwe, the tournament Most Valuable Player in Puerto Rico, scored 12 points and had seven rebounds while Ralph Sampson III added nine points and blocked three shots.

Minnesota ended the first half on a 20-3 run to take a 42-26 lead.

The Gophers are unbeaten despite the absence of guard Devoe Joseph, who was suspended indefinitely by coach Tubby Smith the day before the opener. Minnesota is also playing without point guard Al Nolen and forward Rodney Williams, who are both scratches with foot injuries.

Have and Cav nots

Virginia (3-3) lost two of three at last week's Maui Invitational. The Cavaliers were embarrassed in the opener, losing to Washington 106-63. Virginia bounced back to defeat Oklahoma 74-56, but fell to Wichita State 70-58 in the final game.

The Cavaliers began the season with wins over William & Mary and South Carolina Upstate. Virginia stopped off in California on its way to Hawaii to play Stanford, but was no match in an 81-60 loss. It takes a 2-3 ATS mark into Monday.

The Cavaliers are coming off a tough season and the outlook for 2010-11 isn't that much better. Virginia, 16-16 overall and 5-11 in the Atlantic Coast Conference last season, will be counting on several inexperienced players.

Senior forward Mike Scott leads Virginia in scoring with a 16.5 average, but four of the top six scorers are either freshmen or sophomores.

The Cavaliers' inexperience showed in Maui. Virginia jumped to a 14-point lead in the first half against Wichita State, but everything quickly fell apart. The Cavaliers were outscored 66-38 from the midpoint of the first half through the end of the game. Virginia made only 9-of-28 shots in the second half.

Scott scored 54 points and had 29 rebounds in the three games in Maui.

Trends

- Minnesota is 2-1 SU and ATS in the past three meetings with Virginia, the most recent coming in 2008. The Golden Gophers took a 66-56 victory as 8-point home favorites. In those three head-to-head games, the teams combined for a 1-2 over/under record.

- Golden Gophers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.

- Over is 7-2 in Virginia’s last nine non-conference games.


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