NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 12 (11/16 - 11/20)

[Udog]

NCAAF


Wednesday, November 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami of Ohio Redhawks at Akron Zips [ESPNU | 6:00 PM ET]

REDHAWKS: (-10, O/U 47.5) Miami of Ohio has been one of the best stories in all of College Football this year. The Redhawks are playing inspired football this season, and a bowl berth awaits them. Miami of Ohio is in the middle of a 3 game road trip, and they've already won the 1st two games. The Redhawks are 5-1 SU in MAC play, and get to host Temple next week in a showcase game. QB Zac Dysert is one of the best QB's you've never heard of. Dysert has thrown for more than 2,400 YDS and 13 TD's this season. WR's Armand Robinson and Nick Harwell have combined for more than 1,300 receiving YDS and 8 TD's this season. This trio lead a passing game that is averaging 255 YPG passing, 32nd in the nation. The Redhawks need to continue to improve defensively if they are going to beat Temple and be successful in their upcoming bowl game. The Redhawks are 4-2 ATS in road games this season. The Redhawks are 5-1 ATS against a team with a losing record. Miami of Ohio is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Redhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Redhawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win. Miami of Ohio is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games played in November. The Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.

Redhawks are 15-5-1 ATS last 21 road games against a team with a losing home record.
Under is 7-2 last 9 games as a road favorite.

Key Injuries - QB Zac Dysert (ribs) is questionable.

Projected Score: 31 (SIDE of the Day)

ZIPS: Akron is making history this year, for all the wrong seasons. At 0-10 SU, the Zips are the only winless team in the FBS. The Zips play their final 2 games at home, and this week they have extra time to prepare for Miami of Ohio. Akron has had 3 more days to prepare for this game than Miami of Ohio has, so that is a distinct advantage. Akron is coming off their most complete game of the year, a 30-37 SU loss in overtime. Akron scored a season high 30 PTS against FBS opposition, yet they still only average 15.1 PPG, 4th worst in the nation. QB Patrick Nicely did throw for 4 TD's in his last game, so he will look to sustain that play tonight. The Zips are giving up 38.8 PPG, 6th worst in the nation. The Zips are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week. The Zips are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. Akron is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played in November. The Zips are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games. Akron is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games overall.

Zips are 6-1 ATS last 7 games as a home underdog of more than 10 PTS.
Over is 12-3 last 15 games as a home underdog.

Key Injuries - QB Matt Rodgers (concussion) is questionable.

Projected Score: 13


Bowling Green Falcons at Toledo Rockets [ESPN2 | 8:00 PM ET]

FALCONS: Bowling Green lost a heart-breaking game last week when they fell to Miami of Ohio. They need to bounce back quickly though, because they face a hungry Toledo team with 1 more day to prepare. Bowling Green is 1-6 SU on the road this year, and they will be playing their final road game of the season. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS as a double digit underdog this season. Bowling Green has the worst rushing attack in the nation, so they depend solely on their passing game. QB Matt Schilz has thrown for 1,700 YDS and 6 TD's this season. Not bad for a freshman with a one dimensional offense. The Falcons have scored at least 20 PTS in all but 1 of their road games this season. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 32.9 PPG, 24th worst in the country. The Falcons are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. Bowling Green is 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 road games overall. The Falcons are 1-4-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on fieldturf. Bowling Green is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.

Falcons are 10-2 ATS last 12 games played in November.
Over is 6-2 last 8 games as a road underdog.

Key Injuries - DB Cameron Truss (ankle) is questionable.

Projected Score: 27

ROCKETS: (-10.5, O/U 53.5) Toledo is coming off a high scoring loss to Northern Illinois, but their is plenty of optimism heading into their final 2 games. The Rockets close their season with 2 home games, and if they can manage 1 SU win they guarantee themselves a bowl berth. The Rockets are 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS at home this year. The Rockets would love nothing more than to prove their homefield advantage with SU wins in their final 2 games. The Rockets are 1-1 ATS as a double digit favorite overall this year. RB Adonis Thomas has been running the ball well of late, and has nearly 675 rushing YDS and 5 TD's this year. WR Eric Page is one of the best WR's in the nation, and his numbers prove just that. Page has 73 receptions for 840 YDS and 5 TD's this year. Toledo has lost their past 3 games against Bowling Green, so revenge will play a factor tonight. After allowing 65 PTS last week, the Rockets defense wants to get back on the field quickly and forget about their last performance. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Toledo is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. The Rockets are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of between 3.5 and 10 PTS. Toledo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in November.

Rockets are 6-0 ATS last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 16-6 last 22 games against a team with a losing record.

Key Injuries - QB Austin Dantin (shoulder) is out.

Projected Score: 37 (OVER-Total of the Day)


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF


Thursday, November 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What Bettors Need to Know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA at Washington (-2, 53)

For as poorly as the UCLA Bruins have played at times this season, it’s hard to believe they still have a chance at landing a bowl bid. While that may not have seemed possible a couple of weeks ago, UCLA needs just two more wins to play in the postseason.

They’ll have a good shot at the first one when they visit Washington in a Pac-10 contest Thursday night. The Huskies are looking to snap a three-game skid.

Up To Speed

UCLA (4-5, 2-4 Pac-10) snapped a three-game losing streak of its own with a dramatic 17-14 win over Oregon State in its last outing. Kai Forbath booted a 52-yard field goal on the final play of the game to pace the Bruins.

UCLA had lost its three prior games by a combined score of 124-42. The last time it played on Thursday night was an embarrassing 60-13 loss at top-ranked Oregon.

Washington’s bowl outlook is bleaker but also realistic. The Huskies (3-6, 2-4) have to sweep the remaining three games on their schedule. After UCLA, Washington plays at Cal and at rival Washington State. Those three teams have a combined record of 10-18.

Quarterback matchup

UCLA signal caller Richard Brehaut directed an impressive drive to get in range of the game-winning kick against Oregon State. He took over for Kevin Prince a few games earlier after Prince needed knee surgery and he’s helped elevate UCLA’s anemic passing game.

Washington QB Jack Locker is the big story in this game. Once considered a lock to be the first pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, Locker is struggling living up to expectations this season.

He missed Washington’s game last week after injuring his ribs the week before against Stanford. He’s been cleared to play against UCLA and is expected to start.

Let’s Go Bowling

Neither team is happy with the way their season is going but both are still bowl eligible. Washington needs to win its three remaining games while UCLA needs to win two out of three to play in a postseason bowl game.

"For me, I just would like to see them be able to ride off into the sunset the way they hoped they would when they arrived on this campus," Huskies coach Steve Sarkisian told the Seattle Times.

Thursday’s game will be Washington’s last home game of the season and the Huskies would like nothing more than to close out a disappointed season at Huskies Stadium with a win for the home crowd.

But UCLA is in a pretty much must-win spot against Washington. The Bruins don’t want to be in a situation where they have to beat USC in their last game of the season to make it to the postseason.

"We don't want to talk that way, we want to talk about Washington," UCLA coach Rick Neuheisel told the Los Angeles Times. "If we do what we need to do preparation-wise, we'll give ourselves our best chance."

Weather

It could get ugly Thursday night in Seattle. Game-time temperature is expected to be in the low 40s and there’s a 50 percent chance of rain during the game.

Trends

The under is 20-6-1 in UCLA’s last 27 conference games.

The Huskies are 13-35-3 ATS in their last 51 games as a favorite.

The Bruins are 11-28-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

The Over is 6-2 in the Huskies’ last eight games overall.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF


Thursday, November 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA Bruins at Washington Huskies [ESPN | 8:00 PM ET]

BRUINS: UCLA was blown out in each of their past 2 conference road games, so they are anxious to prove to themselves that they are capable of a big road win. The Bruins are 4-5 SU and 3-6 ATS overall this season. The Bruins have won each of the past 3 seasons against the Huskies. UCLA is 1-3 SU and ATS on the road this year. UCLA is just 2-4 ATS as a single digit underdog this year. The Bruins are still hopeful of qualifying for a bowl game, so they will be playing with maximum effort tonight. RB Johnathan Franklin is the focal point of an offense that moves the ball on the ground. Franklin has rushed for nearly 900 YDS this season, including 6 TD's. UCLA rushes for 195 YPG this season, 27th best in the nation. If the Bruins can play defense like they did against Oregon St, a bowl berth isn't out of the question this year. The Bruins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog up to a field goal. The Bruins are 11-28-1 ATS against a team with a losing record. UCLA is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on fieldturf. The Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games. UCLA is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.

Bruins are 1-4 ATS last 5 games as a road underdog.
Under is 7-2 last 9 games following a bye week.

Key Injuries - QB Kevin Prince (knee) is questionable.

Projected Score: 20

HUSKIES: (-2, O/U 52.5) There might not be a more frustrating team in the nation than the Washington Huskies. Many experts felt this was a Top 25 team, but we've since learned that couldn't be further from the case. The Huskies are 3-6 SU and 2-6-1 ATS overall this year. Washington has even struggled at home this year, going 2-3 SU. QB Jake Locker was widely considered to be the best player in the nation this year, but he too has struggled. Locker has thrown for 1,675 YDS and 14 TD's against 6 INT's this season. Locker is directing an offense that is only averaging 21.1 PPG, 24th worst in the country. Defensively, the Huskies have given up at least 40 PTS to each of their past 3 opponents. Washington is allowing 36.2 PPG this year, 11th worst in the nation. The Huskies are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU loss. Washington is 7-18-2 ATS against a team with a losing record. The Huskies are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games played in November. Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. The Huskies are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on fieldturf.

Huskies are 4-21-2 ATS last 27 home games against a team with a losing road record.
Over is 6-2 last 8 games as a home favorite.

Key Injuries - QB Jake Locker (ribs) is probable.

Projected Score: 31 (SIDE of the Day)


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel


UCLA at Washington
The Bruins look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games as an underdog from 1 to 3 points. UCLA is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2 1/2). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 18

Game 309-310: UCLA at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 87.871; Washington 86.529
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 1 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2 1/2); Under

Game 311-312: Air Force at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 93.872; UNLV 73.189
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 20 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Air Force by 19; 56
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-19); Under

OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 441-442: Georgia State at Alabama (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 50.236; Alabama 110.705
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 60 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 19

Game 313-314: Fresno State at Boise State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 86.033; Boise State 114.313
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 28 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Boise State by 30 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+30 1/2); Over

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 20

Game 315-316: Penn State at Indiana (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 93.897; Indiana 79.703
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 14; 62
Vegas Line: Penn State by 10; 56
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-10); Over

Game 317-318: Tennessee at Vanderbilt (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 84.162; Vanderbilt 78.684
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 5 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 8 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+8 1/2); Under

Game 319-320: Connecticut at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 88.475; Syracuse 90.149
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 1 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 4; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+4); Under

Game 321-322: Florida State at Maryland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 99.335; Maryland 90.932
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 8 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Florida State by 4; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-4); Over

Game 323-324: Clemson at Wake Forest (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 90.559; Wake Forest 80.051
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 10 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Clemson by 13 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+13 1/2); Over

Game 325-326: Duke at Georgia Tech (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 80.924; Georgia Tech 95.084
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 14; 57
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 11 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-11 1/2); Under

Game 327-328: Virginia at Boston College (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 84.292; Boston College 93.034
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 8 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Boston College by 6 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-6 1/2); Over

Game 329-330: Rutgers at Cincinnati (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 79.542; Cincinnati 89.802
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 10 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 13; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+13); Under

Game 331-332: Purdue at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 78.428; Michigan State 99.654
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 21; 72
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 19 1/2; 67
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-19 1/2); Over

Game 333-334: Wisconsin at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 98.048; Michigan 94.943
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 3; 65
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 4 1/2; 67
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4 1/2); Under

Game 335-336: Ohio State at Iowa (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 107.033; Iowa 107.070
Dunkel Line: Even; 42
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+3); Under

Game 337-338: Missouri at Iowa State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 99.344; Iowa State 86.217
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13; 60
Vegas Line: Missouri by 11 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-11 1/2); Over

Game 339-340: Oklahoma State at Kansas (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 100.253; Kansas 80.177
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 20; 61
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 24; 64
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+24); Under

Game 341-342: Arkansas at Mississippi State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 103.346; Mississippi State 97.040
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 6 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-3); Over

Game 343-344: Northern Illinois at Ball State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 90.443; Ball State 73.270
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 17; 58
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 14 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-14 1/2); Over

Game 345-346: East Carolina at Rice (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 80.113; Rice 73.197
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 7; 66
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 9 1/2; 73
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+9 1/2); Under

Game 347-348: Kent State at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 79.563; Western Michigan 79.988
Dunkel Line: Even; 45
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 3; 50
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+3); Under

Game 349-350: UTEP at Tulsa (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 75.295; Tulsa 96.006
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 20 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 17; 57
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-17); Over

Game 351-352: Eastern Michigan at Buffalo (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 58.448; Buffalo 69.019
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 10 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 7; 52
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-7); Over

Game 353-354: Colorado State at Wyoming (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 76.838; Wyoming 76.059
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 2 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+2 1/2); Under

Game 355-356: Idaho at Utah State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 71.560; Utah State 75.384
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 4; 58
Vegas Line: Utah State by 2 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-2 1/2); Under

Game 357-358: Marshall at SMU (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 73.088; SMU 83.249
Dunkel Line: SMU by 10; 54
Vegas Line: SMU by 14; 48
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+14); Over

Game 359-360: Illinois at Northwestern (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 95.336; Northwestern 90.331
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 5; 53
Vegas Line: Illinois by 8; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+8); Over

Game 361-362: NC State at North Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 93.989; North Carolina 97.901
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 4; 46
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 2 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-2 1/2); Under

Game 363-364: Stanford at California (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 105.800; California 96.769
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 9; 59
Vegas Line: Stanford by 6 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-6 1/2); Over

Game 365-366: Central Florida at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 91.398; Tulane 77.578
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 14; 48
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 17 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+17 1/2); Under

Game 367-368: Virginia Tech at Miami (FL) (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 103.764; Miami (FL) 97.270
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 6 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-2); Over

Game 369-370: Kansas State at Colorado (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 88.698; Colorado 88.305
Dunkel Line: Even; 50
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 2 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+2 1/2); Under

Game 371-372: New Mexico State at Nevada (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 63.572; Nevada 96.529
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 33; 68
Vegas Line: Nevada by 38; 61
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+38); Over

Game 373-374: Memphis at UAB (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 55.588; UAB 78.759
Dunkel Line: UAB by 23; 54
Vegas Line: UAB by 20; 58
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-20); Under

Game 375-376: New Mexico at BYU (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 64.264; BYU 90.616
Dunkel Line: BYU by 26 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: BYU by 29; 53
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+29); Over

Game 377-378: Notre Dame at Army (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 89.558; Army 78.876
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 10 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 8; 50
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-8); Under

Game 379-380: Pittsburgh at South Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 96.944; South Florida 92.179
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 48
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2 1/2); Over

Game 381-382: Houston at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 83.790; Southern Mississippi 86.342
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 2 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 4; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+4); Under

Game 383-384: Oklahoma at Baylor (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 105.702; Baylor 93.755
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 12; 60
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7; 63
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-7); Under

Game 385-386: Nebraska at Texas A&M (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 104.528; Texas A&M 104.587
Dunkel Line: Even; 61
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 3; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+3); Over

Game 387-388: West Virginia at Louisville (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 95.768; Louisville 90.030
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 5 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 4 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-4 1/2); Over

Game 389-390: USC at Oregon State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 102.165; Oregon State 104.331
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 2; 58
Vegas Line: USC by 3 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+3 1/2); Under

Game 391-392: Mississippi at LSU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 89.506; LSU 103.711
Dunkel Line: LSU by 14; 56
Vegas Line: LSU by 16; 51
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+16); Over

Game 393-394: Utah at San Diego State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 93.154; San Diego State 87.519
Dunkel Line: Utah by 4 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Utah by 2 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-2 1/2); Under

Game 395-396: San Jose State at Hawaii (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 63.707; Hawaii 101.706
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 38; 57
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 30; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-30); Under

Game 397-398: Troy at South Carolina (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 78.986; South Carolina 98.121
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 19; 62
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 22; 58
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+22); Over

Game 399-400: Florida Atlantic at Texas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 69.143; Texas 89.333
Dunkel Line: Texas by 20; 40
Vegas Line: Texas by 21; 42
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+21); Under

Game 401-402: Arkansas State at Navy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 75.681; Navy 92.020
Dunkel Line: Navy by 16 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Navy by 13; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Navy (-13); Over

Game 403-404: Middle Tennessee State at Western Kentucky (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 72.231; Western Kentucky 65.402
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7; 51
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 5; 54
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-5); Under

Game 405-406: Florida International at UL-Lafayette (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 71.354; UL-Lafayette 65.304
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 6; 65
Vegas Line: Florida International by 10; 59
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+10); Over

Game 407-408: North Texas at UL-Monroe (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 74.983; UL-Monroe 73.624
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 1 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 1; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+1); Under

OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 443-444: Appalachian State at Florida (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 76.274; Florida 104.035
Dunkel Line: Florida by 28
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 445-446: Weber State at Texas Tech (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 61.544; Texas Tech 91.467
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 30
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Udog]

NCAAF
Write-Up


Thursday's games
Air Force won seven of last eight games vs UNLV, but split last couple visits here, with two games decided by total of four points. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in Falcons' last five visits here. Underdogs are 7-2 vs spread in Air Force games this year; Falcons are 1-5 as favorite, 1-2 on road (2-3 SU on road, wins by 6-20 points). UNLV lost five of last six games, but they're 3-1 as home dog, with home losses by 20-18-42 pts. MWC home underdogs are 7-5-1 vs spread this season.

Rick Neuheisel returns to Seattle with his UCLA Bruins, who are 11-2 in last 13 games vs Washington; dogs covered three of their last four visits to Seattle. Pac-10 home favorites of less than 6 points are 3-4 vs spread. Bruins are 1-3 on road this year, losing last two road games by combined score of 95-20. Washington is expected to get QB Locker back; they've lost last three games by combined score of 138-30, after upset of Oregon State. Six of last eight Washington games went over the total.

[Udog]

NCAAF


Friday, November 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fresno St. Bulldogs at Boise St. Broncos [ESPN2 | 9:30 PM ET]

BULLDOGS: Fresno St. is 6-3 SU on the year, and they were 1 point away from upsetting nationally ranked Nevada. The Bulldogs lost last week 34-35 SU in a spirited battle. The Bulldogs will need to bounce back quickly emotionally if they are to give Boise St. a competitive game. While 6-3 SU this year, they are only 4-4-1 ATS on the year. The Bulldogs are 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS in road settings this season. QB Ryan Colburn has had a solid season, throwing for 1,930 YDS and 18 TD's this season. Colburn directs an offense that is scoring 34.7 PPG, 23rd best in the country. The Bulldogs are going to have to score offensively, because Boise St. has scored a combined 112 PTS in their previous 2 meetings. Making matters worse is the fact that weakest part of the Fresno St. team is their defense. The Bulldogs are allowing 28.4 PPG this year, something Coach Pat Hill simply shakes his head at. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Fresno St. is 13-27 ATS in their last 40 conference games. The Bulldogs are 14-35-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a SU loss. Fresno St. is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Friday games.

Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-0 last 5 road games.

Key Injuries - OL Andrew Jackson (ankle) is questionable.

Projected Score: 24

BRONCOS: (-30.5, O/U 66.5) Boise St. is 3 win away from perfection. This team is still completely focused, as they play arguably their toughest back to back games of the season starting tonight. While a 30 point favorite, Fresno St. is a WAC stalwart, and they won't be intimidated here. Boise St. is still playing for the opportunity to play for the BCS Championship this season. Beating Fresno St. convincingly will certainly help them in that endeavor. The Broncos are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS overall this year. Boise St. is 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS in home games this year. QB Kellen Moore has been brilliant all year long, as he's thrown for nearly 2,600 YDS and 24 TD's this year. Moore directs an offense that is averaging 47.6 PPG, 2nd most in the nation. Even better, the Broncos are allowing the 2nd fewest points in the country at 12.8 PPG. The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as the listed favorite. Boise St. is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of more than 10 PTS. Boise St. is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. The Broncos are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games. The Broncos are 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 games as a home favorite.

Broncos are 13-5 ATS last 18 Friday games overall.
Under is 5-1 last 6 conference games.

Key Injuries - TE Tommy Gallarda (foot) is questionable.

Projected Score: 49 (OVER-Total of the Day)


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF


Friday, November 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What Bettors Need to Know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fresno State Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos (-30.5, 66.5)

Oddsmakers are forecasting a blowout Friday night when the Fresno State Bulldogs pay a visit to the blue turf at Boise State. Here is a look at that feature game, which has the Broncos listed as -30.5 favorites

Why Fresno State will cover

The key to a Fresno State cover will rely on Robbie Rouse. The 5-foot-7 sophomore running back has been on a tear, rushing for a combined 503 yards in just two games.

His 217-yard, two-touchdown performance against Nevada last week was particularly impressive, considering that Nevada was only giving up 115.2 yards rushing yards per game heading into that contest.

Pat Hill will utilize his new star and we should see him focus more on the rush. What this means for bettors is that possession times will be higher than average for the Bulldogs, which should make a -30.5 cover difficult. Remember that last year, Fresno State running back Ryan Matthews ran for 234 yards against the Broncos

Factor that in with the Broncos vulnerability to a backdoor cover. One can’t blame Boise State for having its minds focused on Nevada next week or even its bowl game in January. Even if the Broncos get out to a four-touchdown lead early, they will look to rest starters and kill the clock.

In fact in their last four WAC games, the Broncos have actually been outscored 21-14 in the fourth quarter.

Why Boise State will cover

Boise State can’t control what Oregon, Auburn or TCU do on the field so, in an attempt to win over voters, its only option is to blowout every team left on their schedule. The No. 4 team in the BCS has done a good job of covering the spread going 7-2 ATS. This stat is even more impressive as the Broncos have had to deal with an average line of -27.5

This Friday, they encounter a Fresno State squad that is coming off a heart-breaking one-point loss to Nevada and a team that Chris Peterson has dominated. The fifth-year head coach has covered the spread in all four of his encounters with the Bulldogs and, in their last game on the blue turf, Boise State won 61-10.

Fresno State is a decent 6-3 this year but only two of those games were against teams with a winning record (not counting the game against 7-4 Cal Poly). The two games were against Hawaii and Nevada and the Bulldogs gave up 49 points and 35 points respectively.

Boise State’s offense and defense are much more dynamic than Hawaii and Nevada, which should translate into the Broncos easily scoring seven touchdowns and in keeping Fresno State well below its season scoring average.

Combine that with the motivation for blowing out the game on national TV and you have the makings of another Boise State cover.

Notes on the total

The total opened at 65.5 at most books and has since moved up by a point to 66.5. During the Chris Peterson era at Boise State, this matchup has gone over the total three out of four times. The last two weren’t even close to the posted number. The total was 57 in 2008 and 71 points were scored. Last year, the number was just at 52.5 and 85 points were scored.

However, take note of the fact that Boise State is on a two-game under streak in which it has taken it easy in the second half.

Key matchup: Fresno State OL vs Boise State DL

Simply put, Fresno State will not have a chance to put up points if it can’t stop the Boise State defensive line. The Bulldogs have key offensive linemen Andrew Jackson and Joe Bernardi (Both preseason WAC first teamers) listed as questionable, so it will be up to the backups to make way for Robbie Rouse and give quarterback Ryan Colburn time to make plays.

The line and weather

The spread has remained steady at -30.5 at most books and consensus opinion appears to be split. Translation: Books have done their job and don’t care what the result is.

There is a 50 percent chance of rain and snow showers are expected by kickoff in Boise, with lows in the high 20s and Northwest winds at approximately 10 mph.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF
Write-Up


Friday's game
Favorite covered last eight Fresno-Boise games, with Broncos winning last four by average score of 47-21; Bulldogs lost last four games on blue turf by average score of 52-17 (0-4 vs spread). Boise still needs to win big in these games so they don't slip in polls; they're 6-2 vs spread this year, 2-2 at home, winning by average score of 46-16. Bulldogs are 2-1 as an underdog this year. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Fresno games.


Saturday's games
Highlighted games
Favorites covered all six UConn-Syracuse games, with home team 5-1 in those six games, and UConn winning four of six, including last three by an average score of 42-17. Huskies won last two games by combined five points, thanks to +6 turnover ratio in those games- they're 0-4 on road, with three losses by 13+ points. Dog is 5-0-1 in last six Syracuse games.

Underdogs were 8-0 vs spread in Wisconsin games this year, before last week's 83-20 Badger win- they're now 1-6 as favorite this season. Home side won last six Wisconsin-Michigan games; dogs are 6-2 vs spread in last eight. Badgers lost five in a row in Ann Arbor by an average score of 23-14- they won last five games overall. Michigan is 0-6 vs spread in its last six games- they're 1-1 as an underdog this year.

Ohio State won eight of last nine games vs Iowa, with none of last four here decided by less than 21 points; Buckeyes covered seven of last nine in series. Three of last four Iowa games were decided by 5 or less points; Hawkeyes are 0-1 as a dog this year. Ohio State won last three games by combined score of 139-24; they're 8-2 as a favorite this season. Last three Iowa games stayed under the total.

Arkansas won 10 of last 11 games vs Mississippi State, losing 31-28 in last visit here; underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in Hogs' last seven visits to Starkville. Arkansas covered last four games, winning by average score of 47-20- they're 4-1 as a favorite this year. State won six of last seven, but they're just 1-3 as a underdog this year. Last five Arkansas games went over the total. SEC single digit home underdogs are 5-3 vs spread.

Northwestern QB Persa tore his Achilles at end of Iowa game; Wildcats are in trouble at QB in neutral field game at Wrigley Field, vs Illinois club they've beaten six of last seven years. Illinois lost as 20-point favorite to Minnesota last week, after losing 67-65 in OT at Michigan week before that. Four of last five Illinois games went over total. Wildcats are 2-3 in their last five games.

Underdog is 10-2 vs spread in last 12 NC State-North Carolina games; Wolfpack won last three games vs Tar Heels; they're 3-2 in last five trips to Chapel Hill (dog 4-1 vs spread). Wolfpack lost last two road games, in OT at East Carolina, by point at Clemson; they're 4-1 vs spread as a dog this year. UNC is 4-1 as a favorite. ACC home faves of 8 or less points are 5-7 vs spread.

Stanford lost six of last seven Big Games to Cal, with underdogs covering three of last four; they've lost last four visits to Berkeley by 21-9-35-23 points, but Cardinal is the better team this year, winning last five games. Stanford is 5-3 as favorite this year, 3-1 on road- they've got road wins by 35-23-41-4 points. Cal lost 15-13 at home to Oregon, their first loss at home. Bears are 2-2 as an underdog this season.

Underdog is 7-2 vs spread in last nine Virginia Tech-Miami games; Tech won two of last three visits here, and is 8-0 since losing to I-AA team in early September. Hokies are 3-0 on road (BC-NC State-UNC), with all three wins by 11+ points. Hurricanes won four of their last five games, running ball for average of 225 yards/game. ACC home underdogs of 7 or less points are just 3-10 vs spread this season.

Pitt is 1-3 on road, losing by 3-6-2 points (only win 45-14 at Syracuse). Panthers are 3-1 as favorite this year. Pitt won last two games vs USF, 41-14/26-21- they've won two of three visits here. South Florida won its last three games, reversing trend of late-season collapses that they had in previous coaching regime. After scoring 9-6 points in consecutive losses, Bulls scored 28.7 ppg in its three-game win streak.

Oklahoma won last 13 games vs Baylor, covering five of last six visits to Waco (only non-cover was 35-0 win at -36). Sooners lost last two road games, giving up 36-33 points at Missouri/Texas A&M. Baylor gave up 41-42 points in losing last two games since beating Texas; Bears are 1-4 as an underdog this season. Four of last five Sooner games stayed under the total. Big 12 home underdogs of 8 or less points are 6-9 vs spread.

Texas A&M won/covered last four games, scoring 41.3 ppg; QB change has paid big dividends. Nebraska won last four games; they're 4-0 away from Lincoln, winning by 35-35-1-10 points. Huskers are 5-4 as a fave this season. Nebraska-A&M haven't played last two years; Cornhuskers are 4-1 in last five series games. Three of last four A&M games went over the total.

Home side won seven of last eight USC-Oregon State games, as Trojans lost last two visits here, 27-21/33-31. Underdog covered four of last five series games. Four of last six USC games were decided by three points or less. Oregon State had horrific home loss to Washington State last week, their third loss in last four games. Underdogs are 8-1 vs spread in OSU games this year, with Beavers 3-0 against the spread as an underdog.

Utah won/covered last four games vs San Diego State, winning by 40-9 average score, but Utes lost last two weeks, getting outscored 75-10 after their 8-0 start. Aztecs won four of last five games, losing 40-35 at TCU last week; they're 3-0 as an underdog this year. San Diego State is 3-0 at home, scoring 30.7 ppg. MWC single digit home dogs are 5-2 against the spread. Under is 6-2 in last eight San Diego State games.

Rest of the Card
-- Indiana lost 83-20 last week; they sold this home game to Penn State so game is in Maryland- not good. Hoosiers lost their last four games by average score of 41-16. Penn State is 3-2 as a favorite this year.
-- Tennessee is 12-1 in last 13 games vs Vanderbilt, winning last five at Vandy by average score of 33-16, but Commodores covered four of last five series games. Vols are 4-6, but won last two, scoring 50-52 points.
-- Florida State is 11-2 in last 13 games vs Maryland, with both losses here at home. Seminoles' last four games (2-2) were all decided by five or less points- they're 3-4 as a favorite, 1-1 on road.
-- Wake Forest lost last eight games (2-6 vs spread) with five losses by 31+ points. Home side won six of last seven Clemson-Wake games, with Tigers lost three of last four here. Clemson scored 12.3 ppg in last three games; kind of hard to lay 13 with a team like that.
-- Georgia Tech won last six games over Duke by average score of 38-12, covering last five. Duke is 4-2 in last six games as an underdog. Tech lost last three games, is 2-3 as a favorite this season.

-- Boston College won 14-10/28-17 in ACC matchups vs Virginia; BC won its last three games, allowing only 13 ppg; they're 2-2 as a fave, but 0-2 at home. Cavaliers lost last two games, allowing 97 points.
-- Cincinnati won last four games vs Rutgers by average score of 30-15, with underdog covering all four, but Bearcats lost last three games, giving up an average of 35 ppg. Seven of last eight Rutgers games were decided by five or less points, with Knights losing last two by 3-1.
-- Purdue lost last four games (1-3 vs spread) by average score of 38-10. Michigan State had last week off; they're 2-1 on road, winning by 17 at Michigan, 8 at Northwestern. Big 11 double digit home faves are 6-4.
-- Missouri won six of last seven vs Iowa State, winning last three by an average score of 43-24; dogs covered five of last six in series, and ISU's last four games overall. Tigers are 2-4 as a favorite this season.
-- Oklahoma State won at Texas last week, plays rival Oklahoma next, so sandwich here vs Kansas team that is 1-5 in last six games (trailed 45-17 in the win) but covered its last three games, losing by 12-17 points.

-- Northern Illinois won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread) by average score of 41-18; they're just 2-3 in last five games vs Ball State, winning by 6-12 points. Cardinals are 4-2 as an underdog this season.
-- Over is 8-2 in East Carolina games this year, with average total. 79.7. Pirates are 6-4 despite being favored only three times (2-1)- they allowed an average of 55.7 ppg in last three games. Rice is 2-6 in last eight games as an underdog- they gave up 53 ppg in their last three games.
-- Favorite covered all five Kent-Western Michigan games; Flashes lost last two visits here, 44-14/50-27. Kent lost last two games, allowing 36.5 ppg. Western Michigan is 1-2 as a favorite this season.
-- Home side won last six UTEP-Tulsa games; Miners lost last four in this stadium by average score of 41-23. Dogs covered four of last five in series. Tulsa won its last four games, covered its last six games.
-- Eastern Michigan is 3-0 vs Buffalo, winning by 24-3-4 points, but last meeting was 2005. Bulls lost last five games (0-5 vs spread) losing by an average of 32-9. Eastern lost seven of last eight games (over 6-2).

-- Favorites covered five of last six Colorado St-Wyoming games. Rams lost three of last four games; they're 0-5 on road (1-4 as road underdog). Wyoming lost its last six games (1-4-1 against the spread).
-- Idaho lost last three games by combined score of 160-41; Vandals lost last three games to Utah State by 3-25-5 points. Average total is 64.3 in last four series games. 4-6 Aggies won last two games by 5-4 points.
-- Home side won all three Marshall-SMU games; Herd lost 31-21 in its only visit here (+4.5). 4-6 Marshall won last three games, allowing 14.0 ppg; they're just 1-4 on road. SMU lost three of its last four games.
-- Central Florida had 5-game win streak snapped last week; they're 4-0 vs spread on road this year, winning by 14-21-7 points on foreign soil. Tulane gave up 95 points in its last two games; they're 4-3 as a dog.
-- Odd Senior Day for Colorado QB Hawkins, whose dad was fired by Buffs two weeks ago. Kansas State lost three of last four visits here; dog is 8-4 vs spread in last 12 series games. Home teams are 5-12-1 against spread in Big 12 games where the spread is less than 7 points.

-- Nevada scored 51.7 ppg in winning last three games; they covered one of last six as favorite and have home game with Boise coming up in just six days. New Mexico State covered four of its last five games.
-- Memphis lost last seven games; they're 0-6 vs spread in last six, 1-4 as road underdog. UAB allowed 134 points in last three games; they're 1-3 as a favorite this season. Four of last five Memphis games went over.
-- BYU scored 104 points in winning last two games, converting 23 of 30 3rd down plays; they're 3-2 as favorite this year. New Mexico covered four of last five games, but they've lost six games by 24+ points.
-- Notre Dame is 1-2 away from home this year, with only win 31-13 at Boston College. Army is 4-2 as an underdog this year. Over is 7-1-1 in Army games this season. This game is on neutral field in the Bronx.
-- Southern Miss is 7-2 in last nine games; they scored 43-49 points in the losses, both by one point, but they also had three players shot at a party last weekend; one is paralyzed, one had vocal chords meesed up. Houston is 3-5 since its top two QBs were knocked out for the year.

-- Underdog is 3-0 in West Virginia's road games, with WV losing its last two; two of the three went OT. Mountaineers won last three in series by 8-14-7 points, with average total in last five series games, 63.8.
-- Underdog is 11-2 vs spread in last 13 Ole Miss-LSU games, as Rebels won last two meetings, 25-23/31-13. Ole Miss allowed 40.3 ppg in last four games- they're 1-4 in last five games (all four losses by 13+ points).
-- Hawai'i had won/covered five in row before loss at Boise couple weeks ago. Underdog is 5-3 in last eight San Jose State-Hawai'i games; Spartans lost four of last five visits here, with losses by 37-18-9-24 points.
-- South Carolina clinched first SEC East title last week, has rivalry game with Clemson next week, figure to let down here, but Troy allowed 38.3 ppg in its last three games. Troy did lose 41-38 at 9-1 Oklahoma State.

-- Texas lost four in row, six of last seven games- they're 1-6 as favorite this year. FAU won its last two games by a point each; they're 3-2-1 as a dog this year. Texas will need to win this game and beat Texas A&M next week just to be bowl eligible.
-- Navy ran ball for 958 yards in last two games, scoring 114 points in wins by 1-41 points; they're 2-4 as favorites. Arkansas State scored 39.3 ppg in last four games; they're 3-2 as an underdog this season.
-- Western Kentucky is 5-2 vs spread in last seven games, with last two games decided by a point each. Middle Tennessee lost four of last five games; they're 2-4 as a favorite. Under is 7-1 in MTSU games this year.
-- FIU won four of last five games, but gave up 35 points in each of last two games; they're 1-3 as favorite. UL-Lafayette lost last five games but covered four of last five. Over is 7-3 in ULL games this season.
-- North Texas won two of three (3-0 vs spread) since changing coaches. UL-Monroe is 3-0 at home, but they gave up 93 points last two games. ULM won four of last five series games, with last three wins by 12+.

[Udog]

NCAAF


Saturday, November 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ohio St. Buckeyes at Iowa Hawkeyes [ABC | 3:30 PM ET]

BUCKEYES: (-3, O/U 48) Ohio St. just might be the most underrated 1 loss team in the nation. The Buckeyes are 9-1 SU this season, with their lone loss coming on the road at Wisconsin. Otherwise, Ohio St. has won every game they've played by double digits. The Buckeyes also have one of the best records at 8-2 ATS this year. Ohio St. is only 1-1 ATS as a single digit favorite this year. QB Terrelle Pryor is a candidate for the Heisman Trophy this year. Pryor has nearly 2,650 total yards to his credit, along with 26 TD's this year. Pryor leads an offense that is averaging 41.6 PPG, 6th best in the nation. Ohio St. is even better on offense, allowing the 5th fewest points in the nation at 13.6 PPG. The Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played in November. Ohio St. is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. The Buckeyes are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 road games against a team with a winning home record. Ohio St. is 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS win. The Buckeyes are 37-14 ATS in their last 51 conference games. Ohio St. is 39-18 ATS in their last 57 games following a SU win.

Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS last 5 games as a road favorite up to a field goal.
Over is 9-3 last 12 games played in November.

Key Injuries - DB Christian Bryant (infection) is out.

Projected Score: 21

HAWKEYES: Iowa is coming off a shocking 17-21 SU loss to Northwestern, and they will need to bounce back quickly. Getting up for Ohio St. shouldn't be a problem however. Iowa lost to Ohio St. last year 24-27 SU. Iowa would like nothing more than to win their final home game of the season against their arch rival. The Hawkeyes are 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS overall this year. Today will be the first time this season that Iowa will be the listed home underdog. In fact, Iowa has only been the listed underdog once this season, a SU and ATS loss at Arizona. Iowa is loaded with skill players, starting with QB Ricky Stanzi. Stanzi has thrwon for nearly 2,500 YDS and 22 TD's this year. RB Adam Robinson has rushed for more than 900 YDS and 10 TD's this season. Defensively, Iowa is allowing just 15 PPG, 7th fewest in the nation. The Hawkeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Iowa is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Hawkeyes are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. The Hawkeyes are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 games following a SU loss. Iowa is 15-6 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in November.

Hawkeyes are 8-2 ATS last 10 games as a home underdog.
Under is 12-4-1 last 17 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - WR Colin Sandeman (undisclosed) is questionable.

Projected Score: 27 (SIDE of the Day)


Oklahoma Sooners at Baylor Bears [ABC | 8:00 PM ET]

SOONERS: (-7.5, O/U 64.5) Oklahoma is 8-2 SU this year and ranked 14th in the nation heading into tonight. The Sooners have lost both of their games on the road this season. Oklahoma is 5-5 SU this season, including 2-2 ATS as a single digit favorite. Oklahoma is still hoping to qualify for a BCS bowl berth, and they feel road wins in their last 2 games will get them there. QB Landry Jones has been impressive this year, throwing for more than 3,000 YDS and 27 TD's this year. RB DeMarco Murray has rushed for more than 900 YDS and 13 TD's this season. Oklahoma is averaging 35 PPG this season, 20th in the country. The Sooners have been inconsistent on defense, and they will need to be ready for this high powered Baylor offense. The Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The Sooners are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win. Oklahoma is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win. The Sooners are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Oklahoma is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.

Sooners are 8-3 ATS last 11 games in November.
Under is 7-3 last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Key Injuries - RB DeMarco Murray (ribs) is probable.

Projected Score: 41 (OVER-Total of the Day)

BEARS: Baylor has had an impressive season, even with losing their past 2 games. The Bears are 7-4 SU this year, including 4-1 SU at home. Baylor is also 5-6 SU this season, including 1-4 ATS as the listed underdog. Baylor ranks in the top 25 in both their passing and rushing offense. QB QB Robert Griffin III is the biggest reason why, as he's an electrifying talent that fills the seats. Griffin has passed for more than 3,000 YDS and rushed for more than 500 YDS this season, including 28 total TD's. The Bears are averaging 33.4 PPG, 29th best in the country. The Bears have been dominated by Oklahoma through the years, so they'd like nothing more than to beat them at home in their final game of the year. The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Baylor is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The Bears are 16-35 ATS in their last 51 games played in November. Baylor is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Bears are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a home underdog. Baylor is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on fieldturf.

Bears are 11-4 ATS last 15 games following a SU loss.
Under is 13-6 last 19 games as a home underdog.

Key Injuries - None Reported.

Projected Score: 34


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF


Saturday, November 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAAF Week 12 weather report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stanford Cardinals at Cal Bears (+6.5, 50): The Bears should have a paw-up on standout Stanford QB Andrew Luck, as one of the nation’s top defenses will be aided by a 16 mph wind blowing across the field and a 70 percent chance of showers that could make those wind-blown passes even tougher to get a hold of in the rain.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Miami Hurricanes (+2, 50): The Hokies offense hasn’t been able to be slowed as it has torn through a horrendous ACC the past few weeks, but it might finally find something to stop the spirals of quarterback Tyrod Taylor – a 15 mph wind that could make moving the football through the air difficult.

Utah Utes at San Diego State Aztecs (+2.5, 55.5): The wheels have come off for Utah’s offense as it has mustered a meager 10 points the past two weeks. And When Brady Hoke’s team hosts the Utes in the most beautiful city in America, things might get ugly, as the weatherman is predicting the home team’s upset bid to be aided by a 19 mph wind and a 70 percent chance of rain.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Iowa Hawkeyes (+3, 48.5): These two teams tout strong rushing games, so they both likely will rely on ball control and their stout defenses as an expected 13 mph wind could hurt the passing attack of both teams still keeping hopes of a Big 10 title alive.

Mexico State Aggies at Nevada Wolfpack (+37.5, 58.5): Only a trip to Hawaii and its tropical climate has been able to slow down the Woflpack this year. Well, maybe the opposite will hold true as well. Nevada must not only face the visiting Aggies, but also a 15 mph crosswind and a 70 percent chance of – get this – snow.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Texas A&M Aggies (+2, 54.5): The visitors will rely more on the running of Taylor Martinez at quarterback, so an expected 15 mph wind shouldn’t slow down their offense much. However, a strong breeze could hurt Aggies converted QB Ryan Tannehill.

Oklahoma Sooners at Baylor Bears (+7.5, 64.5): Both of Oklahoma’s losses have come on the road to a spunky team with a dynamic passing game. That is the exact MO of Baylor, however an expected 16 mph wind could make the running games become a big factor, giving the Sooners a sizeable edge.

Missouri Tigers at Iowa State Cyclones (+11, 52.5): The hosts need a win on Senior Day to become bowl eligible. Meantime, Missouri has its eyes set on a berth in the Big XII title game. However, both teams will have their high-flying, precision passing games affected by a 16 mph wind that could throw off the timing required to make both offenses click.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF


Saturday, November 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Nebraska at Texas A&M
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nebraska at Texas A&M (+2.5, 54.5)

It’s North versus South in a Big 12 showdown Saturday night when Nebraska meets Texas A&M in College Station.

Difference maker
Texas A&M’s Ryan Tannehill is a very unique college football player.

He had 1,453 yards as a receiver in his first two years in the program. Now he’s the starting quarterback.

Tannehill replaced Big 12 Conference preseason offensive player of the year Jerrod Johnson midway through the October 23rd game against Kansas, and since then the Aggies have been on a roll.

Tannehill had four TD passes and a school record 449 yards passing in a win over Texas Tech before leading A&M to an upset victory over Oklahoma.

Johnson was expected to lead the Aggies’ offense this season, but he admitted last week that he’s still not 100 percent after having off-season shoulder surgery.

Johnson has thrown for 14 touchdowns this season, but he also has nine interceptions. Tannehill has 10 TD passes with three interceptions while playing almost exclusively under center.

Johnson said he has a great relationship with Tannehill.

“If it was anybody else I think it would be tougher, but me and Ryan have been through a lot,” Johnson said. “Just the respect I have for him, not only as a player, but as a person. We have a great relationship and he’s worked hard.

“He’s probably one of the most selfless people on our team. He’s caught tons of passes for me and boosted my stats and won games for me or whatever you want to call it. He’s always been there for me so in a situation like this I’d like to think I’ll always be there for him.”

Break a leg
A&M head coach Mike Sherman has also found a second difference-maker.

Four games ago at Kansas, Sherman decided to switch up his tandem tailback system and give Cyrus Gray his first start of the season.

Gray debuted in impressive fashion, rushing for 117 yards on 13 carries in a 45-10 rout.

But it's been in the last two games that Gray has played the lead back because of running mate Christine Michael’s broke his break his leg.

"I said, ‘We're going to have to lean on you,'" Sherman recalled telling Gray after Michael, then the Aggies' leading rusher, was lost for the season on October 30 against Texas Tech.

"And there's no one I'd rather lean on than him, because I trust him so much. He just does everything the way it's supposed to be done. He's certainly upheld his part of the bargain."

Gray followed up his showing at Kansas by gaining 102 yards on 16 carries against Tech, and then started his solo act by carrying 21 times for 122 yards against Oklahoma. Last week against Baylor, he had 28 carries for 137 yards, the most by an Aggie running back since 2005.

Saturday night against Nebraska, Gray will be trying to become the first A&M player in 20 years to have five straight 100-yard games. Gray leads A&M in rushing yards (673), rushing touchdowns (10) and all-purpose yards (1,268).

Up for the challenge
Nebraska holds a one-game lead over Missouri in the Big 12 North and can close out the Tigers with either a win tonight or next week in its season finale in Lincoln against Colorado.

The Huskers face off against the No. 1 rush defense in the Big 12. The Aggies surrender 112 rushing yards per game and have made huge strides from last year’s unit, one that allowed 171 YPG on the ground.

"They play an odd front and they've done a really nice job,” Nebraska offensive coordinator Shawn Watson said.

"I think they have great personnel obviously. That's where you always begin. The second thing, they are well put together. They tie the back end and the front end well, and really make you earn your way down the field. They're playing it really well. They're a totally different defense now than a year ago."

Watson mentioned he has been impressed this season with quarterback Taylor Martinez's ability to make throws in pressure situations.

"He had a really nice week last week with his decision making, and made some key throws on third down. Throughout the whole season he's being really good in those pressure throw situations like third down."

Second to one
Nebraska’s strength is its defense, one which ranks sixth in the nation overall.

The core of the stop-unit is the Huskers’ secondary, allowing 153 passing yards per game. Only TCU surrenders fewer yards through the air.

Nebraska junior cornerback Alfonzo Dennard is impressed with how Texas A&M quarterback Tannehill "puts the ball on the money."

Of course, Nebraska's pass defense specializes in cooling off quarterbacks.

Washington's Jake Locker and Texas' Garrett Gilbert were a combined 8-for-36 passing against the Huskers. Missouri's Blaine Gabbert was 18-for-42 against the Big Red secondary.

A&M has some talented wide receivers, including Jeff Fuller, who is averaging nearly 100 yards receiving a game.

That only makes Dennard more excited for the game.

"I love that challenge," Dennard said. "That's what I'm here for, to go out against the best."

Looking back
• The Huskers are 10-3 straight up all-time in this series, including 4-0 straight up and against the spread in conference play when the Aggies are playing off a double-digit victory in their last game.

• Nebraska is 7-0 against the spread as a conference favorite of less than 10 points under Pelini.

• Pelini is 2-7 against the spread as a conference favorite when playing off back-to-back wins.

• The Aggies are 15-6-2 against the spread in games in which they score more than 24 points, and 0-11 games they don’t, under Mike Sherman.

• Texas A&M is 14-1-2 against the spread as a conference home dog versus an opponent off a win of six or more points.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------