Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

The Bum's College Football Best Bets 09-30/10-02 + More !

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • #16
    News and Notes - Week 5

    Miami was dominant in their 31-3 win over Pitt. In the 1H they had a 12-3 FD edge and in fact, Pitt's first FD came with under 6:00 to go in the 1H but UM was int twice, once in the EZ and once at the Pitt 7 and only led 10-0. Pitt closed it to 17-3 at the start of the 4Q but fmbl'd a punt and UM went 43/4pl for a TD. Pitt gained 71 of their yards on their final drive ending the game at the UM5 trailing 31-3. UM came in leading the NCAA in sacks and tfl and had 5 sk and 9 tfl vs the Panthers...
    SMU gave TCU a much tougher game than expected. TCU only had a 21-19 FD edge and 375-361 yd edge. In fact at the half TCU only led 14-10 with SMU having a 209-183 yd edge. TCU was int'd on the 2nd play of the 3Q and ret'd to the 1 and SMU got a TD to lead 17-14. TCU got an 83 yd KR to regain momentum and drove 13 yds for a TD then scored TD's on their next 2 poss to lead 35-17 early 4Q. SMU got a TD but TCU got a 19 yd IR TD with 7:14 left but missed the crucial xp as they were -17'. TCU was SOD at the SMU38 with 2:19 left and SMU even got to the TCU17 but was SOD on 4th & 9...

    It was BC's first shutout loss at home since 1998 which was also administered by VT. In the 2H, behind backup QB Marscovetra, BC managed 39 yds offense. BC had 3 blown scoring opportunities in the 1H which really cost them the game. BC took their 2nd poss 64/9pl and had a 1st & gl but were int'd in the EZ for a TB and VT drove for a TD. BC was pinned at its own 1 but drove 69/9pl. They missed a FG. BC's last drive of the half went 84/13pl with :15 left and no time-outs, QB Shinskie ran and dove for the EZ. The ball hit the goal line but it was ruled down on the 1/2 yd line and the half ran out. At the half BC had a 211-164 yd edge. Shinskie was taking hard hits all day and after a fmbl and int, he was pulled and VT got the shutout...

    Ball St was shutout for the first time since 2005 and Iowa got to play a lot of players. Iowa did only lead 14-0 with 2:55 left 2Q when they rec'd a fmbl and they went 38/3pl for a TD to make it 21-0. At the half, however, Iowa had 15-3 FD and 284-54 yd edges. Iowa opened the 3Q with 65/6, 74/6 and 80/10pl drives for TD's to take command, 42-0 and on their 4th poss went 61/9pl for a 25 yd FG in the 45-0 win...

    Michigan QB Denard Robinson, a Heisman frontrunner, injured his knee in the 1Q and DNR. In one brief quarter, Robinson hit 4-4-60 and rushed 5x for 129 yards. Remember the rumors of Tate Forcier transferring from Michigan? Forcier came off the bench after backup QB Gardner had drives that ended on a TD, a fmbl and SOD and Forcier led Michigan to 5 TD's on 5 poss. He, unfortunately, also hurt his knee at the end of the game. UM scored TD's on their first 3 poss to lead 21-0 but Bowling Green thanks to a fmbl and UM being SOD (BG a 71 yd TD pass on the next play) only trailed 21-14. That's when Forcier led 5 straight TD drives and then Gardner came off the bench for a sixth consecutive TD drive, this one with 3:11 left to make it 65-21. UM had 721 yds offense to BG's 283...

    For the 2nd straight week, Buffalo played closer than the final as they lost by 24 but had an 18-17 FD edge vs Conn and were only outgained 399-368. Cody Endres came off the bench in the 3Q for UC after Zach Frazer (4-4 on first drive) went into a 3-10 slump. UC was playing without its star RB Jordan Todman who was injured. The game was tied at 14 at half with Buffalo having a 234-119 yd edge. Endres led UC to 4 scores on their first five 2H poss and in their first eight 2H poss they got 1 FG, 3 TD, fmbl'd at the UC10 which set up a Buffalo TD, were SOD at the UB33, fmbl'd at the UB28 and had a 42 yd FG blk'd. Chances for the cover appeared bleak when they got a 46 yd IR TD with 4:01 left, 45-21. UB went 73/12pl but on 4&gl from the 4 with :28 left, fired incomplete...

    VMI had just fallen to William & Mary 45-0 the previous week and brought almost its entire Corps of Cadets (21 busses) to the Virginia game so they could cheer. They actually only trailed 14-7 after 1Q. Virginia did finish with 25-8 FD and 466-179 yd edges...

    Maryland was without starting QB Jamarr Robinson and Danny O'Brien hit 18-27-250 yds in his first start. MD got a lot of big plays vs FIU. They got an 85 yd PR TD by Logan, a 56 yd TD run by D Scott, a 68 yd TD pass to Smith and got ahead of the spread in the 4Q with a 76 yd TD run by Meggett on their first offensive play after FIU closed within 7. Wes Carroll hit 35-58-355 yds for FIU. O'Brien's 68 yd TD pass came after a pass interference call wiped out a 3rd down incompletion...

    Michigan St, in their first game without HC Dantonio had 1 punt in the 1H and also fmbl'd at the Northern Colorado 22 and scored TD's on their other 5 poss and led 35-0 with a 387-141 yd edge. NC broke the shutout trailing 42-0 with a TD early in the 4Q...

    Toledo got their first win in Ross-Ade Stadium since 1992. An amazing stat is that Toledo came into the game last in the NCAA in total offense but had 378 total yards - 157 more than their season average. UT led 17-0 at the half with a commanding 203-95 yd edge. PU played most of the game without starting QB Marve who was injured for the second straight week. PU got as close as 24-20 with 8:07 left but UT returned the KO 50 yds and drove 47/7pl for a TD to basically clinch it 31-20 with 5:24 left...

    Three weeks ago UCF's D held Russell Wilson of NCSt to 10-30 passing. This time they took on the nation's #2 rusher in Daniel Thomas and held him to 76 yards on 22 carries. K-State managed just 3 yds in the 1Q and UCF had a 170-43 yd edge at the half. The Knights missed crucial FG's of 42 and 23 yards which kept K-St in the game. UCF also settled for a 27 yard FG with 5:14 left and K-St drove 67/13pl and got a 7 yd TD run with :24 left for their first lead of the game and won. UCF had 20-11 FD and 344-272 yd edges...

    USC may not be having a memorable start under Lane Kiffin but he is the first USC coach to begin his career 4-0 since Jess Hill did in 1951. USC had a 613-323 yd edge but Washington St surprisingly opened with an 80/9pl drive for a TD. USC got a 59/1pl run then a 25 yd IR TD to go up 14-7. WSU drove 45/6pl for a TD and only trailed 21-13 in the 2Q and it was just 28-13 at the half with USC having a 312-230 yd edge. USC dominated the 3Q going 93/4pl, 98/12pl, 64/9pl for TD's, the 3rd drive behind backup QB Mustain and came with 12:02 left in USC's 50-16 win...

    Turnovers did have a big factor in the Army/Duke game as Duke had a 5-0 TO deficit with QB Renfree having 2 int that were ret'd to the 3 and 5 yd lines - both setting up Army TD's. Army did have a long drive with a 33 yd FG blk'd and led 21-7 at the half and Army had a 173-80 yd edge. It was 35-7 when Duke gained the majority of their yards. They went 82/8pl for a TD, 43 yds but were int'd in the EZ from the Army34 then went 67/5pl for a TD with 1:41 left which made the final stats 372-333 in favor of Duke...

    Ohio St is now a perfect 4-0 ATS but surprisingly their D gave up 3 long drives to E Michigan. One came early 2Q, a 75/9pl TD and at the end of the half, 73/7pl TD and OSU only led 38-14. EM pulled within 45-20 after an 80/6pl TD drive but OSU scored TD's 4 of their 5 next poss to get their highest point total since 1950 at 73. Dane Sanzenbacher became the first OSU player with 4 TD rec in a game since Terry Glenn did it in 1995. OSU did finish with a 33-13 FD edge and over 300 yards both rushing and passing while EM had 248 total...

    North Carolina was playing once again without 12 players including 7 starters. Linebacker Bruce Carter had a big day with a 55 yard IR which set up a 28 yd TD drive and he also had a blk'd punt which set up a 27 yd drive for a 25 yd FG and NC led 17-13. RU got to the NC19 but was int'd at the 7 with 2:42 left. They had 1 more shot after a 26 yd NC punt. They took over at their 34 but on 4&14 fired incomplete...

    Northwestern and C Michigan were tied 13-13 at the half but NU went on an 11pl drive for a 27 yd FG then after an int, got a 25/1pl TD pass to lead by 10. After punting on their next drive, NU went 47/5pl for a TD and had the ball back up 30-13 in the 4Q and were driving when they fmbl'd at the CM36. CM went 64/8pl for a TD and then went 86/11pl including a 4&15, 20 yd pass to the NU25 which set up a TD with 1:11 left to get them under the number, 30-25. NU rec'd the onside kick and took a knee...

    If you followed along the scores on Saturday you were probably under the impression that Temple outplayed PSU for most of the game as TU had a 13-6 lead after 1Q, 13-9 at the half and late 3Q still led 13-12. The story of the game was PSU moved the ball but settled for Collin Wagner tying a school record with 5 FG's. Royster rushed for 187 yds and PSU had 216 yds rushing and 223 yds passing with a 20-8 FD edge as they held TU to just 202 yds. In the 1H PSU had 10-4 FD and 220-131 yd edges. A fmbl set TU up for a 28 yd TD drive and PSU was also SOD at the TU25 late 1H. Leading 15-13 PSU went 96/12pl for a TD and then got it back and got to the TU25 where they were SOD again with :19 left...

    Missouri had a 19 yd FR on Miami Oh's first offensive play for a TD and simply dominated. In the 1H, up 28-3, MO drove 61/10pl and had a 1st & 5 at the 10 but was int'd in the EZ for a TB. They extended it to 51-6 after 3Q's and were about to make it 58-6 when they were SOD at the MU2 with 9:31 left in the game. If you look at the final stats and you'll see MO "only" had 469-316 yd and 25-19 FD edges, but MU gained 98 of their yds on a 15pl drive and got 5 FD getting a garbage TD with 1:40 left...

    Wyoming led AF 14-7 after 3Q's and AF needed a TD with 3:41 left to pull out a 20-14 win. Statistically the game was not even close with AF having 27-12 FD and 445-240 yd edges. AF was int'd in the EZ on 2nd & gl on their first drive, missed a 26 yd FG after an 11pl drive and at the end of the half, went on a 48 yd drive for a 39 yd FG but had a bad snap. In the 3Q AF was SOD at the WY38 and int'd before driving 78/16pl and 80/14pl for 2 TD's and a 20-14 lead. AF ended the game at the WY28 yd line taking a knee...

    NC State did have a 27-15 FD edge vs Georgia Tech and a 527-363 yd edge but the game was closer than the final score. NCSt jumped out to a 10-0 lead despite missing a pair of 32 yd FG's and led 17-7 at the half with a 264-137 yd edge. They extended it to 31-14 then GT was SOD on 4&3 at the NCSt48 (1:39 3Q). GT got back in it with a 38 yd TD pass then Russell Wilson, who had 168 passes without an int, was not only int but ret'd 33 yds for a TD which made it 31-28 with 12:05 left. NCSt drove for a TD with 8:31 left and then GT out of desperation went for it on 4th & 10 at their own 31 and the pass was incomplete. NCSt tacked on a TD 6 plays later for the 45-28 final...

    UAB deserved much better vs Tennessee. For the game UAB had 23-15 FD and 544-287 yd edges. UAB had just 1 TO but it was a 9 yd IR TD just before the half which actually put UT up 23-7. The key to the game was that UAB missed FIVE FG's during regulation. After missing 3 FG's in the 1H they went on a 67/13pl drive and missed a chipshot 30 yd FG in the 3Q. With the game tied, UAB drove for the winning FG but missed it from 54 yds with :38 left. In the 2nd OT UAB made a FG but UT got a 25/1pl TD...

    At times Arkansas appeared to be poised to upset #1 ranked Alabama. They got a TD with :15 left 1H to lead 17-7 then took their 3Q opening drive 53/10pl for a 48 yd FG and a 20-7 lead. Bama battled back with a TD and FG to get within 20-17 with 6:01 left. The key play happened when Mallett, on 3&11 was int'd and ret'd 33 yds to the 12. Bama got a TD 3pl later for its first lead of the game with 3:18 left, 24-20. Ark got to midfield but was int'd at the Tide 35 and Saban went for it on 4th & 1 at his own 45 and converted for a FD with :54 left...

    Florida St dominated Wake Forest with 28-12 FD and 485-185 yd edges but after fumbling at the WF7, settling for a 35 yd FG and missing a 51 yd FG and fmbl'ing at the WF36, FSU only led 10-0 early 3Q. Up 17-0, WF was driving when they fmbl'd at the FSt32. FSU went 68/9pl for a TD with 7:28 left to get ahead of the spread. WF went on a 61/10pl drive but was SOD at the FSU18 with 3:44 left. FSU with excellent backup QB EJ Manuel in went on an 82/6pl drive and going for the throat they got a 23 yd TD pass with 1:04 left for a 31-0 final...

    Middle Tenn St K Alan Gendreau hit a 55 yd FG, the 2nd longest in school and SBC history to give MT a 6 pt lead at half. The game was fairly close with 2 big plays sealing it for MT. They got a 62 yd TD pass with 10:02 left 3Q and after UL was SOD at the MT19, at 27-14, Kyles got a 74 yd TD run 3pl later, 34-14...

    Riley Dodge took over as the starting QB for North Texas. He had been the starting QB at NT LY but with an inj'd shoulder limiting his throwing ability, he moved to WR. With inj's to their top 2 QB's, he's back at the QB spot and hit 10-15-146. He guided NT to a 423-357 yd edge at FAU, a game NT led 21-10. FAU did rally back and at the end had a FD at the NT28 down by 4 but a sk forced a 4th & 16 and FAU fired incomplete...

    Nebraska spent most of the 1Q vs South Dakota St bottled up inside their own 20 and was very unimpressive as a 44 pt fav vs SDSt. They did get a 96/6pl drive for a TD on their 3rd poss then went 54/4pl for a TD on their 4th but only led 14-0 at the half. Taylor Martinez, who had rushed for 100 yds in each of the first 3 games, was held to 67 and also had a fmbl and 2 TO's. SDS blew some chances. They had a 1st & gl at the NU2 in the 1H and were SOD. SDS went 73/11pl on their 2nd 3Q poss but settled for a 35 yd FG, 14-3. NU went on a 10pl drive for a 30 yd FG. SDSt was int'd at the NU1 and SOD at the NU37 in the 4Q...

    Georgia had a 221-120 yd edge vs Miss St at the half. They had a 20 yd pass to the 1 orig ruled down but it was reversed and ruled there was a fumble and a TB. UGA had a 40 yd TD pass called back on a hold and settled for a 35 yd FG and trailed 7-6 at the half. MSU, clinching to a 10-6 lead, went for it on 4th & 1 at their own 39 and converted. Two plays later they got a 34 yd TD pass. UGA went for it on 4th & 10 at their own 20 with 3:53 left and fired incomplete. MSU, 3pl later tacked on a TD, 24-6. With the game secure, MSU allowed UGA to go 91/8pl for a 40 yd TD pass with 1:27 left. MSU rec'd the onside kick...

    Idaho appeared in control vs Colorado St as they had 4 long drives in the H. On the first they were SOD at the CSU29 but they got 1 TD and settled for 31 and 32 yd FG's to lead 13-0. CSU took over with 4:32 left in the half and got a TD with :28 left. UI got a FD but was sk'd and fmbl'd with :19 left and CSU got a TD 3pl later for a stunning 14-10 lead. UI took the lead back and led 27-17 but CSU tied it with 11:32 left. UI got a 59 yd TD pass with 9:46 left and while CSU went 64/7pl, they missed the xp and trailed by 1. UI punted with 2:46 left and CSU got 5 FD and got a 35 yd FG on the final play for the upset...

    Stanford was very impressive vs Notre Dame as their D pressured Dane Crist throughout the game. SU QB Andrew Luck did throw his first 2 int's of the year. SU got a 36 yd FG on the last play of the half to go ahead 16-6. Trailing 19-6 the Irish were SOD at the SU49 and SU got a TD 11pl later. On the next play, ND was int'd and ret'd 20 yds for a TD and a close game turned into a blowout, 34-6. ND got a 14 yd TD pass in the final seconds called back on a hold and SU walked away with a 37-14 win which was ND's 11th straight loss vs a Top 25 team and 3rd straight loss of the season as they now have lost 7 of their last 8 games...

    All week long Urban Meyer talked about how excited he was that the offense had finally come together and was much improved. The offense had slogged its way thought the first 3 games of the season but Tre Burton helped ignite them as he scored 6 TD's and even had a 42 yd pass. He had those TD's despite having just 3 rec, 5 rushes and 1 pass. Florida led 21-0 but Kentucky faked a 28 yd FG for a TD to make it 21-7 at the half. The Gators scored TD's on all 4 poss of the 2H to take a 48-14 lead with 6;38 left and UK gained 65 of their yards on their final drive. UF has now outscored UK 155-26 in the last 3 games incl 73-0 in the 1Q...

    Marshall/Ohio was interesting as MU did have a 233-105 yd edge at the half and led 13-3. OU battled back using a fake 23 yd FG for a TD to take a 17-16 lead with :04 left in the 3Q. MU converted on 3&11 and 3&10 on their next drive, the latter for a 12 yd TD pass and a 25-17 lead. OU opted to punt with 2:31 left on 4th & 14 at its own 16 but MU was SOD with 1;01 left at the OU28. OU went 72/7pl and with :08 left got a 36 yd TD pass as the clock ran out but Solich went for 2 and it failed and MU escaped with a 1 pt win.

    BACKDOOR AND FRONTDOOR COVERS

    In the 1H Texas turned the ball over 5x and UCLA took advantage but only with a 13-3 lead. At the half UT had a 101 total yards offense on 36 plays and UCLA 75/32pl. UCLA got the most impressive drive of the game to open the 3Q going 80/8pl with 78 on the ground for a TD, 20-3. UCLA led 27-6 in the 4Q and UT drove 80/12pl getting a TD with just 2:28 left to make it 27-12. The onside kick went OOB and LA started at the UT27. On 3&2 when a FD would have ended the game as only :53 remained and LA could have taken a knee, Coleman ripped off a 29 yd TD run to put the game Over the Total.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #17
      Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
      09/25/10 46-51-1 47.42% -5050 Detail
      09/24/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
      09/23/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
      09/18/10 44-45-2 49.44% -2750 Detail
      09/17/10 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
      09/16/10 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
      09/11/10 38-39-0 49.35% -2450 Detail
      09/10/10 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
      09/09/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
      09/06/10 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
      09/05/10 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
      09/04/10 26-27-1 49.06% -1850 Detail
      09/03/10 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
      09/02/10 6-7-1 46.15% -850 Detail
      Totals 174-185-5 48.47% -14750

      Thursday, September 30Game Score Status Pick Amount

      Texas A&M - 7:45 PM ET Texas A&M +2.5 500 *****
      Oklahoma State - Over 65.5 500 *****
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #18
        Total is 67 for Thursday's Big 12 showdown

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TEXAS A&M AGGIES (3-0)
        at OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (3-0)

        Kickoff: Thursday, 7:45 p.m. EDT, Line: Oklahoma State -3, Total: 67

        Big 12 rivals sit in a similar place with 3-0 records coming off a bye week. Texas A&M has outscored its first three non-BCS opponents 41 to 14, but did not look sharp in a 27-20 home win over Florida International. QB Jerrod Johnson completed just 11-of-31 passes with four interceptions against FIU. QB Brandon Weeden has led Oklahoma State to 57 PPG, clobbering Tulsa 65-28 in its last game.

        Johnson should be able to shake off last week’s performance considering he threw for 273 yards and three TD in a losing effort (36-31 score) against OSU last year. Sophomore RB Christine Michael leads the Aggies with 331 rushing yards and three TD, but he was helpless against OSU in 2009, rushing for 30 yards on nine carries and catching two passes for minus-4 yards.

        Weeden has been incredible this season, completing 74-of-101 passes for 975 yards, 11 TD and only two interceptions. The Cowboys lead the nation with 392 passing YPG, thanks to Justin Blackmon’s nation-best 144 receiving YPG. Senior RB Kendall Hunter has also dominated with 513 total yards (473 rushing) and six touchdowns. Hunter missed last year’s meeting with A&M due to an ankle injury.

        Oklahoma State is 4-10 SU against Texas A&M since the formation of the Big 12, but the Cowboys have won two straight, including a 56-28 beat-down in the last meeting in Stillwater in 2008. The FoxSheets like Oklahoma State to win a third straight game over A&M.

        Play Against - Road underdogs (TEXAS A&M) - excellent passing team (>=275 PY/game) against a poor passing defense (230-275 PY/game), in conference games.(35-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%, +24 units. Rating = 3*).

        FoxSheets also expects the game to go Under the hefty total.

        Play Under - Any team against the total (OKLAHOMA ST) - after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games where they committed 4 or more turnovers. (39-12 since 1992.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*).
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #19
          NCAAF Betting: Buckeyes tested on road at Illini

          College football betting action has been incredibly easy for the Ohio State Buckeyes this season. They have gone 4-0 both SU and ATS, and their 4-0 record for 'over' bettors can almost strictly be attributed to the points that they have scored and have little to do with what the defense has allowed.

          All of that could change on Saturday afternoon when they leave the Horseshoe for the first time and pay a visit to the Illinois Fighting Illini.

          The Bucks aren't just good. They're great. There's no two ways around that either. Save a visit from the Miami Hurricanes, the level of competition hasn't been great this year, but when you outscore your opponents by the average score of 49.2-14.5, you're doing something right.

          Ohio State's offense gets up and goes thanks to the play of QB Terrelle Pryor. For our money, this is probably the man that is most likely to end up beating the Heisman Trophy odds at the end of the season, especially if OSU continues to win games comfortably. Pryor knows that the ball is in his hands whenever he wants it. He leads the team in carries with 43 and rushing yards with 269, and he is having a remarkable year through the air. The phenom is completing 66.4 percent of his passes for 939 yards and ten scores against just two INTs.

          Top NCAAF Betting Odds at Sportsinteraction.

          However, it is the defense that we really have to discuss. The first team to find its way into the end zone twice on offense against these Buckeyes was the Eastern Michigan Eagles last week. Ohio State has only allowed six offensive scores and three special teams TDs in four games, numbers which have to startle you on one glance. The Bucks rank No. 5 in the nation in both rush defense (70.0 YPG) and total defense (239.2 YPG) and would be ranked significantly higher than No. 20 right now in scoring defense (14.5 PPG) without those 21 special teams points against.

          For Illinois, this could be the golden opportunity that it has been waiting for since playing in the Rose Bowl on New Year's Day 2008. The Illini have had two weeks to prepare for the No. 2 team in the country, and the visitors are playing their first road game of the year.

          The only problem is that QB Nathan Scheelhaase, a true freshman, has never seen this kind of pressure from an opposing defense before. Scheelhaase has thrown three picks against his three TD passes this year, and the only thing bailing him out at times are his legs, which probably won't be nearly as efficient with the Ohio State back seven chasing after him.

          Instead, Illinois knows that RB Mikel LeShoure needs to have the game of his life. LeShoure has rushed for 407 yards in just three games this year, and his leads the team in TDs with three.

          Defensively, the Illini rank No. 25 in the nation in rush defense at 102.3 YPG allowed, and they must hold the Buckeyes somewhere in the neck of the woods of that number to be able to leave Champaign with a big win.

          Top NCAAF Betting Odds at Sportsinteraction.

          This is the first of three potentially crippling games on the Illini schedule, as they have to hit the road over the next two weekends to face the Penn State Nittany Lions and Michigan State Spartans as well.

          Upsets have been known to happen in this series, just like in 2007 when the Buckeyes were defeated 28-21 at home by these Illini. Ohio State has won every other encounter since 2002. However, Illinois is 6-3 ATS since 1999 against the Bucks.

          Ohio State is 21-5 ATS in its last 26 NCAA football betting affairs away from home, while Illinois is only 3-7 ATS in its last ten Big Ten clashes.

          The Buckeyes are hefty 17-point choices on the NCAA football lines, while the 'total' is lined at 50½ right now at BetUS.com.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #20
            BYU seeks 11th straight win over Utah St.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BYU COUGARS (1-3)
            at UTAH STATE AGGIES (1-3)

            Kickoff: Friday, 8:00 p.m. EDT, Line: BYU -4.5, Total: 51.5

            The Friday primetime game in Logan, UT pits a couple of 1-3 teams. BYU has been outscored 96 to 37 during its three-game losing skid and Utah State has allowed 41 points in each of its past two losses -- to Fresno State and at San Diego State. BYU has beaten Utah State 10 straight times, including last year’s 35-17 pounding in Provo.

            Brigham Young is a mess on both sides of the ball, ranking fifth-worst in the nation in scoring (15 PPG) and third-to-last in rushing defense (264 YPG allowed). QB Jake Heaps has completed just 51 percent of his passes and only has one TD toss in four games (105 pass attempts).

            The Aggies QB situation isn’t much better. Diondre Borel has completed just 25-of-54 passes for 236 yards in the last two games. But Borel had a great game against BYU last year, going 20-of-28 for 213 yards and two touchdowns (one passing, one rushing).

            Despite BYU’s straight-up dominance, Utah State is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings. But this FoxSheets trend shows that Utah State doesn’t recover quickly from lopsided road losses, making BYU the play.

            UTAH ST is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more since 1992. The average score was UTAH ST 18.5, OPPONENT 32.6 - (Rating = 3*).

            The FoxSheets also show that Utah State’s defense is likely to improve, making the Under a wise play. Play Under - Any team against the total (UTAH ST) - with a poor first half defense - 16 or more points per game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. (309-192 over the last 10 seasons.) (61.7%, +97.8 units. Rating = 3*).

            This BYU trend concerning its clock-eating running game also backs the under pick.

            BYU is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. The average score was BYU 27.3, OPPONENT 25.1 - (Rating = 2*).
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #21
              October betting in college football

              In anticipation for the beginning of October on Friday, we analyzed some college football trends to consider as you place your best for the next five weekends. We went back to 2006 to look at recent trends of BCS teams in the month that usually signals the heart of conference play. Some of the numbers were predictable, but others were definitely eye-opening.

              OCTOBER RECORDS SINCE 2006
              These first two categories aren’t a huge surprise with the usual cast of powerhouse programs and conference doormats.
              Best records Straight Up (Teams at 80% or better)
              Texas 94% (15-1)
              Alabama 93% (13-1)
              West Virginia 93% (13-1)
              Ohio State 88% (15-2)
              Penn State 88% (15-2)
              Georgia Tech 80% (12-3)

              Texas has a current 11-game October win streak after its 2007 loss to Oklahoma. Alabama has also won 11 straight October games following a 3-point loss to Tennessee in 2006. West Virginia’s October streak ended at 15 games last year when it lost at South Florida on Oct. 30. Florida just misses the cut at 77% (10-3), but the Gators are 7-0 SU in the past two Octobers.

              Worst records SU (Teams at 25% or lower)
              Washington 7% (1-13)
              Iowa State 12% (2-15)
              Syracuse 15% (2-11)
              NC State 21% (3-11)
              Baylor 24% (4-13)
              UCLA 25% (4-12)

              Washington’s win over Arizona last year snapped an 18-game October losing skid. Iowa State got both of its wins last year, beating Baylor and shocking Nebraska in Lincoln. Syracuse’s two wins were against non-conference schools (Akron and Buffalo) and the Orange haven’t beaten a Big East school in October since defeating Connecticut on Oct. 30, 2004.

              Biggest Win Pct. Difference Between SU and ATS
              These schools have done the job in the win column, but have not recently been able to cover large point spreads that come with being an elite college program.

              Alabama: 93% SU, 43% ATS (-50% Difference)
              West Virginia: 93% SU, 43% ATS (-50% Diff.)
              USC: 73% SU, 33% ATS (-40% Diff.)
              Oklahoma: 75% SU, 40% ATS (-35% Diff.)
              Texas: 94% SU, 60% ATS (-34% Diff.)

              Despite its 13-1 October mark, Alabama is just 6-8 ATS overall and 2-7 ATS at home in October since 2006. But that also equates to a 4-1 ATS road record, and the Tide travel to South Carolina Oct. 9 and Tennessee Oct. 23. West Virginia has an identical 13-1 SU, 6-8 ATS mark and a nearly identical 1-7 ATS home record. This is certainly a trend to consider in WVU’s three straight home games against UNLV (10/9), South Florida (10/14) and Syracuse (10/23). USC is just 5-10 ATS, having been favored in 14 of those games. Like WVU, the Trojans have also posted a poor home ATS (2-5) and are a three-time host this October (Washington Oct. 2, Cal Oct. 16 and Oregon Oct. 30). Red River rivals Oklahoma and Texas complete this list. Texas is 3-0-1 ATS against Oklahoma, but both schools are 6-6 ATS in October against other opponents.

              Biggest Win Pct. Difference Between ATS and SU
              On the opposite end of the spectrum, these teams have won less than 40 percent of their October games, but all have winning records ATS.

              NC State: 21% SU, 57% ATS (+36% Difference)
              Connecticut: 36% SU, 71% ATS (+35% Diff.)
              Washington St.: 29% SU, 57% ATS (+28% Diff.)
              Ole Miss: 38% SU, 63% ATS (+25% Diff.)
              Duke: 29% SU, 54% ATS (+25% Diff.)

              NC State has a miserable 3-11 October record SU, but is 8-6 ATS over this stretch. The Wolfpack have only been favored twice in this span (losing both games SU and ATS), but with a 4-0 start this season, they could be favored in three October contests (vs. BC, at ECU, vs. FSU). Connecticut is 10-4 ATS over this stretch, winning eight of its last 10 October games ATS. Over the past three seasons, Washington State is dreadful 1-9 SU, but a healthy 6-4 ATS. Last October the Cougars lost all four games, but went 3-1 ATS. Ole Miss has been favored in six of its past eight October games, going 4-4 both SU and ATS in those contests. But in 2006-07, Ole Miss was favored in just one (vs. La. Tech) of eight games, finishing 2-6 SU and 6-2 ATS. Look to play on the Rebels in their underdog role this month at Alabama, at Arkansas and likely vs. Auburn. Duke is also a perennial bottom feeder, but the Blue Devils (3-0 ATS) were one of just four schools with a perfect October ATS record last year, joining Georgia Tech (5-0), Penn State (5-0) and Oregon (4-0). The Kansas Jayhawks have the distinction of being the only winless ATS team in October 2009 (0-4).
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #22
                Friday, October 1Game Score Status Pick Amount

                Brigham Young - 8:00 PM ET Utah State +4 500 *****
                Utah State - Over 52 500 *****
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #23
                  gl bum

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Miami-Clemson should be a close game Saturday

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MIAMI HURRICANES (2-1)
                    at CLEMSON TIGERS (2-1)

                    Kickoff: Saturday, 12:00 p.m. EDT, Line: Miami -3, Total: 51

                    If history is any barometer, this ACC showdown should provide a close, dramatic football game. Clemson won last year’s contest 40-37 in overtime and the other two meetings since 2004 were each decided by a touchdown. Clemson’s Kyle Parker was the hero in the ‘09 contest, throwing for 326 yards and three scores. Miami QB Jacory Harris threw three interceptions in that loss.

                    Harris is certainly the key to a Miami offense that is only averaging 368 YPG. He has thrown six picks in the past two weeks and his career totals of 42 TD/30 INT are not very impressive for someone as highly touted as Harris is. The Hurricanes defense was stellar in last week’s 31-3 win at Pittsburgh, holding the Panthers to 232 total yards and forcing three turnovers.

                    After easy wins over North Texas and Presbyterian to start the season, Clemson came down to earth last week, blowing a 17-0 lead and losing 27-24 in overtime at Auburn. Parker had a solid game (21-35, 227 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT), but sophomore Andre Ellington was the star with 22 carries for 140 yards and a game-tying touchdown in the fourth quarter. Clemson has a plus-five turnover margin this year and has allowed just 342 passing yards in its last two games.

                    The FoxSheets like Miami to prevail on Saturday.

                    Play Against - Any team (CLEMSON) - off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. (82-39 over the last 10 seasons.) (67.8%, +39.1 units. Rating = 3*).

                    The FoxSheets also show that the Under is the way to go with a rested Clemson defense. CLEMSON is 23-8 UNDER (+14.2 Units) after a bye week since 1992. The average score was CLEMSON 23.0, OPPONENT 21.4 - (Rating = 2*).
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      NCAAF Betting: Spartans and Badgers clash

                      Is Michigan State really good this season?

                      That question gets answered Saturday when the 24th-ranked Spartans host 11th-ranked Wisconsin at 12:30 p.m. (PT) with ESPN televising.

                      The Badgers currently are 1 ½-point college football betting favorites with the ‘over/under’ at 52.

                      Both teams are 4-0 and off easy home victories against cupcake non-‘lined’ opponents. It’s the Big Ten Conference opener for each team.

                      Wisconsin rolled past Austin Peay, 70-3, scoring the first seven times its offense had the ball. It was the most points the Badgers have scored in the modern era eclipsing the 69 they scored against New Mexico State in 1962. The Badgers were 45-point favorites.

                      The Spartans whipped Northern Colorado, 45-7, as 33 ½-point home favorites. Michigan State piled up 532 yards of offense, including 201 of them on the ground.

                      The Spartans have rushed for 200 yards in all four of their games, averaging 231.5 yards on the ground. They have one of the best three-headed rushing committees in the country with Edwin Baker, Le’Veon Bell and Larry Caper.

                      Michigan State is 12-2 when running for 200 yards and 20-7 when out-rushing its opponent since 2007.

                      Wisconsin, though, will be the most physical team the Spartans have faced after defeating Northern Colorado, Notre Dame 34-31 in overtime but failing to cover a 3 ½-point home spread, Florida Atlantic 30-17 as 26-point favorites at Ford Field in Detroit and Western Michigan, 38-14, covering as 22 ½-point home ‘chalk.’

                      The Spartans are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games, including 2-2 ATS this season.

                      Top NCAAF Betting Odds at *** Global.

                      The Badgers are holding foes to 94.5 yards per game on the ground, 15th-best in the nation. Wisconsin, though, is without sophomore linebacker Chris Borland, who was the Big Ten Conference Defensive Freshman of the Year last season. He’s out of the season after undergoing shoulder surgery.

                      Wisconsin also has a strong rushing attack led by John Clay, who gained 118 yards in 11 carries against Austin Peay. The Badgers were able to rest key players, including injured wide receiver Nick Toon (turf toe).

                      Michigan State has a strong run defense, too, ranking 10th holding foes to 85.2 yards rushing. The Badgers have failed to cover in four of their last five games versus teams with a winning record.

                      One of these games was two weeks ago against then undefeated Arizona, who the Badgers nipped, 20-19, as 11 ½-point home favorites. Wisconsin also defeated UNLV, 41-21, failing to cover as 20 ½-point road favorites and San Jose State, 27-14, as 38 ½-point home ‘chalk.’

                      Lack of a pass rush is a concern for Michigan State. Wisconsin has a strong offensive line and a good quarterback in Scott Tolzien. The Spartans also are without their head coach, Mark Dantonio, who suffered a heart attack a day after Michigan State edged Notre Dame. A time table has not been set on his return.

                      Wisconsin is 7-14 lifetime in East Lansing, Michigan. The Badgers last played there two years ago and were nipped 25-24 as six-point underdogs. The Badgers beat the Spartans at home last season, 38-30, covering as two-point favorites.

                      After playing Michigan State, the Badgers are home to Minnesota and then Ohio State. Wisconsin is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 road matchups versus an opponent with a winning home mark.

                      The Spartans go on the road for the first time next week, although they’ll remain in state taking on Michigan.

                      Both teams have recent ‘over’ tendencies. The ‘over’ has cashed in seven of Wisconsin’s last 10 Big Ten contests, while the Spartans have gone ‘over’ in seven of their past nine overall games. The ‘over’ has cashed in six of the last seven head-to-head meetings.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NCAA Football Odds: Kansas at Baylor Bears

                        It's unlikely that both the Kansas Jayhawks and the Baylor Bears find themselves going to bowl games this year. That's why this college football betting affair between the two squads in Waco is all the more important on Saturday afternoon.

                        The visiting Jayhawks have had a ton of problems this year under new head coach Turner Gill. They have one stunning performance to fall back on, a 28-25 victory over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, along with one incredible defeat, a 6-3 loss to lowly North Dakota State. This is the start of a stretch of five very winnable games for Kansas, but walking away with just three wins would at least leave that hope for a bowl game.

                        After starting the season with QB Kale Pick at quarterback, the inappropriately named signal caller headed back to the bench and was replaced by freshman QB Jordan Webb. It hasn't been the greatest year in the world for Webb, but there isn't that much shame in a 61.3 completion percentage or a 5/1 TD/INT ratio, particularly for a frosh.

                        Top NCAAF Betting Odds at Bookmaker.

                        The real help has come from the running game, where James Sims has made a big difference. Sims has 53 carries for 290 yards, an average of 5.5 yards per carry. Though he isn't producing yards left and right, Webb knows that he can turn around and hand it to his tailback for a solid chunk of yardage often in a game.

                        The NCAAF defense for KU has been solid as well, holding teams to just 128.5 passing YPG, the fifth best mark in the land. All told, the Jayhawks are only conceding 302.0 YPG and 19.5 PPG, and save a loss to the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles, no one has topped 25 points against them all year.

                        That's something that QB Robert Griffin and the Bears are going to try to change Saturday afternoon. Baylor only has one loss, and there is no shame in a 45-10 defeat at the hands of the TCU Horned Frogs, particularly in Fort Worth. Aside from that, opponents have been outscored by the aggregate score of 98-22.

                        Only one TD has been scored against this defense against anyone aside from the Horned Frogs, and that took until the fourth quarter of the game against the Rice Owls last week.

                        Top NCAAF Betting Odds at Bookmaker.

                        As for the offense, there hasn't been that much work to get done. Quarterback Robert Griffin came onto the scene in 2008 and turned heads of NCAA football betting aficionados everywhere. He threw for 15 TDs against just three INTs and rushed for 13 more scores. Unfortunately, he was injured early last season, but so far in '10, he isn't disappointing.

                        Griffin has thrown for 971 yards and eight touchdowns in just four games. Though his running production is down from a freshman year in which he rumbled for 846 yards, Griffin still has 37 rushes for 157 yards and a team-high three TDs.

                        Of the 13 TDs that have been scored offensively by the Bears, the only one that didn't come from the arm or the legs of Griffin was a rushing TD by RB Jay Finley. The senior from Corsicana, Texas isn't called on to do much, but he is averaging 5.6 YPC on his 43 carries with that one TD.

                        The home team has won seven straight in this series dating back to 1989, but these Big XII counterparts haven't met on the college gridiron since 2007. That day, KU pasted the Bears 58-10 in the most lopsided final score in the history of these programs.

                        Kansas has covered four out of five dating back to 1999, but is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight games played in conference and 3-10 ATS in its last 13 overall.

                        The oddsmakers are showing confidence in Baylor, putting up a college football spread of minus 9. The 'total' is on the board right now at 51 ½.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          College Football Odds: Texas, Oklahoma in Big D

                          The Big 12 spotlight will shine on the Red River Rivalry as Texas tries to turn things around with a big win over Oklahoma on Saturday.

                          Winning in Dallas doesn’t guarantee a free pass to the championship, but it is a major step. The winner of this rivalry has represented the Big 12 South in 10 of the past 14 title games.

                          But one has to wonder whether either the Longhorns or the Sooners are championship caliber teams.

                          Early bird bettors, reacting to Texas’ blowout loss to UCLA last week in Austin, have swallowed the Oklahoma Kool-Aid. Most offshore books opened the Sooners as two-point NCAAF spread favorites, and it didn’t take long for that number to jump to four.

                          However, OU has been far from impressive in its first four games (4-0 SU, 1-3 ATS). The Sooners had one really good half against Florida State, but they’ve been extremely shaky in the other three weeks and puzzlingly inconsistent.

                          Oklahoma is having trouble eliminating the big play. The Longhorns are having trouble making it.

                          Top NCAAF Betting Odds at Sportsinteraction.

                          Texas (3-1, 1-3) ranks 76th offensively in yards per game and that’s against defenses such as Rice, Wyoming, Texas Tech and UCLA. None of those are higher than 67th in the FBS in yards allowed.

                          The Sooners have struggled to stop the run and are among the most penalized teams in the country (13 for 113 yards versus Cincinnati last week).

                          However, the Longhorns may not have the horses to take advantage. They have struggled to run the ball, and have yet to find consistency in the passing game. Texas hasn’t hit the 400-yard mark as of yet, averaging 357 yards per game.

                          Coach Mack Brown hoped to build a running game around power back Cody Johnson and returning leading rusher Tre’ Newton. But Johnson injured his ankle on his second carry and has yet to truly recover, and Newton suffered a hip-pointer that slowed his progress.

                          Texas quarterback Garrett Gilbert has tossed four interceptions while throwing only four touchdown passes and the Horns’ have also fumbled it away six times.

                          OU quarterback Landry Jones ranks fifth in the FBS with 1,221 passing yards, picking apart defenses for more than 300 yards per game. But the Longhorns’ defense is allowing only 128.8 passing yards per game en route to ranking second in the FBS in total yards allowed per game (227.8).

                          Top NCAAF Betting Odds at Sportsinteraction.

                          The Texas defense is terrific at getting off the field, allowing teams to convert their third down attempts just 25.9 percent of the time, while teams are converting 40.9 percent of their chances on the Sooners defense.

                          The Red River Rivalry winner has won by double-digits in 10 of the last 12 meetings and the Longhorns’ 16-13 victory last season was the closest finish since 1997.

                          The Sooners are ranked No. 8 and that’s not a good omen for Texas. The Longhorns have failed to cash 10 of their last 13 on the road or at a neutral site against Top 10 teams and they are 5-14-1 ATS under the same circumstances against ranked teams.

                          However, Texas has cashed 15 of its last 23 off a SU loss and seven of 11 as single-digit dogs and the Longhorns are 7-0 ATS off a double-digit home loss.

                          OU is 10-1 ATS as home or neutral favorites of 10 points or less. The Sooners have also ‘covered’ eight of nine off a SU win over a non-conference opponent.

                          Texas is 4-0-1 ATS in the past five Red Rivalry showdowns and the dog is 3-0-1 in the past four tussles
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Star again thanks for all the info and good luck
                            jt4545


                            Fat Tuesday's - Home

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Last week i had my PRO Game of the Day with Pittsburgh Steelers....Today i have my COLLEGE Game of the Day......My Selection is in the Pac 10 and take the UCLA Bruins to roll over the Cougars from Washington St. All other star rated plays are opinions.....along with the non star rated plays.


                              Evening games will be posted later in the day.

                              Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
                              10/01/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
                              Totals 1-1-0 50.00% -50

                              Saturday, October 2Game Score Status Pick Amount

                              UL Monroe - 12:00 PM ET Auburn -35 500
                              Auburn -

                              Vanderbilt - 12:00 PM ET Vanderbilt +7.5 500
                              Connecticut -

                              Northwestern - 12:00 PM ET Minnesota +5.5 500
                              Minnesota -

                              Kentucky - 12:00 PM ET Kentucky +3 500
                              Mississippi - Under 58 500

                              Miami - 12:00 PM ET Miami -3 500 *****
                              Clemson - Under 48 500

                              Kansas - 12:00 PM ET Baylor -9.5 500
                              Baylor - Under 51.5 500

                              Florida State - 12:00 PM ET Florida State -6.5 500 *****
                              Virginia -

                              Ohio State - 12:00 PM ET Ohio State -16.5 500
                              Illinois - Under 50.5 500

                              Ohio - 12:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan +10 500
                              Eastern Michigan -

                              Temple - 12:00 PM ET Army +6 500 *****
                              Army - Under 40.5 500

                              Kent State - 1:00 PM ET Kent State -3 500
                              Miami (Ohio) - Over 44.5 500

                              Tulane - 2:00 PM ET Tulane +17.5 500
                              Rutgers -

                              Idaho - 2:00 PM ET Western Michigan +3.5 500
                              Western Michigan -

                              Texas Christian - 2:00 PM ET Colorado State +33.5 500
                              Colorado State - Over 54 500

                              Navy - 2:30 PM ET Air Force -9.5 500 *****
                              Air Force - Under 48.5 500

                              Washington State - 3:30 PM ET UCLA -24 500 POD
                              UCLA -

                              Michigan - 3:30 PM ET Michigan -10 500
                              Indiana - Over 64 500

                              Wisconsin - 3:30 PM ET Wisconsin -1.5 500
                              Michigan State -

                              Virginia Tech - 3:30 PM ET North Carolina State +3.5 500 *****
                              North Carolina State - Over 52 500

                              East Carolina - 3:30 PM ET East Carolina +14 500
                              North Carolina

                              Buffalo - 3:30 PM ET Bowling Green -3 500
                              Bowling Green -

                              Texas - 3:30 PM ET Oklahoma -3.5 500 *****
                              Oklahoma -

                              Florida International - 3:30 PM ET Florida International +17.5 500
                              Pittsburgh -

                              Ball State - 3:30 PM ET Central Michigan -19.5 500
                              Central Michigan -

                              Tennessee - 3:30 PM ET Tennessee +17 500
                              Louisiana State - Over 44 500

                              Duke - 6:00 PM ET Maryland -8.5 500
                              Maryland - Over 62 500

                              Northern Illinois - 6:00 PM ET Akron +13.5 500
                              Akron - Over 46.5 500

                              Texas El Paso - 6:00 PM ET New Mexico +15.5 500
                              New Mexico -

                              Arizona State - 6:30 PM ET Oregon State -3.5 500 *****
                              Oregon State - Over 54 500


                              Back later with evening selections.....GOOD LUCK !
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                good luck today, Bum!

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X