The Bum's NFL Week 3 (9/26 - 9/27) BEST BETS !

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Steelers look to start 3-0 ATS with Batch at QB

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PITTSBURGH STEELERS (2-0)
at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (2-0)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT, Line: Pittsburgh -3, Total: 33

Two unlikely unbeatens try to leave Tampa with 3-0 records on Sunday. The Steelers have not scored an offensive touchdown in regulation but their opportunistic defense has already forced eight turnovers, including seven in last week’s win at Tennessee. Tampa Bay has used a similar aggressive defense to force six turnovers and hold its opponents to 21 total points in two wins over Cleveland and Carolina.

With Ben Roethlisberger still suspended, injuries to Dennis Dixon and Byron Leftwich have forced the Steelers to use their fourth-best quarterback Charlie Batch on Sunday. Batch is 3-1 SU and ATS in four career starts for Pittsburgh, but he had a dismal performance last week (5-for-11 for 25 yards with two fumbles). The Steelers will once again rely on the legs of Rashard Mendenhall to move the football. Mendenhall rumbled for 120 yards Week 1 against Atlanta, but was held to 69 yards on 23 carries at Tennessee. WR Hines Ward has been hobbled by a calf injury and only had one catch against the Titans, but he is expected to play this Sunday.

Tampa Bay ranks 24th in the NFL with 280.5 YPG, and the Bucs offense will be less than 100 percent due to some key injuries. RB Cadillac Williams is nursing a hamstring injury, backup RB Kareem Huggins missed last week’s game due to a groin injury and TE Kellen Winslow has missed practice time this week because of a knee injury. All three are expected to play, but that may not be enough for QB Josh Freeman to gain yardage against a stellar Pittsburgh defense that has allowed just 266.5 YPG and 20 total points this year.

These teams have met just three times in the past 10 years (2001, 2002, 2006) but all three have been similar results with the Steelers going 3-0 SU, ATS and UNDER. But this FoxSheets trend shows that Pittsburgh’s turnover luck is not likely to hold up, making Tampa Bay the pick for Sunday:

Play Against - Favorites (PITTSBURGH) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers. (103-59 since 1983.) (63.6%, +38.1 units. Rating = 2*).

The FoxSheets also like the Under here:

TAMPA BAY is 48-23 UNDER (+22.7 Units) after a win by 10 or more points since 1992. The average score was TAMPA BAY 18.6, OPPONENT 16.5 - (Rating = 2*).

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NFL Odds: NFL Week 3 betting trends

The New York Jets grabbed the attention of the NFL last Sunday without a TV show or brash behavior when they dominated the New England Patriots, despite several bumps and bruises along the way.

The Jets won’t have much time to celebrate when they hit the road for the first time this season Sunday night to face unbeaten Miami (2-0 straight up and against the NFL spread), looking to snap a three-game series losing skid, both SU and ATS.

New York (1-1 SU&ATS) had won eight of 10 versus the Dolphins and cashed at a 9-1-1 clip until coming up short in both meetings last year, including a 31-27 setback in its last visit as three-point favorites.

Miami returns to Sun Life Stadium, following a pair of close wins on the road against Buffalo and Minnesota.

The trends and angles certainly favor the Jets. They have ‘covered’ at a 16-8-1 clip as division road dogs and sport a 14-5 spread edge in the Sunshine State. New York has also grabbed the green at a 10-2-1 rate in its past 13 road openers.

The Dolphins are 19-28 ATS after winning SU as dogs and 4-12 ATS at home after a SU and ATS win.

Miami has ended on the low side in 11 of its past 14 home openers and in 21 of 31 at Sun Life Stadium in September. The Jets have strayed ‘under’ at a 22-11-1 pace after a SU win of seven points or more.

Trends and angles for the remainder of the Week 3 schedule appear below.

TITANS (1-1, 1-1) at GIANTS (1-1, 1-1)
The New York Giants have rebounded to cash seven of their last eight off a SU loss in September. However, the Tennessee Titans have been worth a look as dogs (19-10), especially against the NFC (17-5-1 ATS).

Tennessee has ended on the down side in 10 of its last 11 on turf. The Titans have topped the ‘total’ at a 36-15-1 pace in non-conference games and New York has followed suit at a 21-13-1 rate as non-conference favorites.

BILLS (0-2, 0-2) at PATRIOTS (1-1, 1-1)
New England has won 13 straight versus Buffalo and cashed in six of the last seven division duels. The Patriots are 9-3-1 ATS at home against the Bills. Buffalo has managed to cash 11 of its last 16 as division dogs on the road.

The ‘under’ is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings. New England has slipped below the number in 19 of 26 as division home favorites and the Bills have dipped ‘under’ in 15 of 22 as division road pups.

BROWNS (0-2, 0-2) at RAVENS (1-1, 1-1)
Baltimore outscored Cleveland 50-3 in two meetings last season. The Browns have cashed five of their last nine against the Ravens and the dog is 10-6.

STEELERS (2-0, 2-0) at BUCCANEERS (2-0, 2-0)
The crippled Pittsburgh Steelers and the upstart Tampa Bay Buccaneers provide the only matchup between unbeatens this Sunday. The Steelers are just 9-21-1 as non-division road favorites, while the Bucs have cashed at a 16-10-1 pace as home dogs and at a 35-23-3 clip at Raymond James Stadium versus non-division foes.

Tampa Bay has slipped ‘under’ in six of its last seven as home dogs and in 19 of 26 as short-enders of three points or less.

BENGALS (1-1, 1-1) at PANTHERS (0-2, 0-2)
Cincinnati is 26-19-1 ATS away from home. Carolina has cashed at a 30-16-1 rate off a double-digit loss.

The Bengals have bounced ‘over’ in six of nine as favorites of 3 ½-points or less and at a 37-18-1 pace after winning SU as underdogs.

FALCONS (1-1, 1-1) at SAINTS (1-0, 1-0 prior to Monday)
Atlanta got the money in its last visit as 11-point dogs while losing 35-27. The home team is 15-23 ATS in the past 38 series scuffles. New Orleans has dropped 15 of its last 18 as division home favorites and the Saints are 21-30-1 ATS at the Superdome overall.

The Falcons are 18-9 ATS in the series when the ‘total’ is 40 or more.

49ERS (0-1, 0-1 prior to Monday) at CHIEFS (2-0, 2-0)
Kansas City has scuffled at home outside its division, failing to cash at a 10-4-1 clip. The Chiefs have ‘covered’ 12 of 15 after a win by three points or less and they are 20-9-1 ATS at Arrowhead Stadium off a SU and ATS victory. San Francisco has come up short in six of its last seven as road favorites while Kansas City is 42-21-1 as home dogs.

LIONS (0-2, 2-0) at VIKINGS (0-2, 0-2)
Minnesota hasn’t lost three straight since 2007 and that was also the last time Detroit cashed three in a row. The Vikings have won five straight and 16 of their last 17 against the Lions, though the dog is 12-9-1 in the last 22 meetings. Minnesota is 6-17 as favorites of 7 ½-points or more and 18-35 ATS after losing SU as favorites.

The ‘under’ has cashed in 11 of the last 16 meetings at **** of America Field. Detroit has jumped the number at a 19-11-1 rate as double-digit dogs and the Vikings have zipped ‘over’ in 28 of 42 chances after losing SU and ATS.

COWBOYS (0-2, 0-2) at TEXANS (2-0, 2-0)
Dallas looks to avoid its first three-game slide since 2004. Houston looks to extend a six-game win streak dating back to 2009. The Cowboys have failed to ‘cover’ 19 of their last 26 on the road against AFC opposition.

Dallas has ended on the high side in 20 of 28 as single-digit dogs and in 19 of 29 on the road versus a non-division foe. The Texans have tipped ‘over’ at a 7-4-1 pace versus NFC rivals.

REDSKINS (1-1, 1-1) at RAMS (0-21, 1-1)
Washington has floundered at an 11-3-2 clip in its first role as favorites. St. Louis will be looking to avenge a 9-7 loss to the Skins last season as 9 ½-point road dogs.

The Rams have flown ‘over’ in eight of 13 as non-division home dogs. The Redskins have headed in the opposite direction at a 10-4-1 rate as road favorites of 3 ½-points or less.

EAGLES (1-1, 0-2) at JAGUARS (1-1, 1-1)
Jacksonville has ‘covered’ 17 of 25 after losing by 14 points or more. The Jaguars have also cashed 19 of 29 at home versus NFC opponents. Philadelphia is 0-7 as favorites off a SU win but an ATS loss.

The Eagles have ended on the down side in 22 of 30 games after scoring 28 points or more and in 14 of 20 on the road after allowing 28 points or more. Conversely, Jacksonville has topped the ‘total’ in 22 of 36 as single-digit dogs.

COLTS (1-1, 1-1) at BRONCOS (1-1, 1-1)
Indianapolis is 15-5 as road favorites in September and 30-17-2 on the road versus non-division foes. Denver has come away with the cash in 11 of its last dozen games as non-division home dogs of more than three points.

CHARGERS (1-1, 1-1) at SEAHAWKS (1-1, 1-1)
San Diego has passed 25 of its last 35 non-conference road tests ATS and the Chargers are 32-15-1 ATS after winning by 15 points or more. Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 home games against AFC competition. The Seahawks have also ‘covered’ at a 16-9-1 pace as dogs after losing SU and ATS.

San Diego has blown ‘over’ in seven of 10 as non-division road ‘chalk’ and at a 25-16-1 pace as non-conference favorites.

RAIDERS 91-1, 0-2) at CARDINALS (1-1, 1-1)
Arizona has cashed 17 of 26 as home favorites after a SU loss and seven of eight as favorites off a double-digit ATS loss. Oakland is 0-7 ATS as non-conference dogs of less than 10.

The Raiders have slipped below the limit in 13 of 16 non-conference showdowns. However, the Cardinals have zipped ‘over’ in 12 of 18 as favorites versus the AFC.

PACKERS (2-0, 2-0) at BEARS (2-0, 2-0)
The underdog has won five of six Monday night meetings between these two bitter division rivals. Green Bay swept the season series last year, winning 21-15 at home as 4 ½-point favorites and 21-14 in the Windy City as four-point choices. The Bears are just 5-13 ATS at home versus the Packers.

The ‘over’ is 23-15 in the past 38 clashes and the teams have gone above the limit in five of six Monday night meetings. The Packers have skipped ‘over’ in 17 of 25 as road favorites of 3 ½-points or less.

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NFL Betting: Panic time in Dallas?

It is officially panic time in Dallas, as the Cowboys have stumbled out of the gate with a 0-2 start after talking about a Super Bowl title during the NFL betting preseason.

The Houston Texans are off to a 2-0 start, and their quest for a first-ever playoff appearance could not be going better. The Texans will host the Cowboys on Sunday in the biggest and most important inter-conference matchup of the young season. Be sure and check *********.com for the line and total.

The Dallas Cowboys' struggles on offense date back to their very first preseason game. During the exhibition season their problems were written off and excused for being due to a "vanilla" offense and that there was to be no worries because it was "just preseason."

But after two regular NFL football season games, there are no more excuses to be offered and Dallas is under intense pressure to get its act together. Although Dallas ranks fourth in total offense for yardage, it ranks just 26th in points scored. The big problem is a ground game that ranks 29th in the league.

Quarterback Tony Romo has completed 66 percent of his passes but has just two touchdown throws and has two interceptions. Romo is yet to find a bona fide breakaway threat in his receiving corps and much of his passing has been of the nickel and dime variety.

Top NFL Betting Odds at Be Online.

During their 27-20 loss to Chicago last week as seven-point home favorites, the Cowboys held a 23-14 first down advantage and out-gained the Bears 410-308. However, the Cowboys blew the game with three turnovers.

The Houston Texans rallied from a 27-10 deficit with less than four minutes to go in the third quarter to score a thrilling 30-27 overtime win at Washington last week to remain unbeaten.

Quarterback Matt Schaub lit up the Redskins for 497 yards and three touchdowns, while Andre Johnson caught 12 passes for 158 yards and a score.

Houston ranks first in total offense, but ranks 31st defensively. The Texans have covered the NFL football betting spread in both of their games this year, with both going ‘over' the total.

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NFL Odds: SIA examines four NFL games

Divisional matchups dominate the NFL betting spread this weekend and Sports Interaction betting analyst Al Dannity is here to analyze four of the best.
No team has ever won the NFC South two years running, but are you going to bet against the New Orleans Saints doing it in 2010? New Orleans kicks off NFC South play with a home game against Atlanta. The Falcons had their wings clipped in their first game at Pittsburgh but soared mightily last Sunday against Arizona in a 41-7 beat-down.

Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan will need to be on his guard and make no mistakes to keep his team in contention this weekend. The Saints' defense knows how to force turnovers and was rampant against the 49ers on Monday night. Drew Brees and the New Orleans offense have yet to hit top gear, but that's going to change on Sunday.

Bet on New Orleans as a four-point favorite to win big with Sports Interaction.

Top NFL Betting Action at Bet Online.

The Miami Dolphins are the surprise leaders of the AFC East thanks to a 2-0 start to the season. The Dolphins welcome the Jets to Miami on Sunday Night. Expect plenty of defense in this game as New York and Miami have combined to concede just 44 points between them in the first two weeks of the season.

I expect Mark Sanchez will have a quieter night a week after putting in his career-best performance against the Patriots. We're in for another defensive struggle this weekend and expect a low-scoring encounter, favoring the home team.

Bet on the Miami Dolphins to win as 1 ½-point favorites with Sports Interaction.
The Chicago Bears are tied atop the NFC North with 2-0 record. This Sunday they meet the other 2-0 team in their division, the Green Bay Packers. The Bears needed some luck to overcome the Lions and managed to beat Dallas despite giving up 374 passing yards. Chicago will need to raise its game if it is to come out on top for a third week running.

The Packers were impressive against the Eagles and had no difficulty disposing of the Bills. Green Bay is the team to beat in this division and possibly the whole NFC. I like the Packers to move to 3-0 this weekend.

Bet on Green Bay as a three-point favorite to win big with Sports Interaction.

Finally we come to the AFC North where the Ravens host the Browns. Baltimore's offense has lacked a killer instinct so far this season. With so much talent that can only last so long. Cleveland is the perfect opponent for Joe Flacco and friends to open up their game and run up a big score.

Bet on the Baltimore Ravens as 10 ½-point favorites to win big with Sports Interaction.

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NFL Odds: Broncos have tough task

This has been a very difficult week for the Denver Broncos as they prepare for Sunday's game against the Indianapolis Colts at Invesco Field. The Broncos have been coping with the shock of receiver Kenny McKinley's apparent suicide.
Making things even more difficult for coach Josh McDaniels is the fact his team will be without its No. 1 guy to pressure Peyton Manning and possibly it's best cover guys to defend Reggie Wayne.

The Broncos have to slow down Manning, who has passed for 688 yards and six touchdowns so far this season. It will be much tougher if starting corners Champ Bailey and Andre Goodman are unable to play because of injuries.

Top NFL Betting Action at 5Dimes.com

Bailey, a nine-time Pro Bowler, was on crutches after last Sunday's 31-14 win over Seattle due to a foot problem, while Goodman's status in uncertain as he deals with a thigh injury. The Broncos could be playing a nickel cornerback on Wayne because of those injuries, which just isn't fair.

Denver picked off three Manning passes during the most recent meeting last Dec. 13. However, he threw for four touchdowns in the 28-16 victory and has totaled 19 touchdown passes in his last five games against the Broncos (all victories), including two in the playoffs.

Denver will get a boost with the return of the entire right side of its offensive line. Both right guard Chris Kuper (ankle, knee) and right tackle Ryan Harris (ankle) practiced this week, and barring any issues, are on track to play.

The timing couldn't be better considering the Broncos rushed 63 times for just 154 yards (a 2.4 average) and didn't have a single ground gain longer than 17 yards while splitting their first two games.

Denver quarterback Kyle Orton has a 103.9 passer rating, but has been sacked four times while operating behind a young offensive line.

After yielding 257 yards rushing in its season opening loss to Houston, the Indianapolis defense limited the New York Giants to 120 yards on 25 total carries. That improvement in the run defense must continue. The Colts have a history of allowing Denver to run the betting football with some effectiveness.

Indianapolis and Denver have played each other in seven of the past nine regular seasons, with the Colts winning five. One of their losses was in a game where Manning only played one series, throwing two passes.

Top NFL Betting Action at 5Dimes.com

Indianapolis has cashed six of its last seven as favorites of between 3 ½ and 10-points and six of seven as road ‘chalk' overall.

The Broncos have ‘covered' at a 9-3-1 clip as home short-enders, but they are just 9-21-1 ATS at Invesco Field in their last 31 chances.

Denver has topped the ‘total' in its last seven trips to the post. However, the Broncos have strayed ‘under' at a 5-0-1 rate as home dogs and in 11 of 15 in the Mile High City overall.

The Colts have jumped the number in six of their past seven versus conference competition.

Most offshore books opened Indianapolis as

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NFL Odds: Steelers and Bucs Have Lowest 'Total' of 2010

The problem for the Steelers is that they are already on their fourth quarterback of the season. We all know that QB Ben Roethlisberger will be set to start in Week 6 when he returns from his suspension. Quarterback Byron Leftwich probably would have started on Opening Day had he not gotten injured at the end of the preseason. His replacement, QB Dennis Dixon suffered a knee injury last week that will keep him out of the lineup for at least a month. Now, it'll be up to QB Charlie Batch, a long-time backup in the NFL season to lead the troops in black and gold on offense.

Last week in roughly a half of football, Batch only threw for 25 yards, but it is becoming more and more clear that the Steelers are just content to run the football three times and punt the pigskin if need be. Running Back Rashard Mendenhall already has 45 carries on the season for 189 yards, and Pittsburgh has accounted for an average of 32.0 rushes against 21.5 passes per game.



Top NFL Betting Odds at Betonline.

This is bad news for a team that struggled last year to stop the run and was rated dead last in the league. The Steelers make no bones about it that they are running right up the middle quite often, meaning there will be a ton of pressure on No. 3 overall pick in the NFL Draft, DT Gerald McCoy to step his game up and control Mendenhall and the Pittsburgh offense.



The Steelers enter this game at 2-0 SU and ATS in spite of the fact that they rank No. 31 in the NFL in total offense (240.5 YPG) and just No. 21 in scoring (17.0 PPG).



However, as Head Coach Mike Tomlin should know, this wasn't a team built on its offense. Play good defense, create turnovers, and make some offense through your defense. It seems as though the worse the offense gets, the better the defense is for Pittsburgh. The team only forced one turnover but didn't allow the Atlanta Falcons into the end zone once in a Week 1 victory. In Week 2, with the offense held to just 127 total yards on the day, the 'D' came through with a phenomenal performance. The Tennessee Titans turned the ball over a whopping seven times on the day, as the men in black and gold proved once again that they have a frightening defense.



Top NFL Betting Odds at Betonline.

Second year QB Josh Freeman has to be wondering if his life insurance policy has been paid up coming into this game. The Kansas State product has completed just 55.8 percent of his passes for 360 yards, but his 4/1 TD/INT ratio is clearly showing signs of maturation.



The Bucs have run RB Cadillac Williams into the ground this year, rushing him 49 times for 126 yards. That 2.6 YPC average could only go down on Sunday, as Pittsburgh is coming off of holding RB Chris Johnson to less than 40 yards after he had a dozen straight games with at least 100.

The Buccaneers have only scored four offensive touchdowns in two games, all of which have come off of Freeman's arm.



The Steelers have both won and covered three straight in this series, including a 20-3 triumph in Steeltown in 2006. The last time Pittsburgh was beaten in Tampa Bay was in 1998. Four straight have failed to reach the 'total' between these squads.



Still, the oddsmakers have lined the Steelers at minus one on the day, while the 'total' is the lowest posted all NFL season long at just 33.

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NFL Betting Preview: Angry Pats Could Cripple Bumbling Bills

It is clear that the Bills really don't have a great direction for their franchise right now. Head Coach Chan Gailey is still in search of his first win in Buffalo, and in order to do so, he is changing starting quarterbacks from Trent Edwards to Ryan Fitzpatrick.

The first question that comes to our mind is simply, "Why???"

Last year, Fitzpatrick threw 10 INTs against just nine TD passes and averaged just 142.2 YPG. For his career, the Harvard graduate will be making his 29th appearance. So far in his previous 28 outings, he is completing just 57.8 percent of his passes for 4,104 yards and 21 scores against 27 picks. He has also lost eight fumbles and has been sacked a whopping 68 times. Fitzpatrick's QB rating of 67.7 leaves plenty to be desired as well.

Needless to say, Fitzpatrick is walking into a nightmare position right now. He is taking over an offense that is averaging just 176.0 YPG through two weeks and only has two TDs to speak of on the year.

Top NFL Betting Odds at Betonline.



Getting WR Lee Evans and RB CJ Spiller more involved in the offense is going to be paramount for the Bills to stand any chance on Sunday. Evans only has four catches on the season, while Spiller has just eight grabs and eight carries for a total of 40 yards.

The defense hasn't exactly been stellar either, as Buffalo only has three sacks and two forced turnovers on the season. For a team that led the NFL season for the majority of last year in INTs, the secondary has yet to intercept an opposing pass on the season.

Enter the Patriots, who have to be piping mad following that 28-14 loss at New Meadowlands Stadium to the New York Jets last week.

Even though the passing game is only averaging 248.5 YPG this year, QB Tom Brady knows that he could easily go off for 350-400 yards in this game if he wants to. The rushing game has been depleted with the loss of RB Kevin Faulk for the season with an ACL tear, which might prompt Belichick to turn his passing attack loose in what could be a real romp.

Sure, Brady already has some very familiar targets to throw the pigskin to like WR Wes Welker (14 catches, 102 yards, 3 TDs in 2010) and WR Randy Moss (7 catches, 97 yards, 1 TD in 2010), but the emergence of rookie TE Aaron Hernandez is going to make a huge different. Hernandez, a former Florida Gator, caught six passes for 101 yards last week and is clearly going to be a focal point for the Brady Bunch again this weekend.

Top NFL Betting Odds at Betonline.

The only real questions for the Pats are coming defensively. The Cincinnati Bengals and New York Jets both put up very solid numbers against this 'D', something that has to scare the wits out of Belichick. His offense might be capable of putting up 30+ points on anyone in the league, but having to do so isn't something that he is interested in.

The defense for the Pats is allowing 270.5 passing YPG and 111.5 rushing YPG, both numbers of which rank them in the bottom half of the NFL.

Still, the oddsmakers are showing plenty of faith in New England in this game, and so are NFL betting fanatics. At 5Dimes Sportsbook, this line opened at the Pats minus 13 and has since risen to a whopping 15.5. The 'total' has been set at 42.5.

New England is 6-1 ATS over its last seven meetings with the Bills, outscoring them 197-67 in that stretch.

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NFL Odds: Leaky defenses in Jacksonville

Two of pro football's leakiest defenses meet in an intriguing inter-conference matchup Sunday afternoon when the Philadelphia Eagles travel to EverBank Field in Jacksonville to meet the Jaguars. Both clubs have an eye toward finishing September on top of their respective divisions.

The Jaguars (1-1) are looking to dust themselves off after being throttled by San Diego last week, 38-13. Completely unable to get any pressure on Philip Rivers, the Chargers' passing game had its way with a beleaguered Jacksonville secondary.

The situation only gets worse for the Jaguars as they welcome the 1-1 Eagles and their new starting QB, Michael Vick. With the Jags playing primarily a cover 1 (corners in straight man and only one safety up top), Vick's legs may do more damage than his arm.

Easy Street Sports opened Philadelphia as a three-point road favorite, with a 'total' of 39. Until last week's 35-32 win in Detroit, Philadelphia had done well as road chalk, covering the last three times in that role



If the Eagles are to get that trend back on track, they'll need to sort out a defense which is dead last in points yielded. That defense allowed a Shaun Hill-led Lions team to march up and down the field in last week's game.

Still, all trends favor Philadelphia. The Jags are an abysmal 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games and 4-13 at home. With QB Luke McCown out for the year, any hope of reversing these trends rest on the shoulders of David Garrard, fresh off a four interception day in San Diego.

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Total Talk - Week 3

Week 2 Recap
It took a couple weeks, but gamblers finally saw some points put up last weekend. After watching the ‘under’ go 10-4-2 in Week 1, the ‘over’ produced a 9-7 mark in Week 2. Eight teams busted the 30-point mark and Atlanta even posted a 41-point effort over Arizona. On the season, the 'under' owns a 17-13-2 (57%) ledger.

Even though we had some clubs light it up, we do have a handful of teams that haven’t shown any rhythm at all. The most surprising squad is Minnesota, who has managed to score 19 points in two weeks of play after averaging 29.4 points per game last season. While most would expect the Vikings to show up, perhaps as early as this week against Detroit, there are other teams that don’t see to have as much potential. A few that come to mind are Buffalo (8.5 PPG), St. Louis (13.5 PPG) and Carolina (12.5 PPG).

Up, Up and Away…

After two weeks we’ve seen six games with totals of 45 points or more and the ‘over/under’ has held steady at 3-3 in these instances. In Week 3, we have four contests with some healthy numbers and a few of them could have you scratching your head. Let’s take a closer look.

Atlanta at New Orleans (49.5): Four of the last five in this series has gone ‘over’ the number and we mentioned above that Atlanta put up 41 last week. However, the Saints’ offense hasn’t exactly been clicking on all cylinders, just yet. Games in domes have a tendency of seeing the scoreboard get lit up, but a couple field goals instead of touchdowns could be the difference here.

Dallas at Houston (47): The Texans have watched the ‘over’ cash in both of their first two games as the team scored 34 and 30 points behind an offense that can run or pass the ball effectively. Also, Houston’s defense isn’t great, especially against the pass, which is why we’ve witnessed two shootouts. Dallas’ attack has potential but it hasn’t show up yet, averaging 13.5 PPG in its two losses. Most would expect the Cowboys to attack a Texans’ secondary that is giving up 411 YPG through the air. Whether or not you have faith in Dallas QB Tony Romo could come down to which way you side with the total as well.

Indianapolis at Denver (48): You know Peyton Manning and the Colts should get four to six scores, whether those are touchdowns are field goals will depend how efficient the offense is running on Sunday. The Broncos have been great at moving the chains so far, but that also makes the clock run too. Indy is known to put together those seven-minute drives as well, which can be ‘over’ killers if you don’t get sixes on the scoreboard. If you look at the history between these two, it’s all about shootouts as the last six regular season encounters have gone ‘over’ the number.

Green Bay at Chicago: (See below)

Head-to-Head Under Looks?

--The Patriots and Bills have watched three of the last four go ‘under’

-- Cleveland scored three points against Baltimore last year in two games, both went ‘under’

-- The Vikings and Lions have seen the ‘under’ go 4-0 in the previous four encounters

Under the Lights

Gamblers playing the ‘over’ on this week’s SNF and MNF contests caught some luck in Week 2, while ‘under’ bettors watched ripped up their tickets in disgust.

Last Sunday, the Colts led the Giants 24-0 at the break, so it’s fair to say the game was on pace for the closing number of 48. The two teams exchanged touchdowns in the third but you needed 11 in the fourth to win, but the game was out of hand (38-7). With less than two minutes left and trying to run out the clock, the Colts fumbled in their own territory. Sure enough, New York connected on a 31-yard touchdown pass on the ensuing play and the final closed at 38-14, which cashed ‘over’ tickets.

One night later, the Saints led the 49ers 9-7 at the half in what looked like your typical low-scoring slugfest. Similar to the SNF affair, New Orleans and San Francisco both put up touchdowns in the third quarter. In the final 15 minutes, the Saints built a 22-14 lead on a pair of field goals, one coming after the 49ers muffed a punt deep in their territory. The 49ers didn’t go away and marched down the field to not only score a touchdown, but convert the 2-point play as well. Unfortunately, they scored too quickly as New Orleans capped off the night with a game-winning field goal and 25-22 victory. The closing number was 45 and ‘over’ players raised their arms again.

This week, the SNF battle features the Jets and Dolphins battling in Miami and the oddsmakers are expecting a divisional defensive battle. The total is hovering around 35 points and it seems fair considering how good the Dolphins’ defense (10 PPG) has played so far, plus the offense has only scored two touchdowns in two games. New York erupted for 28 points last week albeit against a New England defense that is suspect. And the Jets’ defense held the Pats to 14 points and the Ravens to 10. Despite an expected low-scoring affair, four of the last six in this series has gone ‘over’ the number including both contests last year (31-27, 30-25).

Another divisional battle takes place on MNF, when Chicago hosts Green Bay and the total (46) seems a bit high when you look at the past encounters. The last four battles have watched the ‘under’ go 4-0 and neither of the two games last season (21-14, 21-15) threatened the closing number. This number is based more on the Packers’ offense, which has looked good (27, 24) in their two games. And even though the Bears have put up 19 and 27 in their first two outings, the attack doesn’t seem as consistent as Green Bay’s juggernaut.

[StarDust Bum]

Week 2 Recap
It took a couple weeks, but gamblers finally saw some points put up last weekend. After watching the ‘under’ go 10-4-2 in Week 1, the ‘over’ produced a 9-7 mark in Week 2. Eight teams busted the 30-point mark and Atlanta even posted a 41-point effort over Arizona. On the season, the 'under' owns a 17-13-2 (57%) ledger.

Even though we had some clubs light it up, we do have a handful of teams that haven’t shown any rhythm at all. The most surprising squad is Minnesota, who has managed to score 19 points in two weeks of play after averaging 29.4 points per game last season. While most would expect the Vikings to show up, perhaps as early as this week against Detroit, there are other teams that don’t see to have as much potential. A few that come to mind are Buffalo (8.5 PPG), St. Louis (13.5 PPG) and Carolina (12.5 PPG).

Up, Up and Away…

After two weeks we’ve seen six games with totals of 45 points or more and the ‘over/under’ has held steady at 3-3 in these instances. In Week 3, we have four contests with some healthy numbers and a few of them could have you scratching your head. Let’s take a closer look.

Atlanta at New Orleans (49.5): Four of the last five in this series has gone ‘over’ the number and we mentioned above that Atlanta put up 41 last week. However, the Saints’ offense hasn’t exactly been clicking on all cylinders, just yet. Games in domes have a tendency of seeing the scoreboard get lit up, but a couple field goals instead of touchdowns could be the difference here.

Dallas at Houston (47): The Texans have watched the ‘over’ cash in both of their first two games as the team scored 34 and 30 points behind an offense that can run or pass the ball effectively. Also, Houston’s defense isn’t great, especially against the pass, which is why we’ve witnessed two shootouts. Dallas’ attack has potential but it hasn’t show up yet, averaging 13.5 PPG in its two losses. Most would expect the Cowboys to attack a Texans’ secondary that is giving up 411 YPG through the air. Whether or not you have faith in Dallas QB Tony Romo could come down to which way you side with the total as well.

Indianapolis at Denver (48): You know Peyton Manning and the Colts should get four to six scores, whether those are touchdowns are field goals will depend how efficient the offense is running on Sunday. The Broncos have been great at moving the chains so far, but that also makes the clock run too. Indy is known to put together those seven-minute drives as well, which can be ‘over’ killers if you don’t get sixes on the scoreboard. If you look at the history between these two, it’s all about shootouts as the last six regular season encounters have gone ‘over’ the number.

Green Bay at Chicago: (See below)

Head-to-Head Under Looks?

--The Patriots and Bills have watched three of the last four go ‘under’

-- Cleveland scored three points against Baltimore last year in two games, both went ‘under’

-- The Vikings and Lions have seen the ‘under’ go 4-0 in the previous four encounters

Under the Lights

Gamblers playing the ‘over’ on this week’s SNF and MNF contests caught some luck in Week 2, while ‘under’ bettors watched ripped up their tickets in disgust.

Last Sunday, the Colts led the Giants 24-0 at the break, so it’s fair to say the game was on pace for the closing number of 48. The two teams exchanged touchdowns in the third but you needed 11 in the fourth to win, but the game was out of hand (38-7). With less than two minutes left and trying to run out the clock, the Colts fumbled in their own territory. Sure enough, New York connected on a 31-yard touchdown pass on the ensuing play and the final closed at 38-14, which cashed ‘over’ tickets.

One night later, the Saints led the 49ers 9-7 at the half in what looked like your typical low-scoring slugfest. Similar to the SNF affair, New Orleans and San Francisco both put up touchdowns in the third quarter. In the final 15 minutes, the Saints built a 22-14 lead on a pair of field goals, one coming after the 49ers muffed a punt deep in their territory. The 49ers didn’t go away and marched down the field to not only score a touchdown, but convert the 2-point play as well. Unfortunately, they scored too quickly as New Orleans capped off the night with a game-winning field goal and 25-22 victory. The closing number was 45 and ‘over’ players raised their arms again.

This week, the SNF battle features the Jets and Dolphins battling in Miami and the oddsmakers are expecting a divisional defensive battle. The total is hovering around 35 points and it seems fair considering how good the Dolphins’ defense (10 PPG) has played so far, plus the offense has only scored two touchdowns in two games. New York erupted for 28 points last week albeit against a New England defense that is suspect. And the Jets’ defense held the Pats to 14 points and the Ravens to 10. Despite an expected low-scoring affair, four of the last six in this series has gone ‘over’ the number including both contests last year (31-27, 30-25).

Another divisional battle takes place on MNF, when Chicago hosts Green Bay and the total (46) seems a bit high when you look at the past encounters. The last four battles have watched the ‘under’ go 4-0 and neither of the two games last season (21-14, 21-15) threatened the closing number. This number is based more on the Packers’ offense, which has looked good (27, 24) in their two games. And even though the Bears have put up 19 and 27 in their first two outings, the attack doesn’t seem as consistent as Green Bay’s juggernaut.

[StarDust Bum]

Gridiron Angles - Week 3

Colts at Broncos - The Colts are 9-0 ATS (7.1 ppg) since November 09, 2008 on the road after a straight up win as a favorite. The Broncos are 9-0 ATS (12.0 ppg) since October 16, 1995 within 3 of pick the week after in which they attempted at least ten more rushes than their season-to-date average. The Broncos are 0-6 ATS (-13.2 ppg) since November 27, 1994 at home after a home game when they had more than 34 minutes of possession time. The Colts are 0-7 OU (-12.1 ppg) since September 24, 2006 after a game when they had more than 34 minutes of possession time.

Steelers at Buccaneers - The Steelers are 0-11-1 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since September 25, 2005 within 3 of pick after playing on the road. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since November 30, 2003 the week after a game in which they punted at least eight times. The Steelers are 7-0 ATS (14.8 ppg) since December 24, 2005 on the road the week after a game in which they got a first down on less than 25% of their offensive plays. The Buccaneers are 0-9 ATS (-11.6 ppg) since December 08, 2008 when they are facing a team that has allowed less than 10 yards per completion season-to-date. The Steelers are 7-0 OU (11.1 ppg) since December 20, 2007 on the road when they suffered at least three sacks in each of the last two weeks.

Raiders at Cardinals - The Raiders are 6-0-1 ATS (7.0 ppg) since October 04, 1998 versus any team with the same record, after a straight up win. The Cardinals are 10-0 ATS (8.1 ppg) since October 02, 2005 at home when they lost last week while suffering a turnover margin of at least +2. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since November 23, 2003 at home after a game in which they had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time. The Raiders are 0-8 OU (-7.2 ppg) since October 19, 2008 when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is fewer than 25.

49ers at Chiefs - The 49ers are 0-7 ATS (-15.8 ppg) since September 26, 1993 within 3 of pick on the road when their opponent is on a 2+ game winning streak. The Chiefs are 7-0 ATS (18.3 ppg) since September 18, 1994 within 3 of pick after a win when the line was within 3 of pick'em in which they were losing at the half. The Chiefs are 0-6 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since November 04, 2007 as a favorite.

Jets at Dolphins - The Jets are 7-0-1 ATS (17.1 ppg) since November 29, 1998 after a double digit win in which they did not score in the first quarter. The Jets are 7-0 ATS (11.9 ppg) since September 24, 2006 as a dog when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Dolphins are 8-0 ATS (12.6 ppg) since October 08, 2000 within 3 of pick the week after a win in which they were outgained. The Dolphins are 0-8 ATS (-9.7 ppg) since November 16, 2003 at home when their dps was negative in their last two games. The Jets are 0-7 OU (-8.4 ppg) since December 31, 2006 after a straight up win when the line was within 3 of pick'em.

Titans at Giants - The Titans are 0-7 ATS (-11.9 ppg) since October 21, 2001 on the road the week after in which they had at least 3 more penalties than their season-to-date average. The Titans are 0-6 ATS (-7.5 ppg) since December 21, 2003 on the road after a game in which they allowed at least four sacks. The Giants are 8-0 ATS (7.6 ppg) since October 19, 2008 when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Giants are 0-6 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since October 11, 1998 as a home favorite after a road game in which they had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time. The Titans are 8-0-1 OU (9.7 ppg) since October 01, 2006 as a dog when facing a team that has allowed less than 3.75 yards per carry season-to-date.

Eagles at Jaguars - The Eagles are 6-0 ATS (7.2 ppg) since November 10, 1991 within 3 of pick on the road the week after a win in which they committed no turnovers. The Jaguars are 7-0 ATS (7.3 ppg) since November 30, 2003 as a home dog vs a non-divisional opponent. The Eagles are 0-10-1 OU (-11.5 ppg) since October 02, 1989 within 3 of pick on the road when they have had a positive dpa in each of their last two games. The Eagles are 8-0 OU (17.8 ppg) since December 24, 2005 within 3 of pick after a straight up win on the road. The Jaguars are 7-0 OU (14.2 ppg) since November 04, 2001 within 3 of pick after a straight up loss as a TD+ dog.

Bengals at Panthers - The Bengals are 9-0-1 ATS (9.6 ppg) since November 23, 2003 within 3 of pick on the road versus any team with fewer wins. The Bengals are 0-8 ATS (-8.1 ppg) since September 13, 2009 as a favorite. The Bengals are 0-8-1 ATS (-8.0 ppg) since December 31, 2006 as a favorite when facing a team that has averaged at least 2.25 turnovers per game season-to-date. The Panthers are 6-0 ATS (17.8 ppg) since November 01, 2009 as a dog versus any team with more wins.

Bills at Patriots - The Bills are 7-0 ATS (10.6 ppg) since September 30, 2007 after a straight up loss on the road as a TD+ dog. The Bills are 7-0 ATS (8.4 ppg) since December 20, 1997 as a 7+ dog when they lost and failed to cover their last two games. The Patriots are 0-7-1 ATS (-6.8 ppg) since November 01, 1998 as a favorite the week after when the line was within 3 of pick'em in which their completion percentage was at least ten points lower than their season-to-date average. The Patriots are 0-6 OU (-5.8 ppg) since October 25, 2009 as a 7+ favorite.

Redskins at Rams - The Redskins are 0-9 ATS (-6.9 ppg) since November 20, 2005 versus any team with fewer wins, after a straight up loss. The Redskins are 6-0 ATS (13.8 ppg) since September 24, 1989 as a road favorite after they scored at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average at home. The Redskins are 0-8-1 OU (-7.4 ppg) since September 17, 2007 when facing a team with no wins after week 1. The Redskins are 0-8 OU (-6.2 ppg) since December 02, 2007 as a favorite when their opponent is on a 2+ game losing streak.

Browns at Ravens - The Browns are 7-0-1 ATS (10.4 ppg) since November 17, 1991 as a 7+ dog when they lost 1-3 points last week. The Browns are 7-0 ATS (9.5 ppg) since December 10, 2000 as a 7+ dog the week after a game in which they punted at least eight times. The Ravens are 6-0 ATS (21.3 ppg) since September 21, 2008 as a favorite when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is fewer than 25. The Browns are 0-7 OU (-11.0 ppg) since January 02, 2005 as a dog when they lost 1-3 points last week. The Browns are 0-6-1 OU (-12.1 ppg) since November 30, 2008 versus any team with more wins, after a straight up loss at home.

Falcons at Saints - The Falcons are 0-6 ATS (-7.2 ppg) since November 12, 1995 the week after a game in which they got a first down on at least 40% of their offensive plays. The Falcons are 6-0 ATS (8.5 ppg) since November 24, 2005 on the road the week after at home in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Saints are 0-7 ATS (-6.9 ppg) since October 12, 1997 as a home favorite vs a divisional opponent when they faced non-divisional opponents in each of the previous two weeks. The Saints are 0-6 ATS (-8.2 ppg) since December 06, 2009 after playing as a favorite.

Chargers at Seahawks - The Chargers are 0-7 ATS (-9.6 ppg) since December 03, 2006 as a road favorite vs a non-divisional opponent. The Chargers are 0-6 ATS (-8.2 ppg) since November 14, 1993 as a favorite when they are 500 after a straight up win. The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS (5.0 ppg) since October 11, 1998 as a home dog the week after a loss in which they committed at least four turnovers. The Seahawks are 0-6 ATS (-12.8 ppg) since September 23, 2007 when facing a team that has averaged at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date. The Seahawks are 9-0-1 OU (7.7 ppg) since November 17, 1991 as a dog when they are 500 after playing on the road.

Cowboys at Texans - The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS (12.0 ppg) since September 10, 2000 as a dog when facing a team that has allowed at least 65% completions season-to-date. The Texans are 0-6-1 ATS (-8.3 ppg) since October 07, 2007 as a favorite the week after a game in which they had at least 300 yards passing. The Cowboys are 8-0 OU (8.4 ppg) since September 27, 2004 on the road when facing a team that has allowed at least 65% completions season-to-date. The Cowboys are 0-7 OU (-16.9 ppg) since November 19, 2006 within 3 of pick versus any team with more wins. The Texans are 8-0 OU (9.5 ppg) since December 03, 2006 within 3 of pick the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards.

Lions at Vikings - The Lions are 9-0 ATS (7.9 ppg) since November 15, 1992 as a 7+ dog when they lost last week while suffering a turnover margin of at least +2 at home. The Lions are 0-9-2 ATS (-8.2 ppg) since September 24, 2006 when their opponent is on a 2+ game losing streak. The Vikings are 0-8 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since October 17, 1999 as a favorite after a straight up loss at home as a favorite. The Vikings are 0-6 ATS (-13.8 ppg) since November 11, 2007 when they allowed at least 100 fewer yards passing last week than their season-to-date average. The Lions are 9-0-1 OU (10.4 ppg) since November 03, 1996 as a road 7+ dog when they are facing a team that has allowed less than 10 yards per completion season-to-date.

Packers at Bears - The Packers are 9-0-1 ATS (9.9 ppg) since December 14, 2003 as a road favorite after a straight up win at home. The Packers are 7-0 ATS (11.4 ppg) since November 29, 1999 as a road favorite the week after a win in which they committed no turnovers. The Bears are 0-8 ATS (-9.6 ppg) since November 02, 2008 vs a divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent.

[StarDust Bum]

Las Vegas Money Moves

Bettors are approaching Week 3 of the NFL as if they’re walking on egg shells. After getting soundly beaten the last two weeks by the sportsbooks, many are handicapping the games with hesitancy and reluctance while doubting their own skills. Just when you expect a team to zig then they zag. Nothing is sacred anymore. We can no longer pick on the bad teams, because other than the Bills, we don’t know who they really are. And we can’t ride an elite team because we’re not sure of that either. It’s like we’re stuck in parity-ville and the price of admission is getting expensive for the bettors.

So you want to ride a team’s losing streak like everyone did last year for the first seven weeks, but you‘re in a quandary of what's right, wrong and real. Yes, the Buffalo is are bad, but 14 points against New England, who showed further signs of being nothing like the 2007 Patriots after melting in New Jersey last week doesn't sound promising.

I know, we can pick on Cleveland. They’re 0-2 and they were ripe for the picking last year, but when I look at their games this year, they have been competitive, pushing in Week 1 at Tampa Bay (14-17) and barely losing at home to Kansas City (14-16) and now I have to lay 10 ½-points with the Ravens, a team that only scored only 10 points in each of their first two games. No thanks, that new and improved Baltimore offense has looked almost worse than the Browns with QB Seneca Wallace running the show.

When I look at the NFC with their six 0-2 teams, it doesn’t get any easier. Despite the Houston being 2-0 with two great wins, picking on Dallas this week doesn’t seem like a good deal. Nor does putting any faith in Minnesota laying 11 against the Lions, a Detroit team whose offense looks crisper than the Vikings with Brett Favre looking like he’s still working out training camp kinks.

Aaahh, the Rams. Yes, there’s a team to jump all in against. But wait, St. Louis got a push and cover in its two games and they have a quarterback who looks nothing like Marc Bulger. And I have to lay 3 ½-points on the road with Washington, a team who should be 0-2 as well. No thanks!

I could make a case for Cincinnati laying three points at Carolina. I like the angle of picking on Jimmy Clausen in his first start against a very good Bengals defense. But that’s when the doubt comes into play and Week 1 and two ghosts of bad plays keep returning and reminding me of how great a play it was to take the Eagles last week against the Lions and their back-up starting.

So maybe I’ll dodge what appears to be a slam dunk of a play and reverse my fortunes by being the opposite bettor which would have been a great strategy the last two weeks. I usually love the home dogs, but maybe in these drastic times I do the opposite and play the road favorites. It makes good sense to me, so I’ll stick with the Bengals, or wait, maybe Carolina. Or, maybe just a coin flip will do and let that fate decide where I go.

Of course this is all an exaggeration, but it’s based on real moments I’ve seen from all my years behind the counter when bettors go into a tail spin. Right now, the bettors have no confidence and are trying to get a read on anything possible to give them a lean.

This is the time when many bettors turn to paid handicapping services. If you don’t have a feel for it, and know it, and have to have action on the games as we all do, let the experts who are doing well help you. VegasInsider.com handicappers Bruce Marshall and Dave Cokin are both seeing things very clearly now. Pay them to get you out of the rut and back on track.

Here’s a look at some of the moves that have happened at Las Vegas sportsbooks this week beginning with the 49ers visiting the Chiefs. The perception and ratings on the 49ers are back in order despite being 0-2. Their play Monday night showed everyone that 49ers ARE who we thought they were. In the Sunday night opener, the Chiefs were 1 ½-point favorites and by kickoff the 49ers had already been bet up to -1. The revised opener on Tuesday morning was -2 ½ and then bet up to where it sits now at -3.

The Eagles initially opened as 1-point favorites at Jacksonville with Kevin Kolb expected to start. Despite Andy Reid saying Kolb would be his starter, he quickly changed his mind Tuesday and announced Michael Vick would start. The initial reaction from the sportsbooks had the Eagles -3 (even) but since has been bet down to 2 ½ flat.

The Colts opened up Sunday night as 3 ½-point road favorites at Denver, but after watching the Colts look like their old self again against the Giants, the line quickly moved to -4 ½ and then eventually -6 by Monday afternoon, until getting some Bronco buy-back putting the game where it’s at now at -5 ½.

The Patriots number has finally found a solid home at -14 against the Bills after climbing the ladder up from the opener of -11 ½. Had the Patriots beat the Jets in the same fashion as they did to Cincinnati a week earlier, this line would have been -17, but they didn’t and showed some major flaws in the loss.

Other games that have moved include the Packers dropping a full point down to -3 at Chicago, the Chargers moving from -3 ½ to -5 ½ at Seattle, and the Saints dropping from the early opener of -6 to -3 ½ against the Falcons following the Monday night game.

College Moves -- All these games have moved two points or higher from the opener:

Central Michigan +6 ½ from the opener of +8 ½ at Northwestern
Temple +13 ½ from the opener of +16 ½ at Penn State
Connecticut -20 from the opener of -18 against Buffalo
Georgia -1 at Mississippi State where they opened as the 1-point favorite
Air Force -13 ½ at Wyoming from the opener of -10 ½
Kansas State -7 from the opener of -5 against Central Florida
San Jose State +30 from the opener of +34 at Utah
LSU -10 from the opener of -6 ½ against West Virginia
UTEP -11 ½ from the opener of -9 ½ against Memphis
UNLV -10 ½ from the opener of -8 ½ against New Mexico
Arkansas State +11 at Troy from the opener of +13

[StarDust Bum]

Titans look to bounce back in New York

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TENNESSEE TITANS (1-1)
at NEW YORK GIANTS (1-1)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT, Line: New York -3, Total: 43.5

Two teams coming off lackluster Week 2 performances meet at New Meadowlands Stadium. The Titans turned the ball over seven times in a 19-11 loss to Pittsburgh. Vince Young had three of those (two INT, one fumble) and was benched in favor of Kerry Collins. The Giants were crushed by the Colts 38-14 on Sunday night in the battle of Manning brother quarterbacks.

Despite his rough Week 2 outing, Vince Young remains the starting QB in Nashville. A bigger concern for Tennessee is its rushing attack, which gained a meager 46 yards on 22 carries against the Steelers. Chris Johnson’s quest for 2,500 yards this year is already falling short, as Johnson has only 176 rushing yards in two games.

The Giants had no answer for Peyton Manning last Sunday, allowing 255 passing yards and three receiving TD. New York also had difficulty in stopping an average Colts running game, allowing 160 rushing yards. Eli Manning also has his work cut out for him facing the NFL’s top-rated defense (206.5 YPG allowed) without his Pro Bowl center Shaun O’Hara (ankle injury). But WR Hakeem Nicks (ankle), WR Mario Manningham (illness) and TE Kevin Boss (concussion) are all expected to play and be reliable targets for Manning.

Although these teams haven’t faced each other since 2006 (Titans won 24-21), the head coaches have met 17 times, with Jeff Fisher going 10-7 against Tom Coughlin. This FoxSheets trend expects Fisher and Tennessee to get a key road win:

Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY GIANTS) - off a road loss, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses.(42-12 since 1983.) (77.8%, +28.8 units. Rating = 4*).

[Kaptain]

thanks for all the info BUM....gl w/ your selections

[StarDust Bum]

Today i have my AFC Game of the Month:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/20/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/19/10 19-11-0 63.33% +3450 Detail
09/13/10 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
09/12/10 13-13-0 50.00% -650 Detail
09/09/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/02/10 14-15-3 48.28% -1250 Detail
Totals 51-42-3 54.84% +2400

Sunday, September 26Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 1:00 PM ET Kansas City +3 500
Kansas City - Under 37 500

Cincinnati - 1:00 PM ET Cincinnati -3 500
Carolina - Over 37.5 500

Cleveland - 1:00 PM ET Cleveland +12 500
Baltimore - Over 36.5 500

Detroit - 1:00 PM ET Detroit +12.5 500
Minnesota - Over 43 500

Tennessee - 1:00 PM ET Tennessee +3 500
N.Y. Giants - Under 43.5 500

Pittsburgh - 1:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -2.5 500 ( GOM )
Tampa Bay - Under 33 500

Atlanta - 1:00 PM ET Atlanta +3 500 *****
New Orleans - Over 48.5 500

Buffalo - 1:00 PM ET New England -14.5 500
New England - Under 43 500

Dallas - 1:00 PM ET Houston -2.5 500 *****
Houston - Under 47 500

Washington - 4:05 PM ET St. Louis +4.5 500 *****
St. Louis - Under 38.5 500

Philadelphia - 4:05 PM ET Philadelphia -2.5 500
Jacksonville - Under 44.5 500

San Diego - 4:15 PM ET San Diego -4 500 *****
Seattle - Over 44 500

Indianapolis - 4:15 PM ET Indianapolis -5.5 500 *****
Denver - Under 47 500

Oakland - 4:15 PM ET Arizona -4.5 500 *****
Arizona - Over 39.5 500

N.Y. Jets - 8:20 PM ET N.Y. Jets +1 500 *****
Miami - Under 35.5 500



Good Luck !