The Bum's WEEK # 2 NFL BEST BETS + Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (9/19 - 9/20)

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Defensive struggle could favor Ravens at Cincinnati

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BALTIMORE RAVENS (1-0)
at CINCINNATI BENGALS (0-1)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT, Line: Baltimore -1.5, Total: 40

Two top-notch defenses lock horns in this AFC North clash on Sunday. Both teams allowed just 301 yards per game last year, with the Ravens ranking third in the NFL and the Bengals right behind them in the fourth slot. Baltimore was said to have major holes to fill in its secondary with safety Ed Reed out six weeks and CB Domonique Foxworth out for the season with a torn ACL. But the Ravens defense was dominant Monday night in holding the Jets to 176 yards, including just 60 through the air. The imminent returns of talented CB Lardarius Webb and massive rookie DT Terrence Cody will make this defense even more formidable.

The offense will need to step up its game though. RB Ray Rice was held to 43 yards on 21 carries against an excellent Jets defense, but WR Anquan Boldin had a huge Ravens debut with seven catches for 110 yards. Although he’s nursing a thigh injury, Boldin is expected to play Sunday.

The Bengals defensive unit did not play as poorly as the 38 points allowed to New England would indicate, considering the Patriots scored on a kick return and interception return. But Cincy still allowed Tom Brady to throw for 258 passing yards and three scores. Despite the defensive woes, QB Carson Palmer was able to incorporate a slew of players into the offensive act, most notably Chad Ochocinco (12 rec, 159 yds, TD). The Bengals also received nice performances from 2nd-year pro Bernard Scott, rookie WR Jordan Shipley (5 rec, 82 yds) and rookie TE Jermaine Gresham (six catches, TD). Scott gained 50 yards on just nine touches (six rushes, three catches) and could be a big factor on Sunday if RB Cedric Benson (15 rush, 43 yds, lost fumble) isn’t fully healed from his shoulder injury. Benson ran wild on the Ravens last season with 237 yards on 61 carries in the two contests.

The Bengals are 7-3 (SU and ATS) against the Ravens since 2005, including two physical wins in 2009. Cincy won 17-14 in Baltimore, then completed the sweep with a 17-7 home victory.

FoxSheets expects the Ravens to come out on top Sunday.

Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CINCINNATI) - off a road loss, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses. (41-10 since 1983.) (80.4%, +30 units. Rating = 4*).

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Packers to be shorthanded as big favorite vs. Bills

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BUFFALO BILLS
GREEN BAY PACKERS (-13.5)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT, Total: 43
Green Bay received some bad news Tuesday afternoon when starting RB Ryan Grant was diagnosed with a torn ligament in his ankle and will likely miss the rest of the year. In the past three seasons, Grant rushed for 3,412 yards and 23 touchdowns. The Packers also lost starting DL Justin Harrell for the season due to a torn ACL. Harrell was a first-round draft pick in 2007 and plays multiple positions on the D-Line.

Brandon Jackson will replace Grant as the starter. Jackson, a fourth-year pro from Nebraska, did not have any double-digit-carry games last year. He had just 82 rushes combined in 2008 and 2009, but handled the workload nicely in Sunday’s win at Philadelphia when Jackson gained 63 yards on 18 carries and caught two passes for 12 yards.

Jackson’s job should be easier Sunday facing a Buffalo squad that allowed 156 rushing yards per game in 2009, ranking 30th out of the 32 teams in the league. These teams have only met once since 2002, a Buffalo 24-10 win in 2006.

FoxSheets expects Buffalo to bounce back from last week’s five-point defeat to Miami.

BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a loss by 6 or less points over the last 3 seasons. The average score was BUFFALO 30.0, OPPONENT 18.5 - (Rating = 0*).

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Injuries to Jets defense could give edge to Pats

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NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (1-0)
at NEW YORK JETS (0-1)

Kickoff: Sunday, 4:15 p.m. EDT, Line: New England -3, Total: 38

Division rivals square off Sunday afternoon at the new Meadowlands Stadium. This contest features two offenses in very different states of mind.

The Jets’ offense was atrocious in Monday night’s 10-9 loss to Baltimore. They converted just 1-of-11 third downs, QB Mark Sanchez threw for 3.5 yards per attempt (10-21, 74 yds) and their time of possession was nearly doubled by Baltimore’s (NYJ-21:28, BAL-38:32). New York also committed 14 penalties costing them 125 yards and six first downs against the Ravens.

New England’s offense had no such problems in its 38-24 win over Cincinnati. Tom Brady threw for 258 yards and three touchdowns, with two going to WR Wes Welker, playing despite a major knee injury suffered in January. The Patriots don’t figure to put up 38 points against a Jets defense which allowed the fewest yards in the NFL in 2009, but New York will miss two of its better defensive players -- LB Calvin Pace (fractured foot) and NT Kris Jenkins (torn ACL).

Another storyline is Jets CB Darrelle Revis versus Patriots WR Randy Moss. Revis shut down Moss in the Jets’ 16-9 home win last season, but Revis is not at full speed yet because of his pre-season holdout. Revis played a limited role in the loss to Baltimore instead of covering the team’s top receiver. Coach Rex Ryan is expected to put Revis, despite hamstring tightness, back in his shut-down-corner role with his main duty of shadowing Moss. But even if Revis is effective at stopping Moss, Brady still has plenty of weapons in his arsenal to choose.

Since 1992, the Patriots are 11-6 ATS when the Jets host them in New York. And this time the Patriots get one more day of rest and preparation than the Monday-Night-Football-weary Jets do. These FoxSheets trends point toward another New England victory:

Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, in September games. (83-45 since 1983.) (64.8%, +33.5 units. Rating = 2*).

NY JETS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games in the first two weeks of the season since 1992. The average score was NY JETS 17.3, OPPONENT 24.3 - (Rating = 2*).

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NFL Odds: Vikings, Dolphins stay 'under'

They took the air out of the football during the first week of the season in the NFL and ‘under’ bettors were dancing in the aisles at sports books throughout Las Vegas.

Time traveled back to the leather helmet era. Week 1 scoring was the second lowest since the league expanded to 32 teams in 2002, according to the Elias Sports Bureau.

The 16 games totaled 585 points, or 36.6 points a game. In 2007, the New England Patriots averaged 36.8 points a game. The Week 1 point total was 252 points fewer than the NFL’s one-week scoring record of 837 points set in 2008.

The ‘under’ cashed in 11 of 16 NFL betting games and there were only five teams that scored 30 points or more. Meanwhile there were 21 teams that tallied less than 20 points.

But don’t expect this to be a season long trend. Let’s not forget that last year there were 10 quarterbacks who threw for 4,000 yards. Since expansion to 32 teams in 2002, the lowest opening-week scoring total was in 2006: 553 points. By the time that season ended, the fourth most points in league history at that time had been scored.

However, let’s join the ‘under’ takers with a tasty Week 2 total.

The Minnesota Vikings return home to host the Miami Dolphins after scoring just nine points at New Orleans. Brett Favre wasn’t in sync with his depleted corps of wide receivers and this week he may well be without Percy Harvin. That means the Vikings will have to depend on a steady diet of Adrian Peterson, right, left and up the middle.

Miami’s defense is much improved, but will be tested after holding lowly Buffalo to 10 points on opening day.

The Dolphins have ducked ‘under’ with regularity on the road, turning the trick in 10 of their past 14 games. In addition, they have ended on the low side in six of their last seven on field turf.

Miami has slipped below the limit in 18 of 27 after a SU division road win and in 17 of 24 off a SU win.

Minnesota allowed 78 points in its first three games at **** of America Field last year. In their last five home games they limited the opposition to 46 points and held the Dallas Cowboys to a field goal in the playoffs.

The Dolphins have knuckled ‘under’ at a 10-3 clip in Week 2 and the Vikings have followed suit in 10 of 11 during the second week of the season.

Most offshore books opened this ‘total’ at 42 ½ but it has been bet down to as low as 39. That’s still enough value to recommend an ‘under’ play in a game that could well end in the low 30’s.

[StarDust Bum]

Healthy roster gives Dallas better chance to cover

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CHICAGO BEARS
DALLAS COWBOYS (-8.5)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT, Total: 40.5

The Cowboys should be at full strength Sunday against Chicago as they try to bounce back from a rough season opener. LB DeMarcus Ware suffered a stinger in the loss at Washington, but further tests showed no damage and Ware is expected to play Sunday. Considering Ware is the best defensive player in Dallas, with 65.5 sacks and 23 forced fumbles in five-plus NFL seasons, this is great news for the Cowboys.

Reports out of Dallas are also positive about its offensive line. RT Marc Colombo and LG Kyle Kosier, who both missed Week 1 with knee injuries, are both expected to suit up against the Bears. Colombo was sorely missed in the Redskins loss, as his replacement Alex Barron had a terrible day. These additions will make QB Tony Romo feel more secure against a strong Bears pass defense that allowed just 148 yards on 34 pass attempts in their win over Detroit.

These teams have only met twice since 2000, with Dallas winning both meetings handily (21-7 in 2004 and 34-10 in 2007). This FoxSheets trend expects another Dallas win based on Bears coach Lovie Smith’s past history coming off a strong offensive game.

Smith is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of CHICAGO. The average score was CHICAGO 18.1, OPPONENT 20.8 - (Rating = 2*).

The Under also looks like a good play. According to the FoxSheets, Play Under - Any team against the total (CHICAGO) - in conference games, first 2 weeks of the year, non-playoff team from prior season who won their last 2 games. (34-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (72.3%, +19.7 units. Rating = 2*).

CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CHICAGO 15.4, OPPONENT 23.1 - (Rating = 1*).

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Gridiron Angles - Week 2

Ravens at Bengals - The Ravens are 8-0 ATS (13.1 ppg) since December 31, 2006 off a SU and ATS win last week vs a team that is off a SU and ATS loss last week. The League is 8-0 ATS (5.2 ppg) since October 11, 2009 on the road the week after scoring fewer than 17 points and winning. The Bengals are 0-8 ATS (-9.9 ppg) since November 21, 2004 as a home dog when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is greater than 30.

Seahawks at Broncos - The Seahawks are 0-9 ATS (-11.5 ppg) since November 23, 2003 as a dog when they covered by 10+ points last week. The Seahawks are 0-9 ATS (-12.4 ppg) since November 27, 2008 as a road dog.

Chiefs at Browns - The Chiefs are 9-0-1 ATS (9.1 ppg) since December 05, 2004 on the road when facing a team that has averaged less than 28 minutes of possession time season-to-date. The Chiefs are 7-0-1 ATS (7.6 ppg) since October 31, 2004 within 3 of pick off a SU and ATS win last week vs a team that is off a SU and ATS loss last week. The Browns are 10-0-1 ATS (4.2 ppg) since October 12, 2003 at home when they stopped their opponent on at least 10 third downs last game. The Browns are 9-0-1 ATS (10.1 ppg) since September 13, 1993 at home when facing an undefeated team after week 1.

Jaguars at Chargers - The Jaguars are 11-0 ATS (11.0 ppg) since September 26, 2004 as a dog after never having a goal to go last game. The Chargers are 0-8 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since December 20, 1998 at home when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week against a divisional opponent.

Giants at Colts - The Giants are 8-0 ATS (13.8 ppg) since October 03, 2004 as a dog when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 35. The Colts are 9-0 ATS (16.4 ppg) when they trailed a divisional opponent by at least a TD after three quarters last game.

Bears at Cowboys - The Bears are 0-8 ATS (-10.5 ppg) since November 16, 2008 as a road dog. The Bears are 0-8-1 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since December 11, 2005 as a dog after a straight up win as a favorite. The Cowboys are 0-12 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since December 10, 1995 when they had 24+ first downs last game and no more than one sack. The Cowboys are 7-0-1 ATS (9.2 ppg) since October 09, 1994 as a home 7+ favorite when facing a team that has benefited from an average of at least 2.25 turnovers per game season-to-date. . The Bears are 0-17 OU (-8.5 ppg) since October 1999 as a 6+ dog when facing a team that has allowed less than 3.89 yards per carry season-to-date.

Cardinals at Falcons - The Falcons are 0-7 ATS (-7.9 ppg) since December 10, 2007 when facing a team that has passed the ball on at least 60% of their offensive plays, season-to-date. The Falcons are 7-0 ATS (8.1 ppg) since October 24, 2005 as a home favorite when they are facing a team that has allowed less than 10 yards per completion season-to-date. The Cardinals are 11-0 OU (8.1 ppg) since November 17, 2002 on the road the week after a game in which they committed at least four turnovers.

Patriots at Jets - The Patriots are 7-0-1 ATS (11.3 ppg) since November 02, 2008 versus any team with fewer wins. after a straight up win. The Jets are 8-0-1 ATS (10.8 ppg) since September 17, 1995 at home after a straight up loss at home. The Jets are 0-7-1 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since December 26, 2004 at home vs a divisional opponent before playing on the road. The Patriots are 0-9 OU (-9.2 ppg) since October 10, 1999 within 3 of pick when facing a team that has forced an average of at least six punts per game season-to-date.

Eagles at Lions - The League is 9-0 ATS (7.8 ppg) since December 04, 2005 as a road favorite versus any team with the same record, after a straight up loss at home. The Lions are 0-8 ATS (-15.6 ppg) since December 07, 2003 at home when they play on the road in each of the next two weeks. The Lions are 0-8 ATS (-14.5 ppg) since November 06, 2005 when one game under 500. The League is 7-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since November 22, 2009 as a dog the week after a loss in which they punted at least eight times. The Eagles are 0-8-1 OU (-8.2 ppg) since November 04, 2001 as a road favorite when they are facing a team that has allowed at least 12 yards per completion season-to-date.

Bills at Packers - The Bills are 0-11 ATS (-10.5 ppg) since November 23, 1997 when they faced Miami last game as an underdog. The Packers are 0-8 ATS (-12.8 ppg) since October 8, 1995 when they led by double-digits at the end of the third quarter last game and finished with a positive turnover margin. The Packers are 10-0 OU (18.9 ppg) since September 16, 2007 off a SU and ATS win last week vs a team that is off a SU and ATS loss last week.

Buccaneers at Panthers - The Buccaneers are 0-8 ATS (-14.4 ppg) since October 20, 1996 within 3 of pick the week after a win in which they did not have the lead after any of the first three quarters. The Buccaneers are 0-7 ATS (-16.6 ppg) since October 20, 1996 within 3 of pick on the road after a win in which they were losing at the end of the third quarter. The Panthers are 9-0-1 ATS (12.7 ppg) since October 15, 1995 within 3 of pick at home after a game in which they had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS (15.9 ppg) since November 01, 2009 versus any team with more wins.

Rams at Raiders - The Raiders are 0-11 ATS (-11.6 ppg) since November 27, 2005 as a favorite. The Raiders are 0-9 ATS (-10.9 ppg) since October 20, 2002 at home when they allowed at least at least three first downs via penalty last game. The Raiders are 0-8-1 ATS (-6.1 ppg) since September 14, 2003 when one game under 500 after playing on the road. The Rams are 7-0 OU (10.6 ppg) since October 22, 1989 the week after a loss in which they benefited from at least four turnovers. The Raiders are 13-0-1 OU (12.8 ppg) since September 14, 1997 as a favorite vs a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road against a non-divisional opponent.

Texans at Redskins - The Texans are 0-7 ATS (-7.4 ppg) since October 10, 2004 when facing a team that has allowed an average of at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date. The Redskins are 0-8-1 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since December 16, 2001 within 3 of pick after a straight up win as a dog. The Redskins are 7-0 ATS (10.4 ppg) since September 08, 1996 within 3 of pick when facing an undefeated team after week 1. The Redskins are 0-7 OU (-7.5 ppg) since December 02, 2007 when facing a team that has allowed at least 65% completions season-to-date.

Steelers at Titans - The Titans are 9-0 ATS (8.8 ppg) since December 22, 2002 when they covered by double-digits last week while throwing for less than 150 yards. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS (-7.8 ppg) since October 22, 2006 on the road when they had fewer than ten incompletions last week. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since November 11, 2007 when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date.

Dolphins at Vikings - The Dolphins are 9-0 ATS (6.2 ppg) since December 23, 2007 as a road dog after a straight up win. The Dolphins are 8-0 ATS (13.9 ppg) since October 13, 1996 as a dog when facing a team that has averaged at least six punts per game season-to-date. The Vikings are 7-0 ATS (16.4 ppg) since October 24, 1999 as a favorite versus any team with more wins, after a straight up loss on the road.

Saints at 49ers - The Saints are 9-0 ATS (16.8 ppg) since December 10, 2006 on the road vs a non-divisional opponent before playing at home. The 49ers are 7-0 ATS (12.3 ppg) since September 21, 2008 at home between away games. The 49ers are 7-0-1 ATS (7.9 ppg) since November 10, 2008 as a dog when facing a team that has completed at least 65% of their passes season-to-date. The Saints are 13-0 OU (11.8 ppg) since November 17, 1991 on the road the week after a win at home in which their dps was negative. The 49ers are 0-8 OU (-12.5 ppg) since December 14, 2006 when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week. The 49ers are 0-8 OU (-15.3 ppg) since October 2005 as a dog when they lost by 20+ points last week.

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Total Talk - Week 2

Week 1 Recap
Some experts like to believe that defensive units are ahead of the offense early in the season and while it’s too unpredictable to tell at times, that was the certainly the case in Week 1. Only five teams busted the 30-point barrier and only an additional five posted 20-plus or more. With all of the low-scoring affairs, the ‘under’ wound up going 10-4-2 and more importantly, all three of the primetime nationally televised games went ‘under’ as well. So you know the sportsbooks were smiling even though the money went the other direction with the pair of pushes.

Will we see the scoreboard operator be putting in overtime come Week 2 or are we looking at another round of defensive slugfests? Let’s take a closer look at what’s on tap and point out some key numbers.

Misleading Stats

If you don’t have the time to watch the games, then do yourself a favor and review the box scores and drive charts of every game before you look at the final score. Statistics don’t lie and there are some Week 1 performances that should be evaluated further.

Kansas City – The Chiefs scored 21 points against the Chargers while only putting up 197 total yards. The offense had one big rushing touchdown, was fortunate to get another possession started on the Bolts’ 12-yard line and they had a 94-yard punt return touchdown. They won by seven, but the defense gave up 389 total yards.

Indianapolis – Peyton Manning and the offense did their job last week, putting up 463 yards against the Texans but they only had four scores (3 TDs, 1 FG). Some untimely penalties and a key fumble kept points off the board.

Seattle – The Seahawks only had one legit drive in Week 1 against San Francisco, which led to a touchdown. The other 24 points were set up on short tracks, plus a defensive touchdown was added as well. The 49ers outyarded (263-242) and controlled the clock but turnovers killed the visitor in this one.

Divisional Battles

Due to the NFL placing an importance on divisional contests late in the season, we’re going to see a lot of non-divisional matchups take place early, which is the case in Week 2. Only two out of 16 games this week feature divisional opponents. Let’s take a closer look at the pair.

Baltimore at Cincinnati – Last season, the ‘under’ easily went 2-0 in the head-to-head meetings and that’s no coincidence. All of the last five meetings have never seen more than 37 combined points posted on the scoreboard. This week’s number is 40 and if the trends continue, then this looks easy. However, both clubs possess some weapons behind center with the Ravens’ Joe Flacco and Bengals’ Carson Palmer. Baltimore only put up 10 points last week but it had opportunities to post more, but two turnovers cost themselves points. Cincinnati was diced up by the Patriots and they gave up 14 points to their defense and special teams too. One of the keys to slowing down the game is moving the ball and running the clock, and both these squads have proven ground games as well.

New England at N.Y. Jets – The number on this game opened at 40 at two big offshore outfits and now sits at 38 1/2, but since this is the marquee late-afternoon game on Sunday, the public market could push it back up. Four of the last five in this series has gone ‘under’ the total and the Patriots have only allowed the Jets to score more than 17 points just twice in the last 15 meetings. New England put up 38 points against Cincinnati in Week 1, 14 coming from the defense and special teams. Despite those two touchdowns, the offense was four for seven on offensive possessions and the team missed two field goals. The Jets’ attack could only muster up three field goals in a 10-9 loss to Baltimore. They posted 176 yards and were a pathetic 1-of-11 on third-down conversions. QB Mark Sanchez looked handcuffed or he had no confidence in going deep at all. Most would expect New York to play the field position game and keep the Pats’ offense off the field. If that happens, then one would think that another low-scoring affair is possible.

Under the Lights

As we mentioned above, all three games on the big stage last week went ‘under’ the total, including the Saints 14-9 victory over the Vikings last Thursday. The combined 23 points never threatened the closing total of 49 and now New Orleans is back in the spotlight this week, this time on the road.

New Orleans heads to San Francisco for the first of four games against NFC West opponents this year. It’s still early to tell if the Saints’ juggernaut is anything like last year, but some warning signs might be on the horizon. During its championship run, New Orleans was held under 14 points once and that came in Week 17 to Carolina (10-23) when they didn’t play the starters.

The number on this week’s game against the 49ers is hovering between 44 and 45. San Francisco is coming off an embarrassing 31-6 setback at Seattle, which saw the offense put up 263 total yards and the offense was 1-of-15 on third downs. When you toss in eight penalties, a few drops and two interceptions, it’s not surprising that you only mustered up a half-dozen points. The Seahawks didn’t do anything spectacular on offense (242 yards) except capitalize on the 49ers’ mistakes, plus their defense added seven on a pick to the house.

The 49ers watched the ‘under’ go 6-2 at home last year, due to a solid defense and ability to milk the clock with Frank Gore. If New Orleans gets ahead, it’s hard to believe San Francisco sticking with Gore but stranger things have happened, especially with Alex Smith at quarterback.

New Orleans played twice on MNF last year and they watched the total hold steady at 1-1. On the road in 2009, the Saints saw the number draw even (4-4) again as well. But they only had one total listed as low as the number for this battle.

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Las Vegas Money Moves

One of the toughest things a bookmaker has to do is adjust on the fly with the unknown factors of the back-up NFL quarterback. The NFL line is the most sound line in the world of any sport, but when taking a starting quarterback out, the ratings become skewed and un-true to what it probably should be. The limits are cut down to a fraction to what all the other games are and the public dictates what the market price of a line should be.
Because the limits are so small, some sharp bettors can manipulate the market with early money at the low limits and push a price up with hopes that their intended side have limits increased on game day, which most books do. All the information is out there for the bettors and the books, but sometimes the sharps are a little better in their adjusted rating than what the books put up.

This week there are three games affected by possibly having a back-up quarterback starting. A starting quarterback is traditionally worth an automatic 2 to 3 points, but in a situation like at Detroit this week it could be more. Detroit will be without Matt Stafford for up to four weeks and will be using veteran back-up Shaun Hill, who was very serviceable as a starter in San Francisco. The Lions play Philadelphia, who will likely be without Kevin Kolb, opening the door for Michael Vick to take over.

The Eagles opened up as 3 ½-point road favorites at the Las Vegas Hilton Super Book, one of the few books that doesn‘t circle or limit games. By Tuesday the line was -5 and by Wednesday it was up to -6. The affect has everything to do with Stafford being out and Hill starting.

“I would have made the line Eagles -3 ½ or -4 with Stafford starting,“ said Las Vegas Sports Consultants oddsmaker Mike Seba. “There is no adjustment on the Eagles side just because of how good Michael Vick looks in the Eagles offensive game plan.”

Vick looked much better than Kolb in last Sunday’s home loss (27-20) to the Packers as he rushed for over 100 yards while making some crisp passes down-field and almost led the Eagles to a game tying touchdown late. You could argue that Vick makes the Eagles rating a notch better than with Kolb in there.

The Chiefs-Browns game has a the duel affect of having starter Jake Delhomme 'doubtful' and the public recently seeing an improved Chiefs team on Monday night beat the favored Chargers (21-14). The Hilton originally opened the Browns as 3-point favorites on their Sunday night opening board, but with news of Delhomme and the perception of the Chiefs play, the line fell to -1 ½. The Hilton got a cumulative amount bet by several to equal the limit on the Browns and currently sit at -2 ½.

Seba says the drop off between Delhomme and backup Seneca Wallace is close to two points.

“I don’t like Wallace at all, how does he still have a job?,“ said Seba half-jokingly. “To be fair, Wallace won’t make a lot of mistakes but he won’t make many plays either. I recommended on a send out today to make the game a PICK.”

The Carolina game had been off the board until Wednesday because starter Matt Moore suffered concussion symptoms in their loss to the Giants. Moore practiced Wednesday and is hopeful he’ll be cleared to play Sunday. Once news of Moore practicing got out, the Hilton immediately opened the Panthers 3 ½-point favorites to the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers where it still sits.

Seba believes the line still reflects Moore not being 100% along with having one if his worst days as a starter last week. Moore only completed 14-of-33 passes for 182 yards, a TD and three interceptions against the Giants.

The regular moves of the week involving mostly healthy players has the Ravens currently a 2 ½-point favorite at Cincinnati. The Bengals opened at PICK ’EM on the early line, before the Ravens tough 10-9 win at the Jets. Public support for Ravens and adjustments -- some based on how bad the Bengals looked last week -- have swayed the line. The Bengals swept the entire AFC North last season including two wins against the Ravens. In the Bengals game at New England, they got themselves in a 24-0 hole before they even realized what was going on. There looks to be some value on the Bengals who should come out much quicker with their running game plan in their home opener against a Ravens squad that had a big emotional Monday night win and is playing on the road in a short week.

On the other side of the coin, the Jets rating and public perception has fallen drastically as they opened on an early line as a 1-point favorite and now find the Patriots a -3 (even) favorite. That’s what trash talking and not backing it up will get you; the public tide turns swifter. The Jets' 176 yards of total offense led by quarterback Mark Sanchez's 74 yards of passing and inability to make throws against a Patriots team who would love nothing better than to kick this team while their down has influenced such as surge in movement.

Tom Brady is much like his coach, both are very vindictive and they don’t forget. While the Jets need to run smack to get them fired up, Brady likes to run scoreboard as his smack and in this game, he may just tell some of the Jets where that scoreboard is. This is currently one of the most one-sided bet games of the week and it wouldn’t be surprising to see this game cross over the key number of “3” all the way to 4 points. With the entire football betting nation being swayed so much by last week's events by these two teams, the sportsbooks are going to have a tough sell on the Jets. However, the sharps will likely come in at the highest peak on Saturday night or Sunday morning to help balance the books.

Here are some other moves from the week.

The Cowboys have been bet against from -9 to - 7 ½ against the Bears.

The Rams have been bet on at Oakland from +4 to +3 ½.

The Broncos have been laid from -3 to -3 ½ in their home opener against the Seahawks.

The Giants saw some early action at +6 ½ in the Manning-Bowl matchup at Indianapolis. The Colts currently sit as 5 ½-point favorites.

In the Monday night matchup we have another case of a team perceived bad from their season opener against a team with lots of rest. The 49ers embarrassing 31-6 loss at Seattle has all the folks that bet and lost that game heavily turning against them and jumping on board the Saints band-wagon. Much like the Patriots game, this is a pretty one-sided betting affair with the Saints moving from an opener of -4 to the current number of -6. Six points? In a home opener? On Monday night? From a team whose talent and progression had many believing just five days ago that they would be NFC title contenders with close to 11 wins? It’s only one game of data!

Anyways, the points look pretty solid right now. I can’t see the game going to -7, but since it is an isolated game and everyone is still angry with the 49ers, it is possible. If looking to bet the 49ers, wait until Monday. If looking to bet the Saints, bet today.

College Moves

Only a few games have had significant moves of two points or higher with much of the action coming on Monday and Tuesday. N.C. State was bet from a pick ’em to 2-point home favorites in their Thursday night game against Cincinnati. Maryland has been bet from the opener of -13 to -10 at West Virginia.

Another dud ACC team, Virginia Tech has been bet from -17 to -20 in their home game against East Carolina. People must believe that the Hokies are REALLY mad now after starting 0-2, or rather just losing outright as a 33-point favorite to James Madison.

Another team coming back from an embarrassing loss last week, Minnesota, has been getting some action in their home date with USC. USC opened as a 14-point favorite and the number has dropped to -11 ½.

Two teams coming off a huge wins last week face off in Norman with Air Force getting early action. Oklahoma opened up as a 19-point favorite and has been bet all the way down to -16 ½.

Houston quarterback Case Keenum is listed as 'questionable' for their Saturday night game at the Rose Bowl against 0-2 UCLA. Houston offensive coordinator Jason Phillips said Wednesday they are game planning and preparing as if they were going to have Keenum play. That’s good enough for the books, so the Hilton opened the game Wednesday with Houston as a 3-point favorite which is where it currently sits.

Middle Tennessee State quarterback Dwight Dasher, the Sun-Belt’s top quarterback, has been awaiting a ruling on his suspension which kept the line off the board until Wednesday. The Hilton opened the added board game with MTSU a 4-point favorite at Memphis. The case has been little publicized, but it’s atrocity what the school and the NCAA are doing to this kid.

[StarDust Bum]

Coaches vs. Pointspread

We’ve seen enough football to know that pointspread trends don’t last forever. But they can continue for a while, and many coaches have developed their own patterns spread and "totals" performance through the years. And for that reason, it’s always a good idea to review each NFL coach and his current/past spread trends when each season begins. Following is an updated look at "NFL Coaches vs. Pointspread" after the first week of the 2010 campaign

Ken Whisenhunt, Arizona... Solid numbers as an underdog (17-9 overall), including a 7-1 mark in that role a year ago and 6-1 as a dog at U of P Stadium since 2007. Whisenhunt’s teams are also 17-10 vs. the line as host the first three years of his tenure in the desert. Note, however, a recent change in "totals" patterns, as after last week’s Rams opener, Whisenhunt’s Cards are now "under" 12-7 in their last 19 games, after "over" 25-11 previously.

Mike Smith, Atlanta... If nothing else, Smith has provided stability in Atlanta after the end of the Jim Mora, Jr. regime and Bobby Petrino’s disastrous one-year run that was turned inside-out by Michael Vick’s off-field issues. Smith’s Falcons are 20-14 overall vs. the number since 2008 and 11-5 vs. the number at the Georgia Dome.

John Harbaugh, Baltimore... The Ravens, who had gone stale toward the end of the Brian Billick regime, made an immediate turnaround once Harbaugh took over in 2008, and have been the only AFC team to win a playoff game each of the past two seasons. Following Monday’s win vs. the Jets, Harbaugh is now a noteworthy 24-13 vs. the number, and his Ravens have made a nice fortress out of M&T Bank Stadium, covering 11 of 16 at home.

Chan Gailey, Buffalo... Gailey returns to the NFL head coaching ranks for the first time since 1998-99 at Dallas, where it might surprise some that Gailey’s Cowboys reached the playoffs each of those years (though losing in the wild card round both times). Noteworthy in those years was an 11-5-1 spread mark at home (9-4-1 as home chalk), although that host role did not work for Gailey in his 2010 opener with the Bills. At Georgia Tech from 2002-07, Gailey’s teams were only 33-38-3 vs. the line, including a representative 17-13 as a dog, but only 16-25 as chalk.

John Fox, Carolina... At one point, Fox’s Panther teams were noted for their underdog prowess, but that hasn’t been as pronounced lately, with an 18-18 mark as the "short" following last week’s opening loss at the Giants; Fox’s Carolina teams were 20-7 as a dog during his first three seasons on the job between 2002-04. Fox is also 13-6 in his last 19 chances as a road favorite, although his Panthers don’t figure to be in that role too often this season. Carolina is also "under" 32-16 at home on Fox’s watch since 2004.

Lovie Smith, Chicago... Lovie’s 6-season coaching career in Chicago hit a crescendo in that Super Bowl XLI appearance vs. the Colts, but it’s been mostly downhill since. Lovie’s Bears are 19-29 vs. the number since that Super Bowl loss, and have not offered much value as a dog that span, either, dropping 16 of 24 getting points.

Marvin Lewis, Cincinnati... Lewis has endured a real pointspread rollercoaster during his career as Cincy HC which began back in 2003. The Bengals, notorious for pointspread streaks during Lewis’ years, are currently on a 1-6 run vs. the number since late last season after covering 9 of their previous 12. Mostly, however, Lewis’ Bengals have underachieved as a favorite, dropping all 8 as chalk last season, and now 4-17 their last 21 in that role. Cincy is also "under" 19-8 for Lewis its last 27 at Paul Brown Stadium since late in the 2006 campaign.

Eric Mangini, Cleveland... Mangini’s three years with the Jets were marked by indifferent spread form after a surprising run to the playoffs during his first season in charge in 2006. Mangini’s Jets were just 13-18-1 vs. the number his last two seasons (2007-08) after an 11-6 spread mark in that unexpected ‘06 run. The Browns turned around their 2009 campaign by covering their last 7 games after a very slow break from the gate, but the 2010 campaign began with a disturbing loss at Tampa Bay.

Wade Phillips, Dallas... Phillips has made several stops in his long coaching career, becoming something of a football version of Dave Bristol, with Dallas his fifth heading coaching position in the league (albeit two of his previous HC gigs, at New Orleans and Atlanta, were of the interim variety). But after last Sunday’s bitter loss at Washington, Phillips is level at 26-26 vs. the number since ‘07 with the Cowboys, and middling in most spread categories, save for a slightly subpar mark as dog (3-6).

Josh McDaniels, Denver... Limited data on young Josh, beginning only his second year as a head coach. But it’s worth noting that his Broncos have been sliding since winning and covering their first six games out of the chute last season, just 2-9 SU an 3-8 vs. the number in the 11 games since.

Jim Schwartz, Detroit... Like McDaniels, it’s still early days for Schwartz, just starting his second season in Detroit. Inheriting a winless mess with the Lions, Schwartz posted a 4-10-2 spread mark in his first trip around the head coaching track last season, although he did get a narrow cover in the 2010 opener vs. the Bears.

Mike McCarthy, Green Bay... McCarthy has emerged as a pointspread force, now posting a 36-18 spread mark his last 54 on the board since late in his first season as Packers HC in 2006. Of particular interest is a 16-5 mark his last 21 as a dog since midway in the 06 campaign. McCarthy’s Packers are also "over" 32-20 since 2007.

Gary Kubiak, Houston... Now embarking upon his fifth year with the Texans, Kubiak’s most noteworthy trend has been success as a home underdog, in which he has covered 8 of his last 9 chances after last week’s upset win over Indy. Overall numbers, however, are close to .500 across the board.

Jim Caldwell, Indianapolis... Caldwell certainly inherited a nice situation with Peyton Manning and the Colts. Caldwell’s first Colts team in ‘09 performed much like predecessor Tony Dungy’s Indy editions, for which Caldwell served as defensive coordinator. We’ll watch closely, however, if the strongest Caldwell/Colt spread trend in ‘09 (6-1 as road chalk) can continue in 2010 after losing the opener as a short-priced favorite at Houston.

Jack Del Rio, Jacksonville... The Jags’ opening win vs. Denver might signal a much-needed turnaround for Del Rio, whose J’ville teams were just 9-23 vs. the line the past two seasons. Despite the cover against the Broncos, Del Rio’s Jags are still only 8-17 as chalk since late 2006, and his once solid dog record has slipped to just 14-14 the past three years.

Todd Haley, Kansas City... Things are looking a little better for Haley after Monday night’s win over the Chargers. That home success could signal a turnaround in spread fortunes for the Chiefs, who were only 2-6 vs. the number at Arrowhead in Haley’s first season a year ago, continuing a trend back to the last two Herm Edwards years when KC was just 4-11 vs. the line at home. Haley’s Chiefs have now covered 8 of their last 13 on the board after opening with four straight spread losses (and 5 SU defeats) a year ago.

Tony Sparano, Miami... Sparano’s Dolphins have covered 10 of their last 12 as a road dog since early in the 2008 campaign, Sparano’s first as Dolphins HC. But his Miami teams are just 1-6 as home chalk since ‘08. The Dolphins were also a surprising 7-1 "over" at home for Sparano last season.

Brad Childress, Minnesota... The bald and bearded Childress benefited from Brett Favre’s presence a year ago, especially at the Metrodome where the Vikings were 6-2 vs. the number (they had been 3-8 their previous 11 vs. the line as host). But for most of Childress’ run at Minnesota since 2006, his Vikes have been a 50-50 spread proposition in nearly all categories.

Bill Belichick, New England... Perhaps Belichick is ready to revive the Patriots as a pointspread force once more after fortunes began to tail off late in the memorable 2007 campaign. Entering this season, Belichick’s Patriots had dropped 23 of their last 41 spread decisions since late in 2007, but a win in the opener over Cincy has lifted spirits in Foxborough. Over his ten-year career with New England, Belichick has not surprisingly offered solid value as a dog (34-17 in role), and as been a fairly consistent winner on the road (52-35 vs. line since 2000).

Sean Payton, New Orleans... Despite all of the recent excitement in New Orleans, remember that Payton’s Saints are just 10-10 vs. the line since the start of last season, and just 4-9-1 their last 14 on the board. Payton’s Saints are also a surprising 26-27-1 their last 54 games on the board since late ‘06.

Tom Coughlin, NY Giants... Coughlin, who also had a lengthy stint as the Jags’ first head coach, has been on his current assignment with the Giants since 2004. A poor 2-9 spread run to close ‘09 has been the only pointspread downer of the past three years; Coughlin’s G-Men were 32-11 vs. the number in their previous 43 games that included the memorable Super Bowl XLII win over Bill Belichick’s Patriots. Perhaps the opening win over Carolina signifies a return to previous form. The Giants are also "over" a surprising 12-4 since the beginning of last season.

Rex Ryan, NY Jets... For all of the bluster regarding the Jets, note that Ryan is just 11-9 vs. the line since taking over last season (9-9 if you count games where the opponent tried to win), and now just 4-5 as host after the opening loss to the Ravens.

Tom Cable, Oakland... The most interesting facet of Cable’s short but turbulent run in Oakland since succeeding the despised Lane Kiffin early in 2008 is the spread pattern of his Raiders a year ago, when Oakland alternated wins and losses vs. the spread each week from the fifth game forward. Cable, however, has yet to cover as chalk (0-2) with the Raiders, continuing a pattern that has extended to mid 2005 (Oakland no covers its last 11 in chalk role). Note Oakland is favored this week vs. the visiting Rams.

Andy Reid, Philadelphia... "Dang it" Andy is only 1-5 as a dog since the start of last season, but his 11-season run in Philly has been marked but lots of spread success when getting points (44-27 in role). Overall, however, Reid has flattened out over the past five seasons (just 43-43 vs. the number since ‘05) after a 67-40 spread mark his first six years on the job.

Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh... Much like New Orleans with Sean Payton, it might surprise some to find out that Tomlin is just 26-26 vs. the line since 2007 as Steelers HC, even after winning and covering the opener in dramatic fashion vs. Atlanta. Tomlin’s Steelers are also just 4-11 their last 15 as chalk, although they are 7-2 as a dog after the win over the Falcons.

Norv Turner, San Diego... Norv (did you know his real name is Norval, was once a starting QB at Oregon not long after Dan Fouts, and his brother Ron is an Indy assistant and former HC at Illinois?) spent seven seasons as Redskins HC between 1994-2000 and has begun his fourth season with the Chargers. Expect a bumpy early season ride, however, as Norv’s Chargers are now 5-10-1 vs. the line their first five games of the season after Monday night’s loss in Kansas City. But Norv 25-13-1 vs. the number from the sixth game onward with the Bolts. Norv is also 9-5 as a dog with the Chargers.

Mike Singletary, San Francisco... Although that was real downer for his 49ers in the opener at Seattle, Singletary has posted mostly-solid numbers since taking over for Mike Nolan midway in the 2008 season. After losing his first game in ‘08 vs. the Seahawks, Singletary is 14-7-3 vs. the line since, and has covered 8 of 10 tries as an underdog. Singletary’s 49ers are also "under" 15-6 their last 21 games.

Pete Carroll, Seattle... Carroll returns to the NFL after a wild run of success at Southern Cal, which was preceded by so-so results in NFL stints with the Patriots (1997-99) and Jets (1994). Overall, Carroll was 65-51 vs. the points at Troy. At New England, Carroll’s best success came as an underdog (10-6-1), which after the opening win over San Francisco makes Carroll 17-9-1 his last 27 getting points.

Steve Spagnuolo, St. Louis... The former Giants d.c. begins his second year with the Rams after a bumpy ride in ‘09. Although Spagnuolo fared a bit better vs. the line (7-9) than most would have expected in 2009. This season started with a bitter home loss to the Cards, which was also "under," the latest Rams trend for Spagnuolo (now "under" 5-1 last 6, and 6-2 "under
away since last year).

Raheem Morris, Tampa Bay... After a slow start in his rookie season a year ago, Morris has experienced improved spread fortunes, covering 6 of his last 10, including the opener vs. the Browns. Morris’ Bucs have also been "under" 11-6 since he took over a year ago.

Jeff Fisher, Tennessee... The longest-tenured NFL coach, having been on the job with the Titans since the franchise was still based in Houston, Fisher’s spread numbers have mostly flattened out over the years. His dog mark was 32-13 from 1995-2000, though it is only 37-34 since. Note that his Titans have been going "over" more often than not at home the past few years (28-16 "over" at LP Field since mid ‘04 after last week’s over vs. the Raiders).

Mike Shanahan, Washington... The Shan returns to the sidelines after a one-year hiatus, following a 14-season run in Denver and a long ago 1+ year stint with the Raiders. The opening win over Dallas was good news for Shanahan fans after their man had seen his pointspread fortunes drop precipitously in his last few years in Denver, when the Broncos were just 11-21 vs. the line at home from 2005-08 and 15-27 as chalk that span. Shanahan was also once a force as an underdog, recording an 18-6-1 mark in that role with the Broncos between 1995-2000, but only 16-20 in that role his last 8 years in Denver.

[StarDust Bum]

SNF - Giants at Colts

The Giants and Colts wrap up the Sunday NFL card, as the story will revolve around the Manning brothers. Both Peyton and Eli have won Super Bowl MVP's, as each quarterback is looking for a second championship. Each team is coming in off a different result in Week 1, as the Colts want to prove that there is no hangover from February's Super Bowl setback to the Saints.

The Super Bowl loser is now 0-9 ATS and 2-7 SU since 2002 in the following season opener after the Colts fell as one-point favorites at Houston, 34-24. The elder Manning threw for 433 yards and three touchdowns in the loss, but the Texans ran all over the Colts' defense for 257 yards, including a career-high 231 from another former Tennessee Volunteer in Arian Foster. All three of Foster's touchdowns came in the second half, as Houston managed to win this key divisional game despite just nine completions by quarterback Matt Schaub.

The Giants had some initial struggles against the Panthers last Sunday at the new Meadowlands, trailing Carolina by two at the half. New York rebounded with a strong second half by outscoring Carolina, 17-2 in a 31-18 victory, covering as 5 ½-point favorites. The younger Manning tossed three touchdown passes, but also threw three interceptions. The Giants were able to overcome their four turnovers by causing five takeaways and holding the Panthers to three field goals.

Only four games finished 'over' the total in Week 1, but two of those 'overs' came from the Giants and Colts. Four of the five games that saw the winning team score 31 points or more cashed the 'over,' with the lone 'push' coming in Seattle's 31-6 victory over San Francisco.

New York hasn't been a strong play against AFC opponents on the road under Tom Coughlin, going 5-7 SU/ATS since 2004. The Giants are listed as a road underdog versus an interconference opponent for only the second time since 2007, as New York won at Pittsburgh as a three-point 'dog, 21-14 in October 2008. Coughlin gets his troops up when receiving points on the highway, compiling an 18-9 mark as an away 'dog.

The last time the Colts had a home opener on a Sunday night, Indianapolis was shocked by Chicago in 2008 by a 29-13 count. The Colts were double-digit favorites in that contest, the debut of Lucas Oil Stadium. Since that loss, Indianapolis has won 15 of its last 17 home games, while going 8-9 ATS in this stretch. Covering single-digit numbers at home is a problem for the defending AFC champions, cashing only three of the last 10 regular season opportunities over the last two seasons.

The Colts have struggled when trying to rebound from a SU favorite loss, putting together a dreadful 2-9 ATS mark since 2004. Indianapolis better take advantage of playing at home, as the Colts will play only one more game at Lucas Oil Stadium after Sunday's contest until the start of November (Kansas City on October 10).

The last time these teams met was at the old Meadowlands in the opening week of the 2006 season. The Colts came through with a 26-21 victory as three-point road 'chalk,' while barely finishing 'under' the total of 48. The Giants outgained the Colts, 433-327, including a 186-55 advantage on the ground. That would be a huge theme of the Super Bowl season for Indianapolis in '06, allowing tons of rushing yards, but the Colts fixed that issue in a strong postseason run. It's interesting that two of the biggest contributors for the Giants in that game was now-retired Tiki Barber (171 all-purpose yards) and now-incarcerated Plaxico Burress (80 yards, TD). From a gambling standpoint, Adam Vinatieri drilled a 32-yard field goal with 1:12 to go to put Indianapolis up by five points, and lifting Colts' backers to victory.

VI capper Joe Nelson says the Colts may fall into an early hole in the division they own, "Indianapolis did not look like a Super Bowl team last week and more injuries on defense could make this a very tough second game sitting at 0-1 with the three AFC South rivals starting 1-0."

From the totals perspective, Nelson notes that the 'over' may seem too easy with these two pass-happy offenses, "While many will jump at the 'over' in this game, be aware that the Giants game was on pace to stay well 'under' last week until 17 points were scored in the final two minutes of the first half with penalties playing a big role in extending drives. The Colts' game also played well 'over' last week, but Indianapolis was forced to the air after falling way behind early, amassing 419 passing yards. Look for more of a ground attack from both teams as the Giants try to find the same holes that the Texans found and the Colts will seek to control the clock and avoid playing from behind."

Indianapolis won all three games on Sunday Night Football last season, with the lone home victory coming over New England in the wild 35-34 triumph in mid-November. The Giants finished 1-2 in the Sunday primetime game in 2009, but the win did come in Week 2 at Dallas, 33-31 as three-point underdogs.

The Colts are currently 5 ½-point favorites at most books, while the total has settled at 48 after opening up at 47. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST from Lucas Oil Stadium, as NBC will televise the contest.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL Betting: Ravens and Bengals battle

The Baltimore Ravens will have to deal with a much-hyped, trash-talking, 2009 playoff team this week. Again.

One week after dispatching the "Hard Knocks" Jets with a dominating defensive performance, the Ravens take their act on the road to face the defending AFC North champion Cincinnati Bengals at 10 a.m. PT on CBS. Easy Street Sports has installed the Ravens as 2½-point favorites.

In last week's Monday Night game in New York, the Ravens defense put on a show holding the Mark Sanchez-led Jets to 74 passing yards and only six first downs in a 10-9 victory. The Ravens opened the season with a depleted secondary – no Ed Reed, Lardarius Webb or Domonique Foxworth – and were never tested by New York.

That is one thing that is certain to change on Sunday.

While the New England Patriots were cruising to an eventual 38-24 win over the Bengals, the second half of the game belonged to Cincinnati. The Bengals returned to a no-huddle offense that was successful for them last season.

Chad Ochocinco caught 12 balls and three newcomers (rookie Jordan Shipley, Terrell Owens and Jermaine Gresham) caught 18 more, almost entirely in the final 30 minutes. This spreading of the wealth is a luxury the Jets do not have, much to Baltimore's delight in Week 1.

Still, Easy Street Sports has installed Baltimore as 2½-point favorites, a number that is a field goal better than the plus 1 the Ravens were receiving at New York. Along with a total of 40, it is perhaps the most interesting pair of numbers on the NFL betting board.

Baltimore hasn't failed to cover a September game in two years, but the Bengals have won eight of the last 11 meetings, and covered in all eight of the wins, including last year's sweep. Then again, Baltimore had a home-and-away sweep of their own in 2008.

One thing has remained consistent over that time, though. Scoring has been at a premium. The two haven't combined to score more than 40 points since the opening week of the 2007 campaign.

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/13/10 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
09/12/10 13-13-0 50.00% -650 Detail
09/09/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/02/10 14-15-3 48.28% -1250 Detail
Totals 31-30-3 50.82% -1000

Sunday, September 19Game Score Status Pick Amount

Baltimore - 1:00 PM ET Cincinnati +2.5 500
Cincinnati - Over 39.5 500

Miami - 1:00 PM ET Miami +5.5 500
Minnesota - Under 39.5 500

Chicago - 1:00 PM ET Dallas -7 500
Dallas - Under 40.5 500

Philadelphia - 1:00 PM ET Detroit +6.5 500
Detroit - Over 41.5 500

Arizona - 1:00 PM ET Atlanta -6.5 500
Atlanta - Over 43 500

Kansas City - 1:00 PM ET Kansas City +3 500
Cleveland - Under 38.5 500

Buffalo - 1:00 PM ET Buffalo +12.5 500
Green Bay - Over 42.5 500

Pittsburgh - 1:00 PM ET Pittsburgh +5 500
Tennessee - Over 37 500

Tampa Bay - 1:00 PM ET Tampa Bay +3 500
Carolina - Under 38.5 500

St. Louis - 4:05 PM ET St. Louis +3.5 500
Oakland - Over 37.5 500

Seattle - 4:05 PM ET Seattle +3.5 500
Denver - Over 40 500

Houston - 4:15 PM ET Washington +2.5 500
Washington - Over 43 500

Jacksonville - 4:15 PM ET San Diego -7 500
San Diego - Under 45.5 500

New England - 4:15 PM ET New England -3 500
N.Y. Jets - Over 38.5 500


Again my BEST BETS will be posted in a parlay i played.


09/19/2010 by ONLINE at 06:30 AM
[Ticket #: 82233234] PARLAY (7 TEAMS) RR (1P-7T)

09/19/2010 @ 10:00 AM NFL [209] BUFFALO +13 1.91

09/19/2010 @ 10:00 AM NFL [211] TOTAL o39½ 1.91
(BALTIMORE vrs CINCINNATI)

09/19/2010 @ 10:00 AM NFL [218] TOTAL u40½ 1.91
(CHICAGO vrs DALLAS)

09/19/2010 @ 01:05 PM NFL [226] OAKLAND -3 1.77

09/19/2010 @ 01:15 PM NFL [230] WASHINGTON +3 1.80

09/19/2010 @ 01:15 PM NFL [233] NEW ENGLAND -3 1.95

09/19/2010 @ 01:15 PM NFL [234] TOTAL u38 1.91
(NEW ENGLAND vrs NY JETS)

----------------------------------------------------------

09/19/2010 by ONLINE at 06:35 AM
[Ticket #: 82233485] PARLAY (8 TEAMS) RR (1P-8T)

09/19/2010 @ 10:00 AM NFL [207] KANSAS CITY +3 1.95

09/19/2010 @ 10:00 AM NFL [213] PITTSBURGH +5½ 1.91

09/19/2010 @ 10:00 AM NFL [221] TOTAL o43 1.91
(ARIZONA vrs ATLANTA)

09/19/2010 @ 10:00 AM NFL [223] MIAMI +5½ 1.91

09/19/2010 @ 10:00 AM NFL [223] TOTAL o39 1.91
(MIAMI vrs MINNESOTA)

09/19/2010 @ 01:05 PM NFL [225] TOTAL o37½ 1.91
(ST. LOUIS vrs OAKLAND)

09/19/2010 @ 01:15 PM NFL [230] WASHINGTON +3 1.80

09/19/2010 @ 01:15 PM NFL [231] TOTAL o45 1.91
(JACKSONVILLE vrs SAN DIEGO)


The STEELERS is my Play of Day.......Load up there.....

Good Luck !

[Kaptain]

gl today BUM....get em....thanks

[jt4545]

Thanks and Good Luck

[StarDust Bum]

OLs Colombo, Kosier active for Cowboys vs. Bears

ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) - Dallas offensive linemen Marc Colombo and Kyle Kosier are active and starting the Cowboys' home opener.

Colombo, the right tackle, and Kosier, the left guard, sustained knee injuries in training camp and missed the season opener. Both went through a full week of practice before Sunday's game against the Chicago Bears.

Pro Bowl linebacker DeMarcus Ware also starts for Dallas after leaving the season-opening loss at Washington early after taking a shot to the head.

Bears linebacker Nick Roach was inactive for the Bears, but linebacker Lance Briggs started after being bothered by an ankle.

Rookie linebacker Sean Lee (hamstring) was also inactive for the Cowboys, as was linebacker Brandon Williams.