Sunday Trends and Indexes 5/9 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

[StarDust Bum]

Today's NHL Picks

Vancouver at Chicago
The Canucks look to bounce back from their 7-4 loss in Game 4 and build on their 6-1 record in their last 7 games after allowing 5 goals or more in the previous game. Vancouver is the pick (+165) according to Dunkel, which has the Canucks favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+165). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MAY 9
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 9-10: Vancouver at Chicago (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.381; Chicago 12.171
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-185); 6
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+165); Over

[Udog]

Thanks again, Bum! I appreciate it!!!! Oh, yes.... good morning!

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Sunday, 5/9/2010

Eastern Conference 2nd Round - Best of 7 - Game 4 - Cle leads 2-1
CLEVELAND at BOSTON, 3:35 PM ET ABC
CLEVELAND: 11-2 ATS in the second round of the playoffs
BOSTON: 3-10 ATS after a combined score of 215+ points

Western Conference 2nd Round - Best of 7 - Game 4 - PHO leads 3-0
PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO, 8:05 PM ET TNT
PHOENIX: 17-4 ATS against Southwest division
SAN ANTONIO: 10-5 Under when facing elimination in a playoff series

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Sunday, 5/9/2010

Western Conference Playoffs - Second Round - Best of 7 - Game 5 - CHI 3-1
VANCOUVER at CHICAGO, 8:05 PM ET VERSUS
VANCOUVER: 9-0 SU Away revenging a home loss of 3+ goals
CHICAGO: 9-17 SU after scoring 5+ in BB games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Sunday, 5/9/2010

CHICAGO CUBS at CINCINNATI, 1:10 PM ET
DEMPSTER: 36-20 Over as a favorite of -125 to -175
LEAKE: CIN 23-9 at home in May

SAN FRANCISCO at NY METS, 1:10 PM ET
LINCECUM: 8-2 TSR as a favorite of -175 to -250
PEREZ: 3-9 TSR at home in days games

FLORIDA at WASHINGTON, 1:35 PM ET
SANCHEZ: 30-14 Under when the total is 8.5 to 10
HERNANDEZ: WAS 12-27 as a favorite

ST LOUIS at PITTSBURGH, 1:35 PM ET
WAINWRIGHT: STL 26-5 as a favorite of -175 to -250
MAHOLM: PIT 20-44 in day games

ATLANTA at PHILADELPHIA, 1:35 PM ET
KAWAKAMI: ATL 22-10 Over Away in day games
HAMELS: PHI 4-9 as a home favorite of -175 to -200

SAN DIEGO at HOUSTON, 2:05 PM ET
CORREIA: 17-7 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5
OSWALT: 17-28 TSR in May

COLORADO at LA DODGERS, 4:10 PM ET
JIMENEZ: COL 3-12 Away with a money line of -100 to -125
KERSHAW: LAD 18-6 Over at home when the total is 7 to 7.5

MILWAUKEE at ARIZONA, 4:10 PM ET
NARVESON: MIL 8-1 Over as a road underdog
KENNEDY: ARI 21-34 against left-handed starters

DETROIT at CLEVELAND, 1:05 PM ET
SCHERZER: 12-21 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
TALBOT: CLE 20-6 Under at home with a money line of -100 to -125

TORONTO at CHI WHITE SOX, 2:05 PM ET
ROMERO: TOR 17-5 Over Away against AL Central
FLOYD: 7-0 TSR as a home underdog

BALTIMORE at MINNESOTA, 2:10 PM ET
MATUSZ: BAL 9-2 Under on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10
BLACKBURN: MIN 12-27 against AL East

KANSAS CITY at TEXAS, 3:05 PM ET
HOCHEVAR: KC 12-5 Over as a road underdog of +150 or more
FELDMAN: 0-6 TSR at home against AL Central

TAMPA BAY at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
SHIELDS: TB 13-1 in road games
BRADEN: 10-3 Under in day games

LA ANGELS at SEATTLE, 4:10 PM ET
SANTANA: 8-1 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
VARGAS: SEA 11-24 in May

NY YANKEES at BOSTON, 8:05 PM ET ESPN
BURNETT: NYY 8-1 Over when the total is 9 to 9.5
LESTER: BOS 6-11 against division opponents

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Sunday, May 9

Orlando won five of six games against the Hawks this year, winning by 17-32-18 in regular season, before pounding Atlanta 114-71 in Game 1, then 112-98 in Game 2; Magic are 6-0 in playoffs, with only one of the wins by less than eight points. Hawks' starting Gs were 6-18 in Game 3; other than Crawford (7-18), their bench took only three shots. Orlando shot 56% from floor last game, a game they trailed 57-49 at the half.

Lakers won five of six vs Utah this season; both series games went over the total. Lakers shot 53% in first game, as Bryant was 12-19 from floor, and Gasol blocked five shots; Bynum had 17 points, 14 rebounds last game; Jazz didn't have enough size with Okur/Kirilenko out, but they're getting Kirilenko back for this game. Jazz won all three home games in first round, winning by 12-11-8 points. Lakers lost two of three games at Oklahoma City in their first round series.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Sunday, May 9

Montreal turned series around in third period Thursday, scoring pair of goals to win 3-2, squaring series 2-2, after Penguins had outshot them in previous seven periods, 81-36. Pittsburgh is just 3-3 at home in playoffs while Canadiens are 4-2 away from home. Penguins won seven of last 10 series games. Last three series games stayed under the total. Penguins are 2-11 on power play in last three games, Montreal 0-4.

Red Wings scored four goals in 5:36 of first period in Game 4, racing out to 5-0 lead, staving off elimination; now they had back to Shark Tank where they lost pair of 4-3 games to open series. Detroit was 3-8 with a man advantage in Game 4, after being 1-11 in first three games. Eight of last ten Red Wing games went over the total, including all four games in this series. Sharks were 1-11 on power play in Detroit, after going 4-16 in the first two games of series.

[Udog]

MLB
Write-Up


Sunday, May 9

Hot pitchers
-- JJohnson is 3-0, 2.33 in his last four starts.
-- JSantana is 2-1, 3.12 in three home starts; he gave up 10 runs in his last start, at Philadelphia.
-- Garland is 3-0, 0.81 in his last three starts.
-- Garcia is 3-1, 1.69 in five starts this season.
-- Gorzelanny has a 2.57 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Valdez allowed one run in five IP in his first start, 9-1 win at Astros.
-- Chacin blanked Giants for seven innings in his first '10 start.

-- Verlander has a 1.32 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Sabathia is 4-1, 2.17 in his last five starts. Buchholz is 2-0, 2.87 in his last couple starts.
-- Liriano is 4-0, 0.90 in his last four starts.
-- Tampa Bay won last four Davis starts (3-0, 1.96).
-- Cecil has a 1.29 RA in his last two starts.
-- Harden is 2-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts.
-- Fister is 2-0, 0.87 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Medlen has a 2.55 ERA in 17.2 IP for Braves, covering 12 games. He started four games for the Braves LY. Blanton lost his first '10 start 6-4 to the Cardinals, giving up four runs in 6.2 IP.
-- Chico was 7-15, 4.98 in 39 starts for Washington in 2007-8. He was 1-2, 3.12 in five AAA starts this season.
-- Wellemeyer is 1-3, 6.33 in four starts this season.
-- Paulino is 0-4, 7.81 in five starts this season.
-- Karstens is 0-1, 6.17 in two starts this season.
-- Harang is 1-4, 7.22 in six starts this season.
-- Wolf is 1-2, 4.50 in three road starts.
-- Haeger is 0-3, 9.82 in four starts this season.

-- Masterson is 0-3, 8.31 in his last four starts.
-- Millwood has a 2.70 RA in his last two starts. Orioles are 0-6 when Guthrie starts (0-4, 5.26). Baker has a 10.80 RA in his last three starts.
-- Sheets is 0-3, 12.83 in his last three starts.
-- Royals are 0-5 when Meche starts (0-3, 9.89).
-- Peavy is 1-2, 6.62 in his last three starts.
-- Saunders is 1-2, 11.57 in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Three of last four Philly home games stayed under the total.
-- All six JJohnson starts went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five JSantana starts.
-- Six of last eight Cub games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Paulino starts went over the total.
-- Four of last six Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Colorado road games stayed under total. Last five Dodger home games went over the total.

-- Five of last seven Indian home games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Bronx games.
-- Six of last eight Texas home games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Baltimore road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten White Sox games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Tampa Bay games.
-- Under is 8-5-1 in last fourteen Seattle games.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won last four games, allowing three runs.
-- Nationals are 8-1 in game following their last nine losses.
-- Pirates won three of their last four games.
-- Mets won their last eight home games. Giants won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Padres won 12 of their last 17 games.
-- Brewers won three of their last four games. Arizona is 5-1 at home in game following a loss.
-- Dodgers won five of their last seven games. Rockies are 9-4 in game following their last 13 losses.

-- Bronx won eight of its last nine games. Red Sox won four of five.
-- Twins won four of their last five games.
-- Rangers won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Toronto won its last six games, scoring 36 runs.
-- Tampa Bay is 13-1 on the road this season.

Cold teams
-- Braves lost ten of their last eleven road games.
-- Marlins lost three of their last four games.
-- Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Cubs lost three of their last four games. Reds are 0-3 in second game of series if they lost the opener.
-- Astros lost ten of their last eleven games.

-- Indians lost five of their last six games. Tigers lost four of their last five games on foreign soil.
-- Royals lost five of their last six road games.
-- Orioles lost 13 of their 17 road games.
-- A's lost seven of their last ten games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
-- Angels are 1-7 on this road trip, allowing 54 runs. Mariners lost their last seven games, scoring nine runs.

Umpires
-- Fla-Wsh-- Underdog won four of six Scott games.
-- SF-NY-- Three of last four Hernandez games went over the total.
-- Atl-Phil-- Underdog won three of five Hoye games this season.
-- SD-Hst-- Favorites won five of six Davidson games.
-- StL-Pitt-- Favorites won all five Foster games (under 3-1-1).
-- Chi-Cin-- Over is 3-1-1 in Layne games this season.
-- Mil-Az-- Five of seven Danley games stayed under the total.
-- Colo-LA-- Last three Hohn games stayed under the total.

-- Det-Clev-- No idea who umpire is for this game.
-- Balt-Minn-- No idea who umpires are for this twinbill.
-- NY-Bos-- Home team won four of last five Johnson games.
-- TB-A's-- Home team won all five Tichenor games (over 4-1).
-- Tor-Chi-- Three of last four TWelke games went over the total.
-- KC-Tex-- Home team won all five Carlson games.
-- LA-Sea-- Road team won all five Rapuano games.

[Udog]

NBA


Sunday, May 9

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Trend Report
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3:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. SAN ANTONIO
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
San Antonio is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Phoenix


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[Udog]

NHL


Sunday, May 9

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


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[Udog]

MLB


Sunday, May 9

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
San Francisco is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing NY Mets
San Francisco is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Mets are 11-4 SU in its last 15 games

1:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 5-10 SU in their last 15 games when playing Chi Cubs

1:35 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. PITTSBURGH
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Pittsburgh is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis

1:35 PM
FLORIDA vs. WASHINGTON
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing Washington
Washington is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Florida
Washington is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Florida

1:35 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

2:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. HOUSTON
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego

2:05 PM
TORONTO vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Toronto is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games at home
Chi White Sox are 5-18 SU in their last 23 games when playing Toronto

2:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MINNESOTA
Baltimore is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Baltimore is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Baltimore

3:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TEXAS
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Texas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

4:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. OAKLAND
Tampa Bay is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

4:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ARIZONA
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

4:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 5-15 SU in their last 20 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Colorado
LA Dodgers are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games when playing Colorado

8:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
Boston is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Boston is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing NY Yankees


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[Udog]

NBA


Sunday, May 9

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Tips and Trends
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics [ABC | 3:30 PM ET]

Cavaliers (-1, O/U 196.5): Cleveland had their backs up against the wall for arguably the 1st time this season, and their answer was a resounding one. Cleveland dominated the Celtics in Game 3, leading the entire way. F LeBron James was dynamic, as he scored a game high 38 PTS. James was extremely efficient offensively, and also had 8 rebounds and 7 assists against only 1 turnover. All 5 starters scored in double figures for the Cavaliers, as they played their most complete game of the playoffs in a high stakes situation. Cleveland is 67-23 SU and 42-47-1 ATS overall this season. The Cavaliers are 28-16 SU and 24-19 ATS in road contests this season. Cleveland is 2-1 ATS as a road favorite of 3 PTS or fewer this season. The Cavaliers are 23-17 ATS this season when playing against a team with a winning SU record.

Cavs are 1-6 ATS last 7 games as a road favorite up to 4.5 points.
Over is 6-1 last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 95 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

Celtics: Boston's home court advantage was short lived, as the Celtics were dominated by the Cavaliers in Game 3. The Celtics fell behind literally from the opening tip, and ultimately lost by 29 PTS to Cleveland. Boston lost every quarter to Cleveland, and allowed the Cavaliers to score 124 PTS while shooting nearly 60% from the field. F Paul Pierce needs to flat out play better, as he had a non-existent 11 PTS in Game 3. Pierce is only scoring 12.7 PPG and is shooting just 31% against Cleveland in this playoff series. PG Rajon Rondo is averaging 16.3 PPG and nearly 12 APG during the playoffs this year. F Kevin Garnett is also playing well, averaging 16.5 PPG and nearly 10 RPG during the playoffs. Boston is 55-35 SU and 38-50-2 ATS overall this season. Boston is 27-18 SU and 15-29-1 ATS in home games this season. The Celtics need to use their battle tested experience to lead them in this vital Game 4 at home.

Celtics are 8-2-1 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog.
Over is 5-1 last 6 games as a home underdog.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 93



Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs [TNT | 8:00 PM ET]

Suns: Phoenix continues their dominating form, as they are 1 victory away from the Western Conference Finals. The Suns have been relentless on offense, as they continually score at least 110 PTS and shoot 50% from the field or better. Phoenix was expected to struggle in this series against the Spurs, their playoff nemesis. Instead, the Suns appear to be playing the best basketball in the Western Conference. The Suns have a deep bench, with G Goran Dragic the latest role player to step up for the Suns. Dragic had 26 PTS, all in the 2nd half to carry the Suns to victory in Game 3. G Jason Richardson is averaging 23 PPG in leading the Suns in scoring during the playoffs. C Channing Frye and F Jared Dudley have contributed 29 three pointers so far in the playoffs. Phoenix is 61-30 SU and 55-35-1 ATS overall this season. The Suns are 25-20 SU and 26-19 ATS in road games this season. Phoenix is now 17-4 ATS against Southwest Division opponents this year.

Suns are 4-0 ATS last 4 games as a road underdog.
Under is 8-1-1 last 10 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.

Key Injuries - C Robin Lopez (back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 97

Spurs (-3.5, O/U 207): San Antonio could of never imagined that they would be facing elimination in Game 4, but that's exactly the case. After entering this series as arguably the hottest team in the NBA, the Spurs are 48 minutes away from vacation time. The Spurs looked to be in control of Game 3 at home, but the 4th quarter proved to be costly. San Antonio has absolutely no answer for the Suns offense, as Phoenix again scored 110 PTS. G Manu Ginobli had a team high 27 PTS, including 4 three pointers in Game 3. F Tim Duncan had 15 PTS and 13 rebounds to help San Antonio, but PG Tony Parker was limited to just 10 PTS in defeat. San Antonio is 54-37 SU and 47-42-2 ATS overall this season. The Spurs are 32-13 SU and 26-17-2 ATS in home games this season. San Antonio is only 6-8 ATS as a home favorite between 3.5 and 6 PTS this season. The Spurs will attempt to avoid elimination on their home floor, as they are a proud franchise that was once considered a dynasty.

Spurs are 9-3-1 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
Over is 5-0 last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Key Injuries - G Tony Parker (shoulder) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 107 (Side of the Day)


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[Udog]

I just realized I grabbed yesterday's NBA and NHL write-ups. I'll post today's as soon as Armadillo gets them ready.

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Sunday, May 9

Cavaliers came out smokin' in Game 3, leading 36-17 after first quarter, 65-43 at half; they shot 59.5% for game, after shooting 48.7/40% in the first two series games. Starting Gs were 8-12 for day, after being 3-16 in Game 2. Boston bench was 10-27 from floor in what is the worst home playoff loss in Celtic history. Cleveland is now 2-1 on road in playoffs, with wins by 23-29 points.

Spurs lost first three series games by 9-8-14 points, with Suns scoring 111-111-110 points. Hill was -49 in the first three games, meaning San Antonio is +18 in 41:30 he was off floor. Parker was 5-17 from floor in first series game as starter, after scoring 46 points off bench for Spurs in first two games. San Antonio is 3-1 at home in playoffs, winning by 4-3-10 points, allowing just 94.3 ppg. Suns won three of their four playoff road games. Lot of pride on line for San Antonio in this game.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Sunday, May 9

Chicago won six of last seven games; they've outscored Vancouver 8-1 in third period in this series, outshooting Canucks 49-28. Chicago was 6-14 on power play in the two games in Vancouver, after being 1-8 in with a man advantage in first two games; Vancouver is just 418 on power play in series, after going 2-4 in Game 4. Over is 3-0-1 in this series. Chicago has 15 goals on 83 shots over last seven periods.