Tommy Gold NHL 2009/2010 Playoffs Picks

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (12-15-2, -2.10u) 2010.04.25 results recap:

Vancouver Canucks @ Los Angeles Kings: Over 5.5 +105 (2.05) BetPhoenix (2-4: WIN)

NHL 2010.04.25 finished 1-0 and +1.05 units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 178-232-6, -7.59 units lost (410 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 146-170-6, +11.01 units won (316 units risked)



NHL PLAYOFFS (12-15-2, -2.10u) 2010.04.26 final 3 picks:

Buffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) BetPhoenix

Washington Capitals @ Montreal Canadiens: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +170 (2.70) The Greek

Chicago Blackhawks @ Nashville Predators: Over 5 -130 (1.77) The Greek

*One unit each always.



Buffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins

After losing their home advantage, the Sabres will go to Boston with one thing in mind: win or go home. At this point and at this level, obviosly no one wants to go home.

The Sabres arrived to this series with one edge. If the game needed a seventh game, it would be at their home. But their home advantage as been lost in their second home game. And they couldn't invert the situation when they went to Boston, despite both losses were by one goal, including one OT. Even so, they were able to hold the veterans Bruins when they only needed one win (and still need), with a 4-1 win at home. In that game, in similarity with the first game, the Sabres were able to held the Bruins, and with less shots, score more goals. Both games had the same key, Ryan Miller. The team only can win when they goalie make incredible performances, otherwise, the team is unable to hold the adversary.

The Bruins are in a good position to guarantee their qualification. They will play at home, where they were able to hold the lead in this series, and their game is improving. Their biggest deficit was their offense, but the team is playing a lot better in that part of the ice-field. They are shooting a lot, and their only obstacle is their goalkeeper. However, he usually can't play at the same level when he is coming from a huge performance, as we saw in the first game. The Bruins know that they just need to keep shooting and they will score.

We can't forget that if the Sabres lose this game, they are out. If the Bruins lose this game, they will have to play the next and conclusive game at Buffalo. So, no team will take this game lightly. We can't also forget that the Bruins are more accustomed to big games, their defense is much better, and the have more experience.

Pick: Boston Bruins 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) BetPhoenix

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (14-16-2, -1.03u) 2010.04.26 results recap:

Buffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) BetPhoenix (4-3: WIN)
Washington Capitals @ Montreal Canadiens: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +170 (2.70) The Greek (4-1: LOSS)
Chicago Blackhawks @ Nashville Predators: Over 5 -130 (1.77) The Greek (3-5: WIN)

NHL 2010.04.26 finished 2-1 and +1.07 units won/3 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 180-233-6, -6.52 units lost (413 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 148-171-6, +12.08 units won (319 units risked)



NHL PLAYOFFS (14-16-2, -1.03u) 2010.04.27 only pick:

Detroit Red Wings @ Phoenix Coyotes: Phoenix Coyotes ML +105 (2.05) BetPhoenix, -105 (1.95) Bookmaker

*One unit each always.

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (14-17-2, -2.03u) 2010.04.28 only pick:


Montreal Canadiens @ Washington Capitals

Capitals would easily pass this series, due to their offensive power and a poor regular season from the Canadiens.

The Canadiens were able to get a tie in the series with a fantastic game from Halak, as he were able to hold 53 shots!!!! The team have won that game 4-1 even when they only tried 22 shots against 54 shots. One of the strongest points that the Canadiens are showing in this series, is that they are extremely good in the finalization, with a great accuracy. They doesn't have to shot a lot to score a lot. Few shots are enough to some goals. It's hard to forget the second game in this series, in Washington, when the Canadiens forced an OT when they scored 5 goals in regular time in 28 shots. To keep their chances alive, they will have to keep this great accuracy. Their defense as been amazing lately, as it was the key for the 3 wins that they achieved.

For the Capitals, there are no questions regarding this series. They just have to pass. They proved during the regular season that they can be the best team, and they just can't quit so early. The team just have to play their best at home, as they seven game will be played at Washington. They tried to finish this series in the last game, at Montreal, but the Canadiens goalkeepers had made a incredible performance, not allowing more than one goal to the Capitals. At home, that kind of performances from the opponents goalkeepers is really unlikely, and the Capitals will have no mercy and shot again lot's of times.

With a win or go home game, no team can just hold. The game will be more open, as the Capitals will score the normal goals plus the goals they didn't score lately. The Canadiens already showed that the Capitals defense is not their best part, and will try to keep the pace and the scoreboard equalized as much as they can. The accuracy for both teams will probably be good tonight, as the Capitals will not have another 1.9% of goals per shots. The Canadiens already showed they they just need some shots to score, and the over is really likely today. If one team is losing, they will have to go to offense, with both games being better in that part.

Pick: Over 6 +106 (2.06) BetPhoenix, +100 (2.00) Bookmaker


*One unit each always.

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (14-18-2, -3.03u) 2010.04.29 only pick:


Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks

This will be the first conference semi-final game. The winner of this series will play the western conference finals, the last step before the Stanley Cup final. In the first view, the Sharks seems more likely to advance. They showed a better game during the regular season, being one of the biggest contenders to the Stanley Cup, specially after some prematures "knock outs".

They have the home advantage, when facing a team that didn't convince during the regular season. The Red Wings needed a game 7 to be here tonight. For a team with many old players, it's a little bit hard to play playoffs games with only one day off between them. It's true that they were able to pass the quarter finals facing a better seed, but the reality is that they were facing a team that had made a remarkable season, as they weren't contenders at all, and were a team with big problems in the pre-season.

They had the edge because the Coyotes never had fear to face the Red Wings, playing equally. The experience and maturity that the Red Wings have was the edge for the series. The Sharks had a easiest path, even thought that their adversary was in the reality an harder adversary. Even with a less brilliant regular season, the Avs tried to hold the Sharks with a big defense.

The kind of game is always harder when they faces teams that just conceal all the paths to the nets, as the game is played with a slower pace and with less opportunities and spaces. Even so, they only needed 6 games to solve the series, giving them 3 more days than the Red Wings to rest. The Red Wings faces a team that played like equal, with open spaces. It's always better for a team that have good offensive lines, but even so, they needed a 7 game tier.

The Sharks faced a team that didn't let them to show their potential, with no space. In this series, both team will play like equal, as the Red Wings, as dogs, nows that their chances is mostly due to their offensive, as their defense is not as good as the Sharks. The Sharks allowed 1.8 goals per game while the Red Wings allowed 2.20. But will not be a hard to the Red Wings, as they only scored 3.4 goals per game, mostly due to one game that they were able to win by many goals.

The Sharks, even facing a team that had more attention to the defense, were able to score 3.60 goals per game. At home and playing against a team that will play the game for the game, the Sharks have all the potential to show why they are one of the biggest contenders to the Stanley, as they will face a team that still needs to prove something this year.

Pick: San Jose Sharks -0.5 +123 (2.23) 5Dimes, (1X2) +120 (2.20) Bookmaker



NHL PLAYOFFS (14-18-2, -3.03u) 2010.04.28 results recap:

Montreal Canadiens @ Washington Capitals: Over 6 +106 (2.06) BetPhoenix (1-2: LOSS)

NHL 2010.04.28 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 180-235-6, -8.52 units lost (415 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 148-173-6, +10.08 units won (321 units risked)

[TommyGold]

Damn, forgot to include this recap:



NHL PLAYOFFS (14-17-2, -2.03u) 2010.04.27 results recap:

Detroit Red Wings @ Phoenix Coyotes: Phoenix Coyotes ML +105 (2.05) BetPhoenix (1-6: LOSS)

NHL 2010.04.27 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 180-234-6, -7.52 units lost (414 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 148-172-6, +11.08 units won (320 units risked)

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (15-18-2, -1.8u) 2010.04.29 results recap:

Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks -0.5 +123 (2.23) 5Dimes (4-3: WIN)

NHL 2010.04.29 finished 1-0 and +1.23 unit won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 181-235-6, -7.29 units lost (416 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 149-173-6, +11.31 units won (322 units risked)



NHL PLAYOFFS (15-18-2, -1.8u) 2010.04.30 only pick:

Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins

The Penguins are aware of what they will host today. At this point, and probably until the end of the playoffs, the Canadiens have made the biggest surprise with the elimination of the Washington Capitals. The Penguins will have to be smart enough to avoid big problems. They have the home advantage, and have to use it to be always in the lead, trying to get a win in Montreal and end this series early.

The Canadiens already know that they can be very cohesive in their defense, with their goaltender Halak in a great shape. They only have to hold, secure the game, and use meanwhile the open spaces from the Penguins, to score enough goals to get a win. Their defense at this point is very moralized, as they were able to eliminate the best first and second offensive lines in the NHL. The trick was simple, they were solid in front of their own nets, and made some deadly shots in the spaces that sometimes the Capitals defense gave. In the semi-finals, the Canadiens are well aware that the Penguins are the most similar team to the Capitals in the league. Great offensive lines, but a weak defense. So, the method will have to be the same. Hold their nets, few shots, but good accuracy.

The Penguins can't be so confident as the Capitals were. Yes, they got also some of the best offensive players. Most of their games are solved by their offensive line, as their defense are not among the bests. So, they have to be smarter, and try to use their edge without any risks. In a low game, waiting for the right time to attack, they can be better than the Canadiens, as they have better finalizers. So, their key is be at least so good as the Canadiens in the defense. They have the be really patient, to not make any mistakes that could cost them the home advantage, as they will probably pass through bad times in Montreal.

Pick: Under 5.5 +105 (2.05) BetPhoenix, +100 (2.00) Bookmaker

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (15-19-2, -2.8u) 2010.05.31 final 2 picks:

Philadelphia Flyers @ Boston Bruins: Under 5 +105 (2.05) Bookmaker

Vancouver Canucks @ Chicago Blackhawks: Over 5.5 -114 (1.88) BetPhoenix, -115 (1.87) Bookmaker

*One unit each always.



NHL PLAYOFFS (15-19-2, -2.8u) 2010.04.30 results recap:

Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Under 5.5 +105 (2.05) BetPhoenix (6-3: LOSS)

NHL 2010.04.30 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 181-236-6, -8.29 units lost (417 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 149-174-6, +10.31 units won (323 units risked)

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (16-20-2, -2.92u) 2010.05.02 final 4 picks:

Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins PL -1.5 +110 (2.10) The Greek

Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Over 5.5 -120 (1.83) Bookmaker

Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +225 (3.25) Bookmaker

Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: Over 5.5 +106 (2.06) BetPhoenix, +105 (2.05) 5Dimes

*One unit each always.



NHL PLAYOFFS (16-20-2, -2.92u) 2010.05.01 results recap:

Philadelphia Flyers @ Boston Bruins: Under 5 +105 (2.05) Bookmaker (5-4: LOSS)
Vancouver Canucks @ Chicago Blackhawks: Over 5.5 -114 (1.88) BetPhoenix (1-5: WIN)

NHL 2010.05.01 finished 1-1 and -0.12 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 182-237-6, -8.41 units lost (419 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 150-175-6, +10.19 units won (325 units risked)

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (17-23-2, -4.86u) 2010.05.03 final 2 picks:

Philadelphia Flyers @ Boston Bruins

The last game wasn't easy, as the Bruins let the Flyers tie the game after they were leading by 2 at the end of the first period, and also winning by 2 in the last 10 minutes. Even so, they had to get an OT to get their win. Today, they will have to avoid that kind of game.

The Flyers had 5 PP, and were able to score in 2 of them. The team only lost in OT, showing their strength and will. They never quit, and were almost able to make a surprise. However, they are aware that the Bruins are not so bad defenders as the Devils. Their biggest concern so far is to be able to win their home games while they try to get a win in Boston. Their offense is working good, but they will have to improve their defense, as they will not be able to score much goals against a powerful defense as Bruins got. However, even with the improvement that the Bruins had in their offense, they have to be better. They were able to do great defensive games against the Devils, who had a great offensive line than the Bruins, by far.

The Bruins are finally showing what everyone expected earlier in the season. However, is not clear yet if they are contenders. Their defense, have being good so far, but their big improvement was their offense, that wasn't working during the regular season, but finally seems healthy. Even so, they had some problems in the last game, allowing a late tie in the game. They are playing against a moralized team that are playing a good game and are really strong. They need to improve their defense, as it will be probably the key for this series. Their offense as been good so far, but even so, it can't be better than the Flyers offense. They need to control the game as they didn't last game, due to lack of defense.

Pick: Under 5.5 +110 (2.10) Bookmaker


Vancouver Canucks @ Chicago Blackhawks

The Canucks are with a 4 wins in a row. They started the playoffs with a home win in OT, but lost the second game at home in OT also. Then, they went to LA, lost the first game, but won since then 3 in a row, including 2 in LA. They were able to invert the result of the series when it was 1-2 to 4-2. For the Blackhawks, the situation was identical. They lost the first game at home, and the first game at Nashville. But all the other games was easy wins. It's curious that I expect a similar path in this series than the series that both teams had before. The Canucks played the first two games at home against the LA Kings, but lost the second one. The Blackhawks also played the first two games at home, against the Nashville Predators, and lost the first one, but won the second one. The loss that the Blackhawks suffered was by 1-4, but had a bounce back and won the second one against the Predators 2-0. In this series, the Blackhawks lost again the first game 1-5. The result is similar, it will be the second game also similar?

The Canucks have made a good regular season, but after the Olympic Games, the had a break down. Curious, because the Canucks are home-based in Vancouver, the city that hosted the Olympic Games. Every one in Vancouver was euphoric, and transport all their support from the Canadian team to the Canucks. Every one expects the Canucks to win this game, they got a big support for it. And since they started the playoffs, they had a big boost since game 4, where they started to win convincingly. Their offense as been great lately, and luckily for them, their defense have been awesome. However, we can't expect their defense to be as they are being lately. The real value of their defense is not so good, and they will face today a great offensive line, as we saw in the last game. The Canucks were able to stop 36 shots, only allowing one goal in PP. Such a fantastic performance from their defense it will be hard to repeat.

The Blackhawks seems to like to get more challenges. They for the second straight series, lost the first game, when they had the home advantage. However, the team is able to get more. They had a miserable game in game one, Being able to score in one PP situation only, when they had 6 situations. That goal was the only goal they scored that nigh in 37 shots. And if that wasn't bad enough, their defense allowed 5 goals in 28 shots. At home, the Blackhawks can be much stronger, with good defense and a great offense. Today, they will have to show their strength, or the will be to close to the end of the season.

Pick: Chicago Blackhawks 3Way (1X2) -0.5 +102 (2.02) 5Dimes, +100 (2.00) Goalwin

*One unit each always.

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (18-23-2, -3.84u) 2010.05.04 final 3 picks:

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Montreal Canadiens: Pittsburgh Penguins -0.5 +100 (2.00) 5Dimes, Pittsburgh 3Way (1X2) +100 (2.00) Goalwin

San Jose Sharks @ Detroit Red Wings: San Jose Sharks ML +145 (2.45) Bookmaker

San Jose Sharks @ Detroit Red Wings: Under 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker

*One unit each always.



Pittsburgh Penguins @ Montreal Canadiens

At this point, there is some doubts about the favoritism that the Penguins have. They already lost their home advantage, losing the second game at home against the Canadiens. The series are to dangerous close to what happen before between the Canadiens and the Capitals. The Penguins tried to score, with shots over shots, but only scored one goal, in a PP situation. The Canadiens are a completely different team in this playoffs, with a monster defense. So far, the Canadiens goalkeeper, Jaroslav Halak is probably the MVP of this playoffs.

The Pens are in a hard situation, as the Canadiens still able to make great defense performances. They have to break that wall to get their wins. Their offensive line is great, and they can't be stopped all the times, as we saw in game one. They needed less shots to score 6 times, but scored in all four PP situations they had. Their defense have suffered 3 goals in both games, and have to be improve, specially because they have to win this game to recover their advantage in this series. Their offense can be better, and after some struggling games, they will play with less pressing, as happened in Ottawa, where their offensive line was much better.

The Canadiens are giving big hopes to their supporters, as they were able to eliminate one of the biggest contenders previously, and are showing the some strength and will in this series. They already won one game in Pittsburgh. However, we can't forget that after winning the second game at Washington, the team wasn't able to hold the two home games they had next to that game. Their big boost only happened in game four, where they won 3 in a row and get the qualification. Their solid defense is their biggest edge, however, at home they are different. Their defense isn't so aggressive, because they can't play such a "bad game" in front of their supporters. They give more spaces, that are wisely availed for good offensive lines, like the Pens. Their moral is starting to be to high, as they think that at this point they can be the favorites.

Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins -0.5 +100 (2.00) 5Dimes, Pittsburgh 3Way (1X2) +100 (2.00) Goalwin


San Jose Sharks @ Detroit Red Wings

At this point, it seems hard to see the Red Wings in the conference final. They are losing 2-0 this series, and even thinking that they will have 2 home games now to try to tie the series, it will not be easy. Against the Coyotes, the Red Wings lost 2 home in games in 3. In the other side, the Sharks won 2 in 3 road games against the Avs.

The Sharks are aware of their good position to ensure their presence in the conference final. Without give away any of their first home games, their goals now is try to grab one road game. They know that this game can be a early key to the solve this series. In Detroit, they will have a very strong mental game, as the Red Wings can't commit any mistakes. The Sharks will have to be really solid in their defense, as if they can hold the Red Wings offense, they will be really close to a nice end. They are allowing only 1.80 goals per game lately, and as we saw in the first games in Colorado, they study the opponent team, waiting patiently for the right time. In the first game in Colorado, the game ended 0-0! Today, the game will not be so different. At that game, the Sharks had lost before one home game, and were in disadvantage. So, they had to be smart and cautious.

The Red Wings needs to win, as the Sharks only need 2 more games, when there are 3 games in Detroit and 2 in San Jose. Their only chance is win their home games and try to steal one road game in San Jose. But they can't be thinking in that, as they just have to think in today game. The team is well experienced, factor that helped them to won the game 7 in Phoenix. However, they will not face anymore a team that were in the pre-season with huge problems, they are now facing perhaps currently the biggest contender to Stanley Cup. They have to solve some problems as they showed against the Coyotes, like a bad home results. Lost 2 in 3 home games against a team like Coyotes is a huge problem, if we compare the Coyotes to the Sharks. At home, their biggest edge is their defense, something that isn't working lately as they expected.

Picks: San Jose Sharks ML +145 (2.45) Bookmaker & Under 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker



NHL PLAYOFFS (17-23-2, -4.86u) 2010.05.02 results recap:

Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins PL -1.5 +110 (2.10) The Greek (1-3: LOSS)
Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Over 5.5 -120 (1.83) Bookmaker (1-3: LOSS)
Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +225 (3.25) Bookmaker (4-3: LOSS)
Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: Over 5.5 +106 (2.06) BetPhoenix, +105 (2.05) 5Dimes (4-3: WIN)

NHL 2010.05.02 finished 1-3 and -1.94 units lost/4 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 183-240-6, -10.35 units lost (423 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 151-178-6, +8.25 units won (329 units risked)



NHL PLAYOFFS (18-23-2, -3.84u) 2010.05.03 results recap:

Philadelphia Flyers @ Boston Bruins: Under 5 +110 (2.10) Bookmaker (3-2: PUSH/VOID)
Vancouver Canucks @ Chicago Blackhawks: Chicago Blackhawks -0.5 +102 (2.02) 5Dimes, Chicago 3Way (1X2) +100 (2.00) Goalwin (4-2: WIN)

NHL 2010.05.03 finished 1-0-1 and +1.02 units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 184-240-7, -9.33 units lost (424 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 152-178-6, +9.27 units won (330 units risked)

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (20-24-2, -2.39u) 2010.05.04 results recap:

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Montreal Canadiens: Pittsburgh Penguins -0.5 +100 (2.00) 5Dimes (0-2: WIN)
San Jose Sharks @ Detroit Red Wings: San Jose Sharks ML +145 (2.45) Bookmaker (3-4: WIN)
San Jose Sharks @ Detroit Red Wings: Under 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker (3-4: LOSS)

NHL 2010.05.04 finished 2-1 and +1.45 units won/3 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 186-241-7, -7.88 units lost (427 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 154-179-7, +10.72 units won (333 units risked)



NHL PLAYOFFS (20-24-2, -2.39u) 2010.05.05 only pick:

Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers

Tonight, we will have another game between two teams that are home-based in this playoffs. That factor is among the biggest factors to decide today's winner. The Flyers have the edge in the offense, defense and PP. This is at home, because they can get a boost with their supporters while the Bruins will pass some hard times and will likely not be so moralized as they have been at home.

The Flyers are aware of their disadvantage right now, when they are losing 2-0. However, they still have their chances, as long as they can host and beat the Bruins. At home, they are enjoying a big support, as we saw in the previous series against the Devils, where they were able to win both home games they had. Since April 2, where they lost 1-0 against the Canadiens, the team is unbeatable at home.

Their defense have been strong lately at home, and today, we can expect it from them. We should remember that during the regular season, the Bruins struggled a lot offensively. Even in the playoffs, in 2 of their 3 road games, they weren't able to score more than one goal. Their offense is working well, and their are much better in Power Play situations. When the Flyers play at home, lot's of PP's is granted.

The Bruins, are finally revealing what people though about them. They needed an entire regular season to finally show how the game is played, however, despite a great improvement in their offense (their weakest point), they still aren't reliable in that point in road games. In their two last home games, where they were able to beat the Flyers, but both games only by one, they already show some problems, as they weren't able to hold the result.

Their defense seemed a little bit permeable to the Flyers offensive players, and they aren't the kind of team that likes to play without their public. They had a great improve since the regular season, but at home, where they didn't lost yet any playoff game.

Pick: Philadelphia Flyers -0.5 +112 (2.12) 5Dimes, Philadelphia Flyers (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker, Goalwin

*One unit each always.

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (20-25-3, -3.39u) 2010.05.06 final 2 picks:

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens ML +140 (2.40) Bookmaker

San Jose Sharks @ Detroit Red Wings: Under 5.5 -102 (1.98) BetPhoenix, -105 (1.95) Bookmaker

*One unit each always.



Pittsburgh Penguins @ Montreal Canadiens

There is a great value for the Canadiens tonight. Even they lost again the home advantage (that they had steal in Pittsburgh in game 2), they are not the kind of team that will quit because of it. They can move many supporters, supporters that fill the arena in Montreal and make lots of noise. As it happens against the Caps, when they were losing 3-1 in the series and had a bounce back to win 4-3, this disadvantage of 2-1 is nothing for them.

The Pens suffered a little bit in the last game. After a loss at home in game 2, the team didn't had the right approach for the game. However, they were able to win, with 2 goals scores in the last period. Before it, the team wasn't controlling the game, their defense had lot's of problems, and only in the second period their offensive lines appeared in the game. Thought they won the last game, it was clear that a their defense is a little bit permeable, and a moralized and confident team just need a little bit of luck to score against them. They were really happy specially in the first period, where Fleury had amazing defenses, holding the tie to 0-0. Otherwise, probably the Pens had bigger problems and a defeat. Their offense is also finding some problems to pass over the Canadiens defense.

The Canadiens are showing a really strong game. They are fighting for every games, winning when people less expect it. They were able to bounce back from a 3-1 disadvantage against the mighty Caps. Even thought that they only won one home game in this playoffs, we should remember that it happened when they were trying to tie the series against the Caps. At home, they have one great edge with their supporters, that can really help them, giving them some boost, as we saw in the beginning of the last game. Their defense has been amazing lately, and their offense is taking the right decisions. They are finding gaps in soft defenses and are taking that edges. The Pens are the kind of team that probably open that kind of spaces. With a little bit of luck tonight, they can take the lead early, and in that condition, it will be hard for them to lose. With so high odds, it worth the risk to take this chance.

Pick: Montreal Canadiens ML +140 (2.40) Bookmaker, Goalwin



San Jose Sharks @ Detroit Red Wings

It will be a surprise if we see the Red Wings saying goodbye to this season with an overall of 4-0 this series. That kind of blowout will never be easy to accept in Detroit. With a 3-0 disadvantage in the series against the Sharks, today (and if they win, the next games), it will be their final. It's true that the team, after a "not good enough" regular season, it will go probably home soon. The Sharks are at this time the best contenders for the Stanley Cup.

Despite the Red Wings allowed 4 goals in each game of this series against the Sharks, tonight they will have to use their biggest edge, their defense. At home, this team can defend pretty well, with an average of 2.40 goals allowed during the season. They will have to stop the Sharks offense, in order to win this game. In the previous game, they always lost the game by one goal, including the OT loss in last game.

The Sharks are aware of "in or go home" spirit in Detroit side. They know that with 4 games still to play, they only need one win. Of course that as soon as they can, better. However, they can't overwhelm their opponent, they have to give them respect and face the game in the right angle. Nothing is already won, they are not in the conference final yet. They will have to play Red Wings game tonight, trying to hold the game, looking for some edges and space to score. The game will have a low pace, as they know that probably all the paths to Red Wings nets will be capped. They will have to do the same at their nets, as the Red Wings will have to be really wisely in their offensive moves.

Pick: Under 5.5 -102 (1.98) BetPhoenix, -105 (1.95) Bookmaker, Goalwin



NHL PLAYOFFS (20-25-3, -3.39u) 2010.05.05 results recap:

Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers -0.5 +112 (2.12) 5Dimes (1-4: LOSS)

NHL 2010.05.05 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 186-242-7, -8.88 units lost (428 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 154-180-7, +9.72 units won (334 units risked)

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (21-26-3, -1.99u) 2010.05.6 results recap:

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens ML +140 (2.40) Bookmaker (3-2: WIN)
San Jose Sharks @ Detroit Red Wings: Under 5.5 -102 (1.98) BetPhoenix (7-1: LOSS)

NHL 2010.05.06 finished 1-1 and +0.4 units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 187-243-7, -8.48 units lost (430 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 155-181-7, +10.12 units won (336 units risked)



NHL PLAYOFFS (20-25-3, -3.39u) 2010.05.06 final 2 picks:

Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers -0.5 +132 (2.32) 5Dimes, Flyers 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker

Chicago Blackhawks @ Vancouver Canucks: Vancouver Canucks 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) BetPhoenix, +120 (2.20) Bookmaker

*One unit each always.



Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers

At this point, the picture looks ugly for the Flyers. They are one step away from the end of the season, as they are losing 3-0 this series. One more defeat, and the players will begin their holidays.

However, it's not credible for the Flyers, and even allowed, to go home without any win in this series. Despite the rivalry, they will play today at home again.

Despite some injuries that are making this final path hard, the team is the kind of team that never give up, that will give their best to try to end their season at home with a win.

The Bruins done a great defensive game two days ago. With 20 shots scored 4 goals, and in 36 shots, only allowed 1 goal. Their efficiency was magnificent, however it will be hard to repeat it. On the road, they are not so good as at home, due to a lack of offensive power. Even with their improvement in that field, the team only once in a while were able to show it on the road.

The Flyers were marking a remarkable season. After a really bad streak in the last years eve, the team were able to bounce back with a new coach, granting a playoffs seed. After that, they started the playoff with an amazing overall win over the Devils, one of the strongest contenders. But after that 4-1 win, the team is now with 3 losses in a row, just one game close to go the end of the season.

But at home, the people from Philadelphia is expecting much more, many of them still believing in a bounce back. At least, the Flyers have to finish their season with a home win, so today, only a win is a possible result. Their players are the kind of players that will give their blood to do it, and the team work only needs a little push to works just perfect. With a good defense at home, and a great offense, today it will be Flyers day.

Pick: Philadelphia Flyers -0.5 +132 (2.32) 5Dimes, Flyers 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker



Chicago Blackhawks @ Vancouver Canucks

This series have the potential to be one of the best series so far in this 2010 playoffs. When the Canucks entered the series with a win, stealing the Blackhawks home advantage, the Blackhawks were able to recover it in the first game in Vancouver. Due to the fact that these two teams are probably the teams in best shape and with the most attractive kind of game, this is an authentic show. With 2-1 in this series favoring the Blackhawks, have all the ingredients to go to game 7, just like the public like to.

The Blackhawks will try to hold their lead. But to win any game in this series, only teams that are focus in the offense and have the biggest will to win, seems allowed to. On the road, the Blackhawks are not particularly good defenders, but specially, have no edge in the offense. Even with the win in the first game in Vancouver, they had the efficiency due to 2 power play goals. Their will to win and recover the home advantage was big, and was the key for the game. Today, they will be more expectant and less determinate, and that can be a key for the Canucks.

The Canucks have big support this year in Vancouver, and will not quit at any time. Their offense is playing a great game, despite the bad last game. But they are the kind of team that can bounce back from a bad performance, and fight as they can for a win. They will want to tie the game, and at home they know that the initiative will have to start with them. The talent is there; at home, they have an average of the entire season of 3.60 goals scored per game, and 2.18 goals allowed per game, amazing stats.

This team sometimes needs time to understand the opponent and be able to knock him down, and at this points they are already with enough knowledge to have some edge at home. They only need to be effective and cohesive in their defense, because if they do so, their offense will have no problems to grant them the win and the tie of the series.

Pick: Vancouver Canucks 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) BetPhoenix, +120 (2.20) Bookmaker

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (21-28-3, -3.99u) 2010.05.08 final 2 picks:

Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins PL -1.5 +115 (2.15) The Greek, 5Dimes

Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +205 (3.05) Bookmaker

*One unit each always.



NHL PLAYOFFS (21-28-3, -3.99u) 2010.05.07 results recap:

Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers -0.5 +132 (2.32) 5Dimes (5-4 OT: LOSS)
Chicago Blackhawks @ Vancouver Canucks: Vancouver Canucks 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) BetPhoenix (4-7: LOSS)

NHL 2010.05.07 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 187-245-7, -10.48 units lost (432 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 155-183-7, +8.12 units won (338 units risked)

[TommyGold]

NHL PLAYOFFS (21-30-3, -5.99u) 2010.05.10 results recap:

Philadelphia Flyers @ Boston Bruins: Philadelphia Flyers ML +125 (2.25) BetOnline

Philadelphia Flyers @ Boston Bruins: Over 5.5 +120 (2.25) Bookmaker

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Montreal Canadiens: Under 5.5 -135 (1.74) Bookmaker

*One unit each always. We really need a little bit more luck... :|



NHL PLAYOFFS (21-30-3, -5.99u) 2010.05.08 results recap:

Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins PL -1.5 +115 (2.15) The Greek (2-1: LOSS)
Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +205 (3.05) Bookmaker (2-1: LOSS)

NHL 2010.05.08 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 187-247-7, -12.48 units lost (434 units risked)

NHL since 2009.11.23: 155-185-7, +6.12 units won (340 units risked)