Tuesday Trends and Indexes 2/23 (NBA,NCAAB, Misc.)

[Udog]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Tuesday, February 23

Information on Tuesday's college basketball games........

Virginia lost its last five games, scoring 56.2 ppg; they're 3-3 as road dog in ACC games, losing away games by 12-19-6-23 points. Cavaliers held Miami to 31.5% from floor in 75-57 home win (-3) Jan 16. Miami lost eight of its last ten games; they're 3-2 at home in ACC, with wins by 1-7-2 points. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-13 vs spread.

Home team won last three Georgetown-Louisville games; Hoyas lost last two visits here, by 8-18 points- they're 2-4 in last six games, with losses by 17-8-3-4 points (2-2 as road underdog). Louisville won three in row, five of last six games; they're just 2-5 as Big East home favorite, winning at home by 21-7-8-13-16-2. Big East HFs of 7 or less points: 11-23.

Providence (+15) lost 85-68 at Carrier Dome Feb 2, as Syracuse blocked eight shots, Friars made just 5-16 from arc. Orange are 4-1 as a Big East road favorite, winning away games by 7-16-1-13-2-17-4 points. Friars lost last six games (1-4 vs spread in last five); they're 1-4 as a Big East home dog. Single digit home underdogs are 7-13 against the spread.

Rutgers lost five of last six visits to Seton Hall, losing by 27-16-6-5-3 points; Knights are 2-5 as Big East road underdog, losing away games by 34-13-9-25-23-16 points. Pirates won three of last four games; they are 2-2 as home favorite, winnign home games by 7-3-33-8 points. Double digit home favorites are 11-14 vs spread in Big East games.

Home team won last eight Illinois-Michigan games; Illini lost last four in Ann Arbor by 8-10-6-10 points- they lost last two games, scoring just 59 ppg, but are 3-1 as Big 11 road dog, losing away games by 10-5-10 points (4-3 SU). Michigan lost six of last nine games, is 3-2 as a home favorite. Big 11 home favorites of 6 or less points are 9-7 vs spread.

Georgia State (+17) lost 56-40 at Old Dominion Jan 28, shooting 35% for night, giving up 15 offensive boards; Panthers won four of last five home games, are 1-3 as CAA home underdog, losing home games by 15-12-13-3 points (4-4 SU). CAA home dogs of more than 6 points are 1-8 vs spread. Monarchs are 4-2 as a CAA road favorite this season.

Creighton (-4.5) outscored Southern Illinois 21-11 on foul line in a 71-69 home win Jan 13; Bluejays are 1-5 as MVC road underdog, losing away games by 6-12-9-5-18-18 points. Salukis lost five of last seven games, are 3-4 as home favorite, winning at home by 18-1-6-16 points. MVC home favorites of less than 6 points are 11-15 vs spread this year.

Evansville (+16) lost 65-46 at Northern Iowa Jan 1; Aces are 1-6 as an MVC home underdog, losing home games by 14-8-19-8-7-7-20 points, with an upset of Wichita. UNI won eight of last nine games; they're 2-1 as an MVC road favorite, winning away games by 8-12-15-9-1-9 points. MVC home underdogs of 6+ points are 1-3 against the spread.

Kansas State beat Texas Tech 85-73 LY, ending long losing streak to the Red Raiders; Wildcats lost last three visits to Lubbock by 11-14-9 pts. Tech lost last three games by 2-18-4 points; they're 4-2 vs spread in last six games as a dog. K-State is 3-1 as a Big 12 road favorite. Big 12 home underdogs of less than 6 points are 5-9 against the spread.

Florida (+8) lost 61-60 at Tennessee Jan 31, game where Vols hit 4-12 on foul line, 7-23 from arc; Gators lost last six series games, as Vols won last two visits here, by 3-4 points. Florida is 8-2 in last 10 SEC games, 3-2 as SEC home favorite, winning at home by 14-2-16-7-8 points. Vols are 2-3 in last five road games, losing at Georgia-Vanderbilt-Kentucky.

Northeastern (-3.5) won 75-55 at Hofstra Feb 6, holding Pride to 31.7% from floor, while forcing 19 turnovers; it is Hofstra's only loss in its last eight games. Huskies are 5-3 as a home fave in CAA games, winning by 12-25-4-23-12-10-9 points. Hofstra is 5-1 as CAA road dog, losing on road by 4-11-7-13 points. CAA home faves of 8+ points are 15-13.

Colorado State (+14) lost first meeting 82-64 at New Mexico; Rams are 1-10 in last 11 series games, losing last six. Rams won last five visits to Fort Collins by 8-2-4-19-2 points. MWC home dogs of 8+ points: 0-5. New Mexico won last 11 games; they're 2-1-1 as road favorite, winning away games by 2-23-16-10-3 points. State is 0-3 as MWC home dog.

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Tuesday, 2/23/2010

NEW ORLEANS at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 9-21 ATS Away off ATS win
CLEVELAND: 22-10 ATS off SU loss

MINNESOTA at MIAMI, 7:35 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 1-5 ATS on Tuesday nights
MIAMI: 28-9 Over off BB non-conf games

NEW YORK at BOSTON, 7:35 PM ET
NEW YORK: 26-8 Over in February
BOSTON: 6-17 ATS in home games

PORTLAND at NEW JERSEY, 7:35 PM ET
PORTLAND: 26-13 ATS as road favorite
NEW JERSEY: 5-16 ATS vs. Western Conference

LA LAKERS at MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET NBA TV
LA LAKERS: 1-6 ATS off 3+ Unders
MEMPHIS: 17-5 ATS if favored last game

PHOENIX at OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:05 PM ET
PHOENIX: 42-70 ATS off 2 straight covers as favorite
OKLAHOMA CITY: 17-3 ATS off ATS loss

DETROIT at SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 9-19 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less
SACRAMENTO: 12-2 Under off BB ATS losses

PHILADELPHIA at GOLDEN STATE, 10:35 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 19-8 Over playing with 2 days rest
GOLDEN STATE: 7-1 ATS off SU dog win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Tuesday, 2/23/2010

VIRGINIA at MIAMI, 7:00 PM ET
VIRGINIA: 16-7 Under after 1+ consecutive losses
MIAMI: 0-6 ATS on Tuesday

GEORGETOWN at LOUISVILLE, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
GEORGETOWN: 10-24 ATS against conference opponents
LOUISVILLE: 34-20 ATS against conference opponents

SYRACUSE at PROVIDENCE, 7:00 PM ET ESPNU
SYRACUSE: 8-1 ATS Away when after 1+ consecutive wins
PROVIDENCE: 0-6 ATS when the total is 160 to 169.5

RUTGERS at SETON HALL, 7:00 PM ET
RUTGERS: 6-0 ATS Away in February
SETON HALL: 2-10 ATS at home when the total is 150 to 159.5

ILLINOIS at MICHIGAN, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
ILLINOIS: 8-18 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3
MICHIGAN: 10-2 ATS off a home conference loss

OLD DOMINION at GEORGIA ST, 7:00 PM ET
OLD DOMINION: 8-1 ATS off a road loss
GEORGIA ST: 0-8 ATS at home after 1+ consecutive unders

CREIGHTON at S ILLINOIS, 8:00 PM ET
CREIGHTON: 2-10 ATS as an underdog
S ILLINOIS: 7-0 ATS at home on Tuesday

N IOWA at EVANSVILLE, 8:00 PM ET
N IOWA: 12-5 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less
EVANSVILLE: 11-3 OVER in February

KANSAS ST at TEXAS TECH, 8:00 PM ET
KANSAS ST: 9-0 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
TEXAS TECH: 8-0 OVER as a home underdog of 6 or less or pick

TENNESSEE at FLORIDA, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
TENNESSEE: 2-10 ATS Away when playing only their 3rd game in a week
FLORIDA: 6-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 or less or pick

HOFSTRA at NORTHEASTERN, 9:00 PM ET ESPNU
HOFSTRA: 7-0 ATS Away after scoring 80+ points
NORTHEASTERN: 0-6 ATS at home in February

NEW MEXICO at COLORADO ST, 10:00 PM ET MTN
NEW MEXICO: 8-0 ATS after a combined score of 115 or less
COLORADO ST: 15-30 ATS at home in February

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB


Tuesday, February 23

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Tips and Trends
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Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan Wolverines [ESPN | 7:00 PM ET]

Fighting Illini: Illinois is coming into tonights contest off back to back double digit SU league losses. Illinois lost to both Ohio St and Purdue as the listed underdog. Including tonight's contest, Illinois will have been the listed underdog in each of their past 5 games. Illinois is 17-10 SU this season, including an ATS record of 11-15. The Illini are 5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS on the road this season. Illinois is 5-3 ATS as the listed underdog this season. One would think that Illinois would be a bit tired after playing agaist 4 consecutive teams ranked in the Top 15 in the nation. The Illini are attempting to make a last ditch run towards March Madness. One more SU loss, and the Illini more than likely will be out of consideration. Tonight will be tough considering Illinois has lost the past 4 contests SU at Crisler Arena. G Demetri McCamey leads the Illini in both PPG and APG this season, 15.2 and 6.9 respectively. F Mike Davis played up to his potential against Purdue recently, and is averaging 10.4 PPG and a team high 8.5 RPG this season.

Illinois is 4-0 ATS last 4 road games.
Over is 9-3 last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Key Injuries - G Joseph Bertrand (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 58

Wolverines (-2.5, O/U 127): Michigan will be playing their 2nd to last home game of the season today. Michigan has scored a total of 95 PTS in their past 2 home games, both SU losses. The Wolverines are 13-13 SU for the season, with 9 wins coming at home. Michigan is 9-5 SU and 5-5 ATS at home this season. The Wolverines are 2-8 ATS this season as a single digit favorite. Michigan is easily one of the most dissapointing teams in the nation, as much was expected from a team that made it to the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament last year. Part of their offensive struggles is their reliance on 3 pointers. The Wolverines attempt 24 3 pointers per game, yet only convert on 30% of them, the lowest rate in the the Big 10. G Manny Harris and F DeShawn Sims combine for 36 PPG this season for the Wolverines, 55% of the Wolverines total PPG. No other Michigan player averages more than 7 PPG this season. Michigan is a perfect 7-0 SU when Harris and Sims both score 20 PTS or more in the same game.

Michigan is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 7-0 last 7 home games.

Key Injuries - C Ben Cronin (hip) is out.
G Eso Akunne (eligibility) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 63 (UNDER - Total of the Day)



Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators [ESPN | 9:00 PM ET]

Volunteers: Tennessee has won 5 of their past 7 games SU, all as the listed favorite. Tennessee has bounced back since they lost their previous 2 games both SU and ATS to Kentucky and Vanderbilit. The Volunteers are 20-6 SU and ranked 19th in the nation this week. Tennessee is 8-4 SU in league play this season. The Volunteers are 7-5 SU and 5-6-1 ATS in both true road games and neutral court settings this season. The Volunteers are 2-2-1 ATS as the listed underdog this season. Tennessee is 2-7 ATS in their past 9 games overall. Tennessee has been held under 70 PTS in each of their past 3 games. F Wayne Chism and G Scotty Hopson are the only active Volunteers averaging double digits in PTS this season. The duo combine for nearly 26 PPG and 11 RPG for Tennessee this season. Hopson is struggling from the 3 point line, going 4 for 23 over his past 7 games. The Volunteers bench contributed greatly in their last game by scoring 20 PTS. Tennesse has won at least 20 games SU in each of the past 5 seasons.

Tennessee is 1-4 ATS last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 24-9 last 33 road games.

Key Injuries - G Cameron Tatum (ankle) is probable.
G Tyler Smith (disciplinary) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 66

Gators (-4, O/U 136): Florida certainly hopes revenge will be sweet, as the Gators have lost 6 consecutive games SU to their opponent today. The past 2 meetings between these teams were decided by a total of 5 PTS, including a 1 point loss earlier this year in Tennessee. Florida has won consecutive league games to stand at 19-8 SU for the season. Those past 2 SU wins were critical for the Gators in their attempts to make the NCAA Tournament this season. Florida is 12-3 SU and 5-6 ATS at home this season. The Gators are 3-4 ATS as a single digit favorite this season. A big reason for the Gators success their past 2 games is their free throw shooting. Florida made 57 of 67 attempts their past 2 games combined, including 25 of 27 on the road against Mississippi. Overall, the Gators have been held under 70 PTS in 5 of their past 7 games. 5 different Gators average double figures in PTS, led by G Kenny Boynton. Boynton averages 13.5 PPG and makes nearly 2 3 pointers per game for the Gators.

Florida is 3-7 ATS last 10 home games.
Under is 12-4 last 16 home games.

Key Injuries - F Kenny Kadji (back) is out.
F Adam Allen (leg) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 76 (SIDE of the Day)


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[Udog]

Len's Top 5

Happy Tuesday everyone, here's my Top 5 for February 23, 2010 from Len Berman.

1. Quick Hits

The U.S. women's hockey team will play Canada for the gold medal after thrashing Sweden 9-1.
The legendary Sandy Koufax visited Mets camp and gave some advice to pitchers John Maine and Oliver Perez. Very cool.
Manny Ramirez showed up at Dodgers spring training and promptly announced he won't be back next year. Did anybody ask him?
The San Diego Chargers released long time running back LaDainian Tomlinson.
The Minnesota Timberwolves, with a terrible record, are doing something to juice the fan base. Half-price tickets next season. Based on their respective records, the Nets might consider quarter-price.

2. U-S-A, U-S-A

I noticed that the New York Times yesterday took NBC to ask for being too pro-American in it's coverage. There were three Olympic pictures on the first page of the Times sports section yesterday. All were Americans.

3. Sportscasting Down Under

A couple of Australian Olympic announcers got in hot water over their male figure skating play-by-play. Like everyone watching on TV, they wondered about the outfits these guys wear. One announcer said "don't leave anything in the locker room these blokes, do they?" The other responded "They don't leave anything in the closet either, do they?'" Then they made a reference to Brokeback Mountain, the movie about gay cowboys. They received flak, but they kept their jobs. I can't imagine that would be the case here in the States.

4. Ancient History

They honored the 1969-70 champion New York Knicks last night at Madison Square Garden. Talk about bittersweet. 40 years later, coach Red Holzman and Dave DeBusschere are gone. So is PA announcer John Condon whose voice was as much a part of MSG as anything else. In his 1989 obit, the New York Times quoted Condon as saying game 7 in 1970 was the "greatest game he had ever seen." That was the night Willis Reed limped out and the Knicks beat the Lakers. It's nice to remember. Sadly, it also reminds us of how dysfunctional the Knicks organization has become. How typical. They scored their season low in an embarrassing 83-67 loss to Milwaukee.

5. Who Dat?

When Tiger Woods announced that he was a Buddhist, they asked one of the world's most famous Buddhists what he thought of Tiger's transgressions? He answered he never heard of Woods. What? The Dalai Lama is spending too much time on world peace. He really needs to get out more.

Happy Birthday: Former Met Bobby Bonilla. 47.
Bonus Birthday: Actress Dakota Fanning. Sweet 16.

Today in Sports: They take the wrecking ball to Ebbets Field in Brooklyn. 1960.
Bonus Event: Remember the Alamo. The battle begins. (I was a big Davy Crockett fan.) 1836.