NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Bowl Season (12/19 - 1/7)

[Udog]

Bowl Season


NCAAF Trends and Indexes

Saturday, December 19 – Thursday, January 7

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:

As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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NCAAF Matchup Links


Sagarin NCAAF Power Ratings

NCAAF Matchups

NCAAF Stats Center

NCAAF Hot or Not

NCAAF Trends

NCAAF News and Weather

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[Udog]

NCAAF
Long Sheet


Bowl Season

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Saturday, December 19

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WYOMING (6 - 6) vs. FRESNO ST (8 - 4) - 12/19/2009, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCF (8 - 4) vs. RUTGERS (8 - 4) - 12/19/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
UCF is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
UCF is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 20

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MIDDLE TENN ST (9 - 3) vs. SOUTHERN MISS (7 - 5) - 12/20/2009, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, December 22

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BYU (10 - 2) vs. OREGON ST (8 - 4) - 12/22/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
OREGON ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
OREGON ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
OREGON ST is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
OREGON ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, December 23

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UTAH (9 - 3) vs. CALIFORNIA (8 - 4) - 12/23/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 42-21 ATS (+18.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTAH is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, December 24

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SMU (7 - 5) vs. NEVADA (8 - 4) - 12/24/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 26

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OHIO U (9 - 4) vs. MARSHALL (6 - 6) - 12/26/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N CAROLINA (8 - 4) vs. PITTSBURGH (9 - 3) - 12/26/2009, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOSTON COLLEGE (8 - 4) vs. USC (8 - 4) - 12/26/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 27

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KENTUCKY (7 - 5) vs. CLEMSON (8 - 5) - 12/27/2009, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday,December 28

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TEXAS A&M (6 - 6) vs. GEORGIA (7 - 5) - 12/28/2009, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
GEORGIA is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, December 29

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UCLA (6 - 6) vs. TEMPLE (9 - 3) - 12/29/2009, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
TEMPLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WISCONSIN (9 - 3) vs. MIAMI (9 - 3) - 12/29/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, December 30

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BOWLING GREEN (7 - 5) vs. IDAHO (7 - 5) - 12/30/2009, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
IDAHO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEBRASKA (9 - 4) vs. ARIZONA (8 - 4) - 12/30/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 33-58 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, December 31

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NAVY (9 - 4) vs. MISSOURI (8 - 4) - 12/31/2009, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 71-44 ATS (+22.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
NAVY is 57-27 ATS (+27.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
MISSOURI is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AIR FORCE (7 - 5) vs. HOUSTON (10 - 3) - 12/31/2009, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 16-40 ATS (-28.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STANFORD (8 - 4) vs. OKLAHOMA (7 - 5) - 12/31/2009, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IOWA ST (6 - 6) vs. MINNESOTA (6 - 6) - 12/31/2009, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (7 - 5) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 3) - 12/31/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, January 1

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NORTHWESTERN (8 - 4) vs. AUBURN (7 - 5) - 1/1/2010, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA ST (6 - 6) vs. W VIRGINIA (9 - 3) - 1/1/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LSU (9 - 3) vs. PENN ST (10 - 2) - 1/1/2010, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OHIO ST (10 - 2) vs. OREGON (10 - 2) - 1/1/2010, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 125-93 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 125-93 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (12 - 0) vs. FLORIDA (12 - 1) - 1/1/2010, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, January 2

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N ILLINOIS (7 - 5) vs. S FLORIDA (7 - 5) - 1/2/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CONNECTICUT (7 - 5) vs. S CAROLINA (7 - 5) - 1/2/2010, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
CONNECTICUT is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OLE MISS (8 - 4) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (9 - 3) - 1/2/2010, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OLE MISS is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARKANSAS (7 - 5) vs. E CAROLINA (9 - 4) - 1/2/2010, 5:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN ST (6 - 6) vs. TEXAS TECH (8 - 4) - 1/2/2010, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 104-76 ATS (+20.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 81-52 ATS (+23.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, January 4

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BOISE ST (13 - 0) vs. TCU (12 - 0) - 1/4/2010, 8:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
TCU is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 59-23 ATS (+33.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 54-21 ATS (+30.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-0 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Tuesday, January 5

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IOWA (10 - 2) vs. GEORGIA TECH (11 - 2) - 1/5/2010, 8:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, January 6

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TROY (9 - 3) vs. C MICHIGAN (11 - 2) - 1/6/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TROY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, January 7

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TEXAS (13 - 0) vs. ALABAMA (13 - 0) - 1/7/2010, 8:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[Udog]

NCAAF
Short Sheet


Bowl Season

Saturday, December 19th

New Mexico Bowl
Albuquerque, NM
TV: ESPN
Wyoming vs. Fresno State, 4:30 ET

Wyoming:
7-3 ATS as an underdog
11-7 ATS off road conference win

Fresno State:
2-11 ATS after allowing 50+ points
2-11 ATS off a road game

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St. Petersburg Bowl
St. Petersburg, FL
TV: ESPN
Central Florida vs. Rutgers, 8:00 ET

Central Florida:
6-0 ATS Away off SU win
9-2 ATS this season

Rutgers:
6-1 Under on turf
20-7 Under vs. non-conference



Sunday, December 20th

New Orleans Bowl
New Orleans, LA
TV: ESPN
Middle Tenn State vs. Southern Miss, 8:15 ET

Middle Tenn State:
8-1 ATS off win by 17+ points
6-0 ATS second half of season

Southern Miss:
18-6 Under off road loss
6-1 Under off SU loss/ATS win




Tuesday, December 22nd

Las Vegas Bowl
Las Vegas, NV
TV: ESPN
BYU vs. Oregon State, 8:00 ET

BYU:
0-6 ATS if the total is between 56.5 and 63
0-6 ATS if they committed no turnovers last game

Oregon State:
6-0 ATS Away off BB ATS wins
20-8 ATS off bye week




Wednesday, December 23rd

Poinsettia Bowl
San Diego, CA
TV: ESPN
Utah vs. California, 8:00 ET
Game Preview Coming Soon

Utah:
42-21 ATS as an underdog
24-10 ATS playing with 2+ days rest

California:
13-27 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
19-3 Over after scoring 3 points or less in the 1st half last game




Thursday, December 24th

Hawaii Bowl
Honolulu, HI
TV: ESPN
SMU vs. Nevada, 8:00 ET

SMU:
12-3 Over off home win
6-1 ATS as an underdog

Nevada:
6-0 Over off BB ATS wins
15-9 Over if the total is 63+




Saturday, December 26th

Little Caesars Bowl
Detroit, MI
TV: ESPN
Ohio vs. Marshall, 1:00 ET

Ohio:
7-1 ATS off ATS win
4-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

Marshall:
22-11 Under in all games
6-1 Under after allowing 42+ points

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Meineke Car Care Bowl
Charlotte, NC
TV: ESPN
North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh, 4:30 ET

North Carolina:
4-0 ATS off SU conference loss as favorite of -6 or more
6-1 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards

Pittsburgh:
38-62 ATS off SU loss
1-6 ATS vs. ACC

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Emerald Bowl
San Francisco, CA
TV: ESPN
Boston College vs. USC, 8:00 ET

Boston College:
24-9 Under Away off ATS loss
7-2 ATS off conference win by 3pts or less

USC:
0-7 ATS December road games
6-0 Under off SU loss




Sunday, December 27th

Music City Bowl
Nashville, TN
TV: ESPN
Kentucky vs. Clemson, 8:30 ET

Kentucky:
18-33 ATS off home loss
2-8 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7

Clemson:
11-2 Under in bowl games
22-8 Under off bye week




Monday, December 28th

Independence Bowl
Shreveport, LA
TV: ESPN2
Texas A&M vs. Georgia, 5:00 ET

Texas A&M:
4-16 ATS off bye week
11-2 Over as an underdog

Georgia:
21-6 ATS in non-conference road games
24-11 ATS Away off an Under




Tuesday, December 29th

Champs Sports Bowl
Orlando, FL
TV: ESPN
Wisconsin vs. Miami, 5:00 ET

Wisconsin:
10-2 Under off cover as DD favorite
2-10 ATS on grass

Miami:
26-10 Under when the total is between 49.5 and 56
5-1 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56




Wednesday, December 30th

Humanitarian Bowl
Boise, ID
TV: ESPN
Bowling Green vs. Idaho, 4:30 ET

Bowling Green:
6-0 ATS Away off BB conference games
9-2 Under off SU win

Idaho:
4-13 ATS after allowing 37+ points
4-16 ATS off SU loss

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Holiday Bowl
San Diego, CA
TV: ESPN
Nebraska vs. Arizona, 8:00 ET

Nebraska:
10-3 Under this season
7-1 Under as neutral field underdog

Arizona:
33-58 ATS as favorite
35-54 ATS off ATS win




Thursday, December 31st

Texas Bowl
Houston, TX
TV: ESPN
Navy vs. Missouri, 3:30 ET
Game Preview Coming Soon

Navy:
n/a
n/a

Missouri:
1-5 ATS off SU win
5-1 Over off SU win/ATS loss

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Armed Forces Bowl
Fort Worth, TX
TV: ESPN
Air Force vs. Houston, 12:00 ET

Air Force:
3-23 ATS off DD conference loss
16-40 ATS off conference loss

Houston:
6-0 Under off bye week
6-0 Under off conference loss

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Sun Bowl
El Paso, TX
TV: CBS
Stanford vs. Oklahoma, 2:00 ET

Stanford:
6-0 Under on neutral field
6-0 Under off BB ATS losses

Oklahoma:
9-2 Under this season
10-1 Under in December

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Insight Bowl
Tempe, AZ
TV: NFL Network
Iowa State vs. Minnesota, 6:00 ET

Iowa State:
7-1 Under on grass
5-1 Under off ATS win

Minnesota:
1-6 ATS after being shutout
1-4 ATS as neutral field favorite

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Chick Fil-A Bowl
Atlanta, GA
TV: ESPN
Tennessee vs. Virginia Tech, 7:30 ET

Tennessee:
1-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
22-15 Under playing with 2 weeks or more of rest

Virginia Tech:
32-14 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
8-0 Under on Thursdays




Friday, January 1st

Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL
TV: ESPN
Northwestern vs. Auburn, 11:00 AM ET

Northwestern:
32-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
9-0 Under Away after 1st month of season

Auburn:
0-7 ATS Away off conference losses
1-5 ATS off home loss

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Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, FL
TV: CBS
Florida State vs. West Virginia, 1:00 ET

Florida State:
29-11 ATS off BB ATS losses
10-2 Over as an underdog

West Virginia:
7-18 ATS vs. ACC
20-6 Over playing with 2 weeks of rest

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Capital One Bowl
Orlando, FL
TV: ABC
LSU vs. Penn State, 1:00 ET

LSU:
13-4 ATS off win by 3pts or less
34-18 ATS Away off ATS loss

Penn State:
8-2 Under this season
6-0 Under after allowing 14 points or less

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Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA
TV: ABC
Ohio State vs. Oregon, 4:30 ET

Ohio State:
5-1 ATS off cover as DD favorite
6-1 Under off SU win

Oregon:
6-0 ATS playing with 2 weeks of rest
8-1 Over as a favorite

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Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, LA
TV: FOX
Cincinnati vs. Florida, 8:30 ET

Cincinnati:
42-19 Under on turf
27-13 Under vs. non-conference

Florida:
8-2 ATS as a neutral field favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
5-1 ATS playing with 2 weeks or more of rest




Saturday, January 2nd

International Bowl
Toronto, ONT
TV: ESPN2
Northern Illinois vs. South Florida, 12:00 ET

Northern Illinois:
7-0 Under off two-game road trip
14-4 ATS off BB ATS losses

South Florida:
1-5 ATS off conference game
9-2 Over as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

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Papa Johns Bowl
Birmingham, AL
TV: ESPN
Connecticut vs. South Florida, 2:00 ET

Connecticut:
6-0 ATS as an underdog
6-0 Over off an Over

South Carolina:
0-6 ATS Away 2nd half of season
10-3 Over off SU dog win

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Cotton Bowl
Arlington, TX
TV: FOX
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma State, 2:00 ET

Ole Miss:
6-0 ATS vs. non-conference
6-0 Over vs. non-conference

Oklahoma State:
0-3 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
5-1 Over off bye week

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Liberty Bowl
Memphis, TN
TV: ESPN
Arkansas vs. East Carolina, 5:30 ET

Arkansas:
5-1 ATS off ATS win
10-2 Under on neutral field

East Carolina:
3-10 ATS off BB SU wins
24-11 Under off an Over

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Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, TX
TV: ESPN
Michigan State vs. Texas Tech, 9:00 ET

Michigan State:
25-47 ATS off conference loss
11-2 Over Away off BB Overs

Texas Tech:
81-52 ATS on turf
6-0 Over BB conference wins




Monday, January 4th

Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, AZ
TV: FOX
Boise State vs. TCU, 8:00 ET

Boise State:
29-9 ATS off 3 straight conference wins
57-19 ATS second half of season

TCU:
9-0 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
15-6 ATS as favorite




Tuesday, January 5th

Orange Bowl
Miami, FL
TV: FOX
Iowa vs. Georgia Tech, 8:00 ET

Iowa:
10-2 Under vs. non-conference
11-3 ATS as an underdog

Georgia Tech:
7-0 Under off win by 6 pts or less
6-0 Under off conference win by 7pts or less




Wednesday, January 6th

GMAC Bowl
Mobile, AL
TV: ESPN
Troy vs. Central Michigan, 7:00 ET
Game Preview Coming Soon

Troy:
9-1 Over as an underdog
3-12 ATS Away off BB ATS wins

Central Michigan:
19-6 ATS off an Under
7-0 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points




Thursday, January 7th

BCS Title Game
Pasadena, CA
TV: FOX
Texas vs. Alabama, 8:00 ET

Texas:
27-13 ATS as an underdog
4-0 ATS off win by 3pts or less

Alabama:
2-8 ATS off DD SU win as a dog
13-4 Under off BB conference games

[Udog]

NCAAF


Bowl Season

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Trend Report
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Saturday, December 19

4:30 PM
WYOMING vs. FRESNO STATE
Wyoming is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Wyoming is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Fresno State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games

8:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. RUTGERS
Central Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Rutgers is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games


Sunday, December 20

8:15 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. SOUTHERN MISS
Middle Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Middle Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Miss is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Miss is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games


Tuesday, December 22

8:00 PM
BYU vs. OREGON STATE
BYU is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games
BYU is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Oregon State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Oregon State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


Wednesday, December 23

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. CALIFORNIA
Utah is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games
California is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
California is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games


Thursday, December 24

8:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. NEVADA
Southern Methodist is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Methodist is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Nevada is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Nevada is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games


Saturday, December 26

1:00 PM
OHIO vs. MARSHALL
Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Marshall
Ohio is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Marshall
Marshall is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Marshall's last 10 games

4:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. PITTSBURGH
North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games

8:00 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. SOUTHERN CAL
Boston College is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games
Southern Cal is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Southern Cal is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games


Sunday, December 27

8:30 PM
KENTUCKY vs. CLEMSON
Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Clemson is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson's last 5 games


Monday, December 28

5:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. GEORGIA
Texas A&M is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas A&M is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Georgia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games


Tuesday, December 29

4:30 PM
UCLA vs. TEMPLE
UCLA is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
UCLA is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Temple is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Temple is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

8:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. MIAMI
Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


Wednesday, December 30

4:30 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. IDAHO
Bowling Green is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Bowling Green is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Idaho is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Idaho is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. ARIZONA
Nebraska is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Nebraska's last 9 games
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games


Thursday, December 31

12:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. HOUSTON
Air Force is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Air Force is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

2:00 PM
STANFORD vs. OKLAHOMA
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford's last 7 games
Oklahoma is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Oklahoma is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

3:30 PM
NAVY vs. MISSOURI
Navy is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Navy is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Missouri is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Missouri is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

6:00 PM
IOWA STATE vs. MINNESOTA
Iowa State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Iowa State is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
TENNESSEE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Virginia Tech is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games


Friday, January 1

11:00 AM
NORTHWESTERN vs. AUBURN
Northwestern is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Auburn is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

1:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
West Virginia is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

1:00 PM
LSU vs. PENN STATE
LSU is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games
LSU is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Penn State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Penn State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

5:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. OREGON
Ohio State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Oregon is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

8:30 PM
CINCINNATI vs. FLORIDA
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Florida is 22-1 SU in its last 23 games


Saturday, January 2

12:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Northern Illinois is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Northern Illinois is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
South Florida is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
South Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

2:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
Connecticut is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games
South Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games

2:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Mississippi is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
Oklahoma State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 7 games

5:30 PM
ARKANSAS vs. EAST CAROLINA
Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arkansas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
East Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
East Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. TEXAS TECH
Michigan State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games
Texas Tech is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games


Monday, January 4

8:10 PM
BOISE STATE vs. TCU
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games
TCU is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Tuesday, January 5

8:10 PM
IOWA vs. GEORGIA TECH
Iowa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Iowa is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
Georgia Tech is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Georgia Tech is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games


Wednesday, January 6

7:00 PM
TROY vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Troy is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Troy is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Central Michigan is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Central Michigan is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games


Thursday, January 7

8:10 PM
TEXAS vs. ALABAMA
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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[pm530]

NCAAF
Dunkel Index


Central Florida vs. Rutgers
The Knights look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games as an underdog. Central Florida is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Knights favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+3). Here are all of this week's picks (12/18-12/20).

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 18

Game 341-342: Villanova vs. Montana
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 82.358; Montana 85.096
Dunkel Line: Montana by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 3
Dunkel Pick: Montana (+3)


SATURDAY, DECEMBER 19

Game 201-202: Wyoming vs. Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 73.062; Fresno State 87.007
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 14; 58
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 10 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-10 1/2); Over

Game 203-204: Central Florida vs. Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 90.934; Rutgers 90.186
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 1; 41
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+3); Under


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 20

Game 205-206: Middle Tennessee State vs. Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 86.236; Southern Mississippi 85.738
Dunkel Line: Even; 54
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+3 1/2); Under

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

NCAAF


Saturday, December 19

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What bettors need to know: New Mexico Bowl
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Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys (-11.5, 54.5)

Line movements

The line opened with Fresno State as an 11-point favorite and has climbed a bit to 11.5. The total is split most places right now at 54.5 and 55.

The skinny

Wyoming’s Dave Christenson, in his first season as head coach, has led the Cowboys to their first bowl appearance since 2004 and just their second appearance since 1993. They defeated Colorado State in their final game to finish the season with a 6-6 record (8-3 ATS). Four of their six losses came against Top 25 teams (Texas, TCU, Utah, BYU), losing by the combined score of 160-30 in those four games.

Fresno State's bowl tradition continues with a second straight trip to the New Mexico Bowl and its 22nd bowl appearance overall. The Bulldogs will be playing in a bowl for the 10th time in the last 11 seasons.

They are winners of seven of their last eight games to finish with an 8-4 overall record (7-4 ATS). Their four losses on the year were to Cincinnati, Boise State, Wisconsin and Nevada, four teams who combined to finish 42-7 during the regular season, and are all bowl eligible.

Offensive struggles

Wyoming finished 111th in scoring offense (16 points per game) and 112th in total offense. The Cowboys averaged just 10 PPG in their six losses to teams that combined to finish 54-19. In their six wins, however, they averaged 29 PPG.

Their quarterback, freshman Austyn Carta-Samuels, finished as the MWC Freshmen of the Year and threw for just 1700 yards and seven touchdowns and they didn’t have a single player rush for 100 yards in a game this season.

Defensive struggles

The Bulldogs can be exposed on the ground. They rank 111th in rush defense, allowing 212 yards per game. Granted, they played some phenomenal rushing teams (Nevada, Wisconsin, Boise State). If Wyoming is to win this game, it will have to expose this weakness.

Wyoming allowed 32 PPG to its six opponents with winning records this season (all losses). The Cowboys were outgained in every one of those games and allowed a combined 427 YPG in those six games (lost the yardage battle by 222 YPG).

Fresno’s star

Fresno has one of the most prolific offenses and it starts with running back Ryan Mathews. The junior finished second in the nation with 1668 rushing yards on the season. He also had 17 touchdowns and averaged 6.8 yards per carry.

Mathews got injured late in the year and had limited time vs. Nevada and missed the Louisiana Tech game because of a concussion. He came back for the final game and ended the regular season with a 173-yard, three-touchdown performance.

Bulldogs junior QB Ryan Coburn had an exceptional first year under center. On the year, he threw for 2300 yards and 18 touchdowns while completing over 60 percent of his passes. He leads a Bulldogs offense that is ranked No. 14 in scoring offense in college football.

Trends

Fresno State is 4-2 ATS in its last six bowl games. The Bulldogs are also just 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last seven vs. MWC. Wyoming is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games as an underdog and 14-6 ATS in its last 20 non-conference games. But the Cowboys are just 3-13-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Wyoming has finished under in 13 of its last 19 non-conference games. Fresno State has finished over in five of its last six non-conference games and six of its last eight bowl games.

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[pm530]

NCAAF


Saturday, December 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What bettors need to know: St. Petersburg Bowl
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Central Florida Knights vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-2.5, 43.5)

The second renewal of the St. Petersburg Bowl kicks off Saturday evening at Tropicana Field when Central Florida meets Rutgers in a battle of teams that finished the season with identical 8-4 records. The game is televised on ESPN.

Game time temperatures are expected to be in the low-to-mid 50s, with winds 10-15 mph out of the northwest. There is a 10 percent chance of rain.

How they got here

When Rutgers' football players left Piscataway, New Jersey Tuesday morning it was 40 degrees and raining. When they arrived later that afternoon it was 83 degrees with clear skies.

"I love it down here. It's just gorgeous," coach Greg Schiano said.

The trip was a thousand miles more than the Central Florida traveled. UCF’s journey was 97 miles via bus from Orlando to St. Petersburg.

Because of the close proximity from the campus in Orlando, UCF will hold a home-field advantage. It’s not quite like playing at Bright House Networks Stadium, where the Knights are 13-6 (6-1 this season) since it opened in 2007, but the fan support will be in Central Florida’s favor.

“We are thrilled to have this opportunity to play so close to our fans in St. Petersburg," head coach George O'Leary said. "It will be great to have a large fan base behind us as we go for our ninth victory against a quality team from the Big East Conference. It is a great opportunity and one that I know our players wanted."

Rutgers finished the 2009 season in a three-way tie for fourth place in the Big East Conference. UCF finished in second place in the Conference USA East Division.

Bowl history

In its brief two-year history, UCF is 1-1 in bowl games, with the underdog taking home the money in both contests. The Knights’ last bowl appearance was in the 2007 Liberty Bowl where they lost 10-3 to Mississippi State as 3-point favorites.

Rutgers is bowling for the fifth straight year. The Scarlet Knights are 3-2 all-time in bowl games, including 3-1 straight up and against the spread behind Schiano. They beat NC State, 29-23, as 6.5-point favorites in last year’s Papajohns.com Bowl.

Good Knights

UCF owns the fifth best rush defense in the land. The Knights allow 85 rushing yards per game, holding eight of their 12 opponents under 100 rushing yards this season.

Central Florida rewarded its backers in 2009, cashing nine of its 11 lined games, going 4-2 ATS against fellow bowl teams.

Rutgers defense ranks No. 18 in the land, allowing 312 yards per game. The Scarlet Knights held four opponents to season low – or second lowest – yards this year.

Role call

UCF sophomore RB Brynn Harvey rushed for 1077 yards, gaining more than 100 yards five times this season. Harvey’s 14 rushing touchdowns in 2009 are tied for second-most in Knights history.

Central Florida senior quarterback Brett Hodges, a Wake Forest transfer, compiled a 7-2 record as a starter and helped turn around a unit that ranked last in the nation in total offense in 2008.

Rutgers 6-foot-5 freshman QB Tom Savage completed 94 of 84 attempts for 1268 yards and 10 TDs this season. His prime target, senior receiver Timmy Brown led the Knights with 51 receptions for 1051 yards and eight touchdowns. Brown missed most of the season finale against West Virginia with a badly sprained ankle but is expected to play tonight.

In his honor

UCF coach O'Leary lost his brother, Terry, to a battle with cancer last Friday.

"I still think it's a dream," O'Leary said. "It's hard to realize he's gone."

O'Leary took time off from St. Petersburg Bowl preparations to join his family and long-time friends for memorial services last Sunday and Monday in Walton, N.Y.

"Probably one of the tougher things I had to do was the eulogy," O'Leary said.

Handicap this

The dog is 2-0 SU and ATS in Central Florida bowl history.

UCF is 0-13 SU and 2-11 ATS versus Big East opposition.

Rutgers is 13-2 ATS with a winning record versus non-conference opponents under Schiano.

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[dss_pansat]

Thanks for sharing

[pm530]

NCAAF
Write-up


Saturday, December 19

New Mexico Bowl
Underdog is 11-1 vs spread in Fresno State's last 12 bowl games, with Bulldogs 0-5 vs spread in last five bowls when they were favored; FSU made three trips to midwest this season- not sure trip to Albuquerque is that big a deal for them. WAC teams are 2-7 SU in bowls last two years. Average total in Fresno's non-league games this year: 72.7. Wyoming is playing in second bowl since 1993; they're just 5-6 vs I-A teams in '09, with all six losses by 10+ points. Cowboys are 3-3 on road, winning last two away games by total of four points. Wyoming is 0-5 vs bowl teams this season (3-2 vs spread). MWC teams won 10 of last 14 bowls SU.

St Petersburg Bowl
Central Florida is only 90 minutes from St Pete, but Rutgers recruits a lot in Florida (Schiano was Miami aide) so both sides should have some support here. Rutgers is 3-1 in bowls under Schiano, scoring 42 ppg, the average total in their bowls is 66.5. Big East teams are 12-4 SU in bowls the last three years, and Central Florida is 0-15 vs Big East teams- they lost 27-7/35-3 to the two BCS teams they played this year (Miami and Texas). UCF won five of last six games, scoring 40 ppg in winning last three games- they're 9-2 vs spread this season, 4-1 as the dog. Rutgers is 7-0 this season allowing less than 24 points; they're 4-4 as a favorite.

Sunday, December 20

New Orleans Bowl
Middle Tennessee's only other bowl was 31-14 loss to Central Michigan in 2006 Motor City Bowl; Blue Raiders won, covered last six games but are just 2-3 as underdog this year- they scored a defensive TD in each of last three games. Sun Belt teams are 3-2 in last five bowls, after 1-5 skid in previous six bowls. Southern Mississippi won four of last five bowls, going 3-0 in last three NO Bowls (wins by 21-12-3); they covered three of last four as bowl favorite. USM's three non-league games this season were decided by total of 12 points. Eagles covered last four games as the favorite, after failing to cover first four- they're +10 in turnovers in their last five games. MYSU is +9 in turnovers in its last six games.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Louie]

ty pm HAPPY HOLIDAY'S

[Udog]

NCAAF


Saturday, December 19

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Tips and Trends
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Wyoming at Fresno State [ESPN | 4:30 PM ET]

Wyoming: Wyoming is ecstatic to be bowling this year, as they made it by the skin of their teeth. They beat their rival, Colorado St, by a single point to finish 6-6 SU on the season, ensuring their bowl eligibility. Despite only being 6-6 SU, the Cowboys are 8-3 ATS this season. Wyoming is 5-1 ATS away from home this season, winning 5 straight after losing their first ATS road game of the season to Colorado. QB Austyn Carta-Samuels has done an admirable job since taking over the QB job mid season. Carta-Samuels has thrown for over 1,750 YDS on nearly 60% completion rate. This Wyoming offense avoids turnovers, as they finished plus 7 in turnover margin. Defensively, Wyoming allows 27.3 PPG, and they particularly struggle stopping the run. The Cowboys allow 170 rushing YPG, so they will need to step up today when facing Ryan Matthews.

Wyoming is 6-2 ATS last 8 games as an underdog.
Under is 13-6 last 19 non-conference games.

Keey Injuries - S Jamichael Hall (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (Side of the Day)

Fresno St (-10.5, O/U 55): Fresno St. is bowling yet again, as they've now played in a bowl in 10 of the last 11 years. It's been a tale of two seasons for the Bulldogs, as they started the year 1-3 SU, only to end the season on a 7-1 SU streak. It all adds up to an 8-4 record SU, including an ATS record of 7-4 on the season. Fresno St. has gone 4-2 ATS as a favorite this season. The Bulldogs feature an offense that is 14th in the country with 34.3 PPG. RB Ryan Matthews plays a major role in this offense, as he's only the 2nd Bulldogs player in school history to rush for 3,000 YDS. Matthews averaged 151 rushing YPG this season, which led all FBS teams this year. As good as this rushing offense is, the Bulldogs defense has held this team back. Fresno St. has allowed 27.8 PPG, and were 111th in the country at stopping the run.

Fresno St 1-6 ATS last 7 vs. Mountain West Conference.
Over is 6-2 last 8 Bowl games.

Key Injuries - RB Ryan Matthews (leg) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27


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[Udog]

NCAAF


Sunday, December 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What bettors need to know: New Orleans Bowl
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs. Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (-3.5, 57.5)

How They Got Here

Sunday night’s game at the Louisiana Superdome is just the second bowl game for Middle Tennessee State since 1964. Southern Miss, meanwhile, is in its eighth consecutive bowl game and second straight New Orleans Bowl. It’s the first-ever meeting between the schools.

MTSU (9-3, 9-3 ATS) has had one of the better seasons in school history -- the Blue Raiders’ nine wins were their most in the regular season in 17 years and their seven conference wins the most since they joined the Sun Belt. MTSU actually holds the sixth-longest winning streak in the country at six victories in a row.

Southern Miss (7-5, 6-5 ATS) no doubt had bigger plans than the New Orleans Bowl yet again with BCS-caliber talent like RB Damion Fletcher and WR DeAndre Brown back this season. Still, the team earned its 15th consecutive winning season and nearly got into the C-USA championship game.

Scouting Report

The Golden Eagles had injury problems this year, which contributed to the mediocre record. Fletcher missed a loss to UAB because of injury and starting QB Austin Davis was lost after the fifth game.

Brown never seemed to be 100 percent most of this season after suffering a gruesome broken leg in last year’s New Orleans Bowl OT win over Troy. He did seem to finally get back to normal in the final three games of the regular season with 14 catches for 338 yards and three scores. He was huge in the season finale against East Carolina, which USM lost 25-20 with a spot in the C-USA title game on the line.

Fletcher is one of the most underrated backs in the country and has run for 5,224 yards and 44 touchdowns in his career. He is 63 yards shy of becoming the ninth player in FBS history to record four 1,000-yard seasons.

Martevious Young took over at QB for Davis and has been very good, passing for 1,590 yards, 13 touchdowns and just one interception. The Golden Eagles put up more than 5,000 total yards of offense for the third straight season. On defense, USM is strong against the run (No. 32) but weak against the pass (No. 113).

MTSU runs a spread offense paced by QB Dwight Dasher, who threw for 2,627 yards and 21 touchdowns, and rushed for a team-best 953 yards. He ranks ninth in the nation in total offense.

MTSU is averaging 41.2 ppg and nearly 470 yards during its win streak. The Blue Raiders defense is led by Sun Belt Defensive Player of the Year Chris McCoy, who led the team in sacks (7) and tackles for loss (20). He also blocked a field goal at Maryland (a win for MTSU), recovered a fumble and scored at Clemson. MTSU is among the nation’s leaders in sacks.

Line movement

USM is currently a 3.5-point favorite, and that’s been pretty steady at most books. The current total of 57.5 is down on average 1.5 points from the open. Approximately 65 percent of the public lean is on Southern Miss.

In closing

These two teams have one common opponent, but there’s not too much you can read into that. MTSU beat Memphis, 31-14, at home on Sept. 12, while the Golden Eagles beat the Tigers, 36-16, at home on Oct. 17.

MTSU’s dual-threat Dasher is similar to UAB quarterback Joe Webb, and he killed Southern Miss with his feet in a 30-17 Blazers victory. Another dual-threat QB, Virginia’s Jameel Sewell, torched the Golden Eagles through the air. There could be a trend there.

If Southern Miss is motivated, it should cover easily. But playing in the same lower-tier bowl for the fourth time in six seasons when you clearly had different goals has to cause some issues. MTSU, meanwhile, is more than happy to be playing in the postseason.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel - Sun. POD


Middle Tennessee State vs. Southern Mississippi
The Blue Raiders look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games overall. Middle Tennessee State is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+3 1/2).

[pm530]

NCAAF


Tuesday, December 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What bettors need to know: Las Vegas Bowl
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Brigham Young Cougars vs. Oregon State Beavers (-2.5, 58.5)

Mormon nation will be headed to Sin City when the No. 14 BYU Cougars take on No. 18 Oregon State in the Las Vegas Bowl.

BYU had an outstanding 10-2 year with wins over Oklahoma and Utah, while the Beavers went 8-4 and finished in a three-way tie for second place in the Pac-10.

Spread and totals

The spread for the game opened up at -1 in favor of Oregon State and now sits at -2.5 at most sports books.

The Beavers have a decent 7-4 ATS record this season and have covered the spread in their last four games. The postseason has been good to them as well. Oregon State holds an all-time bowl record of 8-4.

BYU went 6-6 ATS and this will only be the third time this year the team will be getting points. The Cougars lost, 31-21, and failed to cover as 3-point underdogs in last year’s Las Vegas Bowl.

The total for the game opened up at 60.5 and has since seen downward movement to 58.5. Popular opinion seems to be on the over regardless of the number, suggesting that some sharp bets were put on the under early on.

BYU is 7-5 on the over/under this year, while Oregon State is 5-6. This is the fifth straight year that BYU will be playing in the Las Vegas Bowl and the total has gone under three times in those previous four appearances. Last year's total was 62 and the game went under by 10 points.

BYU's second home

While alcohol sales at Sam Boyd Stadium will be one-sided, or at least they're supposed to be, the Cougar fan base has had a positive impact on this bowl game. BYU's first appearance in 2005 marked the first sellout for a bowl that was in financial trouble.

This year's game was announced as sellout earlier this week, with most of the support coming from BYU.

The players don't seem to mind the location.

"Vegas is a good venue. Unless you're going to a BCS game, I don't know where else you'd want to go," said BYU defensive lineman Jan Jorgensen. "There's a lot of stuff to do."

Oregon State coach Mike Riley is fully aware of this advantage.

"It is like a home game for BYU," he said. “They've earned this spot in this bowl game, what is it, like five years in a row?"

Both teams have had previous appearances in Las Vegas this year against UNLV. Oregon State won 23-21, while BYU blew out the Running Rebels 59-21 in October

Name game

BYU's defense will be focused on the Rodgers’ brothers. Jacquizz has rushed for 1377 yards and 20 TDs, while James has caught 88 passes for 1012 yards and nine TDs.

BYU QB Max Hall has a school high 31 wins as a starter and he will look to close out his collegiate career strong. He threw for 3368 yards this year and 30 TDs this year. He'll be carrying momentum from his game-winning TD in OT that beat rivals Utah 26-23

Does Oregon State care?

BYU will be graduating Max Hall along and several key players on defense. They’ll look to make a statement on a BCS team and Oregon State will have to be prepared for an early surge from the Cougars.

The Beavers ended the regular season with a heartbreaking, four-point loss to Oregon. A victory would have put them in the Rose Bowl.

"The first thing you have to do is address the disappointment," OSU coach Mike Riley said. "It's real. It's not going to go away."

Oregon State has a majority of its squad returning for next year and a good performance against BYU will influence its preseason ranking for 2010.

It’s been a tough year for the Beavers, but all four of their losses came against ranked teams. Only the game against Cincinnati was decided by more than a touchdown.

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[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel


BYU vs. Oregon State
The Beavers look to take advantage of a BYU team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as an underdog between 1 and 3 points. Oregon State is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Beavers favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 22

Game 207-208: BYU vs. Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 92.862; Oregon State 102.351
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 9 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 2 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-2 1/2); Under



WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 23

Game 209-210: Utah vs. California
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 93.633; California 94.292
Dunkel Line: California by 1; 48
Vegas Line: California by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2); Under



THURSDAY, DECEMBER 24

Game 211-212: SMU vs. Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 76.356; Nevada 98.282
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 22; 79
Vegas Line: Nevada by 13 1/2; 72 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-13 1/2); Over



SATURDAY, DECEMBER 26

Game 213-214: Ohio vs. Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 85.560; Marshall 76.217
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 9 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Ohio by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-2 1/2); Over

Game 215-216: North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 95.053; Pittsburgh 99.941
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 41
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2 1/2); Under

Game 217-218: Boston College vs. USC
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 94.265; USC 95.038
Dunkel Line: USC by 1; 46
Vegas Line: USC by 9; 44
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+9); Over



SUNDAY, DECEMBER 27

Game 219-220: Kentucky vs. Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 92.786; Clemson 95.196
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Clemson by 7 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+7 1/2); Over


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