Monday Trends and Indexes 11/30 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Memphis at Utah
The Jazz look to take advantage of a Memphis team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as an underdog between 5 and 10 1/2 points. Utah is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Jazz favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Utah (-10). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 30

Game 501-502: Chicago at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.753; Milwaukee 115.449
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 193 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Philadelphia at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 111.448; Dallas 125.963
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 14 1/2; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Memphis at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 113.757; Utah 125.234
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 11 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 10; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-10); Under

Game 507-508: Indiana at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.101; Golden State 114.121
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 222
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 2; 227
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+2); Under

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Penn State at Virginia
The Nittany Lions look to take advantage of a Virginia team that is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games. Penn State is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has Virginia favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+6). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 30

Game 509-510: Penn State at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 58.658; Virginia 61.759
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 2
Vegas Line: Virginia by 6
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+6)

Game 511-512: Florida International at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 41.162; Bowling Green 50.662
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+10 1/2)

Game 513-514: St. Mary's (CA) at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 61.953; San Jose State 58.960
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 3
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+5 1/2)

Game 515-516: Canisius at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 50.108; Eastern Michigan 53.288
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan 3
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+4 1/2)

Game 517-518: Fairfield at Hofstra
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 49.259; Hofstra 57.831
Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Hofstra by 7
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (-7)

Game 519-520: St. Joseph's at Rider
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 57.743; Rider 57.591
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 1
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+1)

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Buffalo at Toronto
The Sabres look to build on their 9-4 record in their last 13 road games. Buffalo is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 30

Game 1-2: St. Louis at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.612; Columbus 11.979
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-135); Under

Game 3-4: Washington at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.491; Carolina 11.088
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-185); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-185); Over

Game 5-6: Florida at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.620; Atlanta 11.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+150); Over

Game 7-8: Buffalo at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.537; Toronto 11.488
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-130); Under

Game 9-10: Pittsburgh at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.057; NY Rangers 11.494
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-110); Under

Game 11-12: Colorado at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.523; Tampa Bay 11.219
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Under

Game 13-14: Dallas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.065; Detroit 12.236
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Over

Game 15-16: Calgary at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.695; Nashville 12.021
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-125); Over

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


I accidentally posted yesterday's hockey report earlier. Here's today's.

Monday, November 30

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ST LOUIS (10-9-0-5, 25 pts.) at COLUMBUS (12-9-0-4, 28 pts.) - 11/30/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 17-12 ATS (+32.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 24-50 ATS (+84.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 13-25 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 10-4 (+7.4 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 10-4-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.7 Units)

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WASHINGTON (15-6-0-5, 35 pts.) at CAROLINA (5-16-0-5, 15 pts.) - 11/30/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 4-22 ATS (-36.2 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 4-22 ATS (+31.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 0-10 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
CAROLINA is 1-12 ATS (+14.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 7-7 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 7-7-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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FLORIDA (10-11-0-4, 24 pts.) at ATLANTA (13-7-0-3, 29 pts.) - 11/30/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 20-14 ATS (+37.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 13-9 ATS (+25.8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 12-7 ATS (+21.5 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 9-5 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 9-5-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.4 Units)

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BUFFALO (14-8-0-1, 29 pts.) at TORONTO (6-12-0-6, 18 pts.) - 11/30/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 256-248 ATS (-53.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BUFFALO is 195-136 ATS (+35.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
BUFFALO is 15-8 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-18 ATS (-24.5 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 6-18 ATS (+24.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 4-12 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 16-30 ATS (+46.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 79-96 ATS (-78.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 11-4 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 11-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.8 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (18-9-0-0, 36 pts.) at NY RANGERS (13-12-0-1, 27 pts.) - 11/30/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 12-2 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 76-84 ATS (-55.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 11-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 12-9 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 12-9-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

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COLORADO (14-8-0-5, 33 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (10-6-0-8, 28 pts.) - 11/30/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 20-48 ATS (+84.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 21-35 ATS (-20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 34-70 ATS (-52.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 35-62 ATS (+104.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-0-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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DALLAS (12-7-0-7, 31 pts.) at DETROIT (12-9-0-4, 28 pts.) - 11/30/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 21-35 ATS (-26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 40-7 ATS (+23.8 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 22-11 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 29-15 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-8 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 8-7-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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CALGARY (16-6-0-3, 35 pts.) at NASHVILLE (15-9-0-1, 31 pts.) - 11/30/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 14-10 ATS (-0.5 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 9-3 ATS (+5.5 Units) in November games this season.
NASHVILLE is 14-10 ATS (+24.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 67-32 ATS (+31.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 8-3 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 8-3 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
CALGARY is 27-20 ATS (+49.9 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Monday, 11/30/2009

CHICAGO at MILWAUKEE, 8:00 PM ET
CHICAGO: 0-9 ATS if underdog last game
MILWAUKEE: 13-4 Over if home dog last game

PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 8-19 ATS off BB Unders
DALLAS: 8-1 ATS off road game

MEMPHIS at UTAH, 9:00 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 0-7 ATS vs. Utah
UTAH: 10-0 Over at home vs. bad team (.250 to .400)

INDIANA at GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET NBA
INDIANA: 5-1 UNDER if total is 210+
GOLDEN STATE: 11-2 ATS at home after allowing 120+

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Monday, 11/30/2009

PENN ST at VIRGINIA, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
PENN ST: 8-2 ATS off home ATS loss/SU win
VIRGINIA: 11-24 ATS after allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher

FLA INTERNATIONAL at BOWLING GREEN, 7:00 PM ET
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 29-55 ATS playing with one or less days rest
BOWLING GREEN: 7-1 Under if home underdog last game

ST MARYS-CA at SAN JOSE ST, 10:00 PM ET
ST MARYS-CA: 5-0 Over vs. WACE
SAN JOSE ST: 5-11 ATS if favored last game

Added Games

CANISIUS at E MICHIGAN, 7:00 PM ET
CANISIUS: 13-4 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points
E MICHIGAN: 12-31 ATS off BB SU wins

FAIRFIELD at HOFSTRA, 7:00 PM ET
FAIRFIELD: 4-13 ATS in road November games
HOFSTRA: 26-12 ATS playing only their 2nd game in a week

ST JOSEPHS at RIDER, 7:00 PM ET
ST JOSEPHS: 14-5 ATS in road non-conference games
RIDER: 29-49 ATS as home favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Monday, 11/30/2009

ST LOUIS at COLUMBUS, 7:00 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 10-4 SU after OT loss
COLUMBUS: 2-6 SU playing their 4th game in 7 days

WASHINGTON at CAROLINA, 7:00 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 27-19 SU AWAY off an Over
CAROLINA: 0-14 SU as an underdog

FLORIDA at ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET
FLORIDA: 4-0 SU AWAY after allowing 4+ goals BB games
ATLANTA: 6-15 SU when playing 6+ games in 10 days

BUFFALO at TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET VERSUS
BUFFALO: 15-8 SU AWAY after a win by 2+ goals
TORONTO: 2-9 SU at home when playing 6+ games in 10 days

PITTSBURGH at NY RANGERS, 7:00 PM ET
PITTSBURGH: 40-22 SU after playing a home game
NY RANGERS: 3-13 SU after allowing 5+ goals

COLORADO at TAMPA BAY, 7:30 PM ET
COLORADO: 5-0 SU in non-conference games
TAMPA BAY: 2-6 SU after 4+ overs

DALLAS at DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET
DALLAS: 8-3 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3
DETROIT: 2-5 SU revenging a home loss

CALGARY at NASHVILLE, 8:00 PM ET
CALGARY: 18-27 SU when playing their 4th game in 7 days
NASHVILLE: 9-3 SU in November

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA


Monday, November 30

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Tips and Trends
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Indiana Pacers at Golden State Warriors [10:30 PM ET]

Pacers: Indiana is playing their worst basketball of the year right now. They've lost 5 of their past 6 games, both SU and ATS. The Pacers have played 5 road games this year, going 2-3 both SU and ATS. The reason for their recent slide has been their defensive effort. Indiana is getting healthier, as both F Mike Dunleavy and F Danny Granger are back on the court. Granger is averaging nearly 25 PPG this season. G Dahntay Jones has been a revelation this season, as he averages 16 PPG this season. Jones came to Indiana primarily for defense, but he's scored in double figures in 12 of 14 games this season.

Pacers are 3-7 ATS last 10 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 6-1 last 7 games as a road underdog.

Key Injuries - F Danny Granger (knee) is probable.
F Tyler Hansbrough (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 209

Warriors (-2, O/U 228): This is only the 2nd time this season the Warriors have played back to back games at home. They are 3-3 ATS at home this year. Despite being only 5-10 SU this year, they've won 6 of their last 8 games ATS. This Warriors offense is 3rd in the NBA in scoring, at over 105 PPG. However, the Warriors are the only team in the NBA allowing more than 110 PPG. Golden St. has 8 players averaging double digits, with G Monta Ellis leading the way with 23 PPG. The Warriors lost to the Pacers earlier this season in Indiana.

Warriors are 15-5-1 last 21 vs. Eastern Conference.
Over is 8-3 last 11 games as a home favorite.

G Raja Bell (wrist) is out.
C Andris Biedrins (abdominal) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 218 (Side of the Day)


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[Udog]

Len's Top 5

Happy Monday everyone. We were having computer issues this morning so sorry for the delay! Here's my Top 5 for November 30, 2009 from Len Berman.

1. Quick Hits

Tiger Woods continues to stonewall the cops. He issued a statement claiming responsibility for his car accident. He called all the rumors swirling around (his affair, a fight with his wife) " unfounded, malicious and irresponsible."
The Colts are now 11-0 after overcoming a 17-0 deficit to beat Houston 35-27. New Orleans goes for 11-0 tonight at home against the Patriots.
Nets coach Lawrence Frank falls short of tying the record for starting a season 0-17. The Nets fired him before the Nets went out and lost to the Lakers last night thus tying the record.
Is that backwards? Eye-popping college basketball score from the long holiday. Portland 74 UCLA 47.

2. Chip Shots

Where to begin on the Tiger Woods fiasco? Finally, something the control freak couldn't control. He should have pulled a "Letterman." Confront the issue publicly head-on and move along. And this will not affect his precious endorsements unless the story turns darker. Speaking of endorsements, good point from subscriber Jerry S. "Shouldn't Tiger have been in a Buick? Looks like Cadillac is the real winner here."
You mean Tiger doesn't drive a Buick even though he incessantly plugs them ? Shocking!

3. Once Upon a Time....

...there was a perfect golfer with a perfect swing with a perfect wife, family and life. And then if you want to believe the tabloids he had an affair, got in an argument with his wife, she came after him with a golf club and he smashed up his car. If it's true, the question becomes why does a person who has everything screw it up? To paraphrase a John D. Rockefeller legend, he was once asked since he has all the money in the world, what more could be possibly want? He answered "just a little bit more."

4. The Voice of God

99-year old Bob Sheppard says he is through as the Yankees public address announcer. He started his Yankee Stadium career in 1951 and along the way also handled the P.A. for Giants football for half a century. A classy guy who only cared about articulation and getting the pronunciation right. He also did favors for friends. At one time, if you called Braves Manager Bobby Cox's answering machine at home you would hear in God-like tones, "Ladies and Gentleman, Bobby is unavailable to come to the phone at this time." How cool is that? There is only one Bob Sheppard. He will be sorely missed.

5. Just so you Know

You probably thought you were getting these emails from some rinky dink sportscaster. Well, as of today, you are now getting this email from a rinky dink sportscaster who is also a New York Times Best Selling Author. Yup, me and Grisham. My kids book, The Greatest Moments in Sports, debuted this weekend at #9 in Children's Chapter Books. This news doesn't mean you'll see a noticeable improvement in the Top 5, it just means my head will swell a little. But in due time your email responses will cut me down to size! By the way, a sincere thank you to all of you who helped make this happen.

Happy Birthday: Bo knows birthdays. Former football/baseball star Bo Jackson. 47.
Bonus Birthday: I like the lyrics, but I'm not crazy about the words. American Bandstand's Dick Clark. 80.

Today in Sports: Floyd Patterson, at age 21, became the youngest heavyweight champ when he knocked out Archie Moore in the 5th round. 1956.
Bonus Event: Hey Lucy I'm home! Lucille Ball and Desi Arnaz tie the knot. 1940.