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NCAAF
Write-Up
Saturday's games
Top Games
Michigan lost last six games vs I-A teams, allowiing 37.2 ppg in last five; they were outscored 49-19 in second half of last four games. Tressel has won seven of eight games in this rivalry, taking last five in row, winning last two visits to this site, 25-21/14-3. Ohio State is 6-3 vs spread this year, 1-1 on road- they're +9 in turnovers last four games. Big 11 home underdogs are 5-6 vs spread.
Northern Illinois-Ohio could be play-in game for Toronto Bowl; NIU is 0-3 in its last three visits to Athens, where Bobcats are just 1-2 in 2009. Ohio U won five of its last six games overall, with four of its six wins by three or less points, or in OT. Huskies won last four games, allowing 12 ppg in last three- they outscored last three opponents 44-17 in second half. Last five Ohio games, three of last four NIU games stayed under.
Home side won last four Wisconsin-Northwestern games; Badgers lost last visit here 51-48; they've also won won last three games, scoring 37-31-45 points, but they're 2-1 on road, with both wins by field goal each. Wildcats' last three losses are all by 10+ points; they've won five of last seven games, with under 5-1-1 in those games. Northwestern is 3-2 in its home games, 4-2 vs spread in last six games as underdog.
Iowa lost last two games after 9-0 start, losing in OT at Ohio State last week; Hawkeyes won four of last five vs Minnesota, winning 55-0 LY, taking last two played here, 52-28/21-16. Seven of last eight Minnesota games went over total. Big 11 home favorites are 10-16 against spread. Gophers didn't score TD on offense in tense 16-13 win vs I-AA South Dakota State last week. Iowa is 2-3 as home favorite this season.
Butch Davis won his last seven vs Boston College, but this is Tar Heels' first visit to BC; North Carolina won last three games, running ball for 163 yards/game. Heels are +9 in turnovers their last five games. BC won all five home games, is 3-0 as home favorite; they were held to 7-14-16 points in their three losses. Eagles' last three games stayed under total. ACC home favorites are 10-14 against the spread.
Georgia is 16-2 in last 18 games vs Kentucky, winning last two between hedges 45-13/24-13; Wildcats' last win here was '77, but they're 4-1 last five games and 4-0 vs spread in last four road games, 2-0 as a road dog. Georgia is 1-4 vs spread as favorite this year; kast week was their first game with positive turnover ratio (-14 for season). SEC home favorites are 9-15 against the spread this season.
Arkansas won nine of last ten games vs Mississippi State, winning last two played here, 44-10/45-31; Hogs scored 50.7 ppg in winning its last three games- they're 2-2 as favorite, are +11 in turnovers last six games. State won last three road games; they're 4-3 as underdog, 2-1 on road, but are just 5 for last 34 on third down. Arkansas is 2-4 in SEC, winning by 21-17 points. SEC home favorites are 9-15.
UConn lost last three games by total of 10 points; they've allowed 30.4 ppg in last five games, with last four games going over (last four Notre Dame games stayed under). Huskies have no takeaways in last couple of games, are -6 in turnovers in last three. Irish failed to cover last seven as a favorite, going 2-3 SU in last five- they scored three first half points in last two games. Big East non-conference underdogs are 8-2, 4-2 on road.
Michigan State won five of last seven games, scoring 34-40-49 points in last three; three of their five '09 losses are by three or less points. Penn State won four of last five games vs Spartans, but is 2-4 in last six visits here; Lions are 3-0 on road, winning by 18-25-21 points. Under is 8-1-1 in Penn State's last ten games. Big 11 home underdogs are 5-6 vs spread. Penn State won five of last six games vs I-A opponents.
Arizona State had four defensive TDs in 34-9 win over UCLA LY; Sun Devils lost last four games this year by average score of 29-16-- they're 1-2 as road dog, losing away games by 3-19-23 points. Bruins won last two games; they've thrown ball for 311+ yards in four of last five games. ASU is 3-2 in last five series games, splitting last two at this site, with average total in the five games, 50.6.
Stanford lost six of last seven games vs Cal, with home side winning four of last five; Cardinal scored 46.3 ppg in winning last three weeks, with an upset of USC last week (last two teams that beat USC lost their next game)- they ran ball for 249+ yards in last three games. Stanford is 5-0 as a favorite this year, 4-0 at home. Cal won four of last five games; they've allowed 42-31-30 in losses, are 3-1 SU on road this season.
LSU won six of last seven games vs Ole Miss, winning last two here by 40-7/41-24 scores, but Rebels won 41-24 in Baton Rouge LY, in Nutt's first series game as Ole Miss coach. Tigers were held to 3-15 points in their two losses; they need Jefferson at QB (Lee was 7-22 last week in shaky win vs La Tech). Ole Miss is 3-0 as home favorite but are -11 in turnovers last seven games, with only one INT in last four games.
Home side won nine of last 11 and last five Oklahoma-Texas Tech games with Sooners losing last two visits here, 23-21/34-27. Sooners are 1-4 on road, 1-3 as road favorite- seven of their last nine games stayed under the total, as have three of Raiders' last four. Tech is 0-4 when it scores 30 or less points. Oklahoma's last two opponents completed 22 of 54 passes. Big 12 home underdogs are 6-11 against spread.
Arizona is 4-0 at home, with three wins by 13+ points; they're 1-2 as an underdog- opponents are just 5 for last 35 on 3rd down. Oregon scored 44 ppg in last four games, but they split their four games on foreign soil. Ducks ran ball for 217+ yards in each of last eight games. Seven of last nine Oregon games went over the total. Pac-10 home underdogs are 8-6 against the spread.
Rest of the Card
-- Clemson won, covered last four games vs I-A teams by average score of 40-22, with last three games going over. Virginia lost last four games (0-3-1 vs spread) scoring just 13.3 ppg.
-- Home team won last five Louisville-USF games; Cardinals lost last two visits here, 45-14/55-17. South Florida was awful last week, getting thrashed 31-0 by Rutgers on ESPN, Bulls' third loss in last four games.
-- Rutgers won last four games vs Syracuse by average score of 36-12; Knights won last three games, outscoring foes 51-13 in first half. Orange lost five of last six ganes, with four of last five losses by 14+ points.
-- Purdue won four of last five games vs Indiana, beating rival 62-10 last year, but losing last visit here 27-24; Boilers are 1-3 on road- underdogs are 7-2-1 vs spread in their last ten games. Indiana is 6-3 as underdog.
-- 5-5 Florida State needs this win to go to bowl, seeing as Florida is next up for them; Seminoles won three of last four games, with last six going over total- they've given up 37.2 ppg in last five.
-- NC State lost five of last six games, with three of last four losses by 20+ points; they allowed 40.1 ppg in last seven games, with all seven going over total. Virginia Tech allowed total of 12 points last two games.
-- Missouri won five of last six games vs Iowa State, winning last two at Mizzou 27-24/42-28; Tigers lost last three home games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Iowa State scored 11 ppg last four games.
-- Tennessee is 25-1 in last 26 games vs Vanderbilt, but last two played here were decided by total of five points; Vandy lost last seven games, but is 3-0 as road dog. Four of Vols' five wins are by 18+ points.
-- Temple won its last eight games, covering four of last five and last four going over total; they're 2-2 as home favorite. Kent covered six of its last seven games (3-0 last three as dog), MAC home favorites are 11-9.
-- TCU crushed Utah last week, its fifth cover in row; they're 3-1 as road favorite, and beat Wyoming 54-7 LY after losing its last visit here 24-21. Cowboys were outscored 48-6 in second half of their last two games.
-- Oregon State won five of last six games; they're 2-3 as favorite, 0-1 on road. Washington State lost its last two games to Beavers 52-17/66-13; Coogs allowed 40+ points in last four games.
-- BYU won last five games vs Air Force by 19-point average, with an average total of 61. Falcons won last three games, scoring 38 ppg- they haven't lost a game this year by more than seven points.
-- UAB won last three games, scoring 41.7 ppg; they're 4-1 when they score 30+ points, 1-4 when they don't. Blazers are 1-4 as road dog; four of their five losses are by 13+. C-USA home favorites are 9-10.
-- Kansas State is 0-4 on road, losing on the road by 2-14-52-12 points. Nebraska won its last four games vs Kansas State, winning last two 73-31/ 56-28; Huskers won last three games, allowing just 10 ppg.
-- Home side won four of last five Baylor-Texas A&M games; Bears lost last two visits here, 16-13/34-10, are 2-1-1 as road dog despite being 1-5 in last six games. Four of A&M's five wins are by 25+ points.
-- UTEP lost last three games to Rice by 6-8-5 points; average total in last five series games in 79. Miners lost last three games; they allowed 35+ points in five of last six. Owls are 2-7 vs spread as an underdog.
-- Utah won its last three games vs San Diego State by 31-16-49 points; they had two defensive TDs LY, but Utes are in TCU/BYU sandwich, while Aztecs are 3-0 against spread as a road underdog this season.
-- Underdog covered last five Louisiana Tech-Fresno games; Fresno won five of last six games, with last four staying under total. Tech lost four in a row, all by 10 or less points. WAC home favorites are 11-6.
-- New Mexico is 0-10, Colorado State lost last seven games; underdog is 5-0 vs spread in last five series games. Rams are 0-3 as a favorite in '09; they were outscored 100-22 in second half of last four games.
-- SMU won last three games, scoring 31 ppg; they're bowl eligible and 5-1 as an underdog, 3-1 on road. Marshall lost three of last four games-- they don't have a takeaway in last three. C-USA home faves are 9-10.
-- Tulsa won last two games vs Southern Mississippi 20-6/34-17, but Golden Hurricane lost last five games, getting whacked by East Carolina Sunday night. Southern Miss covered last three games as a favorite.
-- Kansas lost last five games, failed to cover last seven; they got beat by Texas 66-14/35-7 in last two meetings. Longhorns covered four of its last five games but they're just 1-4 against spread as a home favorite.
-- Duke scored total of 16 points in losing last two games, getting shut out in second half both games; they're 2-2 as a road dog. Miami won last four series games by average score of 36-17; they're 2-1 as home fave.
-- Road team covered six of last seven Memphis-Houston games, with Tigers winning last three visits here, but Memphis is in tank, losing last four games. Cougars allowed 43-45-37 points in last three games.
-- Tulane lost five of last six games; six of their last seven stayed under the total- they're 1-3 as a road underdog. Central Florida is 3-1 as a fave this season. C-USA home favorites are 9-10 against the spread.
-- Nevada won last seven games (5-2 vs spread); they outscored foes in second half 66-14 last three games, and won last six visits to Las Cruces by average score of 39-23. Aggies outscored 148-16 in last four games.
-- San Jose State lost seven of last eight games vs Hawai'i; Warriors won last two visits here, 45-38/42-35. Spartans are 0-8 vs I-A teams this year failing to cover last six. Hawai'i lost its last four road games.
-- FIU covered one of last five games as underdog; they allowed 1,100 yards in last two games, now have to face Gators (1-4 vs spread in last five games), who are in South Carolina/Florida State sandwich.
-- Army won its last two games vs North Texas, but lost three in a row vs I-A teams by 14-17-28 points. Only teams UNT has beaten this year are Ball State/Western Kentucky. Seven of last nine UNY tilts went over
-- Troy won seven of last eight games, with four of last five going over total, as did FAU's last four road games; Troy is 4-0 as a home favorite. Owls are 2-3 as road dog, losing away games by 46-22-27 points.
-- Road team won last four Monroe-Lafayette games, as Warhawks won last two visits here, 39-20/17-11. Sun Belt home dogs are 3-4 against the spread. Monroe won five of its last seven games.
-- Arkansas State lost last three visits to Middle Tennessee by 28-38-17 points; they're 1-7 vs I-A teams this year, losing last three by 8-3-17 pts MTSU won last four games, scoring 42.8 ppg; they're 4-0 as home fave.
Write-Up
Saturday's games
Top Games
Michigan lost last six games vs I-A teams, allowiing 37.2 ppg in last five; they were outscored 49-19 in second half of last four games. Tressel has won seven of eight games in this rivalry, taking last five in row, winning last two visits to this site, 25-21/14-3. Ohio State is 6-3 vs spread this year, 1-1 on road- they're +9 in turnovers last four games. Big 11 home underdogs are 5-6 vs spread.
Northern Illinois-Ohio could be play-in game for Toronto Bowl; NIU is 0-3 in its last three visits to Athens, where Bobcats are just 1-2 in 2009. Ohio U won five of its last six games overall, with four of its six wins by three or less points, or in OT. Huskies won last four games, allowing 12 ppg in last three- they outscored last three opponents 44-17 in second half. Last five Ohio games, three of last four NIU games stayed under.
Home side won last four Wisconsin-Northwestern games; Badgers lost last visit here 51-48; they've also won won last three games, scoring 37-31-45 points, but they're 2-1 on road, with both wins by field goal each. Wildcats' last three losses are all by 10+ points; they've won five of last seven games, with under 5-1-1 in those games. Northwestern is 3-2 in its home games, 4-2 vs spread in last six games as underdog.
Iowa lost last two games after 9-0 start, losing in OT at Ohio State last week; Hawkeyes won four of last five vs Minnesota, winning 55-0 LY, taking last two played here, 52-28/21-16. Seven of last eight Minnesota games went over total. Big 11 home favorites are 10-16 against spread. Gophers didn't score TD on offense in tense 16-13 win vs I-AA South Dakota State last week. Iowa is 2-3 as home favorite this season.
Butch Davis won his last seven vs Boston College, but this is Tar Heels' first visit to BC; North Carolina won last three games, running ball for 163 yards/game. Heels are +9 in turnovers their last five games. BC won all five home games, is 3-0 as home favorite; they were held to 7-14-16 points in their three losses. Eagles' last three games stayed under total. ACC home favorites are 10-14 against the spread.
Georgia is 16-2 in last 18 games vs Kentucky, winning last two between hedges 45-13/24-13; Wildcats' last win here was '77, but they're 4-1 last five games and 4-0 vs spread in last four road games, 2-0 as a road dog. Georgia is 1-4 vs spread as favorite this year; kast week was their first game with positive turnover ratio (-14 for season). SEC home favorites are 9-15 against the spread this season.
Arkansas won nine of last ten games vs Mississippi State, winning last two played here, 44-10/45-31; Hogs scored 50.7 ppg in winning its last three games- they're 2-2 as favorite, are +11 in turnovers last six games. State won last three road games; they're 4-3 as underdog, 2-1 on road, but are just 5 for last 34 on third down. Arkansas is 2-4 in SEC, winning by 21-17 points. SEC home favorites are 9-15.
UConn lost last three games by total of 10 points; they've allowed 30.4 ppg in last five games, with last four games going over (last four Notre Dame games stayed under). Huskies have no takeaways in last couple of games, are -6 in turnovers in last three. Irish failed to cover last seven as a favorite, going 2-3 SU in last five- they scored three first half points in last two games. Big East non-conference underdogs are 8-2, 4-2 on road.
Michigan State won five of last seven games, scoring 34-40-49 points in last three; three of their five '09 losses are by three or less points. Penn State won four of last five games vs Spartans, but is 2-4 in last six visits here; Lions are 3-0 on road, winning by 18-25-21 points. Under is 8-1-1 in Penn State's last ten games. Big 11 home underdogs are 5-6 vs spread. Penn State won five of last six games vs I-A opponents.
Arizona State had four defensive TDs in 34-9 win over UCLA LY; Sun Devils lost last four games this year by average score of 29-16-- they're 1-2 as road dog, losing away games by 3-19-23 points. Bruins won last two games; they've thrown ball for 311+ yards in four of last five games. ASU is 3-2 in last five series games, splitting last two at this site, with average total in the five games, 50.6.
Stanford lost six of last seven games vs Cal, with home side winning four of last five; Cardinal scored 46.3 ppg in winning last three weeks, with an upset of USC last week (last two teams that beat USC lost their next game)- they ran ball for 249+ yards in last three games. Stanford is 5-0 as a favorite this year, 4-0 at home. Cal won four of last five games; they've allowed 42-31-30 in losses, are 3-1 SU on road this season.
LSU won six of last seven games vs Ole Miss, winning last two here by 40-7/41-24 scores, but Rebels won 41-24 in Baton Rouge LY, in Nutt's first series game as Ole Miss coach. Tigers were held to 3-15 points in their two losses; they need Jefferson at QB (Lee was 7-22 last week in shaky win vs La Tech). Ole Miss is 3-0 as home favorite but are -11 in turnovers last seven games, with only one INT in last four games.
Home side won nine of last 11 and last five Oklahoma-Texas Tech games with Sooners losing last two visits here, 23-21/34-27. Sooners are 1-4 on road, 1-3 as road favorite- seven of their last nine games stayed under the total, as have three of Raiders' last four. Tech is 0-4 when it scores 30 or less points. Oklahoma's last two opponents completed 22 of 54 passes. Big 12 home underdogs are 6-11 against spread.
Arizona is 4-0 at home, with three wins by 13+ points; they're 1-2 as an underdog- opponents are just 5 for last 35 on 3rd down. Oregon scored 44 ppg in last four games, but they split their four games on foreign soil. Ducks ran ball for 217+ yards in each of last eight games. Seven of last nine Oregon games went over the total. Pac-10 home underdogs are 8-6 against the spread.
Rest of the Card
-- Clemson won, covered last four games vs I-A teams by average score of 40-22, with last three games going over. Virginia lost last four games (0-3-1 vs spread) scoring just 13.3 ppg.
-- Home team won last five Louisville-USF games; Cardinals lost last two visits here, 45-14/55-17. South Florida was awful last week, getting thrashed 31-0 by Rutgers on ESPN, Bulls' third loss in last four games.
-- Rutgers won last four games vs Syracuse by average score of 36-12; Knights won last three games, outscoring foes 51-13 in first half. Orange lost five of last six ganes, with four of last five losses by 14+ points.
-- Purdue won four of last five games vs Indiana, beating rival 62-10 last year, but losing last visit here 27-24; Boilers are 1-3 on road- underdogs are 7-2-1 vs spread in their last ten games. Indiana is 6-3 as underdog.
-- 5-5 Florida State needs this win to go to bowl, seeing as Florida is next up for them; Seminoles won three of last four games, with last six going over total- they've given up 37.2 ppg in last five.
-- NC State lost five of last six games, with three of last four losses by 20+ points; they allowed 40.1 ppg in last seven games, with all seven going over total. Virginia Tech allowed total of 12 points last two games.
-- Missouri won five of last six games vs Iowa State, winning last two at Mizzou 27-24/42-28; Tigers lost last three home games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Iowa State scored 11 ppg last four games.
-- Tennessee is 25-1 in last 26 games vs Vanderbilt, but last two played here were decided by total of five points; Vandy lost last seven games, but is 3-0 as road dog. Four of Vols' five wins are by 18+ points.
-- Temple won its last eight games, covering four of last five and last four going over total; they're 2-2 as home favorite. Kent covered six of its last seven games (3-0 last three as dog), MAC home favorites are 11-9.
-- TCU crushed Utah last week, its fifth cover in row; they're 3-1 as road favorite, and beat Wyoming 54-7 LY after losing its last visit here 24-21. Cowboys were outscored 48-6 in second half of their last two games.
-- Oregon State won five of last six games; they're 2-3 as favorite, 0-1 on road. Washington State lost its last two games to Beavers 52-17/66-13; Coogs allowed 40+ points in last four games.
-- BYU won last five games vs Air Force by 19-point average, with an average total of 61. Falcons won last three games, scoring 38 ppg- they haven't lost a game this year by more than seven points.
-- UAB won last three games, scoring 41.7 ppg; they're 4-1 when they score 30+ points, 1-4 when they don't. Blazers are 1-4 as road dog; four of their five losses are by 13+. C-USA home favorites are 9-10.
-- Kansas State is 0-4 on road, losing on the road by 2-14-52-12 points. Nebraska won its last four games vs Kansas State, winning last two 73-31/ 56-28; Huskers won last three games, allowing just 10 ppg.
-- Home side won four of last five Baylor-Texas A&M games; Bears lost last two visits here, 16-13/34-10, are 2-1-1 as road dog despite being 1-5 in last six games. Four of A&M's five wins are by 25+ points.
-- UTEP lost last three games to Rice by 6-8-5 points; average total in last five series games in 79. Miners lost last three games; they allowed 35+ points in five of last six. Owls are 2-7 vs spread as an underdog.
-- Utah won its last three games vs San Diego State by 31-16-49 points; they had two defensive TDs LY, but Utes are in TCU/BYU sandwich, while Aztecs are 3-0 against spread as a road underdog this season.
-- Underdog covered last five Louisiana Tech-Fresno games; Fresno won five of last six games, with last four staying under total. Tech lost four in a row, all by 10 or less points. WAC home favorites are 11-6.
-- New Mexico is 0-10, Colorado State lost last seven games; underdog is 5-0 vs spread in last five series games. Rams are 0-3 as a favorite in '09; they were outscored 100-22 in second half of last four games.
-- SMU won last three games, scoring 31 ppg; they're bowl eligible and 5-1 as an underdog, 3-1 on road. Marshall lost three of last four games-- they don't have a takeaway in last three. C-USA home faves are 9-10.
-- Tulsa won last two games vs Southern Mississippi 20-6/34-17, but Golden Hurricane lost last five games, getting whacked by East Carolina Sunday night. Southern Miss covered last three games as a favorite.
-- Kansas lost last five games, failed to cover last seven; they got beat by Texas 66-14/35-7 in last two meetings. Longhorns covered four of its last five games but they're just 1-4 against spread as a home favorite.
-- Duke scored total of 16 points in losing last two games, getting shut out in second half both games; they're 2-2 as a road dog. Miami won last four series games by average score of 36-17; they're 2-1 as home fave.
-- Road team covered six of last seven Memphis-Houston games, with Tigers winning last three visits here, but Memphis is in tank, losing last four games. Cougars allowed 43-45-37 points in last three games.
-- Tulane lost five of last six games; six of their last seven stayed under the total- they're 1-3 as a road underdog. Central Florida is 3-1 as a fave this season. C-USA home favorites are 9-10 against the spread.
-- Nevada won last seven games (5-2 vs spread); they outscored foes in second half 66-14 last three games, and won last six visits to Las Cruces by average score of 39-23. Aggies outscored 148-16 in last four games.
-- San Jose State lost seven of last eight games vs Hawai'i; Warriors won last two visits here, 45-38/42-35. Spartans are 0-8 vs I-A teams this year failing to cover last six. Hawai'i lost its last four road games.
-- FIU covered one of last five games as underdog; they allowed 1,100 yards in last two games, now have to face Gators (1-4 vs spread in last five games), who are in South Carolina/Florida State sandwich.
-- Army won its last two games vs North Texas, but lost three in a row vs I-A teams by 14-17-28 points. Only teams UNT has beaten this year are Ball State/Western Kentucky. Seven of last nine UNY tilts went over
-- Troy won seven of last eight games, with four of last five going over total, as did FAU's last four road games; Troy is 4-0 as a home favorite. Owls are 2-3 as road dog, losing away games by 46-22-27 points.
-- Road team won last four Monroe-Lafayette games, as Warhawks won last two visits here, 39-20/17-11. Sun Belt home dogs are 3-4 against the spread. Monroe won five of its last seven games.
-- Arkansas State lost last three visits to Middle Tennessee by 28-38-17 points; they're 1-7 vs I-A teams this year, losing last three by 8-3-17 pts MTSU won last four games, scoring 42.8 ppg; they're 4-0 as home fave.
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