Tommy Gold NHL 2009/2010 - Picks Tracking

[TommyGold]

Nice call on the Caps last night and GL tonight Tommy!!!

Many thanks Chado! Lets see if I can do better today.

[Chado1]

Miracle push for you on New Jersey PL last night with the power going out when they were down 3-0...GL with the action today bud!!!

[TommyGold]

NHL 2010.01.09 results:

New York Rangers @ Boston Bruins: Under 5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker (1-3: WIN)
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens: New Jersey Devils 3Way (1X2) +120 (2.20) Bookmaker (1-2 OT: LOSS)
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Under 6 +120 (2.20) Bookmaker (1-4: WIN)
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +150 (2.50) The Greek (4-1: WIN)

Washington Capitals @ Atlanta Thrashers: Washington Capitals PL +190 (2.90) Bookmaker (1-8: WIN)
Chicago Blackhawks @ Minnesota Wild: Under 5.5 -135 (1.74) Bookmaker (6-5 SO: LOSS)
Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL +180 (2.80) Bookmaker (1-4: LOSS)

NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 105-124-3 (+11.44 units won/229 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 11-9-1 and +6.12 units won/20 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked
NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.

NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.02 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.

Last 135 picks: 74-53-2, +30.04 units won!

Now I'm practically with a 5% ROI.

[TommyGold]

Miracle push for you on New Jersey PL last night with the power going out when they were down 3-0...GL with the action today bud!!!

If I could catch some breaks like these on NBA too... :P


Many thanks Chado!!!

[TommyGold]

NHL 2010.01.11 final 2 picks:


San Jose Sharks @ Los Angeles Kings

This is a game between two division rivals, that had a matchup 3 games ago, in January 4. Today, they will face each other again, but this time in Los Angeles.

Sharks are a strong contenders to Stanley cups and that's unquestionable. However, despite the good runs are bigger than the bad ones, they still have to improve in order to manage better a losing game. The 5 straight losses they had in the beginning of December shows it. Since that bad run, they made a a 8-0 run, only stopped in January 4, at home, against Kings. Their last game was also a loss at home, against Detroit, and even they were strong at that game, they weren't able to get a win against the sneaky and experienced Red Wings. Sharks are not a team with fear to play on road, as their record on road is similar to home games. This team is strong enough, and wants to have a better competitive game, that makes this team play the same goad on road and at home.

Kings are making a great season, surprising everyone. But since the hot streak they had, they are now showing some decrease in their performs, with a 4-7 record in last 11. The most of that wins were against teams that have been surprised, as they were expecting a easy team, and Kings fought for the game. Their last two games were 2 defeats at home, against Red Wings and Blues, teams that can faces road games without fear.

Today we will have a revenge spot. Sharks are not happy at all with Kings, that made them stop their winning streak at home, and by big numbers. Today, Sharks will not be surprised, will take control of the game, and manage a easy win, as they are better on road than Kings at home. They can be better on offense and better on defense, despite being the visitors.


Pick: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +220 (3.20) The Greek


Nashville Predators @ Vancouver Canucks

Just before Christmas, Predators went to Vancouver. In that day, Canucks won 4-1, and we can expect something similar today. Despite a good season so far in Canadian soil by Predators, they usually struggles on Vancouver.

Predators had a bad start and seems that they are returning to that time. Their last games have been losses or unconvincing, and despite the stats shows that they are not suffering many goals is due to the fact that they have faced many "soft" and that didn't make any pressure. When they faces strong offensive teams, their defense seems like small kids, with their legs shaking. They got an average of 3 goals allowed per game on road, and it's a nice stat if you look to boxscores and see that Predators usually allow the double of the shots they take on road.

Canucks are in a different direction, as they are improving and stronger day by day. At this point, we can say that in last 9 games, Canucks only lost 2 games on OT, winning 6 covering the PL and 1 on OT. Great results that should give us confidence to bet on them minus -1.5 goals. But the last game, they lost, at home, on OT, and will certainly looking for revenge today, as they will face another Canadian team. With a 3.48 goals per game, they can add a 1.96 goals allowed per game, something that make them strong on offense as well than defense.

So, today we can expect a hard Canucks team, trying to show that they are really hot right now. The last time Predators went to Vancouver, Vancouver were coming from a home loss as well, and get revenge against Predators. That game was soft to Predators, despite the 4-1 loss, because Canucks controlled the game from the first to last minute, with no many facilities. Today, we can expect a Canucks team that knows what will face, and taking their opportunities.


Pick: Vancouver Canucks PL -1.5 +170 (2.70) The Greek

[Chado1]

GL with the Sharks and Nucks tonight Tommy!!!

[TommyGold]

Many thanks Chado!!! :D



Weekly progress during the current NHL regular season:

2009.10.18 NHL 2009-2010 season results: 9-12 (+0.62 units won/21 units risked) Won

2009.10.25 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 16-27 (-5.17u lost/43u risked) Lost

2009.11.01 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 23-37 (-3.55u lost/60u risked) Won

2009.11.08 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 25-44 (-9.85u lost/69u risked) Lost

2009.11.15 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 28-51 (-12.2u lost/79u risked) Lost

2009.11.22 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 32-62 (-18.6u lost/94u risked) Lost

2009.11.29 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 50-73-1 (-9.29u lost/123u risked) Won

2009.12.06 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 64-88-1 (-4.68u lost/152u risked) Won

2009.12.13 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 69-97-1 (-6.86u lost/166u risked) Lost

2009.12.20 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 78-106-1 (-4.23u lost/184u risked) Won

2009.12.27 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 90-110-2 (+5.84u won/200u risked) Won

2010.01.03 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 95-118-2 (+3.34u won/213u risked) Lost

2010.01.09 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 105-124-3 (+11.44u won/229u risked) Won

[TommyGold]

NHL 2010.01.11 results:

San Jose Sharks @ Los Angeles Kings: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +220 (3.20) The Greek (1-2: LOSS)
Nashville Predators @ Vancouver Canucks: Vancouver Canucks PL -1.5 +170 (2.70) The Greek (2-3: LOSS)

NHL 2010.01.11 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 105-126-3 (+9.44 units won/231 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 11-11-1 and +4.12 units won/22 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.11 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked

NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.02 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.

Last 137 picks: 74-55-2, +28.04 units won!

[TommyGold]

NHL 2010.01.12 first 2 picks:

Dallas Stars @ Philadelphia Flyers

After a hard rehab, we finally got Flyers back to their best performances! And so, we have teams going in different directions, and we can take advantage if we take the ride that Flyers are giving, as they are really hot right now.

Dallas as not been reliable, but they are reliable in something: they only achieved a win in road games since middle November. And since they lost Ribeiro, they are struggling much more, playing with more difficulties and with less confidence. That's easily seen if, as they are allowing 3.40 goals per game and scoring 1.40 in last 5 games.

Flyers are in a different situation. After a good start, they struggled a lot and fired their coach. With new coach, we could see some improve, but the result were difficult to appear. But now, are 7-2, with 3 wins in last 3 game, including a 6-3 victory in Pittsburgh. They are showing again their strongest point, their offense. In their offense, any player is a potential scorer, and all of them scores, not leaving that job exclusive to centers and r/l wings. Their defense, under the lead of Pronger, are showing a great improve as well, allowing few goals. In their last 5 games, this team is coring 4.40 goals per game, allowing 3.20, due to the 7-4 loss in Ottawa.

We just have to take this play. Flyers are too strong and confident right now, and facing a bad road team, that is struggling a lot lately, perhaps due to a important injure, is the right spot to another blowout win.

Pick: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) Bookmaker


Ottawa Senators @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker

[Chado1]

GL with the Flyers and Thrashers tonight bud!!!

[TommyGold]

Many thanks!!! Two winners! :D



NHL 2010.01.12 results:

Dallas Stars @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) Bookmaker (6-3: WIN)
Ottawa Senators @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker (6-1: WIN)

NHL 2010.01.12 finished 2-0 and +2.85 units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 107-126-3 (+12.29 units won/233 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 13-9-1 and +8.97 units won/22 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.12 finished 2-0 and +2.85 units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.11 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked

NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked
NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.

Last 139 picks: 76-55-2, +30.89 units won!

The season ROI is now +5,274678%.

[TommyGold]

NHL 2010.01.14 final 5 picks:

Buffalo Sabres @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +150 (2.50) Bookmaker, +160 (2.60) Goalwin

Philadelphia Flyers @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +210 (3.10) The Greek

Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Over 5.5 -115 (1.87) Bookmaker

Dallas Stars @ Montreal Canadiens: Under 5.5 -140 (1.71) Bookmaker

New Jersey Devils @ Phoenix Coyotes: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +243 (3.43) 5Dimes

*One unit each always.



Buffalo Sabres @ Atlanta Thrashers

I can't pass this play despite what seems a easy win for Buffalo. Buffalo is better on road than Atlanta at home, is 6-1 last 7 games, and Atlanta is struggling and passing a bad moment. However, I believe that Atlanta can manage this game with the moral they won in their last game, and leaded by Kovalchuk, I'm believe they can win this matchup, after they played earlier this month on Buffalo and Atlanta lost in OT, after firing the double of the shots.

Sabres are making remarkable season. They are coming from a loss at home, but they had a 6-0 run before it. On road, they scoring 2.50 goals per game, allowing only 2.33 goals per game. So, this team usually control the game on road containing opponents offense, and scoring goals enough to win, that are not much goals at all.

Atlanta had a bad moment, with 9 straight losses, including a 7 games roadtrip. After that, they are 2-1, losing 1-8 at home against Capitals. That result woke up Atlanta, and in their last game, they won 6-1. Atlanta is that kind of teams that can easily score, as they have a great offensive player that can score at any minute. But they can't make the right pressing on defense, allowing 3.20 goals per game, while scoring 3.30.

So, I can expect today Atlanta to be strong offensively, as they are earning moral and have abilities to it. After a 3-4 loss on OT in the first day of the year in Buffalo, where Atlanta controlled the game, today Atlanta will probably enter the game controlling it again, and with moral enough to score the goals they need. Sabres offensive is not so good, and when Sabres is a team that easily give up during the game.

Pick: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +150 (2.50) Bookmaker, +160 (2.60) Goalwin



Philadelphia Flyers @ Toronto Maple Leafs

We just have to believe in Flyers, as they are giving us money lately without fail. The believe that we are showing in Flyers is something that we owe them, and we can't give up suddenly.

If you read my writeups about Flyers lately, you know that Flyers are a great team that passed a bad period. But that is over, and the team was just waiting to see the results of their efforts and improvement showing up. And now, they are just harvesting the benefits of those work. Despite what we know, he just have to see that they are in a 8-2 run, scoring around 5.40 goals per game lately. They are giving heavy losses for the opponents.

Leafs are making the opposite "progress". They are 2-9 in their last 11 games, and are showing again the same weakness they showed earlier in the season. With 4 straight losses, this team is having again a letdown spot, without any confidence. Despite that, we should keep in mind that this is the most balanced team due to a great structure behind the team. They are allowing 3.80 goals per game, scoring only 2.00 goals per game.

Today we will see a team with a low moral hosting a hot team that don't make charity to anyone. In last 7 games, Leafs have lost 5 by 2 or more goals, showing how weak their defense is right now. For Leafs, Flyers is not the best team to host right now, as they need a win, but against a team so strong, it will be too hard.

Pick: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +210 (3.10) The Greek

[Chado1]

Against you on the Devils but GL tonight bud!!!

[TommyGold]

Many thanks Chado!

[TommyGold]

NHL 2010.01.16 final 7 picks:

Chicago Blackhawks vs Columbus Blue Jackets: Under 5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars ML -105 (1.95) The Greek

New Jersey Devils vs Colorado Avalanche: Over 5 -125 (1.80) The Greek

Boston Bruins vs Los Angeles Kings: Los Angeles Kings 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, +115 (2.15) Goalwin

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers: Florida Panthers PL +230 (3.30) The Greek

Atlanta Thrashers vs Carolina Hurricanes: Over 6 +100 (2.00) The Greek

New York Rangers vs St. Louis Blues: New York Rangers 3Way (1X2) +140 (2.40) Bookmaker, +150 (2.50) Goalwin

*One unit each always.



NHL 2010.01.14 results:

Buffalo Sabres @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +150 (2.50) Bookmaker (1-2 OT: LOSS)
Philadelphia Flyers @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +210 (3.10) The Greek (4-0: LOSS)
Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Over 5.5 -115 (1.87) Bookmaker (2-3: LOSS)
Dallas Stars @ Montreal Canadiens: Under 5.5 -140 (1.71) Bookmaker (5-3: LOSS)
New Jersey Devils @ Phoenix Coyotes: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +243 (3.43) 5Dimes (4-3: LOSS)

NHL 2010.01.14 finished 0-5 and -5 units lost/5 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 107-131-3 (+7.29 units won/238 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 12-13-1 and +4.02 units won/25 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.14 finished 0-5 and -5 units lost/5 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.12 finished 2-0 and +2.85 units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.11 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.

NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked
NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.

Last 144 picks: 76-60-2, +25.89 units won! The season's ROI dropped to 3%...