Saturday Trends and Indexes 9/19 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel


Toronto at BC
The Lions look to build on their 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 September games. BC is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: BC (-7 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

Game 473-474: Toronto at BC
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 101.776; BC 112.438
Dunkel Line: BC by 10 1/2; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: BC by 7 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-7 1/2); Over


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 20

Game 475-476: Winnipeg at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 108.150; Montreal 120.491
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 12 1/2; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Montreal by 14; 48
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+14); Over

Game 477-478: Edmonton at Saskatchewan
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 110.337; Saskatchewan 112.885
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 2 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 57
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+4); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 12

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Saturday, September 19

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TORONTO (3 - 7) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 6) - 9/19/2009, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 20

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WINNIPEG (3 - 7) at MONTREAL (8 - 2) - 9/20/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EDMONTON (5 - 5) at SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 4) - 9/20/2009, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Write-Up


Week 12 CFL games

Saturday, September 19

Toronto (2-8) @ BCLions (4-6)-- Argos lost last six games, losing in OT last week; they're 2-3 on road, with all three losses by 19+ points. Lions are 2-3 at home; they're 1-6 if they allow 28+ points, 3-0 otherwise- six of their last seven games went under the total. Toronto scored 22 or less points in seven of last eight games. Argos covered one of last six games. Lions covered one of five as a favorite this season.


Sunday, September 20

Winnipeg (3-7) @ Montreal (8-2)-- Alouettes won 39-12 in Winnipeg five weeks ago (-8; was 26-9 at half); Montreal is 5-0 at home, but 1-3 vs spread in last four- its home wins are by 34-13-25-9-4 pts. Bombers lost four of their last five games, but covered four of last five as a road dog, with road losses by 2-8-12-15 points. They're -10 in turnover ratio in their last five games after being +13 in first five.

Edmonton (5-5) @ Saskatchewan (6-4)-- Eskimos (+6) won 38-33 here back in Week 4, game they trailed 25-13 at half; its their only win in four road games (losses by 34-7-24 points)- they're 1-2 as road dog. Three of both teams' last four games went over the total. Roughriders covered last four games; they're 3-2 at home, winning last two in Regina by 8-15 pts. Roughriders are 5-0 if they allow 25 or less points.




CFL


Week 12

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Trend Report
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Saturday, September 19

10:00 PM
TORONTO vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Toronto is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing British Columbia
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 7 games


Sunday, September 20

1:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
Winnipeg is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Winnipeg is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg

4:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Edmonton is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Edmonton is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton


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Canadian Bacon
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Saturday, September 19

Toronto Argonauts at B.C. Lions

When these two teams met in Week 7, the Lions came back from a 25-14 deficit in the fourth quarter to win it 36-28. Their QB Jarious Jackson had three touchdown passes. But the Lions can also run the ball. Although he was held to 66 yards rushing in Montreal last week, running back Martell Mallet had a team-record 213 yards the previous week against those same Alouettes. The Argos are more limited offensively and B.C. basically needs to slow down RB Jamal Robertson to disarm a Toronto team that has one of the less intimidating air attacks in the league. The stakes are also high for the Lions, who can stay in the race for a crossover playoff spot with a win.

Pick: B.C. -7.5



Sunday, September 20

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Montreal Alouettes

The Blue Bombers are coming to Montreal to challenge the best team in the CFL after suffering a humiliating beating at home to the Saskatchewan Roughriders by the score of 55-10. About 10 Facebook sites appeared asking for the firing of head coach Mike Kelly. The last time the Alouettes faced the Bombers, in Winnipeg, Anthony Calvillo had a blast with four touchdown passes. Since the start of the season, the Bombers tallied only five touchdown passes. It is not surprising to hear that newcomer Casey Bramlet might get some play calling action if Michael Bishop proves erratic against the Alouettes. The biggest risk the Alouettes run in this game is taking the Bombers lightly. But if Marc Trestman’s team puts in the effort, the Blue Bombers will leave Montreal with another loss and the Winnipeg fans will be even more anxious than ever to see Kelly get the axe.

Pick: Montreal -14.5


Edmonton Eskimos at Saskatchewan Roughriders

This will most likely be the most entertaining game this week. The Eskimos just lost two in a row against their archrivals from Alberta and they are now trying to catch the second-place Roughriders, which they would achieve if they triumph in Saskatchewan. The last time Richie Hall and his Eskimos came to Regina, in Week 4, they managed to win a 38-34 nail-biter. The Eskimos can count on one of the three best pivots in the CFL but the Riders have watched QB Darian Durant becoming more consistent each week. Edmonton will gladly welcome back RB Calvin McCarty, whose presence should give more teeth to their offence. But it won’t be enough. Although Saskatchewan has been up and down this season, the Roughriders are always a tough team to beat at Mosaic Field.

Pick: Saskatchewan -4

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[pm530]

MLB
Write-up


Updated

Saturday, September 19

Hot Pitchers
-- Ohlendorf has a 3.21 RA in his last five starts.
-- Carpenter is 11-1, 2.47 in his last 14 starts. Dempster is 4-1, 3.15 in his last five starts.
-- Garland is 2-0, 3.32 in three starts for the Dodgers. Penny is 3-0, 1.64 in three starts for the Giants.
-- Astros won four of last five Moehler starts. Suppan has 3.04 RA in his last four starts, but Brewers are 2-10 in his last dozen outings.
-- Vazquez is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts. Martinez is 4-0, 2.43 in his last five starts.
-- Arroyo is 3-1, 1.38 in his last seven starts.
-- Scherzer has a 2.61 RA in his last three starts.

-- Sowers is 1-0, 2.04 in his last three starts.
-- Verlander is 4-2, 3.02 in his last seven starts.
-- Lester is 4-0, 1.81 in his last eight starts.
-- Weaver is 2-1, 2.70 in his last four starts. Feldman is 7-1, 2.98 in his last nine starts.
-- Bronx won last nine Sabathia starts (7-0, 2.64).

Cold Pitchers
-- Richard is 1-2, 8.00 in his last four starts.
-- Redding is 1-3, 4.91 in his last seven starts. Lannan is 1-3, 7.25 in his last seven starts.
-- Nolasco has a 6.75 RA in his last five starts.
-- Hammel is 0-1, 4.66 in his last three starts.

-- GGonzlaez is 2-4, 7.84 in his last six starts.
-- Garza is 0-3, 4.72 in his last nine starts. Romero is 1-3, 6.85 in his last four outings.
-- Pavano is 1-2, 3.55 in his last four starts.
-- Peavy was 4-1, 3.68 in his last five starts for San Diego, but last one was back on June 8. Hughes was 3-3, 3.50 in 11 AAA starts.
-- DHernandez is 0-4, 9.00 in his last six starts.
-- Mariners lost four of last five Fister starts (1-2, 4.76).

Hot Teams
-- Padres are 8-5 in their last 13 road games.
-- Cubs won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Reds won four of their last five games. Florida won eight of its last 11 road games.
-- Phillies won nine of their last eleven games. Braves won seven of their last eight games.
-- Brewers are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last seven games. Giants won four of five.

-- Royals won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Red Sox won eight of their last nine games.
-- Twins won their last five games, scoring 29 runs.
-- A's won 10 of their last 12 games.
-- Angels won last two games, allowing total of three runs.
-- Bronx Bombers won seven of last eleven games. Mariners won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost 17 of their last 20 games.
-- Nationals lost 10 of their last 13 road games. Mets lost 10 of their last 11 games.
-- Astros lost their last five games, scoring total of 13 runs. Cardinals lost five of their last seven games.
-- Arizona lost 10 of its last 14 games. Rockies lost five of last sixe.

-- Orioles lost 17 of their last 25 home games.
-- Tigers lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Rays lost 13 of their last 16 games. Toronto is 5-14 in last 19 games.
-- Rangers lost their last five games, scoring one run.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games.
-- Indians lost ten of their last eleven games.

Totals
-- Over is 15-5 in San Diego's last 20 road games.
-- Under is 12-4 in Cincinnati's last sixteen games.
-- Under is 6-3-3 in Mets' last twelve home games.
-- Six of Phillies' last eight games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Cub games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-2 in last nine Hammel starts.
-- Eight of last ten Giant games went over the total.

-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Baltimore games.
-- Under is 16-4 in last twenty Garza starts.
-- Nine of Angels' last ten road games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Detroit road games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of White Sox' last twelve home games stayed under total.
-- Last seven Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Bronx road games went over the total.

Umpires
-- SD-Pitt-- Underdog is 6-6 in last twelve Darling games.
-- Wsh-NY-- Favorite is 12-2 in last fourteen Wegner games.
-- Chi-StL-- Under is 11-4 in last fifteen Carlson games.
-- SF-LA-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Davidson games.
-- Hst-Mil-- Five of last six Nauert games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-Atl-- Unxerdog is 9-4 in last thirteen BWelke games.
-- Fla-Cin-- Over is 7-2 in last ten Cousins games.
-- Colo-Az-- Visitor won seven of last eight Hudson games.

-- Clev-A's-- Over is 7-3-2 in last dozen Everitt games.
-- Det-Min-- Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Randazzo games.
-- KC-Chi-- Not enough data to properly analyze umpire Bellino
-- Tor-TB-- Under is 13-5 in last eighteen Holbrook games.
-- Bos-Balt-- Five of last seven Demuth games went over the total.
-- LA-Tex-- Home team won four of last five Drake games.
-- NY-Sea-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Reilly games.

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