What's your source for the results of this trend? I ran a query at http://sportsdatabase.com/nba.py/MTi/query for teams coming off a straight-up win as a road underdog and playing as a home favorite. If you played against all such teams since Oct. 1999, your record would be 166-174-6 ATS (including 5-3 this season).
If you only include teams playing the very next night, the ATS record (playing against the team) would be 50-40-1 (including 1-1 this season).
Either way, not a very convincing system.
Note: limiting it to the last two+ seasons only (10/2001 - present), the system's record would be 89-97-4 overall, and 28-21 only counting teams playing with no rest.
If you only include teams playing the very next night, the ATS record (playing against the team) would be 50-40-1 (including 1-1 this season).
Either way, not a very convincing system.
Note: limiting it to the last two+ seasons only (10/2001 - present), the system's record would be 89-97-4 overall, and 28-21 only counting teams playing with no rest.
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